RESUMO
The United States may produce as much as 45% of its electricity using solar energy technology by 2050, which could require more than 40,000 km2 of land to be converted to large-scale solar energy production facilities. Little is known about how such development may impact animal movement. Here, we use five spatially explicit projections of solar energy development through 2050 to assess the extent to which ground-mounted photovoltaic solar energy expansion in the continental United States may impact land-cover and alter areas important for animal movement. Our results suggest that there could be a substantial overlap between solar energy development and land important for animal movement: across projections, 7-17% of total development is expected to occur on land with high value for movement between large protected areas, while 27-33% of total development is expected to occur on land with high value for climate-change-induced migration. We also found substantial variation in the potential overlap of development and land important for movement at the state level. Solar energy development, and the policies that shape it, may align goals for biodiversity and climate change by incorporating the preservation of animal movement as a consideration in the planning process.
Assuntos
Energia Solar , Animais , Estados Unidos , Biodiversidade , Mudança Climática , Eletricidade , Previsões , Ecossistema , Conservação dos Recursos NaturaisRESUMO
SUMMARY: ipcoal is a free and open source Python package for simulating and analyzing genealogies and sequences. It automates the task of describing complex demographic models (e.g. with divergence times, effective population sizes, migration events) to the msprime coalescent simulator by parsing a user-supplied species tree or network. Genealogies, sequences and metadata are returned in tabular format allowing for easy downstream analyses. ipcoal includes phylogenetic inference tools to automate gene tree inference from simulated sequence data, and visualization tools for analyzing results and verifying model accuracy. The ipcoal package is a powerful tool for posterior predictive data analysis, for methods validation and for teaching coalescent methods in an interactive and visual environment. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Source code is available from the GitHub repository (https://github.com/pmckenz1/ipcoal/) and is distributed for packaged installation with conda. Complete documentation and interactive notebooks prepared for teaching purposes, including an empirical example, are available at https://ipcoal.readthedocs.io/. CONTACT: p.mckenzie@columbia.edu.
Assuntos
Metadados , Software , Documentação , FilogeniaRESUMO
Open space areas protected by local communities may augment larger scale preservation efforts and may offer overlooked benefits to biodiversity conservation provided they are in suitable ecological condition. We examine protected areas established by local communities through ballot initiatives, a form of direct democracy, in California, USA. We compare ecological conditions of wooded habitats on local ballot protected sites and on sites protected by a state-level conservation agency. Collectively, we found few differences in ecological conditions on each protected area type. Ballot sites had greater invasive understory cover and larger trees. Community dissimilarity patterns suggested ballot sites protect a complementary set of tree species to those on state lands. Overall, geographic characteristics influenced onsite conditions more than details of how sites were protected. Thus, community-driven conservation efforts contribute to protected area networks by augmenting protection of some species while providing at least some protection to others that might otherwise be missed.