Examining the effectiveness and duration of adjuvanted vs. non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines in protecting older adults against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Annual influenza vaccination is one of the main public health measures able to drastically reduce the burden of this infectious disease. Some evidence suggests 'trained immunity' triggered by influenza vaccine might reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Adjuvanted influenza vaccines are known to induce a broader cross-reactive immunity. No studies investigated the effect of adjuvanted vs. non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines on the risk of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. A case-control analysis nested in a cohort of subjects aged ≥65 years and immunized with adjuvanted or non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines was conducted. Although no statistically significant (OR = 0.87; P = .082) difference between the two vaccine types was observed for the 9-month follow-up period, a 17% (OR = 0.83; P = .042) reduction in the odds of COVID-19 was observed for adjuvanted vaccines with a 6-month follow-up. Further evidence is needed, but these results might have implications given the complexity of the upcoming winter seasons, in which the co-occurrence of influenza, SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory infections (e.g., syncytial virus) might be unpredictable.

The use of C-reactive protein testing and antibiotic prescribing in Italy: A population-based study in primary care.

Testing serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels can help determine whether there is a need for antibiotics and can limit prescribing of antibiotics for illnesses that are likely viral or non-infectious in origin. Using Health Search, an Italian primary care database, we identified all patients, aged 15 years or older, being registered in the period between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2019 and newly diagnosed with upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) or COPD- or asthma-related exacerbations. From the date of these diagnoses, patients were followed up until occurrence of antibiotic prescription (for these indications) up to 31 December 2019. The association between the CRP testing and the outcome was investigated using a nested case-control analysis. In a cohort of 469 684 patients being diagnosed for URTI (83%), COPD- (11%) and asthma (7%)-related exacerbations, 28 688 (6.11%) were prescribed with antibiotics because of the aforementioned indications. Of note, 98% of cases, nominally those prescribed with antibiotics, were not tested with CRP. However, those receiving antibiotics were more likely to have been previously tested for CRP than controls who did not receive antibiotics (833/28 601 [3%] and 4128/277 968 [1.5%]; OR 2.0 [95% CI: 1.8-2.1]). Our findings indicate that most of the antibiotic prescriptions for the investigated conditions were given without any prior CRP testing. A small minority of GPs did properly use CRP to determine whether antibiotics were needed. Further guidance is needed in Italy on the use of CRP in guiding antibiotic prescribing in primary care.

To retrieve values of albuminuria to define the size of CKD patients eligible to SGLT-2Is: An explorative analysis using a primary care database.

PURPOSE: To address missingness of albuminuria values, which establish the eligibility to SGLT-2Is for patients with CKD, using the multiple imputation (MI) method. METHODS: We selected patients aged 18 or older and diagnosed with CKD in a primary care database. Those with severe CKD and/or previously treated with SGLT-2Is were excluded. Then, we collected all available information on albuminuria within 90 days the measure of GFR. A value of albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) ranging 200-5000 mg/g or otherwise was the response variable on which we ran MI. Using logistic regression, odds ratios (OR) and related 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for each covariate toward the response variable for both full and imputed dataset. RESULTS: The determinants showed consistent estimates between the full and imputed datasets as demonstrated by the overlaps of the CIs and the similar point estimates. As expected, there were some exceptions, such as diabetes (OR of 1.2 vs. 0.5) and use of diabetic medications (OR of 1.0 vs. 2.1) and/or statins (OR of 1.1 vs. 1.8). CONCLUSIONS: Besides being a reminder for GPs to prescribe and register albuminuria in certain patients' categories, these determinants might be translated into an operational algorithm to input ACR values in administrative data sources. Scenarios for the reimbursement criteria regulating SGLT-2Is to treat CKD would be therefore simulated on more inferable estimates.

The burden of recurrent respiratory tract infections in adult population: a population-based study in primary care.

BACKGROUND: Viral infections are the main original cause of recurrent respiratory tract infections (RRTIs), but their complications and recurrences are due to bacteria as well. While some operational definitions and epidemiology of RRTIs are reported in paediatrics, no similar definitions have been proposed for adults. AIM: To assess the epidemiology and characteristics of RRTIs in the adult population. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cohort study in the primary care setting. METHODS: Using the Health Search Database, we selected a cohort of patients aged 18 years or older between 2002 and 2022. Yearly, we counted upper and lower respiratory tract infections (RTIs) per patient. We investigated 2 cut-offs defining RRTIs, nominally 3+ RRTIs/patient/year or greater than the mean value of RTIs/patient/year. The associations between these two event definitions and the correlates defining the patients' vulnerability were assessed by estimating a logistic regression model. RESULTS: Over the study years, the mean number of RTIs/patient/year ranged from 0.07-0.16 or 1.10-1.13 events, when the denominator was formed by the overall population or those diagnosed with RTIs, respectively. When the analysis was focussed on 2022, we obtained 0.2% (1.3% among those with RTIs) or 13% (11.3% among those with RTIs) cases of RRTIs, using a cut-off of 3+ or >=0.16 events (mean value/patient), respectively. Consistent associations were found for these two operational definitions and the investigated clinical correlates. CONCLUSION: We provided evidence on the epidemiology and concurrent/predisposing factors of RRTIs in adults. These data should support health authorities and general practitioners for the application of the most appropriate preventive and/or treatment strategies.

Time-varying association between herpes zoster infection and subsequent occurrence of stroke.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the shape of the time-varying relationship between herpes zoster infection, nominally shingles, and the occurrence of stroke. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Using the Italian Health Search Database, a cohort of patients aged ≥18 years who were registered between 2002 and 2021 was selected. In this cohort, a nested case-control analysis was used to model the time-varying distance (in months) between the dates of shingles and post-herpetic stroke, using a regression cubic spline, based on the odds of the occurrence of stroke compared with those without shingles. RESULTS: The dataset comprised 42,513 cases (51.1% males; mean age [stanndard deviation {SD}]: 71.0 [11.8] years) and 425,124 related controls (51.1% males; mean age [SD]: 70.9 [12] years). In the first 12 months following shingles diagnosis, a rapid increase in the risk of stroke was observed, reaching an odds ratio of 1.31 (95% confidence interval: 1.21-1.41); subsequently, there was some risk reduction and a new symmetric increase within the first 4.2 years of follow-up, thus shaping a bimodal distribution. Then, a new increase in the stroke risk was reported, although less steep, which was followed by a regular risk reduction (still 10% higher compared with those without shingles), resulting in a right-skewed relationship between the time from the shingles diagnosis and the occurrence of stroke. This association was no longer statistically significant 13.1 years after shingles diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that the risk of post-herpetic stroke has a short- and long-term association according to a risk continuum relationship. These findings confirm the relevance of vaccination coverage for herpes zoster.

Drug utilization analysis of osteoporosis medications in seven European electronic health databases.

We studied the characteristics of patients prescribed osteoporosis medication and patterns of use in European databases. Patients were mostly female, older, had hypertension. There was suboptimal persistence particularly for oral medications. Our findings would be useful to healthcare providers to focus their resources on improving persistence to specific osteoporosis treatments. PURPOSE: To characterise the patients prescribed osteoporosis therapy and describe the drug utilization patterns. METHODS: We investigated the treatment patterns of bisphosphonates, denosumab, teriparatide, and selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) in seven European databases in the United Kingdom, Italy, the Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, and Germany. In this cohort study, we included adults aged ≥ 18 years, with ≥ 1 year of registration in the respective databases, who were new users of the osteoporosis medications. The study period was between 01 January 2018 to 31 January 2022. RESULTS: Overall, patients were most commonly initiated on alendronate. Persistence decreased over time across all medications and databases, ranging from 52-73% at 6 months to 29-53% at 12 months for alendronate. For other oral bisphosphonates, the proportion of persistent users was 50-66% at 6 months and decreased to 30-44% at 12 months. For SERMs, the proportion of persistent users at 6 months was 40-73% and decreased to 25-59% at 12 months. For parenteral treatment groups, the proportions of persistence with denosumab were 50-85% (6 month), 30-63% (12 month) and with teriparatide 40-75% (6 month) decreasing to 21-54% (12 month). Switching occurred most frequently in the alendronate group (2.8-5.8%) and in the teriparatide group (7.1-14%). Switching typically occurred in the first 6 months and decreased over time. Patients in the alendronate group most often switched to other oral or intravenous bisphosphonates and denosumab. CONCLUSION: Our results show suboptimal persistence to medications that varied across different databases and treatment switching was relatively rare.

A methodology to assess the population size and estimate the needed resources for new licensed medications by combining clinical and administrative databases: The example of glycated haemoglobin in type 2 diabetes.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a model to estimate glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) values in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using a clinical data source, with the aim to apply this equation to administrative databases. METHODS: Using a primary care and administrative Italian databases, namely the Health Search database (HSD) and the ReS (Ricerca e Salute) database, we selected all patients aged 18 years or older on 31 December 2018 being diagnosed with T2DM and without prior prescription of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors. We included patients prescribed with and adherent to metformin. HSD was used to develop and test (using 2019 data as well) the algorithm imputing HbA1c values ≥7% according to a series of covariates. The algorithm was gathered by combining beta-coefficients being estimated by logistic regression models using complete case (excluding missing values) and imputed (after multiple imputation) dataset. The final algorithm was applied to ReS database using the same covariates. RESULTS: The tested algorithms were able to explain 17%-18% variation in assessing HbA1c values. Good discrimination (70%) and calibration were obtained as well. The best algorithm (three) cut-offs, namely those providing correct classifications ranging 66%-70% was therefore calculated and applied to ReS database. By doing so, from 52 999 (27.9, 95% CI: 27.7%-28.1%) to 74 250 (40.1%, 95% CI: 38.9%-39.3%) patients were estimated with HbA1c ≥7%. CONCLUSION: Through this methodology, healthcare authorities should be able to quantify the population eligible to a new licensed medication, such as SGLT-2 inhibitors, and to simulate scenarios to assess reimbursement criteria according to precise estimates.

Opportunities for an early recognition of spinal muscular atrophy in primary care: a nationwide, population-based, study in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is a rare genetic disease with a broad spectrum of severity. Although an early diagnosis of SMA is crucial to allow proper management of patients, the diagnostic delay is still an issue. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the clinical correlates of SMA among primary care patients. METHODS: The Health Search Database (HSD) was adopted. To estimate the prevalence and incidence rate of SMA, a cohort study was conducted on the population (aged ≥6 years) being registered in HSD from 1 January 2000 up to 31 December 2019. To investigate the clinical correlates of SMA, a nested case-control study was performed. SMA cases have been classified according to a clinically based iterative process as "certain", "probable" or "possible". To test the association between clinical correlates and SMA cases a multivariate conditional logistic regression model was estimated. RESULTS: The SMA prevalence combining "certain", "probable" and "possible" cases was 5.1 per 100,000 in 2019 (i.e. 1.12 per 100,000 when limited to "certain" cases), while the yearly incidence rate ranged from 0.12 to 0.56 cases per 100,000. Comparing "certain" cases with matched controls, the presence of neurology visits (OR = 6.5; 95% CI: 1.6-25.6) and prescription of electromyography (OR = 4.6; 95% CI: 1.1-18.7) were associated with higher odds of SMA diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that primary care databases may be used to enhance the early identification of SMA. Additional efforts are needed to exploit the electronic health records of general practitioners to allow early recognition of SMA.

Epidemiology of invasive meningococcal disease and its sequelae: a population-based study in Italian primary care, 2000-2019.

BACKGROUND: Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a severe infectious disease. Although effective preventive and therapeutical strategies are available, the fatality rate remains high in the general population, with an occurrence of meningococcal-related severe sequelae involving 10-20% of survivors. Given the crucial role of general practitioners in recognizing and preventing IMD and its related sequelae, we aim to assess the burden of these conditions in primary care. METHODS: Using an Italian primary care database, the incidence rate of IMD was calculated in the period 2000-2019 by capturing the first diagnosis registered during follow-up. As far as meningococcal-related sequelae are concerned, we identified and clinically evaluated each potential sequela during the first 3 months, from 3 to 12 months, and up to 36 months. RESULTS: Among 508 patients diagnosed with IMD, 403 (incidence rate: 0.24 per 10,000 person-years) comprised those diagnosed with IMD in patients aged 15 years or older. We ascertained 104 sequelae (20.4%); 76% of them occurred in those aged 25 or older; 42, 27, and 35 were assessed as short-, medium-, or long-term sequelae, respectively. Overall, 4.7% of IMD patients reported physical sequelae, while 12.2% and 5.7% of patients reported neurological and psychological sequelae, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that a substantial proportion of IMD and related sequelae occur in individuals aged over 25, with a non-negligible burden for healthcare systems. As for the paediatric population, effective communication on the relevance of meningococcal vaccination in adults should be proficiently fostered.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the risk of fibrosis in Italian primary care services: GPS-NAFLD Study: GPS-NAFLD Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing globally. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of NAFLD and the probability of liver fibrosis in Italian primary care services. METHODS: We carried out a population-based and nested case-control study including all individuals aged 18 years and above registered at Italian primary care services. Data were collected from the general practitioners' network from 2010 to 2017. NAFLD cases were identified via the ICD-9-CM and Hepatic Steatosis Index score > 36 and were matched each up to 10 controls. Other causes of liver diseases were excluded. The risk of fibrosis was assessed using the FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis scores (NFS). RESULTS: NAFLD was present in 9% of the primary care population with high regional variability. Among NAFLD subjects: 25% had diabetes, 10% had chronic kidney disease, 11% had cardiovascular disease and 28% were obese. Furthermore, 30% had at least two comorbidities and 13% had cirrhosis. Once cirrhosis was excluded, the risk of any degree of fibrosis was 13.8% with NFS and 20.5% with FIB-4 in subjects <65 years. CONCLUSIONS: Even if there is an identification gap in primary care, recorded cases with NAFLD have a high frequency of associated comorbidities. Despite regional variability, a close relation between cirrhosis and NAFLD exists (OR: 3.48, 95% CI: 3.23-3.76). Therefore, the use of non-invasive tests should be promoted in primary care as a useful tool for the early identification of fibrosis risk, independently of evidence of steatosis.

Development and internal validation of a prognostic model for 15-year risk of Alzheimer dementia in primary care patients.

BACKGROUND: The exploitation of routinely collected clinical health information is warranted to optimize the case detection and diagnostic workout of Alzheimer's disease (AD). We aimed to derive an AD prediction score based on routinely collected primary care data. METHODS: We built a cohort selecting 199,978 primary care patients 60 + part of the Health Search Database between January 2002 and 2009, followed up until 2019 to detect incident AD cases. The cohort was randomly divided into a derivation and validation sub-cohort. To identify AD and non-AD cases, we applied a clinical algorithm that involved two clinicians. According to a nested case-control design, AD cases were matched with up to 10 controls based on age, sex, calendar period, and follow-up duration. Using the derivation sub-cohort, 32 potential AD predictors (sociodemographic, clinical, drug-related, etc.) were tested in a logistic regression and selected to build a prediction model. The predictive performance of this model was tested on the validation sub-cohort by mean of explained variation, calibration, and discrimination measurements. RESULTS: We identified 3223 AD cases. The presence of memory disorders, hallucinations, anxiety, and depression and the use of NSAIDs were associated with future AD. The combination of the predictors allowed the production of a predictive score that showed an explained variation (pseudo-R2) for AD occurrence of 13.4%, good calibration parameters, and an area under the curve of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.71-0.75). In accordance with this model, 7% of patients presented with a high-risk score for developing AD over 15 years. CONCLUSION: An automated risk score for AD based on routinely collected clinical data is a promising tool for the early case detection and timely management of patients by the general practitioners.

Reduced effectiveness among ß-lactam antibiotics: a population-based cohort study in primary care in Italy.

BACKGROUND: There are few data comparing the relative effectiveness of the individual ß-lactams. OBJECTIVES: To quantify the reduced effectiveness, defined as switching to a different antibiotic being prescribed for the same indication, among new users of ß-lactam antibiotics in primary care. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Health Search Database, an Italian primary care data source. Patients newly prescribed with ß-lactams for a specific indication between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2017 were identified. A switch to a different antibiotic for the same indication occurring during a 30day follow-up was the study outcome. Cox regression was adopted to assess the risk of switching between the different ß-lactams. RESULTS: Among 178 256 patients newly treated with ß-lactam antibiotics, 1172 (0.65%) switched to a different antibiotic. Amoxicillin/clavulanate (co-amoxiclav: n = 104 891) and amoxicillin (n = 21 699) were the most frequently prescribed ß-lactams. The other antibiotics showed significantly higher risk of switching when compared with co-amoxiclav for lower respiratory tract [e.g. ceftriaxone, hazard ratio (HR): 1.6, 95% CI: 1.2-2.0], dental [e.g. amoxicillin, HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.9-5.9], and middle ear infections [e.g. amoxicillin, HR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.1-2.7]. The same results were gathered when parenteral formulations were excluded. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of reduced effectiveness of newly prescribed ß-lactam antibiotics was lower than 1%. Specifically, the rate of switch to another antibiotic, when it was prescribed to treat low respiratory tract, dental, and middle ear infections, was lower among users of co-amoxiclav than those prescribed with other ß-lactams.

Determinants of HCV-related complications in Italian primary care patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This study aimed to assess the demographic and clinical determinants of liver complications in Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive patients in primary care setting. METHODS: Using the Health Search database, we selected a cohort of patients aged ≥14 diagnosed with HCV between 2002 and 2017. Patients were followed up until the occurrence of cirrhosis and other disease progressions such as oesophageal varices, hepatocellular carcinoma and/or liver transplantation. The candidate determinants for the risk of HCV-related complications included sex, age, smoking status, liver fibrosis (measured by fibrosis 4 index [FIB-4]), infections by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), other forms of hepatitis, abuse of alcohol or illicit substances or drugs, obesity, metabolic syndrome, diabetes mellitus and renal disease. Cox regression was used to test the association between candidate determinants and the outcome. RESULTS: The cohort included 8299 HCV-positive patients (50.93% men) with an overall prevalence rate equal to 0.61%. At least one HCV-related complication was found in 12.2% of patients, with a mean time-to-event equal to 8.1 year. Along with male sex and advanced age, a FIB-4 greater than 3.25 and the presence of diabetes were associated with a greater risk of HCV-related complications. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that patients with certain demographics and clinical characteristics are more prone to incur in HCV-related complications. The knowledge and early identification of these determinants by GPs may result in reducing disease progression and related healthcare costs through a closer monitoring.

Epidemiology and determinants of chronic migraine: A real-world cohort study, with nested case-control analysis, in primary care in Italy.

BACKGROUND: The proper identification of chronic migraine is one of the mainstays for general practitioners. This study therefore aims to assess the epidemiology and determinants of chronic migraine in primary care in Italy by testing five operational case definition algorithms. METHODS: Five case definition algorithms defining chronic migraine were developed to estimate the prevalence and incidence rate of chronic migraine in the Health Search database. For each algorithm, we conducted a nested case-control analysis to quantify the level of association between certain determinants and incident cases of chronic migraine. RESULTS: Considering a cohort of 1,091,032 patients (52% were females), the prevalence rate of chronic migraine increased from the first to the fifth case definition algorithm ranging from 0.03 to 0.28%. No 95% confidence interval overlapped the others, and every confidence interval reliably maintained 2% precision. Incidence rates showed a growing trend (0.008-0.056 per 100,000 person-years) as well. All case definition algorithms were able to capture sex (i.e. female) and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) overuse as statistically significant determinants of incident cases of chronic migraine. Depression was associated with a statistically significant increase of incidence rate of chronic migraine only for two case definition algorithms. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that prevalence and incidence rate of chronic migraine are underestimated when compared with current literature. On the other hand, we found acceptable correctness of chronic migraine definition in the light of the association with well-known determinants.

Incidence, risk factors and re-exacerbation rate of severe asthma exacerbations in a multinational, multidatabase pediatric cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There are sparse real-world data on severe asthma exacerbations (SAE) in children. This multinational cohort study assessed the incidence of and risk factors for SAE and the incidence of asthma-related rehospitalization in children with asthma. METHODS: Asthma patients 5-17 years old with ≥1 year of follow-up were identified in six European electronic databases from the Netherlands, Italy, the UK, Denmark and Spain in 2008-2013. Asthma was defined as ≥1 asthma-specific disease code within 3 months of prescriptions/dispensing of asthma medication. Severe asthma was defined as high-dosed inhaled corticosteroids plus a second controller. SAE was defined by systemic corticosteroids, emergency department visit and/or hospitalization all for reason of asthma. Risk factors for SAE were estimated by Poisson regression analyses. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 212 060 paediatric asthma patients contributing to 678 625 patient-years (PY). SAE rates ranged between 17 and 198/1000 PY and were higher in severe asthma and highest in severe asthma patients with a history of exacerbations. Prior SAE (incidence rate ratio 3-45) and younger age increased the SAE risk in all countries, whereas obesity, atopy and GERD were a risk factor in some but not all countries. Rehospitalization rates were up to 79% within 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world setting, SAE rates were highest in children with severe asthma with a history of exacerbations. Many severe asthma patients were rehospitalized within 1 year. Asthma management focusing on prevention of SAE is important to reduce the burden of asthma.

Prediagnostic use of low-dose aspirin and risk of incident metastasis and all-cause mortality among patients with colorectal cancer.

AIMS: Previous studies suggest that the use of low-dose aspirin before a colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosis may be associated with a decreased risk of CRC progression. Data supporting this association, however, have been inconsistent. We evaluate whether the use of prediagnostic low-dose aspirin is associated with a lower risk of metastases and all-cause mortality in CRC patients. METHODS: Using a large Italian population-based primary care database, we identified a cohort of 7478 patients newly diagnosed with nonmetastatic CRC between 2000 and 2013. Use of prediagnostic low-dose aspirin was compared with no use of low-dose aspirin. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident metastasis and of all-cause mortality associated with prediagnostic low-dose aspirin use, both overall and by duration of use. RESULTS: There were 314 incident metastatic events and 2189 deaths during a mean follow-up time of 4.4 and 4.7 years, respectively. Overall prediagnostic use of low-dose aspirin was not associated with a decreased risk of incident metastasis (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.63-1.22) or all-cause mortality (HR 1.09; 95% CI 0.96-1.22) in CRC patients. Cumulative duration of aspirin use was not associated with a decreased risk of incident metastasis (P-trend = .22) or all-cause mortality (P-trend = .38). These findings remained consistent in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: In this real-world, population-based study, the prediagnostic use of low-dose aspirin was not associated with a decreased risk of incident metastasis or all-cause mortality in CRC patients.

Detection and Prediction of Incident Alzheimer Dementia over a 10-Year or Longer Medical History: A Population-Based Study in Primary Care.

BACKGROUND: Despite the crucial role played by general practitioners in the identification and care of people with cognitive impairment, few data are available on how they may improve the early recognition of patients with Alzheimer dementia (AD), especially those with long (i.e., 10 years and longer) medical history. AIMS: To investigate the occurrence and the predictors of AD during a 10-year or longer period prior AD diagnosis in primary care patients aged 60 years or older. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort study with a nested case-control analysis has been conducted. Data were extracted from the Italian Health Search Database (HSD), an Italian database with primary care data. AD cases have been defined in accordance with the International Classification of Diseases, ninth edition (ICD-9-CM) codes and coupled with the use of anti-dementia drugs. Prevalence and incidence rates of AD have been calculated. To test the association between candidate predictors, being identified in a minimum period of 10 years, and incident cases of AD, we used a multivariate conditional logistic regression model. RESULTS: As recorded in the primary care database, AD prevalence among patients aged 60 years or older was 0.8% during 2016, reaching 2.4% among nonagenarians. Overall, 1,889 incident cases of AD have been identified, with an incidence rate as high as 0.09% person-year. Compared with 18,890 matched controls, history of hallucinations, agitation, anxiety, aberrant motor behavior, and memory deficits were positively associated with higher odds of AD (p < 0.001 for all) diagnosis. A previous diagnosis of depression and diabetes and the use of low-dose aspirin and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were associated with higher odds of AD (p < 0.05 for all). CONCLUSION: Our findings show that, in accordance with primary care records, 1% of patients aged 60 years and older have a diagnosis of AD, with an incident AD diagnosis of 0.1% per year. AD is often under-reported in primary care settings; yet, several predictors identified in this study may support general practitioners to early identify patients at risk of AD.

STELO: a new tool for family physicians for the correct identification of inherited cancer syndromes.

BACKGROUND: The hereditary cancer syndromes represent overall <10% of all cancers. These syndromes are not irrelevant for public health because all the cancers typical of these syndromes affected young people and many members of the same family and the cancers are more aggressive than the sporadic ones and need specific surgery and medical therapy. We developed a new family assessment tool: STELO designed for family physicians to identify patients could benefit from Cancer Genetic Counselling. OBJECTIVE: Test the sensitivity and specificity of a new assessment tool for the correct identification of inherited cancer syndromes. METHODS: Retrospectively we tested the new tool on a subset of patients who had already undergone genetic counselling at the Cancer Genetic Counselling Service of ASST (Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale) Settelaghi Varese, to investigate sensitivity, specificity and applicability of this new tool in routine genetic screening. STELO responses were matched against the opinion of two cancer geneticists (i.e. gold standard) who blinded each other decided if the history of these patients was properly suspected as a hereditary cancer syndrome. RESULTS: The Genetic Counselling Service followed 546 subjects from 2014 to 2015. STELO tool was tested retrospectively on these clinical records and resulted positive in 418 cases, out of 546 (76.5%). STELO reported, towards the gold standard, 88.5% and 52.3% of sensitivity and specificity, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: STELO has demonstrated to have a good sensitivity. The specificity was expectedly low given that STELO has been developed for general medicine, so it needs to be simple, practical, of rapid consultation and effectively used in clinical practice.

Prevalence and incidence of bronchiectasis in Italy.

BACKGROUND: The understanding of the epidemiology of bronchiectasis is still affected by major limitations with very few data published worldwide. The aim of this study was to estimate the epidemiological burden of bronchiectasis in Italy in the adult population followed-up by primary care physicians. METHODS: This study analyzed data coming from a large primary care database with 1,054,376 subjects in the period of time 2002-2015. Patients with bronchiectasis were selected by the use of International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, Clinical Modification codes (ICD-9-CM). RESULTS: Patients with bronchiectasis were more likely to have a history of tuberculosis (0.47% vs. 0.06%, p < 0.0001), had higher rates of asthma (16.6% vs. 6.2%, p < 0.0001), COPD (23.3% vs. 6.4%, p < 0.0001) and rheumatoid arthritis (1.9% vs. 0.8%, p < 0.0001). The prevalence and incidence of bronchiectasis in primary care in Italy in 2015 were 163 per 100,000 population and 16.3 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Prevalence and incidence increased with age and overall rates were highest in men over 75 years old. Prevalence and incidence computed after the exclusion of patients with a diagnosis of either asthma or COPD is 130 per 100,000 and 11.1 cases per 100,000 person-years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Bronchiectasis is not a rare condition in Italian adult population. Further studies are needed to confirm our results and provide a better insight on etiology of bronchiectasis in Italy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: not applicable.

Predictors of iron-deficiency anemia in primary care older adults: a real-world European multi-country longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency is a major cause of anemia in older people. Increasing the knowledge on the predictors of iron-deficiency anemia (IDA) may facilitate its timely diagnosis. AIM: To investigate the predictors of IDA in older people in four European countries. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective longitudinal study. Primary care patients aged 65 or older (N = 24,051) in four European countries. METHODS: IDA predictors were estimated using multivariate Cox regression based on information gathered from national primary care databases: Italy (years 2002-2013), Belgium, Germany and Spain (years 2007-2012). Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. RESULTS: In Spain and Belgium, men were at greater risk of IDA than women, while they had a lower risk in Italy. Weakness, irritability, alopecia and xerostomia were signs and symptoms significantly associated with IDA. Concurrent diseases, potential causes of anemia, positively associated with IDA were small bowel polyposis, stomach cancer, obesity, gastritis and peptic ulcer, esophagitis, Crohn's disease, celiac disease, lymphangiectasis, gastrectomy or gastric atrophy, gut resection or bypass, and cardiac prosthetic valve. Aspirin users had a 12-35% higher hazard of IDA than non-users. Similarly, corticosteroids and anti-acids were positively associated with IDA. A higher level of comorbidity was associated with an increased hazard of IDA in all countries. CONCLUSIONS: Specific signs and symptoms, chronic conditions, a greater comorbidity burden, and specific pharmacological treatments registered in primary care databases represent relevant predictors and correlates of incident IDA in older people in Europe. General practitioners might employ this information to obtain early diagnosis of IDA in community-dwelling older adults.