Geographic Mapping of Escherichia coli Susceptibility To Develop a Novel Clinical Decision Support Tool.

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) varies regionally. This study longitudinally maps Escherichia coli susceptibility leveraging Wisconsin antibiograms (n = 202) collected from 2009, 2013, and 2015 to inform the development of a novel clinical decision support tool. Spatial interpolation methods were tested with E. coli susceptibilities to create geographic AMR visualizations and to estimate susceptibility in areas without AMR data. These visualizations and an interactive mapping tool, the AMR Tracker, provide a proof of concept for empirical antibiotic treatment decisions.

A geospatial approach to identify patterns of antibiotic susceptibility at a neighborhood level in Wisconsin, United States.

The global threat of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) varies regionally. This study explores whether geospatial analysis and data visualization methods detect both clinically and statistically significant variations in antibiotic susceptibility rates at a neighborhood level. This observational multicenter geospatial study collected 10 years of patient-level antibiotic susceptibility data and patient addresses from three regionally distinct Wisconsin health systems (UW Health, Fort HealthCare, Marshfield Clinic Health System [MCHS]). We included the initial Escherichia coli isolate per patient per year per sample source with a patient address in Wisconsin (N = 100,176). Isolates from U.S. Census Block Groups with less than 30 isolates were excluded (n = 13,709), resulting in 86,467 E. coli isolates. The primary study outcomes were the results of Moran's I spatial autocorrelation analyses to quantify antibiotic susceptibility as spatially dispersed, randomly distributed, or clustered by a range of - 1 to + 1, and the detection of statistically significant local hot (high susceptibility) and cold spots (low susceptibility) for variations in antibiotic susceptibility by U.S. Census Block Group. UW Health isolates collected represented greater isolate geographic density (n = 36,279 E. coli, 389 = blocks, 2009-2018), compared to Fort HealthCare (n = 5110 isolates, 48 = blocks, 2012-2018) and MCHS (45,078 isolates, 480 blocks, 2009-2018). Choropleth maps enabled a spatial AMR data visualization. A positive spatially-clustered pattern was identified from the UW Health data for ciprofloxacin (Moran's I = 0.096, p = 0.005) and trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole susceptibility (Moran's I = 0.180, p < 0.001). Fort HealthCare and MCHS distributions were likely random. At the local level, we identified hot and cold spots at all three health systems (90%, 95%, and 99% CIs). AMR spatial clustering was observed in urban areas but not rural areas. Unique identification of AMR hot spots at the Block Group level provides a foundation for future analyses and hypotheses. Clinically meaningful differences in AMR could inform clinical decision support tools and warrants further investigation for informing therapy options.