Phase II trial of pembrolizumab and epacadostat in recurrent clear cell carcinoma of the ovary: An NRG oncology study GY016.

INTRODUCTION: Early reports of PD-1 inhibition in ovarian clear cell carcinomas (OCCC) demonstrate promising response. We evaluated the combination of pembrolizumab and IDO-1 inhibitor epacadostat in patients with recurrent OCCC. METHODS: This single arm, two-stage, phase 2 trial included those with measurable disease and 1-3 prior regimens. Patients received intravenous pembrolizumab 200 mg every 3 weeks and oral epacadostat 100 mg twice a day. Primary endpoint was overall response rate (ORR), secondary endpoints were toxicity, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The study was powered to detect an absolute 25% increase in response (15% to 40%). RESULTS: Between September 28, 2018 and April 10, 2019, 14 patients enrolled at first stage. Rate of accrual was 2.3 patients per month. Median age was 65 years (44-89), 10 (71.4%) had ≥2 prior regimens. ORR was 21% (95% CI 5-51%) within 7 months of study entry with 3 partial responses, and 4 had stable disease (disease control rate 50%). Median PFS was 4.8 months (95% CI: 1.9-9.6), OS 18.9 months (95% CI: 1.9-NR). Most common grade ≥ 3 adverse events were electrolyte abnormalities and gastrointestinal pain, nausea, vomiting, bowel obstruction. In July 2019, the study reached the pre-specified criteria to re-open to second stage; however, the study closed prematurely in February 2021 due to insufficient drug supply. CONCLUSIONS: Pembrolizumab and epacadostat demonstrated an ORR of 21% in this small cohort of recurrent OCCC. The rapid rate of accrual highlights the enthusiasm and need for therapeutic studies in patients with OCCC.

Temporal Trends in the Remaining Lifetime Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Middle-Aged Adults Across 6 Decades: The Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND: The remaining lifetime risk (RLR) is the probability of developing an outcome over the remainder of one's lifespan at any given age. The RLR for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in three 20-year periods were assessed using data from a single community-based cohort study of predominantly White participants. METHODS: Longitudinal data from the Framingham study in 3 epochs (epoch 1, 1960-1979; epoch 2, 1980-1999; epoch 3, 2000-2018) were evaluated. The RLR of a first ASCVD event (myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease death, or stroke) from 45 years of age (adjusting for competing risk of death) in the 3 epochs were compared overall, and according to the following strata: sex, body mass index, blood pressure and cholesterol categories, diabetes, smoking, and Framingham risk score groups. RESULTS: There were 317 849 person-years of observations during the 3 epochs (56% women; 94% White) and 4855 deaths occurred. Life expectancy rose by 10.1 years (men) to 11.9 years (women) across the 3 epochs. There were 1085 ASCVD events over the course of 91 330 person-years in epoch 1, 1330 ASCVD events over the course of 107 450 person-years in epoch 2, and 775 ASCVD events over the course of 119 069 person-years in epoch 3. The mean age at onset of first ASCVD event was greater in the third epoch by 8.1 years (men) to 10.3 years (women) compared with the first epoch. The RLR of ASCVD from 45 years of age declined from 43.7% in epoch 1 to 28.1% in epoch 3 (P<0.0001), a finding that was consistent in both sexes (RLR [epoch 1 versus epoch 3], 36.3% versus 26.5% [women]; 52.5% versus 30.1% [men]; P<0.001 for both). The lower RLR of ASCVD in the last 2 epochs was observed consistently across body mass index, blood pressure, cholesterol, diabetes, smoking, and Framingham risk score strata (P<0.001 for all). The RLR of coronary heart disease events and stroke declined in both sexes (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Over the past 6 decades, mean life expectancy increased and the RLR of ASCVD decreased in the community-based, predominantly White Framingham study. The residual burden of ASCVD underscores the importance of continued and effective primary prevention efforts with better screening for risk factors and their effective treatment.

Measures for evaluation of prognostic improvement under multivariate normality for nested and nonnested models.

When comparing performances of two risk prediction models, several metrics exist to quantify prognostic improvement, including the change in the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, the Integrated Discrimination Improvement, the Net Reclassification Index at event rate, the change in Standardized Net Benefit, the change in Brier score, and the change in scaled Brier score. We explore the behavior and interrelationships between these metrics under multivariate normality in nested and nonnested model comparisons. We demonstrate that, within the framework of linear discriminant analysis, all six statistics are functions of squared Mahalanobis distance, a robust metric that properly measures discrimination by quantifying the separation between the risk scores of events and nonevents. These relationships are important for overall interpretability and clinical usefulness. Through simulation, we demonstrate that the performance of the theoretical estimators under normality is comparable or superior to empirical estimation methods typically used by investigators. In particular, the theoretical estimators for the Net Reclassification Index and the change in Standardized Net Benefit exhibit less variability in their estimates as compared to their empirically estimated counterparts. Finally, we explore how these metrics behave with potentially nonnormal data by applying these methods in a practical example based on the sex-specific cardiovascular disease risk models from the Framingham Heart Study. Our findings aim to give greater insight into the behavior of these measures and the connections existing among them and to provide additional estimation methods with less variability for the Net Reclassification Index and the change in Standardized Net Benefit.

Association of Exhaled Carbon Monoxide With Stroke Incidence and Subclinical Vascular Brain Injury: Framingham Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Exhaled carbon monoxide (CO) is associated with cardiometabolic traits, subclinical atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular disease, but its specific relations with stroke are unexplored. We related exhaled CO to magnetic resonance imaging measures of subclinical cerebrovascular disease cross-sectionally and to incident stroke/transient ischemic attack prospectively in the Framingham Offspring study. METHODS: We measured exhaled CO in 3313 participants (age 59±10 years; 53% women), and brain magnetic resonance imaging was available in 1982 individuals (age 58±10 years; 54% women). Participants were analyzed according to tertiles of exhaled CO concentration. RESULTS: In age- and sex-adjusted models, the highest tertile of exhaled CO was associated with lower total cerebral brain volumes, higher white-matter hyperintensity volumes, and greater prevalence of silent cerebral infarcts (P<0.05 for all). The results for total cerebral brain volume and white-matter hyperintensity volume were consistent after removing smokers from the sample, and the association with white-matter hyperintensity volume persisted after multivariable adjustment (P=0.04). In prospective analyses (mean follow-up 12.9 years), higher exhaled CO was associated with 67% (second tertile) and 97% (top tertile) increased incidence of stroke/transient ischemic attack relative to the first tertile that served as referent (P<0.01 for both). These results were consistent in nonsmokers and were partially attenuated upon adjustment for vascular risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, community-based sample of individuals without clinical stroke/transient ischemic attack at baseline, higher exhaled CO was associated with a greater burden of subclinical cerebrovascular disease cross-sectionally and with increased risk of stroke/transient ischemic attack prospectively. Further investigation is necessary to explore the biological mechanisms linking elevated CO with stroke.

Ideal cardiovascular health: associations with biomarkers and subclinical disease and impact on incidence of cardiovascular disease in the Framingham Offspring Study.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association Cardiovascular Health score (CVH score) is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence, but the mechanisms underlying this association warrant exploration. METHODS AND RESULTS: We related the CVH score to circulating biomarkers and prevalent subclinical CVD (defined as ≥1 of the following: increased carotid intima-media thickness or stenosis, left ventricular hypertrophy [by ECG or echocardiography], left ventricular systolic dysfunction, microalbuminuria, and a reduced ankle-brachial index) in 2680 Framingham Study participants (mean age, 58 years; 55% women). After adjustment for age and sex, an ideal CVH score (nonsmoking status, ideal body mass index, regular physical activity, healthy diet, and an optimal profile of serum cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose; 1 point for each) was associated with higher circulating concentrations of natriuretic peptides (N-terminal pro-atrial natriuretic peptide and B-type natriuretic peptide) and lower blood concentrations of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, aldosterone, C-reactive protein, D-dimer, fibrinogen, homocysteine, and growth differentiation factor-15 levels (P<0.001 for all), as well as lower odds of subclinical disease (odds ratio, 0.74 per 1-unit increase in CVH score; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.80). The incidence of CVD (267 events over 16 years) was inversely associated with the CVH score in age- and sex-adjusted models (hazard ratio, 0.77 per 1-unit increase in CVH score; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.86), which was slightly attenuated upon adjustment for biomarkers and subclinical disease (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.97). CONCLUSION: In our prospective community-based study, the inverse association between an ideal cardiovascular health score and CVD incidence was partly attributable to its favorable impact on CVD biomarker levels and subclinical disease.

Lifetime Risk of Heart Failure Among Participants in the Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND: The residual lifetime risk (RLR) of developing heart failure (HF) may have changed over time because of the increasing population burden of hypertension, obesity, and diabetes; greater survival after myocardial infarction; and a greater lifespan. OBJECTIVES: The authors assessed changes in the RLR for HF in two 25-year epochs (1965-1989 and 1990-2014). METHODS: We compared the RLR of HF at age 50 years (adjusting for competing risk of death) in the 2 epochs in Framingham Study participants overall and in the following strata: sex, body mass index, blood pressure, and diabetes. RESULTS: Mean life expectancy increased from 75.9 to 82.1 years in women and 72.5 to 78.1 years in men. We observed 624 HF events over 111,351 person-observations in epoch 1, and 875 HF events over 128,903 person-observations in epoch 2. The mean age at onset of HF increased across the epochs by 6.6 years (women) to 7.2 years (men). The RLR of HF at age 50 years increased across epochs from 18.86% to 22.55% (absolute increase 3.69; 95% CI: 0.90-6.49; P = 0.01) in women, and from 19.19% to 25.25% (absolute increase 6.06; 95% CI: 3.08-9.04; P < 0.001) in men. The increase in RLR of HF in the second epoch was consistent across strata with excess body mass index or higher blood pressure (relative increase of 28%-47%) and in participants without prior myocardial infarction (relative increase of 23%). CONCLUSIONS: The RLR of HF has increased in our community-based sample of White individuals over the last 5 decades, possibly caused by an increase in life expectancy.

Immune Activation in Patients with Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer Treated with Ipilimumab Following Definitive Chemoradiation (GOG-9929).

PURPOSE: A phase I clinical trial (GOG-9929) examined the safety and efficacy of adjuvant immune-modulation therapy with the checkpoint inhibitor ipilimumab [anti-CTL antigen-4 (anti-CTLA-4)] following chemoradiation therapy (CRT) for newly diagnosed node-positive human papillomavirus (HPV)-related cervical cancer. To better understand the mechanism of action and to identify predictive biomarkers, immunologic and viral correlates were assessed before, during, and after treatment. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Twenty-one patients who received CRT and ≥2 doses of ipilimumab and 5 patients who received CRT only were evaluable for translational endpoints. Circulating T-cell subsets were evaluated by multiparameter flow cytometry. Cytokines were evaluated by multiplex ELISA. HPV-specific T cells were evaluated in a subset of patients by IFNγ ELISpot. RESULTS: Expression of the activation markers ICOS and PD-1 significantly increased on T-cell subsets following CRT and were sustained or increased following ipilimumab treatment. Combined CRT/ipilimumab treatment resulted in a significant expansion of both central and effector memory T-cell populations. Genotype-specific E6/E7-specific T-cell responses increased post-CRT in 1 of 8 HPV16+ patients and in 2 of 3 HPV18+ patients. Elevation in levels of tumor-promoting circulating cytokines (TNFα, IL6, IL8) post-CRT was significantly associated with worse progression-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that CRT alone and combined with ipilimumab immunotherapy show immune-modulating activity in women with locally advanced cervical cancer and may be a promising therapeutic option for the enhancement of antitumor immune cell function after primary CRT for this population at high risk for recurrence and metastasis. Several key immune biomarkers were identified that were associated with clinical response.

Multisystem Trajectories Over the Adult Life Course and Relations to Cardiovascular Disease and Death.

BACKGROUND: Comprehensive conjoint characterization of long-term trajectories representing several biological systems is lacking. METHODS: We measured serially indicators representing 14 distinct biological systems in up to 3,453 participants attending four Framingham Study examinations: bone mineral density, body mass index (BMI), C-reactive protein, glomerular filtration rate, forced vital capacity (FVC), 1 second forced expiratory volume/FVC ratio (FEV1/FVC), gait speed, grip strength, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), heart rate, left ventricular mass, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), pulse pressure, and total/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL). RESULTS: We observed that correlations among the 14 sex-specific trajectories were modest (r < .30 for 169 of 182 sex-specific correlations). During follow-up (median 8 years), 232 individuals experienced a cardiovascular disease (CVD) event and 393 participants died. In multivariable regression models, CVD incidence was positively related to trajectories of BMI, HbA1c, TC/HDL, gait time, and pulse pressure (p < .06); mortality risk was related directly to trajectories of gait time, C-reactive protein, heart rate, and pulse pressure but inversely to MMSE and FEV1/FVC (p < .006). A unit increase in the trajectory risk score was associated with a 2.80-fold risk of CVD (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-3.84; p < .001) and a 2.71-fold risk of death (95% CI, 2.30-3.20; p < .001). Trajectory risk scores were suggestive of a greater increase in model c-statistic compared with single occasion measures (delta-c compared with age- and sex-adjusted models: .032 vs .026 for CVD; .042 vs .030 for mortality). CONCLUSIONS: Biological systems age differentially over the life course. Longitudinal data on a parsimonious set of biomarkers reflecting key biological systems may facilitate identification of high-risk individuals.

Twenty-Year Trends in the American Heart Association Cardiovascular Health Score and Impact on Subclinical and Clinical Cardiovascular Disease: The Framingham Offspring Study.

BACKGROUND: Data on the temporal trends in ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) as well as on their association with subclinical/overt cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included 3460 participants attending ≥1 of 4 consecutive exams of the Framingham Heart Study (1991-2008, mean age 55.4 years, CVH score ranged 0-14). We created 4 groups describing changes in CVH score between examination cycles 5 and 8, using first and last exams attended (high-high: starting CVH score ≥8, last score of ≥8, referent; high-low: ≥8 start and ≤7 last; low-high: ≤7 start and ≥8 last; and low-low: ≤7 start and ≤7 last) and related them to subclinical CVD cross-sectionally, and incident CVD and death. Fewer people have ideal CVH scores over the past 20 years (8.5% for 1991-1995, 5.9% for 2005-2008, P=0.002), because of decreases in those with ideal status of body mass index, blood glucose, and serum cholesterol levels (P<0.05 for all). The odds of subclinical disease and risk of CVD and death were higher for all compared with the high-high group (428 CVD and 367 death events, median follow-up 5.1 years, hazard ratios for CVD: 1.39, 1.73, 1.9 and death: 1.12, 1.57, 1.4 and odds ratios for subclinical disease: 1.61, 1.98, 2.86 for high-low, low-high, and low-low, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The decreased presence of ideal CVH scores over the past 20 years resulted in increasing odds of subclinical disease and risk of CVD and death, emphasizing the importance of maintaining ideal CVH over the life course.

Residual cardiovascular risk in individuals on lipid-lowering treatment: quantifying absolute and relative risk in the community.

Objective: The residual cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals on long-term lipid-lowering treatment (LLT) in the general population is not well described. Methods: We estimated absolute CVD risks by age and sex for different categories of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, stratified by LLT status, and assessed subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in 3012 Framingham Study participants (mean age, 58.4 years; 55% women) free of CVD. Individuals were categorised into five groups: (1) LDL-C <100 mg/dL without LLT; (2) LDL-C ≥100 mg/dL to <130 mg/dL without LLT; (3) LDL-C <130 mg/dL on LLT; (4) LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL without LLT; and (5) LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL on LLT. Results: Individuals in groups 3-5 had significantly more carotid atherosclerosis compared with group 1. During follow-up (median, 13.7 years), 548 CVD events occurred. Individuals on LLT (groups 3 and 5) had substantial residual CVD risk (26.7 (95% CI 19.5 to 34.0) and 24.1 (95% CI 16.2 to 31.9) per 1000 person-years, respectively), representing approximately three times the risk for untreated individuals with LDL <100 mg/dL (group 1: 9.0 (95% CI 6.8 to 11.3) per 1000 person-years). Absolute CVD risks rose with age and were slightly greater in men than in women. After adjustment for traditional risk factors, groups 3-5 displayed increased hazards for CVD (HR=1.47, 1.42 and 1.54, respectively) compared with group 1. Further adjustment for carotid atherosclerosis modestly attenuated these results. Conclusions: There is substantial residual CVD risk in individuals on LLT, compared with participants with optimal LDL-C (<100 mg/dL), even when LDL-C levels <130 mg/dL are reached.

Racial Differences in Hospital Death for Atrial Fibrillation: The National Inpatient Sample 2001-2012.

BACKGROUND: Understanding racial differences in outcomes for atrial fibrillation (AF) may guide interventions to diminish health inequities. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a retrospective, cross-sectional study of adults hospitalized with a principal diagnosis of AF using the 2001-2012 National Inpatient Sample, we assessed racial differences for in-hospital. We accounted for case-mix and clustering by race within hospitals to estimate odds ratios (OR) for death associated with individual patient race and hospital racial composition. We identified 676,567 hospitalizations (mean age 71.8 years, 53.6% women) with principal diagnosis of AF (84.2% White, 7.1% Black, 5.0% Hispanic). Black (vs. White) race was associated with 1.63-fold (95% CI, 1.50-1.78) risk of death. Other races had similar risk of death as Whites. Risk of death for Blacks (vs. Whites) declined over time [2001: OR 1.78(95% CI 1.31-2.43); 2012: OR 1.23(95% CI 0.92-1.64)]. Racial differences in deaths within hospitals narrowed, while hospitals with larger proportions of Blacks had persistently worse outcomes than hospitals with fewer Blacks (OR 1.08 per 10% increase in Blacks in 2001 and 2012). CONCLUSION: Black patients with a principal diagnosis of AF were more likely to suffer in-hospital death than Whites. Our findings suggest racial disparities based upon individual patients' race improved over time, but outcomes were persistently worse at hospitals with higher proportions of Black patients, regardless of patients' races.

Comorbidities and Cardiometabolic Disease: Relationship With Longitudinal Changes in Diastolic Function.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate the course, correlates, and prognosis of longitudinal changes in left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (DD) in the community-based Framingham Heart Study. BACKGROUND: Relationships of clinical risk factors to longitudinal progression of DD are incompletely understood. METHODS: Diastolic function was assessed by echocardiography performed at consecutive examinations (visits 1 and 2, mean interval 5.6 years) in 1,740 participants (64 ± 8 years of age at visit 1, 59% women) with normal LV systolic function and no atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Of 1,615 individuals with normal-to-mild DD at visit 1, 198 (12%) progressed to ≥ moderate DD at visit 2. Progression was more likely in women and with advancing age (p < 0.0001). Of 125 individuals with ≥ moderate DD at visit 1, 25 (20%) regressed to normal-to-mild DD by visit 2. Regression of DD was associated with younger age (p < 0.03). In stepwise regression models, age, female sex, baseline and changes in systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, body mass index, serum triglycerides, and diabetes were positively associated with worsening diastolic function (all p < 0.05). Noncardiac comorbidity tracked with progressive DD. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) or death events occurred in 44 of 1,509 participants free of CVD at visit 2, during 2.7 ± 0.6 years of post-visit 2 follow-up. Presence of ≥ moderate DD was associated with higher risk (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for CVD or death: 2.14; 95% confidence interval: 1.06 to 4.32; p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: In a community-based cohort of middle-aged to older adults, cardiometabolic risk factors and noncardiac comorbidities were associated with DD progression. Moderate or worse DD was associated with higher risk of CVD or death.

Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction in the Community: Impact of Diagnostic Criteria on the Burden, Correlates, and Prognosis.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (DD) is common, particularly in women and older individuals, and it is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the impact of age- and sex-specific diagnostic criteria on the assessment of DD in the community-based Framingham Heart Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: We estimated age- and sex-specific reference limits for echocardiographic measures of DD in a healthy reference subsample (N=2355, mean age 44 years, 66% women). The prevalence, correlates, and association with future cardiovascular disease were compared for DD using age- and sex-specific versus single cut point reference limits in a broad sample (N=6102, mean age 50 years, 56% women). Using age- and sex-specific criteria, DD was present in ≈25% to 30% of individuals across age groups, and it was directly associated with a number of modifiable risk factors. In contrast, with single cut point criteria, age was the primary determinant of DD. During follow-up (mean 7.9±2.2 years), incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 213 of 5770 individuals. Using age- and sex-specific criteria, mild and moderate-severe DD were associated with 50% (95% confidence interval, 1.09-2.05) and 65% (95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.38) higher incidences of cardiovascular disease, respectively, in age- and sex-adjusted analyses. With single cut point criteria, moderate-severe DD (hazard ratio, 1.66; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-2.61), but not mild DD (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-1.40), was associated with incident cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Age- and sex-specific reference limits may result in DD assessments that are less dependent on age, more robustly related to modifiable risk factors, and are more closely associated with incident cardiovascular disease.

Cardiovascular Health Status and Incidence of Heart Failure in the Framingham Offspring Study.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association Cardiovascular Health (CVH) score is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease, but its relations to cardiac remodeling traits and heart failure (HF) incidence have not been examined. METHODS AND RESULTS: A 14-point score was constructed for each participant based on the presence of poor, intermediate, or ideal status on each of the 7 CVH metrics (ideal score=14). We related the CVH score to echocardiographic traits cross-sectionally and to HF incidence prospectively in the Framingham Offspring Study. In age- and sex-adjusted models, a higher CVH score was associated with lower left ventricular (LV) mass, LV wall thickness, LV diastolic dimension, and left atrial dimension (P<0.01 for all; n=2392; mean age, 58 years; 56% women), and with a 12% to 15% lower odds of prevalent LV concentric remodeling and concentric hypertrophy, respectively (P<0.0001 for both). On follow-up (mean, 12.3 years), 188 incident HF events were observed in 3201 participants (mean age, 59 years; 53% women). In age- and sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, the CVH score was inversely associated with HF incidence (hazard ratio per 1-point higher CVH score, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.83). This association was partially attenuated upon adjustment for LV mass and interim myocardial infarction (hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.93), and it was consistent for HF with preserved and reduced ejection fractions. CONCLUSIONS: In our community-based sample, comprised predominantly of middle-aged white individuals of European descent, better CVH was associated with lower HF incidence, in part due to a lower prevalence of adverse cardiac remodeling.

Prevalence, Neurohormonal Correlates, and Prognosis of Heart Failure Stages in the Community.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe the prevalence and prognosis of HF stages in the community; to evaluate if preclinical HF stages are characterized by elevation of pro-inflammatory (C-reactive protein), neurohormonal activation (B-type natriuretic peptide, renin and aldosterone), and cardiac stress biomarkers (high-sensitivity troponin I, ST-2, and growth differentiation factor-15). BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology heart failure (HF) classification has 3 stages. Knowledge regarding the community burden of HF stages is limited, and data on the biomarker profile associated with HF stages are scarce, although higher concentrations of certain biomarkers are associated with preclinical HF. METHODS: We evaluated 6,770 participants (mean age 51 years; 54% women) from the Framingham Study, defining 4 stages: 1) healthy: no risk factors; 2) stage A: presence of HF risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, obesity, coronary artery disease), no cardiac structural/functional abnormality; 3) stage B: presence of prior myocardial infarction, valvular disease, left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction, LV hypertrophy, regional wall motion abnormality, or LV enlargement; 4) stage C/D: prevalent HF. RESULTS: The prevalence of HF stages A and B were 36.5% and 24.2%, respectively, rising with age (odds ratio: 1.70 [95% confidence interval: 1.64 to 1.77] per decade increment). In age- and sex-adjusted models, we observed a gradient of increasing biomarker levels across HF stages (p < 0.05; n = 3,416). Adjusting for age and sex, mortality rose across HF stages (232 deaths, mean follow-up 7 years), with 2- and 8-fold mortality risks for stages B and C/D, respectively, compared with healthy. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 60% of our sample has preclinical HF, and those in stage B had higher concentrations of HF biomarkers and experienced a substantial mortality risk.

Residual Cardiovascular Risk in Individuals on Blood Pressure-Lowering Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive individuals on blood pressure (BP)-lowering treatment with BP in the normal or high-normal range have higher cardiovascular risk than untreated persons with usual BP in the same range. This residual risk (relative and absolute) is not well quantified and may be attributable in part to the higher burden of subclinical disease in treated individuals. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assigned 3024 Framingham Offspring Cohort participants to 5 categories based on systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) and use of BP-lowering treatment: (1) untreated SBP/DBP <120/80 mm Hg; (2) untreated SBP/DB ≥120/80 to <140/90 mm Hg; (3) treated SBP/DBP <140/90 mm Hg; (4) untreated SBP/DBP ≥140/90 mm Hg; and (5) treated SBP/DBP ≥140/90 mm Hg. A composite subclinical disease score was constructed, including information on left ventricular hypertrophy, systolic dysfunction, carotid ultrasound abnormality, peripheral artery disease, and microalbuminuria. The prevalence of subclinical disease rose across BP groups, as did the event rates for incident cardiovascular disease (449 events, median follow-up of 11 years; group 1, 0.65 event per 100 person-years; group 5, 3.20 events per 100 person-years; P<0.0001 for trend). On multivariable adjustment, treated hypertensives in groups 3 and 5 had 50% (95% CI 13% to 99%) and 28% (95% CI -6% to 73%) higher hazards, respectively, of developing cardiovascular disease compared with their untreated counterparts with similar levels of BP (groups 1 and 2 and group 4, respectively). The increased risk of cardiovascular disease in treated hypertensives was attributable in part to greater subclinical disease burden. CONCLUSIONS: Treated hypertensives have higher subclinical cardiovascular disease burden, which partly explains their higher cardiovascular disease risk compared with untreated persons with similar BP levels.

Cardiometabolic correlates and heritability of fetuin-A, retinol-binding protein 4, and fatty-acid binding protein 4 in the Framingham Heart Study.

CONTEXT: Fetuin-A, retinol-binding protein 4 (RBP4), and fatty-acid binding protein 4 (FABP4) are novel biomarkers that may link adiposity to insulin resistance and the metabolic syndrome (MetSyn). OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the correlates of these three adiposity biomarkers in a large community-based sample. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND OUTCOMES: Serum concentrations of fetuin-A, RBP4, and FABP4 were assayed in 3658 participants of the Third Generation Framingham Heart Study cohort (mean age 40 yr, 54% women). We used multivariable regression to cross-sectionally relate biomarkers to insulin resistance, cardiovascular risk factors, and the MetSyn. The genetic contribution to inter-individual variation in biomarker levels was assessed using variance-components analysis. RESULTS: All three biomarkers exhibited sexual dimorphisms (levels higher in women for fetuin-A and FABP4 but greater in men for RBP4) and were associated positively with insulin resistance assessed using the homeostasis model, with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and with prevalent MetSyn (P<0.01 for all). The biomarkers showed distinct patterns of association with metabolic risk factors. RBP4 levels were correlated with body mass index only in unadjusted but not in adjusted models. None of the biomarkers were associated with prevalent diabetes in multivariable models. Circulating fetuin-A, RBP4, and FABP4 levels showed modest heritability, ranging from 15-44% (all P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In our large young- to middle-aged community-based sample, we observed that circulating levels of fetuin-A, RBP4, and FABP4 are associated with insulin resistance and with distinct components of MetSyn consistent with the multifactorial pathogenesis of metabolic dysregulation.