The Role of cfDNA Biomarkers and Patient Data in the Early Prediction of Preeclampsia: Artificial Intelligence Model.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate individualized assessment of preeclampsia risk enables the identification of patients most likely to benefit from initiation of low-dose aspirin at 12-16 weeks' gestation when there is evidence for its effectiveness, as well as guiding appropriate pregnancy care pathways and surveillance. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of artificial neural network models for the prediction of preterm preeclampsia (<37 weeks' gestation) using patient characteristics available at the first antenatal visit and data from prenatal cell-free DNA (cfDNA) screening. Secondary outcomes were prediction of early onset preeclampsia (<34 weeks' gestation) and term preeclampsia (≥37 weeks' gestation). METHODS: This secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational prenatal cfDNA screening study (SMART) included singleton pregnancies with known pregnancy outcomes. Thirteen patient characteristics that are routinely collected at the first prenatal visit and two characteristics of cfDNA, total cfDNA and fetal fraction (FF), were used to develop predictive models for early-onset (<34 weeks), preterm (<37 weeks), and term (≥37 weeks) preeclampsia. For the models, the 'reference' classifier was a shallow logistic regression (LR) model. We also explored several feedforward (non-linear) neural network (NN) architectures with one or more hidden layers and compared their performance with the LR model. We selected a simple NN model built with one hidden layer and made up of 15 units. RESULTS: Of 17,520 participants included in the final analysis, 72 (0.4%) developed early onset, 251 (1.4%) preterm, and 420 (2.4%) term preeclampsia. Median gestational age at cfDNA measurement was 12.6 weeks and 2,155 (12.3%) had their cfDNA measurement at 16 weeks' gestation or greater. Preeclampsia was associated with higher total cfDNA (median 362.3 versus 339.0 copies/ml cfDNA; p<0.001) and lower FF (median 7.5% versus 9.4%; p<0.001). The expected, cross-validated area under the curve (AUC) scores for early onset, preterm, and term preeclampsia were 0.782, 0.801, and 0.712, respectively for the LR model, and 0.797, 0.800, and 0.713, respectively for the NN model. At a screen-positive rate of 15%, sensitivity for preterm preeclampsia was 58.4% (95% CI 0.569, 0.599) for the LR model and 59.3% (95% CI 0.578, 0.608) for the NN model.The contribution of both total cfDNA and FF to the prediction of term and preterm preeclampsia was negligible. For early-onset preeclampsia, removal of the total cfDNA and FF features from the NN model was associated with a 6.9% decrease in sensitivity at a 15% screen positive rate, from 54.9% (95% CI 52.9-56.9) to 48.0% (95% CI 45.0-51.0). CONCLUSION: Routinely available patient characteristics and cfDNA markers can be used to predict preeclampsia with performance comparable to other patient characteristic models for the prediction of preterm preeclampsia. Both LR and NN models showed similar performance.

Performance of prenatal cfDNA screening for sex chromosomes.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to assess the performance of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) screening to detect sex chromosome aneuploidies (SCAs) in an unselected obstetrical population with genetic confirmation. METHODS: This was a planned secondary analysis of the multicenter, prospective SNP-based Microdeletion and Aneuploidy RegisTry (SMART) study. Patients receiving cfDNA results for autosomal aneuploidies and who had confirmatory genetic results for the relevant sex chromosomal aneuploidies were included. Screening performance for SCAs, including monosomy X (MX) and the sex chromosome trisomies (SCT: 47,XXX; 47,XXY; 47,XYY) was determined. Fetal sex concordance between cfDNA and genetic screening was also evaluated in euploid pregnancies. RESULTS: A total of 17,538 cases met inclusion criteria. Performance of cfDNA for MX, SCTs, and fetal sex was determined in 17,297, 10,333, and 14,486 pregnancies, respectively. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value (PPV) of cfDNA were 83.3%, 99.9%, and 22.7% for MX and 70.4%, 99.9%, and 82.6%, respectively, for the combined SCTs. The accuracy of fetal sex prediction by cfDNA was 100%. CONCLUSION: Screening performance of cfDNA for SCAs is comparable to that reported in other studies. The PPV for the SCTs was similar to the autosomal trisomies, whereas the PPV for MX was substantially lower. No discordance in fetal sex was observed between cfDNA and postnatal genetic screening in euploid pregnancies. These data will assist interpretation and counseling for cfDNA results for sex chromosomes.

Obstetrical, perinatal, and genetic outcomes associated with nonreportable prenatal cell-free DNA screening results.

BACKGROUND: The clinical implications of nonreportable cell-free DNA screening results are uncertain, but such results may indicate poor placental implantation in some cases and be associated with adverse obstetrical and perinatal outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the outcomes of pregnancies with nonreportable cell-free DNA screening in a cohort of patients with complete genetic and obstetrical outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prespecified secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study of prenatal cell-free DNA screening for fetal aneuploidy and 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. Participants who underwent cell-free DNA screening from April 2015 through January 2019 were offered participation. Obstetrical outcomes and neonatal genetic testing results were collected from 21 primary-care and referral centers in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The primary outcome was risk for adverse obstetrical and perinatal outcomes (aneuploidy, preterm birth at <28, <34, and <37 weeks' gestation, preeclampsia, small for gestational age or birthweight <10th percentile for gestational week, and a composite outcome that included preterm birth at <37 weeks, preeclampsia, small for gestational age, and stillbirth at >20 weeks) after nonreportable cell-free DNA screening because of low fetal fraction or other causes. Multivariable analyses were performed, adjusting for variables known to be associated with obstetrical and perinatal outcomes, nonreportable results, or fetal fraction. RESULTS: In total, 25,199 pregnant individuals were screened, and 20,194 were enrolled. Genetic confirmation was missing in 1165 (5.8%), 1085 (5.4%) were lost to follow-up, and 93 (0.5%) withdrew; the final study cohort included 17,851 (88.4%) participants who had cell-free DNA, fetal or newborn genetic confirmatory testing, and obstetrical and perinatal outcomes collected. Results were nonreportable in 602 (3.4%) participants. A sample was redrawn and testing attempted again in 427; in 112 (26.2%) participants, results were again nonreportable. Nonreportable results were associated with higher body mass index, chronic hypertension, later gestational age, lower fetal fraction, and Black race. Trisomy 13, 18, or 21 was confirmed in 1.6% with nonreportable tests vs 0.7% with reported results (P=.013). Rates of preterm birth at <28, 34, and 37 weeks, preeclampsia, and the composite outcome were higher among participants with nonreportable results, and further increased among those with a second nonreportable test, whereas the rate of small for gestational age infants was not increased. After adjustment for confounders, the adjusted odds ratios were 2.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-4.4) and 2.6 (95% confidence interval, 0.6-10.8) for aneuploidy, and 1.5 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-1.8) and 2.1 (95% confidence interval, 1.4-3.2) for the composite outcome after a first and second nonreportable test, respectively. Of the patients with nonreportable tests, 94.9% had a live birth, as opposed to 98.8% of those with reported test results (adjusted odds ratio for livebirth, 0.20 [95% confidence interval, 0.13-0.30]). CONCLUSION: Patients with nonreportable cell-free DNA results are at increased risk for a number of adverse outcomes, including aneuploidy, preeclampsia, and preterm birth. They should be offered diagnostic genetic testing, and clinicians should be aware of the increased risk of pregnancy complications.

Impact of high-risk prenatal screening results for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome on obstetric and neonatal management: Secondary analysis from the SMART study.

OBJECTIVE: One goal of prenatal genetic screening is to optimize perinatal care and improve infant outcomes. We sought to determine whether high-risk cfDNA screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (22q11.2DS) affected prenatal or neonatal management. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis from the SMART study. Patients with high-risk cfDNA results for 22q11.2DS were compared with the low-risk cohort for pregnancy characteristics and obstetrical management. To assess differences in neonatal care, we compared high-risk neonates without prenatal genetic confirmation with a 1:1 matched low-risk cohort. RESULTS: Of 18,020 eligible participants enrolled between 2015 and 2019, 38 (0.21%) were high-risk and 17,982 (99.79%) were low-risk for 22q11.2DS by cfDNA screening. High-risk participants had more prenatal diagnostic testing (55.3%; 21/38 vs. 2.0%; 352/17,982, p < 0.001) and fetal echocardiography (76.9%; 10/13 vs. 19.6%; 10/51, p < 0.001). High-risk newborns without prenatal diagnostic testing had higher rates of neonatal genetic testing (46.2%; 6/13 vs. 0%; 0/51, P < 0.001), echocardiography (30.8%; 4/13 vs. 4.0%; 2/50, p = 0.013), evaluation of calcium levels (46.2%; 6/13 vs. 4.1%; 2/49, P < 0.001) and lymphocyte count (53.8%; 7/13 vs. 15.7%; 8/51, p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: High-risk screening results for 22q11.2DS were associated with higher rates of prenatal and neonatal diagnostic genetic testing and other 22q11.2DS-specific evaluations. However, these interventions were not universally performed, and >50% of high-risk infants were discharged without genetic testing, representing possible missed opportunities to improve outcomes for affected individuals.

Cell-free DNA screening for prenatal detection of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Historically, prenatal screening has focused primarily on the detection of fetal aneuploidies. Cell-free DNA now enables noninvasive screening for subchromosomal copy number variants, including 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (or DiGeorge syndrome), which is the most common microdeletion and a leading cause of congenital heart defects and neurodevelopmental delay. Although smaller studies have demonstrated the feasibility of screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome, large cohort studies with confirmatory postnatal testing to assess test performance have not been reported. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the performance of single-nucleotide polymorphism-based, prenatal cell-free DNA screening for detection of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. STUDY DESIGN: Patients who underwent single-nucleotide polymorphism-based prenatal cell-free DNA screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome were prospectively enrolled at 21 centers in 6 countries. Prenatal or newborn DNA samples were requested in all cases for genetic confirmation using chromosomal microarrays. The primary outcome was sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of cell-free DNA screening for the detection of all deletions, including the classical deletion and nested deletions that are ≥500 kb, in the 22q11.2 low-copy repeat A-D region. Secondary outcomes included the prevalence of 22q11.2 deletion syndrome and performance of an updated cell-free DNA algorithm that was evaluated with blinding to the pregnancy outcome. RESULTS: Of the 20,887 women enrolled, a genetic outcome was available for 18,289 (87.6%). A total of 12 22q11.2 deletion syndrome cases were confirmed in the cohort, including 5 (41.7%) nested deletions, yielding a prevalence of 1 in 1524. In the total cohort, cell-free DNA screening identified 17,976 (98.3%) cases as low risk for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome and 38 (0.2%) cases as high risk; 275 (1.5%) cases were nonreportable. Overall, 9 of 12 cases of 22q11.2 were detected, yielding a sensitivity of 75.0% (95% confidence interval, 42.8-94.5); specificity of 99.84% (95% confidence interval, 99.77-99.89); positive predictive value of 23.7% (95% confidence interval, 11.44-40.24), and negative predictive value of 99.98% (95% confidence interval, 99.95-100). None of the cases with a nonreportable result was diagnosed with 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. The updated algorithm detected 10 of 12 cases (83.3%; 95% confidence interval, 51.6-97.9) with a lower false positive rate (0.05% vs 0.16%; P<.001) and a positive predictive value of 52.6% (10/19; 95% confidence interval, 28.9-75.6). CONCLUSION: Noninvasive cell-free DNA prenatal screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome can detect most affected cases, including smaller nested deletions, with a low false positive rate.

Cell-free DNA screening for trisomies 21, 18, and 13 in pregnancies at low and high risk for aneuploidy with genetic confirmation.

BACKGROUND: Cell-free DNA noninvasive prenatal screening for trisomies 21, 18, and 13 has been rapidly adopted into clinical practice. However, previous studies are limited by a lack of follow-up genetic testing to confirm the outcomes and accurately assess test performance, particularly in women at a low risk for aneuploidy. OBJECTIVE: To measure and compare the performance of cell-free DNA screening for trisomies 21, 18, and 13 between women at a low and high risk for aneuploidy in a large, prospective cohort with genetic confirmation of results STUDY DESIGN: This was a multicenter prospective observational study at 21 centers in 6 countries. Women who had single-nucleotide-polymorphism-based cell-free DNA screening for trisomies 21, 18, and 13 were enrolled. Genetic confirmation was obtained from prenatal or newborn DNA samples. The test performance and test failure (no-call) rates were assessed for the cohort, and women with low and high previous risks for aneuploidy were compared. An updated cell-free DNA algorithm blinded to the pregnancy outcome was also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 20,194 women were enrolled at a median gestational age of 12.6 weeks (interquartile range, 11.6-13.9). The genetic outcomes were confirmed in 17,851 cases (88.4%): 13,043 (73.1%) low-risk and 4808 (26.9%) high-risk cases for aneuploidy. Overall, 133 trisomies were diagnosed (100 trisomy 21; 18 trisomy 18; 15 trisomy 13). The cell-free DNA screen positive rate was lower in the low-risk vs the high-risk group (0.27% vs 2.2%; P<.0001). The sensitivity and specificity were similar between the groups. The positive predictive value for the low- and high-risk groups was 85.7% vs 97.5%; P=.058 for trisomy 21; 50.0% vs 81.3%; P=.283 for trisomy 18; and 62.5% vs 83.3; P=.58 for trisomy 13, respectively. Overall, 602 (3.4%) patients had no-call result after the first draw and 287 (1.61%) after including cases with a second draw. The trisomy rate was higher in the 287 cases with no-call results than patients with a result on a first draw (2.8% vs 0.7%; P=.001). The updated algorithm showed similar sensitivity and specificity to the study algorithm with a lower no-call rate. CONCLUSION: In women at a low risk for aneuploidy, single-nucleotide-polymorphism-based cell-free DNA has high sensitivity and specificity, positive predictive value of 85.7% for trisomy 21 and 74.3% for the 3 common trisomies. Patients who receive a no-call result are at an increased risk of aneuploidy and require additional investigation.

Prediction of Cerebral Palsy or Death among Preterm Infants Who Survive the Neonatal Period.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether neonatal morbidities evident by the time of hospital discharge are associated with subsequent cerebral palsy (CP) or death. STUDY DESIGN: This is a secondary analysis of data from a multicenter placebo-controlled trial of magnesium sulfate for the prevention of CP. The association between prespecified intermediate neonatal outcomes (n = 11) and demographic and clinical factors (n = 10) evident by the time of discharge among surviving infants (n = 1889) and the primary outcome of death or moderate/severe CP at age 2 (n = 73) was estimated, and a prediction model was created. RESULTS: Gestational age in weeks at delivery (odds ratio [OR]: 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.83), grade III or IV intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) (OR: 5.3, CI: 2.1-13.1), periventricular leukomalacia (PVL) (OR: 46.4, CI: 20.6-104.6), and male gender (OR: 2.5, CI: 1.4-4.5) were associated with death or moderate/severe CP by age 2. Outcomes not significantly associated with the primary outcome included respiratory distress syndrome, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, seizure, necrotizing enterocolitis, neonatal hypotension, 5-minute Apgar score, sepsis, and retinopathy of prematurity. Using all patients, the receiver operating characteristic curve for the final prediction model had an area under the curve of 0.84 (CI: 0.78-0.89). Using these data, the risk of death or developing CP by age 2 can be calculated for individual surviving infants. CONCLUSION: IVH and PVL were the only neonatal complications evident at discharge that contributed to an individual infant's risk of the long-term outcomes of death or CP by age 2. A model that includes these morbidities, gestational age at delivery, and gender is predictive of subsequent neurologic sequelae. KEY POINTS: · Factors known at hospital discharge are identified which are independently associated with death or CP by age 2.. · A model was created and validated using these findings to counsel parents.. · The risk of death or CP can be calculated at the time of hospital discharge..

Fetal Tachycardia in the Setting of Maternal Intrapartum Fever and Perinatal Morbidity.

OBJECTIVE: The fetal consequences of intrapartum fetal tachycardia with maternal fever or clinical chorioamnionitis are not well studied. We evaluated the association between perinatal morbidity and fetal tachycardia in the setting of intrapartum fever. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a multicenter randomized control trial that enrolled 5,341 healthy laboring nulliparous women ≥36 weeks' gestation. Women with intrapartum fever ≥ 38.0°C (including those meeting criteria for clinical chorioamnionitis) after randomization were included in this analysis. Isolated fetal tachycardia was defined as fetal heart rate (FHR) ≥160 beats per minute for at least 10 minutes in the absence of other FHR abnormalities. FHR abnormalities other than tachycardia were excluded from the analysis. The primary outcome was a perinatal composite (5-minute Apgar's score ≤3, intubation, chest compressions, or mortality). Secondary outcomes included low arterial cord pH (pH < 7.20), base deficit ≥12, and cesarean delivery. RESULTS: A total of 986 (18.5%) of women in the trial developed intrapartum fever, and 728 (13.7%) met criteria to be analyzed; of these, 728 women 336 (46.2%) had maternal-fetal medicine (MFM) reviewer-defined fetal tachycardia, and 349 of the 550 (63.5%) women during the final hour of labor had validated software (PeriCALM) defined fetal tachycardia. After adjusting for confounders, isolated fetal tachycardia was not associated with a significant difference in the composite perinatal outcome (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 3.15 [0.82-12.03]) compared with absence of tachycardia. Fetal tachycardia was associated with higher odds of arterial cord pH <7.2, aOR = 1.48 (1.01-2.17) and of infants with a base deficit ≥ 12, aOR = 2.42 (1.02-5.77), but no significant difference in the odds of cesarean delivery, aOR = 1.33 (0.97-1.82). CONCLUSION: Fetal tachycardia in the setting of intrapartum fever or chorioamnionitis is associated with significantly increased fetal acidemia defined as a pH <7.2 and base excess ≥12 but not with a composite perinatal morbidity. KEY POINTS: · The perinatal outcomes associated with fetal tachycardia in the setting of maternal fever are undefined.. · Fetal tachycardia was not significantly associated with perinatal morbidity although the sample size was limited.. · Fetal tachycardia was associated with an arterial cord pH <7.2 and base deficit of 12 or greater..

Euploid First-Trimester Cystic Hygroma: A More Benign Entity than Previously Thought?

OBJECTIVE: Studies summarizing the outcome of first-trimester septated cystic hygroma are generally based on small studies or from multiple centers with limited ascertainment. We reviewed the natural history of a large cohort of such cases from a single tertiary referral center, with the aim being to establish contemporary outcome data, particularly in the setting of normal karyotype. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study from 2007 to 2017 was conducted at a single tertiary referral prenatal diagnosis center. Data were analyzed from a prospectively collated fetal anomaly database. Search terms were "increased nuchal translucency (NT)," "cystic hygroma," and "septated cystic hygroma." All cases were confirmed to have NT >3 mm with septations. Cases of simple increased NT without septations were excluded. RESULTS: During the study period, over 110,000 pregnancies were delivered at our center, resulting in 410 cases of septated cystic hygroma diagnosed prior to 14 weeks' gestation. Pregnancy outcome was obtained in 99% (405/410) of cases, with detailed pathology outcome available in 92% (378/410). A total of 87% (351/405) underwent invasive prenatal testing, and postnatal chromosome status was established in further 27 cases. A total of 61% (230/378) had abnormal chromosomal status. Of the 39% (148/378) with normal chromosomal status, only 13% (19/148) had a significant structural fetal abnormality, which included 7 cardiac and 12 noncardiac abnormalities. Overall, the perinatal loss was 62% (253/405). The total survival rate in the setting of euploid cystic hygroma without structural abnormality was 84% (108/129). CONCLUSIONS: Counseling regarding outcomes in the setting of first-trimester septated cystic hygroma initially focuses on the strong likelihood of an abnormal karyotype, which occurs in 61% of cases. However, once fetal chromosomal abnormality is excluded, our results demonstrate only a 13% incidence of major structural fetal abnormality, which appears significantly less than previously reported. Normal fetuses have a 77% survival rate. These data represent the largest single-center study of first-trimester cystic hygroma with complete outcome data and therefore will be useful for contemporary patient counseling. Such counseling can be more positive than previously expected, once chromosomal abnormality is first excluded.

The RECIPE study: reducing emergency Caesareans and improving the Primiparous experience: a blinded, prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND: The RECIPE study aims to validate a risk prediction model for intrapartum caesarean delivery which has been developed by our group. The Genesis study was a prospective observational study carried out by the Perinatal Ireland Research Consortium across 7 clinical centres in Ireland between October 2012 and June 2015. Genesis investigated a range of maternal and fetal parameters in a prospective blinded study of 2336 singleton pregnancies between 39 + 0-41 + 0 weeks' gestational age. This resulted in the development of a risk prediction model for Caesarean Delivery in nulliparous women at term. The RECIPE study now proposes to provide external validation of this risk prediction tool. METHODS: In order to externally validate the model, we aim to include a centre which was not involved in the original study. We propose a trial of risk-assignment for intrapartum caesarean amongst nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy between 38 + 0 and 40 + 6 weeks' gestational age who are planning a vaginal birth. Results of the risk prediction tool will be concealed from participants and from midwives and doctors providing labour care.. Participants will be invited for an ultrasound scan and delivery details will be collated postnatally. The principal aim of this study is to externally validate the risk prediction model. This prediction model holds the potential to accurately identify nulliparous women who are likely to achieve an uncomplicated vaginal birth and those at high prospect of requiring an unplanned caesarean delivery. DISCUSSION: Validation of the Genesis prediction model would enable more accurate counselling for women in the antenatal setting regarding their own likelihood of requiring an intrapartum Caesarean section. It would also provide valuable personalised information to women about the anticipated course of their own labour. We believe that this is an issue of national relevance that will impact positively on obstetric practice, and will positively empower women to make considered, personalised choices surrounding labour and delivery.

Sex-Specific Genetic Susceptibility to Adverse Neurodevelopmental Outcome in Offspring of Pregnancies at Risk of Early Preterm Delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate sex-specific genetic susceptibility to adverse neurodevelopmental outcome (ANO, defined as cerebral palsy [CP], mental, or psychomotor delay) at risk for early preterm birth (EPTB, < 32 weeks). STUDY DESIGN: Secondary case-control analysis of a trial of magnesium sulfate (MgSO4) before anticipated EPTB for CP prevention. Cases are infants who died by the age of 1 year or developed ANO. Controls, matched by maternal race and infant sex, were neurodevelopmentally normal survivors. Neonatal DNA was evaluated for 80 polymorphisms in inflammation, coagulation, vasoregulation, excitotoxicity, and oxidative stress pathways using Taqman assays. The primary outcome for this analysis was sex-specific ANO susceptibility. Conditional logistic regression estimated each polymorphism's odds ratio (OR) by sex stratum, adjusting for gestational age, maternal education, and MgSO4-corticosteroid exposures. Holm-Bonferroni corrections, adjusting for multiple comparisons (p < 7.3 × 10-4), accounted for linkage disequilibrium between markers. RESULTS: Analysis included 211 cases (134 males; 77 females) and 213 controls (130 males; 83 females). An interleukin-6 (IL6) polymorphism (rs2069840) was associated with ANO in females (OR: 2.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5-4.7; p = 0.001), but not in males (OR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.5-1.2; p = 0.33). The sex-specific effect difference was significant (p = 7.0 × 10-4) and was unaffected by MgSO4 exposure. No other gene-sex associations were significant. CONCLUSION: An IL6 gene locus may confer susceptibility to ANO in females, but not males, after EPTB.

Use of the Robson Ten Group Classification System to categorise operative vaginal delivery.

BACKGROUND: Operative vaginal delivery (OVD), either vacuum or forceps, can be used to expedite vaginal delivery. While rates of OVD have been reducing worldwide, rates in Ireland remain high. The Robson Ten Group Classification System (TGCS) was originally created to compare rates of caesarean delivery between healthcare units, although no similar system exists for the analysis of OVD. AIMS: We sought to examine rates of OVD using the TGCS in an effort to understand which patient groups make significant contributions to the overall rate of OVD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of all women delivering in a tertiary-level university institution in Dublin, Ireland, from 2007 to 2016. Mode of delivery for all patients was extracted from contemporaneously recorded hospital records. Rates of OVD were analysed according to the TGCS, and the contribution of each group to the overall hospital population was calculated. RESULTS: There were 86 191 deliveries of women in our institution, of which 19.3% (16 673/86 191) had an OVD. Women in Group 1 (singleton, cephalic, nulliparous women at term in spontaneous labour) contributed the most to the overall rate of OVD, accounting for almost half of all OVDs (46.1% (7679/16 673)). Nulliparous women with a singleton, cephalic fetus at term who were induced (Group 2) were more likely to have an OVD than similar patients who laboured spontaneously (Group 1). CONCLUSION: OVD accounts for almost one in five deliveries in our population and is predominately performed in nulliparous women. These groups may be the subject of interventions to lower rates of OVD. The Robson TGCS is a freely available tool to hospitals and birthing centres to facilitate comparison of rates of OVD on local and national levels.

An abnormal cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) is predictive of early childhood delayed neurodevelopment in the setting of fetal growth restriction.

BACKGROUND: Fetal growth restriction accounts for a significant proportion of perinatal morbidity and death. The cerebroplacental ratio is gaining much interest as a useful tool in differentiating the "at-risk" fetus in both fetal growth restriction and appropriate-for-gestational-age pregnancies. The Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Fetal Growth Restriction group has demonstrated previously that the presence of this "brain-sparing" effect is associated significantly with adverse perinatal outcomes in the fetal growth restriction cohort. However, data about neurodevelopment in children from pregnancies that are complicated by fetal growth restriction are sparse and conflicting. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Fetal Growth Restriction NeuroDevelopmental Assessment Study was to determine whether children born after fetal growth-restricted pregnancies are at additional risk of adverse early childhood developmental outcomes compared with children born small for gestational age. The objective of this secondary analysis was to describe the role of cerebroplacental ratio in the prediction of adverse early childhood neurodevelopmental outcome. STUDY DESIGN: Participants were recruited prospectively from the Perinatal Ireland multicenter observational Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Fetal Growth Restriction study cohort. Fetal growth restriction was defined as birthweight <10th percentile with abnormal antenatal umbilical artery Doppler indices. Small for gestational age was defined similarly in the absence of abnormal Doppler indices. Cerebroplacental ratio was calculated with the pulsatility indices of the middle cerebral artery and divided by umbilical artery with an abnormal value <1. Children (n=375) were assessed at 3 years with the use of the Ages and Stages Questionnaire and the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, 3rd edition. Small-for-gestational-age pregnancies with normal Doppler indices were compared with (1) fetal growth-restricted cases with abnormal umbilical artery Doppler and normal cerebroplacental ratio or (2) fetal growth restriction cases with both abnormal umbilical artery and cerebroplacental ratio. Statistical analysis was performed with statistical software via 2-sample t-test with Bonferroni adjustment, and a probability value of .00625 was considered significant. RESULTS: Assessments were performed on 198 small-for-gestational-age children, 136 fetal growth-restricted children with abnormal umbilical artery Doppler images and normal cerebroplacental ratio, and 41 fetal growth-restricted children with both abnormal umbilical artery Doppler and cerebroplacental ratio. At 3 years of age, although there were no differences in head circumference, children who also had an abnormal cerebroplacental ratio had persistently shorter stature (P=.005) and lower weight (P=.18). Children from fetal growth restriction-affected pregnancies demonstrated poorer neurodevelopmental outcome than their small-for-gestational-age counterparts. Fetal growth-restricted pregnancies with an abnormal cerebroplacental ratio had significantly poorer neurologic outcome at 3 years of age across all measured variables. CONCLUSION: We have demonstrated that growth-restricted pregnancies with a cerebroplacental ratio <1 have a significantly increased risk of delayed neurodevelopment at 3 years of age when compared with pregnancies with abnormal umbilical artery Doppler evidence alone. This study further substantiates the benefit of routine assessment of cerebroplacental ratio in fetal growth-restricted pregnancies and for counseling parents regarding the long-term outcome of affected infants.

Evaluation of the Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin on Biochemical and Biophysical Biomarkers for Placental Disease in Low-Risk Pregnancy: Secondary Analysis of a Multicenter RCT.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of aspirin use in low-risk pregnancy on: (1) pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental-like growth factor (PLGF); (2) urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and blood pressure; (3) fetal growth parameters; and (4) placental histopathology. STUDY DESIGN: This secondary analysis from the T rial of low-dose aspirin with an E arly S creening T est for preeclampsia and growth restriction randomized controlled trial was based on low-risk nulliparous women randomized at 11 weeks to (1) aspirin 75 mg; (2) no aspirin; and (3) aspirin based on the preeclampsia Fetal Medicine Foundation screening test. At baseline, women underwent assessment of blood pressure, PAPP-A, PLGF, and ACR, repeated 9 to 10 weeks postaspirin, in addition to fetal growth assessment. Gross and histopathological placental analyses were performed in line with Amsterdam criteria. RESULTS: A total of 445 subjects were included (aspirin n = 163 [36.6%]; no aspirin n = 282 [63.4%]). Although the fetal-to-placental weight ratio was significantly greater in the aspirin group (7.5 [±1.3] vs. 7.3 [±1.4], p = 0.045), as was change in ultrasound assessed estimated fetal weight from second to third trimesters (1,624.5 g [±235.1] vs. 1,606.2 [±189.4], p = 0.042), this was invalidated by the lack of a difference in birth weight. Aspirin did not significantly impact on change in serum or urine preeclampsia biomarkers, maternal blood pressure, or placental histopathology. CONCLUSION: Aspirin use in low-risk pregnancy does not appear to impact on preeclampsia biomarkers, fetal growth, or placental pathology.

The Impact of Aspirin on Ultrasound Markers of Uteroplacental Flow in Low-Risk Pregnancy: Secondary Analysis of a Multicenter RCT.

OBJECTIVE: This article evaluates the effect of low-dose aspirin on uterine artery (UtA) Doppler, placental volume, and vascularization flow indices in low-risk pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: In this secondary analysis of the TEST randomized controlled trial, low-risk nulliparous women were originally randomized at 11 weeks to: (1) routine aspirin 75 mg; (2) no aspirin; and (3) aspirin based upon the preeclampsia Fetal Medicine Foundation screening test. UtA Doppler, three-dimensional (3D) placental volume, and vascularization flow indices were assessed prior to and 6 weeks postaspirin commencement. RESULTS: A total of 546 women were included (aspirin n = 192, no aspirin n = 354). Between first and second trimesters, aspirin use was not associated with a change in UtA Doppler, placental volume, or vascular flow indices. There was no significant difference in the change in UtA Doppler pulsatility index (PI) Z-scores or notching (PI Z-score -0.2 vs. -0.2, p = 0.17), nor was there a significant change in placental volume Z-score and vascular flow indices (volume Z-score change: 0.74 vs. 0.62, p = 0.34). CONCLUSION: Low-dose aspirin commenced at 11 weeks in low-risk women does not appear to improve uterine and placental perfusion or placental volume. Any perceived effect on uteroplacental vasculature is not reflected in changes in placental volume nor uteroplacental flow as assessed by two-dimensional and 3D ultrasound.

Early onset preeclampsia is associated with an elevated mean platelet volume (MPV) and a greater rise in MPV from time of booking compared with pregnant controls: results of the CAPE study.

OBJECTIVE: To characterise Mean platelet volume (MPV) in patients with early onset preeclampsia (EOPE) and unaffected controls from time of first antenatal visit until the postpartum. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective secondary analysis of an observational study in an Irish tertiary referral centre with 9000 deliveries annually. The MPV of 27 women with EOPE was compared to 19 unaffected controls. The inclusion criteria for the disease state was the development of EOPE defined by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guideline, as new onset hypertension presenting after 20 weeks and prior to 34 weeks with significant proteinuria. Between October 2013 and July 2015 we recruited 27 women with EOPE and 19 pregnant controls. Statistical analysis was performed using paired T-test of Mann-Whitney test where appropriate and a P-value <0.05 was deemed significant. RESULTS: At time of diagnosis and late in the third trimester MPV was significantly increased to 9.0 (±0.3) fL in cases of EOPE in comparison to 8.5 (±0.6) fL in normotensive controls (P<0.05). There was no significant difference during the first trimester or postpartum when comparing the MPV in EOPE to controls. CONCLUSION: Despite an increased MPV at time of diagnosis of EOPE this study did not demonstrate a potential use for increased MPV as a first trimester screening tool.

Genetic Variation, Magnesium Sulfate Exposure, and Adverse Neurodevelopmental Outcomes Following Preterm Birth.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of magnesium sulfate (MgSO4) exposure and candidate gene polymorphisms with adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes following preterm birth. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a nested case-control analysis of a randomized trial of maternal MgSO4 before anticipated preterm birth for the prevention of cerebral palsy (CP). Cases were children who died within 1 year of life or were survivors with abnormal neurodevelopment at age 2 years. Controls were race- and sex-matched survivors with normal neurodevelopment. We analyzed 45 candidate gene polymorphisms in inflammation, coagulation, and vascular regulation pathways and their association with (1) psychomotor delay, (2) mental delay, (3) CP, and (4) combined outcome of death/CP. Logistic regression analyses, conditional on maternal race and child sex, and adjusted for treatment group, gestational age at birth and maternal education, were performed. RESULTS: Four hundred and six subjects, 211 cases and 195 controls, were analyzed. The strongest association was for IL6R (rs 4601580) in which each additional copy of the minor allele was associated with an increased risk of psychomotor delay (adjusted odds ratio 3.3; 95% confidence interval, 1.7-6.5; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Candidate gene polymorphisms are associated with death and adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes following preterm birth. MgSO4 may abrogate this genotype association for some loci.

Prediction of cesarean delivery in the term nulliparous woman: results from the prospective, multicenter Genesis study.

BACKGROUND: In contemporary practice many nulliparous women require intervention during childbirth such as operative vaginal delivery or cesarean delivery (CD). Despite the knowledge that the increasing rate of CD is associated with increasing maternal age, obesity and larger infant birthweight, we lack a reliable method to predict the requirement for such potentially hazardous obstetric procedures during labor and delivery. This issue is important, as there are greater rates of morbidity and mortality associated with unplanned CD performed in labor compared with scheduled CDs. A prediction algorithm to identify women at risk of an unplanned CD could help reduced labor associated morbidity. OBJECTIVE: In this primary analysis of the Genesis study, our objective was to prospectively assess the use of prenatally determined, maternal and fetal, anthropomorphic, clinical, and ultrasound features to develop a predictive tool for unplanned CD in the term nulliparous woman, before the onset of labor. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Genesis study recruited 2336 nulliparous women with a vertex presentation between 39+0 and 40+6 weeks' gestation in a prospective multicenter national study to examine predictors of CD. At recruitment, a detailed clinical evaluation and ultrasound assessment were performed. To reduce bias from knowledge of these data potentially influencing mode of delivery, women, midwives, and obstetricians were blinded to the ultrasound data. All hypothetical prenatal risk factors for unplanned CD were assessed as a composite. Multiple logistic regression analysis and mathematical modeling was used to develop a risk evaluation tool for CD in nulliparous women. Continuous predictors were standardized using z scores. RESULTS: From a total enrolled cohort of 2336 nulliparous participants, 491 (21%) had an unplanned CD. Five parameters were determined to be the best combined predictors of CD. These were advancing maternal age (odds ratio [OR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 1.34), shorter maternal height (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.52 to 1.93), increasing body mass index (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.43), larger fetal abdominal circumference (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.38), and larger fetal head circumference (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.42). A nomogram was developed to provide an individualized risk assessment to predict CD in clinical practice, with excellent calibration and discriminative ability (Kolmogorov-Smirnov, D statistic, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.30) with a misclassification rate of 0.21 (95% CI, 0.19 to 0.25). CONCLUSION: Five parameters (maternal age, body mass index, height, fetal abdominal circumference, and fetal head circumference) can, in combination, be used to better determine the overall risk of CD in nulliparous women at term. A risk score can be used to inform women of their individualized probability of CD. This risk tool may be useful for reassuring most women regarding their likely success at achieving an uncomplicated vaginal delivery as well as selecting those patients with such a high risk for CD that they should avoid a trial of labor. Such a risk tool has the potential to greatly improve planning hospital service needs and minimizing patient risk.

Evaluation of normalization of cerebro-placental ratio as a potential predictor for adverse outcome in SGA fetuses.

BACKGROUND: Intrauterine growth restriction accounts for a significant proportion of perinatal morbidity and mortality currently encountered in obstetric practice. The primary goal of antenatal care is the early recognition of such conditions to allow treatment and optimization of both maternal and fetal outcomes. Management of pregnancies complicated by intrauterine growth restriction remains one of the greatest challenges in obstetrics. Frequently, however, clinical evidence of underlying uteroplacental dysfunction may only emerge at a late stage in the disease process. With advanced disease the only therapeutic intervention is delivery of the fetus and placenta. The cerebroplacental ratio is gaining much interest as a useful tool in differentiating the at-risk fetus in both intrauterine growth restriction and the appropriate-for-gestational-age setting. The cerebroplacental ratio quantifies the redistribution of the cardiac output resulting in a brain-sparing effect. The Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Intrauterine Growth Restriction group previously demonstrated that the presence of a brain-sparing effect is significantly associated with an adverse perinatal outcome in the intrauterine growth restriction cohort. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Intrauterine Growth Restriction study was to evaluate the optimal management of fetuses with an estimated fetal weight <10th centile. The objective of this secondary analysis was to evaluate if normalizing cerebroplacental ratio predicts adverse perinatal outcome. STUDY DESIGN: In all, 1116 consecutive singleton pregnancies with intrauterine growth restriction completed the study protocol over 2 years at 7 centers, undergoing serial sonographic evaluation and multivessel Doppler measurement. Cerebroplacental ratio was calculated using the pulsatility and resistance indices of the middle cerebral and umbilical artery. Abnormal cerebroplacental ratio was defined as <1.0. Adverse perinatal outcome was defined as a composite of intraventricular hemorrhage, periventricular leukomalacia, hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, sepsis, and death. RESULTS: Data for cerebroplacental ratio calculation were available in 881 cases, with a mean gestational age of 33 (interquartile range, 28.7-35.9) weeks. Of the 87 cases of abnormal serial cerebroplacental ratio with an initial value <1.0, 52% (n = 45) of cases remained abnormal and 22% of these (n = 10) had an adverse perinatal outcome. The remaining 48% (n = 42) demonstrated normalizing cerebroplacental ratio on serial sonography, and 5% of these (n = 2) had an adverse perinatal outcome. Mean gestation at delivery was 33.4 weeks (n = 45) in the continuing abnormal cerebroplacental ratio group and 36.5 weeks (n = 42) in the normalizing cerebroplacental ratio group (P value <.001). CONCLUSION: The Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in Intrauterine Growth Restriction group previously demonstrated that the presence of a brain-sparing effect was significantly associated with an adverse perinatal outcome in our intrauterine growth restriction cohort. It was hypothesized that a normalizing cerebroplacental ratio would be a further predictor of an adverse outcome due to the loss of this compensatory mechanism. However, in this subanalysis we did not demonstrate an additional poor prognostic effect when the cerebroplacental ratio value returned to a value >1.0. Overall, this secondary analysis demonstrated the importance of a serial abnormal cerebroplacental ratio value of <1 within the <34 weeks' gestation population. Contrary to our proposed hypothesis, we recognize that reversion of an abnormal cerebroplacental ratio to a normal ratio is not associated with a heightened degree of adverse perinatal outcome.

Prenatal prediction of significant intertwin birthweight discordance using standard second and third trimester sonographic parameters.

INTRODUCTION: Our study aim was to evaluate standard ultrasound-derived fetal biometric parameters in the prediction of clinically significant intertwin birthweight discordance defined as ≥18%. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study of 1028 unselected twin pairs recruited over a two-year period. Dichorionic twins underwent two-weekly ultrasonographic surveillance from 24 weeks' gestation, with surveillance of monochorionic twins two-weekly from 16 weeks. Ultrasonographic biometric data from 24 to 36 weeks were evaluated for the prediction of an intertwin birthweight discordance threshold ≥18%. Umbilical artery Doppler waveform data was also analyzed to evaluate whether it was predictive of birthweight discordance. RESULTS: Of the 956 twin pairs analyzed for discordance, 208 pairs were found to have a clinically significant birthweight discordance ≥18%. All biometric parameters were predictive of significant inter-twin birthweight discordance at low cut-offs, with low discriminatory powers when ROC curves were analyzed. Discordance in estimated fetal weight was predictive of a significant birthweight discordance at all gestational categories with cut-offs between 8 and 11%. A low-discriminatory power and poor sensitivity and specificity were also observed. An abnormal umbilical artery Doppler was predictive of birthweight discordance ≥18% between 28 and 32 weeks' gestation, although with poor sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSIONS: Calculation of estimated fetal weight and birthweight discordance between twins allows minimal margin for error. These margins make it difficult to accurately predict those who are at or above the discordance threshold of 18%. These findings highlight that small intertwin discrepancies in weight and biometry should not be overlooked and merit further investigation.