Genetic links between ovarian ageing, cancer risk and de novo mutation rates.

Human genetic studies of common variants have provided substantial insight into the biological mechanisms that govern ovarian ageing1. Here we report analyses of rare protein-coding variants in 106,973 women from the UK Biobank study, implicating genes with effects around five times larger than previously found for common variants (ETAA1, ZNF518A, PNPLA8, PALB2 and SAMHD1). The SAMHD1 association reinforces the link between ovarian ageing and cancer susceptibility1, with damaging germline variants being associated with extended reproductive lifespan and increased all-cause cancer risk in both men and women. Protein-truncating variants in ZNF518A are associated with shorter reproductive lifespan-that is, earlier age at menopause (by 5.61 years) and later age at menarche (by 0.56 years). Finally, using 8,089 sequenced trios from the 100,000 Genomes Project (100kGP), we observe that common genetic variants associated with earlier ovarian ageing associate with an increased rate of maternally derived de novo mutations. Although we were unable to replicate the finding in independent samples from the deCODE study, it is consistent with the expected role of DNA damage response genes in maintaining the genetic integrity of germ cells. This study provides evidence of genetic links between age of menopause and cancer risk.

Penetrance and expressivity of mitochondrial variants in a large clinically unselected population.

Whole genome sequencing (WGS) from large clinically unselected cohorts provides a unique opportunity to assess the penetrance and expressivity of rare and/or known pathogenic mitochondrial variants in population. Using WGS from 179 862 clinically unselected individuals from the UK Biobank, we performed extensive single and rare variant aggregation association analyses of 15 881 mtDNA variants and 73 known pathogenic variants with 15 mitochondrial disease-relevant phenotypes. We identified 12 homoplasmic and one heteroplasmic variant (m.3243A>G) with genome-wide significant associations in our clinically unselected cohort. Heteroplasmic m.3243A>G (MAF = 0.0002, a known pathogenic variant) was associated with diabetes, deafness and heart failure and 12 homoplasmic variants increased aspartate aminotransferase levels including three low-frequency variants (MAF ~0.002 and beta~0.3 SD). Most pathogenic mitochondrial disease variants (n = 66/74) were rare in the population (<1:9000). Aggregated or single variant analysis of pathogenic variants showed low penetrance in unselected settings for the relevant phenotypes, except m.3243A>G. Multi-system disease risk and penetrance of diabetes, deafness and heart failure greatly increased with m.3243A>G level ≥ 10%. The odds ratio of these traits increased from 5.61, 12.3 and 10.1 to 25.1, 55.0 and 39.5, respectively. Diabetes risk with m.3243A>G was further influenced by type 2 diabetes genetic risk. Our study of mitochondrial variation in a large-unselected population identified novel associations and demonstrated that pathogenic mitochondrial variants have lower penetrance in clinically unselected settings. m.3243A>G was an exception at higher heteroplasmy showing a significant impact on health making it a good candidate for incidental reporting.

Identification and analysis of individuals who deviate from their genetically-predicted phenotype.

Findings from genome-wide association studies have facilitated the generation of genetic predictors for many common human phenotypes. Stratifying individuals misaligned to a genetic predictor based on common variants may be important for follow-up studies that aim to identify alternative causal factors. Using genome-wide imputed genetic data, we aimed to classify 158,951 unrelated individuals from the UK Biobank as either concordant or deviating from two well-measured phenotypes. We first applied our methods to standing height: our primary analysis classified 244 individuals (0.15%) as misaligned to their genetically predicted height. We show that these individuals are enriched for self-reporting being shorter or taller than average at age 10, diagnosed congenital malformations, and rare loss-of-function variants in genes previously catalogued as causal for growth disorders. Secondly, we apply our methods to LDL cholesterol (LDL-C). We classified 156 (0.12%) individuals as misaligned to their genetically predicted LDL-C and show that these individuals were enriched for both clinically actionable cardiovascular risk factors and rare genetic variants in genes previously shown to be involved in metabolic processes. Individuals whose LDL-C was higher than expected based on the genetic predictor were also at higher risk of developing coronary artery disease and type-two diabetes, even after adjustment for measured LDL-C, BMI and age, suggesting upward deviation from genetically predicted LDL-C is indicative of generally poor health. Our results remained broadly consistent when performing sensitivity analysis based on a variety of parametric and non-parametric methods to define individuals deviating from polygenic expectation. Our analyses demonstrate the potential importance of quantitatively identifying individuals for further follow-up based on deviation from genetic predictions.

Recurrent 17q12 microduplications contribute to renal disease but not diabetes.

BACKGROUND: 17q12 microdeletion and microduplication syndromes present as overlapping, multisystem disorders. We assessed the disease phenotypes of individuals with 17q12 CNV in a population-based cohort. METHODS: We investigated 17q12 CNV using microarray data from 450 993 individuals in the UK Biobank and calculated disease status associations for diabetes, liver and renal function, neurological and psychiatric traits. RESULTS: We identified 11 17q12 microdeletions and 106 microduplications. Microdeletions were strongly associated with diabetes (p=2×10-7) but microduplications were not. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR mL/min/1.73 m2) was consistently lower in individuals with microdeletions (p=3×10-12) and microduplications (p=6×10-25). Similarly, eGFR <60, including end-stage renal disease, was associated with microdeletions (p=2×10-9, p<0.003) and microduplications (p=1×10-9, p=0.009), respectively, highlighting sometimes substantially reduced renal function in each. Microduplications were associated with decreased fluid intelligence (p=3×10-4). SNP association analysis in the 17q12 region implicated changes to HNF1B as causing decreased eGFR (NC_000017.11:g.37741642T>G, rs12601991, p=4×10-21) and diabetes (NC_000017.11:g.37741165C>T, rs7501939, p=6×10-17). A second locus within the region was also associated with fluid intelligence (NC_000017.11:g.36593168T>C, rs1005552, p=6×10-9) and decreased eGFR (NC_000017.11:g.36558947T>C, rs12150665, p=4×10-15). CONCLUSION: We demonstrate 17q12 microdeletions but not microduplications are associated with diabetes in a population-based cohort, likely caused by HNF1B haploinsufficiency. We show that both 17q12 microdeletions and microduplications are associated with renal disease, and multiple genes within the region likely contribute to renal and neurocognitive phenotypes.

Utility of genetic risk scores in type 1 diabetes.

Iterative advances in understanding of the genetics of type 1 diabetes have identified >70 genetic regions associated with risk of the disease, including strong associations across the HLA class II region that account for >50% of heritability. The increased availability of genetic data combined with the decreased costs of generating these data, have facilitated the development of polygenic scores that aggregate risk variants from associated loci into a single number: either a genetic risk score (GRS) or a polygenic risk score (PRS). PRSs incorporate the risk of many possibly correlated variants from across the genome, even if they do not reach genome-wide significance, whereas GRSs estimate the cumulative contribution of a smaller subset of genetic variants that reach genome-wide significance. Type 1 diabetes GRSs have utility in diabetes classification, aiding discrimination between type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes and MODY. Type 1 diabetes GRSs are also being used in newborn screening studies to identify infants at risk of future presentation of the disease. Most early studies of type 1 diabetes genetics have been conducted in European ancestry populations, but, to develop accurate GRSs across diverse ancestries, large case-control cohorts from non-European populations are still needed. The current barriers to GRS implementation within healthcare are mainly related to a lack of guidance and knowledge on integration with other biomarkers and clinical variables. Once these limitations are addressed, there is huge potential for 'test and treat' approaches to be used to tailor care for individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Genetic evidence that high BMI in childhood has a protective effect on intermediate diabetes traits, including measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion, after accounting for BMI in adulthood.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Determining how high BMI at different time points influences the risk of developing type 2 diabetes and affects insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity is critical. METHODS: By estimating childhood BMI in 441,761 individuals in the UK Biobank, we identified which genetic variants had larger effects on adulthood BMI than on childhood BMI, and vice versa. All genome-wide significant genetic variants were then used to separate the independent genetic effects of high childhood BMI from those of high adulthood BMI on the risk of type 2 diabetes and insulin-related phenotypes using Mendelian randomisation. We performed two-sample MR using external studies of type 2 diabetes, and oral and intravenous measures of insulin secretion and sensitivity. RESULTS: We found that a childhood BMI that was one standard deviation (1.97 kg/m2) higher than the mean, corrected for the independent genetic liability to adulthood BMI, was associated with a protective effect for seven measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion, including increased insulin sensitivity index (ß=0.15; 95% CI 0.067, 0.225; p=2.79×10-4) and reduced fasting glucose levels (ß=-0.053; 95% CI -0.089, -0.017; p=4.31×10-3). However, there was little to no evidence of a direct protective effect on type 2 diabetes (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.85, 1.04; p=0.228) independently of genetic liability to adulthood BMI. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our results provide evidence of the protective effect of higher childhood BMI on insulin secretion and sensitivity, which are crucial intermediate diabetes traits. However, we stress that our results should not currently lead to any change in public health or clinical practice, given the uncertainty regarding the biological pathway of these effects and the limitations of this type of study.

Clustering of predicted loss-of-function variants in genes linked with monogenic disease can explain incomplete penetrance.

BACKGROUND: Genetic variants that severely alter protein products (e.g. nonsense, frameshift) are often associated with disease. For some genes, these predicted loss-of-function variants (pLoFs) are observed throughout the gene, whilst in others, they occur only at specific locations. We hypothesised that, for genes linked with monogenic diseases that display incomplete penetrance, pLoF variants present in apparently unaffected individuals may be limited to regions where pLoFs are tolerated. To test this, we investigated whether pLoF location could explain instances of incomplete penetrance of variants expected to be pathogenic for Mendelian conditions. METHODS: We used exome sequence data in 454,773 individuals in the UK Biobank (UKB) to investigate the locations of pLoFs in a population cohort. We counted numbers of unique pLoF, missense, and synonymous variants in UKB in each quintile of the coding sequence (CDS) of all protein-coding genes and clustered the variants using Gaussian mixture models. We limited the analyses to genes with ≥ 5 variants of each type (16,473 genes). We compared the locations of pLoFs in UKB with all theoretically possible pLoFs in a transcript, and pathogenic pLoFs from ClinVar, and performed simulations to estimate the false-positive rate of non-uniformly distributed variants. RESULTS: For most genes, all variant classes fell into clusters representing broadly uniform variant distributions, but genes in which haploinsufficiency causes developmental disorders were less likely to have uniform pLoF distribution than other genes (P < 2.2 × 10-6). We identified a number of genes, including ARID1B and GATA6, where pLoF variants in the first quarter of the CDS were rescued by the presence of an alternative translation start site and should not be reported as pathogenic. For other genes, such as ODC1, pLoFs were located approximately uniformly across the gene, but pathogenic pLoFs were clustered only at the end, consistent with a gain-of-function disease mechanism. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest the potential benefits of localised constraint metrics and that the location of pLoF variants should be considered when interpreting variants.

Rare variant associations with birth weight identify genes involved in adipose tissue regulation, placental function and insulin-like growth factor signalling.

Investigating the genetic factors influencing human birth weight may lead to biological insights into fetal growth and long-term health. Genome-wide association studies of birth weight have highlighted associated variants in more than 200 regions of the genome, but the causal genes are mostly unknown. Rare genetic variants with robust evidence of association are more likely to point to causal genes, but to date, only a few rare variants are known to influence birth weight. We aimed to identify genes that harbour rare variants that impact birth weight when carried by either the fetus or the mother, by analysing whole exome sequence data in UK Biobank participants. We annotated rare (minor allele frequency <0.1%) protein-truncating or high impact missense variants on whole exome sequence data in up to 234,675 participants with data on their own birth weight (fetal variants), and up to 181,883 mothers who reported the birth weight of their first child (maternal variants). Variants within each gene were collapsed to perform gene burden tests and for each associated gene, we compared the observed fetal and maternal effects. We identified 8 genes with evidence of rare fetal variant effects on birth weight, of which 2 also showed maternal effects. One additional gene showed evidence of maternal effects only. We observed 10/11 directionally concordant associations in an independent sample of up to 45,622 individuals (sign test P=0.01). Of the genes identified, IGF1R and PAPPA2 (fetal and maternal-acting) have known roles in insulin-like growth factor bioavailability and signalling. PPARG, INHBE and ACVR1C (all fetal-acting) have known roles in adipose tissue regulation and rare variants in the latter two also showed associations with favourable adiposity patterns in adults. We highlight the dual role of PPARG in both adipocyte differentiation and placental angiogenesis. NOS3, NRK, and ADAMTS8 (fetal and maternal-acting) have been implicated in both placental function and hypertension. Analysis of rare coding variants has identified regulators of fetal adipose tissue and fetoplacental angiogenesis as determinants of birth weight, as well as further evidence for the role of insulin-like growth factors.

Whole-genome sequencing in 333,100 individuals reveals rare non-coding single variant and aggregate associations with height.

The role of rare non-coding variation in complex human phenotypes is still largely unknown. To elucidate the impact of rare variants in regulatory elements, we performed a whole-genome sequencing association analysis for height using 333,100 individuals from three datasets: UK Biobank (N = 200,003), TOPMed (N = 87,652) and All of Us (N = 45,445). We performed rare ( < 0.1% minor-allele-frequency) single-variant and aggregate testing of non-coding variants in regulatory regions based on proximal-regulatory, intergenic-regulatory and deep-intronic annotation. We observed 29 independent variants associated with height at P < 6 × 10 - 10 after conditioning on previously reported variants, with effect sizes ranging from -7cm to +4.7 cm. We also identified and replicated non-coding aggregate-based associations proximal to HMGA1 containing variants associated with a 5 cm taller height and of highly-conserved variants in MIR497HG on chromosome 17. We have developed an approach for identifying non-coding rare variants in regulatory regions with large effects from whole-genome sequencing data associated with complex traits.

A Federated Database for Obesity Research: An IMI-SOPHIA Study.

Obesity is considered by many as a lifestyle choice rather than a chronic progressive disease. The Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) SOPHIA (Stratification of Obesity Phenotypes to Optimize Future Obesity Therapy) project is part of a momentum shift aiming to provide better tools for the stratification of people with obesity according to disease risk and treatment response. One of the challenges to achieving these goals is that many clinical cohorts are siloed, limiting the potential of combined data for biomarker discovery. In SOPHIA, we have addressed this challenge by setting up a federated database building on open-source DataSHIELD technology. The database currently federates 16 cohorts that are accessible via a central gateway. The database is multi-modal, including research studies, clinical trials, and routine health data, and is accessed using the R statistical programming environment where statistical and machine learning analyses can be performed at a distance without any disclosure of patient-level data. We demonstrate the use of the database by providing a proof-of-concept analysis, performing a federated linear model of BMI and systolic blood pressure, pooling all data from 16 studies virtually without any analyst seeing individual patient-level data. This analysis provided similar point estimates compared to a meta-analysis of the 16 individual studies. Our approach provides a benchmark for reproducible, safe federated analyses across multiple study types provided by multiple stakeholders.

Identification and analysis of individuals who deviate from their genetically-predicted phenotype.

Findings from genome-wide association studies have facilitated the generation of genetic predictors for many common human phenotypes. Stratifying individuals misaligned to a genetic predictor based on common variants may be important for follow-up studies that aim to identify alternative causal factors. Using genome-wide imputed genetic data, we aimed to classify 158,951 unrelated individuals from the UK Biobank as either concordant or deviating from two well-measured phenotypes. We first applied our methods to standing height: our primary analysis classified 244 individuals (0.15%) as misaligned to their genetically predicted height. We show that these individuals are enriched for self-reporting being shorter or taller than average at age 10, diagnosed congenital malformations, and rare loss-of-function variants in genes previously catalogued as causal for growth disorders. Secondly, we apply our methods to LDL cholesterol. We classified 156 (0.12%) individuals as misaligned to their genetically predicted LDL cholesterol and show that these individuals were enriched for both clinically actionable cardiovascular risk factors and rare genetic variants in genes previously shown to be involved in metabolic processes. Individuals whose LDL-C was higher than expected based on the genetic predictor were also at higher risk of developing coronary artery disease and type-two diabetes, even after adjustment for measured LDL-C, BMI and age, suggesting upward deviation from genetically predicted LDL-C is indicative of generally poor health. Our results remained broadly consistent when performing sensitivity analysis based on a variety of parametric and non-parametric methods to define individuals deviating from polygenic expectation. Our analyses demonstrate the potential importance of quantitatively identifying individuals for further follow-up based on deviation from genetic predictions. Author Summary: Human genetics is becoming increasingly useful to help predict human traits across a population owing to findings from large-scale genetic association studies and advances in the power of genetic predictors. This provides an opportunity to potentially identify individuals that deviate from genetic predictions for a common phenotype under investigation. For example, an individual may be genetically predicted to be tall, but be shorter than expected. It is potentially important to identify individuals who deviate from genetic predictions as this can facilitate further follow-up to assess likely causes. Using 158,951 unrelated individuals from the UK Biobank, with height and LDL cholesterol, as exemplar traits, we demonstrate that approximately 0.15% & 0.12% of individuals deviate from their genetically predicted phenotypes respectively. We observed these individuals to be enriched for a range of rare clinical diagnoses, as well as rare genetic factors that may be causal. Our analyses also demonstrate several methods for detecting individuals who deviate from genetic predictions that can be applied to a range of continuous human phenotypes.

Genetic evidence that high BMI in childhood has a protective effect on intermediate diabetes traits, including measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion.

Determining how high body-mass index (BMI) at different time points influences the risk of developing type two diabetes (T2D), and affects insulin secretion and insulin sensitivity, is critical. By estimating childhood BMI in 441,761 individuals in the UK Biobank, we identified which genetic variants had larger effects on adulthood BMI than on childhood BMI, and vice-versa. All genome-wide significant genetic variants were then used to separate the independent genetic effects of high childhood BMI from high adulthood BMI on the risk of T2D and insulin related phenotypes using Mendelian randomisation and studies of T2D, and oral and intravenous measures of insulin secretion and sensitivity. We found that a 1.s.d. (= 1.97kg/m 2 ) higher childhood BMI, corrected for the independent genetic liability to adulthood BMI, was associated with a protective effect for seven measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion, including an increased insulin sensitivity index (ß = 0.15 [0.067, 0.225], p = 2.79×10 -4 ), and reduced fasting glucose (ß = -0.053 [-0.089, -0.017], p = 4.31×10 -3 ). There was however little to no evidence of a direct protective effect on T2D (OR = 0.94 [0.85 - 1.04], p = 0.228), independently of genetic liability to adulthood BMI. Our results thus cumulatively provide evidence of the protective effect of higher childhood BMI on insulin secretion and sensitivity, which are crucial intermediate diabetes traits. However, we stress that our results should not currently lead to any change in public health or clinical practice, given the uncertainty in biological pathway of these effects, and the limitations of this type of study. Research in Context: High BMI in adulthood is associated with higher risk of type two diabetes, coupled with lower insulin sensitivity and secretion.Richardson et al [2020] used genetics to show that high BMI in childhood does not appear to increase the risk of type diabetes independently from its effect on adult BMI.We asked: does high childhood BMI affect insulin related traits such as fasting glucose and insulin sensitivity, independently of adulthood BMI?We used genetics to show that high childhood BMI has a protective effect on seven insulin sensitivity and secretion traits, including fasting glucose and measures of insulin sensitivity and secretion, independently of adulthood BMI.Our work has the potential to turn conventional understanding on its head - high BMI in childhood improves insulin sensitivity (when adjusting for knock on effects to high adult BMI) and opens up important questions about plasticity in childhood and compensatory mechanisms.

The Role of ONECUT1 Variants in Monogenic and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

ONECUT1 (also known as HNF6) is a transcription factor involved in pancreatic development and ß-cell function. Recently, biallelic variants in ONECUT1 were reported as a cause of neonatal diabetes mellitus (NDM) in two subjects, and missense monoallelic variants were associated with type 2 diabetes and possibly maturity-onset diabetes of the young (MODY). Here we examine the role of ONECUT1 variants in NDM, MODY, and type 2 diabetes in large international cohorts of subjects with monogenic diabetes and >400,000 subjects from UK Biobank. We identified a biallelic frameshift ONECUT1 variant as the cause of NDM in one individual. However, we found no enrichment of missense or null ONECUT1 variants among 484 individuals clinically suspected of MODY, in whom all known genes had been excluded. Finally, using a rare variant burden test in the UK Biobank European cohort, we identified a significant association between heterozygous ONECUT1 null variants and type 2 diabetes (P = 0.006) but did not find an association between missense variants and type 2 diabetes. Our results confirm biallelic ONECUT1 variants as a cause of NDM and highlight monoallelic null variants as a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. These findings confirm the critical role of ONECUT1 in human ß-cell function.

Insights into the genetics of menopausal vasomotor symptoms: genome-wide analyses of routinely-collected primary care health records.

BACKGROUND: Vasomotor symptoms (VMS) can often significantly impact women's quality of life at menopause. In vivo studies have shown that increased neurokinin B (NKB) / neurokinin 3 receptor (NK3R) signalling contributes to VMS, with previous genetic studies implicating the TACR3 gene locus that encodes NK3R. Large-scale genomic analyses offer the possibility of biological insights but few such studies have collected data on VMS, while proxy phenotypes such as hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use are likely to be affected by changes in clinical practice. We investigated the genetic basis of VMS by analysing routinely-collected health records. METHODS: We performed a GWAS of VMS derived from linked primary-care records and cross-sectional self-reported HRT use in up to 153,152 women from UK Biobank, a population-based cohort. In a subset of this cohort (n = 39,356), we analysed exome-sequencing data to test the association with VMS of rare deleterious genetic variants. Finally, we used Mendelian randomisation analysis to investigate the reasons for HRT use over time. RESULTS: Our GWAS of health-records derived VMS identified a genetic signal near TACR3 associated with a lower risk of VMS (OR=0.76 (95% CI 0.72,0.80) per A allele, P=3.7x10-27), which was consistent with previous studies, validating this approach. Conditional analyses demonstrated independence of genetic signals for puberty timing and VMS at the TACR3 locus, including a rare variant predicted to reduce functional NK3R levels that was associated with later menarche (P = 5 × 10-9) but showed no association with VMS (P = 0.6). Younger menopause age was causally-associated with greater HRT use before 2002 but not after. CONCLUSIONS: We provide support for TACR3 in the genetic basis of VMS but unexpectedly find that rare genomic variants predicted to lower NK3R levels did not modify VMS, despite the proven efficacy of NK3R antagonists. Using genomics we demonstrate changes in genetic associations with HRT use over time, arising from a change in clinical practice since the early 2000s, which is likely to reflect a switch from preventing post-menopausal complications in women with earlier menopause to primarily treating VMS. Our study demonstrates that integrating routinely-collected primary care health records and genomic data offers great potential for exploring the genetic basis of symptoms.

Penetrance of pathogenic genetic variants associated with premature ovarian insufficiency.

Premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) affects 1% of women and is a leading cause of infertility. It is often considered to be a monogenic disorder, with pathogenic variants in ~100 genes described in the literature. We sought to systematically evaluate the penetrance of variants in these genes using exome sequence data in 104,733 women from the UK Biobank, 2,231 (1.14%) of whom reported at natural menopause under the age of 40 years. We found limited evidence to support any previously reported autosomal dominant effect. For nearly all heterozygous effects on previously reported POI genes, we ruled out even modest penetrance, with 99.9% (13,699 out of 13,708) of all protein-truncating variants found in reproductively healthy women. We found evidence of haploinsufficiency effects in several genes, including TWNK (1.54 years earlier menopause, P = 1.59 × 10-6) and SOHLH2 (3.48 years earlier menopause, P = 1.03 × 10-4). Collectively, our results suggest that, for the vast majority of women, POI is not caused by autosomal dominant variants either in genes previously reported or currently evaluated in clinical diagnostic panels. Our findings, plus previous studies, suggest that most POI cases are likely oligogenic or polygenic in nature, which has important implications for future clinical genetic studies, and genetic counseling for families affected by POI.