Percentiles of predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk by sex and age in Brazil and their association with estimated risk of long-term atherosclerotic events.

OBJECTIVE: Expressing the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in relation to peers may complement the estimation of absolute CVD risk. We aimed to determine 10-year CVD risk percentiles by sex and age in the Brazilian population and evaluate their association with estimated long-term atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) risk. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from the ELSA-Brasil study was conducted in individuals aged 40-74 years without prior ASCVD. Ten-year CVD risk and long-term ASCVD risk were estimated by the WHO risk score and the Multinational Cardiovascular Risk Consortium tool, respectively. Ten-year risk percentiles were determined by ranking the calculated risks within each sex and age group. RESULTS: Ten-year CVD risk versus percentile plots were constructed for each sex and age group using data from 13,364 participants (55% females; median age, 52 [IQR, 46-59] years). Long-term ASCVD risk was calculated in 12,973 (97.1%) participants. Compared to individuals at the <25th risk percentile, those at the ≥75th percentile had a greater risk of being in the highest quartile of long-term risk (ORs [95% CIs] 6.57 [5.18-8.30] in females and 11.59 [8.42-15.96] in males) in regression models adjusted for age, race, education, and 10-year CVD risk. In both sexes, the association between risk percentile and long-term risk weakened after age 50. A tool for calculating 10-year CVD risk and the corresponding percentile is available at https://bit.ly/3CzPUi6. CONCLUSIONS: We established percentiles of predicted 10-year CVD risk by sex and age in the Brazilian population, which independently reflect the estimated long-term ASCVD risk in younger individuals.

Prognostic value of electrocardiographic abnormalities in adults from the Brazilian longitudinal study of adults' health.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are highly preventable non-communicable diseases. ECG is a potential tool for risk stratification with respect to CVD. Our aim was to evaluate ECG's role in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality prediction. METHODS: Participants from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health, free of known CVD at baseline were included. A 12-lead ECG was obtained at baseline (2008-2010). Participants were followed up to 2018 by annual interviews. Deaths were independently reviewed. Cox as well as Fine and Grey multivariable regression models were applied to evaluate if the presence of any major electrocardiographic abnormality (MEA), defined according to the Minnesota Code system, would predict total and cardiovascular deaths. We also evaluated the Net Reclassification Index of adding MEA to the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE). RESULTS: The 13 428 participants (median age 51 years, 45% men) were followed up for 8±1 years. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality occurred in 2.8% and 1.2% of the population, respectively. Prevalent MEA was an independent predictor of overall (HR=2.3, 95% CI 1.7 to 2.9) and cardiovascular mortality (HR=4.6, 95% CI 3.0 to 7.0) after adjustments for age, race, education and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Adding MEA to the SCORE resulted in 9% mis-reclassification in the non-event subgroup and 33% correct reclassification in those with a fatal cardiovascular event. CONCLUSION: Presence of MEA was an independent predictor of overall and cardiovascular mortality. ECG may have a role in risk prediction of cardiovascular mortality in primary care.

Assessment of oral anticoagulation control at two pharmacist-managed clinics in Brazil.

Background Warfarin remains widely used by patients with cardiovascular diseases. When using warfarin, the quality of oral anticoagulation control is a critical determinant to minimize the risk of bleeding and thromboembolic events. Pharmacist engagement in patient care is relevant towards improving the quality of warfarin therapy. Objective To assess the quality of oral anticoagulation control measured by time in therapeutic range (TTR) at two pharmacist-managed anticoagulation clinics (AC). Method This study included adults with indication of continuous warfarin use. Patients were recruited at two AC of public hospitals in Brazil (2014-2015). Anticoagulation control was assessed by TTR using the Rosendaal method. Laboratory INR values were collected for the maximum period of follow-up (2009-2015). Results A total of 554 patients were studied. The median age was 63.7 [Quartile 1 (Q1) 54.3; Quartile 3 (Q3) 73.6] years, 57.4% female. The median TTR was 64.3% [Q1 54.0%; Q3 74.0%], and 344 (61.6%) patients had TTR ≥ 60%. Conclusion Pharmacist-managed AC have achieved an adequate TTR in Brazilian patients with low socioeconomic status. Interventions include face-to-face appointments for individual patient education, warfarin-dosing adjustments and monitoring of drug interactions. Pharmacists are important to improve adherence and the quality of warfarin therapy in low- and middle income countries.

Use of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry and circulating biological markers to predict outcomes in sepsis. / Uso de tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa e biomarcadores séricos para predição prognóstica na sepse.

OBJECTIVE:: To evaluate the usefulness and prognostic value of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry in patients with sepsis. Moreover, we investigated the association of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry results with serum levels of certain inflammatory molecules. METHODS:: Prospective study, conducted in an 18-bed mixed intensive care unit for adults. The exclusion criteria included severe immunosuppression or antibiotic therapy initiated more than 48 hours before assessment. We measured the reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry on inclusion (day 1) and on day 3. Interleukin-6, interleukin-10, high-mobility group box 1 protein and soluble ST2 levels were measured in the blood obtained upon inclusion. RESULTS:: Seventeen of the 79 patients (21.6%) enrolled were determined to have reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry signals considered technically unreliable and were excluded from the study. Thus, 62 patients were included in the final analysis, and they underwent a total of 95 reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry exams within the first 48 hours after inclusion. The mean age was 51.5 (SD: 18.9), and 49 (62%) of the patients were male. Reactive hyperemia indexes from days 1 and 3 were not associated with vasopressor need, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, or 28-day mortality. Among the patients who died, compared with survivors, there was a significant increase in the day 3 reactive hyperemia index compared with day 1 (p = 0.045). There was a weak negative correlation between the day 1 reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry index and the levels of high-mobility group box 1 protein (r = -0.287). CONCLUSION:: Technical difficulties and the lack of clear associations between the exam results and clinical severity or outcomes strongly limits the utility of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry in septic patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

Uso de tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa e biomarcadores séricos para predição prognóstica na sepse / Use of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry and circulating biological markers to predict outcomes in sepsis

RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar a utilidade e o valor prognóstico da tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa em pacientes com sepse, e investigar a associação dos resultados deste exame com os níveis séricos de algumas moléculas inflamatórias. Métodos: Estudo prospectivo, realizado em uma unidade de terapia intensiva para pacientes adultos com 18 leitos. Os critérios de exclusão foram imunossupressão grave ou tratamento com antibióticos iniciado mais de 48 horas antes da avaliação. Aplicamos o exame de tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa quando da inclusão (dia 1) e no dia 3. Avaliamos os níveis de interleucina 6, interleucina 10, proteínas do grupo 1 de mobilidade alta e de ST2 solúvel no sangue obtido quando da inclusão. Resultados: Dos 79 pacientes incluídos, 17 (21,6%) tiveram os sinais da tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa considerados tecnicamente não confiáveis, tendo sido excluídos do estudo. Assim, incluímos na análise final 62 pacientes, que foram submetidos a 95 exames de tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa dentro das primeiras 48 horas após sua inclusão. A média de idade foi de 51,5 (DP: 18,9), e 49 (62%) dos pacientes eram do sexo masculino. Os índices de hiperemia reativa dos dias 1 e 3 não se associaram com necessidade de vasopressores, SOFA, APACHE II ou mortalidade aos 28 dias. Dentre os pacientes que morreram, em comparação aos sobreviventes, houve aumento significante nos índices de hiperemia reativa no dia 3 em comparação ao dia 1 (p = 0,0045). Ocorreu fraca correlação negativa entre o índice obtido por tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa no dia 1 e os níveis de proteínas do grupo 1 de mobilidade alta (r = -0,287). Conclusão: Dificuldades técnicas e falta de associações claras dos resultados do exame com a gravidade clínica e com o desfecho foram fortes limitantes da utilidade do exame de tonometria arterial periférica - hiperemia reativa em pacientes sépticos admitidos à unidade de terapia intensiva.

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the usefulness and prognostic value of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry in patients with sepsis. Moreover, we investigated the association of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry results with serum levels of certain inflammatory molecules. Methods: Prospective study, conducted in an 18-bed mixed intensive care unit for adults. The exclusion criteria included severe immunosuppression or antibiotic therapy initiated more than 48 hours before assessment. We measured the reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry on inclusion (day 1) and on day 3. Interleukin-6, interleukin-10, high-mobility group box 1 protein and soluble ST2 levels were measured in the blood obtained upon inclusion. Results: Seventeen of the 79 patients (21.6%) enrolled were determined to have reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry signals considered technically unreliable and were excluded from the study. Thus, 62 patients were included in the final analysis, and they underwent a total of 95 reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry exams within the first 48 hours after inclusion. The mean age was 51.5 (SD: 18.9), and 49 (62%) of the patients were male. Reactive hyperemia indexes from days 1 and 3 were not associated with vasopressor need, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, or 28-day mortality. Among the patients who died, compared with survivors, there was a significant increase in the day 3 reactive hyperemia index compared with day 1 (p = 0.045). There was a weak negative correlation between the day 1 reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry index and the levels of high-mobility group box 1 protein (r = -0.287). Conclusion: Technical difficulties and the lack of clear associations between the exam results and clinical severity or outcomes strongly limits the utility of reactive hyperemia - peripheral arterial tonometry in septic patients admitted to the intensive care unit.