Association of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with left ventricular fibrosis.

AIMS: To evaluate the relationship between spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization and spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization with arrhythmic substrate represented by left ventricular fibrosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed the associations of T- and P-wave morphology parameters analysed from the standard 12-lead electrocardiograms with left ventricular fibrosis in 378 victims of unexpected sudden cardiac death (SCD) who underwent medico-legal autopsy. Based on autopsy findings, the SCD victims were categorized into four different groups according to different stages of severity of left ventricular fibrosis (substantial fibrosis, moderate patchy fibrosis, scattered mild fibrosis, no fibrosis). T-wave and P-wave area dispersion (TWAd: 0.0841 ± 0.496, 0.170 ± 0.492, 0.302 ± 404, 0.296 ± 0.476, P = 0.008; PWAd: 0.574 ± 0.384, 0.561 ± 0.367, 0.654 ± 0.281, 0.717 ± 0.257, P = 0.011, respectively; low values abnormal), non-dipolar components of T-wave and P-wave morphology (T_NonDipolarABS: 0.0496 ± 0.0377, 0.0571 ± 0.0487, 0.0432 ± 0.0476, 0.0380 ± 0.0377, P = 0.027; P_NonDipolarABS: 0.0132 ± 0.0164, 0.0130 ± 0.0135, 0.0092 ± 0.0117, 0.0069 ± 0.00472, P = 0.005, respectively, high values abnormal), T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD: 45.9 ± 28.3, 40.5 ± 25.8, 35.5 ± 24.9, 33.0 ± 24.6, P = 0.030, respectively, high values abnormal), and P-wave heterogeneity (PWH: 20.0 ± 9.44, 19.7 ± 8.87, 17.9 ± 9.78, 15.4 ± 4.60, P = 0.019, respectively, high values abnormal) differed significantly between the groups with different stages of left ventricular fibrosis. After adjustment with heart weight, T_NonDipolarABS [standardized ß (sß) = 0.131, P = 0.014], PWAd (sß = -0.161, P = 0.003), P_NonDipolarABS (sß = 0.174, P = 0.001), and PWH (sß = 0.128, P = 0.015) retained independent association, and TWAd (sß = -0.091, P = 0.074) and TMD (sß = 0.097, P = 0.063) tended to retain their association with the degree of myocardial fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that abnormal values of T- and P-wave morphology are associated with arrhythmic substrate represented by ventricular fibrosis partly explaining the mechanism behind their prognostic significance.

Prognostic value of P-wave morphology in general population.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of novel P-wave morphology descriptors in general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Novel P-wave morphology variables were analyzed from orthogonal X-, Y-, Z-leads of the digitized electrocardiogram using a custom-made software in 6906 middle-aged subjects of the Mini-Finland Health Survey. A total of 3747 (54.3%) participants died during the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years; 379 (5.5%) of the study population succumbed to sudden cardiac death (SCD), 928 (13.4%) to non-SCD (NSCD) and 2440 (35.3%) patients to non-cardiac death (NCD). In univariate comparisons, most of the studied P-wave morphology parameters had a significant association with all modes of death (P from <0.05 to <0.001). After relevant adjustments in the Cox multivariate hazards model, P-wave morphology dispersion (PMD) still tended to predict SCD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.006, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.012, P = 0.05) but not NSCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.995-1.003, P = 0.68) or NCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997-1.001, P = 0.44). The P-wave maximum amplitude in the lead Z (P-MaxAmp-Z) predicted SCD even after multivariate adjustments (HR: 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015, P = 0.0002) but also NSCD (HR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, P = 0.0005) and NCD (HR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Abnormalities of P-wave morphology are associated with the risk of all modes of death in general population. After relevant adjustments, PMD was still closely associated with the risk of SCD but not with NSCD or NCD. P-MaxAmp-Z predicted SCD even after adjustments, however, it also retained its association with NSCD and NCD.

Q waves are the strongest electrocardiographic variable associated with primary prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator benefit: a prospective multicentre study.

AIM: The association of standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) markers with benefits of the primary prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) has not been determined in the contemporary era. We analysed traditional and novel ECG variables in a large prospective, controlled primary prophylactic ICD population to assess the predictive value of ECG in terms of ICD benefit. METHODS AND RESULTS: Electrocardiograms from 1477 ICD patients and 700 control patients (EU-CERT-ICD; non-randomized, controlled, prospective multicentre study; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02064192), who met ICD implantation criteria but did not receive the device, were analysed. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. In ICD patients, the co-primary outcome of first appropriate shock was used. Mean follow-up time was 2.4 ± 1.1 years to death and 2.3 ± 1.2 years to the first appropriate shock. Pathological Q waves were associated with decreased mortality in ICD patients [hazard ratio (HR) 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.35-0.84; P < 0.01] and patients with pathological Q waves had significantly more benefit from ICD (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.21-0.93; P = 0.03). QTc interval increase taken as a continuous variable was associated with both mortality and appropriate shock incidence, but commonly used cut-off values, were not statistically significantly associated with either of the outcomes. CONCLUSION: Pathological Q waves were a strong ECG predictor of ICD benefit in primary prophylactic ICD patients. Excess mortality among Q wave patients seems to be due to arrhythmic death which can be prevented by ICD.

Association of atrial depolarization variability and cardiac autonomic regulation with sudden cardiac death in coronary artery disease.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic significance of the temporal variability of P-wave morphology, specifically in relation to cardiac autonomic regulation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the standard deviation of P-wave residuum (PWRSD) from five consecutive beats of the standard 12-lead ECG in 1236 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the prognostic value of PWRSD, of PWRSD and PWR in relation to the 24 h standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (PWRSD/SDNN and PWR/SDNN). After 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up on average, 43 patients (3.5%) experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 34 (2.8%) succumbed to non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD) and 113 (9.1%) to non-cardiac death (NCD). In the Cox regression analysis, PWRSD (≥0.002727) had a significant univariate (uv) [hazard ratio (HR): 4.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.26-8.08, P = 0.000008] and multivariate (mv) (HR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.31-5.08, P = 0.006) association with SCD/SCA but not with NSCD (uv P = 0.76, mv P = 0.33) or NCD (uv P = 0.57, mv P = 0.66). All the studied P-morphology parameters retained a significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA after relevant adjustment (mv P-values from 0.00003 to <0.05) but not with NSCD or NCD. When dichotomized PWRSD, PWR, PWRSD/SDNN, and PWR/SDNN were added to the clinical risk model for SCD/SCD, the C-index increased from 0.799 to 0.834 and integrated discrimination index and net reclassification index improved significantly (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Variability of P-morphology representing temporo-spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization, specifically when combined with cardiac autonomic regulation, independently predicts the risk of SCD in patients with CAD.

Temporal variability of T-wave morphology and risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The possible relationship between temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not completely understood. METHODS: The standard deviation of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD), of QRST angle (QRSTA-SD), and of T-wave area dispersion (TW-Ad-SD) were analyzed on beat-to-beat basis from 10 min period of the baseline electrocardiographic recording in ARTEMIS study patients with angiographically verified CAD. RESULTS: After on average of 8.6 ± 2.3 years of follow-up, a total of 66 of the 1,678 present study subjects (3.9%) had experienced SCD or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). TMD-SD was most closely associated with the risk for SCD and was significantly higher in patients who had experienced SCD/SCA compared with those who remained alive (3.61 ± 2.83 vs. 2.64 ± 2.52, p = .008, respectively), but did not differ significantly between the patients who had experienced non-SCD (n = 71, 4.2%) and those who remained alive (3.20 ± 2.73 vs. 2.65 ± 2.53, p = .077, respectively) or between the patients who succumbed to non-cardiac death (n = 164, 9.8%) and those who stayed alive (2.64 ± 2.17 vs. 2.68 ± 2.58, p = .853). After adjustments with relevant clinical risk indicators of SCD/SCA, TMD-SD still predicted SCD/SCA (HR 1.107, 95% CIs 1.035-1.185, p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Temporal variability of electrocardiographic spatial heterogeneity of repolarization represented by TMD-SD independently predicts long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Prognostic significance of flat T-waves in the lateral leads in general population.

BACKGROUND: Negative T-waves are associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk in the general population. Whether flat T-waves also predict SCD is not known. The aim of the study was to examine the clinical characteristics and risk of SCD in general population subjects with flat T-waves. METHODS: We examined the electrocardiograms of 6750 Finnish general population adults aged ≥30 years and classified the subjects into 3 groups: 1) negative T-waves with an amplitude ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4-V6, 2) negative or positive low amplitude T-waves with an amplitude <0.1 mV and the ratio of T-wave and R-wave <10% in ≥2 of the leads I, II, aVL, V4-V6, and 3) normal positive T-waves (not meeting the aforesaid criteria). The association between T-wave classification and SCD was assessed during a 10-year follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 215 (3.2%) subjects had negative T-waves, 856 (12.7%) flat T-waves, and 5679 (84.1%) normal T-waves. Flat T-wave subjects were older and had more often cardiovascular morbidities compared to normal T-wave subjects, while negative T-wave subjects were the oldest and had most often cardiovascular morbidities. After adjusting for multiple factors, both flat T-waves (hazard ratio [HR] 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-2.91) and negative T-waves (HR 3.27; 95% CI 1.85-5.78) associated with SCD. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular risk factors and disease are common among subjects with flat T-waves, but these minor T-wave abnormalities are also independently associated with increased SCD risk.

Gender differences in prevalence and prognostic value of fragmented QRS complex.

BACKGROUND: Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with scarred myocardium and adverse outcome. However, the data on gender differences in terms of its prevalence and prognostic value is sparse. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether gender differences in fQRS exist among subjects drawn from populations with different risk profiles. METHODS: We analyzed fQRS from 12-lead ECG in 953 autopsy-confirmed victims of sudden cardiac death (SCD) (78% men; 67.0 ± 11.4 yrs), 1900 coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with angiographically confirmed stenosis of ≥50% (70% men; 66.6 ± 9.0 yrs, 43% with previous myocardial infarction [MI]), and in 10,904 adults drawn from the Finnish adult general population (52% men; 44.0 ± 8.5 yrs). RESULTS: Prevalence of fQRS was associated with older age, male sex and the history and severity of prior cardiac disease of subjects. Among the general population fQRS was more commonly found among men in comparison to women (20.5% vs. 14.8%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of fQRS rose gradually along with the severity of prior cardiac disease in both genders, yet remained significantly higher in the male population: subjects with suspected or known cardiac disease (25.4% vs. 15.8% p < 0.001), CAD patients without prior MI (39.9% vs. 26.4%, p < 0.001), CAD patients with prior MI (42.9% vs. 31.2%, p < 0.001), and victims of SCD (56.4% vs. 44.4%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of QRS fragmentation varies in different populations. The fragmentation is clearly related to the underlying cardiac disease in both genders, however women seem to have significantly lower prevalence of fQRS in each patient population in comparison to men.

Fragmented QRS complex as a predictor of exercise-related sudden cardiac death.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the association between electrocardiographic abnormalities and exercise-related sudden cardiac death. Therefore, our aim was to identify possible electrocardiographic findings related to exercise-induced sudden cardiac death. METHODS AND RESULTS: The FinGesture study includes 3,989 consecutive sudden cardiac deaths in northern Finland between 1998 and 2012, out of whom a total of 647 subjects had a previously recorded electrocardiography acquired from the archives of Oulu University Hospital. In 276 of these cases the death was witnessed, and the activity at the time of death was either rest or physical exercise (PE); in 40 (14%) cases sudden cardiac death was exercise-related and in 236 (86%) cases death took place at rest. Fragmented QRS complex in at least two consecutive leads within anterior leads (V1-V3) was more common in the exercise-group compared to rest-group (17 of 40, 43% vs. 51 of 236, 22%, P  =  0.005). Pathologic Q wave in anterior leads was more common in the PE group (9 of 40, 23% vs. 26 of 236, 11%; P  =  0.044). Median QRS duration was prolonged in the exercise-group compared to the rest-group (100 milliseconds vs. 94 milliseconds, P = 0.047). QTc interval, the prevalence of inverted T-waves, or other electrocardiographic abnormalities did not differ significantly between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: As a conclusion, fragmented QRS complex in the anterior leads is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death during PE.

Inferolateral early repolarization among non-ischaemic sudden cardiac death victims.

Aim: Inferolateral early repolarization (ER) has been associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, this association is thought to be mainly due to ischaemic SCD. The association of ER and non-ischaemic SCD has not been studied. The aim was to evaluate whether inferolateral ER is associated with non-ischaemic SCD. Methods and results: Study population consists of 275 consecutive victims of non-ischaemic SCD with 12-lead ECG and control group of general population cohort with 10 864 subjects. Sudden cardiac deaths were verified as non-ischaemic by medicolegal autopsy. Hypertensive cardiomyopathy (HTCMP) (25%), alcohol related dilated cardiomyopathy (ACMP) (24%), obesity associated cardiomyopathy (OCMP) (23%), and idiopathic myocardial fibrosis (IMF) (15%) were the most common causes of non-ischaemic SCD. A structurally normal heart was seen in only 1.5%. The prevalence of inferolateral ER was 20.7% among patients with non-ischaemic SCD compared to 5.3% in the general population (P < 0.001). The ECG pattern was accompanied with a horizontal/descending ST segment in 95% of the cases. The prevalence of inferolateral ER was slightly higher in the HTCMP group (26%) and the ACMP group (24%) than in the IMF group (20%) and the OCMP group (13%). The history of previously diagnosed cardiac diseases was not higher among subjects with ER (55%) than those without (59%, P = 0.59). Conclusion: The prevalence of inferolateral ER among non-ischaemic SCD victims is high. Almost all ER patterns are accompanied with the malignant horizontal/descending ST segment morphology suggesting that inferolateral ER is not only associated with an ischaemic SCD but also a non-ischaemic SCD.

Prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in current treatment era.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of T-wave morphology parameters in coronary artery disease in the current treatment era is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study included 1,946 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). The study patients underwent thorough examinations including 12-lead digital electrocardiogram (ECG) at baseline. RESULTS: During a follow-up period of 73 ± 22 months, a total of 201 (10.3%) patients died. Of the study patients, 95 (4.9%) experienced cardiac death (CD) consisting of 44 (2.3%) sudden cardiac deaths (SCD) and 51 (2.6%) nonsudden cardiac deaths (NSCD), and 106 (5.4%) patients experienced noncardiac death (NCD). T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD), T-wave area dispersion (TWAD), and total cosine R-to-T (TCRT) had a significant association with CD even after adjustment with relevant clinical risk markers in the Cox regression analysis (multivariate HRs: 1.015, 95% CI 1.007-1.023, p = .0003; 0.474, 95% CI 0.305-0.737, p = .0009; 0.598, 95% CI 0.412-0.866, p = .006, respectively). When including these parameters to the clinical risk model for CD, the C-index increased from 0.810 to 0.823 improving the discrimination significantly (integrated discrimination index [IDI] = 0.0118, 95% CI 0.0028-0.0208, p = .01). These parameters were more closely associated with NSCD (multivariate p-values from .016 to .001) than with SCD (univariate/multivariate p-values for TMD .015/.197 and for TCRT .012/.43). CONCLUSION: T-wave morphology parameters describing repolarization heterogeneity improve the predictive power of the clinical risk model for CD in patients with CAD in the current treatment era.

Experiences in digitizing and digitally measuring a paper-based ECG archive.

BACKGROUND: No established method for digitizing and digital measuring of paper electrocardiograms (ECG) exists. We describe a paper ECG digitizing and digital measuring process, and report comparability to manual measurements. METHODS: A paper ECG was recorded from 7203 health survey participants in 1978-1980. With specific software, the ECGs were digitized (ECG Trace Tool), and measured digitally (EASE). A sub-sample of 100 ECGs was selected for manual measurements. RESULTS: The measurement methods showed good agreement. The mean global (EASE)-(manual) differences were 1.4ms (95% CI 0.5-2.2) for PR interval, -1.0ms (95% CI -1.5-[-0.5]) for QRS duration, and 11.6ms (95% CI 10.5-12.7) for QT interval. The mean inter-method amplitude differences of RampV5, RampV6, SampV1, TampII and TampV5 ranged from -0.03mV to 0.01mV. CONCLUSIONS: The presented paper-to-digital conversion and digital measurement process is an accurate and reliable method, enabling efficient storing and analysis of paper ECGs.

Supraventricular premature beats and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The significance of premature atrial contraction (PAC) count and supraventricular runs (SVR) for the risk of development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well established. METHODS: The Innovation to Reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study cohort consisted of 1,946 patients with CAD who underwent clinical and echocardiographic examinations, 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring, and laboratory tests. After excluding patients who were not in sinus rhythm at baseline or were lost from the follow-up, the present study included 1,710 patients. SVR was defined as at least four PACs in a row with a duration <30 seconds. RESULTS: During a follow-up for an average 5.6 ± 1.5 years, new-onset AF was identified in 143 (8.4%) patients. In the univariate analysis, both SVR and PAC count were associated with the development of new-onset AF. When SVR and PAC count were adjusted with the established AF risk markers of the modified CHARGE-AF model in the Cox multivariate regression analysis, both parameters remained significant predictors of the occurrence of new-onset AF (HR = 2.529, 95 % CI = 1.763-3.628, P ˂ 0.001 and HR = 8.139 for ≥1,409 PACs [the fourth quartile] vs. ≤507 PACs [the first quartile], 95 % CI = 3.967-16.696, P ˂ 0.001, respectively). Together these parameters improved the C-index of the established AF risk model from 0.649 to 0.718, P < 0.001. CONCLUSION: Including SVR and PAC count to the established AF risk model improves the discrimination accuracy in predicting AF in patients with CAD.

Lack of Prognostic Value of T-Wave Alternans for Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Benefit in Primary Prevention.

BACKGROUND: New methods to identify patients who benefit from a primary prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) are needed. T-wave alternans (TWA) has been shown to associate with arrhythmogenesis of the heart and sudden cardiac death. We hypothesized that TWA might be associated with benefit from ICD implantation in primary prevention. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the EU-CERT-ICD (European Comparative Effectiveness Research to Assess the Use of Primary Prophylactic Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators) study, we prospectively enrolled 2327 candidates for primary prophylactic ICD. A 24-hour Holter monitor reading was taken from all recruited patients at enrollment. TWA was assessed from Holter monitoring using the modified moving average method. Study outcomes were all-cause death, appropriate shock, and survival benefit. TWA was assessed both as a contiguous variable and as a dichotomized variable with cutoff points <47 µV and <60 µV. The final cohort included 1734 valid T-wave alternans samples, 1211 patients with ICD, and 523 control patients with conservative treatment, with a mean follow-up time of 2.3 years. TWA ≥60 µV was a predicter for a higher all-cause death in patients with an ICD on the basis of a univariate Cox regression model (hazard ratio, 1.484 [95% CI, 1.024-2.151]; P=0.0374; concordance statistic, 0.51). In multivariable models, TWA was not prognostic of death or appropriate shocks in patients with an ICD. In addition, TWA was not prognostic of death in control patients. In a propensity score-adjusted Cox regression model, TWA was not a predictor of ICD benefit. CONCLUSIONS: T-wave alternans is poorly prognostic in patients with a primary prophylactic ICD. Although it may be prognostic of life-threatening arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in several patient populations, it does not seem to be useful in assessing benefit from ICD therapy in primary prevention among patients with an ejection fraction of ≤35%.

Prognostic significance of beat-to-beat variability of spatial heterogeneity of repolarization analyzed from a 5-minute resting electrocardiogram in coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Data on the prognostic significance of temporal variability of spatial heterogeneity of electrocardiographic repolarization in coronary artery disease (CAD) are limited. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of temporal variability of T-wave morphology analyzed from a 5-minute resting electrocardiogram in CAD. METHODS: The standard deviation (SD) of T-wave morphology dispersion (TMD-SD) and the SD of total cosine R-to-T were analyzed on a beat-to-beat basis from a 5-minute period of the standard resting 12-lead electrocardiogram obtained before the clinical stress test in 1702 patients with angiographically verified CAD and well-preserved left ventricular function. RESULTS: During an average of 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up, 60 patients experienced sudden cardiac death/arrest (SCD/SCA) (3.5%), 69 patients nonsudden cardiac death (NSCD) (4.1%), and 161 patients noncardiac death (9.5%). TMD-SD was significantly higher in patients who experienced SCD/SCA than in other patients (1.72 ± 2.00 vs 1.12 ± 1.75; P = .01) and higher in patients who succumbed to NSCD than in other patients (1.57 ± 1.74 vs 1.12 ± 1.76; P = .04), but it did not differ significantly between patients who experienced noncardiac death and those without such an event (1.16 ± 1.42 vs 1.14 ± 1.79; P = .86). In the Cox multivariable hazards model, TMD-SD retained its significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA (hazard ratio 1.119; 95% confidence interval 1.015-1.233; P = .024) but not with the risk of NSCD (hazard ratio 1.089; 95% confidence interval 0.983-1.206; P = .103). CONCLUSION: TMD-SD is independently associated with the long-term risk of SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Poor R-wave progression as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in the general population and subjects with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Poor R-wave progression (PRWP) is a common clinical finding on the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), but its prognostic significance is unclear. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the prognosis associated with PRWP in terms of sudden cardiac death (SCD), cardiac death, and all-cause mortality in general population subjects with and without coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: Data and 12-lead ECGs were collected from a Finnish general population health examination survey conducted during 1978-1980 with follow-up until 2011. The study population consisted of 6854 subjects. Main end points were SCD, cardiac death, and all-cause mortality. PRWP was defined as R-wave amplitude ≤ 0.3 mV in lead V3 and R-wave amplitude in lead V2 ≤ R-wave amplitude in lead V3. RESULTS: PRWP occurred in 213 subjects (3.1%). During the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years, 3723 subjects (54.3%) died. PRWP was associated with older age, higher prevalence of heart failure and CAD, and ß-blocker medication. In multivariate analyses, PRWP was associated with SCD (hazard ratio [HR] 2.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-3.39), cardiac death (HR 1.75; 95% CI 1.35-2.15), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.29; 95% CI 1.08-1.54). In the subgroup with CAD, PRWP had a stronger association with cardiac mortality (HR 1.71; 95% CI 1.19-2.46) than in the subgroup without CAD, while the association with SCD was significant only in the subgroup with CAD (HR 2.62; 95% CI 1.38-4.98). CONCLUSION: PRWP was associated with adverse prognosis in the general population and with SCD in subjects with CAD.

Impact of age and sex on the long-term prognosis associated with early repolarization in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization (ER) has been linked to the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the general population, although controversy remains regarding risks across various subgroups. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether age and sex influence the prognostic significance of ER. METHODS: We evaluated the 12-lead electrocardiograms of 6631 Finnish general population subjects age ≥30 years (mean age 50.1 ± 13.9 years; 44.5% men) for the presence of ER (J-point elevation ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 inferior/lateral leads) and followed them for 24.4 ± 10.3 years. We analyzed the association between ER and the risk of SCD, cardiac death, and all-cause mortality in subgroups according to age (<50 or ≥50 years) and sex. RESULTS: ER was present in 367 of the 3305 subjects age <50 years and in 426 of 3326 subjects ≥50 years. ER was not associated with any of the endpoints in the entire study population. After adjusting for clinical factors, ER was associated with SCD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-3.07) in subjects <50 but not in older subjects (interaction between ER and age group, P = .048). In the younger subgroup, women with ER had a high risk of SCD (HR 4.11; 95% CI 1.41-12.03), whereas among men ER was not associated with SCD. Finally, ER was not associated with cardiac mortality or all-cause mortality in either age group. CONCLUSION: ER is associated with SCD in subjects younger than 50 years, particularly in women, but not in subjects 50 years and older.

Electrocardiographic Risk Markers for Heart Failure in Women Versus Men.

Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of hospitalization in the Western world. Women have a lower HF hospitalization rate and mortality compared with men. The role of electrocardiography as a risk marker of future HF in women is not well known. We studied association of electrocardiographic (ECG) risk factors for HF hospitalization in women from a large middle-aged general population with a long-term follow-up and compared the risk profile to men. Standard 12-lead ECG markers were analyzed from 10,864 subjects (49% women), and their predictive value for HF hospitalization was analyzed. During the follow-up (30 ± 11 years), a total of 1,743 subjects had HF hospitalization; of these, 861 were women (49%). Several baseline characteristics, such as age, body mass index, blood pressure, and history of previous cardiac disease predicted the occurrence of HF both in women and men (p <0.001 for all). After adjusting for baseline variables, ECG sign of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (p <0.001), and atrial fibrillation (p <0.001) were the only baseline ECG variables that predicted future HF in women. In men, HF was predicted by fast heart rate (p = 0.008), T wave inversions (p <0.001), abnormal Q-waves (p = 0.002), and atrial fibrillation (p <0.001). Statistically significant gender interactions in prediction of HF were observed in ECG sign of LVH, inferolateral T wave inversions, and heart rate. In conclusion, ECG sign of LVH predicts future HF in middle-aged women, and T wave inversions and elevated heart rate are associated with HF hospitalization in men.

Electrocardiographic Risk Markers of Cardiac Death: Gender Differences in the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac death is one of the leading causes of death and sudden cardiac death (SCD) is estimated to cause approximately 50% of cardiac deaths. Men have a higher cardiac mortality than women. Consequently, the mechanisms and risk markers of cardiac mortality are not as well defined in women as they are in men. AIM: The aim of the study was to assess the prognostic value and possible gender differences of SCD risk markers of standard 12-lead electrocardiogram in three large general population samples. METHODS: The standard 12-lead electrocardiographic (ECG) markers were analyzed from three different Finnish general population samples including total of 20,310 subjects (49.9% women, mean age 44.8 ± 8.7 years). The primary endpoint was cardiac death, and SCD and all-cause mortality were secondary endpoints. The interaction effect between women and men was assessed for each ECG variable. RESULTS: During the follow-up (7.7 ± 1.2 years), a total of 883 deaths occurred (24.5% women, p < 0.001). There were 296 cardiac deaths (13.9% women, p < 0.001) and 149 SCDs (14.8% women, p < 0.001). Among those who had died due to cardiac cause, women had more often a normal electrocardiogram compared to men (39.0 vs. 27.5%, p = 0.132). After adjustments with common cardiovascular risk factors and the population sample, the following ECG variables predicted the primary endpoint in men: left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) with strain pattern (p < 0.001), QRS duration > 110 ms (p < 0.001), inferior or lateral T-wave inversion (p < 0.001) and inferolateral early repolarization (p = 0.033). In women none of the variables remained significant predictors of cardiac death in multivariable analysis, but LVH, QTc ≥ 490 ms and T-wave inversions predicted SCD (p < 0.047 and 0.033, respectively). In the interaction analysis, LVH (HR: 2.4; 95% CI: 1.2-4.9; p = 0.014) was stronger predictor of primary endpoint in women than in men. CONCLUSION: Several standard ECG variables provide independent information on the risk of cardiac mortality in men but not in women. LVH and T-wave inversions predict SCD also in women.

Electrocardiogram as a predictor of survival without appropriate shocks in primary prophylactic ICD patients: A retrospective multi-center study.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) can predict cardiovascular events, including sudden cardiac death. We tested the hypothesis that ECG provides useful information on guiding implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy into individuals with impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). METHODS: Retrospective data of primary prevention ICD implantations from 14 European centers were gathered. The registry included 5111 subjects of whom 1687 patients had an interpretable pre-implantation ECG available (80.0% male, 63.3 ± 11.4 years). Primary outcome was survival without appropriate ICD shocks or heart transplantation. A low-risk ECG was defined as a combination of ECG variables that were associated with the primary outcome. RESULTS: A total of 1224 (72.6%) patients survived the follow-up (2.9 ± 1.7 years) without an ICD shock, 224 (13.3%) received an appropriate shock and 260 (15.4%) died. Low-risk ECG defined as QRS duration <120 ms, QTc interval <450 ms for men and <470 ms for women, and sinus rhythm, were met by 515 patients (30.5%). Multivariable Cox regression showed that the hazard (HR) for death, heart transplantation or appropriate shock were reduced by 42.5% in the low-risk group (HR 0.575; 95% CI 0.45-0.74; p < 0.001), compared to the high-risk group. The HR for the first appropriate shock was 42.1% lower (HR 0.58; 95% CI 0.41-0.82; p = 0.002) and the HR for death was 48.0% lower (HR 0.52; 95% CI 0.386-0.72; p < 0.001) in the low-risk group. CONCLUSION: Sinus rhythm, QRS <120 ms and normal QTc in standard 12-lead ECG provides information about survival without appropriate ICD shocks and might improve patient selection for primary prevention ICD therapy.

Appropriate Shocks and Mortality in Patients With Versus Without Diabetes With Prophylactic Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetes increases the risk of all-cause mortality and sudden cardiac death (SCD). The exact mechanisms leading to sudden death in diabetes are not well known. We compared the incidence of appropriate shocks and mortality in patients with versus without diabetes with a prophylactic implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) included in the retrospective EU-CERT-ICD registry. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 3,535 patients from 12 European EU-CERT-ICD centers with a mean age of 63.7 ± 11.2 years (82% males) at the time of ICD implantation were included in the analysis. A total of 995 patients (28%) had a history of diabetes. All patients had an ICD implanted for primary SCD prevention. End points were appropriate shock and all-cause mortality. Mean follow-up time was 3.2 ± 2.3 years. Diabetes was associated with a lower risk of appropriate shocks (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.77 [95% CI 0.62-0.96], P = 0.02). However, patients with diabetes had significantly higher mortality (adjusted HR 1.30 [95% CI 1.11-1.53], P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: All-cause mortality is higher in patients with diabetes than in patients without diabetes with primary prophylactic ICDs. Subsequently, patients with diabetes have a lower incidence of appropriate ICD shocks, indicating that the excess mortality might not be caused primarily by ventricular tachyarrhythmias. These findings suggest a limitation of the potential of prophylactic ICD therapy to improve survival in patients with diabetes with impaired left ventricular function.