Nephrophobia: a retrospective study of medical students' attitudes towards nephrology education.

BACKGROUND: Nephrology is a subject which is challenged by a lack of applicants for trainee places. This study addresses the attitudes of medical students towards the subject and explores the causes of this lack of interest amongst potential specialty trainees. METHODS: Students were asked to complete a survey ranking their attitudes towards nephrology and other specialties. This data was collated and analysed to show trends and allow comparison of the attitudes towards each specialty. RESULTS: Students felt that along with geriatrics, their least favourite subject was nephrology. Students felt unconfident in diagnosing, managing and understanding chronic conditions more so than acute conditions. Nephrology was consistently amongst the least popular subject for all areas of diagnosis, management and pathophysiology. Renal anatomy was the only area of nephrology that students felt confident in. The less popular specialties of nephrology and geriatrics had the greatest room for improvement when directly instructed in specialty medical training. CONCLUSIONS: Nephrology remains a problematic and unpopular specialty for medical students, driving their unwillingness to consider it as a future career route. This study identifies areas of misconception amongst medical students toward the specialty and highlights areas for improvement in renal training for students.

Health-related quality of life, uncertainty and coping strategies in solid organ transplant recipients during shielding for the COVID-19 pandemic.

Strict isolation of vulnerable individuals has been a strategy implemented by authorities to protect people from COVID-19. Our objective was to investigate health-related quality of life (HRQoL), uncertainty and coping behaviours in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients during the COVID-19 pandemic. A cross-sectional survey of adult SOT recipients undergoing follow-up at our institution was performed. Perceived health status, uncertainty and coping strategies were assessed using the EQ-5D-5L, Short-form Mishel Uncertainty in Illness Scale (SF-MUIS) and Brief Cope, respectively. Interactions with COVID-19 risk perception, access to health care, demographic and clinical variables were assessed. The survey was completed by 826 of 3839 (21.5%) invited participants. Overall, low levels of uncertainty in illness were reported, and acceptance was the major coping strategy (92%). Coping by acceptance, feeling protected, self-perceived susceptibility to COVID-19 were associated with lower levels of uncertainty. Health status index scores were significantly lower for those with mental health illness, compromised access to health care, a perceived high risk of severe COVID-19 infection and higher levels of uncertainty. A history of mental health illness, risk perceptions, restricted healthcare access, uncertainty and coping strategies was associated with poorer HRQoL in SOT recipients during strict isolation. These findings may allow identification of strategies to improve HRQoL in SOT recipients during the pandemic.

Early renal function trajectories, cytomegalovirus serostatus and long-term graft outcomes in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Improved recognition of factors influencing graft survival has led to better short-term kidney transplant outcomes. However, efforts to prevent long-term graft decline and improve graft survival have seen more modest improvements. The adoption of electronic health records has enabled better recording and identification of donor-recipient factors through the use of modern statistical techniques. We have previously shown in a prevalent renal transplant population that episodes of rapid deterioration are associated with graft loss. METHODS: Estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) between 3 and 27 months after transplantation were collected from 310 kidney transplant recipients. We utilised a Bayesian approach to estimate the most likely eGFR trajectory as a smooth curve from an average of 10,000 Monte Carlo samples. The probability of having an episode of rapid deterioration (decline greater than 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year in any 1-month period) was calculated. Graft loss and mortality data was collected over a median follow-up period of 8 years. Factors associated with having an episode of rapid deterioration and associations with long-term graft loss were explored. RESULTS: In multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard analysis, a probability greater than 0.8 of rapid deterioration was associated with long-term death-censored graft loss (Hazard ratio 2.17; 95% Confidence intervals [CI] 1.04-4.55). In separate multivariable logistic regression models, cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus donor positive to recipient positive (Odds ratio [OR] 3.82; 95%CI 1.63-8.97), CMV donor positive (OR 2.06; 95%CI 1.15-3.68), and CMV recipient positive (OR 2.03; 95%CI 1.14-3.60) were associated with having a greater than 0.8 probability of an episode of rapid deterioration. CONCLUSIONS: Early episodes of rapid deterioration are associated with long-term death-censored graft loss and are associated with cytomegalovirus seropositivity. Further study is required to better manage these potentially modifiable risks factors and improve long-term graft survival.

Modeling graft loss in patients with donor-specific antibody at baseline using the Birmingham-Mayo (BirMay) predictor: Implications for clinical trials.

Predicting which renal allografts will fail and the likely cause of failure is important in clinical trial design to either enrich patient populations to be or as surrogate efficacy endpoints for trials aimed at improving long-term graft survival. This study tests our previous Birmingham-Mayo model (termed the BirMay Predictor) developed in a low-risk kidney transplant population in order to predict the outcome of patients with donor specific alloantibody (DSA) at the time of transplantation and identify new factors to improve graft loss prediction in DSA+ patients. We wanted define ways to enrich the population for future therapeutic intervention trials. The discovery set included 147 patients from Mayo Cohort and the validation set included 111 patients from the Paris Cohort-all of whom had DSA at the time of transplantation. The BirMay predictor performed well predicting 5-year outcome well in DSA+ patients (Mayo C statistic = 0.784 and Paris C statistic = 0.860). Developing a new model did not improve on this performance. A high negative predictive value of greater than 90% in both cohorts excluded allografts not destined to fail within 5 years. We conclude that graft-survival models including histology predict graft loss well, both in DSA+ cohorts as well as DSA- patients.

The Associations of Muscle Strength, Muscle Mass, and Adiposity With Clinical Outcomes and Quality of Life in Prevalent Kidney Transplant Recipients.

OBJECTIVE: Sarcopenia, defined as loss of both muscle strength and mass, is associated with inferior clinical outcomes and quality of life (QoL) in chronic kidney disease, but its effects are unknown in kidney transplantation. Obesity confers increased mortality risk and compromises QoL in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), but the impacts of sarcopenic obesity remain unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the associations of muscle strength and mass, sarcopenia, and sarcopenic obesity with clinical outcomes and QoL in KTRs. METHODS: This prospective longitudinal study enrolled 128 KTRs ≥1-year posttransplantation. Low muscle strength (by handgrip strength) and mass (by bioimpedance analysis), and a combination of both (sarcopenia) were defined as < reference cutoffs for corresponding indices. Sarcopenic obesity was defined as sarcopenia combined with fulfillment of ≥2 out of 3 criteria from (1) body mass index ≥30 kg/m2, (2) bioimpedance analysis-derived fat mass > reference cutoffs, and (3) waist circumference > World Health Organization cutoffs. Prospective follow-up data on mortality and hospitalization were collected. QoL was evaluated using Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 questionnaire. RESULTS: Median follow-up duration was 64 (60-72) months. Low muscle strength was independently associated with the composite endpoint of mortality and hospitalization (hazard ratio = 2.45; P = .006), and QoL (physical-related: ß = -12.2; P = .04; mental-related: ß = -9.9; P = .04). Low muscle mass (ß = -8.8; P = .04) and sarcopenia (ß = -14.7; P = .03) were associated with physical-related QoL only. No independent associations were found between muscle mass, sarcopenia, and sarcopenic obesity with the composite outcome of mortality and hospitalization. CONCLUSION: Low muscle strength is common among KTRs, conferring poor prognosis in the medium term. Future research on strength training may prove valuable in improving kidney transplantation outcomes.

The causes, significance and consequences of inflammatory fibrosis in kidney transplantation: The Banff i-IFTA lesion.

Inflammation within areas of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (i-IFTA) is associated with adverse outcomes in kidney transplantation. We evaluated i-IFTA in 429 indication- and 2052 protocol-driven biopsy samples from a longitudinal cohort of 362 kidney-pancreas recipients to determine its prevalence, time course, and relationships with T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR), immunosuppression, and outcome. Sequential histology demonstrated that i-IFTA was preceded by cellular interstitial inflammation and followed by IF/TA. The prevalence and intensity of i-IFTA increased with developing chronic fibrosis and correlated with inflammation, tubulitis, and immunosuppression era (P < .001). Tacrolimus era-based immunosuppression was associated with reduced histologic inflammation in unscarred and scarred i-IFTA compartments, ameliorated progression of IF, and increased conversion to inactive IF/TA (compared with cyclosporine era, P < .001). Prior acute (including borderline) TCMR and subclinical TCMR were followed by greater 1-year i-IFTA, remaining predictive by multivariate analysis and independent of humoral markers. One-year i-IFTA was associated with accelerated IF/TA, arterial fibrointimal hyperplasia, and chronic glomerulopathy and with reduced renal function (P < .001 versus no i-IFTA). In summary, i-IFTA is the histologic consequence of active T cell-mediated alloimmunity, representing the interface between inflammation and tubular injury with fibrotic healing. Uncontrolled i-IFTA is associated with adverse structural and functional outcomes.

Long- and short-term outcomes in renal allografts with deceased donors: A large recipient and donor genome-wide association study.

Improvements in immunosuppression have modified short-term survival of deceased-donor allografts, but not their rate of long-term failure. Mismatches between donor and recipient HLA play an important role in the acute and chronic allogeneic immune response against the graft. Perfect matching at clinically relevant HLA loci does not obviate the need for immunosuppression, suggesting that additional genetic variation plays a critical role in both short- and long-term graft outcomes. By combining patient data and samples from supranational cohorts across the United Kingdom and European Union, we performed the first large-scale genome-wide association study analyzing both donor and recipient DNA in 2094 complete renal transplant-pairs with replication in 5866 complete pairs. We studied deceased-donor grafts allocated on the basis of preferential HLA matching, which provided some control for HLA genetic effects. No strong donor or recipient genetic effects contributing to long- or short-term allograft survival were found outside the HLA region. We discuss the implications for future research and clinical application.

The Associations of Endotoxemia With Systemic Inflammation, Endothelial Activation, and Cardiovascular Outcome in Kidney Transplantation.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), yet incompletely accountable by traditional risk factors. Inflammation is an unconventional cardiovascular risk factor, with gut-derived endotoxemia potentially driving inflammation and endothelial disease. Comparable data are lacking in kidney transplantation. This study investigated the associations of endotoxemia with inflammation, endothelial activation, and 5-year cardiovascular events in KTRs. Determinants of endotoxemia were also explored. DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a single-center cross-sectional study with prospective follow-up from a prevalent cohort of 128 KTRs. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Demographic, nutritional and clinical predictors of inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP]), endothelial activation (sE-selectin), and endotoxemia (endotoxin) were assessed. Follow-up data on 5-year cardiovascular event rates were collected. RESULTS: Endotoxemia (P = .03), reduced 25-hydroxyvitamin D (P = .04), high fructose intake (P < .001), decreased fiber intake (P < .001), and abdominal obesity (P = .002) were independently associated with elevated hsCRP. In turn, endotoxemia (P = .007) and increasing hsCRP (P = .02) were both independently associated with raised sE-selectin. Furthermore, endotoxemia predicted increased cardiovascular event rate (P = .02), independent of hsCRP and a global measure of cardiovascular risk estimated by a validated algorithm of 7-year risk for major adverse cardiac events in kidney transplantation. Determinants of endotoxemia included reduced 25-hydroxyvitamin D (P < .001), hypertriglyceridemia (P < .001), increased fructose intake (P = .01), and abdominal obesity (P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: Endotoxemia in KTRs contributes to inflammation, endothelial activation, and increased cardiovascular events. This study highlights the clinical relevance of endotoxemia in KTRs, suggesting future interventional targets.

Predicting Individual Renal Allograft Outcomes Using Risk Models with 1-Year Surveillance Biopsy and Alloantibody Data.

The ability to predict outcomes for individual patients would be a significant advance for not only counseling, but also identifying those for whom interventions may be needed. The goals of this study were to validate an existing risk prediction score that incorporates easily obtainable clinical factors and determine if histologic findings at 1-year surveillance biopsy and/or serum donor-specific alloantibody status could improve predictability of graft loss by 5 years. We retrospectively studied 1465 adults who received a solitary kidney transplant between January of 1999 and December of 2008 and had sufficiently detailed 5-year follow-up data for modeling. In this cohort, the Birmingham risk model (incorporating recipient factors at 1 year, including age, sex, ethnicity, renal function, proteinuria, and prior acute rejection) predicted death-censored and overall graft survival (c statistics =0.84 and 0.78, respectively). The presence of glomerulitis or chronic interstitial fibrosis (g and ci scores by Banff, respectively) on 1-year biopsy specimens independently correlated with graft loss by 5 years. Adding these variables to the model for death-censored graft loss increased predictability (c statistic =0.90), improved calibration (ability to stratify risk from high to low), and reclassified risk of failure in 29% of patients. Adding the presence of donor-specific alloantibody at 1 year did not improve predictability or reclassification but did improve calibration marginally. We conclude that, at 1 year after kidney transplant, a risk model of graft survival that incorporates clinical factors and histologic findings at surveillance biopsy is highly predictive of individual risk and well calibrated.

Caveolin-1 single-nucleotide polymorphism and arterial stiffness in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Arteriosclerosis is an independent predictor of increased cardiovascular mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Histologically it is characterized by hypertrophy and fibrosis of the arterial media wall leading to increased arterial stiffness and end-organ damage. Caveolin-1 acts as an intracellular signalling pathway chaperone in human fibrotic and vascular diseases. The purpose of this study was to assess the association between caveolin-1 (CAV1) single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs4730751 and arterial stiffness as measured by arterial pulse wave velocity (PWV) in an early-stage CKD cohort and in a cohort with more severe CKD. METHODS: Two prospectively maintained patient cohorts with non-dialysis CKD were studied: 144 patients in the Chronic Renal Impairment in Birmingham (CRIB) cohort and 147 patients in the Renal Impairment in Secondary Care (RIISC) cohort, with matched exclusion criteria and DNA sampling availability. At entry to each cohort database, each patient's initial arterial PWV was measured, as well as their anthropomorphic and biochemical data. CAV1 rs4730751 SNP genotyping was performed using Taqman technology. RESULTS: The CAV1 rs4730751 SNP CC genotype was associated with lower arterial PWV in both CRIB early stage CKD patients [8.1 versus 8.6 m/s; coefficient -0.780 (-1.412, -0.149); P = 0.016] and RIISC more advanced stage CKD patients [8.7 versus 9.4 m/s; coefficient -0.695 (-1.288, -0.102); P = 0.022]; these relationships held following adjustment for other important confounders. CONCLUSIONS: This replicated study suggests potential utility of the studied CAV1 SNP as a genetic biomarker in CKD and a role for CAV1 in the development of arteriosclerosis in this setting. Further studies are warranted to further explore the basic science driving these clinical observations.

Risk of post-transplantation diabetes mellitus is greater in South Asian versus Caucasian kidney allograft recipients.

South Asians have increased risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus compared with Caucasians in the general population, but data for the development of post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is scarce. In this retrospective analysis, data was extracted from electronic patient records at a single centre (2004-2014). Caucasians were more likely to be male, with higher age and BMI than South Asians. Case-control matching was therefore undertaken to remove this bias, resulting in 102 recipient pairs. Median follow-up was 50 months (range 4-127 months). Matched groups had similar baseline characteristics, although South Asians compared with Caucasians received more deceased-donor kidneys (74% vs. 43%, respectively, P < 0.001) and were more likely to be CMV positive (77% vs. 43%, respectively, P < 0.001). PTDM incidence was significantly higher in South Asians versus Caucasians (35% vs. 10%, respectively, subhazard ratio 4.2 [95% CI: 2.1-8.5, P < 0.001]). Donor type had significant interaction with ethnicity, with the observed difference in PTDM rates between ethnicities most visible with receipt of deceased-donor kidneys. No significant difference was detected in allograft function, rejection episodes, adverse cardiovascular events or patient/graft survival. South Asians have increased risk of PTDM, especially recipients of deceased kidneys, and recognition of this allows appropriate patient counselling and development of targeted strategies.

Cardiovascular, muscular and perceptual contributions to physical fatigue in prevalent kidney transplant recipients.

Physical fatigue is debilitating and common among kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). This study investigated the mechanistic aetiology of physical fatigue in this setting through examinations of muscle mass, muscular and cardiovascular function, and perceived exertion. The incidence of physical fatigue, its association with quality of life (QoL), and the predictors of perceived exertion, were evaluated. This single-centre observational cross-sectional study enrolled 55 KTRs. Muscle mass was quantified using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. Muscular function was assessed by jumping mechanography. Cardiovascular function (maximal oxygen consumption and oxygen pulse) was estimated during submaximal exercise testing, with perceived exertion determined using age-adjusted Borg scale-ratings. Physical fatigue was measured using Multi-Dimensional Fatigue Inventory-20. QoL was assessed using Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36. Demographic, clinical, nutritional, psychosocial and behavioural predictors of perceived exertion were assessed. Of clinical importance, increased perceived exertion was the only independent predictor of physical fatigue (P = 0.001), with no association found between physical fatigue and muscular or cardiovascular parameters. Physical fatigue occurred in 22% of KTRs, and negatively impacted on QoL (P < 0.001). Predictors of heightened perception included anxiety (P < 0.05) and mental fatigue (P < 0.05). Perception is a key determinant of physical fatigue in KTRs, paving the way for future interventions.

Genetic polymorphisms and kidney transplant outcomes.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Gene polymorphism studies are growing at a quasiexponential rate and aim to improve immediate and long-term outcomes in renal transplantation. This review highlights recent evidence and potential future directions for genetic research studies. RECENT FINDINGS: Studies are largely based on immunity, inflammation and pharmacogenetics, investigating mostly 'surrogate' outcomes with sometimes conflicting results. However, the last 12 months has also heralded the emergence of important genome-wide association studies on transplantation, more robust replicated multicentre analyses of candidate gene variants, meta-analyses, and an increasing interest in copy number variation and donor genetics. SUMMARY: These studies set the scene for further investigation, aiming to understand pathways of disease and biomarkers of risk, and are leading to a greater understanding of the biology of transplantation. Future studies will require focus on donor : recipient and gene : environment interactions, and an integrated approach of 'transplantomics' to evaluate long-term outcomes in multinational collaborations.

Predicting 5-year risk of kidney transplant failure: a prediction instrument using data available at 1 year posttransplantation.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of kidney transplant failure remains imperfect. The objective of this study was to develop and validate risk scores predicting 5-year transplant failure, based on data available 12 months posttransplantation. STUDY DESIGN: Development and then independent multicenter validation of risk scores predicting death-censored and overall transplant failure. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Outcomes of kidney transplant recipients (n=651) alive with transplant function 12 months posttransplantation in Birmingham, United Kingdom, were used to develop models predicting transplant failure risk 5 years posttransplantation. The resulting risk scores were evaluated for prognostic utility (discrimination, calibration, and risk reclassification) in independent cohorts from Tours, France (n=736); Leeds, United Kingdom (n=787); and Halifax, Canada (n=475). PREDICTORS: Weighted regression coefficients for baseline and 12-month demographic and clinical predictor characteristics. OUTCOMES: Death-censored and overall transplant failure 5 years posttransplantation. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline data and time to transplant failure. RESULTS: Following model development, variables included in separate scores for death-censored and overall transplant failure included recipient age, sex, and race; acute rejection; transplant function; serum albumin level; and proteinuria. In the validation cohorts, these scores showed good to excellent discrimination for death-censored transplant failure (C statistics, 0.78-0.90) and moderate to good discrimination for overall transplant failure (C statistics, 0.75-0.81). Both scores demonstrated good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P>0.05 in all cohorts). Compared with estimated glomerular filtration rate in isolation, application of the scores resulted in statistically significant and clinically relevant risk reclassification for death-censored transplant failure (net reclassification improvement [NRI], 36.1%-83.0%; all P<0.001) and overall transplant failure (NRI, 38.7%-53.5%; all P<0.001). Compared with the previously described US Renal Data System-based risk calculator, significant and relevant risk reclassification for overall transplant failure was seen (NRI, 30.0%; P<0.001). LIMITATIONS: Validation is required in further populations. CONCLUSIONS: These validated risk scores may be of prognostic utility in kidney transplantation, accurately identifying at-risk transplants, and informing clinicians and patients.

Obesity in kidney transplantation.

Kidney transplantation is the preferred modality of renal replacement therapy. Long-term patient and graft survival have only improved marginally over the recent decade, mainly because of the development of cardiovascular disease after transplantation. Obesity is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and is common before and after transplantation. This article reviews the literature assessing the role of pre- and post-transplant obesity on patient and graft survival, discusses the underlying obesity-related mechanisms leading to inferior kidney transplant outcomes, and explores the role of nutritional intervention on improving long-term outcomes of transplantation. Although the role of pretransplant obesity remains uncertain, post-transplant obesity increases the risk of graft failure and mortality. Nutritional intervention is effective in achieving post-transplant weight loss, but the effect on long-term outcomes has not been established. Future research should focus on conducting nutritional intervention studies aiming to improve long-term outcomes of kidney transplantation.

Impaired direct priming of CD8 T cells by donor-derived cytomegalovirus following kidney transplantation.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection increases the risk of complications after renal transplantation, but the mechanisms controlling donor-derived infection are not adequately characterized. Here, we assessed the risk of clinically significant CMV disease in donor-seropositive, recipient-seropositive (D+R+) renal transplantation and examined recipients' CMV antigen-specific cellular immune responses primed directly by donor cells. In a retrospective cohort of 569 patients administered standardized basiliximab-tacrolimus-mycophenolate-corticosteroid immunosuppressive therapy, CMV disease rates increased in D+R+ serostatus pairings compared with D-R+ pairings (hazard ratio [HR], 2.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36 to 5.01; P=0.004) and associated with increased donor-recipient HLA mismatch in the D+R+ group (HR [per class 1 mismatch], 1.43; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.82]; P=0.02). D+R+ and D+R- transplants in which the donor and recipient differentially expressed at least one HLA class I allele were followed prospectively from the time of transplantation. During the first year after transplantation, four of eight seropositive recipients and one of three seronegative recipients displayed peripheral blood CD8+ T cell responses to CMV presented by recipient-specific HLA. Notably, no recipients mounted responses to CMV presented by donor-specific HLA, despite the detection of CMV antigen expression in all seropositive donor organs examined (n=10), suggesting that the allograft of Class I HLA-mismatched seropositive donors is inaccessible to CD8+ T cell responses. Finally, pretransplant assays of anti-CMV cellular immunity predicted post-transplant CMV replication less accurately in D+R+ pairings than in D-R+ pairings, possibly reflecting in vitro assay specificity for recipient, rather than donor, HLA. These findings are relevant to the clinical management and immunologic understanding of donor-transmitted viral infection.

Delayed graft function after kidney transplantation: the clinical perspective.

Delayed graft function continues to pose a significant challenge to clinicians in the context of kidney transplantation. With the present disparity between supply and demand for organs, transplantation is proceeding with more marginal kidneys and therefore the problem of delayed graft function is likely to increase in the future. Although our understanding of the mechanism and risk factors for delayed graft function has improved, translation of this understanding into targeted clinical therapy to attenuate or manage established delayed graft function has been elusive. Based on current trends, the use of kidneys from expanded criteria or cardiac death donors will continue to expand, which will increase the prevalence of delayed graft function in the immediate postoperative setting. The aim of this article is to discuss and critique the available clinical evidence for targeted intervention in the prevention and management of delayed graft function and review emerging and experimental therapies.

Validity of glycated haemoglobin to diagnose new onset diabetes after transplantation.

Diagnosing new onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT) by glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) has not been validated against the gold-standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). We analysed the predictive and optimum value of HbA1c to diagnose NODAT amongst nondiabetic renal transplant recipients. Assessment of glucose metabolism (OGTT and HbA1c) was prospectively undertaken at 3 and 12 months post-transplantation in 71 nondiabetic renal transplant recipients. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to determine accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and area under curve (c-statistic). Incidence of NODAT at 3 and 12 months post-transplantation was 14.3% and 9.5% respectively. At 3 months, optimum HbA1c cut-off value for predicting NODAT based on fasting glucose was 7.35 [AUC 1.00 (sensitivity 100.0%, specificity 100.0%, P = 0.004)] and for postprandial glucose-defined NODAT was 6.20 [AUC 0.98 (sensitivity 100.0%, specificity 88.9%, P < 0.001)]. At 12 months, optimum HbA1c cut-off value for both fasting- and postprandial glucose-defined NODAT was 6.45 [AUC 0.92 (sensitivity 100.0%, specificity 87.5%, P = 0.048) and AUC 0.84 (sensitivity 75.0%, specificity 89.5%, P = 0.026) respectively]. Concordance between diagnosis of NODAT (OGTT+, HbA1c+) and nondiagnosis of NODAT (OGTT-, HbA1c-) was 88.9% and 98.7% respectively. To conclude, HbA1c (≥6.5%) can be utilized to diagnose NODAT beyond 3 months post-transplantation but the OGTT remains the gold-standard tool.

Donor ABCB1 variant associates with increased risk for kidney allograft failure.

The impact of variation within genes responsible for the disposition and metabolism of calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) on clinical outcomes in kidney transplantation is not well understood. Furthermore, the potential influence of donor, rather than recipient, genotypes on clinical endpoints is unknown. Here, we investigated the associations between donor and recipient gene variants with outcome among 4471 white, CNI-treated kidney transplant recipients. We tested for 52 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) across five genes: CYP3A4, CYP3A5, ABCB1 (MDR1; encoding P-glycoprotein), NR1I2 (encoding the pregnane X receptor), and PPIA (encoding cyclophilin). In a discovery cohort of 811 patients from Birmingham, United Kingdom, kidney donor CC genotype at C3435T (rs1045642) within ABCB1, a variant known to alter protein expression, was associated with an increased risk for long-term graft failure compared with non-CC genotype (hazard ratio [HR], 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20-2.40; P=0.003). No other donor or recipient SNPs were associated with graft survival or mortality. We validated this association in 675 donors from Belfast, United Kingdom (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.21-2.32; P=0.002), and in 2985 donors from the Collaborative Transplant Study (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.08-3.13; P=0.006). In conclusion, these data suggest that an ABCB1 variant known to alter protein expression represents an attractive candidate for future study and risk stratification in kidney transplantation.

Optimized immunosuppression to prevent graft failure in renal transplant recipients with HLA antibodies (OuTSMART): a randomised controlled trial.

Background: 3% of kidney transplant recipients return to dialysis annually upon allograft failure. Development of antibodies (Ab) against human leukocyte antigens (HLA) is a validated prognostic biomarker of allograft failure. We tested whether screening for HLA Ab, combined with an intervention to improve adherence and optimization of immunosuppression could prevent allograft failure. Methods: Prospective, open-labelled randomised biomarker-based strategy (hybrid) trial in 13 UK transplant centres [EudraCT (2012-004308-36) and ISRCTN (46157828)]. Patients were randomly allocated (1:1) to unblinded or double-blinded arms and screened every 8 months. Unblinded HLA Ab+ patients were interviewed to encourage medication adherence and had tailored optimisation of Tacrolimus, Mycophenolate mofetil and Prednisolone. The primary outcome was time to graft failure in an intention to treat analysis. The trial had 80% power to detect a hazard ratio of 0.49 in donor specific antibody (DSA)+ patients. Findings: From 11/9/13 to 27/10/16, 5519 were screened for eligibility and 2037 randomised (1028 to unblinded care and 1009 to double blinded care). We identified 198 with DSA and 818 with non-DSA. Development of DSA, but not non-DSA was predictive of graft failure. HRs for graft failure in unblinded DSA+ and non-DSA+ groups were 1.54 (95% CI: 0.72 to 3.30) and 0.97 (0.54-1.74) respectively, providing no evidence of an intervention effect. Non-inferiority for the overall unblinded versus blinded comparison was not demonstrated as the upper confidence limit of the HR for graft failure exceeded 1.4 (1.02, 95% CI: 0.72 to 1.44). The only secondary endpoint reduced in the unblinded arm was biopsy-proven rejection. Interpretation: Intervention to improve adherence and optimize immunosuppression does not delay failure of renal transplants after development of DSA. Whilst DSA predicts increased risk of allograft failure, novel interventions are needed before screening can be used to direct therapy. Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation programme grant (ref 11/100/34).