RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Estimating the prognosis of patients with pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) and porto-mesenteric venous gas (PMVG) can be challenging. The purpose of this study was to refine prognostication to improve decision making in daily clinical routine. METHODS: A total of 290 patients with confirmed PI were included in the final analysis. The presence of PMVG and mortality (90d follow-up) were evaluated with regard to the influence of possible risk factors. Furthermore, a linear estimation model was devised combining significant parameters to calculate accuracies for predicting death in patients undergoing surgery by means of a defined operation point (ROC-analysis). RESULTS: Overall, 90d mortality was 55.2% (160/290). In patients with PI only, mortality was 46.5% (78/168) and increased significantly to 67.2% (82/122) in combination with PMVG (median survival: PI: 58d vs. PI and PMVG: 41d; p < 0.001). In the entire patient group, 53.5% (155/290) were treated surgically with a 90d mortality of 58.8% (91/155) in this latter group, while 90d mortality was 51.1% (69/135) in patients treated conservatively. In the patients who survived > 90d treated conservatively (24.9% of the entire collective; 72/290) PMVG/PI was defined as "benign"/reversible. PMVG, COPD, sepsis and a low platelet count were found to correlate with a worse prognosis helping to identify patients who might not profit from surgery, in this context our calculation model reaches accuracies of 97% specificity, 20% sensitivity, 90% PPV and 45% NPV. CONCLUSION: Although PI is associated with high morbidity and mortality, "benign causes" are common. However, in concomitant PMVG, mortality rates increase significantly. Our mathematical model could serve as a decision support tool to identify patients who are least likely to benefit from surgery, and to potentially reduce overtreatment in this subset of patients.
Assuntos
Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Embolia Aérea , Veias Mesentéricas , Pneumatose Cistoide Intestinal , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Embolia Aérea/complicações , Embolia Aérea/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Veias Mesentéricas/diagnóstico por imagem , Veias Mesentéricas/patologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sobretratamento/prevenção & controle , Pneumatose Cistoide Intestinal/complicações , Pneumatose Cistoide Intestinal/diagnóstico por imagem , Pneumatose Cistoide Intestinal/mortalidade , Pneumatose Cistoide Intestinal/cirurgia , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Análise de Regressão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the commonest malignant primary brain tumor and still has one of the worst prognoses among cancers in general. There is a need for non-invasive methods to predict individual prognosis in patients with GBM. PURPOSE: To evaluate quantitative volumetric tissue assessment of enhancing tumor volume on cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as an imaging biomarker for predicting overall survival (OS) in patients with GBM. MATERIAL AND METHODS: MRI scans of 49 patients with histopathologically confirmed GBM were analyzed retrospectively. Baseline contrast-enhanced (CE) MRI sequences were transferred to a segmentation-based three-dimensional quantification tool, and the enhancing tumor component was analyzed. Based on a cut-off percentage of the enhancing tumor volume (PoETV) of >84.78%, samples were dichotomized, and the OS and intracranial progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated. Univariable and multivariable analyses, including variables such as sex, Karnofsky Performance Status score, O6-methylguanine-DNA-methyltransferase status, age, and resection status, were performed using the Cox regression model. RESULTS: The median OS and PFS were 16.9 and 7 months in the entire cohort, respectively. Patients with a CE tumor volume of >84.78% showed a significantly shortened OS (12.9 months) compared to those with a CE tumor volume of ≤84.78% (17.7 months) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.72; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-6.03; P = 0.01). Multivariable analysis confirmed that PoETV had a significant prognostic role (HR 2.47; 95% CI 1.08-5.65; P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: We observed a correlation between PoETV and OS. This imaging biomarker may help predict the OS of patients with GBM.