Five-Year Outcomes of the Danish Cardiovascular Screening (DANCAVAS) Trial.

BACKGROUND: Limited data suggest a benefit of population-based screening for cardiovascular disease with respect to the risk of death. METHODS: We performed a population-based, parallel-group, randomized, controlled trial involving men 65 to 74 years of age living in 15 Danish municipalities. The participants were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio to undergo screening (the invited group) or not to undergo screening (the control group) for subclinical cardiovascular disease. Randomization was based on computer-generated random numbers and stratified according to municipality. Only the control group was unaware of the trial-group assignments. Screening included noncontrast electrocardiography-gated computed tomography to determine the coronary-artery calcium score and to detect aneurysms and atrial fibrillation, ankle-brachial blood-pressure measurements to detect peripheral artery disease and hypertension, and a blood sample to detect diabetes mellitus and hypercholesterolemia. The primary outcome was death from any cause. RESULTS: A total of 46,611 participants underwent randomization. After exclusion of 85 men who had died or emigrated before being invited to undergo screening, there were 16,736 men in the invited group and 29,790 men in the control group; 10,471 of the men in the invited group underwent screening (62.6%). In intention-to-treat analyses, after a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 2106 men (12.6%) in the invited group and 3915 men (13.1%) in the control group had died (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90 to 1.00; P = 0.06). The hazard ratio for stroke in the invited group, as compared with the control group, was 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.99); for myocardial infarction, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.03); for aortic dissection, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.49); and for aortic rupture, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.49 to 1.35). There were no significant between-group differences in safety outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: After more than 5 years, the invitation to undergo comprehensive cardiovascular screening did not significantly reduce the incidence of death from any cause among men 65 to 74 years of age. (Funded by the Southern Region of Denmark and others; DANCAVAS ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN12157806.).

Exploring Drug Re-Purposing for Treatment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Large abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) present a significant mortality risk. While numerous medical interventions have been proposed, no drugs have convincingly reduced AAA progression, rupture rates, or repair risk. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the impact of re-purposed drugs or dietary supplements on slowing expansion rates, reducing the risk of rupture, or minimising the risk of repair for individuals with AAA. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in five databases. Both observational studies and randomised controlled trials were included. Unpublished data from two screening trials were incorporated. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale and revised Cochrane risk of bias tool. Meta-analyses were performed for each identified drug subclass and were stratified by overall risk of bias. Results were reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. RESULTS: Of 7 484 screened studies, 39 met the inclusion criteria. No studies on dietary supplements were included. A total of 84 cohorts were derived from the included studies, and twelve distinct drug groups underwent meta-analyses. Two drug groups, metformin and statins, were statistically significant in slowing AAA growth. No low risk of bias studies were included for these two drug groups, and the results had very high heterogeneity (I2 > 80%). Both groups had a GRADE certainty of very low. Metformin, excluding high risk of bias studies, presented an estimated mean growth difference of AAA diameter between users and non-users of -0.73 mm/year, whilst statins had an overall estimated mean difference of -0.84 mm/year. CONCLUSION: This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that metformin and statins may provide some effect in slowing AAA progression. However, no definitive evidence was found for any of the investigated drugs included in this study. Further research is needed to identify effective medical treatments for AAA progression with more robust methodology.

Cationic proteins from eosinophils bind bone morphogenetic protein receptors promoting vascular calcification and atherogenesis.

AIMS: Blood eosinophil count and eosinophil cationic protein (ECP) concentration are risk factors of cardiovascular diseases. This study tested whether and how eosinophils and ECP contribute to vascular calcification and atherogenesis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Immunostaining revealed eosinophil accumulation in human and mouse atherosclerotic lesions. Eosinophil deficiency in ΔdblGATA mice slowed atherogenesis with increased lesion smooth muscle cell (SMC) content and reduced calcification. This protection in ΔdblGATA mice was muted when mice received donor eosinophils from wild-type (WT), Il4-/-, and Il13-/- mice or mouse eosinophil-associated-ribonuclease-1 (mEar1), a murine homologue of ECP. Eosinophils or mEar1 but not interleukin (IL) 4 or IL13 increased the calcification of SMC from WT mice but not those from Runt-related transcription factor-2 (Runx2) knockout mice. Immunoblot analyses showed that eosinophils and mEar1 activated Smad-1/5/8 but did not affect Smad-2/3 activation or expression of bone morphogenetic protein receptors (BMPR-1A/1B/2) or transforming growth factor (TGF)-ß receptors (TGFBR1/2) in SMC from WT and Runx2 knockout mice. Immunoprecipitation showed that mEar1 formed immune complexes with BMPR-1A/1B but not TGFBR1/2. Immunofluorescence double-staining, ligand binding, and Scatchard plot analysis demonstrated that mEar1 bound to BMPR-1A and BMPR-1B with similar affinity. Likewise, human ECP and eosinophil-derived neurotoxin (EDN) also bound to BMPR-1A/1B on human vascular SMC and promoted SMC osteogenic differentiation. In a cohort of 5864 men from the Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial and its subpopulation of 394 participants, blood eosinophil counts and ECP levels correlated with the calcification scores of different arterial segments from coronary arteries to iliac arteries. CONCLUSION: Eosinophils release cationic proteins that can promote SMC calcification and atherogenesis using the BMPR-1A/1B-Smad-1/5/8-Runx2 signalling pathway.

Clinical Characteristics, Incidences, and Mortality Rates for Type A and B Aortic Dissections: A Nationwide Danish Population-Based Cohort Study From 1996 to 2016.

BACKGROUND: Population-based epidemiologic studies of aortic dissections (ADs) are needed. This study aimed to report clinical characteristics, incidences, and mortality rates for adult patients admitted to Danish hospitals with type A AD (TAAD) or type B AD (TBAD) from 1996 through 2016. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, population-based register study. All cases of AD registered with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes in the Danish National Patient Registry at time of admission to a hospital with available medical records underwent validation. Data were merged between nationwide health registries including the cause of death registry. Patients with validated AD were matched 1:10 on sex and age with patients with hypertension from the general Danish population. RESULTS: Of 5018 registered cases of AD, 4183 cases underwent review and 3023 (60.2%) were validated as AD. After exclusions, the distribution of validated TAAD and TBAD was 1620 (60.5%) and 1059 (39.5%; P<0.001), 67.5% and 67.0% of patients were men, and mean ages at dissection were 63.5±12.9 and 67.5±12.2 years (P<0.001), respectively. The most prevalent comorbidities for TAAD were hypertension (55.2%), thoracic aortic aneurysms (14.6%), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (13.1%); for TBAD, the most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (64.1%), aortic aneurysms at any location (7.5% to 12.0%), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (15.7%). The overall mean annual incidence rate was 4.2/100 000 patient-years. Incidence was significantly higher for TAAD (2.2/100 000) compared with TBAD (1.5/100 000; P<0.001). The 30-day mortality rates for validated TAAD and TBAD were 22.0% and 13.9% (P<0.001), respectively, with no significant changes over time or between sexes. Adjusted 5-year overall mortality rates for TAAD and TBAD were hazard ratio 3.2 (2.9 to 3.5; P<0.001; aortic-related cause of death, 57.0%) and hazard ratio 2.1 (1.9 to 2.4; P<0.001; aortic-related cause of death, 42.8%), respectively, compared with the general hypertensive population. Among patients who survived 30 days from dissection, the adjusted 5-year overall mortality rates were hazard ratio 1.1 (1.0 to 1.3; P=0.12; aortic-related cause of death, 23.2%) and hazard ratio 1.4 (1.2 to 1.6; P<0.001; aortic-related cause of death, 25.6%) for TAAD and TBAD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension, aortic aneurysms, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were the most prevalent comorbidities. The 30-day mortality frequencies were consistent over time with no significant differences between sexes. The 5-year mortality rate was higher for TAAD than TBAD. If the patient survived 30 days from dissection, the mortality rate for patients with TAAD was comparable with that of the general hypertensive population, but the mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with TBAD.

Vitamin K2 and D in Patients With Aortic Valve Calcification: A Randomized Double-Blinded Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Menaquinone-7 (MK-7), also known as vitamin K2, is a cofactor for the carboxylation of proteins involved in the inhibition of arterial calcification and has been suggested to reduce the progression rate of aortic valve calcification (AVC) in patients with aortic stenosis. METHODS: In a randomized, double-blind, multicenter trial, men from the community with an AVC score >300 arbitrary units (AU) on cardiac noncontrast computer tomography were randomized to daily treatment with tablet 720 µg MK-7 plus 25 µg vitamin D or matching placebo for 24 months. The primary outcome was the change in AVC score. Selected secondary outcomes included change in aortic valve area and peak aortic jet velocity on echocardiography, heart valve surgery, change in aortic and coronary artery calcification, and change in dp-ucMGP (dephosphorylated-undercarboxylated matrix Gla-protein). Safety outcomes included all-cause death and cardiovascular events. RESULTS: From February 1, 2018, to March 21, 2019, 365 men were randomized. Mean age was 71.0 (±4.4) years. The mean (95% CI) increase in AVC score was 275 AU (95% CI, 225-326 AU) and 292 AU (95% CI, 246-338 AU) in the intervention and placebo groups, respectively. The mean difference on AVC progression was 17 AU (95% CI, -86 to 53 AU; P=0.64). The mean change in aortic valve area was 0.02 cm2 (95% CI, -0.09 to 0.12 cm2; P=0.78) and in peak aortic jet velocity was 0.04 m/s (95% CI, -0.11 to 0.02 m/s; P=0.21). The progression in aortic and coronary artery calcification score was not significantly different between patients treated with MK-7 plus vitamin D and patients receiving placebo. There was no difference in the rate of heart valve surgery (1 versus 2 patients; P=0.99), all-cause death (1 versus 4 patients; P=0.37), or cardiovascular events (10 versus 10 patients; P=0.99). Compared with patients in the placebo arm, a significant reduction in dp-ucMGP was observed with MK-7 plus vitamin D (-212 pmol/L versus 45 pmol/L; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In elderly men with an AVC score >300 AU, 2 years MK-7 plus vitamin D supplementation did not influence AVC progression. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT03243890.

Eosinophils Protect Mice From Angiotensin-II Perfusion-Induced Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm.

RATIONALE: Blood eosinophil count and ECP (eosinophil cationic protein) associate with human cardiovascular diseases. Yet, whether eosinophils play a role in cardiovascular disease remains untested. The current study detected eosinophil accumulation in human and murine abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) lesions, suggesting eosinophil participation in this aortic disease. OBJECTIVE: To test whether and how eosinophils affect AAA growth. METHODS AND RESULTS: Population-based randomized clinically controlled screening trials revealed higher blood eosinophil count in 579 male patients with AAA than in 5063 non-AAA control (0.236±0.182 versus 0.211±0.154, 109/L, P<0.001). Univariate (odds ratio, 1.381, P<0.001) and multivariate (odds ratio, 1.237, P=0.031) logistic regression analyses indicated that increased blood eosinophil count in patients with AAA served as an independent risk factor of human AAA. Immunostaining and immunoblot analyses detected eosinophil accumulation and eosinophil cationic protein expression in human and murine AAA lesions. Results showed that eosinophil deficiency exacerbated AAA growth with increased lesion inflammatory cell contents, matrix-degrading protease activity, angiogenesis, cell proliferation and apoptosis, and smooth muscle cell loss using angiotensin-II perfusion-induced AAA in Apoe-/- and eosinophil-deficient Apoe-/-ΔdblGATA mice. Eosinophil deficiency increased lesion chemokine expression, muted lesion expression of IL (interleukin) 4 and eosinophil-associated-ribonuclease-1 (mEar1 [mouse EOS-associated-ribonuclease-1], human ECP homolog), and slanted M1 macrophage polarization. In cultured macrophages and monocytes, eosinophil-derived IL4 and mEar1 polarized M2 macrophages, suppressed CD11b+Ly6Chi monocytes, and increased CD11b+Ly6Clo monocytes. mEar1 treatment or adoptive transfer of eosinophil from wild-type and Il13-/- mice, but not eosinophil from Il4-/- mice, blocked AAA growth in Apoe-/-ΔdblGATA mice. Immunofluorescent staining and immunoblot analyses demonstrated a role for eosinophil IL4 and mEar1 in blocking NF-κB (nuclear factor-κB) activation in macrophages, smooth muscle cells, and endothelial cells. CONCLUSIONS: Eosinophils play a protective role in AAA by releasing IL4 and cationic proteins such as mEar1 to regulate macrophage and monocyte polarization and to block NF-κB activation in aortic inflammatory and vascular cells.

Gender-specific Predicted Normal Aortic Size and Its Consequences of the Population-Based Prevalence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms.

BACKGROUND: To investigate if a relative-size-index of the abdominal aortic diameter influences the prevalence estimates of abdominal aortic dilatations compared to absolute diameters. METHODS: Cross-sectional study. Participants from the Viborg Vascular Screening Trial, Viborg Women Cohort, and the Viborg Screening Program. Through multivariate linear regression analyses, 2 gender-specific prediction-equations were developed based upon body-surface area and age. The definitions of absolute and relative size of aortic ectasies were 25-29 mm and 1.25-1.49× individual-predicted size (IPS), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) 30 mm and 1.5× IPS, and large repair-recommendable AAA ≥55 mm or ≥ 2.75× IPS, respectively. RESULTS: Nineteen thousand two hundred and sixty nine males (69.6 years) and 2,426 females (67.1 years) attended the population- and ultrasound-based screening studies for AAA. The mean peak systolic abdominal anterior-posterior inner to inner diameter was 19.1 mm (±5.3 mm) and 16.6 mm (±2.8 mm) (P < 0.001) in males and females, respectively. Body surface area showed the strongest correlation with aortic diameters in both males (r = 0.19, P < 0.001) and females (r = 0.17, P < 0.001). Age correlated significantly with size, but only in males (r = 0.03, P < 0.001). The prevalence in men of absolute size-defined and relative size index-defined screening-detected aortic ectasies, AAAs and repair-recommendable AAAs were: 5.9% and 9.5% (P < 0.001), 3.3% and 4.2% (P < 0.001) and 9.9% and 15.2% (P = 0.004), respectively. Prevalence in females of absolute-size-defined and relative-size-index-defined screening-detected aortic ectasies, AAAs and repair-recommendable AAAs were 1.2% and 5.8% (P < 0.001), 0.5% and 1.3% (P = 0.003) and 0.0% and 23.1% (P = 0.553), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite statistical differences, ultrasound-based absolute diameters to detect AAA seem acceptable in men. In females, poor agreements were noticed concerning all 3 categories of aneurysms, indicating that the current absolute diagnostic cut-points do not reflect female anatomy.

Arabic-speaking male immigrants' perceptions of preventive initiatives: An interview study.

BACKGROUND: Arabic-speaking men are a sparsely investigated population in health promotion and disease prevention. This may hamper their ability to achieve the highest obtainable health due to less accessibility and acceptability of preventive measures. AIM: We explored Arabic-speaking (Palestinian, Iraqi and Somali) male immigrants' perceptions of preventive initiatives in general and such initiatives for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in particular to understand how to address inequalities in engagement in prevention. METHODS: This qualitative study employed content analysis of semistructured interviews with 60-66-year-old Arabic-speaking men living in Denmark. Supplementary, structured data, for example, health data, were collected. From June to August 2020, 10 men were interviewed. FINDINGS: Preventive initiatives were found ethically and culturally acceptable alongside personally and socially relevant; they were perceived as humanitarian and caring for the participants' health, respecting of their self-determination and enabling their empowerment. Thus, the participants entreated that their fellow countrymen be assisted in achieving the prerequisite coping capabilities to address inequality in access, perceived acceptance and relevance. This led us to define one main category 'Preventive initiatives - Caring and humanitarian aid empower us' with the underlying subcategories: 'We are both hampered and strengthened by our basic assumptions' and 'We need help to achieve coping capabilities enabling us to engage in preventive initiatives'. CONCLUSION: Prevention was perceived as acceptable and relevant. Even so, Arabic-speaking men may be a hard-to-reach group due to their basic assumptions and impaired capabilities for engaging in prevention. Addressing inequality in accessibility, acceptability and relevance in regard to prevention may be promoted through a person-centred approach embracing invitees' preferences, needs and values; and by strengthening invitees' health literacy through efforts at the structural, health professional and individual levels. PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: This study was based on interviews. The interviewees were recruited as public representatives to assist us in building an understanding of Arabic-speaking male immigrants' perceptions of preventive initiatives in general and preventive initiatives for CVD in particular.

Cost effectiveness of population screening vs. no screening for cardiovascular disease: the Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial (DANCAVAS).

AIMS: A recent trial has shown that screening of men for cardiovascular disease (CVD) may reduce all-cause mortality. This study assesses the cost effectiveness of such screening vs. no screening from the perspective of European healthcare systems. METHODS AND RESULTS: Randomized controlled trial-based cost-effectiveness evaluation with a mean 5.7 years of follow-up. Screening was based on low-dose computed tomography to detect coronary artery calcification and aortic/iliac aneurysms, limb blood pressure measurement to detect peripheral artery disease and hypertension, telemetric assessment of the heart rhythm to detect atrial fibrillation, and measurements of the cholesterol and HgbA1c levels. Censoring-adjusted incremental costs, life years (LY), and quality-adjusted LY (QALY) were estimated and used for cost-effectiveness analysis. The incremental cost of screening for the entire health care sector was €207 [95% confidence interval (CI) -24; 438, P = 0.078] per invitee for which gains of 0.019 LY (95% CI -0.007; 0.045, P = 0.145) and 0.023 QALY (95% CI -0.001; 0.046, P = 0.051) were achieved. The corresponding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were of €10 812 per LY and €9075 per QALY, which would be cost effective at probabilities of 0.73 and 0.83 for a willingness to pay of €20 000. Assessment of population heterogeneity showed that cost effectiveness could be more attractive for younger men without CVD at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Comprehensive screening for CVD is overall cost effective at conventional thresholds for willingness to pay and also competitive to the cost effectiveness of common cancer screening programmes. The screening target group, however, needs to be settled.

Combined Immunoglobulin Free Light Chains Are Novel Predictors of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm.

OBJECTIVE: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is characterised by the presence of B cells and immunoglobulins in the aortic wall, mainly in the adventitia. Kappa (κ) and lambda (λ) free light chains (FLCs) are produced from B cells during immunoglobulin synthesis. This study investigated the presence and prognostic value of combined FLCs (cFLCs or summed κ and λ) in patients with AAA. METHODS: cFLCs were analysed by a turbidimetric specific assay in tissue conditioned media from AAA samples (n = 34) compared with healthy aortas (n = 34) from France and in plasma samples from patients with AAA (n = 434) and age matched controls (n = 104) selected from the Viborg Vascular (VIVA) AAA screening trial in Denmark. t test, logistic regression, and Cox regression were used to test whether plasma cFLCs serve as a marker for AAA presence and whether cFLCs were predictive of death, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), or major adverse lower limb events (MALE). RESULTS: Increased cFLC levels were detected in the AAA adventitial layer compared with the AAA medial layer and healthy media layer (13.65 ± 3.17 vs. 6.57 ± 1.01 vs. 0.49 ± 0.09 mg/L, respectively, p < .050). The upper tertile of plasma cFLCs was independently associated with AAA presence after correcting for confounders (odds ratio [OR] 7.596, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 3.117 - 18.513; p < .001). Of 434 patients with AAA, 89 (20.5%) died, 104 (24.0%) suffered MACE, and 63 (14.5%) suffered MALE, during a five year follow up. In univariable analysis, the cFLC upper tertile was associated with a higher risk of death, MACE, and MALE (p < .001 for all). After adjustment for confounders, cFLCs remained an independent predictor of all cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 4.310, 95% CI 2.157 - 8.609; p < .001), MACE (HR 2.153, 95% CI 1.218 - 3.804; p = .008), or MALE (HR 3.442, 95% CI 1.548 - 7.652; p = .002) for those in the upper tertile. CONCLUSION: Increased cFLCs are observed in adventitial tissue of patients with AAA, indicating local activation of B cells. Plasma cFLC levels are an independent predictor of death, MACE, and MALE in patients with AAA.

Lipocalin-2 and Calprotectin Potential Prognosis Biomarkers in Peripheral Arterial Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is the most prevalent cardiovascular (CV) condition globally. Despite the high CV risk of PAD patients, no reliable predictors of adverse clinical evolution are yet available. In this regard, previous transcriptomic analyses revealed increased expression of calprotectin (S100A8/A9) and lipocalin-2 (LCN2) in circulating extracellular vesicles (EVs) of patients with PAD. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of LCN2 and calprotectin for CV risk assessment in PAD. METHODS: LCN2 and the S100A9 subunit of calprotectin were examined in human femoral plaques by immunohistochemistry and qPCR. LCN2 and calprotectin were determined by ELISA in PAD (CHN cohort, n = 331, Fontaine II-IV, serum), and PAD diagnosed by population based screening (VIVA trial, n = 413, the majority Fontaine 0-I, plasma). Patients were followed up for a mean of four years, recording the primary outcomes; CV death or amputation in the CHN cohort and CV death or major lower limb events (MALE) in the VIVA population. Secondary outcomes were all cause death or amputation, and all cause death or MALE, respectively. RESULTS: LCN2 and S100A9 were detected in human plaques in regions rich in inflammatory cells. LCN2 and calprotectin levels were 70% and 64% lower in plasma than in serum. In the CHN cohort, high serum levels of LCN2 and calprotectin increased the risk of primary and secondary outcomes 5.6 fold (p < .001) and 1.8 fold (p = .034), respectively, after covariable adjustment. Similarly, elevated plasma levels of LCN2 and calprotectin increased by three fold the risk of primary and secondary outcomes (p < .001) in the VIVA cohort. Moreover, addition of the combined variable to basal models, considering clinically relevant risk factors, improved reclassification for the primary outcome in both cohorts (p ≤ .024). CONCLUSION: Combined assessment of the inflammatory biomarkers LCN2 and calprotectin might be useful for risk stratification in advanced and early PAD.

Long-Term Thoracic Endovascular Repair Follow-Up from 1999 to 2019: A Single-Center Experience.

BACKGROUND: Thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) was introduced in the early 1990s and long-term follow-up studies are warranted in current guidelines. METHODS: Patients undergoing TEVAR were consecutively included from 1999 to 2019. Thoracic aortic disease includes thoracic aortic aneurysms, aortic dissection, traumatic rupture, penetrating aortic ulcer (PAU), and intramural hematoma (IMH). Our prospective database recorded baseline characteristics, endoleak or aneurysm growth, and death. Patients were included at the time of treatment and censored at death or first reintervention depending on the analysis. Primary end point was all-cause death; secondary end point was reintervention. Survival and failure analyses were done using STATA IC 16.0 and truncated at 15 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifty six patients were included and 63% were men. Their mean age at intervention was 66.2 ± 14.5 years and they were followed for a mean of 5.2 ± 4.5 years. Indications for TEVAR were acute aortic syndrome in 40.6%, chronic aortic disease in 44.5%, and traumatic rupture in 14.8%. Technical success was seen in 94.1% of the operations, and the left subclavian artery was covered in 27.7%. A 30-day mortality rate was 21.2% (22/104) and 1.75% (2/114) (P < 0.001) for urgent and elective patients, respectively. Twelve patients (4.7%) died within 24 hr of treatment. Overall, long-term mortality recorded 112 (43.8%) deaths, 29 patients had reinterventions (11.3 %, 95% confidence interval: 7.7-15.9), and aneurysms accounted for 62.1% of all reinterventions. Twenty four (82.8%) reinterventions occurred within the first 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: This long-term follow-up study shows excess mortality in patients treated for acute aortic syndrome compared to chronic aortic disease, within the first 30 days; this difference diminishes at the end of follow-up. Most endoleaks occur within the first 5 years, although new endoleaks continue to develop decades after in previous endoleak-free patients calling for lifelong surveillance.

Association of cause of uremia with degree of iliac artery calcification.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate whether the cause of uremia is associated with degree of calcification, and to report the proportion excluded from kidney transplantation due to iliac artery calcification. METHOD: We enrolled 306 patients with a pre-transplant computed tomography scan who went through the comprehensive assessment program in 2013-2015. Calcification score was measured for each iliac artery segment and patient records viewed for a variety of variables. Interobserver variation was assessed for 135 paired observations. RESULTS: The patients' mean age was 55.5 years. Of the 306 patients, 133 did not undergo transplantation, and for 21 of these, heavy calcification was the primary explanation for this. External iliac artery calcification was positively associated with male sex, age, systolic blood pressure, diabetes and cardiovascular disease, and differed significantly among the causes of uremia subgroups; the least calcification was seen in patients with autoimmune causes, and the highest in those with diabetic causes. Similarly, the proportion of patients who underwent renal transplantation differed significantly with regard to causes of uremia (ranging from 72.3% for autoimmune disease to 40.6% for diabetic nephropathy). CONCLUSION: The degree of iliac artery calcification differs according to the cause of uremia and influences the likelihood of receiving a kidney transplantation.

Clinical Benefit, Harm, and Cost Effectiveness of Screening Men for Peripheral Artery Disease: A Markov Model Based on the VIVA Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Although screening for peripheral arterial disease (PAD) seems obvious due to its two to three times increased mortality, high prevalence in the elderly, ease of detection, and relatively harmless prevention, the evidence is sparse. METHODS: A Markov decision model was created to model the lifetime effectiveness and cost effectiveness of general population PAD screening and relevant intervention in 65 year old men. The model was informed by original estimates from the VIVA trial data except for ankle brachial systolic blood pressure index test accuracy, quality of life, and background mortality, which were adopted from the literature. A Markov model was designed for 65 year old men, who were distributed in the starting states of no/detected/undetected PAD. The main outcomes were life years, quality adjusted life years, and costs of healthcare. RESULTS: Screening for PAD reduced the rates of amputations and stroke by 10.9% and 2.4%, respectively, while it increased the rates of revascularisation, acute myocardial infarction, and major bleeding by 5.5%, 7.1%, and 4.3% respectively. The overall life expectancy was increased by 14 days per invited subject. The cost per life year/quality adjusted life year was estimated at €16 717/€20 673. On the addition of low dose rivaroxaban reduced the costs per life year gained by 40%. If the model ran for only five follow up years, screening reduced relative mortality by 1.71%, suggesting PAD screening accounts for one fourth of the reported overall 7% relative mortality risk reduction of combined abdominal aortic aneurysm, PAD, and hypertension screening. CONCLUSION: Screening of men for PAD is likely to be both clinically effective and cost effective in a lifetime perspective.

Vitamin K2 Dependent Matrix Gla Protein Relating to Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm and Overall Mortality: A Combined Case Control and Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Inactivation of matrix Gla protein (MGP), using vitamin K antagonists or vitamin K deficiency results in increased vascular calcification, which has been associated with increased risk of symptomatic or ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Insufficient activation of MGP leads to increased levels of undercarboxylated forms of MGP, measured as a dephosphorylated, undercarboxylated MGP (dp-ucMGP) in plasma. This study aimed to investigate whether the level of inactivated MGP influenced the risk of having an AAA, the risk of AAA progression, and overall mortality. METHODS: This combined case control and cohort study was based on data from the randomised, clinically controlled Viborg Vascular (VIVA) screening trial. Cases (n = 487) with an AAA and controls (n = 189) with neither peripheral artery disease nor AAA, had their plasma quantified for dp-ucMGP. Plasma levels were compared with the presence of an AAA, AAA growth rate, need for repair, and overall mortality. dp-ucMGP was divided into tertiles in regression analyses. RESULTS: The plasma levels of dp-ucMGP were higher for AAA cases compared with controls (median of 517 pmol/L vs. 495 pmol/L, p = .036). Adjusted analyses regarding dp-ucMGP being predictive of AAA, AAA growth rate, and need for repair all failed to show correlation. Overall mortality for AAA cases exhibited a significant association for the third tertile of dp-ucMGP with a hazard ratio of 2.55 (95% CI 1.29 - 5.05) compared with the first tertile. Overall mortality for controls was not correlated with dp-ucMGP plasma levels. CONCLUSION: dp-ucMGP did not correlate with the risk of having an AAA, AAA growth rate, or risk of surgery. For people with an AAA, dp-ucMGP was correlated with an increased mortality risk for the highest tertile of dp-ucMGP. This could suggest a role for prophylactic measures with vitamin K2 supplements to people at risk of AAA.

Involving people with type 2 diabetes in facilitating participation in a cardiovascular screening programme.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge is lacking about how to increase uptake among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) invited to preventive initiatives like cardiovascular screening. AIM: To explore how to improve participation of people with T2D in cardiovascular screening using patient and public involvement (PPI). METHODS: Patient and public involvement was included in a qualitative research design. From April to October 2019, we invited 40- to 60-year-old people with T2D (n = 17) to individual consultative meetings, using an interviewing approach. Before the interviews, participants were asked to read a proposed invitation letter to be used in a cardiovascular screening programme. Inductive content analysis was undertaken. RESULTS: Participants considered cardiovascular screening important and beneficial from both a personal and social perspective. We found that the relational interaction between the person with T2D and the health-care professional was key to participation and that nudging captured through the design of the screening programme and the wording of the invitation letter was requested. CONCLUSION: In preventive initiatives perceived as meaningful by the invitee, a focus on recruitment is crucial to facilitate participation. This study contributed with knowledge about how to promote participation by involving health-care professionals in recruitment initiatives and through nudging. This knowledge may assist researchers, policymakers and ethicists' understanding and assessment of the ethical appropriateness and public acceptability of nudging in cardiovascular screening. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: By consulting 17 people with T2D, we are now in a position to suggest how a screening initiative should be altered because tools to improve uptake have been identified.

Retinal Vascular Fractal Dimensions and Their Association with Macrovascular Cardiac Disease.

INTRODUCTION: As the only part of the human vasculature, the retina is available for direct, noninvasive inspection. Retinal vascular fractal dimension (DF) is a method to measure the structure of the retinal vascular tree, with higher noninteger values between 1 and 2 representing a more complex and dense retinal vasculature. Retinal vascular structure has been associated with a variety of systemic diseases, and this study examined the association of DF and macrovascular cardiac disease in a case-control design. METHODS: Retinal fundus photos were captured with Topcon TRC-50X in 38 persons that had coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG, cases) and 37 cardiovascular healthy controls. The semiautomatic software VAMPIRE was used to measure retinal DF. RESULTS: Patients with CABG had lower DF of the retinal main venular vessels compared to the control group (1.15 vs. 1.18, p = 0.01). In a multivariable regression model adjusted for gender and age, eyes in the fourth quartile with higher DF were less likely to have CABG compared to patients in the first (OR, 7.20; 95% confidence interval: 1.63-31.86; p = 0.009) and second (OR, 8.25; 95% confidence interval: 1.70-40.01; p = 0.009) quartiles. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that lower complexity of main venular vessels associates with higher risk of having CABG. The research supports the hypothesis that the retinal vascular structure can be used to assess nonocular macrovascular disease.

Pharmacological Preventive Potential Among Attenders at Vascular Screening: Findings from the VIVA Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Findings from the Viborg Vascular (VIVA) trial show a mortality benefit of multi-faceted vascular screening which was mainly ascribed to the initiation of prophylactic medication. However, the pharmacological preventive potential, which exists when individuals have a positive screening test result and do not already use statins and anti-platelet agents, has not been analysed. The aim of this study was to investigate factors associated with a pharmacological preventive potential of statins and anti-platelet agents among attenders vascular screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and peripheral arterial disease (PAD). METHODS: This cross-sectional study used data from the VIVA trial screening arm including 25 074 men aged 64-75 years recruited between October 2008 and January 2011. Explanatory variables comprised socio-demographic- and socio-economic characteristics, comorbidities, medication use, and travel distance derived from nationwide registries. Outcomes included a positive screening test result, a pharmacological preventive potential, and attendance. Associations between the explanatory variables and the outcomes were investigated using the chi-square test and multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: The factors most likely to be associated with a pharmacological preventive potential for positive AAA screening comprised age >70 years (odds ratio (OR) 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.51), existing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.38-3.57), and use of anti-hypertensives (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09-1.71). For positive PAD screening age >70 years (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.25-1.60), living alone (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.14-1.56), low income, COPD (OR 2.13, 95% CI 159-283), use of anti-hypertensives (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.00-1.29) or anti-diabetics (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.28), and short travel distance were associated with a pharmacological preventive potential. For combined vascular screening, age >70 years, living alone, low income, COPD, and use of anti-hypertensives were associated with a pharmacological preventive potential. Among these subgroups, lower attendance was associated with age >70 years, living alone, low income, COPD, and use of anti-diabetics. CONCLUSION: Future vascular screening programmes might benefit from tailoring information to subgroups who are more likely to benefit from screening but less likely to accept an offer.

Diabetes Is Not Associated with the Risk of Rupture Among Patients with Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms - Results From a Large Danish Register Based Matched Case Control Study From 1996 to 2016.

OBJECTIVE: Numerous studies have shown a paradoxical protective effect of diabetes on the development and progression of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The aim of this study was to investigate whether the protective role of diabetes on AAA extends to rupture, given the presence of an AAA. METHODS: This was a register based case control study. Patients with ruptured AAA (RAAA) were matched 1:1 with patients undergoing elective surgery for AAA by sex, age, and year of diagnosis. Multiple conditional logistic regression was performed to estimate the odds ratio (OR) associating a diagnosis of diabetes with RAAA. No protocol was registered. RESULTS: From 1996 to 2016, there were 6293 potential people with RAAA. A total of 898 people with a RAAA were excluded since no matching controls existed. This left 5 395 cases in the study. The cases had a median age of 75, and 85.4% were men. Diabetes was defined by hospital diagnosis or the redemption of antidiabetic prescriptions within one year. Comparing cases with controls and the presence of diabetes, a significant crude OR of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-0.95) was found. When adjusting for confounders OR increased to 0.97 (CI 0.83-1.14). Stratifying by age and year of diagnosis did not change the results markedly. OR associating RAAA with diabetes was significantly elevated in women (adjusted OR 1.82 [CI 1.17-2.81]). Of the 5395 cases, the overall 30 days mortality was 58% (n = 3145). Using Cox regression, a crude hazard ratio (HR) of 1.06 (CI 0.93-1.22) was found for the 30 day mortality and having diabetes compared with not having diabetes. Adjusting for index year, male sex, and age had little effect on this estimate (HR 1.11 [CI 0.97-1.28]). CONCLUSION: Diabetes was not found to protect against RAAA, given the presence of an AAA. Furthermore, diabetes did not increase the risk of dying within 30 days of RAAA.

Estimated stroke risk, yield, and number needed to screen for atrial fibrillation detected through single time screening: a multicountry patient-level meta-analysis of 141,220 screened individuals.

BACKGROUND: The precise age distribution and calculated stroke risk of screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) is not known. Therefore, it is not possible to determine the number needed to screen (NNS) to identify one treatable new AF case (NNS-Rx) (i.e., Class-1 oral anticoagulation [OAC] treatment recommendation) in each age stratum. If the NNS-Rx is known for each age stratum, precise cost-effectiveness and sensitivity simulations can be performed based on the age distribution of the population/region to be screened. Such calculations are required by national authorities and organisations responsible for health system budgets to determine the best age cutoffs for screening programs and decide whether programs of screening should be funded. Therefore, we aimed to determine the exact yield and calculated stroke-risk profile of screen-detected AF and NNS-Rx in 5-year age strata. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A systematic review of Medline, Pubmed, and Embase was performed (January 2007 to February 2018), and AF-SCREEN international collaboration members were contacted to identify additional studies. Twenty-four eligible studies were identified that performed a single time point screen for AF in a general ambulant population, including people ≥65 years. Authors from eligible studies were invited to collaborate and share patient-level data. Statistical analysis was performed using random effects logistic regression for AF detection rate, and Poisson regression modelling for CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Nineteen studies (14 countries from a mix of low- to middle- and high-income countries) collaborated, with 141,220 participants screened and 1,539 new AF cases. Pooled yield of screening was greater in males across all age strata. The age/sex-adjusted detection rate for screen-detected AF in ≥65-year-olds was 1.44% (95% CI, 1.13%-1.82%) and 0.41% (95% CI, 0.31%-0.53%) for <65-year-olds. New AF detection rate increased progressively with age from 0.34% (<60 years) to 2.73% (≥85 years). Neither the choice of screening methodology or device, the geographical region, nor the screening setting influenced the detection rate of AF. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores (n = 1,369) increased with age from 1.1 (<60 years) to 3.9 (≥85 years); 72% of ≥65 years had ≥1 additional stroke risk factor other than age/sex. All new AF ≥75 years and 66% between 65 and 74 years had a Class-1 OAC recommendation. The NNS-Rx is 83 for ≥65 years, 926 for 60-64 years; and 1,089 for <60 years. The main limitation of this study is there are insufficient data on sociodemographic variables of the populations and possible ascertainment biases to explain the variance in the samples. CONCLUSIONS: People with screen-detected AF are at elevated calculated stroke risk: above age 65, the majority have a Class-1 OAC recommendation for stroke prevention, and >70% have ≥1 additional stroke risk factor other than age/sex. Our data, based on the largest number of screen-detected AF collected to date, show the precise relationship between yield and estimated stroke risk profile with age, and strong dependence for NNS-RX on the age distribution of the population to be screened: essential information for precise cost-effectiveness calculations.