Simple electrocardiographic measures improve sudden arrhythmic death prediction in coronary disease.

AIMS: To determine whether the combination of standard electrocardiographic (ECG) markers reflecting domains of arrhythmic risk improves sudden and/or arrhythmic death (SAD) risk stratification in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS AND RESULTS: The association between ECG markers and SAD was examined in a derivation cohort (PREDETERMINE; N = 5462) with adjustment for clinical risk factors, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and competing risk. Competing outcome models assessed the differential association of ECG markers with SAD and competing mortality. The predictive value of a derived ECG score was then validated (ARTEMIS; N = 1900). In the derivation cohort, the 5-year cumulative incidence of SAD was 1.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.9] and 6.2% (95% CI 4.5-8.3) in those with a low- and high-risk ECG score, respectively (P for Δ < 0.001). A high-risk ECG score was more strongly associated with SAD than non-SAD mortality (adjusted hazard ratios = 2.87 vs. 1.38 respectively; P for Δ = 0.003) and the proportion of deaths due to SAD was greater in the high vs. low risk groups (24.9% vs. 16.5%, P for Δ = 0.03). Similar findings were observed in the validation cohort. The addition of ECG markers to a clinical risk factor model inclusive of LVEF improved indices of discrimination and reclassification in both derivation and validation cohorts, including correct reclassification of 28% of patients in the validation cohort [net reclassification improvement 28 (7-49%), P = 0.009]. CONCLUSION: For patients with CHD, an externally validated ECG score enriched for both absolute and proportional SAD risk and significantly improved risk stratification compared to standard clinical risk factors including LVEF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01114269. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01114269.

Association of the beta-1 adrenergic receptor carboxyl terminal variants with left ventricular hypertrophy among diabetic and non-diabetic survivors of acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The beta-1 adrenergic receptor (beta1AR) plays a fundamental role in the regulation of cardiovascular functions. It carries a nonsynonymous single nucleotide polymorphism in its carboxyl terminal tail (Arg389Gly), which has been shown to associate with various echocardiographic parameters linked to left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). Diabetes mellitus (DM), on the other hand, represents a risk factor for LVH. We investigated the possible association between the Arg389Gly polymorphism and LVH among non-diabetic and diabetic acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors. METHODS: The study population consisted of 452 AMI survivors, 20.6% of whom had diagnosed DM. Left ventricular parameters were measured with two-dimensional guided M-mode echocardiography 2-7 days after AMI, and the Arg389Gly polymorphism was determined using a polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism assay. RESULTS: The Arg389 homozygotes in the whole study population had a significantly increased left ventricular mass index (LVMI) when compared to the Gly389 carriers (either Gly389 homozygotes or Arg389/Gly389 heterozygotes) [62.7 vs. 58.4, respectively (p = 0.023)]. In particular, the Arg389 homozygotes displayed thicker diastolic interventricular septal (IVSd) measures when compared to the Gly389 carriers [13.2 vs. 12.3 mm, respectively (p = 0.004)]. When the euglycemic and diabetic patients were analyzed separately, the latter had significantly increased LVMI and diastolic left ventricular posterior wall (LVPWd) values compared to the euglycemic patients [LVMI = 69.1 vs. 58.8 (p = 0.001) and LVPWd = 14.2 vs. 12.3 mm (p < 0.001), respectively]. Furthermore, among the euglycemic patients, the Arg389 homozygotes displayed increased LVMI and IVSd values compared to the Gly389 carriers [LVMI = 60.6 vs. 56.3, respectively (p = 0.028) and IVSd = 13.1 vs. 12.0 mm, respectively (p = 0.001)]. There was no difference in the LVMI and IVSd values between the diabetic Arg389 homozygotes and Gly389 carriers. CONCLUSIONS: The data suggest an association between the beta1AR Arg389Gly polymorphism and LVH, particularly the septal hypertrophy. The Arg389 variant appears to confer a higher risk of developing LVH than the corresponding Gly389 variant among patients who have suffered AMI. This association cannot be considered to be universal, however, since it does not appear to exist among diabetic AMI survivors.

Electrocardiogram as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in middle-aged subjects without a known cardiac disease.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal 12­lead electrocardiogram (ECG) findings and proposing its ability for enhanced risk prediction, majority of the studies have been carried out with elderly populations with prior cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to denote the association of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and various abnormal ECG morphologies using middle-aged population without a known cardiac disease. METHODS: In total, 9511 middle-aged subjects (mean age 42 ±â€¯8.2 years, 52% males) without a known cardiac disease were included in this study. Risk for SCD was assessed after 10 and 30-years of follow-up. RESULTS: Abnormal ECG was present in 16.3% (N = 1548) of subjects. The incidence of SCD was distinctly higher among those with any ECG abnormality in 10 and 30-year follow-ups (1.7/1000 years vs. 0.6/1000 years, P < 0.001; 3.4/1000 years vs. 1.9/1000 years, P < 0.001). At 10-year point, competing risk multivariate regression model showed HR of 1.62 (95% CI 1.0-2.6, P = 0.05) for SCD in subjects with abnormal ECG. QRS duration ≥ 110 ms, QRST-angle > 100°, left ventricular hypertrophy, and T-wave inversions were the most significant independent ECG risk markers for 10-year SCD prediction with up to 3-fold risk for SCD. Those with ECG abnormalities had a 1.3-fold risk (95% CI 1.07-1.57, P = 0.007) for SCD in 30-year follow-up, whereas QRST-angle > 100°, LVH, ER ≥ 0.1 mV and ≥0.2 mV were the strongest individual predictors. Subjects with multiple ECG abnormalities had up to 6.6-fold risk for SCD (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Several ECG abnormalities are associated with the occurrence of early and late SCD events in the middle-age subjects without known history of cardiac disease.

Waveform prototype-based feature learning for automatic detection of the early repolarization pattern in ECG signals.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to develop an automated detection method, for prescreening purposes, of early repolarization (ER) pattern with slur/notch configuration in electrocardiogram (ECG) signals using a waveform prototype-based feature vector for supervised classification. APPROACH: The feature vectors consist of fragments of the ECG signal where the ER pattern is located, instead of abstract descriptive variables of ECG waveforms. The tested classifiers included linear discriminant analysis, k-nearest neighbor algorithm, and support vector machine (SVM). MAIN RESULTS: SVM showed the best performance in Friedman tests in our test data including 5676 subjects representing 45 408 leads. Accuracies of the different classifiers showed results well over 90%, indicating that the waveform prototype-based feature vector is an effective representation of the differences between ECG signals with and without the ER pattern. The accuracy of inferior ER was 92.74% and 92.21% for lateral ER. The sensitivity achieved was 91.80% and specificity was 92.73%. SIGNIFICANCE: The algorithm presented here showed good performance results, indicating that it could be used as a prescreening tool of ER, and it provides an additional identification of critical cases based on the distances to the classifier decision boundary, which are close to the 0.1 mV threshold and are difficult to label.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of fragmented QRS complex in middle-aged subjects with and without clinical or electrocardiographic evidence of cardiac disease.

We wanted to evaluate the prevalence and prognostic value of the fragmented QRS (fQRS) complex, defined as changes in QRS morphology with various RSR'-patterns in 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) in a middle-aged general population. We evaluated the 12-lead ECGs of 10,904 Finnish middle-aged subjects (52% men, mean age 44 ± 8.5 years) with (n = 2,543) and without (n = 8,361) an evidence of cardiac disease drawn from general population and followed them for 30 ± 11 years. Fragmentation of the QRS complex was defined as various RSR'-patterns in at least 2 consecutive leads within the same territory (inferior II, III, aVF; lateral I, aVL, V4 to V6; anterior V1 to V3). Primary end points were death from any cause, cardiac, and arrhythmic deaths. In the total population, fQRS was present in 19.7% (n = 2,147) of subjects, including 15.7% (n = 1714) in inferior leads, 0.8% (n = 84) in lateral leads, and 2.9% (n = 314) in anterior leads. Fragmentation was not associated with increased mortality in subjects without a known cardiac disease. However, fQRS observed in lateral leads in subjects with an evidence of cardiac disease was associated with an increased risk of all-cause (p = 0.001), cardiac (p = 0.001), and arrhythmic (p = 0.004) mortalities. In conclusion, fQRS reflecting minor intraventricular conduction defect is a common finding, especially in the inferior leads, but it is not a sign of increased risk of mortality in subjects without a known cardiac disease. Lateral fQRS, which is less commonly observed in the ECG, is associated with a worse outcome in patients with a known cardiac disease.