Effective prognostic and clinical risk stratification in COVID-19 using multimodality biomarkers.

In acute coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) patients, effective clinical risk stratification has important implications on treatment and therapeutic resource distribution. This article reviews the evidence behind a wide range of biomarkers with prognostic value in COVID-19. Patient characteristics and co-morbidities, such as cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, are associated with increased mortality risk. Peripheral oxygen saturation and arterial oxygenation are predictive of severe respiratory compromise, whereas risk scores such as the 4C-score enable multi-factorial prognostic risk estimation. Blood tests such as markers of inflammation, cardiac injury and d-dimer and abnormalities on electrocardiogram are linked to inpatient prognosis. Of the imaging modalities, lung ultrasound and echocardiography enable the bedside assessment of prognostic abnormalities in COVID-19. Chest radiograph (CXR) and computed tomography (CT) can inform about prognostic pulmonary pathologies, whereas cardiovascular CT detects high-risk features such as coronary artery and aortic calcification. Dynamic changes in biomarkers, such as blood tests, CXR, CT and electrocardiogram findings, can further inform about disease severity and prognosis. Despite the vast volumes of existing evidence, several gaps exist in our understanding of COVID-19 biomarkers. First, the pathophysiological basis on which these markers can foretell prognosis in COVID-19 remains poorly understood. Second, certain under-explored tests such as thoracic impedance assessment and cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging deserve further investigation. Lastly, the prognostic values of most biomarkers in COVID-19 are derived from retrospective analyses. Prospective studies are required to validate these markers for guiding clinical decision-making and to facilitate their translation into clinical management pathways.

Zidovudine enhances activity of carbapenems against NDM-1-producing Enterobacteriaceae.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the efficacy of zidovudine in combination with carbapenems against NDM-1-producing Enterobacteriaceae. METHODS: MICs were determined using the broth microdilution method. The combinatory effects of zidovudine and carbapenems were examined using the chequerboard method and time-kill analysis. RESULTS: We found that the NDM-1-producing strains were resistant to all carbapenems tested. FIC index from chequerboard assay demonstrated that zidovudine synergized with carbapenems against all the NDM-1 strains. Time-kill analysis demonstrated significant synergistic activity when a low level of zidovudine was combined with meropenem. CONCLUSIONS: Zidovudine in combination with carbapenems produced synergistic activity against NDM-1 Enterobacteriaceae strains in vitro.

Modulation of allergic inflammation in the lung by a peptide derived from Mycobacteria tuberculosis chaperonin 60.1.

BACKGROUND: We have previously demonstrated that Mycobacteria tuberculosis chaperonin 60.1 inhibits leucocyte diapedesis and bronchial hyperresponsiveness in a murine model of allergic lung inflammation. METHODS: In the present study, we have investigated the effect of a shorter peptide sequence derived from Cpn 60.1, named IRL201104, on allergic lung inflammation induced by ovalbumin (OVA) in mice and by house dust mite (HDM) in guinea pigs, as well as investigating the action of IRL201104 on human cells in vitro. RESULTS: Pre-treatment of mice or guinea pigs with IRL201104 inhibits the infiltration of eosinophils to the lung, cytokine release, and in guinea pig skin, inhibits allergen-induced vascular permeability. The protective effect of intranasal IRL201104 against OVA-induced eosinophilia persisted for up to 20 days post-treatment. Moreover, OVA-sensitized mice treated intranasally with 20 ng/kg of IRL201104 show a significant increase in the expression of the anti-inflammatory molecule ubiquitin A20 and significant inhibition of the activation of NF-κB in lung tissue. Our results also show that A20 expression was significantly reduced in blood leucocytes and ASM obtained from patients with asthma compared to cells obtained from healthy subjects which were restored after incubation with IRL201104 in vitro, when added alone, or in combination with LPS or TNF-α in ASM. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that a peptide derived from mycobacterial Cpn60.1 has a long-lasting anti-inflammatory and immunomodulatory activity which may help explain some of the protective effects of TB against allergic diseases.

A model-based analysis identifies differences in phenotypic resistance between in vitro and in vivo: implications for translational medicine within tuberculosis.

Proper characterization of drug effects on Mycobacterium tuberculosis relies on the characterization of phenotypically resistant bacteria to correctly establish exposure-response relationships. The aim of this work was to evaluate the potential difference in phenotypic resistance in in vitro compared to murine in vivo models using CFU data alone or CFU together with most probable number (MPN) data following resuscitation with culture supernatant. Predictions of in vitro and in vivo phenotypic resistance i.e. persisters, using the Multistate Tuberculosis Pharmacometric (MTP) model framework was evaluated based on bacterial cultures grown with and without drug exposure using CFU alone or CFU plus MPN data. Phenotypic resistance and total bacterial number in in vitro natural growth observations, i.e. without drug, was well predicted by the MTP model using only CFU data. Capturing the murine in vivo total bacterial number and persisters during natural growth did however require re-estimation of model parameter using both the CFU and MPN observations implying that the ratio of persisters to total bacterial burden is different in vitro compared to murine in vivo. The evaluation of the in vitro rifampicin drug effect revealed that higher resolution in the persister drug effect was seen using CFU and MPN compared to CFU alone although drug effects on the other bacterial populations were well predicted using only CFU data. The ratio of persistent bacteria to total bacteria was predicted to be different between in vitro and murine in vivo. This difference could have implications for subsequent translational efforts in tuberculosis drug development.

Azidothymidine Produces Synergistic Activity in Combination with Colistin against Antibiotic-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae.

Bacterial infections remain a leading killer worldwide, which is worsened by the continuous emergence of antibiotic resistance. In particular, antibiotic-resistant Enterobacteriaceae are prevalent and extremely difficult to treat. Repurposing existing drugs and improving the therapeutic potential of existing antibiotics represent an attractive novel strategy. Azidothymidine (AZT) is an antiretroviral drug which is used in combination with other antivirals to prevent and to treat HIV/AIDS. AZT is also active against Gram-negative bacteria but has not been developed for that purpose. Here, we investigated the in vitro and in vivo efficacy of AZT in combination with colistin against antibiotic-resistant Enterobacteriaceae, including strains producing extended-spectrum beta-lactamases (ESBLs) or New Delhi metallo-beta-lactamase 1 (NDM) or carrying mobilized colistin resistance (mcr-1). The MIC was determined using the broth microdilution method. The combined effect of AZT and colistin was examined using the checkerboard method and time-kill analysis. A murine peritoneal infection model was used to test the therapeutic effect of the combination of AZT and colistin. The fractional inhibitory concentration index from the checkerboard assay demonstrated that AZT synergized with colistin against 61% and 87% of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae strains, respectively, 100% of NDM-1-producing strains, and 92% of mcr-1-producing E. coli strains. Time-kill analysis demonstrated significant synergistic activities when AZT was combined with colistin. In a murine peritoneal infection model, AZT in combination with colistin showed augmented activities of both drugs in the treatment of NDM-1 K. pneumoniae and mcr-1 E. coli infections. The AZT and colistin combination possesses a potential to be used coherently to treat antibiotic-resistant Enterobacteriaceae infections.

Bedaquiline kills persistent Mycobacterium tuberculosis with no disease relapse: an in vivo model of a potential cure.

OBJECTIVES: Non-replicating persistent Mycobacterium tuberculosis is difficult to kill since the organisms become undetectable using our conventional diagnostic methods and tolerant to anti-TB drugs. Resuscitation-promoting factors (RPFs) have been used to 'wake up' non-replicating persisters, making them easy to detect. Bedaquiline is a novel bactericidal and sterilizing anti-TB drug with the potential to eradicate RPF-dependent persistent M. tuberculosis. We present the first head-to-head comparison between the standard anti-TB regimen and a bedaquiline-modified regimen in eradicating RPF-dependent persistent M. tuberculosis, using the well-defined Cornell Model. METHODS: M. tuberculosis-infected mice were treated for 14 weeks with either the standard regimen (rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol) or the same regimen where ethambutol was replaced by bedaquiline. The efficacy of both drug regimens was measured by cfu count elimination and eradication of persistent bacteria, which was evaluated using culture filtrate (CF) containing RPFs. At the end of treatment, the remaining cfu count-negative mice were administered hydrocortisone for 8 weeks. The induced disease relapse rates were determined by the percentage of mice that became positive for M. tuberculosis in the lung, spleen or both. RESULTS: The bedaquiline-containing regimen achieved total organ cfu count clearance at 8 weeks after treatment initiation, faster than the standard regimen (14 weeks). Importantly, the bedaquiline-containing regimen removed CF-dependent persistent bacilli at 8 weeks, leading to no disease relapse. CONCLUSIONS: A bedaquiline regimen eradicated persistent TB infections and completely prevented disease relapse in mice. These findings offer the potential for a faster cure for TB, with reduced relapse rate.

Moxifloxacin Replacement in Contemporary Tuberculosis Drug Regimens Is Ineffective against Persistent Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the Cornell Mouse Model.

Tuberculosis (TB), which is caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, remains a leading killer worldwide, and disease control is hampered by the ineffective control of persistent infections. Substitution of moxifloxacin for isoniazid or ethambutol in standard anti-TB regimens reduces the treatment duration and relapse rates in animal studies, and 4-month regimens were not noninferior in clinical trials. Resuscitation-promoting factor (RPF)-dependent bacilli have recently been implicated in M. tuberculosis persistence. We aimed to investigate the therapeutic effects of the substitution of moxifloxacin for a drug used in the standard drug regimen in eradicating CFU count-positive and RPF-dependent persistent M. tuberculosis using the Cornell murine model. M. tuberculosis-infected mice were treated with regimens in which either isoniazid or ethambutol was replaced by moxifloxacin in the standard regimen. The efficacy of the regimens for bacterial CFU count elimination and removal of persistent tubercle bacilli, evaluated using culture filtrate (CF) derived from M. tuberculosis strain H37Rv, was compared to that of the standard regimen. We also measured disease relapse rates. The regimen in which moxifloxacin replaced isoniazid achieved total organ CFU count clearance at 11 weeks posttreatment, which was faster than that by the standard regimen (14 weeks), and showed a 34% lower relapse rate. The regimen in which moxifloxacin replaced ethambutol was similar to standard regimens in these regards. Importantly, neither the regimen in which moxifloxacin replaced isoniazid or ethambutol nor the standard regimen could remove CF-dependent persistent bacilli. The finding of CF-dependent persistent M. tuberculosis in TB treatment requires confirmation in human studies and has implications for future drug design, testing, and clinical applications.

Optimal doses of rifampicin in the standard drug regimen to shorten tuberculosis treatment duration and reduce relapse by eradicating persistent bacteria.

Objectives: Although high-dose rifampicin holds promise for improving tuberculosis disease control by eradication of persistent bacteria, the optimal dose of rifampicin that kills persistent bacteria and shortens the treatment duration is unknown. Methods: The Cornell mouse model was used to test the efficacy of rifampicin at elevated doses combined with isoniazid and pyrazinamide to kill actively growing and persistent bacilli and to measure relapse rate. Persistent bacteria were evaluated using Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture supernatant containing resuscitation-promoting factors. Pharmacokinetic parameters and dose-dependent activity for cultivable and persistent bacilli were determined. Results: Increasing doses of rifampicin in combination with isoniazid and pyrazinamide resulted in dose-dependent faster bacterial clearance. Evaluated both on solid media and in culture filtrate containing resuscitation-promoting factors, a regimen containing a standard dose of rifampicin at 10 mg/kg over 14 weeks failed to achieve organ sterility. In contrast, higher doses of rifampicin achieved organ sterility in a much shorter time of 8-11 weeks. Disease relapse, which occurred in 86% of mice treated with the standard regimen for 14 weeks, was completely prevented by rifampicin doses of ≥ 30 mg/kg. Conclusions: In the treatment of murine tuberculosis, a rifampicin dose of 30 mg/kg was sufficient to eradicate persistent M. tuberculosis, allowing shorter treatment duration without disease relapse.

Mechanism of Action of a Membrane-Active Quinoline-Based Antimicrobial on Natural and Model Bacterial Membranes.

HT61 is a quinoline-derived antimicrobial, which exhibits bactericidal potency against both multiplying and quiescent methicillin resistant and sensitive Staphylococcus aureus, and has been proposed as an adjunct for other antimicrobials to extend their usefulness in the face of increasing antimicrobial resistance. In this study, we have examined HT61's effect on the permeability of S. aureus membranes and whether this putative activity can be attributed to an interaction with lipid bilayers. Using membrane potential and ATP release assays, we have shown that HT61 disrupts the membrane enough to result in depolarization of the membrane and release of intercellular constituents at concentrations above and below the minimum inhibitory concentration of the drug. Utilizing both monolayer subphase injection and neutron reflectometry, we have shown that increasing the anionic lipid content of the membrane leads to a more marked effect of the drug. In bilayers containing 25 mol % phosphatidylglycerol, neutron reflectometry data suggest that exposure to HT61 increases the level of solvent in the hydrophobic region of the membrane, which is indicative of gross structural damage. Increasing the proportion of PG elicits a concomitant level of membrane damage, resulting in almost total destruction when 75 mol % phosphatidylglycerol is present. We therefore propose that HT61's primary action is directed toward the cytoplasmic membrane of Gram-positive bacteria.

A Novel erm(44) Gene Variant from a Human Staphylococcus saprophyticus Isolate Confers Resistance to Macrolides and Lincosamides but Not Streptogramins.

A novel erm(44) gene variant, erm(44)v, has been identified by whole-genome sequencing in a Staphylococcus saprophyticus isolate from the skin of a healthy person. It has the particularity to confer resistance to macrolides and lincosamides but not to streptogramin B when expressed in S. aureus The erm(44)v gene resides on a 19,400-bp genomic island which contains phage-associated proteins and is integrated into the chromosome of S. saprophyticus.

Investigation of Elimination Rate, Persistent Subpopulation Removal, and Relapse Rates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis by Using Combinations of First-Line Drugs in a Modified Cornell Mouse Model.

Currently, the most effective tuberculosis control method involves case finding and 6 months of chemotherapy. There is a need to improve our understanding about drug interactions, combination activities, and the ability to remove persistent bacteria using the current regimens, particularly in relation to relapse. We aimed to investigate the therapeutic effects of three main components, rifampin (RMP), isoniazid (INH), and pyrazinamide (PZA), in current drug regimens using a modified version of the Cornell mouse model. We evaluated the posttreatment levels of persistent Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the organs of mice using culture filtrate derived from M. tuberculosis strain H37Rv. When RMP was combined with INH, PZA, or INH-PZA, significant additive activities were observed compared to each of the single-drug treatments. However, the combination of INH and PZA showed a less significant additive effect than either of the drugs used on their own. Apparent culture negativity of mouse organs was achieved at 14 weeks of treatment with RMP-INH, RMP-PZA, and RMP-INH-PZA, but not with INH-PZA, when conventional tests, namely, culture on solid agar and in liquid broth, indicated that the organs were negative for bacteria. The relapse rates for RMP-containing regimens were not significantly different from a 100% relapse rate at the numbers of mice examined in this study. In parallel, we examined the organs for the presence of culture filtrate-dependent persistent bacilli after 14 weeks of treatment. Culture filtrate treatment of the organs revealed persistent M. tuberculosis Modeling of mycobacterial elimination rates and evaluation of culture filtrate-dependent organisms showed promise as surrogate methods for efficient factorial evaluation of drug combinations in tuberculosis in mouse models and should be further evaluated against relapse. The presence of culture filtrate-dependent persistent M. tuberculosis is the likely cause of disease relapse in this modified Cornell mouse model.

A multistate tuberculosis pharmacometric model: a framework for studying anti-tubercular drug effects in vitro.

OBJECTIVES: Mycobacterium tuberculosis can exist in different states in vitro, which can be denoted as fast multiplying, slow multiplying and non-multiplying. Characterizing the natural growth of M. tuberculosis could provide a framework for accurate characterization of drug effects on the different bacterial states. METHODS: The natural growth data of M. tuberculosis H37Rv used in this study consisted of viability defined as cfu versus time based on data from an in vitro hypoxia system. External validation of the natural growth model was conducted using data representing the rate of incorporation of radiolabelled methionine into proteins by the bacteria. Rifampicin time-kill curves from log-phase (0.25-16 mg/L) and stationary-phase (0.5-64 mg/L) cultures were used to assess the model's ability to describe drug effects by evaluating different linear and non-linear exposure-response relationships. RESULTS: The final pharmacometric model consisted of a three-compartment differential equation system representing fast-, slow- and non-multiplying bacteria. Model predictions correlated well with the external data (R(2) = 0.98). The rifampicin effects on log-phase and stationary-phase cultures were separately and simultaneously described by including the drug effect on the different bacterial states. The predicted reduction in log10 cfu after 14 days and at 0.5 mg/L was 2.2 and 0.8 in the log-phase and stationary-phase systems, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The model provides predictions of the change in bacterial numbers for the different bacterial states with and without drug effect and could thus be used as a framework for studying anti-tubercular drug effects in vitro.

Antimicrobial Peptide Novicidin Synergizes with Rifampin, Ceftriaxone, and Ceftazidime against Antibiotic-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae In Vitro.

The spread of antibiotic resistance among Gram-negative bacteria is a serious clinical threat, and infections with these organisms are a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Traditional novel drug development inevitably leads to the emergence of new resistant strains, rendering the new drugs ineffective. Therefore, reviving the therapeutic potentials of existing antibiotics represents an attractive novel strategy. Novicidin, a novel cationic antimicrobial peptide, is effective against Gram-negative bacteria. Here, we investigated novicidin as a possible antibiotic enhancer. The actions of novicidin in combination with rifampin, ceftriaxone, or ceftazidime were investigated against 94 antibiotic-resistant clinical Gram-negative isolates and 7 strains expressing New Delhi metallo-ß-lactamase-1. Using the checkerboard method, novicidin combined with rifampin showed synergy with >70% of the strains, reducing the MICs significantly. The combination of novicidin with ceftriaxone or ceftazidime was synergistic against 89.7% of the ceftriaxone-resistant strains and 94.1% of the ceftazidime-resistant strains. Synergistic interactions were confirmed using time-kill studies with multiple strains. Furthermore, novicidin increased the postantibiotic effect when combined with rifampin or ceftriaxone. Membrane depolarization assays revealed that novicidin alters the cytoplasmic membrane potential of Gram-negative bacteria. In vitro toxicology tests showed novicidin to have low hemolytic activity and no detrimental effect on cell cultures. We demonstrated that novicidin strongly rejuvenates the therapeutic potencies of ceftriaxone or ceftazidime against resistant Gram-negative bacteria in vitro. In addition, novicidin boosted the activity of rifampin. This strategy can have major clinical implications in our fight against antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections.

Enhancement by novel anti-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus compound HT61 of the activity of neomycin, gentamicin, mupirocin and chlorhexidine: in vitro and in vivo studies.

OBJECTIVES: Previously, we described a small quinoline-derived compound that exhibited selective bactericidal activity against methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) and methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA). It depolarizes the bacterial cell membrane. In this study, we investigated if HT61 was able to enhance the potency of other antibiotics, namely neomycin, gentamicin and mupirocin, and an antiseptic, namely chlorhexidine, against clinical isolates of MSSA and MRSA in vitro and in vivo. METHODS: The MICs were determined by the broth microdilution method. The effect of combinations was examined using the chequerboard method and time-kill curves. A murine skin infection model was used to evaluate the enhancement by HT61 of other antimicrobials. RESULTS: Using the fractional inhibitory concentration index, no interaction was seen in both MSSA and MRSA for the pair HT61 and gentamicin or the pair HT61 and neomycin. Synergism was seen for 65% of both MSSA and MRSA when HT61 was combined with chlorhexidine. There was also no interaction between HT61 and mupirocin. Time-kill analysis demonstrated significant synergistic activities when a low level of HT61 was combined with neomycin, gentamicin or chlorhexidine. The effect was more dramatic against non-multiplying bacteria against which the antimicrobials used were inactive on their own. Significant synergistic effects were also seen on mouse infected skin. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that HT61, developed as a topical agent, acts as an enhancer that accelerates the activities of other antimicrobial agents against both MSSA and MRSA.

Comparison of Lymphocyte-CRP Ratio to Conventional Inflammatory Markers for Predicting Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19.

Background: In COVID-19 patients, lymphocyte-CRP ratio (LCR) is a promising biomarker for predicting adverse clinical outcomes. How well LCR performs compared to conventional inflammatory markers for prognosticating COVID-19 patients remains unclear, which hinders the clinical translation of this novel biomarker. Methods: In a cohort of COVID-19 inpatients, we characterised the clinical applicability of LCR by comparing its prognostic value against conventional inflammatory markers for predicting inpatient mortality and a composite of mortality, invasive/non-invasive ventilation and intensive care unit admissions. Results: Of the 413 COVID-19 patients, 100 (24%) patients suffered inpatient mortality. On Receiver Operating Characteristics analysis, LCR performed similarly to CRP for predicting mortality (AUC 0.74 vs. 0.71, p = 0.049) and the composite endpoint (AUC 0.76 vs. 0.76, p = 0.812). LCR outperformed lymphocyte counts (AUC 0.74 vs. 0.66, p = 0.002), platelet counts (AUC 0.74 vs. 0.61, p = 0.003) and white cell counts (AUC 0.74 vs. 0.54, p < 0.001) for predicting mortality. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with a low LCR (below a 58 cut-off) had worse inpatient survival than patients with other LCR values (p < 0.001). Conclusion: LCR appears comparable to CRP, but outperformed other inflammatory markers, for prognosticating COVID-19 patients. Further studies are required to improve the diagnostic value of LCR to facilitate clinical translation.

Normal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin for ruling-out inpatient mortality in acute COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Assessment of inpatient mortality risk in COVID-19 patients is important for guiding clinical decision-making. High sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) is a biomarker of cardiac injury associated with a worse prognosis in COVID-19. We explored how hs-cTnT could potentially be used in clinical practice for ruling in and ruling out mortality in COVID-19. METHOD: We tested the diagnostic value of hs-cTnT in laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients (≥18 years old) admitted to the Royal Berkshire Hospital (UK) between 1st March and 10th May 2020. A normal hs-cTnT was defined as a value within the 99th percentile of healthy individuals (≤14 ng/L), and an elevated hs-cTnT was defined as >14 ng/L. Adverse clinical outcome was defined as inpatient mortality related to COVID-19. RESULTS: A total of 191 COVID-19 patients (62% male; age 66±16 years) had hs-cTnT measured on admission. Of these patients, 124 (65%) had elevated hs-cTnT and 67 (35%) had normal hs-cTnT. On a group level, patients with elevated hs-cTnT had worse inpatient survival (p = 0.0014; Kaplan-Meier analysis) and higher risk of inpatient mortality (HR 5.84 [95% CI 1.29-26.4]; p = 0.02; Cox multivariate regression) compared to patients with normal hs-cTnT. On a per-patient level, a normal hs-cTnT had a negative predictive value of 94% (95% CI: 85-98%) for ruling out mortality, whilst an elevated hs-cTnT had a low positive predictive value of 38% (95% CI: 39-47%) for ruling in mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In this study cohort of COVID-19 patients, the potential clinical utility of hs-cTnT appears to rest in ruling out inpatient mortality. This finding, if prospectively validated in a larger study, may allow hs-cTnT to become an important biomarker to facilitate admission-avoidance and early safe discharge.

Low CRB-65 Scores Effectively Rule out Adverse Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19 Irrespective of Chest Radiographic Abnormalities.

Background: CRB-65 (Confusion; Respiratory rate ≥ 30/min; Blood pressure ≤ 90/60 mmHg; age ≥ 65 years) is a risk score for prognosticating patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. However, a significant proportion of COVID-19 patients have normal chest X-rays (CXRs). The influence of CXR abnormalities on the prognostic value of CRB-65 is unknown, limiting its wider applicability. Methods: We assessed the influence of CXR abnormalities on the prognostic value of CRB-65 in COVID-19. Results: In 589 study patients (71 years (IQR: 57-83); 57% males), 186 (32%) had normal CXRs. On ROC analysis, CRB-65 performed similarly in patients with normal vs. abnormal CXRs for predicting inpatient mortality (AUC 0.67 ± 0.05 vs. 0.69 ± 0.03). In patients with normal CXRs, a CRB-65 of 0 ruled out mortality, NIV requirement and critical illness (intubation and/or ICU admission) with negative predictive values (NPVs) of 94%, 98% and 99%, respectively. In patients with abnormal CXRs, a CRB-65 of 0 ruled out the same endpoints with NPVs of 91%, 83% and 86%, respectively. Patients with low CRB-65 scores had better inpatient survival than patients with high CRB-65 scores, irrespective of CXR abnormalities (all p < 0.05). Conclusions: CRB-65, CXR and CRP are independent predictors of mortality in COVID-19. Adding CXR findings (dichotomised to either normal or abnormal) to CRB-65 does not improve its prognostic accuracy. A low CRB-65 score of 0 may be a good rule-out test for adverse clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients with normal or abnormal CXRs, which deserves prospective validation.

Characterisation of Ferritin-Lymphocyte Ratio in COVID-19.

Introduction: The ferritin-lymphocyte ratio (FLR) is a novel inflammatory biomarker for the assessment of acute COVID-19 patients. However, the prognostic value of FLR for predicting adverse clinical outcomes in COVID-19 remains unclear, which hinders its clinical translation. Methods: We characterised the prognostic value of FLR in COVID-19 patients, as compared to established inflammatory markers. Results: In 217 study patients (69 years [IQR: 55-82]; 60% males), FLR was weakly correlated with CRP (R = 0.108, p = 0.115) and white cell count (R = -0.144; p = 0.034). On ROC analysis, an FLR cut-off of 286 achieved a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 30% for predicting inpatient mortality (AUC 0.60, 95% CI: 0.53-0.67). The negative predictive values of FLR for ruling out mortality, non-invasive ventilation requirement and critical illness (intubation and/or ICU admission) were 86%, 85% and 93%, respectively. FLR performed similarly to CRP (AUC 0.60 vs. 0.64; p = 0.375) for predicting mortality, but worse than CRP for predicting non-fatal outcomes (all p < 0.05). On Kaplan-Meier analysis, COVID-19 patients with FLR values > 286 had worse inpatient survival than patients with FLR ≤ 286, p = 0.041. Conclusions: FLR has prognostic value in COVID-19 patients, and appears unrelated to other inflammatory markers such as CRP and WCC. FLR exhibits high sensitivity and negative predictive values for adverse clinical outcomes in COVID-19, and may be a good "rule-out" test. Further work is needed to improve the sensitivity of FLR and validate its role in prospective studies for guiding clinical management.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis chaperonin 60.1 inhibits leukocyte diapedesis in a murine model of allergic lung inflammation.

Chaperonin 60.1 from Mycobacterium tuberculosis suppressed allergic lung inflammation and bronchial hyperresponsiveness in mice by a mechanism that is yet to be clarified. To investigate the possible antiinflammatory mechanism(s) of action of Cpn60.1 in a model of allergic lung inflammation, ovalbumin (OVA)-allergic mice were pretreated with Cpn60.1 intranasally 20 minutes before each OVA aerosol challenge in a total of three treatments. Readouts were performed 24 hours after last challenge. Pretreatment with Cpn60.1 (1.0-0.001 µg) significantly inhibited the number of eosinophils in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (OVA, 49.2 ± 12.3 versus Cpn60.1 [1 µg dose], 90.4 ± 2.3 × 10(4) cells/ml) and IL-5 release (OVA, 43 ± 8.5 versus Cpn60.1 [1 µg dose], 3 ± 11 pg/ml) but increased IL-12 levels (OVA, 50 ± 24 versus Cpn60.1 [1 µg dose], 103 ± 13 pg/ml). The effect of Cpn60.1 on cell recruitment and IL-5, but not IL-12, release was abolished in TLR-4 knockout mice. Intravital microscopy demonstrated that Cpn60.1 reduced chemokine-mediated leukocyte rolling and transmigration across the vessel wall (rolling cells: eotaxin, 11.7 ± 1.1 versus Cpn60.1 [1 µg dose], 2.8 ± 1 cells in 30 s). Similarly, Cpn60.1 reduced eotaxin-induced leukocyte migration in vitro (eotaxin, 17.3 ± 3.3 versus Cpn60.1 [0.1 µg dose], 3.3 ± 0.4 cells × 10(4)/ml). Immunostaining demonstrated that Cpn60.1 inhibits VCAM-1 and increases vascular endothelial-cadherin expression in lung vascular tissue, suggesting that the antiinflammatory effect of Cpn60.1 is partly mediated by altering the expression of adhesion molecules. This study shows that Cpn60.1 inhibits leukocyte diapedesis by a TLR-4 and an adhesion molecule-dependent mechanism in allergic inflammation in mice.

Nonmultiplying bacteria are profoundly tolerant to antibiotics.

Bacteria survive treatments with antimicrobial agents; they achieve this in two ways. Firstly, bacteria quickly become tolerant to these agents. This tolerance is temporary, reversible, and associated with slowing of the multiplication rate. Secondly, bacteria can undergo genetic mutations leading to permanent clonal resistance to antimicrobial agents. In patients with infections, nonmultiplying bacteria, some of which may be viable but nonculturable, exist side by side with multiplying bacteria. Current antibiotics capable of killing actively multiplying bacteria have very limited or no effect against nonmultiplying bacteria. Treatment of such infections requires a regimen of multiple antimicrobial agents in order to control nonmultiplying persistent bacteria. This is especially important in tuberculosis where there is co-existence of slowly multiplying tolerant bacteria with fast growing sensitive organisms. For this reason, a prolonged length of chemotherapy, lasting 6 months, is necessary to achieve cure. This long duration of treatment is due to the slow, inadequate effect of antibiotics on nonmultiplying persistent bacteria. Similar problems with eradication of persistent bacteria are evident in the treatment of biofilms. These bacteria serve as a pool for recurrent infections. Extended courses of antibiotics increase the likelihood of genetic resistance, raise the cost of treatments, and lead to more side effects.