Health-related complications during follow-up and their impact on blood cancer survivors - results from the 'Aftercare in Blood Cancer Survivors' (ABC) study.

Introduction Blood cancer survivors are at increased risk for medical complications. Methods Our questionnaire-based study involved 1,551 blood cancer survivors with a ≥3-year interval since the last intense treatment. Its goal was to quantify health-related complications during follow-up and assess their impact on the patients' lives. Results 20.4% of responding survivors reported a disease relapse, most often in indolent lymphomas. Second primary malignancies occurred in 14.1%, primarily in lymphoma and allogeneic transplantation survivors. The most frequent malignancy was basal cell carcinoma of the skin, but myeloid malignancies, melanoma, bladder, head-and-neck, and thyroid cancer also appeared disproportionately frequent. An increased infection rate was reported by 43.7%, most often after allogeneic transplantation. New cardiovascular diseases were reported by 30.2%, with a high rate of thromboembolic events in multiple myeloma and myeloproliferative diseases. Polyneuropathies were reported by 39.1%, most often by survivors with a history of multiple myeloma or aggressive lymphoma. Disease relapse was perceived as the highest burden, followed by second primary malignancy, increased infection frequency, and polyneuropathy. In each area investigated, the range of perceived severities was wide. Conclusions Health-related complications are frequent during blood cancer follow-up, with significant repercussions on the patients' lives.

Association of regional white matter hyperintensities with hypertension and cognition in the population-based 1000BRAINS study.

BACKGROUND: White matter hyperintensities of presumed vascular origin (WMH) are frequent in cerebral magnetic resonance imaging of older people. They are promoted by vascular risk factors, especially hypertension, and are associated with cognitive deficits at the group level. It has been suggested that not only the severity, but also the location, of lesions might critically influence cognitive deficits and represent different pathologies. METHODS: In 560 participants (65.2 ± 7.5 years, 51.4% males) of the population-based 1000BRAINS study, we analyzed the association of regional WMH using Fazekas scoring separately for cerebral lobes, with hypertension and cognition. RESULTS: WMH most often affected the frontal lobe (83.7% score >0), followed by the parietal (75.8%), temporal (32.7%), and occipital lobe (7.3%). Higher Fazekas scores in the frontal, parietal, and temporal lobe were associated with higher blood pressure and antihypertensive treatment in unadjusted ordinal regression models and in models adjusted for age, sex, and vascular risk factors (e.g., age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio = 1.14, 95% confidence interval = 1.03-1.25 for the association of frontal lobe WMH Fazekas score with systolic blood pressure [SBP] [per 10 mm Hg]; 1.13 [1.02-1.23] for the association of parietal lobe score with SBP; 1.72 [1.19-2.48] for the association of temporal lobe score with antihypertensive medications). In linear regressions, higher frontal lobe scores were associated with lower performance in executive function and non-verbal memory, and higher parietal lobe scores were associated with lower performance in executive function, verbal-, and non-verbal memory. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension promotes WMH in the frontal, parietal, and temporal lobe. WMH in the frontal and parietal lobe are associated with reduced executive function and memory.

Prediction of individualized lifetime benefit from cholesterol lowering, blood pressure lowering, antithrombotic therapy, and smoking cessation in apparently healthy people.

AIMS: The benefit an individual can expect from preventive therapy varies based on risk-factor burden, competing risks, and treatment duration. We developed and validated the LIFEtime-perspective CardioVascular Disease (LIFE-CVD) model for the estimation of individual-level 10 years and lifetime treatment-effects of cholesterol lowering, blood pressure lowering, antithrombotic therapy, and smoking cessation in apparently healthy people. METHODS AND RESULTS: Model development was conducted in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (n = 6715) using clinical predictors. The model consists of two complementary Fine and Gray competing-risk adjusted left-truncated subdistribution hazard functions: one for hard cardiovascular disease (CVD)-events, and one for non-CVD mortality. Therapy-effects were estimated by combining the functions with hazard ratios from preventive therapy trials. External validation was performed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (n = 9250), Heinz Nixdorf Recall (n = 4177), and the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Netherlands (n = 25 833), and Norfolk (n = 23 548) studies. Calibration of the LIFE-CVD model was good and c-statistics were 0.67-0.76. The output enables the comparison of short-term vs. long-term therapy-benefit. In two people aged 45 and 70 with otherwise identical risk-factors, the older patient has a greater 10-year absolute risk reduction (11.3% vs. 1.0%) but a smaller gain in life-years free of CVD (3.4 vs. 4.5 years) from the same therapy. The model was developed into an interactive online calculator available via www.U-Prevent.com. CONCLUSION: The model can accurately estimate individual-level prognosis and treatment-effects in terms of improved 10-year risk, lifetime risk, and life-expectancy free of CVD. The model is easily accessible and can be used to facilitate personalized-medicine and doctor-patient communication.

Risk prediction for coronary heart disease by a genetic risk score - results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study.

BACKGROUND: A Genetic risk score for coronary artery disease (CAD) improves the ability of predicting coronary heart disease (CHD). It is unclear whether i) the use of a CAD genetic risk score is superior to the measurement of coronary artery calcification (CAC) for CHD risk assessment and ii) the CHD risk assessment using a CAD genetic risk score differs between men and women. METHODS: We included 4041 participants (age-range: 45-76 years, 1919 men) of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study without CHD or stroke at baseline. A standardized weighted CAD genetic risk score was constructed using 70 known genetic variants. The risk score was divided into quintiles (Q1-Q5). We specified low (Q1), intermediate (Q2-Q4) and high (Q5) genetic risk groups. Incident CHD was defined as fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction, stroke and coronary death. The association between the genetic risk score and genetic risk groups with incident CHD was assessed using Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95%-confidence intervals (CI). The models were adjusted by age and sex (Model1), as well as by established CHD risk factors (RF) and CAC (Model2). The analyses were further stratified by sex and controlled for multiple testing. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 11.6 ± 3.7 years, 343 participants experienced CHD events (219 men). Per-standard deviation (SD) increase in the genetic risk score was associated with 18% increased risk for incident CHD (Model1: p = 0.002) which did not change after full adjustment (Model2: HR = 1.18 per-SD (p = 0.003)). In Model2 we observed a 60% increased CHD risk in the high (p = 0.009) compared to the low genetic risk group. Stratifying by sex, only men showed statistically significantly higher risk for CHD (Model2: HR = 1.23 per-SD (p = 0.004); intermediate: HR = 1.52 (p = 0.04) and high: HR = 1.88 (p = 0.008)) with no statistically significant risk observed in women. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that the CAD genetic risk score could be useful for CHD risk prediction, at least in men belonging to the higher genetic risk group, but it does not outbalance the value of CT-based quantification of CAC which works independently on both men and women and allows better risk stratification in both the genders.

Fertility preservation and fulfillment of parenthood after treatment of hematological malignancies: results from the 'Aftercare in Blood Cancer Survivors' (ABC) study.

PURPOSE: Treatment of hematological malignancies carries the risk of lasting sterility. We aimed to identify fertility-related unmet needs. METHODS: The 'Aftercare in Blood Cancer Survivors' study is a cohort study of hematological patients who were in treatment-free remission for ≥ 3 years or stable under continuous oral medication. Female patients age 18-45 years and male patients age 18-65 years without a history of pre-treatment infertility were asked to answer a structured questionnaire including questions addressing fertility issues. Multivariable analyses were performed to detect risk factors. RESULTS: Of 1562 study participants, 1031 met the inclusion criteria for the fertility sub-study. A high proportion of patients (72.4%) received information about the risk of losing fertility, but only a minority (15%) took steps to preserve it. Female and older patients were less likely to be informed. A post-treatment wish for parenthood was expressed by 19.3% of patients. It was strongly associated with childlessness at time of diagnosis and could be fulfilled by 29.4%. Fulfillment of desired parenthood increased with increasing time from diagnosis and was low after allogeneic transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Female and older hematological patients are less likely to be informed about fertility-related issues than other patients. With societal changes towards first parenthood at higher age, the proportion of patients desiring a child after treatment is likely to increase. Fulfillment of desired parenthood remains challenging, especially after allogeneic transplantation. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: In patients likely to express a wish for post-treatment parenthood, fertility-related issues should routinely be addressed before gonadotoxic treatment is started.

Value of Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification for Risk Prediction of Coronary and Cardiovascular Events: Result of the HNR Study (Heinz Nixdorf Recall).

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) allows estimation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression. We evaluated several progression algorithms in our unselected, population-based cohort for risk prediction of coronary and cardiovascular events. METHODS: In 3281 participants (45-74 years of age), free from cardiovascular disease until the second visit, risk factors, and CTs at baseline (b) and after a mean of 5.1 years (5y) were measured. Hard coronary and cardiovascular events, and total cardiovascular events including revascularization, as well, were recorded during a follow-up time of 7.8±2.2 years after the second CT. The added predictive value of 10 CAC progression algorithms on top of risk factors including baseline CAC was evaluated by using survival analysis, C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination index. A subgroup analysis of risk in CAC categories was performed. RESULTS: We observed 85 (2.6%) hard coronary, 161 (4.9%) hard cardiovascular, and 241 (7.3%) total cardiovascular events. Absolute CAC progression was higher with versus without subsequent coronary events (median, 115 [Q1-Q3, 23-360] versus 8 [0-83], P<0.0001; similar for hard/total cardiovascular events). Some progression algorithms added to the predictive value of baseline CT and risk assessment in terms of C-statistic or integrated discrimination index, especially for total cardiovascular events. However, CAC progression did not improve models including CAC5y and 5-year risk factors. An excellent prognosis was found for 921 participants with double-zero CACb=CAC5y=0 (10-year coronary and hard/total cardiovascular risk: 1.4%, 2.0%, and 2.8%), which was for participants with incident CAC 1.8%, 3.8%, and 6.6%, respectively. When CACb progressed from 1 to 399 to CAC5y≥400, coronary and total cardiovascular risk were nearly 2-fold in comparison with subjects who remained below CAC5y=400. Participants with CACb≥400 had high rates of hard coronary and hard/total cardiovascular events (10-year risk: 12.0%, 13.5%, and 30.9%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: CAC progression is associated with coronary and cardiovascular event rates, but adds only weakly to risk prediction. What counts is the most recent CAC value and risk factor assessment. Therefore, a repeat scan >5 years after the first scan may be of additional value, except when a double-zero CT scan is present or when the subjects are already at high risk.

Chromosome 3 is a valid marker for prognostic testing of biopsy material from uveal melanoma later treated by brachytherapy.

PURPOSE: Monosomy 3 (M3) in uveal melanoma (UM) obtained after enucleation is significantly associated with metastatic death. With improved biopsy techniques, samples from patients treated with eye-preserving methods have become available. As the choice of treatment depends on tumour size, patients treated with eye-preserving brachytherapy tend to have smaller tumours. It has to be determined if M3 is a valid marker for prognosis of these patients. METHODS: Follow-up and clinical data were collected from a total of 451 UM patients: 291 patients were treated by brachytherapy. Tumour tissue was sampled by transretinal biopsy using the 23-gauge Essen biopsy forceps prior to therapy in 114 of them. Chromosome 3 status was determined by microsatellite analysis. Data were compared to those from 160 patients treated by enucleation. RESULTS: Chromosome 3 status correlates significantly with disease-related survival in both patient groups. The proportion of tumours with M3 is lower in the brachytherapy group compared to patients treated with enucleation (25/77 32% and 102/144 71%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: M3 is a valid marker for poor prognosis in uveal melanoma later treated by brachytherapy. The higher proportion of D3 tumours might explain, at least in part, the more favourable prognosis of patients treated by brachytherapy.

Circulating macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) in patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is characterized by impaired systolic ejection capacity and/or diastolic filling of the heart, leading to a multisystem disorder. Remote organ failure, systemic inflammation or pulmonary hypertension (PH) are hallmarks of the pathophysiological changes in HF. The Macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) is a pro-inflammatory cytokine that is involved in a variety of cardiovascular and inflammatory diseases. Circulating MIF levels and their potential role as a disease marker in the different subgroups of HF have not been investigated yet. We here aimed to unravel a potential role of MIF in HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: MIF plasma levels were assessed in 249 consecutive patients with HF. MIF was detectable in all investigated subjects and showed no difference with regard to the nature of HF (preserved or reduced ejection fraction). Spearman correlation revealed an association with inflammatory biomarkers (white blood cell count r = 0.18, p = 0.005; c-reactive protein r = 0.20, p = 0.003). MIF was associated with higher pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) as assessed by echocardiography (r = 0.23, p < 0.001). Log-transformed PASP was also independently associated with MIF in a multivariable linear regression model (p = 0.02). Follow-up (FU) data after 180 days revealed that patients with increased MIF values (in ng/ml) were more likely to reach the endpoint all-cause mortality (HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.004-1.02, p = 0.005, per unit change). CONCLUSION: MIF is detectable in the circulation of patients with HF and might be associated with clinical endpoints in HF, markers of inflammation and PH. These promising results should stimulate further research to elucidate the role of MIF in the multisystem disorder of HF.

Comparison of coronary artery calcification, carotid intima-media thickness and ankle-brachial index for predicting 10-year incident cardiovascular events in the general population.

AIMS: To compare the predictive value of coronary artery calcification (CAC), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and ankle-brachial index (ABI) in a primary prevention cohort depending on risk factor profile to determine which of the three markers improves cardiovascular (CV) risk discrimination best in which risk group. METHODS AND RESULTS: We quantified CAC, CIMT, and ABI in 3108 subjects (mean age 59.2 ± 7.7, 47.1% male) without prevalent CV diseases from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study. Associations with incident major CV events (coronary event, stroke, CV death; n = 223) were assessed during a follow-up period of 10.3 ± 2.8 years with Cox proportional regressions in the total cohort and stratified by Framingham risk score (FRS) groups. Discrimination ability was evaluated with Harrell's C. All three markers were associated with CV events (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)]: CAC: 1.31 (1.23-1.39) per 1-unit increase in log(CAC + 1) vs. CIMT: 1.27 (1.13-1.43) per 1 SD vs. ABI: 1.30 (1.14-1.49) per 1 SD, in FRS adjusted models). Considering reclassification, CAC lead to highest reclassification in the total cohort, while also for CIMT and ABI significant improvement in net-reclassification was observed [NRI (95% CI): CAC: 0.55 (0.42-0.69); CIMT: 0.32 (0.19-0.45); ABI: 0.19 (0.10-0.28)]. CONCLUSION: Coronary artery calcification provides the best discrimination of risk compared with CIMT and ABI, particularly in the intermediate risk group, whereas CIMT may be an alternative measure for reassurance in the low risk group.

Prevalence and Prognostic Implications of Coronary Artery Calcification in Low-Risk Women: A Meta-analysis.

Importance: The role of coronary artery calcium (CAC) testing for guiding preventive strategies among women at low cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk based on the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association CVD prevention guidelines is unclear. Objective: To assess the potential utility of CAC testing for CVD risk estimation and stratification among low-risk women. Design, Setting, and Participants: Women with 10-year atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) risk lower than 7.5% from 5 large population-based cohorts: the Dallas Heart Study (United States), the Framingham Heart Study (United States), the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study (Germany), the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (United States), and the Rotterdam Study (the Netherlands). The 5 cohorts were selected based on the availability of CAC data in a sizable group of low-risk women from the general population together with the long detailed follow-up data. Across the cohorts, events were assessed from the date of CAC scan (performed from 1998 through 2006) until January 1, 2012; January 1, 2014; or March 6, 2015. Fixed-effects meta-analysis was conducted to combine the results of the 5 studies. Exposures: CAC score by computed tomography. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcome was incident ASCVD, including nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease (CHD) death, and stroke. Association of CAC with ASCVD was examined using Cox proportional hazards models. To assess whether CAC was associated with improved ASCVD risk predictions beyond the traditional risk factors, the C statistic and the continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI) index were calculated. Results: Among 6739 women with low ASCVD risk from the 5 studies, mean age ranged from 44 to 63 years and CAC was present in 36.1%. Across the cohorts, median follow-up ranged from 7.0 to 11.6 years. A total of 165 ASCVD events occurred (64 nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 29 CHD deaths, and 72 strokes), with the ASCVD incidence rates ranging from 1.5 to 6.0 per 1000 person-years. Compared with the absence of CAC (CAC = 0), presence of CAC (CAC >0) was associated with an increased risk of ASCVD (incidence rates per 1000 person-years, 1.41 for CAC absence vs 4.33 for CAC presence; difference, 2.92 [95% CI, 2.02-3.83]; multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 2.04 [95% CI, 1.44-2.90]). The addition of CAC to traditional risk factors improved the C statistic from 0.73 (95% CI, 0.69-0.77) to 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74-0.81) and provided a cNRI of 0.20 (95% CI, 0.09-0.31) for ASCVD prediction. Conclusions and Relevance: Among women at low ASCVD risk, CAC was present in approximately one-third and was associated with an increased risk of ASCVD and modest improvement in prognostic accuracy compared with traditional risk factors. Further research is needed to assess the clinical utility and cost-effectiveness of this additional accuracy.

The association between stress and headache: A longitudinal population-based study.

INTRODUCTION: We studied the association between stress intensity and headache frequency for tension-type headache (TTH), migraine and migraine with coexisting TTH (MigTTH). METHOD: We studied a population-based sample of 5159 participants (21-71 years) who were asked quarterly between March 2010 and April 2012 about headache and stress. Log-linear regression in the framework of generalized estimating equations was used to estimate regression coefficients presented as percent changes to describe the association between stress intensity (modified visual analog scale (VAS) from 0 to 100) and headache frequency (days/month) stratified by headache subtypes and age groups and adjusted for sex, age, frequent intake of acute pain drugs, drinking, smoking, BMI and education. RESULTS: TTH was reported in 31% participants (48.1 ± 12.5years, 51.5% women, 2.2 ± 3.9 mean headache days/month, 52.3 ± 26.7 mean stress), migraine in 14% (44.8 ± 11.3years, 73.3%, 4.5 ± 5.2 days/month, 62.4 ± 23.3), MigTTH in 10.6% (43.5 ± 11.5 years, 61.0%, 3.6 ± 4.8 days/month, 58.6 ± 24.1), 23.6% were unclassifiable, and 20.8% had no headache. In participants with TTH an increase of 10 points on VAS was associated with an increase of headaches days/month of 6.0% (adjusted). Higher effects were observed in younger age groups (21-30/31-40/41-50/51-60/61-71 years: 9.8/10.2/7.0/6.5/3.5%). Slightly lower effects were observed for migraine (4.3%, 8.1/5.1/3.4/6.3/0.3%) and MigTTH (4.2%, 5.5/6.8/6.9/5.8/-0.7%). CONCLUSION: Our study provides evidence for an association between stress intensity and headache frequency.

Left ventricle size quantification using non-contrast-enhanced cardiac computed tomography--association with cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcium score in the general population: The Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study.

BACKGROUND: Increased left ventricular (LV) size is associated with cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. Once non-contrast cardiac computed tomography (CT) is performed for other purposes, information of LV size is readily available. PURPOSE: To determine the association of gated CT-derived LV size with cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcification (CAC) and to describe age- and gender-specific normative values in a general population cohort. MATERIAL AND METHODS: LV area was quantified from non-contrast-enhanced CT in axial, end-diastolic images at a mid-ventricular slice in participants of the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, free of known cardiovascular disease. LV index (LVI) was calculated by the quotient of LV area and body surface area (BSA). Crude and adjusted regression analyses were used to determine the association of LVI with risk factors and CAC. RESULTS: Overall, 3926 subjects (age 59 ± 8 years, 53% women) were included in this analysis. From quantification in end-diastolic phase, men had larger LV index (2232 ± 296 mm(2)/m(2) vs. 2088 ± 251 mm(2)/m(2), both P < 0.0001). LVI was strongly correlated systolic blood pressure (men, PE [95% CI]: 22.8 [15.5-30.2] mm(2)/10 mmHg; women, 23.4 [18.1-28.6]), and antihypertensive medication (men, 45.2 [14.7-75.8] mm(2); women: 46.5 [22.7-70.2], all P < 0.005). Cholesterol levels were associated with LVI in univariate analysis, however, correlations were low (R(2) ≤ 0.04). In multivariable regression, blood pressure, antihypertensive medication and cholesterol levels, remained associated with LVI (P < 0.05). LVI was linked with CAC in unadjusted (men, increase of CAC + 1 by 13.0% [1.4-25.8] with increased LVI by 1 standard deviation of LVI, P = 0.03; women, 20.7% [10.0-32.3], P < 0.0001) and risk factor adjusted models (men, 14.6% [3.7-26.6], P = 0.007); women, 17.4% [7.8-27.8], P = 0.0002). CONCLUSION: Non-contrast cardiac CT derived LV index is associated with body size and hypertension. LVI is weakly linked with CAC-score. Further studies need to evaluate whether assessment of LV dimensions from cardiac CT helps identifying subjects with increased cardiovascular risk.

Progression of coronary artery calcification seems to be inevitable, but predictable - results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study.

AIM: Coronary artery calcification (CAC), as a sign of atherosclerosis, can be detected and progression quantified using computed tomography (CT). We develop a tool for predicting CAC progression. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 3481 participants (45-74 years, 53.1% women) CAC percentiles at baseline (CACb) and after five years (CAC5y) were evaluated, demonstrating progression along gender-specific percentiles, which showed exponentially shaped age-dependence. Using quantile regression on the log-scale (log(CACb+1)) we developed a tool to individually predict CAC5y, and compared to observed CAC5y. The difference between observed and predicted CAC5y (log-scale, mean±SD) was 0.08±1.11 and 0.06±1.29 in men and women. Agreement reached a kappa-value of 0.746 (95% confidence interval: 0.732-0.760) and concordance correlation (log-scale) of 0.886 (0.879-0.893). Explained variance of observed by predicted log(CAC5y+1) was 80.1% and 72.0% in men and women, and 81.0 and 73.6% including baseline risk factors. Evaluating the tool in 1940 individuals with CACb>0 and CACb<400 at baseline, of whom 242 (12.5%) developed CAC5y>400, yielded a sensitivity of 59.5%, specificity 96.1%, (+) and (-) predictive values of 68.3% and 94.3%. A pre-defined acceptance range around predicted CAC5y contained 68.1% of observed CAC5y; only 20% were expected by chance. Age, blood pressure, lipid-lowering medication, diabetes, and smoking contributed to progression above the acceptance range in men and, excepting age, in women. CONCLUSION: CAC nearly inevitably progresses with limited influence of cardiovascular risk factors. This allowed the development of a mathematical tool for prediction of individual CAC progression, enabling anticipation of the age when CAC thresholds of high risk are reached.

Coronary artery calcification, intima-media thickness, and ankle-brachial index are complementary stroke predictors.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Coronary artery calcification (CAC), a marker of coronary atherosclerosis, predicts stroke in addition to established risk factors. Whether CAC's predictive value can be improved by peripheral atherosclerosis markers, namely carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and ankle-brachial index (ABI), was unknown. METHODS: A total of 3289 participants of the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study (45-75 years; 48.8% men) without previous stroke or coronary heart disease were evaluated for incident stroke for 9.0±1.9 years. CAC, CIMT, and ABI were examined as stroke predictors. RESULTS: Eighty-four strokes occurred during follow-up. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard regressions, CAC (hazard ratio, 1.45 [95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.88] per SD increase in ln(CAC+1); SD, 2.40), CIMT (1.34 [1.08-1.66] per SD increase; SD, 0.127 mm), and ABI (1.55 [1.32-1.82] per SD decrease; SD, 0.148) were associated with stroke in addition to established risk factors. When combined with each other, ln(CAC+1)'s hazard ratio remained similar when CIMT (1.41 [1.09-1.83]) was inserted into the multivariable model, but slightly decreased when ABI (1.31 [1.01-1.72]) or CIMT and ABI (1.29 [0.99-1.68]) were included. Although CAC alone did not significantly elevate the area under the curve in Harrell's c-statistics (by 0.009; P=0.379) in addition to established risk factors, the combination of CAC and ABI increased area under the curve (by 0.029; P=0.047), as did ABI (by 0.025; P=0.038) but not CIMT (by 0.002; P=0.795) alone. The combination of CAC and ABI also resulted in significant category-free net reclassification and integrated discrimination improvement. CONCLUSIONS: CAC, CIMT, and ABI provide complementary information about stroke risk. ABI, which is distinctive in a small subpopulation, had the highest and CIMT, which is distributed across a larger range of values, had the lowest predictive value.

Coronary atherosclerosis burden, but not transient troponin elevation, predicts long-term outcome in recreational marathon runners.

We determined the prognostic value of transient increases in high-sensitive serum troponin I (hsTnI) during a marathon and its association with traditional cardiovascular risk factors and imaging-based risk markers for incident coronary events and all-cause mortality in recreational marathon runners. Baseline data of 108 marathon runners, 864 age-matched controls and 216 age- and risk factor-matched controls from the general population were recorded and their coronary event rates and all-cause mortality after 6 ± 1 years determined. hsTnI was measured in 74 marathon finishers before and after the race. Other potential predictors for coronary events, i.e., Framingham Risk Score (FRS), coronary artery calcium (CAC) and presence of myocardial fibrosis as measured by magnetic resonance imaging-based late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), were also assessed. An increase beyond the 99 % hsTnI-threshold, i.e., 0.04 µg/L, was observed in 36.5 % of runners. FRS, CAC, or prevalent LGE did not predict hsTnI values above or increases in hsTnI beyond the median after the race, nor did they predict future events. However, runners with versus without LGE had higher hsTnI values after the race (median (Q1/Q3), 0.08 µg/L (0.04/0.09) versus 0.03 µg/L (0.02/0.06), p = 0.039), and higher increases in hsTnI values during the race (median (Q1/Q3), 0.05 µg/L (0.03/0.08) versus 0.02 µg/L (0.01/0.05), p = 0.0496). Runners had a similar cumulative event rate as age-matched or age- and risk factor-matched controls, i.e., 6.5 versus 5.0 % or 4.6 %, respectively. Event rates in runners with CAC scores <100, 100-399, and ≥400 were 1.5, 12.0, and 21.4 % (p = 0.002 for trend) and not different from either control group. Runners with coronary events had a higher prevalence of LGE than runners without events (57 versus 8 %, p = 0.003). All-cause mortality was similar in marathon runners (3/108, 2.8 %) and controls (26/864, 3.0 % or 5/216, 2.4 %, respectively). Recreational marathon runners with prevalent myocardial fibrosis develop higher hsTnI values during the race than those without. Increasing coronary artery calcium scores and prevalent myocardial fibrosis, but not increases in hsTnI are associated with higher coronary event rates. All-cause mortality in marathon runners is similar to that in risk factor-matched controls.

Left atrial size quantification using non-contrast-enhanced cardiac computed tomography - association with cardiovascular risk factors and gender-specific distribution in the general population: the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study.

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) size is associated with cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. Once cardiac computed tomography (CT) is performed, information on LA size is readily available without additional contrast media or radiation exposure. PURPOSE: To determine the association of CT-derived LA area and body surface area-adjusted (BSA) LA index with cardiovascular risk factors and describe age- and gender-specific normative values in a general population cohort. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study included 3945 participants (mean age, 59 ± 8 years; 53% women) from the community-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study. LA area in an axial image at the level of the mitral valve was quantified from non-contrast-enhanced electron-beam CT by manual delineations of the boundaries of the LA with exclusion of subjects with prevalent cardiovascular disease. Definition of normative values was performed in subjects without predictors of LA enlargement. RESULTS: LA quantification was feasible in all subjects. Men had larger LA size (1856 mm(2) vs. 1677 mm(2), P < 0.0001), while after adjustment for BSA, this effect was inverted (910 mm(2)/m(2) vs. 933 mm(2)/m(2) for men and women, P < 0.0001). Determinants of body size were major predictors of LA size (body mass index [BMI]: R(2) = 0.195, BSA: R(2 )= 0.216, both P < 0.0001). Blood pressure was associated with LA size (parameter-estimate [95% confidence interval] = 51.0 (4.9-57.1) mm(2)/10 mmHg for systolic, 31.4 (25.4-37.4) mm(2)/5 mmHg for diastolic blood pressure, 214.6 (186.9-242.3) mm(2) for antihypertensive medication, P < 0.0001 for all). Cholesterol levels, lipid-lowering therapy, and diabetes were associated with LA in univariable analysis, however, correlations were low (r(2 )≤ 0.026). Current smoking was associated with reduced LA size (-115.9 [-149.0 - -82.8] mm(2), P < 0.0001). In multivariable regression, BMI, blood pressure, antihypertensive medication, and smoking remained associated with LA size (P < 0.005). CONCLUSION: Non-contrast-enhanced cardiac CT enables LA quantification with body size, hypertension, and smoking status being predictors of LA size.

Patterns of follow-up care in adult blood cancer survivors-Prospective evaluation of health-related outcomes, resource use, and quality of life.

BACKGROUND: Information about follow-up care in blood cancer survivors is limited. The questionnaire-based "Aftercare in Blood Cancer Survivors" (ABC) study aimed to identify patterns of follow-up care in Germany and compare different types of follow-up institutions. METHODS: The study's 18-month prospective part compared the follow-up institutions identified in the preceding retrospective part (academic oncologists, community oncologists, primary care physicians). The questionnaires were completed by the follow-up physicians. RESULTS: Of 1070 physicians named by 1479 blood-cancer survivors, 478 (44.7%) consented to participate. For provision of care, most oncologists relied on published guidelines, while most primary care physicians depended on information from other physicians. Survivors with a history of allogeneic transplantation or indolent lymphoma were mainly seen by academic oncologists, whereas survivors with monoclonal gammopathy, multiple myeloma, or myeloproliferative disorders were often seen by community oncologists, and survivors with a history of aggressive lymphoma or acute leukemia by primary care physicians. Detection of relapse and secondary diseases was consistently viewed as the most important follow-up goal. Follow-up visits were most extensively documented by academic oncologists (574 of 1045 survivors cared for, 54.9%), followed by community oncologists (90/231, 39.0%) and primary care physicians (51/203, 25.1%). Relapse and secondary disease detection rates and the patients' quality of life were similar at the three institutions. Laboratory tests were most often ordered by academic oncologists, and imaging by primary care physicians. Psychosocial issues and preventive care were more often addressed by primary care physicians than by oncologists. CONCLUSIONS: Patients at high risk of relapse or late complications were preferentially treated by academic oncologists, while patients in stable condition requiring continuous monitoring were also seen by community oncologists, and patients with curable diseases in long-term remission by primary care physicians. For the latter, transfer of follow-up care from oncologists to well-informed primary care providers appears feasible.

Epidemiology and Prognostic Implications of Coronary Artery Calcium in Asymptomatic Individuals With Prediabetes: A Multicohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology and prognostic value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in individuals with prediabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We pooled participants free of clinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) from four prospective cohorts: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, Framingham Heart Study, and Jackson Heart Study. Two definitions were used for prediabetes: inclusive (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] ≥100 to <126 mg/dL and hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c] ≥5.7% to <6.5%, if available, and no glucose-lowering medications) and restrictive (FPG ≥110 to <126 mg/dL and HbA1c ≥5.7% to <6.5%, if available, among participants not taking glucose-lowering medications). RESULTS: The study included 13,376 participants (mean age 58 years; 54% women; 57% White; 27% Black). The proportions with CAC ≥100 were 17%, 22%, and 37% in those with euglycemia, prediabetes, and diabetes, respectively. Over a median (25th-75th percentile) follow-up time of 14.6 (interquartile range 7.8-16.4) years, individuals with prediabetes and CAC ≥100 had a higher unadjusted 10-year incidence of ASCVD (13.4%) than the overall group of those with diabetes (10.6%). In adjusted analyses, using the inclusive definition of prediabetes, compared with euglycemia, the hazard ratios (HRs) for ASCVD were 0.79 (95% CI 0.62, 1.01) for prediabetes and CAC 0, 0.70 (0.54, 0.89) for prediabetes and CAC 1-99, 1.54 (1.27, 1.88) for prediabetes and CAC ≥100, and 1.64 (1.39, 1.93) for diabetes. Using the restrictive definition, the HR for ASCVD was 1.63 (1.29, 2.06) for prediabetes and CAC ≥100. CONCLUSIONS: CAC ≥100 is frequent among individuals with prediabetes and identifies a high ASCVD risk subgroup in which the adjusted ASCVD risk is similar to that in individuals with diabetes.

Coronary artery calcification is an independent stroke predictor in the general population.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is a noninvasive marker of plaque load that predicts myocardial infarcts in the general population. Herein, we investigated whether CAC predicts stroke events in addition to established risk factors that are part of the Framingham risk score. METHODS: A total of 4180 subjects from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study (45-75 years of age; 47.1% men) without previous stroke, coronary heart disease, or myocardial infarction were evaluated for stroke events over 94.9 ± 19.4 months. Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to examine CAC as stroke predictor in addition to established vascular risk factors (age, sex, systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and atrial fibrillation). RESULTS: Ninety-two incident strokes occurred (82 ischemic, 10 hemorrhagic). Subjects suffering a stroke had significantly higher CAC values at baseline than the remaining subjects (median, 104.8[Q1;Q3, 14.0;482.2] vs 11.2[0;106.2]; P<0.001). In a multivariable Cox regression, log10(CAC+1) was an independent stroke predictor (hazards ratio, 1.52 [95% confidence interval, 1.19-1.92]; P=0.001) in addition to age (1.35 per 5 years [1.15-1.59]; P<0.001), systolic blood pressure (1.25 per 10 mm Hg [1.14-1.37]; P<0.001), and smoking (1.75 [1.07-2.87]; P=0.025). CAC predicted stroke in men and women, particularly in subjects <65 years of age and independent of atrial fibrillation. CAC discriminated stroke risk specifically in participants belonging to the low (<10%) and intermediate (10%-20%) Framingham risk score categories. CONCLUSIONS: CAC is an independent stroke predictor in addition to classical risk factors in subjects at low or intermediate vascular risk.

Impact of atherosclerotic risk factors on different ankle-brachial-index criteria--results of the Heinz Nixdorf RECALL study.

BACKGROUND: On the basis of the Heinz Nixdorf RECALL Study (HNR) we estimated the impact of classical atherosclerotic risk factors on different ankle-brachial-index (ABI) criteria. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a subgroup of participants (n = 2586) who had normal ABI at baseline ABI measurement was repeated at a 5 years follow-up and 3 different ABIs were defined: "ABI-high" calculated from the higher pressure, "ABI-low" from the lower pressure of both foot arteries of each leg. "Pure-ABI-low" was defined by exclusion of participants with ABI-high from those with ABI-low. Mönckebergs mediacalcinosis (MC) was accepted in case of ABI-high > 1.4 in one leg. RESULTS: According to ABI-high 2 %, to ABI-low 7.8 % and pure-ABI-low 5.8 % of the participants developed peripheral arterial disease (PAD) (ABI < 0.9) and 3.6 % developed MC within the 5 years. Age did not play any role whereas female gender, diabetes mellitus and smoking were associated with an increased relative risk of pathologic ABI-high and ABI-low. Looking at the pure-ABI-low group only, female gender and smoking showed significant associations. None of the analysed risk factors except gender had an impact on the development of MC. CONCLUSIONS: Classical risk factors have different impact on incidence of PAD as defined by different ABI criteria.