Recurrent vascular events and mortality outcomes in patients with known atrial fibrillation, compared to atrial fibrillation detected early after stroke.

INTRODUCTION: Atrial fibrillation (AF) detected after stroke (AFDAS) may represent a distinct clinical entity to that of known AF (KAF). However, there is limited long-term outcome data available for patients with AFDAS. More information regarding prognosis in AFDAS is required to inform future trial design in these patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We used data (2015-2019) from a national prospective stroke registry of consecutive patients with acute ischaemic stroke and AF. AFDAS was defined as a new diagnosis of AF after stroke detected on electrocardiograph or cardiac monitoring. The co-primary endpoints were: (1) all-cause mortality; (2) recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 3 years. Secondary endpoints were: (1) recurrent stroke; (2) functional outcome at discharge; (3) presence of co-existing stroke mechanisms. RESULTS: 583 patients were included. After a median follow-up of 2.65 years (cumulative 1064 person-years) 309 patients died and 23 had recurrent MACE. Compared with AFDAS, KAF was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) 1.56, 95% CI 1.12-2.18), a higher prevalence of co-existing stroke mechanisms (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.28, 95% CI 1.14-4.59), but not poor functional outcome (aOR 1.61, 95% CI 0.98-2.64). A trend towards a higher risk of MACE was observed in patients with KAF, but this was limited by statistical power (aHR 2.90, 95% CI 0.67-12.51). All 14 recurrent strokes occurred in the KAF group (Log-rank p = 0.03). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: These data provide further evidence that AFDAS differs to KAF with respect to risk of recurrent stroke, MACE, and all-cause mortality.

The contribution of competing mechanisms in stroke despite anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: For reasons poorly understood, strokes frequently occur in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) despite oral anticoagulation. Better data are needed to inform randomised trials (RCTs) of new strategies to prevent recurrence in these patients. We investigate the relative contribution of competing stroke mechanisms in patients with AF who have stroke despite anticoagulation (OAC+) compared with those who are anticoagulant naïve (OAC-) at the time of their event. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study leveraging data from a prospective stroke registry (2015-2022). Eligible patients had ischemic stroke and AF. Stroke classification was performed by a single stroke-specialist blinded to OAC status using TOAST criteria. The presence of atherosclerotic plaque was determined using duplex ultrasonography, computerised tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance (MR) angiography. Imaging was reviewed by a single reader. Logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of stroke despite anticoagulation. RESULTS: Of 596 patients included, 198 (33.2%) were in the OAC+ group. A competing cause for stroke was more frequent in patients with OAC+ versus OAC- (69/198 (34.8%)) versus 77/398 (19.3%), p < 0.001). After adjustment, both small vessel occlusion (odds ratio (OR): 2.46, 95% CI: 1.20-5.06) and arterial atheroma (⩾50% stenosis) (OR: 1.78, 95% CI: 1.07-2.94) were independently associated with stroke despite anticoagulation. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Patients with AF-associated stroke despite OAC are much more likely than patients who are OAC-naïve to have competing stroke mechanisms. Rigorous investigation for alternative stroke causes in stroke despite OAC has a high diagnostic yield. These data should be used to guide patient selection for future RCTs in this population.