The Complexity of Shapes: How the Circularity of Tumor Nodules Affects Prognosis in Colorectal Cancer.

The current stratification of tumor nodules in colorectal cancer (CRC) staging is subjective and leads to high interobserver variability. In this study, the objective assessment of the shape of lymph node metastases (LNMs), extranodal extension (ENE), and tumor deposits (TDs) was correlated with outcomes. A test cohort and a validation cohort were included from 2 different institutions. The test cohort consisted of 190 cases of stage III CRC. Slides with LNMs and TDs were annotated and processed using a segmentation algorithm to determine their shape. The complexity ratio was calculated for every shape and correlated with outcomes. A cohort of 160 stage III CRC cases was used to validate findings. TDs showed significantly more complex shapes than LNMs with ENE, which were more complex than LNMs without ENE (P < .001). In the test cohort, patients with the highest sum of complexity ratios had significantly lower disease-free survival (P < .01). When only the nodule with the highest complexity was considered, this effect was even stronger (P < .001). This maximum complexity ratio per patient was identified as an independent prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 2.47; P < .05). The trends in the validation cohort confirmed the results. More complex nodules in stage III CRC were correlated with significantly worse disease-free survival, even if only based on the most complex nodule. These results suggest that more complex nodules reflect more invasive tumor biology. As most of the more complex nodules were diagnosed as TDs, we suggest providing a more prominent role for TDs in the nodal stage and include an objective complexity measure in their definition.

Origin and outcome of metastatic tumours to the testes: a nationwide study.

OBJECTIVES: To perform a retrospective cohort analysis for metastatic tumours in the testes to explore the timing, presentation and prognosis of this particular type of metastases and the factors that influence outcome. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A nationwide retrospective review of pathology reports of patients with pathologically confirmed metastases to the testis between 1991 and 2021 was performed. Data were collected from the Dutch nationwide pathology databank (PALGA) and the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Log-rank testing and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to assess overall survival (OS), and Cox proportional hazard models were used for multivariate survival analysis. RESULTS: A total of 175 patients with a testicular metastasis were included. The median (range) age at diagnosis of testicular metastasis was 67 (3-88) years. Testicular metastases originated from a variety of primary tumours, although most frequently from the prostate (40.6%), kidney (13.7%), colon (10.3%), bladder (7.4%) and skin (5.7%). Synchronous testicular metastasis was detected in 53 cases, while 114 metachronous lesions were found after a median (interquartile range) interval of 22 (1-53) months after the original cancer diagnosis. OS after the diagnosis of a testicular metastasis was poor, with a median survival of 14.2 months (95% confidence interval 10.2-18.3). Primary tumour origin was an independent factor for survival, with worst survival for patients with primary skin, bladder and colon cancer. CONCLUSION: Testicular metastases are very uncommon and arise mainly from primary tumours anatomically close to the testes. Most patients develop metachronous testicular metastasis at an oligometastatic disease stage. These metastases are invariably associated with poor survival.

Transcriptomics and proteomics reveal distinct biology for lymph node metastases and tumour deposits in colorectal cancer.

Both lymph node metastases (LNMs) and tumour deposits (TDs) are included in colorectal cancer (CRC) staging, although knowledge regarding their biological background is lacking. This study aimed to compare the biology of these prognostic features, which is essential for a better understanding of their role in CRC spread. Spatially resolved transcriptomic analysis using digital spatial profiling was performed on TDs and LNMs from 10 CRC patients using 1,388 RNA targets, for the tumour cells and tumour microenvironment. Shotgun proteomics identified 5,578 proteins in 12 different patients. Differences in RNA and protein expression were analysed, and spatial deconvolution was performed. Image-based consensus molecular subtype (imCMS) analysis was performed on all TDs and LNMs included in the study. Transcriptome and proteome profiles identified distinct clusters for TDs and LNMs in both the tumour and tumour microenvironment segment, with upregulation of matrix remodelling, cell adhesion/motility, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in TDs (all p < 0.05). Spatial deconvolution showed a significantly increased abundance of fibroblasts, macrophages, and regulatory T-cells (p < 0.05) in TDs. Consistent with a higher fibroblast and EMT component, imCMS classified 62% of TDs as poor prognosis subtype CMS4 compared to 36% of LNMs (p < 0.05). Compared to LNMs, TDs have a more invasive state involving a distinct tumour microenvironment and upregulation of EMT, which are reflected in a more frequent histological classification of TDs as CMS4. These results emphasise the heterogeneity of locoregional spread and the fact that TDs should merit more attention both in future research and during staging. © 2023 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Prognosis of mucinous colon cancer is determined by histological biomarkers rather than microsatellite instability.

The prognostic value of microsatellite instability (MSI), as well as other histological characteristics such as lymphovascular invasion (LI), perineural invasion (PNI) and extramural vascular invasion (EMVI), is unclear in colorectal mucinous carcinoma (MC). This study aims to determine the relevance of these factors in MC patients and analyses the role of MSI in stage III MC patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. A cohort of 650 patients diagnosed with stages I-IV colonic MC from 2000 to 2010 was selected from PALGA, the nationwide Dutch pathology databank. Histopathology was revised and mismatch repair (MMR) status determined. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed. Deficient MMR (dMMR) was found in 33% of MCs and correlated with female gender and right-sidedness, but also with lower tumour stage (stages I/II: 73.2 versus 47%; P < 0.0001) and the absence of EMVI (9.7 versus 23.7%; P < 0.0001) and PNI (5.6 versus 12.7%; P = 0.005). On univariate analysis OS was better for dMMR MC than for proficient MMR (pMMR) MC (median OS of 9.7 versus 5.0 years; P = 0.009), but MMR status was no longer a relevant prognostic factor on multivariate analysis [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.70-1.18]. Stage III MC patients benefited from adjuvant chemotherapy, and dMMR status was associated with better OS in this group (HR = 0.35, 95% CI = 0.13-0.94). EMVI, LI and PNI, but not MMR, status are independent prognostic factors for survival in MC patients. Stage III MC patients benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy and dMMR status is associated with improved survival when adjuvant chemotherapy is given.

Umbilical metastases: Real-world data shows abysmal outcome.

Umbilical metastases form a clinical challenge, especially when they represent the first sign of malignant disease and the primary tumor is unknown. Our study aims to generate insight into the origin and timing of umbilical metastasis, as well as patient survival, using population-based data. A nationwide review of pathology records of patients diagnosed with an umbilical metastasis between 1979 and 2015 was performed. Data was collected from the Nationwide Network and Registry of Histopathology and Cytopathology (PALGA) and the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Kaplan-Meier analyses and log-rank testing were used to estimate overall survival and a Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine multivariable hazard ratios. A total of 806 patients with an umbilical metastasis were included. There were 210 male (26.1%) and 596 female (73.9%) patients. Distribution of umbilical metastases was different between male and female patients due to the high incidence of umbilical metastases originating from the ovaries in females. They most frequently originated from the ovaries in female patients (38.8%) and from the colon in male patients (43.8%). In 18% of cases no primary tumor could be identified. Prognosis after diagnosis of an umbilical metastasis was dismal with a median survival of 7.9 months (95% confidence interval 6.7-9.1). The origin of the primary tumor was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival. In conclusion, umbilical metastases relatively rare, mainly originating from intraabdominal primary tumors. Survival is dependent on the origin of the primary tumor and poor overall survival rates warrant early recognition.

Delayed surgical resection of primary left-sided obstructing colon cancer is associated with improved short- and long-term outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: It is unclear what time interval is optimal between presentation and surgical resection of left-sided obstructive colon cancer (LSOCC). This study aims to determine whether a time interval beyond 4 weeks is associated with a better outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection of LSOCC between January 2010 and December 2019 were collected from a prospective database. Patients were divided into three groups: (1) Emergency resection (ER group), (2) surgery in less than 4 weeks (early group), and (3) surgery beyond 4 weeks (late group). RESULTS: The ER group consisted of 74 (44.0%), the early group of 38 (22.6%), and the late group of 56 (33.3%) patients. Ninety-day mortality was lower in the Late group than in the ER group and the early group (1.8% vs. 12.2%, p = 0.029 vs. 15.3%, p = 0.011). In the late group 5-year recurrence-free survival was better than in the early group (82.1% vs. 63.2%, p = 0.039) and 5-year overall survival (OS) was better than in the ER group (75% vs. 51.4%, p = 0.021). Definitive surgical resection beyond 4 weeks was an independent prognostic factor for OS (Hazard ratio: 0.402, 95% CI: 0.204-0.793, p = 0.009). CONCLUSION: In this study surgical resection beyond 4 weeks after presentation seems to have a better short- and long-term outcome for LSOCC.

Poor response at restaging MRI and high incomplete resection rates of locally advanced mucinous rectal cancer after chemoradiation therapy.

AIM: Mucinous carcinoma is a histological subtype of rectal cancer and has been associated with a poor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT). The primary aim of this study was to analyse the response on MRI of mucinous locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after CRT compared to regular adenocarcinoma. METHOD: Patients with LARC (defined as cT4 and/or cN2), who underwent CRT followed by restaging MRI and surgery in two tertiary referral hospitals were retrospectively included in the study. Pre- and post-treatment MRI was reviewed by an experienced abdominal radiologist. RESULTS: A total of 102 patients, of whom 29 were diagnosed with mucinous carcinoma, were included for analysis. At restaging MRI, adenocarcinoma patients demonstrated significantly less clinical involvement of the mesorectal fascia (37% vs. 62%, P = 0.003) while this was not demonstrated in mucinous carcinoma patients (86% vs. 97%, P = 0.16). Significant downstaging after CRT in adenocarcinoma patients (P = 0.01) was seen while, in mucinous carcinoma patients, no downstaging after CRT (P = 0.89) was seen. Pathology revealed significantly higher rates of an involved circumferential resection margin in mucinous carcinoma versus adenocarcinoma patients (27.6% vs. 1.4%; P < 0.001). After multivariate regression analysis, mucinous carcinoma remained an independent prognostic factor for local recurrence (hazard ratio 3.6; 95% CI 1.1-12.4), although no differences in overall or disease-free survival were observed. CONCLUSION: Mucinous rectal carcinoma is associated with a poor clinical response at restaging MRI after CRT, leading to relatively higher rates of involved circumferential resection margins at pathology. In this cohort, mucinous carcinoma seems to be a prognostic factor for increased risk of local recurrence, without an effect on overall survival.

The Impact of Primary Tumor Location in Synchronous Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Differences in Metastatic Sites and Survival.

PURPOSE: We explored differences in survival between primary tumor locations, hereby focusing on the role of metastatic sites in synchronous metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). METHODS: Data for patients diagnosed with synchronous mCRC between 1989 and 2014 were retrieved from the Netherlands Cancer registry. Relative survival and relative excess risks (RER) were analyzed by primary tumor location (right colon (RCC), left colon (LCC), and rectum). Metastatic sites were reported per primary tumor location. Survival was analyzed for metastatic sites combined and for single metastatic sites. RESULTS: In total, 36,297 patients were included in this study. Metastatic sites differed significantly between primary tumor locations, with liver-only metastases in 43%, 54%, and 52% of RCC, LCC, and rectal cancer patients respectively (p < 0.001). Peritoneal metastases were most prevalent in RCC patients (33%), and lung metastases were most prevalent in rectal cancer patients (28%). Regardless of the location of metastases, patients with RCC had a worse survival compared with LCC (RER 0.81, 95% CI 0.78-0.83) and rectal cancer (RER 0.73, 95% CI 0.71-0.76). The survival disadvantage for RCC remained present, even in cases with metastasectomy for liver-only disease (LCC: RER 0.66, 95% CI 0.57-0.76; rectal cancer: RER 0.84, 95% CI 0.66-1.06). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed significant differences in relative survival between primary tumor locations in synchronous mCRC, which can only be partially explained by distinct metastatic sites. Our findings support the concept that RCC, LCC and rectal cancer should be considered distinct entities in synchronous mCRC.

An overview of 25 years of incidence, treatment and outcome of colorectal cancer patients.

Regarding the continuous changes in the diagnostic process and treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC), it is important to evaluate long-term trends which are relevant in giving direction for further research and innovations in cancer patient care. The aim of this study was to analyze developments in incidence, treatment and survival for patients diagnosed with CRC in the Netherlands. For this population-based retrospective cohort study, all patients diagnosed with CRC between 1989 and 2014 in the Netherlands were identified using data of the nationwide population-based Netherlands Cancer Registry (n = 267,765), with follow-up until January 1, 2016. Analyses were performed for trends in incidence, mortality, stage distribution, treatment and relative survival measured from the time of diagnosis. The incidence of both colon and rectal cancer has risen. The use of postoperative chemotherapy for Stage III colon cancer increased (14-60%), as well as the use of preoperative (chemo)radiotherapy for rectal cancer (2-66%). The administration of systemic therapy and metastasectomy increased for Stage IV disease patients. The 5-year relative survival increased significantly from 53 to 62% for colon cancer and from 51 to 65% for rectal cancer. Ongoing advancements in treatment, and also improvement in other factors in the care of CRC patients-such as diagnostics, dedicated surgery and pre- and postoperative care-lead to a continuous improvement in the relative survival of CRC patients. The increasing incidence of CRC favors the implementation of the screening program, of which the effects should be monitored closely.

Colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma: benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy but a poor prognostic factor.

Colorectal signet-ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) has been associated with poor survival compared with mucinous adenocarcinoma (MC) and the more common adenocarcinoma (AC). Efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in SRCC has never been assessed. This study analyzes the prognostic impact of SRCC and determines whether colonic SRCC patients benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy equally compared with MC and AC patients. Data on 196,757 colorectal cancer (CRC) patients in the period 1989-2010 was included in this Dutch nationwide population-based study. Five-year relative survival estimates were calculated and multivariate relative survival analyses using a multiple regression model of relative excess risk (RER) were performed. SRCC was found in 1,972 (1.0%) patients. SRCC patients presented more frequently with stage III or IV disease than AC patients (75.2% vs. 43.6%, p < 0.0001) and SRCC was more frequently found in the proximal colon (57.7 vs. 32.0%, p < 0.0001). SRCC patients had a poor 5-year relative survival of 30.8% (95% CI 28.1-33.6%) in the colon and 19.5% (95% CI 14.7-24.8%) in the rectum compared with 56.8% (95% CI 56.4-57.1%) and 58.5% (95% CI 57.9-59.1%) for AC. This survival difference was found in stage II, but was most prominent in stage III. Compared with AC, there was no significant interaction between SRCC and adjuvant chemotherapy (RER 1.10, 95% CI 0.81-1.51), suggesting a comparable benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in AC and SRCC. In conclusion, the prognostic impact of SRCC is dismal in both colon and rectal cancer patients, but adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with improved survival in AC, MC, and SRCC patients.

Modern Treatment of Rectal Cancer Closes the Gap Between Common Adenocarcinoma and Mucinous Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous carcinoma (MC) is a distinct form of rectal cancer (RC) comprising 10 % of all cases and has been associated with an impaired prognosis compared with non-mucinous adenocarcinoma (AC). The benefit of today's modern treatment for MC patients is unknown but a prospective randomized trial to answer this does not seem feasible. This study provides an analysis of the modern treatment of rectal MC and efficacy of preoperative therapies for MC patients. METHODS: Data from three large (trial) cohorts were used. Data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR) were used to analyze the prognosis of RC patients over time (N = 38,035). To study the benefit of preoperative short-term radiotherapy, patients from the total mesorectal excision (TME) trial (N = 1,530) were selected, and the benefit from preoperative chemoradiotherapy was analyzed with data on 540 locally advanced RC (LARC) patients from two hospitals. RESULTS: Data from the NCR confirmed that 5-year overall survival for MC was significantly worse from 1989 to 1998, but no longer different from AC from 1999 onwards. MC patients had a higher rate of positive circumferential resection margin than AC patients (TME trial 27.2 vs. 16.5 %, p = 0.006; LARC cohort 34.5 vs. 9.8 %, p < 0.0001), but there was no difference in outcome between MC and AC patients after preoperative short-term radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Modern treatment of RC has benefited MC patients, leading to equal survival for MC and AC patients. Enhancements in the fields of imaging and quality of surgery have improved outcome and preoperative therapies should be recommended for both histological subtypes.

Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 2-driven glioma progression is prevented by blocking a clinically significant integrin, integrin-linked kinase, and NF-κB network.

Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 2 (IGFBP2) is increasingly recognized as a glioma oncogene, emerging as a target for therapeutic intervention. In this study, we used an integrative approach to characterizing the IGFBP2 network, combining transcriptional profiling of human glioma with validation in glial cells and the replication-competent ASLV long terminal repeat with a splice acceptor/tv-a glioma mouse system. We demonstrated that IGFBP2 expression is closely linked to genes in the integrin and integrin-linked kinase (ILK) pathways and that these genes are associated with prognosis. We further showed that IGFBP2 activates integrin ß1 and downstream invasion pathways, requires ILK to induce cell motility, and activates NF-κB. Most significantly, the IGFBP2/integrin/ILK/NF-κB network functions as a physiologically active signaling pathway in vivo by driving glioma progression; interfering with any point in the pathway markedly inhibits progression. The results of this study reveal a signaling pathway that is both targetable and highly relevant to improving the survival of glioma patients.

Insight into mucinous colorectal carcinoma: clues from etiology.

The prognostic impact of mucinous carcinoma (MC) in colorectal cancer (CRC) has been subject to debate ever since the introduction of the classification of tumors according to their histological differentiation. MC is a distinct clinical and pathological entity within the spectrum of CRC and accounts for approximately 10-15 % of cases. Factors involved in MC development have not been completely understood, but clinical observations may lead to a better insight into the etiology of MC. In this article, we provide an in-depth review of the literature regarding etiological aspects of MC. We show that there are worldwide differences in the prevalence of MC, with low rates in Asian countries and higher rates in the western world. Moreover, MC is more commonly diagnosed in patients suffering from inflammatory bowel diseases or Lynch syndrome and an increased rate of MC is observed in patients with radiotherapy-induced CRCs. These findings are suggestive of a different oncogenic development. Identification of conditions that are associated with MC generates insight into the etiological pathways leading to the development of this special subtype.

Association of metastatic pattern in breast cancer with tumor and patient-specific factors: a nationwide autopsy study using artificial intelligence.

BACKGROUND: Metastatic spread is characterized by considerable heterogeneity in most cancers. With increasing treatment options for patients with metastatic disease, there is a need for insight into metastatic patterns of spread in breast cancer patients using large-scale studies. METHODS: Records of 2622 metastatic breast cancer patients who underwent autopsy (1974-2010) were retrieved from the nationwide Dutch pathology databank (PALGA). Natural language processing (NLP) and manual information extraction (IE) were applied to identify the tumors, patient characteristics, and locations of metastases. RESULTS: The accuracy (0.90) and recall (0.94) of the NLP model outperformed manual IE (on 132 randomly selected patients). Adenocarcinoma no special type more frequently metastasizes to the lung (55.7%) and liver (51.8%), whereas, invasive lobular carcinoma mostly spread to the bone (54.4%) and liver (43.8%), respectively. Patients with tumor grade III had a higher chance of developing bone metastases (61.6%). In a subgroup of patients, we found that ER+/HER2+ patients were more likely to metastasize to the liver and bone, compared to ER-/HER2+ patients. CONCLUSION: This is the first large-scale study that demonstrates that artificial intelligence methods are efficient for IE from Dutch databanks. Different histological subtypes show different frequencies and combinations of metastatic sites which may reflect the underlying biology of metastatic breast cancer.

Improving diagnostic accuracy of identifying gastric cancer patients with peritoneal metastases: tumor-guided cell-free DNA analysis of peritoneal fluid.

Detection of peritoneal dissemination (PD) in gastric cancer (GC) patients remains challenging. The feasibility of tumor-guided cell-free DNA (cfDNA) detection in prospectively collected peritoneal fluid (ascites and peritoneal lavage) was investigated and compared to conventional cytology in 28 patients. Besides conventional cytology, next generation sequencing was performed on primary tumor DNA and cell-free DNA from peritoneal fluid. Patients were retrospectively grouped into: a positive group (with PD) and a negative group (without PD). Detectable mutations were found in the primary tumor of 68% (n = 19). Sensitivity of PD detection by tumor-guided cfDNA analysis was 91%, compared to 64% by conventional cytology. Within the positive group (n = 11), tumor-guided cfDNA was detected in all patients with ascites samples (4/4, 100%) and in 86% (6/7) of the lavage samples, opposed to 4/4 (100%) patients with ascites and 43% (3/7) with lavage by conventional cytology. Within the negative group (n = 8), conventional cytology was negative for all samples. In two patients, tumor-guided cfDNA was detected in peritoneal lavage fluid. Interestingly, these 2 patients developed PD within 6 months, suggesting a prognostic value of tumor-guided cfDNA detection. This study showed that tumor-guided cfDNA detection in peritoneal fluids of GC patients is feasible and superior to conventional cytology in detecting PD.

Three Dimensional Printing as a Tool For Anatomical Training in Lung Surgery.

Objective: Pulmonary anatomy is challenging, due to the high variability and its three-dimensional (3D) shape. While demands in thoracic oncologic surgery are increasing, the transition from open to thoracoscopic surgery is hampering anatomical understanding. This study analyzed the value of a 3D printed lung model in understanding and teaching anatomy. Methods: A 3D pulmonary model was created and tested among different levels of proficiency: 10 experienced surgeons, 10 fellow surgeons and 10 junior residents. They were tested in interpretation of anatomy based on thoracic CT-scans, either using the 3D model or a 2D anatomical atlas. Accuracy of the given answers, time to complete the task and the self-reported level of certainty were scored in each group. Results: In the experienced surgeons group there was no difference in between the 2D-model or 3D-model with a high rate of correct answers in both groups, and no differences in time or certainty. Fellow surgeons highly benefitted from the 3D-model with an improved accuracy from 26.6% to 70.0% (p = 0.001). Time to complete the task was shorter (207 versus 122 s, p < 0.0001) and participants were more secure (median of 4 versus 3, p = 0.007). For junior residents time to complete the task was shorter, the level of certainty was higher, but there was no improvement in accuracy. Conclusions: 3D printing may benefit in understanding anatomical relations in the complex anatomy of the bronchiopulmonary tree, especially for surgeons in training and could benefit in teaching anatomy. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40670-023-01807-x.

Efficacy of an Autologous Blood Patch for Prolonged Air Leak: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged air leak after pulmonary surgery remains a clinical challenge and sometimes needs surgical reintervention. An autologous blood patch (ABP) may provide a noninvasive method to stop air leak. Its value, however, is debatable. The aim of this systematic review is to synthesize evidence regarding the efficacy of ABP in patients with prolonged air leak. METHODS: A comprehensive search for published studies was performed in the Medline database, Embase, and the Cochrane library. Randomized controlled trials, case-control studies, and case series in which a postoperative ABP was performed were included. Findings from these studies were tabulated and data were synthesized graphically (PROSPERO registration number CRD42020157591). RESULTS: A total of eight studies was included in the analysis, comprising 151 patients. Studies demonstrated heterogeneity in ABP timing and practice, and an intermediate to high risk of bias was scored. The majority of studies demonstrated a beneficial effect of the ABP, with a high rate of success of more than 89%. One randomized trial did not find a difference in time to cessation of air leak after ABP compared with conservative tube thoracostomy. The overall complication rate was 10%. CONCLUSIONS: Quality of included studies is limited owing to lack of comparison groups. Synthesized data in this review demonstrate a high rate of successful procedures and acceptable complication rates, and seems encouraging enough to justify a large randomized clinical trial on the use of ABP for patients who have prolonged air leak after thoracic surgery.

Postoperative mortality risk assessment in colorectal cancer: development and validation of a clinical prediction model using data from the Dutch ColoRectal Audit.

BACKGROUND: As the outcome of modern colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery has significantly improved over the years, however, renewed and adequate risk stratification for mortality is important to identify high-risk patients. This population-based study was conducted to analyse postoperative outcomes in patients with CRC and to create a risk model for 30-day mortality. METHODS: Data from the Dutch Colorectal Audit were used to assess differences in postoperative outcomes (30-day mortality, hospital stay, blood transfusion, postoperative complications) in patients with CRC treated from 2009 to 2017. Time trends were analysed. Clinical variables were retrieved (including stage, age, sex, BMI, ASA grade, tumour location, timing, surgical approach) and a prediction model with multivariable regression was computed for 30-day mortality using data from 2009 to 2014. The predictive performance of the model was tested among a validation cohort of patients treated between 2015 and 2017. RESULTS: The prediction model was obtained using data from 51 484 patients and the validation cohort consisted of 32 926 patients. Trends of decreased length of postoperative hospital stay and blood transfusions were found over the years. In stage I-III, postoperative complications declined from 34.3 per cent to 29.0 per cent (P < 0.001) over time, whereas in stage IV complications increased from 35.6 per cent to 39.5 per cent (P = 0.010). Mortality decreased in stage I-III from 3.0 per cent to 1.4 per cent (P < 0.001) and in stage IV from 7.6 per cent to 2.9 per cent (P < 0.001). Eight factors, including stage, age, sex, BMI, ASA grade, tumour location, timing, and surgical approach were included in a 30-day mortality prediction model. The results on the validation cohort documented a concordance C statistic of 0.82 (95 per cent c.i. 0.80 to 0.83) for the prediction model, indicating good discriminative ability. CONCLUSION: Postoperative outcome improved in all stages of CRC surgery in the Netherlands. The developed model accurately predicts postoperative mortality risk and is clinically valuable for decision-making.

Metastasis in the gallbladder: does literature reflect reality?

BACKGROUND: Metastases to the gallbladder (GBm) are rare and pose a unique diagnostic challenge because they can mimic a second primary tumor. This study aimed to gain insight into the clinicopathological and epidemiological characteristics of GBm. METHODS: A comprehensive literature review was performed (literature cohort) and compared with a nationwide cohort of GBm patients diagnosed between 1999 and 2015 in the Netherlands, collected via two linked registries (population cohort). Overall survival (OS) was estimated by Kaplan-Meier. Hazard ratios were determined by a Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The literature cohort and population cohort consisted of 225 and 291 patients, respectively. In the literature cohort, melanoma was the most frequent origin (33.8%), while colorectal cancer was the most frequent origin in the population cohort (23.7%). Prognosis was poor with median OS ranging from 6.0 to 22.5 months in the literature and population cohorts, respectively. Age, timing of GBm (synchronous/metachronous) and primary tumor origin were independent prognostic factors for OS. DISCUSSION: Metastases to the gallbladder are rare and carry a poor prognosis. Differences between both cohorts can be attributable to the biased reporting of tumor types that are more easily recognized as GBm because of distinct histological features.