Estimated Lifetime Cardiovascular, Kidney, and Mortality Benefits of Combination Treatment With SGLT2 Inhibitors, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, and Nonsteroidal MRA Compared With Conventional Care in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Albuminuria.

BACKGROUND: Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA), and the nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (ns-MRA) finerenone all individually reduce cardiovascular, kidney, and mortality outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and albuminuria. However, the lifetime benefits of combination therapy with these medicines are not known. METHODS: We used data from 2 SGLT2i trials (CANVAS [Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment] and CREDENCE [Canagliflozin and Renal Events in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation]), 2 ns-MRA trials (FIDELIO-DKD [Finerenone in Reducing Kidney Failure and Disease Progression in Diabetic Kidney Disease] and FIGARO-DKD [Efficacy and Safety of Finerenone in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and the Clinical Diagnosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease]), and 8 GLP-1 RA trials to estimate the relative effects of combination therapy versus conventional care (renin-angiotensin system blockade and traditional risk factor control) on cardiovascular, kidney, and mortality outcomes. Using actuarial methods, we then estimated absolute risk reductions with combination SGLT2i, GLP-1 RA, and ns-MRA in patients with type 2 diabetes and at least moderately increased albuminuria (urinary albumin:creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g) by applying estimated combination treatment effects to participants receiving conventional care in CANVAS and CREDENCE. RESULTS: Compared with conventional care, the combination of SGLT2i, GLP-1 RA, and ns-MRA was associated with a hazard ratio of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55-0.76) for major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or cardiovascular death). The corresponding estimated absolute risk reduction over 3 years was 4.4% (95% CI, 3.0-5.7), with a number needed to treat of 23 (95% CI, 18-33). For a 50-year-old patient commencing combination therapy, estimated major adverse cardiovascular event-free survival was 21.1 years compared with 17.9 years for conventional care (3.2 years gained [95% CI, 2.1-4.3]). There were also projected gains in survival free from hospitalized heart failure (3.2 years [95% CI, 2.4-4.0]), chronic kidney disease progression (5.5 years [95% CI, 4.0-6.7]), cardiovascular death (2.2 years [95% CI, 1.2-3.0]), and all-cause death (2.4 years [95% CI, 1.4-3.4]). Attenuated but clinically relevant gains in event-free survival were observed in analyses assuming 50% additive effects of combination therapy, including for major adverse cardiovascular events (2.4 years [95% CI, 1.1-3.5]), chronic kidney disease progression (4.5 years [95% CI, 2.8-5.9]), and all-cause death (1.8 years [95% CI, 0.7-2.8]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with type 2 diabetes and at least moderately increased albuminuria, combination treatment of SGLT2i, GLP-1 RA, and ns-MRA has the potential to afford relevant gains in cardiovascular and kidney event-free and overall survival.

Geographic variation in sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist use in people with type 2 diabetes in New South Wales, Australia.

AIM: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) improve glycaemic control and cardio-renal outcomes for people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, geographic and socio-economic variation in use is not well understood. METHODS: We identified 367 829 New South Wales residents aged ≥40 years who dispensed metformin in 2020 as a proxy for T2D. We estimated the prevalence of use of other glucose-lowering medicines among people with T2D and the prevalence of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA use among people using concomitant T2D therapy (i.e. metformin + another glucose-lowering medicine). We measured the prevalence by small-level geography, stratified by age group, and characterized by remoteness and socio-economic status. RESULTS: The prevalence of SGLT2i (29.7%) and GLP-1RA (8.3%) use in people with T2D aged 40-64 increased with geographic remoteness and in areas of greater socio-economic disadvantage, similar to other glucose-lowering medicines. The prevalence of SGLT2i (55.4%) and GLP-1RA (15.4%) among people using concomitant T2D therapy varied across geographic areas, with lower SGLT2i use in more disadvantaged areas and localized areas of high GLP-1RA use (2.5 times the median). Compared with people aged 40-64 years, the prevalence of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA use was lower in older age groups, but with similar patterns of variation across geographic areas. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA use varied by geography, probably reflecting a combination of system- and prescriber-level factors. Socio-economic variation in GLP-1RA use was overshadowed by localized patterns of prescribing. Continued monitoring of variation can help shape interventions to optimize use among people who would benefit the most.

The Australian Health Care Homes trial: quality of care and patient outcomes. A propensity score-matched cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of the Health Care Homes (HCH) primary health care initiative on quality of care and patient outcomes. DESIGN, SETTING: Quasi-experimental, matched cohort study; analysis of general practice data extracts and linked administrative data from ten Australian primary health networks, 1 October 2017 - 30 June 2021. PARTICIPANTS: People with chronic health conditions (practice data extracts: 9811; linked administrative data: 10 682) enrolled in the HCH 1 October 2017 - 30 June 2019; comparison groups of patients receiving usual care (1:1 propensity score-matched). INTERVENTION: Participants were involved in shared care planning, provided enhanced access to team care, and encouraged to seek chronic condition care at the HCH practice where they were enrolled. Participating practices received bundled payments based on clinical risk tier. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Access to care, processes of care, diabetes-related outcomes, hospital service use, risk of death. RESULTS: During the first twelve months after enrolment, the mean numbers of general practitioner encounters (rate ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.17) and Medicare Benefits Schedule claims for allied health services (rate ratio, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.24-1.33) were higher for the HCH than the usual care group. Annual influenza vaccinations (relative risk, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.17-1.22) and measurements of blood pressure (relative risk, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.08-1.11), blood lipids (relative risk, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.16-1.21), glycated haemoglobin (relative risk, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.03-1.08), and kidney function (relative risk, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.11-1.15) were more likely in the HCH than the usual care group during the twelve months after enrolment. Similar rate ratios and relative risks applied in the second year. The numbers of emergency department presentations (rate ratio, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02-1.18) and emergency admissions (rate ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.04-1.22) were higher for the HCH group during the first year; other differences in hospital use were not statistically significant. Differences in glycaemic and blood pressure control in people with diabetes in the second year were not statistically significant. By 30 June 2021, 689 people in the HCH group (6.5%) and 646 in the usual care group (6.1%) had died (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.96-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: The HCH program was associated with greater access to care and improved processes of care for people with chronic diseases, but not changes in diabetes-related outcomes, most measures of hospital use, or risk of death.

Long-Term Outcomes Following Elective Repair of Intact Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: A Comparison Between Open Surgical and Endovascular Repair Using Linked Administrative and Clinical Registry Data.

OBJECTIVE: Compare long-term mortality, secondary intervention and secondary rupture following elective endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and open surgical repair (OSR). BACKGROUND: EVAR has surpassed OSR as the most common procedure used to repair abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), but evidence regarding long-term outcomes is inconclusive. METHODS: We included patients in linked clinical registry and administrative data undergoing EVAR or OSR for intact AAA between January 2010 and June 2019. We used an inverse probability of treatment-weighted survival analysis to compare all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, secondary interventions and secondary rupture, and evaluate the impact of secondary interventions and secondary rupture on all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The study included 3460 EVAR and 427 OSR patients. Compared to OSR, the EVAR all-cause mortality rate was lower in the first 30 days [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 0.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.140.33], but higher between 1 and 4 years (HR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.12-1.48) and after 4years (HR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.23-1.63). Secondary intervention rates were higher over the first 30 days (HR = 2.26, 95% CI 1.11-4.59), but lower between 1 and 4years (HR = 0.59, 95% CI 0.48-0.74). Secondary aortic intervention rates were higher across the entire follow-up period (HR = 2.52, 95% CI 2.06-3.07). Secondary rupture rates did not differ significantly (HR = 1.06, 95% CI 0.73-1.55). All-cause mortality beyond 1 year remained significantly higher for EVAR after adjusting for any secondary interventions, or secendary rupture. CONCLUSIONS: EVAR has an early survival benefit compared to OSR. However, elevated long-term mortality and higher rates of secondary aortic interventions and subsequent aneurysm repair suggest that EVAR may be a less durable method of aortic aneurysm exclusion.

Long-term Mortality and Reintervention After Endovascular and Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repairs in Australia, Germany, and the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To examine long-term outcomes after endovascular (EVAR) and open repairs (OAR) for intact abdominal aortic aneurysms in Australia, Germany, and the United States, using a unified study design. BACKGROUND: Similarities and differences in long-term outcomes after EVAR versus OAR across countries remained unclear, given differences in designs across existing studies. METHODS: We identified patients aged >65 years undergoing intact abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs during 2010-2017/2018. We compared long-term patient mortality and reintervention after EVAR and OAR using Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox regressions. Propensity score matching was performed within each country to adjust for differences in baseline patient characteristics between procedure groups. RESULTS: We included 3311, 4909, and 145363 patients from Australia, Germany, and the United States, respectively. The median patient age was 76 to 77 years, and most patients were males (77%-84%). Patient mortality was lower after EVAR than OAR within the first 60 days and became similar at 3-year follow-up (Australia 14.7% vs 16.5%, Germany 18.2% vs 19.7%, United States: 24.4% vs 24.4%). At the end of follow-up, patient mortality after EVAR was higher than OAR in Australia [ hazard ratio (HR) 95% CI: 1.21 (0.96-1.54)] but similar to OAR in Germany [HR 95% CI: 0.92 (0.80-1.07)] and the United States [HR 95% CI: 1.02 (0.99-1.05)]. The risk of reintervention after EVAR was more than twice that after OAR in Australia [HR 95% CI: 2.60 (1.09-6.15)], Germany [HR 95% CI: 4.79 (2.56-8.98)], and the United States [HR 95% CI: 2.67 (2.38-3.00)]. The difference in reintervention risk appeared early in German and United States patients. CONCLUSIONS: This multinational study demonstrated important similarities in long-term outcomes after EVAR versus OAR across 3 countries. Variation in long-term mortality and reintervention comparisons indicates possible differences in patient profiles, surveillance, and best medical therapy across countries.

Editor's Choice - Comparison of Outcomes for Major Contemporary Endograft Devices Used for Endovascular Repair of Intact Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: To compare rates of mortality, rupture, and secondary intervention following endovascular repair (EVAR) of intact abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) using contemporary endograft devices from three major manufacturers. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study using linked clinical registry (Australasian Vascular Audit) and all payer administrative data. Patients undergoing EVAR for intact AAA between 2010 and 2019 in New South Wales, Australia were identified. Rates of all cause death, secondary rupture, and secondary intervention (subsequent aneurysm repair; other secondary aortic intervention) were compared for patients treated with Cook, Medtronic, and Gore standard devices. Inverse probability of treatment weighted proportional hazards and competing risk regression were used to adjust for patient, clinical, and aneurysm characteristics, using Cook as the referent device. RESULTS: This study identified 2 874 eligible EVAR patients, with a median follow up of 4.1 (maximum 9.5) years. Mortality rates were similar for patients receiving different devices (ranging between 7.0 and 7.3 per 100 person years). There was no statistically significant difference between devices in secondary rupture rates, which ranged between 0.4 and 0.5 per 100 person years. Patients receiving Medtronic and Gore devices tended to have higher crude rates of subsequent aneurysm repair (1.5 per 100 person years) than patients receiving Cook devices (0.8 per 100 person years). This finding remained in the adjusted analysis, but was only statistically significant for Medtronic devices (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.02 - 2.47; HR 1.73, 95% CI 0.94 - 3.18, respectively). CONCLUSION: Major endograft devices have similar overall long term safety profiles. However, there may be differences in rates of secondary intervention for some devices. This may reflect endograft durability, or patient selection for different devices based on aneurysm anatomy. Continuous comparative assessments are needed to guide evidence for treatment decisions across the range of available devices.

In-hospital outcomes by insurance type among patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions for acute myocardial infarction in New South Wales public hospitals.

BACKGROUND: International evidence suggests patients receiving cardiac interventions experience differential outcomes by their insurance status. We investigated outcomes of in-hospital care according to insurance status among patients admitted in public hospitals with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: We conducted a cohort study within the Australian universal health care system with supplemental private insurance. Using linked hospital and mortality data, we included patients aged 18 + years admitted to New South Wales public hospitals with AMI and undergoing their first PCI from 2017-2020. We measured hospital-acquired complications (HACs), length of stay (LOS) and in-hospital mortality among propensity score-matched private and publicly funded patients. Matching was based on socio-demographic, clinical, admission and hospital-related factors. RESULTS: Of 18,237 inpatients, 30.0% were privately funded. In the propensity-matched cohort (n = 10,630), private patients had lower rates of in-hospital mortality than public patients (odds ratio: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.45-0.77; approximately 11 deaths avoided per 1,000 people undergoing PCI procedures). Mortality differences were mostly driven by STEMI patients and those from major cities. There were no significant differences in rates of HACs or average LOS in private, compared to public, patients. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest patients undergoing PCI in Australian public hospitals with private health insurance experience lower in-hospital mortality compared with their publicly insured counterparts, but in-hospital complications are not related to patient health insurance status. Our findings are likely due to unmeasured confounding of broader patient selection, socioeconomic differences and pathways of care (e.g. access to emergency and ambulatory care; delays in treatment) that should be investigated to improve equity in health outcomes.

Trends in use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) in Australia in the era of increased evidence of their cardiovascular benefits (2014-2022).

PURPOSE: To investigate trends in SGLT2i and GLP-1RA use in Australia in the era of increased evidence of their cardiovascular benefits. METHODS: We used national dispensing claims for a 10% random sample of Australians to estimate the number of prevalent and new users (no dispensing in the prior year) of SGLT2i or GLP-1RA per month from January 2014 to July 2022. We assessed prescriber specialty and prior use of other antidiabetic and cardiovascular medicines as a proxy for evidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular conditions, respectively. RESULTS: We found a large increase in the number of prevalent users (216-fold for SGLT2i; 11-fold for GLP-1RA); in July 2022 approximately 250,000 Australians were dispensed SGLT2i and 120,000 GLP-1RA. Most new users of SGLT2i or GLP-1RA had evidence of both T2D and cardiovascular conditions, although from 2022 onwards, approximately one in five new users of SGLT2i did not have T2D. The proportion of new users initiating SGLT2i by cardiologists increased after 2021, reaching 10.0% of initiations in July 2022. Among new users with evidence of cardiovascular conditions, empagliflozin was the most commonly prescribed SGLT2i, while dulaglutide or semaglutide was the most common GLP-1RA. CONCLUSION: SGLT2i and GLP-1RA use is increasing in Australia, particularly in populations with higher cardiovascular risk. The increased use of SGLT2i among people without evidence of T2D suggests that best-evidence medicines are adopted in Australia across specialties, aligning with new evidence and expanding indications.

Evidence-practice gaps in P2Y12 inhibitor use after hospitalisation for acute myocardial infarction: findings from a new population-level data linkage in Australia.

BACKGROUND: P2Y12 inhibitor therapy is recommended for 12 months in patients hospitalised for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) unless the bleeding risk is high. AIMS: To describe real-world use of P2Y12 inhibitor therapy following AMI hospitalisation. METHODS: We used population-level linked hospital data to identify all patients discharged from a public hospital with a primary diagnosis of AMI between July 2011 and June 2013 in New South Wales and Victoria, Australia. We used dispensing claims to examine dispensing of a P2Y12 inhibitor (clopidogrel, prasugrel or ticagrelor) within 30 days of discharge and multilevel models to identify predictors of post-discharge dispensing and persistence of therapy to 1 year. RESULTS: We identified 31 848 patients hospitalised for AMI, of whom 56.8% were dispensed a P2Y12 inhibitor within 30 days of discharge. The proportion of patients with post-discharge dispensing varied between hospitals (interquartile range: 25.0-56.5%), and significant between-hospital variation remained after adjusting for patient characteristics. Patient factors associated with the lowest likelihood of post-discharge dispensing were: having undergone coronary artery bypass grafting (odds ratio (OR): 0.17; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.15-0.20); having oral anticoagulants dispensed 180 days before or 30 days after discharge (OR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.35-0.44); major bleeding (OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.61-0.76); or being aged ≥85 years (OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.62-0.75). A total of 26.8% of patients who were dispensed a P2Y12 inhibitor post-discharge discontinued therapy within 1 year. CONCLUSION: Post-hospitalisation use of P2Y12 inhibitor therapy in AMI patients is low and varies substantially by hospital of discharge. Our findings suggest strategies addressing both health system (hospital and physician) and patient factors are needed to close this evidence-practice gap.

An Observational Study of Clinical and Health System Factors Associated With Catheter Ablation and Early Ablation Treatment for Atrial Fibrillation in Australia.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate clinical and health system factors associated with receiving catheter ablation (CA) and earlier ablation for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: We used hospital administrative data linked with death registrations in New South Wales, Australia for patients with a primary diagnosis of AF between 2009 and 2017. Outcome measures included receipt of CA versus not receiving CA during follow-up (using Cox regression) and receipt of early ablation (using logistic regression). RESULTS: Cardioversion during index admission (hazard ratio [HR] 1.96; 95% CI 1.75-2.19), year of index admission (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.05-1.10), private patient status (HR 2.65; 95% CI 2.35-2.97), and living in more advantaged areas (HR 1.18; 95% CI 1.13-1.22) were associated with a higher likelihood of receiving CA. A history of congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, and myocardial infarction were associated with a lower likelihood of receiving CA. Private patient status (odds ratio [OR] 2.04; 95% CI 1.59-2.61), cardioversion during index admission (OR 1.25; 95% CI 1.0-1.57), and history of diabetes (OR 1.6; 95% CI 1.06-2.41) were associated with receiving early ablation. CONCLUSIONS: Beyond clinical factors, private patients are more likely to receive CA and earlier ablation than their public counterparts. Whether the earlier access to ablation procedures in private patients is leading to differences in outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation remains to be explored.

Post-Discharge Antithrombotic Therapy Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Australian Patients.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend antithrombotic therapy for patients following transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) to reduce the risk of ischaemic events and bioprosthetic valve thrombosis. OBJECTIVE: To describe antithrombotic dispensing within 30 days of discharge for Australian patients receiving TAVI. METHODS: We performed a state-wide retrospective cohort study using linked hospital and medicines dispensing data from January 2013 to December 2018 for all patients receiving TAVI in New South Wales, Australia. We identified patients dispensed oral anticoagulants (vitamin K antagonists [warfarin], direct oral anticoagulants [DOACs]) or clopidogrel within 30 days of discharge. We examined demographic and clinical predictors of antithrombotic dispensing. RESULTS: Our cohort comprised 1,217 patients who underwent TAVI; median age was 84 years and 707 (58.1%) were male. Of these, 808 patients (66.4%) had an antithrombotic dispensed within 30 days of hospital discharge. One-third (33.7%) of these patients were dispensed an anticoagulant (16.1% warfarin; 17.6% DOACs) and two-thirds (66.3%) were dispensed clopidogrel. Patients undergoing TAVI were more likely to be dispensed an antithrombotic medicine within 30-days of hospital discharge if they had been dispensed antithrombotic medicines (RR 1.07; 95% CI 1.03-1.11) or angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (RR 1.04; 95% CI 1.00-1.07) in the 6 months prior to admission. Patients with a history of haemorrhage were less likely to be dispensed an antithrombotic medicine within 30 days of hospital discharge (RR 0.93; 95% CI 0.89-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: We observed gaps in best evidence pharmacotherapy for patients post-TAVI, with almost one third of patients not receiving antithrombotic medicines post-discharge. Further research is needed to quantify the impact of emerging clinical guidelines recommending single antiplatelet therapy, on adherence to best-practice care.

Long-term trajectories of medicine use among older adults experiencing polypharmacy in Australia.

AIMS: To explore longitudinal changes in the number and type of medicines used among older people who experience polypharmacy. METHODS: We used pharmaceutical claims for a 10% sample of Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme beneficiaries to identify people aged 70 years and older who were exposed to 5 or more medicines on 15 February 2014. Using group-based trajectory modelling, we explored changes in the quarterly number and type of medicines used over a 5-year period (2014-2018). RESULTS: In our cohort of 98 539 people, we identified 2 predominant groups of medicine use: sustained polypharmacy (77% of people, 4 trajectories); and decreasing medicine use (23%, 3 trajectories). Within the sustained polypharmacy group, people in trajectories with a lower mean number of medicines (e.g. 6 unique medicines) had relatively stable trajectories, while those using a higher number of medicines (e.g. 15 unique medicines) experienced greater seasonal variation in the number and type of medicines used. On average, people continued to use 2/3 of their medicines (chemical substance level) across adjacent quarters. Within groups of decreasing medicine use, the most common trajectory was a slight drop in medicines within 3 months. Overall, 79% of people still experienced polypharmacy after 1 year. CONCLUSION: Polypharmacy among older people is a sustained phenomenon, reflecting the chronic nature of multimorbidity within this population. However, there is an underlying volatility in the nature of medicines involved, reflecting both changes in treatment and seasonal fluctuation in dispensing. Ongoing prescribing vigilance is required, particularly for patients using very large amounts of medicines.

Polypharmacy among older Australians, 2006-2017: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of polypharmacy among Australians aged 70 years or more, 2006-2017. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of a random 10% sample of Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) data for people aged 70 or more who were dispensed PBS-listed medicines between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2017. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of continuous polypharmacy (five or more unique medicines dispensed during both 1 April - 30 June and 1 October - 31 December in a calendar year) among older Australians, and the estimated number of people affected in 2017; changes in prevalence of continuous polypharmacy among older concessional beneficiaries, 2006-2017. RESULTS: In 2017, 36.1% of older Australians were affected by continuous polypharmacy, or an estimated 935 240 people. Rates of polypharmacy were higher among women than men (36.6% v 35.4%) and were highest among those aged 80-84 years (43.9%) or 85-89 years (46.0%). The prevalence of polypharmacy among PBS concessional beneficiaries aged 70 or more increased by 9% during 2006-2017 (from 33.2% to 36.2%), but the number of people affected increased by 52% (from 543 950 to 828 950). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of polypharmacy among older Australians is relatively high, affecting almost one million older people, and the number is increasing as the population ages. Our estimates are probably low, as we could not take over-the-counter or complementary medicines or private prescriptions into account. Polypharmacy can be appropriate, but there is substantial evidence for its potential harm and the importance of rationalising unnecessary medicines, particularly in older people.

Overcoming the data drought: exploring general practice in Australia by network analysis of big data.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the organisation and characteristics of general practice in Australia by applying novel network analysis methods to national Medicare claims data. DESIGN: We analysed Medicare claims for general practitioner consultations during 1994-2014 for a random 10% sample of Australian residents, and applied hierarchical block modelling to identify provider practice communities (PPCs). PARTICIPANTS: About 1.7 million patients per year. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers and characteristics of PPCs (including numbers of providers, patients and claims), proportion of bulk-billed claims, continuity of care, patient loyalty, patient sharing. RESULTS: The number of PPCs fluctuated during the 21-year period; there were 7747 PPCs in 2014. The proportion of larger PPCs (six or more providers) increased from 32% in 1994 to 43% in 2014, while that of sole provider PPCs declined from 50% to 39%. The median annual number of claims per PPC increased from 5000 (IQR, 40-19 940) in 1994 to 9980 (190-23 800) in 2014; the proportion of PPCs that bulk-billed all patients was lowest in 2004 (21%) and highest in 2014 (29%). Continuity of care and patient loyalty were stable; in 2014, 50% of patients saw the same provider and 78% saw a provider in the same PPC for at least 75% of consultations. Density of patient sharing in a PPC was correlated with patient loyalty to that PPC. CONCLUSIONS: During 1994-2014, Australian GP practice communities have generally increased in size, but continuity of care and patient loyalty have remained stable. Our novel approach to the analysis of routinely collected data allows continuous monitoring of the characteristics of Australian general practices and their influence on patient care.

Sociodemographic and health characteristics, rather than primary care supply, are major drivers of geographic variation in preventable hospitalizations in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Geographic rates of preventable hospitalization are used internationally as an indicator of accessibility and quality of primary care. Much research has correlated the indicator with the supply of primary care services, yet multiple other factors may influence these admissions. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the relative contributions of the supply of general practitioners (GPs) and personal sociodemographic and health characteristics, to geographic variation in preventable hospitalization. METHODS: Self-reported questionnaire data for 267,091 participants in the 45 and Up Study, Australia, were linked with administrative hospital data to identify preventable hospitalizations. Multilevel Poisson models, with participants clustered in their geographic area of residence, were used to explore factors that explain geographic variation in hospitalization. RESULTS: GP supply, measured as full-time workload equivalents, was not a significant predictor of preventable hospitalization, and explained only a small amount (2.9%) of the geographic variation in hospitalization rates. Conversely, more than one-third (36.9%) of variation was driven by the sociodemographic composition, health, and behaviors of the population. These personal characteristics explained a greater amount of the variation for chronic conditions (37.5%) than acute (15.5%) or vaccine-preventable conditions (2.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Personal sociodemographic and health characteristics, rather than GP supply, are major drivers of preventable hospitalization. Their contribution varies according to condition, and if used for performance comparison purposes, geographic rates of preventable hospitalization should be reported according to individual condition or potential pathways for intervention.

Lymphoid neoplasm incidence by WHO subtype in Australia 1982-2006.

There are limited data characterizing the subtype-specific incidence of lymphoid neoplasms in the World Health Organization (WHO) Classification era. Data were obtained on all incident lymphoid neoplasms registered in Australia during 1982-2006. Subtypes were grouped using the InterLymph nested hierarchical classification, based on the 2008 WHO Classification. Temporal trends were examined using Joinpoint regression; average annual percentage change in incidence was computed. Multiple Poisson regression was used to compare incidence by sex and age. The incidence of all non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) increased by 2.5%/year during 1982-1996 and was stable thereafter. During 1997-2006, several mature B- and natural killer (NK)-/T-cell NHL subtypes increased in incidence, including diffuse large B-cell (1.3%/year), follicular (2.5%/year), Burkitt (6.8%/year), marginal zone (13.2%/year), mantle cell (4.2%/year), peripheral T-cell lymphoma (4.7%/year) and plasmacytoma (7.1%/year). While chronic lymphocytic leukemia incidence was stable, small lymphocytic lymphoma incidence declined (8.1%/year). Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) incidence increased during 1997-2006 (2.2%/year), both classical (4.3%/year) and nodular lymphocyte predominant (12.1%/year) HL. Diagnostic artifact, evidenced by a sustained decline in the incidence of NHL not otherwise specified (NOS; 5.8%/year) and lymphoid neoplasms NOS (5.6%/year), limits the interpretation of temporal trends for some subtypes. A marked male predominance was observed for almost all subtypes. Incidence of mature B- and NK-/T-cell NHL subtypes increased sharply with age, except for Burkitt lymphoma/leukemia. For HL subtypes, a bimodal age distribution was only evident for nodular sclerosis HL. Variation in incidence patterns over time and by sex and age supports etiological differences between lymphoid neoplasm subtypes.

Trajectories of Opioid Use Before and After Cancer Diagnosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Opioid use prior to cancer diagnosis increases the likelihood of long-term use during survivorship, however, patterns of use before and after diagnosis are not understood. METHODS: We used population-based dispensing data linked with cancer and death notifications to identify two cohorts of adults residing in New South Wales initiating opioids within 24 months prior to a first cancer diagnosed between 2014 and 2016: 'survivors' (alive 24 months following diagnosis) and 'decedents' (died within 24 months). We used group-based trajectory modelling to identify trajectories of monthly opioid dispensings and dispensed oral morphine equivalent milligrams (OMEmg) during the 24 months before/after cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: There were 21,843 survivors with four prediagnosis opioid dispensing trajectories: infrequent (58% of the cohort), late increasing (26%), moderate (10%), and sustained dispensing (6%). We observed an overall increase in dispensed OMEmg of 83 OMEmg (95% CI: 76-91) during the month of diagnosis, with strong opioid formulations comprising most treatment postdiagnosis. Within each prediagnosis opioid trajectory group, we observed five to six postdiagnosis trajectory groups, including no opioid dispensing. Moderate and sustained prediagnosis groups had large proportions of people continuing or increasing opioid dispensing after diagnosis, while small proportions discontinued opioid treatment. We observed similar trajectories in the decedent cohort. CONCLUSIONS: There is considerable heterogeneity in opioid use before and after cancer diagnosis. Our findings suggest noncancer factors drive a significant proportion of postdiagnosis opioid use, but use increased significantly from the month of cancer diagnosis and never returned to prediagnosis levels.

Prescription and dispensing duration of medicines for hypertension and other chronic conditions: a review of international policies and evidence to inform the Australian setting.

The duration of treatment for which a physician may prescribe a medicine, 'prescription duration', is often dispensed at the pharmacy on multiple occasions of shorter time periods, 'dispensing duration'. These durations vary significantly between and within countries. In Australia, the quantity of medication supplied at each dispensing has recently been extended from 30 to 60 days for a selection of medicines used for chronic health conditions, such as diabetes and hypertension. Dispensing durations vary between countries, with 30, 60 or 90 days being the most common-with 90 days aligning with the recommendation of the 2023 Global Report on Hypertension from the World Health Organization. The full impact of shorter vs longer prescription durations on health costs and outcomes is unknown, but current evidence suggests that 90-day dispensing could reduce costs and improve patient convenience and adherence. More rigorous research is needed.