TH1L involvement in colorectal cancer pathogenesis by regulation of CCL20 through the NF-κB signalling pathway.

TH1L (also known as NELF-C/D) is a member of the Negative Elongation Factor (NELF) complex, which is a metazoan-specific factor that regulates RNA Polymerase II (RNAPII) pausing and transcription elongation. However, the function and molecular mechanisms of TH1L in cancer progression are still largely unknown. In this study, we found that TH1L was highly expressed in colorectal cancer (CRC) tissues and the faeces of CRC patients. Overexpression of TH1L significantly enhanced the proliferation and migration of CRC cells, while its knockdown markedly suppressed these processes. In mechanism, RNA sequencing revealed that CCL20 was upregulated in TH1L-overexpressed CRC cells, leading to activation of the NF-κB signalling pathway. Rescue assays showed that knockdown of CCL20 could impair the tumour-promoting effects of THIL in CRC cells. Taken together, these results suggest that TH1L may play a vital role via the CCL20/NF-κB signalling pathway in CRC proliferation and migration and may serve as a potential target for diagnosis and therapy of CRC.

Clinical performance of a particle enhanced turbidimetric immunoassay (PETIA) for detecting fecal calprotectin.

Particle-enhanced turbidimetric immunoassay (PETIA) is a new measurement procedure for detecting fecal calprotectin (FC). We aimed to investigate the accuracy and clinical performance of PETIA for FC. We assessed the accuracy of PETIA for FC measurements through concordance analysis, Passing-Bablok regression and Bland-Altman analysis, using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) as the reference. To evaluate the clinical performance of PETIA, the FC levels of individuals with significant and non-significant bowel diseases were compared. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to determine the appropriate cut-off value of FC detected by PETIA for discriminating subjects with significant and non-significant colorectal lesions. Of the 413 cases analyzed, 340 (82.3%) were concordant between PETIA and ELISA. No significant discordance was observed. There was a good agreement (y = -7.710+0.957x) between PETIA and ELISA for detecting FC. The FC level detected by PETIA in patients with significant bowel diseases (159.1 [31.3, 821.0] µg/g) was significantly higher than that of subjects with non-significant bowel diseases (10.3 [4.2, 38.5] µg/g) (p < 0.001). The AUC of FC for identifying significant bowel diseases detected by PETIA was 0.82 (p < 0.001). With a cut-off value of 77.6µg/g, the specificity and positive predictive value were 92.2% and 97.1%, respectively. The PETIA for FC measurement showed good clinical performance for detecting bowel diseases.

Role of BMI in the relationship between dietary inflammatory index and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an intermediary analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies have indicated that a pro-inflammatory diet is associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but the role of BMI remains ambiguous. We aim to study the intermediary effect of BMI on the relationship between dietary inflammatory properties and NAFLD. METHODS: A total of 19536 adult participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) were included. Dietary inflammatory index (DII) was used to evaluate the dietary inflammatory properties and NAFLD was diagnosed by non-invasive biomarkers. Weighted multivariable logistic regression models estimated ORs and 95% CIs between DII and incidence of NAFLD. Interaction effect between DII and BMI on NAFLD was tested and the mediation analysis of BMI was performed. RESULTS: Higher DII scores, representing higher inflammatory potential of diet, were positively associated with a higher risk of NAFLD. Compared with the first quartile of DII, people from the second quartile (OR: 1.23 [95% CI: 1.04, 1.46]) to the fourth quartile (OR: 1.59 [95% CI: 1.31, 1.94]) have a higher risk of NAFLD before adjustment for BMI. The overall association was completely mediated by BMI (89.19%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggested that a higher pro-inflammatory potential diet was associated with a higher prevalence of NAFLD, and this association might be mediated by BMI.

The usefulness of fecal hemoglobin and calprotectin tests in diagnosing significant bowel diseases: a prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: Although colonoscopy remains the gold standard for determining bowel diseases, it's invasive and expensive. New non-invasive diagnostic methods are urgently needed as an initial screening modality. We aimed to investigate the value of fecal calprotectin (FC) and fecal immunochemical test (FIT) in differentiation of significant and non- significant bowel diseases. METHODS: In this prospective study, consecutive individuals were included if they underwent colonoscopy for symptoms of lower gastrointestinal (GI) tract, positive fecal occult blood test, surveillance for IBD or colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Diagnostic value of FC and FIT in discriminating significant bowel diseases (advanced neoplasia, active inflammatory bowel diseases or bowel inflammation due to other causes) and non-significant bowel diseases (normal, asymptomatic diverticulum, non-adenomatous polyp, or non-advanced neoplasia) were evaluated. RESULTS: Among 201 individuals included, 107 patients had significant bowel diseases. FC and FIT had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.722 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.653-0.792) and 0.797 (95%CI 0.734-0.860), respectively, for determining significant bowel diseases. Combination of FC and FIT predicted significant bowel diseases with an AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.832 (95% CI 0.775-0.890), 77.6%, 74.5%, and 76.1%, respectively. Moreover, combination of FC and FIT was more sensitive among patients with lower GI symptoms than asymptomatic individuals (80.8% vs. 74.1%) to identify significant bowel diseases. CONCLUSIONS: A single measurement of FC or FIT is not sufficiently accurate to identify patients with significant bowel disease. However, combination of FC and FIT can help increase the sensitivity, especially in patients with lower GI symptoms.

Disposable versus reusable gastroscopes: a prospective randomized noninferiority trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Disposable gastroscopes have recently been developed to eliminate the risk of infection transmission from contaminated reusable gastroscopes. We compared the performance of disposable and reusable gastroscopes in patients undergoing gastroscopy. METHODS: Patients requiring gastroscopy were randomized to either the disposable or reusable digital gastroscope group. The primary endpoint was the success rate of photographing customary anatomic sites, with a noninferiority margin of -8%. Secondary endpoints were technical performance factors such as gastroscope imaging quality, maneuverability, gastroscopy completion rate, device failure/defect rate, operating time, and safety. Data were analyzed using the Newcombe-Wilson score method and Fisher exact 2-tailed t test. RESULTS: Of 110 patients, 55 were treated using disposable gastroscopes and 55 using reusable gastroscopes. The success rate for capturing images of customary anatomic sites was 100% in both groups. The average imaging quality score was significantly lower (37.02 ± 3.09 vs 39.47 ± 1.92, P < .001) and the operating time significantly longer (P < .001) in the disposable gastroscope group. No significant differences in maneuverability, gastroscopy completion rate, device failure/defect rate, operating time, or safety were found between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Given the overall safety profile and similar technical performance, disposable gastroscopes represent an alternative to reusable gastroscopes for routine examination, bedside first aid, and some certain circumstances.

Prediction of clinical efficacy of subcutaneous immunotherapy for Artemisia sieversiana pollen allergic rhinitis by serum metabolomics.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Specific immunotherapy is the only effective etiological treatment for allergic rhinitis, but subcutaneous immunotherapy has a slow onset and poor compliance. Predicting the clinical efficacy of subcutaneous immunotherapy in advance can reduce unnecessary medical costs and resource waste. This study aimed to identify metabolites that could predict the efficacy of subcutaneous immunotherapy on seasonal allergic rhinitis by serum metabolomics. METHODS: Patients (n = 43) with Artemisia sieversiana pollen allergic rhinitis were enrolled and treated with subcutaneous immunotherapy for one year. Patients were divided into the ineffective group (n = 10) and effective group (n = 33) according to the therapeutic index. Serum samples were collected before treatment. Metabolomics was determined by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry combined with gas chromatography-mass spectrometry and analyzed differential compounds and related metabolic pathways. RESULTS: A total of 129 differential metabolites (P < 0.05) were identified and 4 metabolic pathways, namely taurine and hypotaurine metabolism, pentose and glucuronate interconversions, pentose phosphate pathway, and alanine, aspartate, and glutamate metabolism, were involved. CONCLUSION: Some metabolites, such as hypotaurine, taurine, and l-alanine, have the potential to become predictive biomarkers for effective subcutaneous immunotherapy.

Assessing the responses of vegetation to meteorological drought and its influencing factors with partial wavelet coherence analysis.

The increase in drought frequency in recent years is considered as an important factor affecting vegetation diversity. Understanding the responses of vegetation dynamics to drought is helpful to reveal the behavioral mechanisms of terrestrial ecosystems and propose effective drought control measures. In this study, long time series of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) were used to analyze the vegetation dynamics in the Pearl River Basin (PRB). The relationship between vegetation and meteorological drought was evaluated, and the corresponding differences among different vegetation types were revealed. Based on an improved partial wavelet coherence (PWC) analysis, the influences of teleconnection factors (i.e., large-scale climate patterns and solar activity) on the response relationship between meteorological drought and vegetation were quantitatively analyzed to determine the roles of factors. The results indicate that (a) vegetation in the PRB showed an increasing trend from 2001 to 2019, and the SIF increased more than that of NDVI; (b) the vegetation response time (VRT) based on NDVI (VRTN) was typically 4-6 months, while the VRT based on SIF (VRTS) was typically 2-4 months. The VRT was shortest in the woody savannas and longest in the evergreen broadleaf forests. (c) The relationship between the SIF and meteorological drought was more significant than that between the NDVI and meteorological drought. (d) There was a significant positive correlation between meteorological drought and vegetation in the period of 8-20 years. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and sunspots were important driving factors affecting the response relationship between drought and vegetation. Specifically, the PDO had the greatest impacts among these factors.

Construction of a novel predictive nomogram for difficult procedure of endoscopic submucosal dissection for colorectal neoplasms.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the predictors of difficult colorectal endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) and to develop a preoperative predictive model for difficult colorectal ESD procedures. METHODS: Colorectal neoplasms intended to be resected by ESD in our center between August 2013 and February 2019 were retrospectively enrolled. An ESD procedure which took more than 30 min, failed to remove the lesions en bloc or converted to surgery was defined as difficulty. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to find out the predictors of difficult ESD. A nomogram integrating independent predictors was developed and validated with respect to its discrimination, calibration and clinical application, using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. RESULTS: A total of 368 colorectal neoplasms in 355 patients were included. The independent predictors for difficult colorectal ESD were size ≥2 cm (odds ratio [OR] = 6.102, p < .001), positive non-lifting sign (OR = 6.569, p = .005), lesions located in left colon (OR = 2.475, p = .036) or rectum (OR = 2.183, p = .048), laterally spreading tumors (LSTs) (OR = 2.501, p = .008) and less colorectal ESD experience (≤20 cases) (OR = 2.3091, p = .028). The nomogram model incorporating the above predictors performed well in both of the training and validation sets (area under the cure [AUC] = 0.786 and 0.784, respectively). DCA demonstrated the clinical benefit of the nomogram was superior to that of each independent predictor alone. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram incorporating tumor size, location, morphology, non-lifting sign and ESD experience of operator can be conveniently used to facilitate the preoperative prediction of difficult colorectal ESD.

Propagation of meteorological to hydrological drought for different climate regions in China.

Drought can lead to considerable agricultural, ecological, and societal damage. Improving our understanding of the propagation relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought is necessary to lessen drought impacts. The different drought responses and underlying mechanisms among different climate types are not yet sufficiently understood. By applying the standardized precipitation index and standardized runoff index, we investigated the propagation relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought. Because of short-term response between meteorological and hydrological droughts, the propagation time was considered among time scales of 1-12 months. Wavelet analysis was employed to examine the two types of drought from 1902 to 2014. Our results showed that arid environments had a weaker propagation relationship than moist environments. There was a stronger relationship between the two types of drought in summer and autumn than in spring and winter. The climate was not the only factor impacting drought propagation; land (cover and topographic feature) may also impact propagation time and intensity from meteorological to hydrological drought. This study analyzed and highlighted that the most susceptible regions in China and global scale, respectively. The most susceptible regions were tropical and subtropical Chinese southern zones in China and equatorial and warm temperate climate zones in global; however, arid climate zones showed little interaction between the two kinds of drought. Other factors that impact drought propagation, such as land cover, landforms, and human activity, should be considered in future research.

A Distributed Strategy for Cooperative Autonomous Robots Using Pedestrian Behavior for Multi-Target Search in the Unknown Environment.

Searching multiple targets with swarm robots is a realistic and significant problem. The goal is to search the targets in the minimum time while avoiding collisions with other robots. In this paper, inspired by pedestrian behavior, swarm robotic pedestrian behavior (SRPB) was proposed. It considered many realistic constraints in the multi-target search problem, including limited communication range, limited working time, unknown sources, unknown extrema, the arbitrary initial location of robots, non-oriented search, and no central coordination. The performance of different cooperative strategies was evaluated in terms of average time to find the first, the half, and the last source, the number of located sources and the collision rate. Several experiments with different target signals, fixed initial location, arbitrary initial location, different population sizes, and the different number of targets were implemented. It was demonstrated by numerous experiments that SRPB had excellent stability, quick source seeking, a high number of located sources, and a low collision rate in various search strategies.

Variation of River Islands around a Large City along the Yangtze River from Satellite Remote Sensing Images.

River islands are sandbars formed by scouring and silting. Their evolution is affected by several factors, among which are runoff and sediment discharge. The spatial-temporal evolution of seven river islands in the Nanjing Section of the Yangtze River of China was examined using TM (Thematic Mapper) and ETM (Enhanced Thematic Mapper)+ images from 1985 to 2015 at five year intervals. The following approaches were applied in this study: the threshold value method, binarization model, image registration, image cropping, convolution and cluster analysis. Annual runoff and sediment discharge data as measured at the Datong hydrological station upstream of Nanjing section were also used to determine the roles and impacts of various factors. The results indicated that: (1) TM/ETM+ images met the criteria of information extraction of river islands; (2) generally, the total area of these islands in this section and their changing rate decreased over time; (3) sediment and river discharge were the most significant factors in island evolution. They directly affect river islands through silting or erosion. Additionally, anthropocentric influences could play increasingly important roles.

[Effect of yupingfeng droppill in treatment of allergic rhinitis].

To evaluate the efficacy of Yupingfeng droppill and western medicine in treatment of allergic rhinitis, 76 patients from Beijing Shijitan hospital during April 2011 to May 2012 were selected and randomly divided into the treatment group (n = 44) and control group (n = 32). The treatment group was treated with Yupingfeng droppill and cetirizine tablets, the control group was treated with cetirizine tablets, the effect of the two groups was observed after 28 days, after treatment, the symptoms and inferior turbinate volume contrast of the two groups were better than before. The obvious effective rate and total effective rate were 84.09%, 95.45% and 46.87%, 56.25% in the treatment group and and control group. The differences in the obvious effective rate and total effective rate were statistically significant between two groups (P < 0.05), Yupingfeng droppill has the curative effect on allergic rhinitis, which is better than simple oral cetirizine tablets.

Identifying the importance of PCK1 in maintaining ileal epithelial barrier integrity in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) is marked by disruption of intestinal epithelial barrier, with unclear underlying molecular mechanisms. This study aimed to investigate key genes regulating the intestinal barrier in CD patients. METHODS: Differential gene expression analysis and gene set enrichment analysis were conducted to identify potential key genes involved in CD within the GEO database. Single-cell RNA sequencing from ileum samples in GSE134809 of 59,831 inflamed and uninflamed cells from 11 CD patients and microarray data from ileal tissues in GSE69762 (3 controls and 4 CD patients) and GSE75214 (11 controls and 51 CD patients) with GSE179285 (49 uninflamed and 33 inflamed from CD patients) as the validation set. Protein-protein interaction and logistic regression analyses identified key downregulated genes in CD. A key gene was then investigated through immunohistochemistry of ileal tissues from 5 CD patients and in the Caco-2 cell line with RNA interference and treatment with IFN-γ and TNF-α to stimulate inflammation. RESULTS: Single-cell RNA-seq identified 33 genes and microarray identified 167 genes with significant downregulation in inflamed CD samples. PCK1 was identified and validated as one of the most promising candidate genes. Reduced PCK1 expression was evident in inflamed ileal tissues. In vitro, knockdown of PCK1 resulted in decreased cell viability, increased apoptosis, and reduced nectin-2 production, while combination of IFN-γ and TNF-α significantly reduced PCK1. CONCLUSIONS: PCK1 is downregulated in inflamed ileal tissues of CD patients and may be a key factor in maintaining epithelial integrity during inflammation in Crohn's disease.

Effects of interaction of multiple large-scale atmospheric circulations on precipitation dynamics in China.

Different scenarios of precipitation, that lead to such phenomena as droughts and floods are influenced by concurrent multiple teleconnection factors. However, the multivariate relationship between precipitation indices and teleconnection factors, including large-scale atmospheric circulations and sea surface temperature signals in China, is rarely explored. Understanding this relationship is crucial for drought early warning systems and effective response strategies. In this study, we comprehensively investigated the combined effects of multiple large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on precipitation changes in China. Specifically, Pearson correlation analysis and Partial Wavelet Coherence (PWC) were used to identify the primary teleconnection factors influencing precipitation dynamics. Furthermore, we used the cross-wavelet method to elucidate the temporal lag and periodic relationships between multiple teleconnection factors and their interactions. Finally, the multiple wavelet coherence analysis method was used to identify the dominant two-factor and three-factor combinations shaping precipitation dynamics. This analysis facilitated the quantification and determination of interaction types and influencing pathways of teleconnection factors on precipitation dynamics, respectively. The results showed that: (1) the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), EI Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), East Asia Summer Monsoon (EASM), and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) were dominant teleconnection factors influencing Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) dynamics; (2) significant correlation and leading or lagging relationships at different timescales generally existed for various teleconnection factors, where AMO was mainly leading the other factors with positive correlation, while ENSO and Southern Oscillation (SO) were mainly lagging behind other factors with prolonged correlations; and (3) the interactions between teleconnection factors were quantified into three types: enhancing, independent and offsetting effects. Specifically, the enhancing effect of two-factor combinations was stronger than the offsetting effect, where AMO + NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) and AMO + AO (Atlantic Oscillation) had a larger distribution area in southern China. Conversely, the offsetting effect of three-factor combinations was more significant than that of the two-factor combinations, which was mainly distributed in northeast and northwest regions of China. This study sheds new light on the mechanisms of modulation and pathways of influencing various large-scale factors on seasonal precipitation dynamics.

Computed tomography-based body composition parameters can predict short-term prognosis in ulcerative colitis patients.

OBJECTIVES: Emerging evidence suggests a potential relationship between body composition and short-term prognosis of ulcerative colitis (UC). Early and accurate assessment of rapid remission based on conventional therapy via abdominal computed tomography (CT) images has rarely been investigated. This study aimed to build a prediction model using CT-based body composition parameters for UC risk stratification. METHODS: In total, 138 patients with abdominal CT images were enrolled. Eleven quantitative parameters related to body composition involving skeletal muscle mass, visceral adipose tissue (VAT), and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) were measured and calculated using a semi-automated segmentation method. A prediction model was established with significant parameters using a multivariable logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate prediction performance. Subgroup analyses were implemented to evaluate the diagnostic efficiency of the prediction model between different disease locations, centers, and CT scanners. The Delong test was used for statistical comparison of ROC curves. RESULTS: VAT density, SAT density, gender, and visceral obesity were significantly statistically different between remission and invalidation groups (all p < 0.05). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the prediction model were 82.61%, 95.45%, 69.89%, and 0.855 (0.792-0.917), respectively. The positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 70.79% and 93.88%, respectively. No significant differences in the AUC of the prediction model were found in different subgroups (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The predicting model constructed with CT-based body composition parameters is a potential non-invasive approach for short-term prognosis identification and risk stratification. Additionally, VAT density was an independent predictor for escalating therapeutic regimens in UC cohorts. CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The CT images were used for evaluating body composition and risk stratification of ulcerative colitis patients, and a potential non-invasive prediction model was constructed to identify non-responders with conventional therapy for making therapeutic regimens timely and accurately. KEY POINTS: • CT-based prediction models help divide patients into invalidation and remission groups in UC. • Results of the subgroup analysis confirmed the stability of the prediction model with a high AUC (all > 0.820). • The visceral adipose tissue density was an independent predictor of bad short-term prognosis in UC.

Precipitation and vegetation transpiration variations dominate the dynamics of agricultural drought characteristics in China.

Agricultural drought posing a significant threat to agricultural production is subject to the complex influence of ocean, terrestrial and meteorological multi-factors. Nevertheless, which factor dominating the dynamics of agricultural drought characteristics and their dynamic impact remain equivocal. To address this knowledge gap, we used ERA5 soil moisture to calculate the standardized soil moisture index (SSI) to characterize agricultural drought. The extreme gradient boosting model was then adopted to fully examine the influence of ocean, terrestrial and meteorological multi-factors on agricultural drought characteristics and their dynamics in China. Meanwhile, the Shapley additive explanation values were introduced to quantify the contribution of multiple drivers to drought characteristics. Our analysis reveals that the drought frequency, severity and duration in China ranged from 5-70, 2.15-35.02 and 1.76-31.20, respectively. Drought duration is increasing and drought intensity is intensifying in southeast, north and northwest China. In addition, potential evapotranspiration is the most significant driver of drought characteristics at the basin scale. Regarding the dynamic evolution of drought characteristics, the percentages of raster points for drought duration and severity with evapotranspiration as the dominant factor are 30.7 % and 32.7 %, and the percentages with precipitation are 35.3 % and 35.0 %, respectively. Precipitation in northern regions has a positive effect on decreasing drought characteristics, while in southern regions, evapotranspiration dominates the dynamics in drought characteristics due to increasing vegetation transpiration. Moreover, the drought severity is exacerbated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Yangtze and Pearl River basins, while the contribution of the North Atlantic Oscillation to the drought duration evolution is increasing in the Yangtze River basin. Generally, this study sheds new insights into agricultural drought evolution and driving mechanism, which are beneficial for agricultural drought early warning and mitigation.

Insights from CMIP6 SSP scenarios for future characteristics of propagation from meteorological drought to hydrological drought in the Pearl River Basin.

Drought is a common and widely distributed natural hazard. Analyzing and predicting drought characteristics and propagation are important for the early warning, prevention, and mitigation of drought disasters. This study used the precipitation and runoff outputs from General Circulation Models (GCMs) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to evaluate the meteorological drought (MD) and hydrological drought (HD) characteristics in the Pearl River Basin (PRB) under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) (i.e., SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). The propagation characteristics of external propagation (response between different type of drought) and internal propagation (drought development and recovery stages of a single type of drought) were also comprehensively investigated based on CMIP6. The results revealed that: 1) the percentage of grids within the dry range of MD and HD will decrease from the historical period to the future period under the two scenarios. The PRB is projected to exhibit wetter patterns; 2) Higher emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5) are more likely to weaken dryness conditions; 3) regarding the external propagation, the drought response time from MD to HD would be 2 months, and there would be no significant change under two scenarios; and 4) regarding the internal propagation, during three study periods (1971-2010, 2021-2060 and 2061-2100), the MD (HD) average recovery time changed from 3.90 (3.36) to 3.75 (3.41) and then to 3.95 (3.43) months under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, and changed from 3.93 (3.46) to 3 (3.51) and then to 3.7 (3.25) months under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. These results aid in understanding future drought characteristics and drought propagation under climate change.

Triglyceride glucose index and Atherogenic index of plasma for predicting colorectal neoplasms in patients without cardiovascular diseases.

Background and aims: Colorectal neoplasms (CRN) include colorectal cancer (CRC) and colorectal adenoma (CRA). The relationship between CRN and triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index or between CRN and atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) is unclear. This study aims to investigate the roles of TyG index and AIP in predicting CRN in people without cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods: 2409 patients without CVD underwent colonoscopy were enrolled. Clinical information and relevant laboratory test results of these patients were collected and recorded. According to endoscopic and pathological results, all participants were divided into a neoplasms group and a non-neoplasms group. The TyG index was calculated as ln (TGs×FPG/2), while AIP was calculated as log (TGs/HDL-C). We used uni- and multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) to analyze the association between the TyG inedx, AIP and CRN, develop predictive models and construct the nomograms. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized to evaluate the predictive value for CRN. Results: Participants in the neoplasms group were more likely to be older, have higher TyG index, higher AIP and higher rates of fecal occult blood test positivity, and were more likely to be male, smokers and those with the family history of CRC (P < 0.05). The higher TyG index was related to the higher risk of CRN [OR (95% CI): 1.23 (1.08 - 1.41), P = 0.003]. The higher AIP was related to the higher risk of CRN [OR (95% CI): 1.55 (1.16 - 2.06), P = 0.003]. These two indicators are better for predicting CRN in women than men. The combined use of the TyG index and other independent risk factors (age, sex, smoking status, family history and FOBT) to distinguish CRN was effective, with a sensitivity of 61.0%, a specificity of 65.1% and an AUC of 0.669 (95%CI, 0.639 - 0.698). Likewise, the combined use of the AIP and other independent risk factors to distinguish CRN was also effective, the model had an overall 56.3% sensitivity and 68.7% specificity with an AUC of 0.667 (95%CI, 0.638 - 0.697). Conclusion: This study showed that the TyG index and the AIP might be biomarkers that could be used to predict the risk of CRN in patients without CVD.