Three monthly doses of palivizumab are not adequate for 5-month protection: a population pharmacokinetic analysis.

Recent guidelines in British Columbia, Canada have suggested that the use of a maximum of 3 monthly doses of palivizumab 15 mg/kg intramuscularly for RSV immunoprophylaxis of high risk infants born prior to the RSV season is adequate to provide protection against severe RSV disease for a 5-month RSV season. Efficacy was established, however, with 2 large, randomized controlled clinical studies using 5 monthly doses of immunoprophylaxis. To evaluate the differences in expected palivizumab exposures between the 2 dosing regimens (3 vs 5 monthly doses across a 5-month period), we used a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model that was developed using palivizumab PK data collected from 22 clinical studies with a total of 1800 subjects. This model adequately described observed palivizumab concentrations from the different pediatric studies and was subsequently used to simulate expected palivizumab serum concentrations for 3 monthly doses compared with 5 monthly doses in children younger than 24 months with chronic lung disease of prematurity and infants younger than 6 months postnatal age who were born at ≤ 35 weeks gestational age. Results from the population PK model indicated lower serum concentrations of palivizumab during the fourth and fifth months, after an abbreviated 3-monthly-dose regimen when compared with the mean trough concentrations seen with the 5-monthly-dose regimen studied in the pivotal clinical trials in premature infants. Specifically, during the fourth and fifth months, 52% and 85%, respectively, would have levels below the lowest concentration (fifth percentile) in those receiving the 5-monthly-dose regimen. Simulations using this model did not support a 3-monthly-dose regimen to protect against severe RSV disease during the typical 5-month season.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Elagolix in Combination with Low-Dose Estradiol/Norethindrone Acetate in Women with Uterine Fibroids.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Elagolix is an orally active, gonadotropin-releasing hormone receptor antagonist approved for the management of endometriosis-associated pain and heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids. Elagolix population pharmacokinetics and factors affecting elagolix exposure in healthy women and women with endometriosis have been reported previously. The purpose of this study was to extend the population pharmacokinetics model with additional modifications to incorporate data from phase III studies of elagolix with hormonal add-back therapy in women with uterine fibroids. METHODS: Data from 13 clinical studies (a total of 2168 women) consisting of six phase I studies in healthy premenopausal women, four phase III studies in premenopausal women with endometriosis, and three phase III studies in premenopausal women with uterine fibroids were analyzed using a non-linear mixed-effects modeling approach. RESULTS: Elagolix population pharmacokinetics was best described by a two-compartment model with first-order absorption, lag time in absorption, and first-order elimination. Out of the covariates tested on elagolix apparent clearance, apparent volume of distribution, and/or relative bioavailability, only organic anion transporting polypeptide 1B1 genotype status and body weight had a statistically significant but no clinically meaningful effect on elagolix relative bioavailability and apparent volume of distribution, respectively. There were no clinically meaningful differences in elagolix population pharmacokinetics in healthy women or women with endometriosis or uterine fibroids. CONCLUSIONS: Elagolix population pharmacokinetics modeling did not reveal any patient-related factors or clinical parameters that would require dose adjustments for the approved dosage of 300 mg twice daily with estradiol 1 mg /norethindrone acetate 0.5 mg daily, in women with heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: NCT01620528 (EM-1), NCT01760954 (EM-1-Extend), NCT01931670 (EM-2), NCT02143713 (EM-2-Extend), NCT02654054 (UF-1), NCT02691494 (UF-2), NCT0295494 (UF-Extend).

Integrating real-world data and modeling to project changes in femoral neck bone mineral density and fracture risk in premenopausal women.

Decline of bone mineral density (BMD) during menopause is related to increased risk of fractures in postmenopausal women, however, this relationship in premenopausal women has not been established. To quantify this relationship, real-world data (RWD) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), and longitudinal data from the elagolix phase III clinical trials were modeled across a wide age range, and covariates were evaluated. The natural changes in femoral neck BMD (FN-BMD) were well-described by a bi-exponential relationship with first-order BMD formation (k1 ) and resorption (k2 ) rate constants. Body mass index (BMI) and race (i.e., Black) were significant predictors indicating that patients with high BMI or Black race experience a relatively lower BMD loss. Simulations suggest that untreated premenopausal women with uterine fibroids (UFs) from elagolix phase III clinical trials (median age 43 years [minimum 25-maximum 53]) lose 0.6% FN-BMD each year up to menopausal age. For clinical relevance, the epidemiological FRAX model was informed by the simulation results to predict the 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture (MOF). Premenopausal women with UFs, who received placebo only in the elagolix phase III trials, have a projected FN-BMD of 0.975 g/cm2 at menopause, associated with a 10-year risk of MOF of 2.3%. Integration of modeling, RWD, and clinical trials data provides a quantitative framework for projecting long-term postmenopausal risk of fractures, based on natural history of BMD changes in premenopausal women. This framework enables quantitative evaluation of the future risk of MOF for women receiving medical therapies (i.e., GnRH modulators) that adversely affect BMD.

Validation of a quantitative systems pharmacology model of calcium homeostasis using elagolix Phase 3 clinical trial data in women with endometriosis.

Elagolix is a novel, oral gonadotropin-releasing hormone receptor antagonist indicated for the management of moderate to severe pain associated with endometriosis and heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids. Consistent with its mechanism of action, elagolix exhibited dose-dependent suppression of estradiol (E2) in clinical studies. A dose-response model that describes the relationship between elagolix dosages and average E2 levels was combined with a previously published quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) model of calcium homeostasis to predict bone mineral density (BMD) changes during and following elagolix treatment. In the QSP model, changes in E2 levels were linked to downstream changes in markers of bone resorption (carboxyterminal cross-linked telopeptide of type 1 collagen [CTX]), formation (N-terminal propeptide of type 1 procollagen [P1NP]) and BMD. The BMD, CTX, and P1NP predictions by the QSP model were validated against observed data from four phase III clinical trials of elagolix in premenopausal women with endometriosis. BMD, CTX, and P1NP were successfully described by the QSP model, without any model fitting, suggesting that the model was validated for further predictions of elagolix effects on BMD. Simulations using the validated QSP model demonstrated that elagolix 150 mg once daily dosing for 24 months is predicted to result in -0.91% change from baseline in lumbar spine BMD. The QSP model simulation results were part of the totality of evidence to support the approved duration of therapy for elagolix 150 mg once daily in patients with endometriosis.

Effect of Elagolix Exposure on Clinical Efficacy End Points in Phase III Trials in Women With Endometriosis-Associated Pain: An Application of Markov Model.

Elagolix is an oral gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the management of moderate-to-severe pain associated with endometriosis and in combination with estradiol/norethindrone acetate approved for the management of heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine leiomyomas (fibroids) in premenopausal women. The objective of this work was to characterize the relationships between elagolix exposures and clinical efficacy response rates for dysmenorrhea (DYS) and nonmenstrual pelvic pain (NMPP) in premenopausal women enrolled in the pivotal phase III studies with moderate-to-severe pain associated with endometriosis. Relationships between elagolix average concentrations (Cavg ) and efficacy responses (DYS and NMPP) were characterized using a nonlinear mixed-effects discrete-time first order Markov modeling approach. Only age was statistically significant for NMPP but not considered clinically relevant. This work indicates that the selection of elagolix dose is not determined based on tested patient demographics, baseline, or endometriosis disease severity measures in covariate analysis. In other words, the work suggests no preference of one regimen over the other to treat endometriosis-associated pain (DYS or NMPP) for any patient subpopulation based on tested covariate groups.

Exposure-Response Analyses of Upadacitinib Efficacy and Safety in Phase II and III Studies to Support Benefit-Risk Assessment in Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Exposure-response analyses of upadacitinib (UPA) key efficacy and safety end points (3,685 and 4,577 subjects for efficacy and safety, respectively) using data from phase II and phase III rheumatoid arthritis (RA) studies were conducted to support benefit-risk assessment. Percentage of subjects achieving American College of Rheumatology (ACR)20/50/70, disease activity score 28 (C-reactive protein) (DAS28-CRP) ≤ 3.2, and DAS28-CRP < 2.6 increased with increasing UPA plasma exposures. With the small number of observed safety events, no clear trends for exposure-response relationships were identified for pneumonia, herpes zoster infection, changes in platelet count, lymphopenia (Grade ≥ 4), or neutropenia (Grade ≥ 3) up to Week 26. Shallow exposure-response relationships were observed for > 2 g/dL decrease in hemoglobin, lymphopenia Grade ≥ 3 at Week 12/14, and serious infections at Week 24/26. Exposure-efficacy analyses demonstrate that UPA 15 mg q.d. (once daily) dose provided the optimal benefit-risk in RA through maximizing efficacy with only small incremental benefit with 30 mg q.d.; and with consistency across RA subpopulations and with UPA monotherapy or combination with conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs.

Exposure-Safety Analyses Identify Predictors of Change in Bone Mineral Density and Support Elagolix Labeling for Endometriosis-Associated Pain.

Elagolix is a novel oral gonadotropin releasing hormone receptor antagonist, that can suppress estradiol in a dose-dependent manner. It is indicated for management of moderate-to-severe pain associated with endometriosis. A population exposure-response model describing the relationship between elagolix exposure and changes in bone mineral density (BMD) was developed using data from four phase III studies in premenopausal women with endometriosis-associated pain. Elagolix pharmacokinetic exposure-dependent changes in BMD were described by an indirect-response maximum effect (Emax ) model through stimulation of bone resorption. African American race, higher body mass index (BMI), and lower type-I collagen C-telopeptide concentrations were significantly associated with higher baseline BMD. Higher BMI was significantly associated with higher bone formation rates. Simulations using the final model demonstrated that elagolix 150 mg q.d. dosing for 24 months is predicted to result in -1.45% (-2.04 to -0.814) decrease from baseline in BMD and were used to support corresponding dosing recommendations in the label.

Clinical Pharmacology of Elagolix: An Oral Gonadotropin-Releasing Hormone Receptor Antagonist for Endometriosis.

The clinical pharmacology of elagolix was extensively evaluated in clinical studies in healthy subjects and in women with endometriosis. Elagolix pharmacokinetics (PK) show significant population variability, however they are minimally affected by patients' baseline characteristics and demographics, except for clinically relevant extrinsic and intrinsic factors such as coadministrated strong organic anion transporting polypeptide (OATP) 1B1 inhibitors and severe hepatic impairment, which are contraindications for the use of elagolix. These studies enabled a comprehensive understanding of elagolix mechanism of action and the downstream pharmacodynamic (PD) effects on gonadotropin and ovarian hormones, as well as full characterization of the PK/PD (PKPD) relationships of elagolix at various dosages, including the approved 150 mg once daily and 200 mg twice daily dosing regimens for the management of moderate to severe pain associated with endometriosis. Several model-based analyses have contributed to understanding of the benefit-risk profile of elagolix in patients with endometriosis, through characterization of the exposure relationship with responder rates, with changes in bone mineral density over time, as well as the interaction with coadministered drugs. Collectively, these studies and analyses served as supportive evidence for the effectiveness of the approved dosages and provided general dosing instructions of the first approved oral gonadotropin-releasing hormone receptor antagonist.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Upadacitinib Using the Immediate-Release and Extended-Release Formulations in Healthy Subjects and Subjects with Rheumatoid Arthritis: Analyses of Phase I-III Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Upadacitinib is a selective Janus kinase (JAK) 1 inhibitor being developed as an orally administered treatment for patients with moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and other autoimmune disorders. These analyses characterized the population pharmacokinetics of upadacitinib across phase I-III clinical trials using data for immediate-release (IR) and extended-release (ER) formulations. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic data from 4170 subjects taking IR doses of 1-48 mg and ER doses of 7.5-30 mg across 12 studies spanning phase I-III clinical trials, with a total of 29,372 upadacitinib plasma concentrations, were analyzed using non-linear mixed-effects modeling. The model was evaluated using bootstrap analyses and visual predictive checks. RESULTS: A two-compartment model with first-order absorption with lag time for the IR formulation, mixed zero- and first-order absorption with lag time for the ER formulation, and linear elimination, adequately described upadacitinib plasma concentration-time profiles. Population estimates of upadacitinib apparent oral clearance and steady-state volume of distribution in healthy volunteers for the ER formulation were 53.7 L/h and 294 L, respectively. The relative bioavailability of the ER formulation compared with the IR formulation was estimated to be 76.2%. Statistically significant covariates were patient population (RA subjects vs. healthy subjects), creatinine clearance, and baseline bodyweight on apparent clearance (CL/F) and bodyweight on volume of distribution of the central compartment (Vc/F). The intersubject variability for upadacitinib CL/F and Vc/F were estimated to be 21% and 24%, respectively, in the phase I studies, and 37% and 53%, respectively, in the phase II/III studies. Upadacitinib area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) was estimated to be only 5% higher or lower for RA patients who were < 60 or > 100 kg, respectively, relative to subjects with a bodyweight of 60-100 kg. RA subjects with mild or moderate renal impairment had 13% and 26% higher AUC, respectively, compared with RA subjects with normal renal function. Sex, race, concomitant use of pH-modifying drugs, moderate cytochrome P450 3A inhibitors, or methotrexate use had no effect on upadacitinib exposure. CONCLUSIONS: A robust population pharmacokinetic model was developed for upadacitinib using a large dataset from phase I-III clinical trials in healthy volunteers and subjects with RA. None of the identified covariates had a clinically meaningful effect on upadacitinib exposures. The model is appropriate to use for simulations and to evaluate the exposure-response relationship of upadacitinib.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Elagolix in Healthy Women and Women with Endometriosis.

INTRODUCTION: Elagolix is a novel, orally active, non-peptide, competitive gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) receptor antagonist in development for the management of endometriosis with associated pain and heavy menstrual bleeding due to uterine fibroids. The pharmacokinetics of elagolix have been well-characterized in phase I studies; however, elagolix population pharmacokinetics have not been previously reported. Therefore, a robust model was developed to describe elagolix population pharmacokinetics and to evaluate factors affecting elagolix pharmacokinetic parameters. METHODS: The data from nine clinical studies (a total of 1624 women) were included in the analysis: five phase I studies in healthy, premenopausal women and four phase III studies in premenopausal women with endometriosis. RESULTS: Elagolix population pharmacokinetics were best described by a two-compartment model with a lag time in absorption. Of the 15 covariates tested for effect on elagolix apparent clearance (CL/F) and/or volume of distribution only one covariate, organic anion transporting polypeptide (OATP) 1B1 genotype status, had a statistically significant, but not clinically meaningful, effect on elagolix CL/F. CONCLUSION: Elagolix pharmacokinetics were not affected by patient demographics and were similar between healthy women and women with endometriosis. Clinical Trial Registration Numbers NCT01403038, NCT01620528, NCT01760954, NCT01931670, NCT02143713.

Population Pharmacokinetics and Immunogenicity of Adalimumab in Adult Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Hidradenitis Suppurativa.

INTRODUCTION: Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is a serious, debilitating, chronic inflammatory skin disease. Adalimumab is a fully human, immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody specific for tumor necrosis factor-alpha recently approved for use in patients with HS. The aim of this study is to describe the population pharmacokinetics and immunogenicity of adalimumab in adult patients with HS. METHODS: Data from one phase II and two phase III studies were included in the analysis. Serial serum adalimumab concentrations and anti-adalimumab antibody (AAA) development status were used to develop the population pharmacokinetic model. The population pharmacokinetic analysis involved evaluating the effects of potential covariates on adalimumab pharmacokinetics. RESULTS: Mean serum adalimumab concentrations after 40-mg weekly dosing reached steady state (10-12 µg/mL in the phase II study and 7 µg/mL in the phase III studies) by week 2 and were maintained through week 12. The percentage of patients testing positive for AAA was low (10% in the phase II study and 7% in the phase III studies). Adalimumab pharmacokinetics was described by a one-compartment model with first-order absorption. Significant covariates for clearance included the presence of AAA, baseline C-reactive protein, and baseline body weight. CONCLUSIONS: Adalimumab pharmacokinetics in HS patients was described using a one-compartment model with weight, baseline C-reactive protein, and AAA affecting adalimumab exposure. AAA development results in decreased adalimumab concentrations with a potential decrease in efficacy. Serum adalimumab concentrations in HS patients receiving 40-mg weekly dosing were similar to those observed in other indications under approved dosing regimens.

Efficacy, pharmacokinetic, and safety assessment of adalimumab, a fully human anti-tumor necrosis factor-alpha monoclonal antibody, in adults with rheumatoid arthritis receiving concomitant methotrexate: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Because traditional therapies for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) such as methotrexate (MTX) do not produce an adequate response in many patients, newer therapies that block the proinflammatory cytokine tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) are increasingly being used in combination with MTX. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the efficacy, pharmacokinetics, and safety profile of adalimumab, a fully human anti-TNF alpha monoclonal antibody, when added to continuing MTX therapy. METHODS: This Phase I, randomized, dose-titration study consisted of a 4-week, double-blind, placebo-controlled treatment phase and a 26-month, open-label continuation phase. Patients with RA who had been taking stable doses of MTX (mean dose, 17 mg/wk) for > or =3 months before enrollment with an inadequate response were randomly assigned to receive 2 single doses of either adalimumab 0.25, 0.5, 1, 3, or 5 mg/kg i.v. or placebo in the double-blind phase. In the open-label phase, patients received treatment with 1 of the doses of adalimumab every other week or monthly for 18 months; patients were then switched to adalimumab 40 mg i.v. or SC every other week or monthly. The main efficacy end point was 20% improvement in American College of Rheumatology response criteria (ACR20). Other efficacy end points included 50% (ACR50) and 70% improvements in ACR response criteria. Pharmacokinetic parameters were analyzed for adalimumab and MTX during both phases of the study. Serum adalimumab concentrations were analyzed using a validated enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay relying on the double-antigen principle. Peak and trough concentrations were determined from observed concentration-time data, and a modeling approach was used to estimate total serum clearance, mean apparent terminal half-life, apparent volume of distribution at steady state, and area under the concentration-time curve. RESULTS: Sixty patients entered the double-blind phase, 45 receiving adalimumab and 15 receiving placebo; 1 placebo recipient chose not to continue into the open-label phase. Overall, the study population included 47 (78.3%) women and 13 (21.7%) men. The mean age was 52.9 years (range, 24-73 years), and the mean body weight was 69.7 kg (range, 43-98 kg). ACR20 and ACR50 responses were achieved on at least 1 assessment during the 4-week double-blind phase by a respective 29 (64.4%) and 11 (24.4%) of 45 patients receiving active treatment and by 4 (26.7%) and none of the 15 patients receiving placebo. Responses to adalimumab were rapid, with 10 (22.2%) of 45 patients achieving an ACR20 response within 24 hours of dosing. Of 29 adalimumab recipients who had an ACR20 response, 18 (62.1%) had a duration of response (time from first occurrence of a response to first occurrence of a nonresponse) of 1 to 2 weeks, and 11 (37.9%) had a duration of response of 3 to 13 weeks. The pharmacokinetic properties of adalimumab appeared to be linear. The mean apparent terminal half-life after a single intravenous dose of adalimumab ranged from 15 to 19 days in the 5 dose groups. Repeated administration of adalimumab had no statistically significant effect on the pharmacokinetics of MTX, indicating that dose adjustment of MTX is not necessary. Adalimumab was well tolerated, and there were no dose-related adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with active RA who had not had an adequate response to MTX, addition of adalimumab to MTX achieved statistically significant, long-term improvement compared with placebo plus MTX (P < or = 0.05), as indicated by ACR responses at 26 months. The combination was well tolerated. Adalimumab exhibited linear pharmacokinetics. In this selected patient population, adalimumab's long half-life of 15 to 19 days supports every-other-week dosing. Coadministration of adalimumab did not alter serum levels of MTX.

Mechanism-based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic meta-analysis of navitoclax (ABT-263) induced thrombocytopenia.

OBJECTIVE: Navitoclax is a first-in-class, orally bioavailable, targeted Bcl-2 family protein inhibitor and promotes apoptosis. Thrombocytopenia is a primary dose-limiting toxicity of navitoclax which exhibited a distinct time profile in circulating platelets from that caused by traditional chemotherapies. A population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model was developed to describe the pharmacokinetic of navitoclax as well as the time course of the platelet counts in cancer patients receiving navitoclax. METHODS: Data from 256 patients who received oral navitoclax (dose range 10-475 mg) as a 14/21-day schedule or a continuous once daily (QD) schedule were used to construct the model using NONMEM. The PK model was a two-compartmental model with a lag-time and a transit compartment in absorption. The PD model was a semi-physiological model that comprised a progenitor cell compartment, three transition compartments representing the maturation chain in the bone marrow and a peripheral blood compartment. Compared with the previously published models, the model established in this analysis applied a different feedback mechanism and introduced a new concept of progenitor cell "pool", which describes a large pool of platelet progenitor cells at the beginning of navitoclax treatment. RESULTS: The PD model was able to describe a slight downward trend of platelet counts over the long-term navitoclax treatment as observed in around 8 % of the patients and the initial drop in platelets seen in our Phase 1/2a studies. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a new semi-physiological platelet model for describing fast drop of platelets after initial navitoclax administration and long-term decline of platelets after continuous administration of navitoclax.

Exposure-clinical response analysis of paricalcitol in patients with chronic kidney disease (stage 5) on hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis.

Paricalcitol injection and capsules are approved for the prevention and treatment of secondary hyperparathyroidism. Exposure-response analyses were performed to describe paricalcitol pharmacokinetics and the relationship to clinical responses (intact parathyroid hormone [iPTH], serum calcium, and phosphorus) following administration of paricalcitol capsules or injection to patients with chronic kidney disease (stage 5). Paricalcitol pharmacokinetics were similar following intravenous and oral administration with mean oral clearance of 1.75 L/h and bioavailability of 75.1%. Exposure-clinical response was best described by an indirect effects model where serum iPTH, calcium, and phosphorus production rates were directly affected by paricalcitol. Significant covariates in the response model included screening iPTH, calcium, and phosphorus on their corresponding synthesis rates; age on iPTH EC(50); and bone-specific alkaline phosphatase on calcium EC(50) (CRIT). This exposure-response model was used in extensive clinical trial simulations to assess alternative dose regimens for CKD stage 5 patients.