Impact of Income-to-Poverty Ratio on Long-Term Mortality of Persons with Chronic Liver Disease in the US, 1999-2018.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic liver disease (CLD) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Understanding health disparities can inform appropriate interventions. We aimed to study mortality outcomes of those with CLD by income-level (income-to-poverty ratio <5 as lower-income and > 5 as higher-income). METHODS: In this retrospective-cohort study, we analyzed data of adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2018. CLD included viral hepatitis, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). RESULTS: We analyzed 59,204 adults: 47,224 without CLD and 11,980 with CLD. The CLD group was older, more likely male, racial/ethnic minority groups or foreign-born, and had lower educational and income levels (P<0.001). Most (80.02%) CLD participants did not have college degrees and had lower-income (79.18%). Among CLD participants, similar differences were observed between lower and higher-income groups. Lower-income participants with CLD had significantly higher 10-year cumulative mortality compared to higher-income CLD participants (15.26% vs 8.00%, P<0.001), with consistent findings in viral hepatitis and NAFLD subgroups (P<0.001) but not ALD (P=0.71). Adjusting for age, sex, race, birthplace, lower-income CLD participants were 2.01 (HR: 2.01; 95% CI: 1.79-2.26) times more likely to die overall and in viral hepatitis (HR: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.31-3.24) and NAFLD subgroups (HR: 2.32; 95% CI: 1.69-3.18) but not ALD (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.55-2.51). CONCLUSION: Lower-income, foreign-born, and racial/ethnic minority groups were disproportionately represented among those with CLD, with lower-income and CLD individuals having double the mortality risk compared to their higher-income counterparts. Interventions should be culturally appropriate and address socioeconomic barriers.

An miRNA derived from amelogenin exon4 regulates expression of transcription factor Runx2 by directly targeting upstream activators Nfia and Prkch.

Amel, the gene encoding the amelogenin protein involved in enamel formation, is highly alternatively spliced. When exon4 is excised, it can form a mature miRNA (miR-exon4) that has previously been suggested to indirectly regulate expression of the Runt-related transcription factor 2 (Runx2) involved in bone development in ameloblasts and osteoblasts. However, the precise mechanism of this regulation is unclear. In this study, we aimed to identify direct targets of miR-exon4. The transcription factor family nuclear factor I/A (NFI/A) is known to negatively regulate expression of Runx2 and is among the most highly predicted direct targets of miR-exon4 that link to Runx2. Immunostaining detected NFI/A in osteoblasts and ameloblasts in vivo, and reporter assays confirmed direct interaction of the Nfia 3'-UTR and miR-exon4. In addition, silencing of Nfia in MC3T3-E1-M14 osteoblasts resulted in subsequent downregulation of Runx2. In a monoclonal subclone (mi2) of MC3T3-E1 cells wherein mature miR-exon4 was functionally inhibited, we observed significantly downregulated Runx2 expression. We showed that NFI/A was significantly upregulated in mi2 cells at both mRNA and protein levels. Furthermore, quantitative proteomics and pathway analysis of gene expression in mi2 cells suggested that miR-exon4 could directly target Prkch (protein kinase C-eta), possibly leading to RUNX2 regulation through mechanistic target of rapamycin kinase activation. Reporter assays also confirmed the direct interaction of miR-exon4 and the 3'-UTR of Prkch, and Western blot analysis confirmed significantly upregulated mechanistic target of rapamycin kinase phosphorylation in mi2 cells. Taken together, we conclude that Nfia and Prkch expression negatively correlates with miR-exon4-mediated Runx2 regulation in vivo and in vitro, suggesting miR-exon4 directly targets Nfia and Prkch to regulate Runx2.

Global incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 63 studies and 1,201,807 persons.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing. We aimed to estimate the pooled global NAFLD incidence. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of adults without NAFLD at baseline to evaluate the global incidence of ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD. RESULTS: A total of 63 eligible studies (1,201,807 persons) were analyzed. Studies were from Mainland China/Hong Kong (n = 26), South Korea (n = 22), Japan (n = 14), other (n = 2, Sri Lanka, Israel); 63.8% were clinical center studies; median study year 2000 to 2016; 87% were good quality. Among the 1,201,807 persons at risk, 242,568 persons developed NAFLD, with an incidence rate of 4,612.8 (95% CI 3,931.5-5,294.2) per 100,000 person-years and no statistically significant differences by study sample size (p = 0.90) or study setting (p = 0.055). Males had higher incidence vs. females (5,943.8 vs. 3,671.7, p = 0.0013). Both the obese (vs. non-obese) and the overweight/obese groups (vs. normal weight) were about threefold more likely to develop NAFLD (8,669.6 vs. 2,963.9 and 8,416.6 vs. 3,358.2, respectively) (both p <0.0001). Smokers had higher incidence than non-smokers (8,043.2 vs. 4,689.7, p = 0.046). By meta-regression, adjusting for study year, study setting, and study location, study period of 2010 or after and study setting were associated with increased incidence (p = 0.010 and p = 0.055, respectively). By country, China had a higher NAFLD incidence compared to non-China regions (p = 0.012) and Japan a lower incidence compared to non-Japan regions (p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD incidence is increasing with a current estimate of 4,613 new cases per 100,000 person-years. Males and overweight/obese individuals had significantly higher incidence rates compared to females and those of normal weight. Public health interventions for prevention of NAFLD are needed with a special emphasis on males, overweight/obese individuals, and higher risk regions. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects approximately 30% of people worldwide and appears to be increasing, but data to estimate the incidence rate are limited. In this meta-analytic study of over 1.2 million people, we estimated an incidence rate of NAFLD of 46.13 per 1,000 person-years with significant differences by sex, BMI, geography, and time-period. As treatment options for NAFLD remain limited, prevention of NAFLD should remain the focus of public health strategies. Studies such as these can help policy makers in determining which and whether their interventions are impactful.

Optimizing hepatitis B virus screening in the United States using a simple demographics-based model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) affects >290 million persons globally, and only 10% have been diagnosed, presenting a severe gap that must be addressed. We developed logistic regression (LR) and machine learning (ML; random forest) models to accurately identify patients with HBV, using only easily obtained demographic data from a population-based data set. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We identified participants with data on HBsAg, birth year, sex, race/ethnicity, and birthplace from 10 cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018) and divided them into two cohorts: training (cycles 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, and 10; n = 39,119) and validation (cycles 1, 4, 7, and 9; n = 21,569). We then developed and tested our two models. The overall cohort was 49.2% male, 39.7% White, 23.2% Black, 29.6% Hispanic, and 7.5% Asian/other, with a median birth year of 1973. In multivariable logistic regression, the following factors were associated with HBV infection: birth year 1991 or after (adjusted OR [aOR], 0.28; p < 0.001); male sex (aOR, 1.49; p = 0.0080); Black and Asian/other versus White (aOR, 5.23 and 9.13; p < 0.001 for both); and being USA-born (vs. foreign-born; aOR, 0.14; p < 0.001). We found that the ML model consistently outperformed the LR model, with higher area under the receiver operating characteristic values (0.83 vs. 0.75 in validation cohort; p < 0.001) and better differentiation of high- and low-risk persons. CONCLUSIONS: Our ML model provides a simple, targeted approach to HBV screening, using only easily obtained demographic data.

Global treatment rate and barriers to direct-acting antiviral therapy: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 146 studies and 1 760 352 hepatitis C virus patients.

BACKGROUND: Global data on the treatment rate with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) are sparse. We aimed to evaluate the CHC treatment rate and barriers to treatment in the DAA era. METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane from inception to 5 August 2021, for relevant articles. Patients treated with DAAs without interferon (IFN) therapy were categorized as IFN-free DAAs. Patients receiving DAA with IFN or unclear IFN status were categorized as DAA/IFN. RESULTS: We identified and analysed data from 146 studies (1 760 352 CHC patients). DAA/IFN treatment rate was 16.0% (95% CI: 9.9-23.3, 49 studies, 886 535 patients). IFN-free DAA treatment rate was 52.3% (95% CI: 46.2-58.4, 123 studies, 1 276 754 patients): 45.4% in North America, 64.2% in South America (1 study), 90.4% in Africa (most data from Egypt), 54.4% in Europe, 60.7% in Australia and 60.5% in Asia, (p < .0001); 49% with hepatitis B co-infection and 32.3% with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Treatment was not a priority in 22.8% of patients in Europe and 16.7% in Australia, compared to only 4.8% in North America and 2.1% in Asia (p < .0001). Poor adherence to clinical follow-up was the cause of no treatment in 74.7% of patients in Australia, 37.0% in North America, 7.9% in Europe and 14.3% in Asia (p < .0001). CONCLUSION: Though a marked improvement from IFN/DAA, the treatment rate with IFN-free DAA remains suboptimal (52.3% overall, 32.3% in HCC patients). Non-adherence to clinical follow-up and lack of disease awareness were treatment barriers.

Transient Elastography and Serum-Based Tests for Diagnosis of Fatty Liver and Advanced Fibrosis in a Community Cohort: A Cross-Sectional Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive tests (NITs) are necessary for knowing the true prevalence of fatty liver (FL) and advanced fibrosis. NITs for diagnosis of FL and fibrosis were compared. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Health and Examination Survey (2017-2018). Participants were excluded with other liver diseases, missing data for NIT calculation, and/or excessive alcohol use. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) compared the accuracy of 4 FL NITs (CAP, HSI, FLI, USFLI) among themselves and to CAP value of 285 dB/m and 5 fibrosis NITs (transient elastography, APRI, NFS, FIB-4, HEPAmet) among themselves and to LSM ≥8.7 kPa. RESULTS: Among 2,051 participants (average age 47 (±17.7), 48% males, 62% white, 73% overweight/obese, 39% metabolic syndrome), demographics were similar among NIT groups (CAP = 812; HSI = 1,234; FLI = 935; USFLI-824). FL prevalence by NIT: 39% CAP, 58% HSI, 47% FLI, 37% USFLI. Advanced fibrosis prevalence by test: LSM (≥8.7 kPa) 10-14%; FIB-4 (≥2.67) and APRI (≥0.7) 1.3-2.7%; HEPAmet (>0.47) 14-21%. Compared to CAP ≥285, FLI (AUROC = 0.823) and USFLI (AUROC = 0.833) performed better than HSI (AUROC: 0.798). Compared to LSM ≥8.7 kPa, only NFS (AUROC = 0.722) performed well (FIB-4 AUROC = 0.606; APRI = 0.647; HEPAmet = 0.629). Among the CAP cohort, the strongest FL predictor was obesity (OR: 15.2, 95% CI: 7.97-28.9, p < 0.001); the only fibrosis predictor was elevated AST (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.00-1.12, p = 0.04). The addition of CAP or LSM as a second NIT reduced the number of indeterminate patients especially for FL. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of diagnostic method in 2017-2018, the prevalence of NAFLD was >35%. NITs for FL performed well but not for advanced fibrosis. CAP and LSM as a second NIT reduced those considered indeterminate.

Liver Complications in Untreated Treatment-Ineligible versus Treated Treatment-Eligible Patients with Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: A substantial number of patients who do not meet treatment criteria for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) later develop adverse outcomes such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim was to determine whether current practice guidelines adequately identify CHB patients who will benefit from antiviral therapy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study comparing the incidence of adverse liver outcomes (cirrhosis and/or HCC) in untreated treatment-ineligible (at baseline and throughout follow-up) versus treated treatment-eligible patients according to standard American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) 2018 guidance (alanine aminotransferase [ALT] >70/50 U/L for men/women plus hepatitis B virus [HBV] DNA >20,000/2,000 IU/mL for HBeAg+/-) and with a sensitivity analyses using a lower threshold (ALT >40 U/L and HBV DNA >2,000 IU/mL). RESULTS: We reviewed records of 5,840 patients from 5 clinics in California and identified 2,987 treatment-naive non-HCC CHB patients. Of those, 271 patients remained untreated treatment-ineligible, 514 patients were treatment-eligible and initiated treatment, with 5-year cumulative adverse liver incidences of 12.5% versus 7.2%, p = 0.074. On multivariable analysis adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, albumin, platelet count, and HBV DNA, compared to treated treatment-eligible patients, untreated treatment-ineligible patients had a significantly higher risk of adverse liver outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.38, 95% confidence interval 1.03-5.48, p = 0.04) in main analysis by AASLD 2018 criteria but not in sensitivity analysis using the lower treatment threshold (p = 0.09). CONCLUSION: Patients never meeting standard AASLD 2018 criteria for antiviral therapy and never treated had twice the risk of developing cirrhosis and/or HCC when compared to eligible and treated patients.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Elderly Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients following Surgical Resection: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Due to ageing of the global population, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasingly common among elderly patients, but outcomes after curative hepatic resection are unclear. Using a metanalytic approach, we aimed to estimate overall survival (OS), recurrence free survival (RFS) and complication rates in elderly HCC patients undergoing resection. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases from inception to Nov 10, 2020 for studies reporting outcomes in elderly (age ≥ 65 years) patients with HCC undergoing curative surgical resection. Pooled estimates were generated using a random-effects model. RESULTS: We screened 8,598 articles and included 42 studies (7,778 elderly patients). The mean age was 74.45 years (95% CI 72.89-76.02), 75.54% were male (95% CI 72.53-78.32) and 66.73% had cirrhosis (95% CI 43.93-83.96). The mean tumor size was 5.50 cm (95% CI 4.71-6.29) and 16.01% had multiple tumors (95% CI 10.74-23.19). The 1-year (86.02% versus 86.66%, p=0.84) and 5-year OS (51.60% versus 53.78%) between non-elderly versus elderly patients were similar. Likewise, there were no differences in the 1-year (67.32% versus 73.26%, p=0.11) and 5-year RFS (31.57% versus 30.25%, p=0.67) in non-elderly versus elderly patients. There was a higher rate of minor complications (21.95% versus 13.71%, p=0.03) among elderly patients compared with non-elderly patients, but no difference in major complications (p=0.43) Conclusion: This data shows that overall survival, recurrence and major complications after liver resection for HCC are comparable between elderly and non-elderly patients, and may inform clinical management of HCC in this population.

Natural History and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Untreated Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Indeterminate Phase.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Many patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may not conform to any of the defined phases and hence are classified as indeterminate. We aimed to characterize the baseline prevalence of indeterminate patients and their natural history, phase transition, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 3366 adult untreated noncirrhotic CHB patients seen at 5 US clinics and 7 Taiwanese townships who had at least 1 year of serial laboratory data before enrollment with a mean follow-up period of 12.5 years. Patients' clinical phases were determined at baseline and through serial data during follow-up evaluation, based on the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases 2018 guidance. RESULTS: At baseline, 1303 (38.7%) patients were in the indeterminate phase. By up to year 10 of follow-up evaluation, 686 patients (52.7%) remained indeterminate, while 283 patients (21.7%) became immune active. Compared with patients who remained inactive, patients who remained indeterminate had a higher 10-year cumulative HCC incidence (4.6% vs 0.5%; P < .0001) and adjusted hazard ratio for HCC of 14.1 (P = .03). Among patients who remained indeterminate, age 45 years and older (adjusted hazard ratio, 18.4; P = .005) was associated independently with HCC development. CONCLUSIONS: Nearly 40% of patients had indeterminate CHB phase. Of these, half remained indeterminate and one-fifth transitioned to the immune active phase. HCC risk in persistently indeterminate CHB was 14 times higher than inactive CHB. Among persistently indeterminate CHB patients, age 45 years and older was associated with an 18 times higher risk for HCC development. Further studies are needed to evaluate the potential benefit of antiviral therapy for indeterminate patients, especially in the older subgroup.

2019 Global NAFLD Prevalence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The increasing rates of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus may lead to increased prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to determine the current and recent trends on the global and regional prevalence of NAFLD. METHODS: Systematic search from inception to March 26, 2020 was performed without language restrictions. Two authors independently performed screening and data extraction. We performed meta-regression to determine trends in NAFLD prevalence. RESULTS: We identified 17,244 articles from literature search and included 245 eligible studies involving 5,399,254 individuals. The pooled global prevalence of NAFLD was 29.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 28.6%-31.1%); of these, 82.5% of included articles used ultrasound to diagnose NAFLD, with prevalence of 30.6% (95% CI, 29.2%-32.0%). South America (3 studies, 5716 individuals) and North America (4 studies, 18,236 individuals) had the highest NAFLD prevalence at 35.7% (95% CI, 34.0%-37.5%) and 35.3% (95% CI, 25.4%-45.9%), respectively. From 1991 to 2019, trend analysis showed NAFLD increased from 21.9% to 37.3% (yearly increase of 0.7%, P < .0001), with South America showing the most rapid change of 2.7% per year, followed by Europe at 1.1%. CONCLUSIONS: Despite regional variation, the global prevalence of NAFLD is increasing overall. Policy makers must work toward reversing the current trends by increasing awareness of NAFLD and promoting healthy lifestyle environments.

Association Between Fatty Liver and Cirrhosis, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, and Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance in Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and fatty liver (FL) are common, natural history data on concurrent FL and CHB (FL-CHB) are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of FL on cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance incidence in CHB patients. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study of 6786 adult CHB patients, we used propensity score matching (PSM) to balance the FL-CHB and non-FL CHB groups. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to compare cumulative cirrhosis, HCC, and HBsAg seroclearance rates between subgroups. RESULTS: Before PSM, compared to non-FL CHB, FL-CHB patients had lower 10-year cumulative rates of cirrhosis, HCC, and a higher HBsAg seroclearance rate. Similar results were found in the matched FL-CHB and non-FL CHB patients, as well as in the antiviral-treated PSM cohort. Cox proportional hazards model indicated FL to remain significantly and strongly associated with lower risk of cirrhosis and HCC (hazard ratio [HR], 0.19 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .12-.33], P < .001 and HR, 0.21 [95% CI, .09-.51], P = .001, respectively) in antiviral-treated patients but not in untreated patients. CONCLUSIONS: FL was significantly associated with lower cirrhosis and HCC risk and higher HBsAg seroclearance. Further studies are needed to confirm our funding and investigate the mechanisms underlying the impact of FL on CHB.

Differential Clinical Characteristics and Mortality Outcomes in Persons With NAFLD and/or MAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) establishes new criteria for diagnosing fatty liver disease independent of alcohol intake and concomitant viral hepatitis infection. However, the long-term outcomes of patients with MAFLD are sparse. We aimed to describe the characteristics and long-term survival of persons meeting criteria for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) only (non-MAFLD NAFLD), for both NAFLD and MAFLD (NAFLD-MAFLD), and for MAFLD only (non-NAFLD MAFLD). METHODS: Using data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) 1988-1994, 2997 participants with fatty liver identified via ultrasound were categorized into 3 distinct groups: non-MAFLD NAFLD, NAFLD-MAFLD, and non-NAFLD MAFLD. RESULTS: Participants in the NAFLD-MAFLD and non-NAFLD MAFLD groups were older, had more metabolic traits and higher mean liver enzymes. Nearly 8% of participants in the non-NAFLD MAFLD group had advanced fibrosis (Fibrosis-4 index >2.67), while only 1.3% and 1.9% in the NAFLD-MAFLD and non-MAFLD NAFLD groups did, respectively (P < .0001). Non-NAFLD MAFLD participants had the highest cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality (26.2%) followed by those with NAFLD-MAFLD then non-MAFLD NAFLD participants (21.1% and 10.6%, respectively; P < .0001). Similar findings were observed for cardiovascular disease-related and other-cause (noncardiovascular disease, noncancer) mortality. Non-NAFLD MAFLD was independently associated with all-cause mortality compared with non-MAFLD NAFLD (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-4.6; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD criteria identified a significant group of people with more comorbidities and worse prognosis compared with those with NAFLD only. These criteria should be considered in the general population to identify high-risk groups for early interventions.

The Changing Epidemiology of Liver Disease Among US Children and Adolescents From 1999 to 2016.

INTRODUCTION: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) are major causes of liver disease in adults. However, data for children and adolescents are limited. Our study aimed to characterize the prevalence, trend, and risk factors of infection of HBV and HCV and possible NAFLD for this population. METHODS: We analyzed 6,647 children and adolescents (aged 6-21 years) from the 1999-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. RESULTS: Among individuals aged 6-21 years, HBV prevalence decreased after 2011, from 0.72% in 1999-2004 and 0.85% in 2005-2010 to 0.27% in 2011-2016 (P < 0.001), whereas HCV prevalence increased to 0.26% in 2011-2016 after an initial decline from 0.15% in 1999-2004 to 0.02% in 2005-2010 (P = 0.01). Possible NAFLD prevalence also increased by approximately 40% in individuals aged 12-21 years, from 8.54% in 1999-2004 to 10.1% in 2005-2010 and then 11.8% in 2011-2016 (P = 0.033), with most possible NAFLD individuals being male, being obese, or having higher glucose, fasting insulin, hemoglobin A1c, homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance, liver enzymes, lipids, and uric acid (all P < 0.01). On multivariate logistic regression, hypertension (odds ratio 4.79, 95% confidence interval 1.44-15.9) and dyslipidemia (odds ratio 11.6, 95% confidence interval 5.65-23.9) increased risk for possible NAFLD but not income:poverty ratio, hours spent on computer use, or added sugars. DISCUSSION: Although HBV prevalence has decreased in recent years among US children and adolescents, HCV and possible NAFLD have increased. Public health efforts must seek further understanding of the driving factors of this increase so that age-appropriate interventions can be developed and implemented.

Chronic Hepatitis B Prevalence Among Foreign-Born and U.S.-Born Adults in the United States, 1999-2016.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection remains a major global health problem, exacerbated by poor linkage to care. We aimed to determine the prevalence of HBV infection, exposure, self-reported vaccination, vaccine-induced immunity, disease awareness, and treatment in the United States by birthplace and race/ethnicity during 1999-2016. A total of 47,628 adult participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey who completed HBV core antibody (anti-HBc) and surface antigen (HBsAg) tests and 47,618 adults who completed HBV surface antibody (anti-HBs) and anti-HBc tests were included in the analysis. HBV infection was defined by positive HBsAg and past exposure by positive anti-HBc. Vaccine-mediated immunity was defined by positive anti-HBs and negative anti-HBc. No significant change in the prevalence of HBV infection was observed between 1999 and 2016 (P = 0.442), affecting 0.35% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.28-0.45) or 0.84 million adults. In contrast, a significant decrease in HBV exposure and increase in vaccine-mediated immunity was observed. U.S.-born persons had significantly lower prevalence of HBV infection and exposure as well as higher prevalence of vaccine-mediated immunity and self-reported vaccination than foreign-born persons. Prevalence of HBV infection was highest in non-Hispanic Asians in both foreign- (3.85%; 95% CI, 2.97-4.97) and U.S.-born (0.79%; 95% CI, 0.17-3.59) persons during 2011-2016. Among infected persons, liver disease awareness was only 15.19%, and treatment rate was only 4.60%. Conclusion: This study revealed disparities of HBV infection among ethnic/racial groups and between U.S.-born and foreign-born persons. Awareness of liver disease and treatment rate among infected persons was dismal.

Evaluation of ethnic influence in the application of a hepatocellular carcinoma predictive model for chronic hepatitis C.

Currently, there is no well-established algorithm predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in untreated hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients. We aimed to validate an algorithm (risk evaluation of viral load elevation and associated liver disease/HCV [REVEAL-HCV]: age, AST, ALT, HCV RNA, HCV genotype, and cirrhosis) developed in Taiwanese patients. We analyzed 1381 (50.1% White, 14.7% Hispanic, 13.8% Asian of diverse origin, and 7.8% African American) adult treatment-naïve HCV patients (no viral co-infection, no HCC within 6 months) at 4 U.S. and one Hong Kong centers (11/1994-10/2017). Compared to the non-Asian cohort, the Asian cohort had a higher percentage of patients in the low-risk group (46.1% vs. 26.1%) and a lower percentage in the high-risk group (12.0% vs. 20.3%, p < 0.01). Overall, 5-year HCC incidence were 1.75%, 4.71%, and 24.4% for low, medium, and high-risk patients, respectively (p < 0.0001). For the overall cohort, area under receiving operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for HCC prediction were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.72-0.93), 0.82 (95% CI: 0.75-0.88), and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.77-0.89) for 1-, 3-, and 5-year HCC risk, respectively. There was a slightly lower AUROC for Asians compared to the non-Asian cohort at 3 years (0.75 vs. 0.83) and 5 years (0.78 vs. 0.84), though this was not statistically significant. In multivariable analysis, we found male sex, presence of metabolic syndrome as well as the risk score categories to be independently associated with HCC but not ethnicity. The REVEAL-HCV risk score has good validity for both Asian and non-Asian populations. Further studies should consider additional factors, such as sex, metabolic syndrome, and treatment status.

Validity of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Codes for Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate identification of patients with cirrhosis is important for research using administrative databases. We aimed to examine the accuracy of several major ICD-10 codes for cirrhosis diagnosis in a large and diverse patient cohort; there is little existing research on this topic. METHODS: Using data from 3,396 patients with chronic liver disease (hepatitis B or C or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease) from 1 university and several community medical centers, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for several major ICD-10 codes for cirrhosis, which was verified by individual chart review. We performed a secondary validation in a general cohort of 1,560 randomly selected patients. RESULTS: While each of the individual study ICD-10 codes were specific (98.08-100%), none of the codes were sufficiently sensitive (0.27-55.70%). PPVs were high in the chronic liver disease cohort (88.41-100%) but lower in the general population (55.53-66.76%). The AUROC for having at least 1 code was higher (0.79) than any code alone (0.50-0.65). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Individual ICD-10 codes are suboptimal for identifying patients with cirrhosis in the general patient population. We recommend conditioning ICD-10 code searches with a chronic liver disease diagnosis code and/or combining diagnostic codes to maximize performance.

Double-stranded DNA break polarity skews repair pathway choice during intrachromosomal and interchromosomal recombination.

Activation-induced cytidine deaminase (AID) inflicts DNA damage at Ig genes to initiate class switch recombination (CSR) and chromosomal translocations. However, the DNA lesions formed during these processes retain an element of randomness, and thus knowledge of the relationship between specific DNA lesions and AID-mediated processes remains incomplete. To identify necessary and sufficient DNA lesions in CSR, the Cas9 endonuclease and nickase variants were used to program DNA lesions at a greater degree of predictability than is achievable with conventional induction of CSR. Here we show that Cas9-mediated nicks separated by up to 250 nucleotides on opposite strands can mediate CSR. Staggered double-stranded breaks (DSBs) result in more end resection and junctional microhomology than blunt DSBs. Moreover, Myc-Igh chromosomal translocations, which are carried out primarily by alternative end joining (A-EJ), were preferentially induced by 5' DSBs. These data indicate that DSBs with 5' overhangs skew intrachromosomal and interchromosomal end-joining toward A-EJ. In addition to lending potential insight to AID-mediated phenomena, this work has broader carryover implications in DNA repair and lymphomagenesis.

Prevalence of Viremic Hepatitis C Virus Infection by Age, Race/Ethnicity, and Birthplace and Disease Awareness Among Viremic Persons in the United States, 1999-2016.

BACKGROUND: Athough curative therapy is now available for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the United States, it is not clear whether all affected persons have been diagnosed and/or linked to care. METHODS: This cross-sectional study utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2016) and included 46 465 nonincarcerated and noninstitutionalized participants. RESULTS: Viremic HCV prevalence decreased from 1.32% in 1999-2004 to 0.80% in 2011-2016, although most of the decrease occurred in US-born whites and blacks but not the foreign-born or those born after 1985. In 2011-2016, approximately 1.90 million US adults remained viremic with HCV, and 0.33 million were at higher risk for advanced fibrosis, but only 49.8% were aware of their HCV infection, with higher disease awareness in those with health insurance coverage and US-born persons. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of viremic HCV has decreased in recent years among US born whites and blacks but not in other race/ethnicities and foreign-born persons and birth cohort born after 1985. Less than half of the viremic population was aware of having HCV infection. Improved HCV screening and linkage to care are needed, especially for the uninsured, foreign-born, birth cohort after 1985 and certain ethnic minorities.

Factors Associated With Rates of HBsAg Seroclearance in Adults With Chronic HBV Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Seroclearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) is a marker for clearance of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, but reported annual incidence rates of HBsAg seroclearance vary. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to provide more precise estimates of HBsAg seroclearance rates among subgroups and populations. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane library for cohort studies that reported HBsAg seroclearance in adults with chronic HBV infection with more than 1 year of follow-up and at least 1 repeat test for HBsAg. Annual and 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative incidence rates were pooled using a random effects model. RESULTS: We analyzed 34 published studies (with 42,588 patients, 303,754 person-years of follow-up, and 3194 HBsAg seroclearance events), including additional and updated aggregated data from 19 studies. The pooled annual rate of HBsAg seroclearance was 1.02% (95% CI, 0.79-1.27). Cumulative incidence rates were 4.03% at 5 years (95% CI, 2.49-5.93), 8.16% at 10 years (95% CI, 5.24-11.72), and 17.99% at 15 years (95% CI, 6.18-23.24). There were no significant differences between the sexes. A higher proportion of patients who tested negative for HBeAg at baseline had seroclearance (1.33%; 95% CI, 0.76-2.05) than those who tested positive for HBeAg (0.40%; 95% CI, 0.25-0.59) (P < .01). Having HBsAg seroclearance was also associated with a lower baseline HBV DNA level (6.61 log10 IU/mL; 95% CI, 5.94-7.27) vs not having HBsAg seroclearance (7.71 log10 IU/mL; 95% CI, 7.41-8.02) (P < .01) and with a lower level of HBsAg at baseline (2.74 log10 IU/mL; 95% CI, 1.88-3.60) vs not having HBsAg seroclearance (3.90 log10 IU/mL, 95% CI, 3.73-4.06) (P < .01). HBsAg seroclearance was not associated with HBV genotype or treatment history. Heterogeneity was substantial across the studies (I2 = 97.49%). CONCLUSION: In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we found a low rate of HBsAg seroclearance in untreated and treated patients (pooled annual rate, approximately 1%). Seroclearance occurred mainly in patients with less active disease. Patients with chronic HBV infection should therefore be counseled on the need for lifelong treatment, and curative therapies are needed.

Prevalence of Undetectable Vaccine-Induced Immunity Against Hepatitis B Virus in US Adults at High Risk for Infection.

In 2015, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported a substantial increase in the number of acute hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections in the United States. Although national guidelines recommend vaccination of adults at high risk for HBV infection, the prevalence of undetectable immunity (i.e., susceptibility) in this population remains unknown. In this study, we analyzed a nationally representative sample using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey to evaluate the prevalence, trend, and predictors of undetectable vaccine-induced antibodies against HBV surface antigen (<10 mIU/mL) among high-risk adults from 2003-2014. Among adults at high risk for HBV infection, the prevalence of undetectable immunity decreased from 83.2% in 2003-2004 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 81.3-85.0) to 69.4% (about 64 million) in 2013-2014 (95% CI: 66.0-72.6). The prevalence decreased significantly in individuals with multiple sex partners or sexually transmitted disease and in pregnant women. However, there were no significant changes in men who have sex with men (MSMs), intravenous drug users (IDUs), hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected and patients with diabetes, and those with elevated aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT). Mexican Americans had the highest prevalence of undetectable immunity (77.6%, 95% CI: 72.6-81.9), followed by non-Hispanic whites (70.1%, 95% CI: 66.9-73.1). Older age, lower socioeconomic status, and having at least 1 high-risk factor were associated with a higher risk of undetectable immunity, whereas an increased risk among the foreign-born disappeared after multivariable adjustment. Conclusion: Approximately 64 million high-risk adults in the United States remain susceptible to HBV infection, especially MSMs, IDUs, diabetics, HCV patients, and populations with elevated AST/ALT. To eliminate HBV, efforts should be made to increase screening and vaccination in high-risk adults.