Predicting complications following radical cystectomy with the ACS NSQIP universal surgical risk calculator.

INTRODUCTION: Radical cystectomy (RC) is a challenging procedure with significant morbidity, though remains the standard of care treatment for many patients with bladder cancer. There has been debate regarding the utility of universal risk calculators to aid in point-of-care prediction of complications in individual patients preoperatively. We retrospectively evaluated the predictive value of the ACS NSQIP universal surgical risk calculator in our patients who underwent RC. METHODS: A prospective cohort of patients undergoing RC was retrospectively reviewed between October 2014 and August 2017. Only patients who underwent a RC for genitourinary cancer without significant deviation from NSQIP surgery codes 51590, 51595, and 51596 (n = 29) were included. The accuracy of the risk calculator was assessed by ROC AUC and Brier scores for both NSQIP and Clavien-Dindo defined complications. Additionally, each NSQIP risk factor was individually assessed for association with postoperative complications. RESULTS: 223 patients who underwent open or robotic RC (n = 18) were included for analysis. Determined by AUC C-stat and Brier scores, prediction was good for cardiac complications (0.80 and 0.021), fair for pneumonia (0.75 and 0.017), poor for UTI (0.64 and 0.078), 30-day mortality (0.62 and 0.013), any complication (0.60 and 0.19) and serious complication (0.60 and 0.17). There was a significant discordance between the rate of NSQIP predicted vs. Clavien-Dindo observed any and serious complications: 28.8% vs. 67.3%, and 25.3% vs. 11.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The NSQIP universal surgical risk calculator did not perform with enough accuracy to consider adoption into clinical practice.

Defining postoperative ileus and associated risk factors in patients undergoing radical cystectomy with an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) program.

INTRODUCTION: Postoperative ileus (POI) is a common complication of radical cystectomy (RC), occurring in 1.6-23.5% of cases. It is defined heterogeneously in the literature. POI increases hospital length of stay and postoperative morbidity. Factors such as age, epidural use, length of procedure, and blood loss may impact POI. In this study, we aimed to evaluate risk factors that contribute to POI in a cohort of patients managed with a comprehensive Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocol. METHODS: A retrospective review of consecutive patients who underwent RC from March 2015 to December 2016 at Vancouver General Hospital was performed. POI was defined a priori as insertion of nasogastric tube for nausea or vomiting, or failure to advance to a solid diet by the seventh postoperative day. To illustrate heterogeneity in previous studies, we also evaluated POI using other previously reported definitions in the RC literature. The influence of potential risk factors for POI, including patient comorbidities, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, gender, age, prior abdominal surgery or radiation, length of operation, diversion type, extent of lymph node dissection, removal date of analgesic catheter, blood loss, and fluid administration volume was analyzed. RESULTS: Thirty-six (27%) of 136 patients developed POI. Using other previously reported definitions for POI, the incidence ranged from <1-51%. Node-positive status and age at surgery were associated with POI on univariate analysis but not multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: A large range of POI incidence was observed using previously published definitions of POI. We advocate for a standardized definition of POI when evaluating RC outcomes. POI occurs frequently even with a comprehensive ERAS protocol, suggesting that additional measures are needed to reduce the rate of POI.