Predicting the success of primer extension genotyping assays using statistical modeling.

Using an empirical panel of more than 20 000 single base primer extension (SNP-IT) assays we have developed a set of statistical scores for evaluating and rank ordering various parameters of the SNP-IT reaction to facilitate high-throughput assay primer design with improved likelihood of success. Each score predicts either signal magnitude from primer extension or signal noise caused by mispriming of primers and structure of the PCR product. All scores have been shown to correlate with the success/failure rate of the SNP-IT reaction, based on analysis of assay results. A logistic regression analysis was applied to combine all scored parameters into one measure predicting the overall success/failure rate of a given SNP marker. Three training sets for different types of SNP-IT reaction, each containing about 22 000 SNP markers, were used to assign weights to each score and optimize the prediction of the combined measure. c-Statistics of 0.69, 0.77 and 0.72 were achieved for three training sets. This new statistical prediction can be used to improve primer design for the SNP-IT reaction and evaluate the probability of genotyping success for a given SNP based on analysis of the surrounding genomic sequence.

High-density single-nucleotide polymorphism maps of the human genome.

Here we report a large, extensively characterized set of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) covering the human genome. We determined the allele frequencies of 55,018 SNPs in African Americans, Asians (Japanese-Chinese), and European Americans as part of The SNP Consortium's Allele Frequency Project. A subset of 8333 SNPs was also characterized in Koreans. Because these SNPs were ascertained in the same way, the data set is particularly useful for modeling. Our results document that much genetic variation is shared among populations. For autosomes, some 44% of these SNPs have a minor allele frequency > or =10% in each population, and the average allele frequency differences between populations with different continental origins are less than 19%. However, the several percentage point allele frequency differences among the closely related Korean, Japanese, and Chinese populations suggest caution in using mixtures of well-established populations for case-control genetic studies of complex traits. We estimate that approximately 7% of these SNPs are private SNPs with minor allele frequencies <1%. A useful set of characterized SNPs with large allele frequency differences between populations (>60%) can be used for admixture studies. High-density maps of high-quality, characterized SNPs produced by this project are freely available.

Primer design and marker clustering for multiplex SNP-IT primer extension genotyping assay using statistical modeling.

MOTIVATION: The optimization of the primer design is critical for the development of high-throughput SNP genotyping methods. Recently developed statistical models of the SNP-IT primer extension genotyping reaction allow further improvement of primer quality for the assay. RESULTS: Here we describe how the statistical models can be used to improve primer design for the assay. We also show how to optimize clustering of the SNP markers into multiplex panels using statistical model for multiplex SNP-IT. The primer set failure probability calculated by a model is used as a minimization function for both primer selection and primers clustering. Three clustering algorithms for the multiplex genotyping SNP-IT assay are described and their relative performance is evaluated. We also describe the approaches to improve the speed of primer design and clustering calculations when using the statistical models. Our clustering decreases the average failure probability of the marker set by 7-25%. The experimental marker failure rate in the multiplex reaction was reduced dramatically and success rate can be achieved as high as 96%. AVAILABILITY: The primer design using statistical models is freely available from www.autoprimer.com.