Efficacy and Safety of Edoxaban in Anticoagulant Therapy Early After Surgical Bioprosthetic Valve Replacement: Rationale and Design of the ENBALV Trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Anticoagulant therapy with vitamin K antagonists is recommended within 3 to 6 months after bioprosthetic valve replacement to prevent thromboembolic events. However, data regarding whether direct oral anticoagulants can be an alternative to warfarin in such patients are limited. The purpose of this study is to compare the efficacy and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin within 3 months after bioprosthetic valve replacement. METHODS: The ENBALV trial is an investigator-initiated, phase 3, randomized, open-label, multicenter study. It involves patients aged 18 to 85 years undergoing bioprosthetic valve replacement at the aortic and/or mitral position. They are randomized 1:1 to receive either edoxaban or warfarin. Administration of edoxaban or warfarin is to be continued for 12 weeks after surgery. The primary outcome is the occurrence rate of stroke or systemic embolism at 12 weeks after surgery. The net clinical outcome is a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or major bleeding, which is included in the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: The ENBALV trial demonstrates the efficacy and safety of edoxaban compared with warfarin in patients early after bioprosthetic valve replacement, including patients with sinus rhythm, which will bring a significant benefit to patients in clinical practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT) 2051210209. 30 Mar 2022 https://jrct.niph.go.jp/latest-detail/jRCT2051210209 .

Effect of cyborg-type robot Hybrid Assistive Limb on patients with severe walking disability in acute stroke: A randomized controlled study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether early gait training using Hybrid Assistive Limb (HAL) is feasible and improves walking and independency compared with conventional physical therapy (CPT) in patients with severe walking disability after stroke. METHODS: We conducted a single-center, randomized controlled study. Patients with first-ever stroke who had severe walking disability were included. All patients started gait training within 10 days post-stroke onset. Twenty-four patients were randomly assigned into HAL or CPT groups. Outcome measures were collected at three time points, at baseline, completion of 20 sessions of gait training (second assessment), and 3 months after the initiation of gait training. The primary outcomes were changes in motor sub-scores of the Functional Independence Measure or Functional Ambulation Category at the completion of the second assessment from baseline. RESULTS: Twenty-two patients (median age, 68 years; 12 patients in the HAL group and 10 patients in the CPT group) completed the study. There were no significant differences in primary outcomes. Apathy scale, one of the secondary outcomes, showed a decreasing trend in the HAL group (mean change of -3.8, 95% CI -8.14 to 0.475), and a slight increasing trend in the CPT group (mean change of 1.2, 95% CI -2.66 to 5.06) at the second assessment. Patients in the HAL group experienced no adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Early gait training in patients with severe walking disability after stroke using HAL was feasible. Walking ability and independency were not improved at the completion of 20 sessions of gait training.

Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Using Cilostazol With Aspirin or Clopidogrel: Subanalysis of the CSPS.com Trial.

Background and Purpose: Although dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and clopidogrel reduces the recurrence of ischemic stroke while significantly increasing the bleeding events compared with monotherapy, the CSPS.com trial (Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study combination) showed that DAPT using cilostazol was more effective without the bleeding risk. In the CSPS.com trial, aspirin or clopidogrel was used as the underlying antiplatelet drug. The effectiveness and safety of each combination were examined and clarified. Methods: In the CSPS.com trial, a multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled study, patients with high-risk, noncardioembolic ischemic stroke 8 to 180 days after onset treated with aspirin or clopidogrel alone at the discretion of the physician in charge were recruited. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either monotherapy or DAPT using cilostazol and followed for 0.5 to 3.5 years. The primary efficacy outcome was first recurrence of ischemic stroke. The safety outcome was severe or life-threatening bleeding. The analysis was based on the underlying antiplatelet agents. Results: A total of 763 patients taking aspirin and 1116 taking clopidogrel were included in the intention-to-treat analysis. Although the clopidogrel group had more risk factors than the aspirin group, the primary efficacy outcome and safety outcome did not differ significantly between the 2 groups. In the aspirin group, the primary efficacy outcome and safety outcome did not differ significantly between the DAPT group and the aspirin-monotherapy group. In the clopidogrel group, the primary end point occurred at a rate of 2.31 per 100 patient-years in the DAPT group and 5.19 per 100 patient-years in the clopidogrel-monotherapy group (hazard ratio, 0.447 [95% CI, 0.258­0.774]). Safety outcome did not differ significantly between groups (0.51 per 100 patient-years versus 0.71 per 100 patient-years, respectively; hazard ratio, 0.730 [95% CI, 0.206­2.588]). Conclusions: The combination of cilostazol and clopidogrel significantly reduced the recurrence of ischemic stroke without increasing the bleeding risk in noncardioembolic, high-risk patients. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01995370. URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/; Unique identifier: UMIN000012180.

Study Protocol for a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase-II Trial: AdrenoMedullin for Ischemic Stroke Study.

OBJECTIVES: Adrenomedullin (AM), a vasoactive peptide, has strong anti-inflammatory and angiogenic properties, which have been reported to ameliorate the consequences of ischemic stroke in several animal models. After a phase I study in healthy volunteers, two phase II trials of AM for inflammatory bowel diseases have been recently completed. The current AdrenoMedullin For Ischemic Stroke (AMFIS) study aims to assess the safety and efficacy of AM in patients with acute ischemic stroke. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The AMFIS study is an investigator-initiated, randomized, double-blind, phase-II trial. AM or placebo will be administered to patients with non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke within 24 h after stroke onset. In the first cohort of the AMFIS study, patients will be randomly allocated to the investigation treatment A (30 µg/kg of AM in total for 7 days, n = 20) or placebo group (n = 10). In the second cohort, patients will be assigned to the investigation treatment B (56 µg/kg of AM in total for 7 days, n = 20) or placebo group (n = 10). RESULTS: Serious adverse events related to the protocol treatment will be evaluated as the primary outcome. All adverse events will be analyzed as the secondary outcome. Regarding efficacy endpoints, the change in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and modified Rankin Scale scores will be compared between investigation treatment and placebo groups. CONCLUSIONS: AM is expected to be a safe and effective treatment for ischemic stroke.

Retrospective observational study of salvage line ramucirumab monotherapy for patients with advanced gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Ramucirumab monotherapy as a second-line treatment for advanced gastric cancer (AGC) prolongs survival compared to the best supportive care. However, in clinical practice, ramucirumab monotherapy is sometimes used as third- or later-line treatment for AGC refractory to fluoropyrimidine and taxanes. This study evaluated the efficacy and safety of salvage-line ramucirumab monotherapy for treating AGC. METHODS: The subjects of this retrospective study were advanced gastric or gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma patients who received ramucirumab monotherapy after failure of 2 or more prior regimens containing fluoropyrimidine and taxanes but not ramucirumab. RESULTS: From June 2015 to April 2017, 51 patients were enrolled. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 1.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.6-2.2) and 5.1 (95% CI = 4.0-6.8) months, respectively. The objective response and disease control rates were 2 and 17%, respectively. Grade 3 adverse events (AEs; e.g., anemia, fatigue, hypertension, proteinuria, intestinal bleeding) occurred in seven (13%) patients, but no grade 4 AEs and treatment-related deaths were observed. A neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of < 2.5 and previous gastrectomy were associated with better PFS. CONCLUSIONS: Salvage-line ramucirumab monotherapy has acceptable toxicity and comparable efficacy to second-line treatment; therefore, we consider physicians might choose this therapy as a salvage-line treatment option for AGC refractory to the standard therapies.

FOLFIRINOX as second-line chemotherapy for advanced pancreatic cancer: A subset analysis of data from a nationwide multicenter observational study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Data on FOLFIRINOX as a second-line chemotherapy for advanced pancreatic cancer are limited. In the JASPAC06 study-a nationwide, multicenter, observational study-FOLFIRINOX for patients with unresectable or recurrent pancreatic cancer as any line of treatment showed favorable efficacy and safety in Japanese clinical practice. METHODS: We performed exploratory analyses of patients with unresectable or recurrent pancreatic cancer who received FOLFIRINOX as the second-line chemotherapy in Japanese clinical settings. RESULTS: Of the 399 evaluable patients, 44 were eligible for inclusion in the analysis. The patients' characteristics were as follows: median age, 62 years; men, 26 (59%); Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-Performance status 0/1, 30 (68%)/14 (32%); disease status, recurrent/local/metastatic: 4 (9%)/8 (18%)/32 (73%). The initial dose was reduced in 28 (64%) patients. The median time to treatment failure and number of cycles were 4.5 (range, 0.2-19.1) months and 6 cycles (range, 1-13 or more), respectively. The major grade 3/4 adverse events were neutropenia in 29 (66%), leucopenia in 17 (39%), anorexia in 7 (16%), febrile neutropenia in 5 (11%), and anemia in 5 (11%) patients. The median overall survival, progression-free survival, and 1-year survival rates were 10.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.2-13.3), 4.1 (95% CI, 2.6-5.5) months, and 30%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that FOLFIRINOX as a second-line chemotherapy for advanced pancreatic cancer was effective in patients with a good performance status. It displayed toxicity similar to that observed with its use as a first-line treatment.

Quasi-linear Cox proportional hazards model with cross- L1 penalty.

BACKGROUND: To accurately predict the response to treatment, we need a stable and effective risk score that can be calculated from patient characteristics. When we evaluate such risks from time-to-event data with right-censoring, Cox's proportional hazards model is the most popular for estimating the linear risk score. However, the intrinsic heterogeneity of patients may prevent us from obtaining a valid score. It is therefore insufficient to consider the regression problem with a single linear predictor. METHODS: we propose the model with a quasi-linear predictor that combines several linear predictors. This provides a natural extension of Cox model that leads to a mixture hazards model. We investigate the property of the maximum likelihood estimator for the proposed model. Moreover, we propose two strategies for getting the interpretable estimates. The first is to restrict the model structure in advance, based on unsupervised learning or prior information, and the second is to obtain as parsimonious an expression as possible in the parameter estimation strategy with cross- L1 penalty. The performance of the proposed method are evaluated by simulation and application studies. RESULTS: We showed that the maximum likelihood estimator has consistency and asymptotic normality, and the cross- L1-regularized estimator has root-n consistency. Simulation studies show these properties empirically, and application studies show that the proposed model improves predictive ability relative to Cox model. CONCLUSIONS: It is essential to capture the intrinsic heterogeneity of patients for getting more stable and effective risk score. The proposed hazard model can capture such heterogeneity and achieve better performance than the ordinary linear Cox proportional hazards model.

Prognostic index consisting of early post-transplant variables <2 weeks in adult living-donor liver transplantation.

AIM: Six-month recipient mortality after adult-to-adult living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT) remains high. Early and accurate prediction of recipient outcome and continuous monitoring of recipient severity after surgery are both essential for guiding appropriate care. This study was designed to identify early post-transplant parameters associated with 6-month mortality, and thereby to construct a discriminatory prognostic index (PI). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 400 consecutive primary adult-to-adult LDLTs in our center (2006-2017). Perioperative variables were comprehensively analyzed for their accuracy in predicting recipient mortality by comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of each factor. RESULTS: The AUROCs of preoperative predictive factors, for example, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and donor age, were 0.56 and 0.64, respectively, whereas those of post-transplant platelet count (PLT), total bilirubin (T-BIL), and prothrombin time - international normalized ratio (INR) on postoperative day (POD)-7-14 were 0.71/0.84, 0.68/0.82, and 0.71/0.78, respectively. Logistic regression analysis provided a formula: PIPOD-14 = 3.39 + 0.12 × PLTPOD-14 - 0.09 × T-BILPOD-14 - 1.23 × INRPOD-14 , indicating a high AUROC of 0.87. Recipient 6-month survival with PIPOD-14 < 2.38 (n = 173) was 71.7%, whereas that with PIPOD-14 ≥ 2.38 (n = 222) was 97.7% (P < 0.001). The AUROCs of PIPOD-7 were as high as 0.8 in the subgroups with younger donors (<50 years of age), right lobe grafts, ABO-identical/compatible combinations, or low MELD score (<20), indicating usefulness of PI to identify unexpectedly complicated cases within the first week. CONCLUSIONS: A novel, post-transplant survival estimator, PI, accurately predicts recipient 6-month mortality within 1-2 weeks after adult LDLT. Daily monitoring of PI could facilitate early interventions including retransplantation in critically ill patients.

Impact of UGT1A1 genetic polymorphism on toxicity in unresectable pancreatic cancer patients undergoing FOLFIRINOX.

Studies have indicated an association between UDP-glucuronosyltransferase-1A1 (UGT1A1) genetic polymorphisms and irinotecan-induced toxicity. We undertook this study to investigate the association between UGT1A1 genetic polymorphisms and toxicity in patients treated with the FOLFIRINOX (comprising oxaliplatin, irinotecan, fluorouracil, and leucovorin) chemotherapy regimen in the JASPAC 06 study. Patients screened for UGT1A1*6 and UGT1A1*28, and treated with either the original FOLFIRINOX (oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 , irinotecan 180 mg/m2 , leucovorin 200 mg/m2 , bolus 5-fluorouracil [5-FU] 400 mg/m2 , and continuous 5-FU 2400 mg/m2 ) or a modified FOLFIRINOX (oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 , irinotecan 150 mg/m2 , leucovorin 200 mg/m2 , and continuous 5-FU 2400 mg/m2 ) as first-line chemotherapy were included. Of 199 patients eligible for this analysis, 79 patients were treated with the original FOLFIRINOX regimen and 120 patients were treated with the modified FOLFIRINOX regimen. In the original FOLFIRINOX group, 54 were UGT1A1 WT, and 25 were UGT1A1 heterozygous type (-/*6, 12 patients; -/*28, 13 patients). In the modified FOLFIRINOX group, 64 were UGT1A1 WT and 56 were UGT1A1 heterozygous type (-/*6, 33 patients; -/*28, 23 patients). In the original FOLFIRINOX group, the incidence of diarrhea was significantly higher among patients with UGT1A1 heterozygous type than among those with UGT1A1 WT and the incidence of leukopenia and diarrhea was significantly higher among patients with UGT1A1 -/*6 than among those with UGT1A1 -/*28. Patients with UGT1A1 heterozygous type, especially those with UGT1A1 -/*6, tended to show a higher incidence rate of severe adverse events, but this was not statistically significant. However, for patients who received the modified FOLFIRINOX, there was no difference in the frequency of adverse events due to UGT1A1 status. In conclusion, patients with heterozygous UGT1A1 polymorphisms treated with the original FOLFIRINOX regimen experienced severe toxicity more frequently than patients with WT UGT1A1.

A randomized phase II study of nutritional and exercise treatment for elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung or pancreatic cancer: the NEXTAC-TWO study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Most advanced elderly cancer patients experience fatigue, anorexia, and declining physical function due to cancer cachexia, for which effective interventions have not been established. We performed a phase I study of a new nonpharmacological multimodal intervention called the nutritional and exercise treatment for advanced cancer (NEXTAC) program and reported the excellent feasibility of and compliance with this program in elderly patients with advanced cancer who were at risk for cancer cachexia. We report here the background, hypothesis, and design of the next-step multicenter, randomized phase II study to evaluate the efficacy of the program, the NEXTAC-TWO study. METHODS: Patients with chemo-naïve advanced non-small cell lung cancer or pancreatic cancer, age ≥ 70 years, performance status ≤2, with adequate organ function and without disability according to the modified Katz index will be eligible. In total, 130 participants will be recruited from 15 Japanese institutions and will be randomized into either the intervention group or a control group. Computer-generated random numbers are allocated to each participant. Stratification factors include performance status (0 to 1 vs. 2), site of primary cancer (lung vs. pancreas), stage (III vs. IV), and type of chemotherapy (cytotoxic vs. others). Interventions and assessment will be performed 4 times every 4 ± 2 weeks from the date of randomization. Interventions will consist of nutritional counseling, nutritional supplements (rich in branched-chain amino acids), and a home-based exercise program. The exercise program will include low-intensity daily muscle training and lifestyle education to promote physical activity. The primary endpoint is disability-free survival. It is defined as the period from the date of randomization to the date of developing disability or death due to any cause. This trial also plans to evaluate the improvements in nutritional status, physical condition, quality of life, activities of daily living, overall survival, and safety as secondary endpoints. Enrollment began in August 2017. The study results will demonstrate the efficacy of multimodal interventions for elderly cancer patients and their application for the maintenance of physical and nutritional conditions in patients with cancer cachexia. This work is supported by a grant-in-aid from the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. DISCUSSION: This is the first randomized trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a multimodal intervention specific for elderly patients with advanced cancer. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at August 23, 2017. Registry number: UMIN000028801 .

FOLFIRINOX for locally advanced pancreatic cancer: Results and prognostic factors of subset analysis from a nation-wide multicenter observational study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: FOLFIRINOX (oxaliplatin, irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin) treatment significantly improved overall survival in the recent phase III study and became a standard therapy for metastatic pancreatic cancer. However, treatment for locally advanced pancreatic cancer is still controversial. We conducted subset analyses from a nation-wide multicenter observational study in Japan to evaluate the tolerability and efficacy of FOLFIRINOX in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer and to investigate independent prognostic factors with pre-treatment variables. METHODS: The study included 66 patients with unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer from 27 institutions in Japan who received FOLFIRINOX as first-line treatment between December 20, 2013 and December 19, 2014 and surveyed until December 2015. RESULTS: The median age was 63 with the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1. Major Grade 3 or 4 adverse events included neutropenia (64%), leukopenia (33%), febrile neutropenia (15%), and diarrhea (15%). Severe adverse event occurred in 14 patients (11%) without fatal event. The median overall survival and progression-free survival times were 18.5 and 7.6 months, respectively. The objective response rate 15.2% and the disease control rate was 81.9%. A high modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS, ≥1) (95%CI 1.96-12.5) and female (95%CI 0.20-0.97) were identified as independent poor prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: First-line FOLFIRINOX treatment for locally advanced pancreatic cancer seems to be effective with acceptable toxicities. A high mGPS may be associated with poor survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer who receive FOLFIRINOX. This study was registered at the UMIN Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000014658).

Pharmacokinetics of S-1 monotherapy in plasma and in tears for gastric cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: S-1 is an oral anticancer drug composed of tegafur (FT), which is a prodrug of 5-FU, 5-chloro-2,4-dihydroxypyridine (CDHP), and potassium oxonate. Recently, some studies have been reported on watering eyes caused by S-1. However, the mechanism of watering eyes caused by S-1 is still unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the correlation between tears and plasma concentrations of FT, 5-FU, and CDHP, which are components and active modulator of S-1. METHODS: We prospectively investigated the pharmacokinetics (PK) of FT, 5-FU, and CDHP in plasma and in tears of gastric cancer patients who were treated with S-1 monotherapy at the dose of 80 mg/m2/day. Plasma and tears from both eyes were obtained 1, 2, 4, and 8 h after S-1 administration on day 1 and 14 of the first cycle. RESULTS: Total of eight patients were enrolled. All the FT, 5-FU and CDHP were detected both in plasma and in tears, and their PK parameters were measured. There was a positive correlation between the concentrations of FT, 5-FU and CDHP in the plasma and those in the tears on day 1 and day 14 (correlation coefficients r, right eye/left eye: r = 0.882/0.878, 0.877/0.890, and 0.885/0.878, respectively). CONCLUSION: There was a positive correlation between the concentrations of FT, 5-FU and CDHP in the plasma and those in the tears. The result is expected to facilitate the further investigation into the causes of watering eyes and the establishment of the effective methods for the prevention and the treatment.

Impact of Malnutrition After Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer on Long-Term Survival.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative malnutrition can worsen morbidity and mortality; however, the role of postgastrectomy nutritional status remains unclear. Our purpose was to clarify whether malnutrition after gastrectomy could predict long-term survival. METHODS: Patients with pathological stage I, II, and III gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy between 2002 and 2013 were included. The nutrition risk index (NRI) was evaluated before and at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after gastrectomy. The patients were divided into normal (NRI > 97.5) or malnutrition (NRI ≤ 97.5) groups, and we compared the correlations of clinicopathological characteristics, surgical treatment, and overall survival between the two groups. RESULTS: Among the 760 participants, patients in the malnutrition group were significantly older and had higher incidences of comorbidity and advanced cancer than the patients in the normal group. Multivariate analysis showed that overall survival was poorer in the malnutrition group before gastrectomy [hazard ratio (HR) 1.68] and at 1 month (HR 1.77), 3 months (HR 2.18), 6 months (HR 1.81) and 12 months (HR 2.17) after gastrectomy (all p < 0.01). Malnutrition at 1 and 3 months after gastrectomy was significantly associated with poor cause-specific survival. Total gastrectomy, preoperative malnutrition, older age, and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent risk factors of postoperative malnutrition at 12 months postgastrectomy. CONCLUSIONS: Malnutrition before gastrectomy and at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after gastrectomy significantly and adversely affects overall survival. Nutritional interventions to lessen the impact of postoperative malnutrition offer hope for prolonged survival.

CYFRA 21-1 predicts the efficacy of nivolumab in patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma.

CYFRA 21-1 is a prognostic marker for non-small cell lung cancer. The serum CYFRA 21-1 level is also known as an adjunct for the diagnosis of lung squamous cell carcinoma. This study aimed to examine whether CYFRA 21-1 has predictive implications for nivolumab therapy in patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma. Of the 79 patients who were treated with nivolumab therapy at the Shizuoka Cancer Center between December 2015 and September 2016, we retrospectively reviewed the data of 50 patients. The patient characteristics were as follows: age <70/≥70 years: 43 (86%)/7; male/female: 31 (62.0%)/19; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0-1/2: 43 (86%)/7; smoking status: no/yes: 18 (36%)/32; epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status negative/positive: 36 (72%)/14; CYFRA 21-1 ≥2.2/<2.2 ng/mL: 28 (56%)/22; carcinoembryonic antigen ≥5/<5 ng/mL: 29 (58%)/21; and number of prior regimens 2-3/≥4: 16 (32%)/34. With a median follow-up of 263.5 (range, 64-352) days, the median progression-free survival was 70 days. The clinical variables investigated using univariate analysis were as follows: age (p = 0.423), carcinoembryonic antigen (p = 0.888), epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status (p = 0.105), performance status (p = 0.968), sex (p = 0.210), number of prior regimens (p = 0.146), CYFRA 21-1 (p = 0.026), and smoking status (p = 0.041). A multivariate analysis identified a serum CYFRA 21-1 level ≥2.2 ng/mL as an independent predictor of a favorable outcome (hazard ratio, 0.44; 95% confidence interval, 0.23-0.85; p = 0.015; median progression-free survival, 155 vs 51.5 days). In conclusion, CYFRA 21-1 might be an independent predictor of outcome for patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma treated with nivolumab.

Risk factors for esophageal fistula in thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma invading adjacent organs treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy: a monocentric case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Standard treatment for unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) without distant metastasis is definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT), in which the incidence of esophageal fistula (EF) is reported to be 10-12%. An ad hoc analysis of JCOG0303, a phase II/III trial of dCRT for patients with unresectable ESCC (including non-T4b), suggested that esophageal stenosis is a risk factor for EF. However, risk factors for EF in patients limited to T4b ESCC treated with dCRT have yet to be clarified. The aim of this study was to investigate risk factors for EF in T4b thoracic ESCC treated with dCRT. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the data of consecutive T4b thoracic ESCC patients who were treated with dCRT (cisplatin and fluorouracil) at Shizuoka Cancer Center between April 2004 and September 2015. RESULTS: Excluding 8 patients with esophageal fistula clearly attributable to other iatrogenic interventions, the data of 116 patients who met the inclusion criteria were analyzed. Esophageal fistula was observed in 28 patients (24%). Although the fistula was closed in 5 patients, overall survival was significantly shorter in patients who experienced esophageal fistula (8.0 vs. 26.8 months; p < 0.0001). Among four potential variables extracted in univariate analysis, namely, total circumferential lesion, elevated CRP level, elevated white blood cell count, and anemia, the first two were revealed as risk factors for esophageal fistula in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that total circumferential lesion and CRP ≥1.00 mg/dL are risk factors for esophageal fistula in T4b thoracic ESCC treated with dCRT. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was retrospectively registered.

Characteristics of cellular composition in malignant pericardial effusion and its association with the clinical course of carcinomatous pericarditis.

To date, the cellular composition of malignant pericardial effusion (MPE) and its association with the clinical course of carcinomatous pericarditis remain unclear. We aimed to determine the MPE cellular composition and its association with carcinomatous pericarditis. Forty-four cases indicated for pericardial drainage due to symptomatic carcinomatous pericarditis were retrospectively reviewed; the blood cell count and composition of MPE were examined. The most dominant cells in MPE were neutrophils. The appearance ratio of an atypical cell in cytologically positive MPE was 95.5%. Low neutrophil and high lymphocyte counts were significantly associated with good effusion failure-free survival at 1 month. The survival after pericardial drainage was significantly shorter when the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio was 3.5 or more (P = 0.041). Patients whose performance status improved due to drainage had significantly high leukocyte counts in MPE (P = 0.02). Prediction of the course of drainage through basic examination of MPE cellular composition might be beneficial in clinical practice.

Quasi-linear score for capturing heterogeneous structure in biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Linear scores are widely used to predict dichotomous outcomes in biomedical studies because of their learnability and understandability. Such approaches, however, cannot be used to elucidate biodiversity when there is heterogeneous structure in target population. RESULTS: Our study was focused on describing intrinsic heterogeneity in predictions. Because heterogeneity can be captured by a clustering method, integrating different information from different clusters should yield better predictions. Accordingly, we developed a quasi-linear score, which effectively combines the linear scores of clustered markers. We extended the linear score to the quasi-linear score by a generalized average form, the Kolmogorov-Nagumo average. We observed that two shrinkage methods worked well: ridge shrinkage for estimating the quasi-linear score, and lasso shrinkage for selecting markers within each cluster. Simulation studies and applications to real data show that the proposed method has good predictive performance compared with existing methods. CONCLUSIONS: Heterogeneous structure is captured by a clustering method. Quasi-linear scores combine such heterogeneity and have a better predictive ability compared with linear scores.

Negative Impact of Skeletal Muscle Wasting After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Surgery on Survival for Patients with Thoracic Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Skeletal muscle wasting during curative treatment is an important issue faced by esophageal cancer patients. However, it has not been clarified whether skeletal muscle change during neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery adversely affects prognosis. This study aimed to determine the relation between skeletal muscle change and survival for patients with advanced esophageal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery. METHODS: This study retrospectively analyzed 66 patients with thoracic esophageal cancer who had undergone neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy. The study investigated the correlation between the change in the total muscle cross-sectional area at the third lumbar vertebra before and 4 months after surgery as well as the postoperative recurrence and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Of the 66 patients, 39 (59%) showed a skeletal muscle decrease from baseline to 4 months after esophagectomy. The change in the skeletal muscle index from baseline to 4 months after surgery was -1.2 cm2/m2. Multivariable analysis showed that nonsquamous cell carcinoma subtype (hazard ratio [HR] 2.57; p = 0.029), pathologic stage (HR 5.73; p < 0.01), and skeletal muscle wasting (HR per 1 unit decrease in skeletal muscle index, 1.16; p = 0.015) were the independent prognostic factors associated with worse OS. Additionally, pathologic stage (HR 6.03; p < 0.01) and skeletal muscle wasting (HR per 1 unit decrease in skeletal muscle index, 1.11; p = 0.048) also were found to be independent prognostic factors associated with worse recurrence-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings suggest that skeletal muscle wasting from baseline has a negative impact on cancer recurrence and survival.

Skeletal muscle depletion during chemotherapy has a large impact on physical function in elderly Japanese patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patient with advanced cancer is one of the most vulnerable populations. Skeletal muscle depletion during chemotherapy may have substantial impact on their physical function. However, there is little information about a direct relationship between quantity of muscle and physical function. We sought to explore the quantitative association between skeletal muscle depletion, and muscle strength and walking capacity in elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: Thirty patients aged ≥70 years with advanced NSCLC (stage III-IV) scheduled to initiate first-line chemotherapy were prospectively enrolled between January 2013 and November 2014. Lumbar skeletal muscle index (LSMI, cm2/m2), incremental shuttle walking distance (ISWD, m), and hand-grip strength (HGS, kg) were assessed at baseline, and 6 ± 2 weeks (T2) and 12 ± 4 weeks (T3) after study enrollment. Associations were analyzed using linear regression. RESULTS: Altogether, 11 women and 19 men with a median age of 74 (range, 70-82) years were included in the study; 24 received cytotoxic chemotherapy and 6, gefitinib. Mean ± standard deviation of LSMI, ISWD and HGS were 41.2 ± 7.8 cm2/m2, 326.0 ± 127.9 m, and 29.3 ± 8.5 kg, respectively. LSMI and ISWD significantly declined from baseline to T2 and T3. HGS significantly declined from baseline to T2 and T3 only in men. Change in LSMI was significantly associated with change in HGS (ß = 0.3 ± 0.1, p = 0.0127) and ISWD (ß = 8.8 ± 2.4, p = 0.0005). CONCLUSIONS: Skeletal muscle depletion accompanied with physical functional decline started in the early phase of the chemotherapy in elderly patients with advanced NSCLC. Our results suggest that there may be a need for early supportive care in these patients to prevent functional decline during chemotherapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration number: UMIN000009768 Name of registry: UMIN (University hospital Medical Information Network). URL of registry: Date of registration: 14 January 2013. Date of enrolment of the first participant to the trial: 23 January 2013.

Unfavorable impact of cancer cachexia on activity of daily living and need for inpatient care in elderly patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer in Japan: a prospective longitudinal observational study.

BACKGROUND: Cancer cachexia in elderly patients may substantially impact physical function and medical dependency. The aim of this study was to estimate the impact of cachexia on activity of daily living (ADL), length of hospital stay, and inpatient medical costs among elderly patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving chemotherapy. METHODS: Thirty patients aged ≥70 years with advanced NSCLC (stage III-IV) scheduled to receive first-line chemotherapy were prospectively enrolled between January 2013 and November 2014. ADL was assessed using the Barthel index. The disability-free survival time (DFS) was calculated as the time between the date of study entry and the date of onset of a disabling event, which was defined as a 10-point decrease in the Barthel index from that at baseline. The mean cumulative function of the length of hospital stay and inpatient medical costs (¥, Japanese yen) was calculated. RESULTS: The study patients comprised 11 women and 19 men, with a median age of 74 (range, 70-82) years. Cachexia was diagnosed in 19 (63%) patients. Cachectic patients had a shorter DFS (7.5 vs. 17.1 months, p < 0.05). During the first year from study entry, cachectic patients had longer cumulative lengths of hospital stay (80.7 vs. 38.5 days/person, p < 0.05), more frequent unplanned hospital visits or hospitalizations (4.2 vs. 1.7 times/person, p < 0.05), and higher inpatient medical costs (¥3.5 vs. ¥2.1 million/person, p < 0.05) than non-cachectic patients. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly NSCLC patients with cachexia showed higher risks for disability, prolonged hospitalizations, and higher inpatient medical costs while receiving chemotherapy than patients without cachexia. Our results might indicate that there is a potential need for an early intervention to minimize progression to or development of cachexia, improve functional prognosis, and reduce healthcare resource burden in this population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration number: UMIN000009768 . Name of registry: UMIN (University hospital Medical Information Network). Date of registration: 14 January 2013. Date of enrolment of the first participant to the trial: 23 January 2013.