Second-line treatment in the Malawi antiretroviral programme: high early mortality, but good outcomes in survivors, despite extensive drug resistance at baseline.

OBJECTIVES: The Malawi antiretroviral therapy (ART) programme uses the public health approach to identify ART failure. Advanced disease progression may occur before switching to second-line ART. We report outcomes for patients evaluated and initiated on second-line treatment in Malawi. METHODS: Patients meeting Malawi immunological or clinical criteria for ART failure in two large urban ART clinics were evaluated for virological failure (viral load >400 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) and, if failure was confirmed, initiated on second-line ART (zidovudine/lamivudine/tenofovir/lopinavir/ritonavir). Patients were seen monthly and laboratory evaluations were performed quarterly and as needed. We performed logistic regression modelling to identify factors associated with mortality, mortality or new HIV illnesses, and virological suppression at 12 months. RESULTS: Of the 109 patients with confirmed virological failure, five patients died prior to initiation, three declined switching and 101 patients initiated second-line treatment. Over 12 months, 10 additional patients died, 34 patients experienced 45 HIV-related events, and 19 patients experienced grade 3 or 4 toxicities. Among survivors, 85.2% had HIV-1 RNA<400 copies/mL at 12 months. While power to distinguish differences was limited, response rates were similar regardless of baseline resistance level. The median CD4 count increase was 142 cells/microL. World Health Organization clinical failure at baseline [odds ratio (OR) 3.47; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-10.59] and body mass index <18.5 (OR 4.43; 95% CI 1.15-17.12) were risk factors for death. Baseline CD4 count <50 cells/microL was associated with increased risk for death or morbidity at 12 months (OR 2.57; 95% CI 1.01-6.52). CONCLUSIONS: Second-line treatment in Malawi was associated with substantial mortality, morbidity and toxicity but, among survivors, virological outcomes were favourable.

Impact of changing diagnostic criteria for smear-positive tuberculosis: a cohort study in Malawi.

We assessed the impact on measured burden and outcomes of the revised World Health Organization and Malawi guidelines reclassifying people with single (including 'scanty') positive smears as smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases. In a retrospective cohort in rural Malawi, 567 (34%) of 1670 smear-positive episodes were based on single positive smears (including 176 with scanty smears). Mortality rates and the proportion starting treatment were similar in those with two positive smears or single, non-scanty smears. Those with single scanty smears had higher mortality and a lower proportion starting treatment. The reclassification will increase the reported burden substantially, but should improve treatment access.

Favourable one-year ART outcomes in adult Malawians with hepatitis B and C co-infection.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the impact of chronic hepatitis B and C infection on antiretroviral therapy (ART) outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa. Hepatotoxicity may be a particular concern in co-infected patients taking nevirapine-stavudine-lamivudine. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 300 Malawian adults starting ART and describe one-year ART outcomes according to viral hepatitis status. RESULTS: At baseline, patients had advanced HIV disease (29.3% were in WHO stage 4; mean CD4 = 157 cells/microL; mean log(10)HIV-1 RNA = 5.24 copies/ml). Co-infection with hepatitis B, C and B + C were present in 6.7%, 5.7% and 1.7% respectively. At 50 weeks, all-cause mortality was 43 (14.3%). Sixteen (5.3%) had transferred to another unit. Eight (2.7%) were lost to follow up. Sixteen (5.3%) had stopped ART. 217 (72.3%) were alive on ART, of whom 82.5% had an HIV-1 RNA <400 copies/ml at week 50. During the first 50 weeks of ART, severe hepatotoxicity (liver enzyme values >5 times upper level of normal) occurred in 9%, but did not result in any ART discontinuations. Clinical hepatitis or jaundice was not observed. There were no significant differences in occurrence of hepatotoxicity, other side effects, mortality, severe morbidity, immune reconstitution or virological failure between hepatitis B and/or C co-infected patients and those who were not. Viral hepatitis co-infection was not associated with severe hepatotoxicity, mortality, severe morbidity or virological failure in multivariate analyses. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that screening for viral hepatitis B and C and liver enzyme monitoring may not require high priority in ART programmes in sub-Saharan Africa.