Link between triglyceride-glucose-body mass index and future stroke risk in middle-aged and elderly chinese: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Current literature is deficient in robust evidence delineating the correlation between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and the incidence of stroke. Consequently, this investigation seeks to elucidate the potential link between TyG-BMI and stroke risk in a cohort of middle-aged and senior Chinese individuals. METHODS: This study employs longitudinal data from four waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) conducted in 2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018, encompassing 8,698 participants. The CHARLS cohort was assembled using a multistage probability sampling technique. Participants underwent comprehensive evaluations through standardized questionnaires administered via face-to-face interviews. Our analytic strategy involved the application of Cox proportional hazards regression models to investigate the association between TyG-BMI and the risk of stroke. To discern potential non-linear relationships, we incorporated Cox proportional hazards regression with smooth curve fitting. Additionally, we executed a battery of sensitivity and subgroup analyses to validate the robustness of our findings. RESULTS: Our study utilized a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model and found a significant correlation between the TyG-BMI and the risk of stroke. Specifically, a 10-unit increase in TyG-BMI corresponded to a 4.9% heightened risk of stroke (HR = 1.049, 95% CI 1.029-1.069). The analysis also uncovered a non-linear pattern in this relationship, pinpointed by an inflection point at a TyG-BMI value of 174.63. To the left of this inflection point-meaning at lower TyG-BMI values-a 10-unit hike in TyG-BMI was linked to a more substantial 14.4% rise in stroke risk (HR 1.144; 95% CI 1.044-1.253). Conversely, to the right of the inflection point-at higher TyG-BMI values-each 10-unit increment was associated with a smaller, 3.8% increase in the risk of stroke (HR 1.038; 95% CI 1.016-1.061). CONCLUSIONS: In the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population, elevated TyG-BMI was significantly and positively associated with stroke risk. In addition, there was also a specific non-linear association between TyG-BMI and stroke (inflection point 174.63). Further reduction of TyG-BMI below 174.63 through lifestyle changes and dietary control can significantly reduce the risk of stroke.

Relationship between glycated hemoglobin levels and three-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients with or without diabetes: a prospective Korean cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: In patients experiencing acute ischemic stroke, there is ongoing debate surrounding the connection between chronic hyperglycemic status and their initial clinical outcomes. Our objective was to examine the connection between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and adverse clinical outcomes at both 3-months adverse clinical outcomes in individuals with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with and without diabetes. METHODS: The present prospective cohort study involved 896 AIS patients without diabetes and 628 with diabetes treated at a South Korean hospital from January 2010 to December 2016. The target independent variable is HbA1c. The outcome variable is a modified Rankin scale score ≥ 3. A binary logistic regression model was applied to assess the connection between HbA1c levels and 3-month poor clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. Additionally, a generalized additive model and smoothed curve fitting were utilized to explore potential nonlinear associations between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. RESULTS: The binary logistic regression model could not identify any statistically significant connection between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients, both those with and without diabetes, after correcting for various factors. However, a nonlinear relationship emerged between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. The inflection point for HbA1c was determined to be 6.1%. For HbA1c values ≤ 6.1%, an inverse association was observed between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with an 87% reduction in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02-0.81). Conversely, when HbA1c exceeded 6.1%, a positive association between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes became apparent in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with a 23% increase in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 1.03-1.47). However, it's important to note that no significant linear or nonlinear relationships were observed between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients without diabetes. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest a nonlinear connection and threshold effect between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. AIS patients with diabetes had a lower risk of 3-month adverse clinical outcomes when their HbA1c control was close to 6.1%. Our findings may aid treatment decision-making and potentially guide interventions to optimize glycemic control in AIS patients.

Nonlinear association of fibrinogen levels with functional prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Fibrinogen, essential in primary hemostasis, platelet aggregation, and leukocyte-endothelial interactions, is also associated with a heightened risk of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, its influence on AIS patient outcomes is unclear. This study examines the correlation between fibrinogen levels and the risk of unfavorable outcomes three months post-AIS. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study conducted in Korea. The sample consisted of 1851 AIS patients who received treatment at a Korean hospital between January 2010 and December 2016. Statistical models were established to understand the relationship between fibrinogen levels(mg/dL) and unfavorable outcomes(mRs ≥ 3), including logistic regression models, Generalized Additive Models (GAM), and smooth curve fitting (penalized splines). The log-likelihood ratio test has been utilized to evaluate the best fit. To ensure the robustness of the results, sensitivity analyses were conducted by reanalyzing the relationship after excluding participants with TG > 200 mg/dl and BMI > 25 kg/m2. Subgroup analyses were also performed to assess whether influencing factors modify the association between fibrinogen levels and unfavorable outcomes. RESULTS: After adjusting for multiple covariates including age, BMI, sex, LDL-c, TG, HGB, HDL-c, BUN, FPG, ALB, PLT, AF, hypertension, smoking, DM, mRs score at admission, the binary logistic regression model demonstrated revealed a significant positive association between fibrinogen levels and the risk of unfavorable outcomes in AIS patients (OR = 1.215, 95% CI: 1.032-1.429, p = 0.019). Sensitivity analyses supported these findings, with similar ORs observed in subsets of patients with TG < 200 mg/dL (OR = 1.221, 95% CI: 1.036-1.440) and BMI < 25 kg/m2 (OR = 1.259, 95% CI: 1.051-1.509). Additionally, the relationship between fibrinogen levels and outcomes was nonlinear, with a critical threshold of 2.74 g/L. Below the inflection point, the OR for unfavorable outcomes was 0.666 ((95% CI: 0.360, 1.233, p = 0.196), whereas above it, the OR increased to 1.374 (95% CI: 1.138, 1.659). CONCLUSIONS: This study has provided evidence of a positive and nonlinear correlation between fibrinogen levels and 3-month poor functional outcomes in patients with AIS. When fibrinogen levels exceeded 2.74 g/L, a significant and positive association was observed with the risk of poor outcomes. This study provides a further reference for optimizing rehabilitation exercises and facilitating clinical counseling in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Fasting Blood Glucose: A Mediator of the Association between Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Arterial Stiffness in Japanese Population with Decreased Kidney Function.

INTRODUCTION: Low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is associated with an increased risk of arterial stiffness in participants with kidney damage. It is uncertain whether this association is due to eGFR itself or is mediated by the eGFR-associated increases in fasting blood glucose (FBG). METHOD: The cross-sectional study included 865 Japanese participants with decreased kidney function, whose eGFR was less than 90 mL/min/1.73 m2, and recruited individuals who received medical healthcare. The mediating variable was FBG, with eGFR as the independent variable and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) as the dependent variable. A mediation analysis was used to evaluate the mediating effect of FBG on the association between eGFR and arterial stiffness. RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 51.69 ± 9.25 years old, with 65.90% individuals being male. The mean values for FBG, eGFR, and baPWV were 5.46 ± 0.79 mmol/L, 68.83 ± 10.05 mL/min/1.73 m2, and 1,423.50 ± 247.78 cm/s, respectively. The mediation analysis revealed that eGFR had a significant direct effect on baPWV (ß = -25.68 95% CI: -46.42, -7.45), and that FBG played a partial mediating role in the indirect effect of eGFR on baPWV (ß = -3.54 95% CI: -11.88, -0.079). Mediation analysis showed that 12.10% of the effect of eGFR on risk of arterial stiffness was mediated through FBG. CONCLUSION: The study indicated that there is a mediating relationship between eGFR and FBG in people with decreased kidney function, which is associated with the risk of arterial stiffness. Therefore, the importance of FBG as a mediator should be acknowledged and taken into consideration.

Nonlinear association between proteinuria levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality among chronic kidney disease patients.

BACKGROUND: The association between proteinuria levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD) development and all-cause mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains controversial. METHODS: In this investigation, we conducted a retrospective analysis involving 1138 patients who were registered in the CKD-Research of Outcomes in Treatment and Epidemiology (ROUTE) study. The primary outcome of this study was the composite of cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Cox proportional hazards regression, smooth curve fitting, piecewise linear regression, and subgroup analyses were used. RESULTS: The mean age of the included individuals was 67.3 ± 13.6 years old. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for UPCR in middle and high groups, compared to the low group, were 1.93 (95% CI: 1.28-2.91) and 4.12 (95% CI: 2.87-5.92), respectively, after multivariable adjustment. Further adjustments maintained significant associations; HRs for middle and high groups were 1.71 (95% CI: 1.12-2.61) and 3.07 (95% CI: 2.08-4.54). A nonlinear UPCR-primary outcome relationship was observed, with an inflection point at 3.93 g/gCr. CONCLUSION: Among non-dialyzed patients with stage G2-G5 CKD, a nonlinear association between UPCR and the primary outcome was observed. A higher UPCR (when UPCR < 3.93 g/gCr) was an independent predictor of the primary outcome. Importantly, our study predates SGLT2 inhibitor use, showcasing outcomes achievable without these medications. Future research considerations will involve factors like SGLT-2 inhibitor utilization.

Predictive performance of triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) to identify glucose status conversion: a 5-year longitudinal cohort study in Chinese pre-diabetes people.

OBJECTIVE: Triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) has been recommended as an alternative indicator of insulin resistance. However, the association between TyG and regression from prediabetes to normoglycemia remains to be elucidated. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study involved 25,248 subjects with prediabetes at baseline conducted from 2010 to 2016. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was designed to evaluate the role of TyG in identifying people at converting from prediabetes to normoglycemia. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was used to dig out the nonlinear relationship between them. Detailed evaluations for TyG were also performed using sensitivity and subgroup analyse. RESULTS: Among the included prediabetes subjects (n = 25,248), the mean age was 49.27 ± 13.84 years old, and 16,701 (66.15%) were male. The mean TyG was 8.83 ± 0.60. The median follow-up time was 2.96 ± 0.90 years. 11,499 (45.54%) individuals had a final diagnosis of normoglycemia. After adjusting for covariates, TyG was negatively affecting the results of glucose status conversion in prediabetes people (HR 0.895, 95% CI 0.863, 0.928). There was a nonlinear connection between TyG and normoglycemia in prediabetes people, and the inflection point was 8.88. The effect sizes (HR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) and 0.79 (0.74, 0.85), respectively. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these results. Subgroup analysis showed that TyG was more strongly associated with incident glucose status conversion in male, BMI ≥ 25. In contrast, there was a weaker relationship in those with female, BMI < 25. CONCLUSION: Based on sample of subjects evaluated between 2010 and 2016, TyG index appears to be a promising marker for predicting normoglycemic conversion among prediabetes people in China. This study demonstrates a negative and non-linear association between TyG and glucose status conversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia. TyG is strongly related to glucose status conversion when TyG is above 8.88. From a therapeutic point of view, it is meaningful to maintain TyG levels within the inflection point to 8.88.

Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is associated with regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes in adults: a 5-year cohort study in China.

OBJECTIVE: The current body of evidence on the association between the ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia remains limited. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia in patients with prediabetes. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 15,107 individuals with prediabetes from 32 Chinese districts and 11 cities who completed health checks from 2010 to 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model examined baseline TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting determined the non-linear connection between TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia. We also ran sensitivity and subgroup analysis. By characterizing progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemic event, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model with competing risks was created. RESULTS: Upon adjusting for covariates, the findings indicate a negative association between TG/HDL-c and the likelihood of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 0.869, 95%CI:0.842-0.897). Additionally, a non-linear relationship between TG/HDL-c and the probability of reversion to normoglycemia was observed, with an inflection point of 1.675. The HR on the left side of the inflection point was 0.748 (95%CI:0.699, 0.801). The robustness of our results was confirmed through competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and a series of sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: The present study reveals a negative and non-linear correlation between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia among Chinese individuals with prediabetes. The findings of this study are anticipated to serve as a valuable resource for clinicians in managing dyslipidemia in prediabetic patients. Interventions aimed at reducing the TG/HDL-c ratio through the reduction of TG or elevation of HDL-c levels may substantially enhance the likelihood of achieving normoglycemia in individuals with prediabetes.

Nonlinear relationship between atherogenic index of plasma and the risk of prediabetes: a retrospective study based on Chinese adults.

BACKGROUND: The atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) can reflect the burden of atherosclerosis. Hyperglycemia is one of the leading causes of atherosclerosis. However, the relationship between AIP and prediabetes is rarely studied. Therefore, we aimed to explore the relationship between AIP and prediabetes. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study recruited 100,069 Chinese adults at the Rich Healthcare Group from 2010 to 2016. AIP was calculated according to Log10 (triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) formula. Cox regression method, sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were used to examine the relationship between AIP and prediabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was performed to explore the non-linearity between AIP and prediabetes. The two-piece Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the inflection point of AIP on the risk of prediabetes. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounding covariates, AIP was positively associated with prediabetes (HR: 1.41, 95%CI: 1.31-1.52, P < 0.0001). The two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards regression model discovered that the AIP's inflection point was 0.03 (P for log-likelihood ratio test < 0.001). AIP was positively associated with the risk of prediabetes when AIP ≤ 0.03 (HR: 1.90, 95%CI: 1.66-2.16, P < 0.0001). In contrast, When AIP > 0.03, their association was not significant (HR: 1.04, 95%CI: 0.91-1.19, P = 0.5528). CONCLUSION: This study shows that AIP was positively and non-linearly associated with the risk of prediabetes after adjusting for other confounding factors. When AIP ≤ 0.03, AIP was positively associated with the risk of prediabetes.

Nomogram model and risk score to predict 5-year risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes in Chinese adults: Development and validation of a novel model.

AIM: To develop a personalized nomogram and risk score to predict the 5-year risk of diabetes among Chinese adults with prediabetes. METHODS: There were 26 018 participants with prediabetes at baseline in this retrospective cohort study. We randomly stratified participants into two cohorts for training (n = 12 947) and validation (n = 13 071). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model was applied to select the most significant variables among candidate variables. And we further established a stepwise Cox proportional hazards model to screen out the risk factors based on the predictors chosen by the LASSO model. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's discrimination, clinical use and calibration were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve and calibration analysis. The associated risk factors were also categorized according to clinical cut-points or tertials to create the diabetes risk score model. Based on the total score, we divided it into four risk categories: low, middle, high and extremely high. We also evaluated our diabetes risk score model's performance. RESULTS: We developed a simple nomogram and risk score that predicts the risk of prediabetes by using the variables age, triglyceride, fasting blood glucose, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and family history of diabetes. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.8146 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8258) and 0.8147 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8259) for the training and validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between predicted and observed diabetes risks at 5 years. Decision curve analysis presented the clinical use of the nomogram, and there was a wide range of alternative threshold probability spectrums. A total risk score of 0 to 2.5, 3 to 4.5, 5 to 7.5 and 8 to 13.5 is associated with low, middle, high and extremely high diabetes risk status, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a personalized prediction nomogram and risk score for 5-year diabetes risk among Chinese adults with prediabetes, identifying individuals at a high risk of developing diabetes. Doctors and other healthcare professionals can easily and quickly use our diabetes score model to assess the diabetes risk status in patients with prediabetes. In addition, the nomogram model and risk score we developed need to be validated in a prospective cohort study.

Association between preoperative serum sodium and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients with tumor craniotomy.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist regarding preoperative serum sodium (Na) and 30-day mortality in adult patients with tumor craniotomy. Therefore, this study investigates their relationship. METHODS: A secondary retrospective analysis was performed using data from the ACS NSQIP database (2012-2015). The principal exposure was preoperative Na. The outcome measure was 30-day postoperative mortality. Binary logistic regression modeling was conducted to explore the link between them, and a generalized additive model and smooth curve fitting were applied to evaluate the potential association and its explicit curve shape. We also conducted sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses. RESULTS: A total of 17,844 patients (47.59% male) were included in our analysis. The mean preoperative Na was 138.63 ± 3.23 mmol/L. The 30-day mortality was 2.54% (455/17,844). After adjusting for covariates, we found that preoperative Na was negative associated with 30-day mortality. (OR = 0.967, 95% CI:0.941, 0.994). For patients with Na ≤ 140, each increase Na was related to a 7.1% decreased 30-day mortality (OR = 0.929, 95% CI:0.898, 0.961); for cases with Na > 140, each increased Na unit was related to a 8.8% increase 30-day mortality (OR = 1.088, 95% CI:1.019, 1.162). The sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis indicated that the results were robust. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows a positive and nonlinear association between preoperative Na and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients with tumor craniotomy. Appropriate preoperative Na management and maintenance of serum Na near the inflection point (140) may reduce 30-day mortality.

The nonlinear correlation between alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and the risk of diabetes: a historical Japanese cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Low levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and high levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) are related to insulin resistance, metabolic syndrome, and diabetes mellitus (DM). However, evidence on the connection between the alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (ALT/HDL-C) ratio and diabetes mellitus (DM) risk was limited. The study aimed to investigate the relationship between baseline ALT/HDL-C ratio and DM among Japanese individuals. METHODS: This second analysis was based on a cohort study using open-source data. Data from 15,342 individuals who participated in the medical examination program were recorded at Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan between 2004 and 2015. Smooth curve fitting, subgroup analysis, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and a series of sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes. The ability of the ALT/HDL-C ratio to predict diabetes was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: After controlling for confounding covariates, the ALT/HDL-C ratio was found to be positively correlated to the DM risk in Japanese adults (HR: 1.01, 95%CI: 1.00-1.02, P = 0.049). This study also found a stable relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and diabetes after employing a series of sensitivity analyses. Additionally, there was a non-linear association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes, and the ALT/HDL-C ratio inflection point was 30.12. When the ALT/HDL-C ratio was below 30.12, the present study discovered a significant positive association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes (HR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.02-1.06, P = 0.001). Furthermore, among liver enzymes, blood lipids, and anthropometric indicators, the ALT/HDL-C ratio best predicts DM (AUC = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.73-0.78). CONCLUSION: Increased ALT/HDL-C ratio levels at baseline correlated to incident DM. The relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident DM was also non-linear. When the ALT/HDL-C ratio is below 30.12, there is a statistically significant positive correlation between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident DM.

Nonlinear connection between remnant cholesterol and stroke risk: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVE: The evidence on the relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and stroke remains controversial. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the relationship between RC and stroke risk in a Chinese population of middle-aged and elderly individuals. METHODS: The present study included 10067 Chinese subjects of middle-aged and elderly individuals. The connection between RC and incident stroke was investigated using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model, several sensitivity analyses, generalized additive models, and smoothed curve fitting. RESULTS: A total of 1180 participants with stroke were recorded during the follow-up period. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model identified a positive connection between RC and stroke risk (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.087, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.001-1.180). In addition, the current study discovered a nonlinear connection between RC and incident stroke, and the point of inflection for RC was 1.78 mmol/L. The risk of stroke increased by 25.1% with each unit increase in RC level when RC was < 1.78 mmol/L (HR:1.251, 95%CI: 1.089-1.437, P = 0.0015). The results were not affected by sensitivity tests. CONCLUSION: The current study showed a positive and nonlinear connection between RC and stroke risk in a middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. These findings provided new information to help researchers better understand the relationship between RC levels and incident stroke.

The level of serum albumin is associated with renal prognosis and renal function decline in patients with chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: The study's purpose is to explore the link of serum albumin on renal progression in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study in which a total of 954 participants were non-selectively and consecutively collected from the research of CKD-ROUTE in Japan between November 2010 and December 2011. We evaluated the association between baseline ALB and renal prognosis (initiation of dialysis or 50% decline in eGFR from baseline) and renal function decline (annual eGFR decline) using the Cox proportional-hazards and linear regression models, respectively. We performed a number of sensitivity analyses to ensure the validity of the results. In addition, we performed subgroup analyses. RESULTS: The included patients had a mean age of (66.86 ± 13.41) years, and 522 (69.23%) were male. The mean baseline ALB and eGFR were (3.89 ± 0.59) g/dL and (33.43 ± 17.97) ml/min/1.73 m2. The annual decline in eGFR was 2.65 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. 218 (28.9%) individuals experienced renal prognosis during a median follow-up period of 36.0 months. The baseline ALB was inversely linked with renal prognosis (HR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.45, 0.81) and renal function decline (ß = -1.41, 95%CI: -2.11, -0.72) after controlling for covariates. The renal prognosis and ALB had a non-linear connection, with ALB's inflection point occurring at 4.3 g/dL. Effect sizes (HR) were 0.42 (0.32, 0.56) and 6.11 (0.98, 38.22) on the left and right sides of the inflection point, respectively. There was also a non-linear relationship between ALB and renal function decline, and the inflection point of ALB was 4.1 g/dL. The effect sizes(ß) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were -2.79(-3.62, -1.96) and 0.02 (-1.97, 1.84), respectively. CONCLUSION: This study shows a negative and non-linear association between ALB and renal function decline as well as renal prognosis in Japanese CKD patients. When ALB is lower than 4.1 g/dL, ALB decline was closely related to poor renal prognosis and renal function decline. From a therapeutic point of view, reducing the decline in ALB makes sense for delaying CKD progression.

The association between fatty liver index and onset of diabetes: secondary analysis of a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: According to research, the fatty liver index (FLI) is associated with diabetes. However, few studies have been conducted to investigate the relationship between FLI and diabetes risk from various perspectives. This study comprehensively investigated the relationship between FLI and incident diabetes in a large Japanese population. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 14,280 participants from Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan from 2004 to 2015. The independent and dependent variables are FLI and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), respectively. To examine the link between FLI and incident T2DM, Cox proportional-hazards regression was employed. In addition, we performed a number of sensitivity studies to guarantee the validity of the results. Moreover, we conducted subgroup analyses. RESULTS: After adjusting covariates, the results showed that FLI was positively associated with the risk of T2DM (HR = 1.019, 95%CI: 1.012, 1.025). Additionally, the sensitivity analysis showed how reliable the outcomes were. And a stronger association between FLI and incident T2DM was observed in the regular exercisers (HR = 1.036, 95%CI: 1.019-1.053, P < 0.0001) and the population without ethanol consumption (HR = 1.028, 95%CI: 1.017-1.039, P < 0.0001). Besides, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that FLI was better than waist circumference, triglycerides, body mass index, and gamma-glutamyl transferase in predicting incident T2DM. CONCLUSION: FLI is positively associated with incident T2DM.

Association between triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and prediabetes: a cross-sectional study in Chinese non-obese people with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

BACKGROUND: Evidence about the relationship between triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and prediabetes (Pre-DM) in Chinese non-obese people with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) is limited. Therefore, the present study was undertaken to explore the link of the TG/HDL-C ratio on Pre-DM among non-obese Chinese population with a normal range of LDL-c. METHODS: This study was a cross-sectional study that enrolled 153163 non-obese individuals with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in a Chinese hospital from January 2010 to December 2014. Logistic regression model, generalized additive model (GAM), smooth curve fitting and a series of sensitivity analyses was used to evaluate the association between TG/HDL-C ratio and Pre-DM. RESULT: The prevalence of Pre-DM was 9.77%.The median TG/HDL-C ratio was 0.671 (interquartile range, 0.468-1.010). After adjusting covariates, the results showed that TG/HDL-C ratio was positively associated with Pre-DM ((OR = 1.185, 95%CI 1.145-1.226). In addition, the TG/HDL-C ratio level has a non-linear relationship with the incidence of Pre-DM, in which the inflection point was 1.617. The effect sizes (OR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 1.312 (95%CI 1.242-1.386) and 0.980 (95%CI 0.898-1.070), respectively. And the sensitive analysis demonstrated the robustness of the results. Subgroup analysis showed a stronger association between TG/HDL-C ratio and Pre-DM in females and the population with 30 years < age < 40 years, 18.5 kg/m2 < body mass index < 24 kg/m2, and ALT < 40U/L. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates a positive and non-linear relationship between TG/HDL-C ratio and Pre-DM in Chinese non-obese people with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. TG/HDL-C ratio is strongly related to Pre-DM when TG/HDL-C ratio is less than 1.617. It makes sense to reduce the TG/HDL-C ratio level below the inflection point from a treatment perspective.

The triglyceride glucose-body mass index: a non-invasive index that identifies non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the general Japanese population.

BACKGROUND: By identifying individuals at high risk for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), interventional programs could be targeted more effectively. Some studies have demonstrated that triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) showed an independent positive association with NAFLD. However, research on its diagnostic value in patients with suspected NAFLD is limited. In this study, we aimed to evaluate whether TyG-BMI was accurate in detecting NAFLD in the general Japanese population. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of 14,280 individuals who underwent a comprehensive health examination was conducted. Standard protocols were followed to collect anthropometric measurements, lab data, and ultrasonography features. All participants were randomly stratified into the development group (n = 7118) and validation group (n = 7162). The TyG-BMI was calculated. Following this, the diagnostic value of the TyG-BMI was evaluated based on the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Two cutoff points were selected and used to rule out or rule in the NALFD, and the specificity, sensitivity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value were explored, respectively. In order to verify the stability of the results, external verification was performed. RESULTS: There were 1272 and 1243 NAFLD participants in the development and validation groups, respectively. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of TyG-BMI was 0.888 (95% CI 0.876-0.896) and 0.884 (95% CI 0.875-0.894) for the training and validation group, respectively. Using the low TyG-BMI (182.2) cutoff, NAFLD could be excluded with high accuracy (negative predictive value: 96.9% in estimation and 96.9% in validation). The presence of NAFLD could effectively be determined by applying the high cutoff of TyG-BMI (224.0), as the positive predictive value of the estimation and validation groups is 70.7% and 70.1%, respectively. As a result of applying this model, 9996 (70%) of the 14,280 participants would not have undergone ultrasonography, with an accurate prediction of 9308 (93.1%). AUC was 0.874 for external validation using 183,730 Chinese non-obese participants. TyG-BMI was demonstrated to be an excellent diagnostic tool by both internal and external validation. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the present study developed and validated a simple, non-invasive, and cost-effective tool to accurately separate participants with and without NAFLD in the Japanese population, rendering ultrasonography for identifying NAFLD unnecessary in a substantial proportion of people.

Non-linear relationship between the body roundness index and incident type 2 diabetes in Japan: a secondary retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Body roundness index (BRI) is one of the obesity-related anthropometric indices. However, studies on the relationship between BRI and diabetes risk is limited. The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between baseline BRI and incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Japanese population. METHODS: A retrospective longitudinal study of 15,310 participants in a physical examination program at Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan from 2004 to 2015. The association between BRI levels and incident T2DM was analyzed by Cox proportional-hazards regression, smooth curve fitting, subgroup analyses, and a set of sensitivity analyses. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the ability of BRI to predict diabetes. RESULT: Baseline BRI levels were elevated in participants who developed T2DM. Baseline BRI levels were positively associated with incident T2DM after adjusting confounding variables (HR = 1.570, 95% CI 1.360-1.811). Additionally, we did a set of sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness of the results. There was also a non-linear relationship between BRI and incident diabetes in both genders, and the inflection point of BRI was 4.137 in females and 3.146 in males. We found a strong positive correlation between BRI and the incidence of diabetes on the right of the inflection point (Male: HR = 1.827, 95% CI 1.449-2.303; Female: HR = 4.189, 95% CI 1.862-9.421). What's more, among the anthropometric indices, BRI showed the optimal capability to predict T2DM (Male: AUC = 0.706, 95% CI 0.674-0.738; Female: AUC = 0.735, 95% CI 0.676-0.795). CONCLUSION: An elevated BRI level in baseline was independently associated with incident T2DM. Baseline BRI improves the identification of patients at risk of T2DM and may enable early and optimized therapy to improve their outcomes.

Association between triglyceride-to-high density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and three-month outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a second analysis based on a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence regarding the relationship between serum triglyceride-to-high density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) ratio and outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is still mixed. Therefore, the present study was undertaken to explore the link between the TG/HDL-c ratio and unfavorable outcomes in patients with AIS. METHODS: This was a second analysis based on a cohort study. The study population was 1764 patients with AIS collected from January 2010 to December 2016 at a hospital in South Korea. We used a binary logistic regression model to assess the linear association between the TG/HDL-c ratio and unfavorable outcomes for AIS patients. A generalized additive model (GAM) and smooth curve fitting (penalized spline method) was conducted to explore the nonlinear relationship between TG/HDL-c ratio and unfavorable outcomes for AIS patients. Additionally, we compute the inflection point using a recursive algorithm and then build a two-piece binary logistic regression model on both sides of the inflection point. A log-likelihood ratio test was used to determine the most appropriate model describing the association of TG/HDL-c ratio and unfavorable outcomes in patients with AIS. RESULTS: The incidence rate of unfavorable outcomes was 28.2%, and the median TG/HDL-c ratio was 2.130. After adjusting covariates, the results of the binary logistic regression model suggested that the relationship between the TG/HDL-c ratio and the risk of unfavorable outcomes for AIS patients was not statistically significant. However, there was a nonlinear relationship between them, and the inflection point of the TG/HDL-c ratio was 3.515. On the left side of the inflection point, each 1-unit increase in the TG/HDL-c ratio was associated with a 22.6% lower risk of unfavorable outcomes (OR = 0.774, 95%CI:0.656 to 0.914, p = 0.002). On the right side of the inflection point, the effect size (OR) was 1.195 (95%CI:1.004 to1.423, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: There is a nonlinear relationship and threshold effect between the TG/HDL-c ratio and 3-month unfavorable outcomes in AIS patients. When the TG/HDL-c ratio is lower than 3.515, the TG/HDL-c ratio is significantly negatively related to the risk of unfavorable outcomes. When the TG/HDL-c ratio is greater than 3.515, the TG/HDL-c ratio was positively associated with the risk of unfavorable outcomes in AIS patients. This provides a reference for optimizing lipidemia intervention and promoting clinical communication in patients with AIS.

Association between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality of adult patients undergoing craniotomy for brain tumors: data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database.

BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding the relationship between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality of intracranial tumor patients undergoing craniotomy is still limited. Therefore, the present research was conducted to explore the link of the platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality. METHODS: Electronic medical records of 18,642 adult patients undergoing craniotomy for brain tumors from 2012 to 2015 in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, were subject to secondary retrospective analysis. A binary logistic regression model evaluated the independent association between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality. A generalized additive model and smooth curve fitting was conducted to explore the exact shape of the curve between them. Additionally, We also conducted sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of the results, and performed subgroup analyses. RESULTS: Eighteen thousand sixty-three patients were included in this study analysis. Of these, 47.49% were male. The mean preoperative platelet value was (244.12 ± 76.77) × 109/L. The 30-day postoperative mortality of included participants was 2.5% (452/18,063). After adjusting covariates, the results showed that preoperative platelet was positively associated with 30-day postoperative mortality (OR = 0.999, 95%CI: 0.997, 1.000). There was also a nonlinear relationship between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality, and the inflection point of the platelet was 236. The effect sizes (OR) on the right and left sides of the inflection point were 1.002 (1.000, 1.004) and 0.993 (0.990, 0.995), respectively. And sensitive analysis demonstrated the robustness of the results. Subgroup analysis showed a stronger association between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality in non-emergency surgery patients when preoperative platelet value is less than 235 × 109/L. CONCLUSIONS: This research demonstrates a positive and non-linear relationship between preoperative platelet and 30-day postoperative mortality in U.S. adult brain tumor patients undergoing craniotomy. Preoperative platelet is strongly related to 30-day postoperative mortality when the platelet is less than 235 × 109/L. Proper preoperative management of platelet and maintenance of platelet near inflection point (235) could reduce risk of 30-day postoperative mortality in these cases.

Association between serum uric acid-to-creatinine ratio and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a cross-sectional study in Chinese non-obese people with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence regarding the relationship between serum uric acid-to-creatinine (SUA/Scr) ratio and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in Chinese non-obese people is still limited. Therefore, the present study was undertaken to analyze the association between the SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD. METHODS: This study was a cross-sectional study that non-selectively and consecutively collected 182,320 non-obese individuals with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in a Chinese hospital from January 2010 to December 2014. A binary logistic regression model was used to evaluate the independent association between the SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD. A generalized additive model (GAM) and smooth curve fitting (penalized spline method) was conducted to explore the exact shape of the curve between them. A series of sensitivity analyses were used to ensure the robustness of the results. Moreover, subgroup analyses were conducted. In addition, the diagnostic value of the SUA/Scr ratio for NAFLD was evaluated based on the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). It was stated that the data had been uploaded to the DATADRYAD website. RESULTS: The average participants' age was 40.96 ± 14.05 years old, and 90,305 (49.5%) were male. The prevalence of NAFLD was 13.7%, and the mean SUA/Scr was 3.62 ± 0.92. After adjusting covariates, the results showed that SUA/Scr ratio was positively associated with NAFLD (OR = 1.424, 95%CI: 1.396, 1.454). There was also a non-linear relationship between SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD in participants with normal kidney function, and the inflection point of the SUA/Scr ratio was 4.425. The effect sizes (OR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 1.551 (1.504, 1.599) and 1.234 (1.179, 1.291), respectively. And the sensitive analysis demonstrated the robustness of the results. Subgroup analysis showed a stronger association between SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD in females and the population with age < 50 years, FPG ≤ 6.1 mmol/L, BMI < 24 kg/m2, and HDL-c ≥ 1 mmol/L. In contrast, the weaker association was probed in males and the population with age ≥ 50 years, BMI ≥ 24 kg/m2, FPG > 6.1 mmol/L, and HDL-c < 1 mmol/L. The SUA/Scr ratio had an AUC of 0.6624 (95% CI 0.6589, 0.6660) for diagnosing NAFLD. Based on the best cut-off value of 3.776, the negative predictive value of the SUA/Scr ratio for identifying NAFLD was 91.0%. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates an independent positive association between SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD in Chinese non-obese people with a normal range of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. There is also a non-linear relationship between the SUA/Scr ratio and NAFLD in participants with normal kidney function, and the SUA/Scr ratio is strongly related to NAFLD when SUA/Scr ratio is less than 4.425. The SUA/Scr ratio has a certain reference value for determining NAFLD. When the SUA/Scr ratio is lower than 3.776, identifying NAFLD patients with low risk is a great reference.