Cumulative incidence and risk factors for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma metastases in organ transplant recipients: The Skin Care in Organ Transplant Patients in Europe-International Transplant Skin Cancer Collaborative metastases study, a prospective multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) are believed to have an increased risk of metastatic cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), but reliable data are lacking regarding the precise incidence and associated risk factors. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study, including 19 specialist dermatology outpatient clinics in 15 countries, patient and tumor characteristics were collected using standardized questionnaires when SOTRs presented with a new cSCC. After a minimum of 2 years of follow-up, relevant data for all SOTRs were collected. Cumulative incidence of metastases was calculated by the Aalen-Johansen estimator. Fine and Gray models were used to assess multiple risk factors for metastases. RESULTS: Of 514 SOTRs who presented with 623 primary cSCCs, metastases developed in 37 with a 2-year patient-based cumulative incidence of 6.2%. Risk factors for metastases included location in the head and neck area, local recurrence, size > 2 cm, clinical ulceration, poor differentiation grade, perineural invasion, and deep invasion. A high-stage tumor that is also ulcerated showed the highest risk of metastasis, with a 2-year cumulative incidence of 46.2% (31.9%-68.4%). CONCLUSIONS: SOTRs have a high risk of cSCC metastases and well-established clinical and histologic risk factors have been confirmed. High-stage, ulcerated cSCCs have the highest risk of metastasis.

Defining the Validity of Skin Self-Examination as a Screening Test for the Detection of Suspicious Pigmented Lesions: A Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Test Accuracy.

BACKGROUND: Skin self-examination (SSE) is widely promoted for the detection of suspicious pigmented lesions. However, determining screening accuracy is essential to appraising the usefulness of SSE. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this work was to pool estimates from studies of SSE diagnostic accuracy in the detection of suspicious pigmented lesions. METHODS: This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021246356) and conducted in accordance with PRISMA-DTA guidelines. A systematic search of Medline (PubMed) EMBASE, CINAHL, and The Cochrane Library was conducted to identify relevant studies. We included studies that examined the accuracy of SSE, either whole-body or site-specific, for detecting change in individual pigmented lesions or detecting an atypical naevus. A univariate random-effects model, based on logit-transformed data, was used to calculate a summary diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) as well as pooled sensitivity and specificity. Cochran's Q test and the I2 statistic were calculated to assess heterogeneity. A proportional hazards model was used to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) and plot the summary receiver operator characteristic curve. We used the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool to grade study quality. RESULTS: We identified 757 studies, of which 3 met inclusion criteria for quantitative synthesis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity based on 553 included participants was 59 and 82%, respectively. The summary DOR was 5.88 and the AUC was 0.71. There were some concerns regarding risk of bias in all 3 studies. CONCLUSIONS: SSE can detect suspicious pigmented lesions with reasonable sensitivity and relatively high specificity, with the AUC suggesting acceptable discriminatory ability.

Reproducible Naevus Counts Using 3D Total Body Photography and Convolutional Neural Networks.

BACKGROUND: The number of naevi on a person is the strongest risk factor for melanoma; however, naevus counting is highly variable due to lack of consistent methodology and lack of inter-rater agreement. Machine learning has been shown to be a valuable tool for image classification in dermatology. OBJECTIVES: To test whether automated, reproducible naevus counts are possible through the combination of convolutional neural networks (CNN) and three-dimensional (3D) total body imaging. METHODS: Total body images from a study of naevi in the general population were used for the training (82 subjects, 57,742 lesions) and testing (10 subjects; 4,868 lesions) datasets for the development of a CNN. Lesions were labelled as naevi, or not ("non-naevi"), by a senior dermatologist as the gold standard. Performance of the CNN was assessed using sensitivity, specificity, and Cohen's kappa, and evaluated at the lesion level and person level. RESULTS: Lesion-level analysis comparing the automated counts to the gold standard showed a sensitivity and specificity of 79% (76-83%) and 91% (90-92%), respectively, for lesions ≥2 mm, and 84% (75-91%) and 91% (88-94%) for lesions ≥5 mm. Cohen's kappa was 0.56 (0.53-0.59) indicating moderate agreement for naevi ≥2 mm, and substantial agreement (0.72, 0.63-0.80) for naevi ≥5 mm. For the 10 individuals in the test set, person-level agreement was assessed as categories with 70% agreement between the automated and gold standard counts. Agreement was lower in subjects with numerous seborrhoeic keratoses. CONCLUSION: Automated naevus counts with reasonable agreement to those of an expert clinician are possible through the combination of 3D total body photography and CNNs. Such an algorithm may provide a faster, reproducible method over the traditional in person total body naevus counts.

Omega-3 fatty acid intake and decreased risk of skin cancer in organ transplant recipients.

PURPOSE: Organ transplant recipients have over 100-fold higher risk of developing skin cancer than the general population and are in need of further preventive strategies. We assessed the possible preventive effects of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) intake from food on the two main skin cancers, squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) in kidney and liver transplant recipients. METHODS: Adult kidney or liver transplant recipients transplanted for at least 1 year and at high risk of skin cancer were recruited from the main transplant hospital in Queensland, 2012-2014 and followed until mid-2016. We estimated their dietary total long-chain omega-3 PUFAs and α-linolenic acid intakes at baseline using a food frequency questionnaire and ranked PUFA intakes as low, medium, or high. Relative risks (RRsadj) of skin cancer adjusted for confounding factors with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. RESULTS: There were 449 transplant recipients (mean age, 55 years; 286 (64%) male). During follow-up, 149 (33%) patients developed SCC (median 2/person; range 1-40) and 134 (30%), BCC. Transplant recipients with high total long-chain omega-3 PUFA compared with low intakes showed substantially reduced SCC tumour risk (RRadj 0.33, 95% CI 0.18-0.60), and those with high α-linolenic acid intakes experienced significantly fewer BCCs (RRadj 0.40, 95% CI 0.22-0.74). No other significant associations were seen. CONCLUSION: Among organ transplant recipients, relatively high intakes of long-chain omega-3 PUFAs and of α-linolenic acid may reduce risks of SCC and BCC, respectively.

Prevalence of Perineural Invasion in keratinocyte cancer in the general population and among organ transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs) are the most commonly encountered cancers in fair-skinned populations worldwide. Perineural invasion is associated with worse outcomes for patients with BCC or SCC. Estimates of perineural invasion prevalence range widely, likely reflecting non-representative patient samples. We sought to determine the prevalence of perineural invasion in BCC and SCC in the general population, as well as among cancers arising in solid organ transplant recipients. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed histopathology reports of BCC and SCC from patients enrolled in the QSkin Study (a population-based cohort of 43 794 Queensland residents recruited 2010-2011) and the Skin Tumours in Allograft Recipients (STAR) study (a cohort of 509 high-risk kidney or liver transplant recipients at the Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, recruited 2012-2014.) We estimated the prevalence of perineural invasion (and 95% confidence interval) in BCC and SCC, respectively, and identified clinical factors associated with perineural invasion. RESULTS: In QSkin, we observed 35 instances of perineural invasion in 9850 histopathologically confirmed BCCs (0.36%) and 9 instances of perineural invasion in 3982 confirmed SCC (0.23%) lesions. In the STAR cohort, we identified 4 lesions with perineural invasion in 692 BCCs (0.58%) and 16 reports of perineural invasion in 875 SCC lesions (1.9%). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that the overall prevalence of perineural invasion in keratinocyte cancer is low, although perineural invasion prevalence may be slightly higher among organ transplant recipients when compared to the general population.

Unscheduled Visits of Patients with Familial Melanoma to a Pigmented Lesion Clinic: Evaluation of Patients' Characteristics and Suspicious Lesions.

Approximately 10% of all melanomas occur in subjects with a family history of melanoma. This retrospective follow-up study investigated the characteristics of patients with familial melanoma who made unscheduled visits to our pigmented lesions clinic, and the diagnosis of excised lesions. A total of 110 (9%) out of 1,267 patients made at least one unscheduled visit between May 2011 and February 2016. Histopathology was taken from 59 patients. Thirty-four naevi, 7 melanomas and 3 basal cell carcinomas were detected. All patients with melanoma were CDKN2A carriers and all melanomas were discovered at a very early stage. In this patient population it appears to be safe to limit visits to once or twice yearly, provided patients are easily able to make an unscheduled extra visit if they have a worrisome lesion. We recommend supporting patients' self-reliance by stimulating them to carry out self-examination of their skin.

Metastasis Risk of Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Organ Transplant Recipients and Immunocompetent Patients.

Organ transplant recipients (OTRs) have a high incidence of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), and immunosuppression has been reported to be an important risk factor for metastasis. The aim of this study was to identify the metastasis risk over a 10-year period for 593 patients with cSCC, of whom 134 were OTR and 459 were immunocompetent. Metastasis incidence rate was 1,046 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 524-2,096) per 100,000 person years in OTR and 656 (95% CI; 388-1,107) in immunocompetent patients, yielding an incidence rate ratio of 1.6 (95% CI 0.67-3.81). In OTRs head/neck location, older age at transplantation and older age at diagnosis of first cSCC were associated with metastatic risk, and 7 out of 8 metastasized tumours were smaller than 2 cm. In immunocompetent patients tumour size and tumour depth were associated with metastasis. In conclusion, we were not able to demonstrate an increased incidence rate of metastasis in OTRs compared with immunocompetent patients. However, OTRs and immunocompetent patients differed with regard to risk factors for metastasis.

Multimodal Transplant-clinic-based Skin Cancer Prevention Education for Organ Transplant Recipients: Feasibility Study.

We studied the feasibility of transplant-clinic staff routinely providing primary prevention advice to lung transplant recipients at high risk of skin cancer. Methods: Patients enrolled by a transplant-clinic study nurse completed baseline questionnaires and received sun-safety brochures. For the 12-mo intervention, transplant physicians were alerted to provide standard sun-protection advice (use of hat, long sleeves, and sunscreen outdoors) by sun-advice prompt cards attached to participants' medical charts at each clinic visit. Patients indicated receiving advice from their physician and from study personnel via an exit-card postclinic, and at final study clinics, they also reported their sun behaviors by questionnaire. Feasibility of the intervention was measured by patients' and clinic staff's study engagement; effectiveness was assessed by calculating odds ratios (ORs) for improved sun protection, using generalized estimating equations. Results: Of 151 patients invited, 134 consented (89%), and 106 (79 %) (63% male, median age 56 y, 93% of European descent) completed the study. Odds of receiving sun advice from transplant physicians and study nurses rose after the intervention compared with baseline (ORs, 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.96-2.96 and 3.56; 95% CI, 1.38-9.14, respectively). After 12 mo of regular transplant-clinic advice, odds of sunburn decreased (OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.13-2.60), and odds of applying sunscreen (OR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.20-3.09) almost doubled. Conclusions: Encouragement of primary prevention of skin cancer among organ transplant recipients by physicians and nurses during routine transplant-clinic visits is feasible and appears to be effective.

Basal cell carcinomas in organ transplant recipients versus the general population: clinicopathologic study.

Organ transplant recipients (OTRs) are at greater risk of basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) than non-OTRs, but histopathologic differences between BCCs in OTRs and the general population are largely unknown. We compared clinicopathologic features of BCCs in OTRs vs the general population in Queensland, Australia. Details of BCC tumors (site, size, level of invasion, subtype, biopsy procedure) were collected from histopathology reports in two prospective skin cancer studies, one in OTRs and one general-population-based. We used log-binomial regression models to estimate age- and sex-adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for BCC features. Overall, there were 702 BCCs in 200 OTRs and 1725 BCCs in 804 population cases. Of these, 327 tumors in 128 OTRs were higher risk BCCs (any head and neck BCC; ≥ 2 cm on trunk/extremities), more per person than 703 higher risk BCCs in 457 cases in the general population (chi-square p = 0.008). Among head/neck BCCs, OTRs were more likely than general population cases to have BCCs on scalp/ear than on face/lip/neck (PR = 1.5, 95%CI 1.2-1.8). Although aggressive subtypes were less common among higher risk BCCs in OTRs, BCCs invading beyond the dermis were almost twice as prevalent in OTRs (PR = 1.8, 95% CI 1.3-2.6) than the general population.

High-risk Prognostic Tumor Features of Squamous Cell Carcinomas in Organ Transplant Recipients Compared With the General Population.

Importance: The extent to which major high-risk features of squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs) in organ transplant recipients (OTRs) differ from SCCs in the general population is not known. Objective: To quantify the relative frequency of perineural invasion, invasion below the dermis, lack of cellular differentiation, and tumor diameter greater than 20 mm in SCCs in OTRs and the general population, by anatomic site. Design, Setting, and Participants: This dual-cohort study in Queensland, Australia, included a cohort of OTRs at high risk of skin cancer ascertained from 2012 to 2015 (Skin Tumours in Allograft Recipients [STAR] study) and a population-based cohort ascertained from 2011 (QSkin Sun and Health Study). The STAR study comprised population-based lung transplant recipients and kidney and liver transplant recipients at high risk of skin cancer recruited from tertiary centers and diagnosed with histopathologically confirmed SCC from 2012 to 2015. The QSkin participants were recruited from Queensland's general adult population, and primary SCCs diagnosed from 2012 to 2015 were ascertained through Medicare (national health insurance scheme) and linked with histopathology records. Data analysis was performed from July 2022 to April 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence ratio (PR) of head/neck location, perineural invasion, tumor invasion to/beyond subcutaneous fat, poor cellular differentiation, and tumor diameter greater than 20 mm among SCCs in OTRs vs the general population. Results: There were 741 SCCs excised from 191 OTRs (median [IQR] age, 62.7 [56.7-67.1] years; 149 [78.0%] male) and 2558 SCCs from 1507 persons in the general population (median [IQR] age, 63.7 [58.0-68.8] years; 955 [63.4%] male). The SCCs developed most frequently on the head/neck in OTRs (285, 38.6%), but on arms/hands in the general population (896, 35.2%) (P < .001). After adjusting for age and sex, perineural invasion was more than twice as common in OTRs as in population cases (PR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.70-3.30), as was invasion to/beyond subcutaneous fat (PR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.78-3.14). Poorly vs well-differentiated SCCs were more than 3-fold more common in OTRs (PR, 3.45; 95% CI, 2.53-4.71), and prevalence of tumors greater than 20 mm vs 20 mm or smaller was moderately higher in OTRs (PR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.08-2.12). Conclusions and Relevance: In this dual-cohort study, SCCs in OTRs had significantly worse prognostic features than SCCs in the general population, reinforcing the necessity of early diagnosis and definitive management of SCCs in OTRs.

IFN-γ signature enables selection of neoadjuvant treatment in patients with stage III melanoma.

Neoadjuvant ipilimumab + nivolumab has demonstrated high pathologic response rates in stage III melanoma. Patients with low intra-tumoral interferon-γ (IFN-γ) signatures are less likely to benefit. We show that domatinostat (a class I histone deacetylase inhibitor) addition to anti-PD-1 + anti-CTLA-4 increased the IFN-γ response and reduced tumor growth in our murine melanoma model, rationalizing evaluation in patients. To stratify patients into IFN-γ high and low cohorts, we developed a baseline IFN-γ signature expression algorithm, which was prospectively tested in the DONIMI trial. Patients with stage III melanoma and high intra-tumoral IFN-γ scores were randomized to neoadjuvant nivolumab or nivolumab + domatinostat, while patients with low IFN-γ scores received nivolumab + domatinostat or ipilimumab + nivolumab + domatinostat. Domatinostat addition to neoadjuvant nivolumab ± ipilimumab did not delay surgery but induced unexpected severe skin toxicity, hampering domatinostat dose escalation. At studied dose levels, domatinostat addition did not increase treatment efficacy. The baseline IFN-γ score adequately differentiated patients who were likely to benefit from nivolumab alone versus patients who require other therapies.

Destructive and topical treatments of skin lesions in organ transplant recipients and relation to skin cancer.

Various treatments of keratotic skin lesions and early skin cancers are performed in organ transplant recipients (OTRs) at high risk of skin malignancies but the frequency of their use is unknown. We prospectively assessed the frequency of use of cryotherapy, diathermy, and topical therapies and also investigated their associations with background incidence of histologically-confirmed squamous-cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) in a cohort of OTRs in Queensland, Australia. Median follow-up ranged from 1.7 to 3.2 years across organ transplant groups. Among 285 kidney, 125 lung and 203 liver transplant recipients [382 (62%) male, 380 (62%) immunosuppressed > 5 years, 394 (64%) previously diagnosed with skin cancer], 306 (50%) reported treatment of skin lesions with major types of non-excision therapies during follow-up: 278 (45%) cryotherapy or diathermy; 121 (20%) topical treatments. Of these 306, 150 (49%) developed SCC at double the incidence of those who did not receive these treatments, as assessed by incidence rate ratio (IRR) adjusted for age, sex, type of organ transplant, skin color and history of skin cancer at baseline, calculated by multivariable Poisson regression (IRRadj = 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-3.1). BCC incidence was not associated with these therapies. Skin lesions in OTRs that are treated with cryotherapy, diathermy, or topical treatment warrant judicious selection and careful follow-up.

Efficacy, cost-minimization, and budget impact of a personalized discharge letter for basal cell carcinoma patients to reduce low-value follow-up care.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of keratinocyte carcinomas is high and rapidly growing. Approximately 80% of keratinocyte carcinomas consist of basal cell carcinomas (BCC) with 50% of these being considered as low-risk tumors. Nevertheless, 83% of the low-risk BCC patients were found to receive more follow-up care than recommended according to the Dutch BCC guideline, which is one visit post-treatment for this group. More efficient management could reduce unnecessary follow-up care and related costs. OBJECTIVES: To study the efficacy, cost-utility, and budget impact of a personalized discharge letter for low-risk BCC patients compared with usual care (no personalized letter). METHODS: In a multi-center intervention study, a personalized discharge letter in addition to usual care was compared to usual care in first-time BCC patients. Model-based cost-utility and budget impact analyses were conducted, using individual patient data gathered via surveys. The outcome measures were number of follow-up visits, costs and quality adjusted life years (QALY) per patient. RESULTS: A total of 473 first-time BCC patients were recruited. The personalized discharge letter decreased the number of follow-up visits by 14.8% in the first year. The incremental costs after five years were -€24.45 per patient. The QALYs were 4.12 after five years and very similar in both groups. The national budget impact was -€2,7 million after five years. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of a personalized discharge letter decreases the number of unnecessary follow-up visits and implementing the intervention in a large eligible population would results in substantial cost savings, contributing to restraining the growing BCC costs.

Skin cancer arising in scars: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Despite numerous case reports, epidemiologic evidence regarding true rate of skin cancer in scars of any etiology is sparse. METHODS: Systematic literature review of all published epidemiologic studies on skin cancer in scar tissue from surgery, ulcers, or burns using citation databases and manual review. RESULTS: There were no epidemiologic data to quantify risk of skin cancer in surgical scars or chronic ulcers. Two eligible cohort studies were identified, from Denmark and Sweden, in which skin cancers in 16, 903 and 37,095 burn patients, respectively, were ascertained through cancer registry follow-up. Each reported standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for skin cancer types on any site that were uniformly less than unity compared with the general population. Only the Danish cohort assessed skin cancers specifically on past burn injury sites and found a burn-site-specific SIR of 1.2 (95% confidence interval (CI)=0.4-2.7) for squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), 0.7 (95% CI=0.4-1.1) for basal cell carcinoma, and 0.3 (95% CI=0.0-1.2) for melanoma. CONCLUSIONS: Available epidemiologic data suggest that burn patients are not at higher risk of skin cancers in general, although a modest excess of SCC in burn scars cannot be excluded, nor can excess risk with longer follow-up. Risk of skin cancer in scars other than burn scars has not been investigated epidemiologically.

Influence of renal insufficiency pre-heart transplantation on malignancy risk post-heart transplantation.

AIMS: Recent reports demonstrated that patients with heart failure (HF) might have an increased risk to develop malignancies. This is also seen in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Immunosuppression in heart transplantation (HT) recipients additionally increases the risk of malignancies. The aim of this study was to determine the relation between HF duration and CKD pre-HT and the risk of malignancy development post-HT. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included all adult HT recipients transplanted between January 2000 and November 2017 in our centre. Patients were excluded if they died or were retransplanted within 3 months post-HT. Clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected. Sixty out of 250 patients (24%) developed a malignancy after a median of 66 months [interquartile range 33-108] post-HT. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, HF duration was not a risk factor for all malignancies or solid organ malignancies post-HT [hazard ratio (HR) 1.033 (0.974-1.096), P = 0.281 and HR 1.036 (0.958-1.120), P = 0.376, respectively]. Age [HR 1.051 (1.016-1.086), P = 0.004] and CKD pre-HT [HR 2.173 (1.236-3.822), P = 0.007] were independent risk factors for all malignancies. CKD pre-HT [HR 2.542 (1.142-5.661), P = 0.022] increased the risk for solid organ malignancies. Exclusion of patients with durable mechanical circulatory support in the analysis did not alter the significance of these risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Duration of HF pre-HT was not associated with malignancy risk post-HT. CKD was an independent risk factor for malignancies post-HT. More studies are needed to investigate this association.

Betapapillomavirus infection profiles in tissue sets from cutaneous squamous cell-carcinoma patients.

Human papillomaviruses from the genus beta (betaPV) are a possible cause of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). We compared the betaPV infections in SCC and in sets of cutaneous tissues collected from a series of individual SCC patients to determine concordance and to assess the adequacy of eyebrow hairs as noninvasive markers of betaPV infection. Biopsies of SCC tumors, perilesional tissue, normal skin from the mirror image of nonfacial SCC and plucked eyebrow hairs were collected from 21 patients with incident SCC living in Queensland, Australia. These were tested for the presence of DNA from 25 different betaPV types. Overall prevalence of betaPV was high in every sample type, ranging from 81% to 95%. The median number of types was significantly higher in the SCC tumour (6), perilesional skin (5) and eyebrow hairs (5) than in normal skin (2). Comparing SCC tissue with other sample types within patients showed 63 overlapping infections with eyebrow hairs (71%; 95% CI: 60-80); 56 with perilesional skin samples (63%; 95% CI: 52-73) and 23 with normal skin samples (26%; 95% CI: 17-36). The sensitivity of eyebrow hair testing for detection of betaPV in the tumor was 82% (95% CI: 57-96) with concordance defined as 50% of betaPV types in common and 29% (95% CI: 10-56) for 100% concordance. These findings support the concept that perilesional skin represents an area of field change involving betaPV preceding SCC development and indicate that eyebrow hairs can serve to some degree as an easily collected marker of tumor betaPV status in epidemiological studies.

Lack of association between the presence and persistence of betapapillomavirus DNA in eyebrow hairs and betapapillomavirus L1 antibodies in serum.

Betapapillomavirus (betaPV) DNA and seroresponses are highly prevalent in the general population and both are frequently used as infection markers in epidemiological studies to elucidate an association with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). Little is known about the natural history of betaPV infection and the aspects of infection that drive antibody responses. To investigate the relationship between these markers, this study assessed whether the presence or persistence of betaPV DNA in eyebrow hairs and L1 antibodies of the same betaPV type co-occurred more frequently than would be expected by chance in both a cross-sectional assessment and a longitudinal study. betaPV DNA in plucked eyebrow hairs and L1 antibodies in serum were measured in 416 participants of the Australian community-based Nambour Skin Cancer Study in 1996. Similar data were available for a subset of 148 participants in 2003. Observed co-occurrence of betaPV DNA and antibodies was compared with expected values based on prevalence. A case-wise concordance index was used to calculate the overall concordance of betaPV DNA and antibodies of the same type. No significant associations were found between the presence or persistence of betaPV DNA and antibody responses. The age and sex of the host did not influence the association, and nor did SCC status or a history of sunburns. It was concluded that betaPV antibody responses in adults are not primarily driven by betaPV infection as measured in eyebrow hairs. Other factors, such as viral load, may play a more pivotal role in the induction of detectable seroresponses.