Association of Trauma With Long-Term Risk of Death and Immune-Mediated or Cancer Disease in Same-Sex Twins.

Importance: Immediate consequences of trauma include a rapid and immense activation of the immune system, whereas long-term outcomes include premature death, physical disability, and reduced workability. Objective: To investigate if moderate to severe trauma is associated with long-term increased risk of death or immune-mediated or cancer disease. Design, Setting, and Participants: This registry-based, matched, co-twin control cohort study linked the Danish Twin Registry and the Danish National Patient Registry to identify twin pairs in which 1 twin had been exposed to severe trauma and the other twin had not from 1994 to 2018. The co-twin control design allowed for matching on genetic and environmental factors shared within twin pairs. Exposure: Twin pairs were included if 1 twin had been exposed to moderate to severe trauma and the other twin had not (ie, co-twin). Only twin pairs where both twins were alive 6 months after the trauma event were included. Main Outcome and Measure: Twin pairs were followed up from 6 months after trauma until 1 twin experienced the primary composite outcome of death or 1 of 24 predefined immune-mediated or cancer diseases or end of follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression was used for intrapair analyses of the association between trauma and the primary outcome. Results: A total of 3776 twin pairs were included, and 2290 (61%) were disease free prior to outcome analysis and were eligible for the analysis of the primary outcome. The median (IQR) age was 36.4 (25.7-50.2) years. The median (IQR) follow-up time was 8.6 (3.8-14.5) years. Overall, 1268 twin pairs (55%) reached the primary outcome; the twin exposed to trauma was first to experience the outcome in 724 pairs (32%), whereas the co-twin was first in 544 pairs (24%). The hazard ratio for reaching the composite outcome was 1.33 (95% CI, 1.19-1.49) for twins exposed to trauma. Analyses of death or immune-mediated or cancer disease as separate outcomes provided hazard ratios of 1.91 (95% CI, 1.68-2.18) and 1.28 (95% CI, 1.14-1.44), respectively. Conclusion and Relevance: In this study, twins exposed to moderate to severe trauma had significantly increased risk of death or immune-mediated or cancer disease several years after trauma compared with their co-twins.

Agreement Between Standard and ICD-10-Based Injury Severity Scores.

INTRODUCTION: Injury Severity Score (ISS) is used to describe anatomical lesions. ISS is traditionally determined through medical record review (standard ISS), which requires specific training and may be time-consuming. An alternative way to obtain ISS is by use of ICD-9/10 injury diagnoses, and several conversion tools exist. We sought to evaluate the agreement between standard ISS and ISS obtained with two tools converting ICD-10 diagnoses. METHODS: Our cohort consisted of trauma patients ≥18 years admitted to Rigshospitalet between 1999 and 2016. The included patients had standard ISS recorded in the Trauma Audit and Research Network (TARN) database (ISS-TARN), and ICD-10 injury diagnoses for the trauma contact were recorded in the Danish National Patient Registry. We used the tools ICDPIC-R and ICD-AIS map to calculate ISS based on ICD-10 diagnoses. ICDPIC-R provided two ISSs: ISS-TQIP and ISS-NIS. The ICD-AIS map resulted in one ISS: ISS-map. The ISS-TARN was compared to the conversion tool ISSs using Bland-Altman plots. The agreement between ISS-TARN and the conversion tool ISSs for ISS above 15 was assessed using kappa statistics (κ). RESULTS: We included 4308 trauma patients. The median age was 44 years, 70% were male, and 92% had a blunt injury mechanism. The median ISS-TARN was 16 [IQR: 9-25], and the median conversion tool ISSs were 10 [2-25] (ISS-TQIP), 17 [5-26] (ISS-NIS), and 9 [4-16] (ISS-map). The Bland-Altman plots all showed increasing difference in ISS with increasing mean ISS. Bias ranged from -7.3 to 1.1 and limits of agreement ranged between -28.0 and 25.7. The agreement for ISS above 15 was fair to moderate (κ = 0.43 (ISS-TQIP), 0.44 (ISS-NIS), and 0.29 (ISS-map)). CONCLUSION: Using ICDPIC-R or ICD-AIS map to determine ISS is feasible, but limits of agreement were unacceptably wide. The agreement between ISS-TARN and ICDPIC-R was moderate for ISS above 15.