Trend in prevalence, associated risk factors, and longitudinal outcomes of sarcopenia in China: A national cohort study.

AIMS: To estimate the contemporary trend in the prevalence of sarcopenia and evaluate its risk factors and the longitudinal associations with multiple chronic conditions and mortality among Chinese middle-aged and older adults. METHODS: This was a nationwide, prospective cohort study using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The definition of sarcopenia was based on the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 algorithm. In the cross-sectional analysis, we estimated the trend in the weighted prevalence of sarcopenia from 2011 to 2015 and examined the associated risk factors for sarcopenia severity in 2011. In the longitudinal analysis, we assessed the longitudinal associations between sarcopenia and 14 chronic conditions and mortality during a 9-year follow-up. RESULTS: The weighted prevalence of sarcopenia remained consistently high in the overall population from 2011 (15.9%, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 15.1, 16.6) to 2015 (15.0%, 95% CI: 14.3, 15.6; p for trend = 0.075). A range of risk factors were independently associated with the severity of sarcopenia, including older age, female sex, lower socioeconomic status, smoking status, malnutrition, and several chronic conditions. Possible sarcopenic and sarcopenic individuals had higher odds of several chronic conditions (i.e., heart disease, chronic lung disease, and memory-related disease) and increased risks of mortality (possible sarcopenia: odds ratios (OR): 1.66, 95% CI: 1.37, 2.00; sarcopenia: OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.36, 2.11) in 9 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of sarcopenia remained consistently high in the investigated population. Various risk factors were significantly associated with a higher prevalence of sarcopenia. Sarcopenic individuals had higher odds of several chronic conditions and increased risks of mortality, highlighting that the urgent need for dedicated efforts to improve the management of sarcopenic patients.

Systolic blood pressure status modifies the associations between the triglyceride-glucose index and incident cardiovascular disease: a national cohort study in China.

BACKGROUND: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and blood pressure (BP) are correlated and serve as risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). The potential impact of BP status on the association between the TyG index and CVD risk remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate the relationships between the TyG index and incident CVD in Chinese middle-aged and elderly adults, considering variations in BP status among participants. METHODS: 6558 participants (mean age: 58.3 (± 8.7) years; 46.0% were men) without prevalent CVD were recruited from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Participants were divided into three groups according to their systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels (< 120mmHg, 120 ∼ 129mmHg, ≥ 130mmHg). The TyG index was computed as ln[triglyceride (mg/dl) * fasting blood glucose (mg/dl)/2]. The primary outcome was CVD (heart disease and stroke), and the secondary outcomes were individual CVD components. Cox regression models and restricted cubic splines were performed to investigate the associations between continuous and categorical TyG with CVD. RESULTS: 1599 cases of CVD were captured during 58,333 person-years of follow-up. Per 1-SD higher TyG index was associated with a 19% (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.27) higher risk for incident CVD, and the participants with the highest quartile of TyG index had a 54% (HR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.29, 1.84) higher risk of CVD compared to those in the lowest quartile. SBP significantly modifies the association between the TyG index and CVD, with higher HRs for CVD observed in those with optimal and normal SBP. SBP partially mediated the associations between the TyG index with CVD. The results were generally consistent among participants with varying pulse pressure statuses rather than diastolic BP statuses. CONCLUSIONS: The associations between the TyG index and CVD were modified by BP status, with greater HRs for CVD observed among those who had SBP < 130mmHg. SBP can partially mediate the association between the TyG index with CVD, highlighting the importance of early screening for the TyG index to identify at risk of hypertension and CVD.

Cardiometabolic factors and population risks of cardiovascular disease in community-dwelling adults with varied blood pressure statuses.

AIMS: To examine the differential associations between cardiometabolic risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD), and to evaluate the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for CVD among community-dwelling adults with varied blood pressure (BP) statuses. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included participants without prevalent CVD from a subcohort of the China Patient-Centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. Participants were divided into four BP groups according to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines. The study exposure comprised the selected cardiometabolic risk factors, including waist circumference (WC), body mass index, (BMI) heart rate, fasting blood glucose (FBG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and remnant cholesterol. The outcome was hospitalizations for CVD. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted, and the PAFs were calculated in the analysis. RESULTS: Among the 94 183 participants (39.0% were men, mean age: 54.2 years), 26.6% had Stage 1 hypertension and 30.8% had Stage 2 hypertension. A total of 6065 hospitalizations for CVD were captured after a median follow-up of 3.5 years. BP (per 1-standard deviation [SD]: hazard ratio [HR] 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29, 1.40), FBG (per 1-SD: HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.14, 1.19) and WC (per 1-SD: HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.36, 1.47) were three major contributors to CVD events. BP status significantly modified the associations of abdominal obesity, suboptimal BMI, suboptimal heart rate and abnormal FBG with CVD, with stronger associations with CVD observed in optimal BP groups compared to hypertensive groups (p for risk factor-by-BP group interaction <0.05). Participants with all cardiometabolic risk factors were at the highest risk for CVD, accounting for 35.6% (95% CI 30.0, 40.8) of the PAF for CVD. Among the risk factors, BP control explained the highest PAF for CVD (15.1%, 95% CI 8.2, 21.4) The overall PAFs of cardiometabolic risk factors for CVD were higher among the normotensive participants compared to the hypertensive participants. CONCLUSIONS: The awareness and control rates of hypertension were extremely low among Southern Chinese adults. BP status significantly modified the associations between cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD, and the overall PAFs for CVD were higher among people with normal BP. Dedicated efforts are needed to improve the management of cardiometabolic factors.

Household use of solid fuel and sarcopenia among middle-aged and older adults: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVE: Few studies have examined the effects of air pollution on the risk of sarcopenia, especially pollution in indoor settings. We explored the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of household use of solid fuel for cooking and heating, separately and simultaneously, with risk of sarcopenia. METHODS: Cross-sectional and follow-up data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were used. Multivariable-adjusted generalized linear models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to estimate the odds ratio and hazard ratio for sarcopenia, respectively. RESULTS: 11,494 (median age: 57.0 years; 47.4 % males) and 7483 (median age: 57.0 years; 46.9 % males) participants were included in the cross-sectional and longitudinal study, respectively. After fully adjusting for covariates, including outdoor concentration of particulate matter (PM2.5), both the use of solid fuels for cooking and use for heating were positively associated with incident sarcopenia in the longitudinal analyses, with hazard ratios (95 % confidence interval) of 1.56 (1.28-1.89) and 1.26 (1.04-1.52), respectively. Moreover, significant multiplicative and/or additive interactions were observed between age, smoking and cooking with solid fuel and risk of sarcopenia (all P for interaction <0.05). Similar results were found in the cross-sectional analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Household use of solid fuel was significantly associated with a higher risk of sarcopenia, while ageing and smoking had synergetic effects with burning solid fuels on the risk of sarcopenia. Our results highlight the importance of taking multi-pronged measures with respect to both air pollution and healthy lifestyle to prevent sarcopenia and promote healthy ageing.

Sex Differences in the Associations of Traditional Risk Factors and Incident Heart Failure Hospitalization: A Prospective Cohort Study of 102 278 Chinese General Adults.

BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding sex differences in the associations of traditional risk factors with incident heart failure (HF) hospitalization among Chinese general adults is insufficient. This study aimed to evaluate the potential sex differences in the associations of traditional risk factors with HF among Chinese general adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were from a subcohort of the China PEACE (Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events) Million Persons Project. The traditional risk factors were collected at baseline, and the study outcome was HF-related hospitalization identified from the Inpatients Registry. A total of 102 278 participants (mean age, 54.3 years; 39.5% men) without prevalent HF were recruited. A total of 1588 cases of HF-related hospitalization were captured after a median follow-up of 3.52 years. The incidence rates were significantly higher in men (2.1%) than in women (1.2%). However, the observed lower risk of HF in women was significantly attenuated or even vanished when several traditional risk factors were poorly controlled (P for sex-by-risk factors <0.05). The selected 11 risk factors collectively explained 62.5% (95% CI, 55.1-68.8) of population attributable fraction for HF in women, which is much higher than in men (population attributable fraction, 39.6% [95% CI, 28.5-48.9]). CONCLUSIONS: Although women had a lower incidence rate of hospitalization for HF than men in this study, the risk for HF increased more remarkably in women than in men when several traditional risk factors were poorly controlled. This study suggests that intensive preventative strategies are immediately needed in China.

Social Determinants of Health, Cardiovascular Health, and Outcomes in Community-Dwelling Adults Without Cardiovascular Disease.

Background: Limited data exist regarding the prognostic implications of social determinants of health (SDOH) and cardiovascular health (CVH) in Chinese community populations. Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the associations of SDOH and CVH with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death. Methods: Individuals without cardiovascular disease were obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. SDOH (educational attainment, economic stability, health care access, social support, and neighborhood) and CVH components were extracted. Participants were divided into groups with low and high burden of unfavorable SDOH and groups with poor, intermediate, and ideal CVH. MACE (a composite of coronary heart disease or myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and cardiovascular death) and all-cause death were identified by linking hospital records with resident identity card number. Results: Among the cohort (n = 38,571, median age 54 years, 60.5% women), the proportion of individuals with a high burden of unfavorable SDOH was 68.9%, and that with poor CVH was 30.7%. In reference to the group with a low burden of unfavorable SDOH, the adjusted HRs for MACE and all-cause death in the high burden group were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.08-1.30) and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.09-1.68), respectively. In reference to the group with ideal CVH, poor CVH was associated with higher risks for MACE and all-cause death. A high burden of unfavorable SDOH and poor CVH exerted joint effects on all-cause death (HR: 2.20; 95% CI: 1.08-4.48). Conclusions: A high burden of unfavorable SDOH and poor CVH were associated with increased risks for MACE and mortality. Dedicated efforts are needed to address these health disparities.

Obesity and Risk of Incident Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Community-Dwelling Populations With Hypertension: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between obesity and risk of incident left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in community-dwelling populations with hypertension and investigate whether this association would be attenuated by a lower achieved systolic blood pressure (SBP). METHODS AND RESULTS: We used the EMINCA (Echocardiographic Measurements in Normal Chinese Adults) criteria, which were derived from healthy Chinese populations to define LVH. A total of 2069 participants with hypertension and without LVH (obesity 20.4%) were included. The association between obesity and risk of incident LVH was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models and stratified by achieved follow-up SBP levels (≥140, 130-139, and <130 mm Hg). These analyses were also assessed using the American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging criteria, which were derived from European populations to define LVH. After a median follow-up of 2.90 years, the rates of incident LVH in the normal-weight, overweight, and obese groups were 13.5%, 20.3%, and 27.8%, respectively (P<0.001). In reference to normal weight, obesity was associated with increased risk of incident LVH (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.51 [95% CI, 1.91-3.29]), which was attenuated when achieved SBP was <130 mm Hg (aHR, 1.78 [95% CI, 0.99-3.19]). This association remained significant when achieved SBP was ≥140 mm Hg (aHR, 3.45 [95% CI, 2.13-5.58]) or at 130 to 139 mm Hg (aHR, 2.32 [95% CI, 1.23-4.36]). Differences in these findings were noted when LVH was defined by the American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity was associated with incident LVH and an SBP target <130 mm Hg might be needed to attenuate this risk in patients with hypertension and obesity.

Long-term cost-effectiveness of transcatheter mitral valve repair in HF patients with secondary mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: The long-term cost-effectiveness of MitraClip in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term cost-effectiveness of MitraClip added to guideline-directed medical therapy vs. guideline-directed medical therapy alone in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation from the perspective of the healthcare systems of mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States. METHODS AND RESULTS: A two-stage (decision + Markov) model was built. Health utilities were defined by the New York Heart Association class, heart failure re-hospitalization, and death and were calculated based on the 5 year follow-up results of the Cardiovascular Outcomes Assessment of the MitraClip Percutaneous Therapy for Heart Failure Patients With Functional Mitral Regurgitation trial. Direct healthcare costs were derived from the nationally representative data. Future utilities and costs were discounted at country-specific rates. The primary outcome was the lifetime incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The mean age of the base case in our model was 72.2 years. Over a lifetime horizon, treatment with MitraClip was associated with 829 fewer heart failure re-hospitalizations per 1000 treated patients. The MitraClip treatment was associated with incremental quality-adjusted life-year gains of 0.71, 0.76, 0.78, and 0.78, as well as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of ¥468 462, £28 910, €26 045, and $71 199 per quality-adjusted life-year for a lifetime horizon in mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, 0.2%, 59.4%, 99.6%, and 84.7% of patients were cost-effective in mainland China, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States at the country-specific willingness-to-pay thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: MitraClip + guideline-directed medical therapy was cost-effective in heart failure patients with secondary mitral regurgitation in the United Kingdom, Germany, and the United States, but not in mainland China from the perspective of the national healthcare system.

The Non-Targeted Lipidomic-Based Classifier Reveals Two Candidate Biomarkers for Ischemic Stroke in Hypertensive Individuals.

Introduction: Traditional clinical risk factors are insufficient to estimate the residual risk of large-vessel ischemic stroke. Non-targeted lipidomic techniques provide an opportunity to evaluate these risks. Methods: Plasma samples were collected from 113 hypertensive individuals, including 55 individuals at high risk of ischemic stroke and 58 matched individuals, in a prospective nested case-control cohort. To identify dysregulated lipid metabolites, we conducted multivariate and univariate analyses. A classifier based on a cross-validated procedure was employed to select the optimal combination of lipid species and their ratios. Results: We identified 23 dysregulated lipid species in patients with and without ischemic stroke, including 16 (69.6%) up-regulated and 7 (30.4%) down-regulated lipid species. Through internal cross-validation, the optimal combination of two lipid features (phosphatidylcholine 34:2 and triglyceride 18:1/18:1/22:1 / phosphatidylcholine 34:2, referred to as ischemic stroke-related 2 lipid features - IS2LP) was selected, leading to a more precise prediction probability for ischemic stroke within 3.9 years. In the comparison of different risk factors, the traditional risk score, the IS2LP risk score, and the combination of the traditional risk score with IS2LP yield AUC values of 0.613(95% CI:0.509-0.717), 0.833(95% CI:0.755-0.911), and 0.843(95% CI:0.777-0.916), respectively. The combination of the traditional risk score and IS2LP exhibited significantly improved discriminative performance, with an integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of 0.31 (p<0.001) and a continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 1.06 (p < 0.001) compared to the traditional risk score. Conclusion: We identified new lipidomic biomarkers associated with the futural event of large-vessel ischemic stroke. These lipid species could serve as potential blood biomarkers for assessing the residual risk of ischemic stroke in hypertensive individuals.

Prognostic implications of heart failure stages among Chinese community populations: insight from a nationwide population-based study.

Background: In light of high burden of heart failure (HF) in China, studies of prognostic implication of HF stages are important. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between HF stages and mortality risk in Chinese community populations. Methods: Nationwide representative populations aged ≥35 years (n = 23,284, mean age 56.9 years, women 53.2%) were enrolled from 2012 to 2016. According to the international HF guidelines, participants were divided into stage A, B and C, and those who did not qualify these stages were categorized as apparently-healthy group. Association between HF stages and all-cause, cardiovascular [CV] and non-CV death was evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional regression analysis. Findings: During a median follow-up of 4.7 years (109,902.8 person-years), 1314 deaths occurred. Age-adjusted incidence rate of all-cause death was 5.3 in apparently-healthy, 7.8 in stage A, 8.6 in stage B and 24.6 in stage C groups per 1000 person-years. In reference to apparently-healthy group, adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 1.90 (95% CI: 1.47-2.45), 2.43 (95% CI: 1.89-3.13) and 6.40 (95% CI: 4.56-8.99) for stage A, B and C. Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risks for all-cause, CV and non-CV death (P-trend <0.05). For all-cause death, population attributable fraction due to stage A, B and C were 21.2%, 33.4% and 4.9%, accounting for 1,933,385, 3,045,993 and 446,867 deaths in China in 2018. Interpretation: Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risk mortality. Development and implementation of early screening and targeted interventions are urgently needed to reduce HF burdens in China. Funding: This work was supported by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (grant 2017-I2M-1-004), the Projects in the Chinese National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period (No.: 2011BAI11B01), and the Project Entrusted by the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHC2020-609).

The association of haemoglobin A1c variability with adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation prescribed anticoagulants.

AIMS: The association of haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) variability with the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed anticoagulants remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the association of HbA1c variability with the risk of ischaemic stroke (IS)/systemic embolism (SE) and all-cause mortality among patients with non-valvular AF prescribed anticoagulants. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients newly diagnosed with AF from 2013 to 2018 were included. Variability in HbA1c, indexed by the coefficient of variation (CV), was determined for those with at least three HbA1c measurements available from the time of study enrolment to the end of follow-up. To evaluate whether prevalent diabetes would modify the relationship between HbA1c variability and outcomes, participants were divided into diabetes and non-diabetes groups. The study included 8790 patients (mean age 72.7% and 48.5% female). Over a median follow-up of 5.5 years (interquartile range 5.2, 5.8), the incident rate was 3.74 per 100 person-years for IS/SE and 4.89 for all-cause mortality in the diabetes group. The corresponding incident rates in the non-diabetes group were 2.41 and 2.42 per 100 person-years. In the diabetes group, after adjusting for covariates including mean HbA1c, greater HbA1c variability was significantly associated with increased risk of IS/SE [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27-2.13) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.05-1.47) compared with the lowest CV tertile. A similar pattern was evident in the non-diabetes group (IS/SE: HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.23-2.02; all-cause mortality: HR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.10-1.64). CONCLUSION: Greater HbA1c variability was independently associated with increased risk of IS/SE and all-cause mortality among patients with AF, regardless of diabetic status.

In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), greater haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) variability was independently associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism and all-cause mortality, regardless of diabetic status. The usefulness of HbA1c variability as a risk predictor is significant and could be integrated into the stratification of patients with AF. Even if HbA1c measurements are within standard guideline limits, patients with larger fluctuations in HbA1c level may be at higher risk of thromboembolism and death than patients with more stable HbA1c level.