Cascade of care of people diagnosed with HIV in New Zealand between 2006 and 2017.

OBJECTIVES: We estimated the proportion of people reported with HIV in New Zealand between 2006 and 2017, and alive in 2017-2019, who were on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and had a suppressed viral load (VL), and explored their associated characteristics. METHODS: Data were anonymously linked to information on ART and VL within the data collection period (January 2017 to August 2019) using the National Health Index (NHI), Ministry of Health and laboratory datasets, as well as information from clinical specialists. Logistic regression was used to test for associations. Sensitivity analyses were undertaken to estimate the range for the key proportions. RESULTS: Overall, 2355 people were reported with HIV, of whom 116 (5%) had died, 337 (14%) were overseas, and 1701 (72%) were alive in New Zealand; for the remaining 201 (9%) the outcome was unknown. Clinical data were available for 1490 people (87.6%): 1408 (94.5%) were on ART, 11 (< 1%) were not on ART, and for 71 (4.8%) this was unknown. Of those on ART, 1156 (82.1%) had a suppressed VL (< 200 copies/mL), 34 (2.4%) were unsuppressed, and for 218 (15.5%) this was unknown. The estimate of the proportion on ART ranged from 99% to 78%, and those with a suppressed VL ranged from 98% to 78%. CONCLUSIONS: Among people with HIV in New Zealand who are under care, a high proportion were on ART and had suppressed VL. Increasing collection of NHIs and better linkage with laboratory information will reduce the number with unknown information and provide more complete VL results in the future.

Multidrug resistant Enterobacteriaceae in New Zealand: a current perspective.

In this article we review mechanisms and potential transmission pathways of multidrug resistance in Enterobacteriaceae, with an emphasis on extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL)-production. This provides background to better understand challenges presented by this important group of antimicrobial resistant bacteria, and inform measures aimed at prevention and control of antimicrobial resistance in general. Humans and animals interact at various levels; household pets cohabit with humans, and other animals interact with people through direct contact, as well as through the food chain and the environment. These interactions offer opportunity for bacteria such as ESBL-producers to be shared and transmitted between species and, in turn, increase the risk of zoonotic and reverse-zoonotic disease transmission. A key step in curtailing antimicrobial resistance is improved stewardship of antimicrobials, including surveillance of their use, better infection-control and prevention, and a better understanding of prescribing practice in both veterinary and medical professions in New Zealand. This will also require prospective observational studies to examine risk factors for antimicrobial resistance. Due to the interconnectedness of humans, animals and the environment actions to effect the changes required should be undertaken using a One Health approach.

School toilets: facilitating hand hygiene? A review of primary school hygiene facilities in a developed country.

BACKGROUND: Clean hands play an important role in preventing infectious disease transmission. The physical quality of any toilet and handwashing facilities is an important determinant of whether and how it is used, especially for school children. METHODS: This study assessed the physical quality of toilet and handwashing facilities used by 9 year olds at 68 primary schools in three cities in the South Island of New Zealand. The facilities were assessed for availability, functionality and provision of hand basins, hygiene products and drying facilities. RESULTS: Nineteen schools (28%) followed the New Zealand Ministry of Education Code of Practice for toilet and bathroom facilities in schools, by providing warm water, liquid soap at every basin and functioning hand drying facilities. A further 25 schools (37%) would have met the standards except they provided only cold water (21 schools) or the cloth roller towels were unusable (4 schools). The other 24 schools' toilet facilities were deficient in some way, including one with no soap and six that provided no drying facilities. School socioeconomic position and toilet facility quality were not related. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that a significant number of New Zealand children do not currently have access to high quality hygiene facilities at school.

The turnover of strains in intermittent and persistent nasal carriers of Staphylococcus aureus.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to examine the dynamics of Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriage in healthy adults. METHOD: Selected S. aureus strains isolated from weekly nasal swabs obtained from 122 healthy young adults over a 13 week period were spa typed. RESULTS: The median duration of intermittent carriage was 4 weeks (IQR 2-6) and the median interval between episodes of carriage of different spa types was 3.5 weeks (IQR 2.25-4). 6/19 (32%) Persistent carriers were colonised with more than one spa type during the study, and in two persistent carriers a brief period of mixed colonisation with two spa types was observed. Even when the carriage strain changed, it was very rare for persistent carriers to have a period during which they were culture-negative (only 6/188 (3%) swabs submitted by persistent carriers failed to culture S. aureus). CONCLUSIONS: Our results imply that at least every eight weeks a healthy young adult is exposed to S. aureus sufficient to cause a new episode of carriage among intermittent carriers. Persistent carriers are almost always colonised with S. aureus and over the course of a year there will be at least one replacement of the dominant strain.

Randomised studies of income supplementation: a lost opportunity to assess health outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Despite the wealth of evidence linking low income to ill health, there is little information from randomised studies on how much and how quickly these risks can be reversed by improvements in income. OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review of randomised studies of income supplementation, with particular reference to health outcomes. DESIGN: Extensive searches of electronic databases and contact with previous authors. As well as searching for trials that were specifically designed to assess the effects of increased income, studies of winners and losers of lotteries were also sought: if winning is purely chance, such studies are, in effect, randomised trials of increased income. RESULTS: Ten relevant studies were identified, all conducted in North America, mostly in the late 1960s and 1970s. Five trials were designed to assess the effects of income supplementation on workforce participation and randomised a total of 10,000 families to 3-5 years of various combinations of minimum income guarantees and reduced tax rates. Two trials were designed to assess re-offending rates in recently released prisoners and randomised a total of 2400 people to 3-6 months of benefits. One trial was designed to assess housing allowances and randomised 3500 families to three years of income supplements. One trial assessed the health effects of 12 months of income supplementation in 54 people with severe mental illness. Finally, one study compared three groups of people who won different amounts of money in a state lottery. In all these studies the interventions resulted in increases in income of at least one fifth. However, no reliable analyses of health outcome data are available. CONCLUSIONS: Extensive opportunities to reliably assess the effects of increases in income on health outcomes have been missed. Such evidence might have increased the consideration of potential health effects during deliberations about policies that have major implications for income, such as taxation rates, benefit policies, and minimum wage levels. Randomised evidence could still be obtained with innovative new studies, such as trials of full benefit uptake or prospective studies of lottery winners in which different sized winnings are paid in monthly installments over many years.

Predictors of family anxiety in the weeks before bereavement.

There has been little research to date on the factor which predict high anxiety in family members or carers before bereavement. Our study used data on 302 patients for whom the family's anxiety had been recorded by cancer palliative care teams in the last weeks of the patient's life. Variables known at the time of the patient's referral to the teams were entered into a discriminant analysis. A predictive function with a sensitivity of 0.75 and a specificity of 0.51 identified those families whose anxiety was rated as severe (3-4 on a scale of 0-4) during the month before the patient's death. Important predictors were: whether the family member was a spouse, a diagnosis of breast cancer, young age, the time from diagnosis and low patient mobility. There was a small significant correlation between a longer time in palliative care and lower family anxiety. The predictive model could be used oncologists to identify cases where greater psychological support will be needed.

Are bereaved family members a valid proxy for a patient's assessment of dying?

OBJECTIVE: To compare assessments made retrospectively by bereaved family members (or the nearest carer to the patient) with assessments made before death by palliative staff and, where available, by patients themselves or the family member. METHODS: SETTING--two palliative care support teams. ASSESSMENTS--were recorded prospectively by team staff, patients and their family members for consecutive patients referred, and then were recorded retrospectively by family members during interview seven months after bereavement. MEASURES--seven items each rated 0 (best) to 4 (worst) using standard definitions. The rater was asked to average the severity over one week. ANALYSIS--ratings were tested for percentage agreement, for Cohen's Kappa (which controls for chance agreement) and for Spearman correlations. RESULTS: Staff ratings and family members' retrospective ratings, which described the last week of life, were available for 35 patients. Six patients and seven family members had also been interviewed shortly before the patient's death. The main problems identified by all raters were similar: family anxiety, symptom control, patient anxiety and pain control. For three items, practical aid, wasted time and communication, agreement was good--all cases except one were equal or within one score. However, problems were rarely identified for these items. For the other four items: pain control, other symptom control, family anxiety and patient anxiety, there was little agreement, Cohen's Kappa ranged 0.05-0.22. Agreement for one item (patient anxiety) was significantly improved if a patient had died at home. Comparison of ratings made by the family members before the death and seven months after bereavement suggests that family members alter their assessments during bereavement. CONCLUSION: Retrospective assessments by bereaved family members may be valid for some items related to service provision, but not as the sole assessment of a patient's pain, symptoms or anxiety. We suggest that studies which rely on these retrospective ratings should assess the validity of their responses and record more information about the mood and grief of the family member.

Achieving consensus on out-of-hours laboratory tests.

Many reports on guidelines for investigation describe either the guidelines themselves or their implementation. Implicitly these assume that there has been general agreement about the guidelines, whereas there may be uncertainty about the appropriateness of a particular investigation in a given situation. We report the use of a technique for developing guidelines which explicitly seeks to identify areas of agreement and disagreement, and focuses on the reasons that particular decisions were made and the causes of disagreement.

Which general surgical operations must be done at night?

During the 1980s there has been increasing concern about hospital medical staffing. Achieving a Balance will lead to a reduction in the number of registrars and a possible increase in the work done out-of-hours by consultants. The deleterious effects of long hours of work have also attracted attention and, in particular, there is concern about the safety of operations performed at night by unsupervised junior doctors. There is an urgent need to examine how out-of-hours work can be reduced. This study was conducted in two phases. The out-of-hours surgical workload in four hospitals was examined. Appropriateness of the procedures and activities being carried out was then considered by a consensus panel, aided by a literature review. Most out-of-hours operations were performed by junior staff. The principal reasons suggested for operating at night are lack of day-time theatre space and the need to gain experience. There was considerable variation in the frequency with which different types of operation were performed among hospitals. The views of the panel suggest that up to one-third of operations currently performed at night could be postponed. It may be possible to postpone a higher proportion of operations performed after midnight. The appropriateness of the remaining operations has major implications for the work of consultants following the implementation of Achieving a Balance.

One year of tuberculosis in Auckland.

AIM: To describe the recent epidemiology of tuberculosis in Auckland and the outcome of contact investigations. METHOD: Routine public health data were used to review the experience of tuberculosis (TB) in the Auckland region during a twelve month period in 1992-3. RESULTS: There were 152 cases, an age-standardised rate of 2.7 per 100,000 for Europeans, 37.8 for Maori, 70.9 for Pacific Island Polynesians and 131.3 for other ethnic groups. Fifty-two (35%) were born in New Zealand; 46 (31%) in Asia; 44 (30%) in the Pacific Islands. Forty-seven percent of foreign-born cases (28% of all cases) arrived in New Zealand in the 4 years preceding their notification. Forty-one per cent of cases appear not to have been diagnosed until 3 months or longer after the onset of their symptoms. Fifteen cases (including three sputum smear-positive cases) took 4 weeks or longer from diagnosis to be notified to the public health office. 12.5% of isolates were not notified. Two per cent of the 1079 contacts examined had tuberculosis. CONCLUSION: This review highlights the need for tuberculosis and the importance of timely comprehensive screening of immigrants from high incidence countries; reducing the interval between onset of symptoms and diagnosis; improving the notification rate of tuberculosis; and focusing contact investigation on those at highest risk.

The validity of Maori hospital discharge statistics for ischaemic heart disease in New Zealand.

Data from an Auckland coronary heart disease register for the years 1983 to 1991 have been used to assess the validity of routine national statistics on Maori hospital discharge rates for ischaemic heart disease. Ethnicity as recorded on the hospital admission record was compared with self defined ethnicity as recorded by register interviewers. Unlike routine New Zealand mortality statistics, where there is marked underreporting of Maori mortality, it appears that hospital discharge statistics are not markedly affected by misclassification of ethnicity. Approximately 12% of those classified on the admission record as Maori considered themselves to be of a different ethnicity, and 0.5% of those classified as 'other' considered themselves to be Maori. Because of the small proportion of the population (and of ischaemic heart disease deaths) who are Maori, the two misclassifications cancel out and the overall routinely reported hospital morbidity rates are similar to rates based on self reported ethnicity. For example, in 1990, routine national statistics show that there were 345 Maori hospital discharges or deaths due to ischaemic heart disease, and 8946 events among other ethnic groups. After adjustment using the register figures to reflect self defined ethnicity, the figures were 347 and 8944 respectively.

Trends in coronary heart disease risk factors in Auckland 1982-94.

AIMS: This paper describes trends in major coronary heart disease risk factors over the period 1982 to 1994 in the city of Auckland, New Zealand. METHODS: Coronary heart disease risk factor levels were measured in three cross-sectional surveys in Auckland in 1982, 1986-8 and 1993-4, following a standardised protocol. Random samples of nonMaori, nonPacific Island adults aged 35-64 years were selected from the Auckland general electoral rolls using similar methods in all three surveys. Participants attended a study centre for interview and risk factor measurement. RESULTS: The analyses presented are based on samples of 1029 men and 569 women in 1982, 541 men and 365 women in 1986-8, and 712 men and 685 women in 1993-4. The data are directly age-standardised to the 1986 New Zealand population. Over the 12 year period the prevalence of self-reported cigarette consumption declined significantly from 28.6% to 16.9% in men and from 24.5% to 14.8% in women. Mean serum total cholesterol showed little change between 1982 and 1986-8 but declined significantly between 1986-8 and 1993-4 by approximately 6% from 6.12 mmol/L to 5.73 mmol/L in men and by 9% from 6.17 mmol/L to 5.60 mmol/L in women. Mean serum high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol showed a modest increase between 1982 and 1986-8 but declined significantly between 1986-8 and 1993-4 by 12% from 1.25 mmol/L to 1.10 mmol/L in men and by 9% from 1.55 mmol/L in women to 1.40 mmol/L in women. The total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio increased significantly between 1986-8 and 1993-4 by 6% in men but showed little change in women. Mean blood pressure levels fell by 4-6 mmHg systolic and 6-7 mmHg diastolic over the 12 year period in men and women. Mean body mass index increased significantly from 25.6 to 26.4 in men and from 24.5 to 25.1 in women during this period. CONCLUSIONS: Over the 12 year period, 1982-94 there have been substantial reductions in the prevalence of self reported cigarette smoking, mean serum total cholesterol levels and mean blood pressure levels in middle aged Aucklanders. Of concern, the prevalence of obesity has increased and mean serum HDL cholesterol levels have fallen over the period. Coronary heart disease prevention and control programmes appear to have been successful in reducing the prevalence of most major coronary heart disease risk factors however some reorientation will be required to redress the adverse trends in HDL cholesterol levels and obesity.

New Zealand guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemia: implications for treatment in an urban New Zealand population.

AIMS: The paper uses coronary heart disease risk factor prevalence data from a defined urban population to assess the potential impact of implementing the New Zealand National Heart Foundation "Guidelines for detection and management of dyslipidaemia" on the treatment of dyslipidaemia in New Zealand. METHODS: Coronary heart disease risk factor data was collected on an age stratified random sample of Auckland residents aged 35-74 years. The 10 year absolute risk of coronary heart disease was calculated for each participant aged between 35-64 years and management options determined from the National Heart Foundation guidelines. The Framingham equation used in these guidelines was used to extrapolate the 10 year risk of a coronary event in the 65-74 year age group. The proportions of participants potentially requiring treatment with lipid modifying medication were identified and extrapolated to the New Zealand European population. A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to assess the impact of 5% and 10% reductions in total cholesterol following dietary intervention on numbers meeting the drug treatment criteria. RESULTS: The proportion of participants potentially requiring lipid modifying treatment based on the guidelines was considerably higher than estimates of current treatment rates in each age group. The number meeting the treatment criteria increased dramatically with age. By the age of 65-74 years one in five participants met the drug treatment criteria. A 5% and 10% reduction in total cholesterol following dietary intervention reduced the proportion of participants potentially requiring drugs by almost one quarter and one half respectively. CONCLUSION: The approach taken by the New Zealand National Heart Foundation guidelines appropriately gives highest priority to patients at highest risk of a coronary event. If this high risk approach is extrapolated to older age groups, it will lead to more drug treatment among the elderly. Further evidence from randomised controlled trials on benefits of using cholesterol modifying medication in older age groups is required. Future guidelines need to address specifically criteria for use of lipid modifying medications in older age groups. Reductions in the numbers meeting drug treatment criteria following 5% and 10% reductions in total cholesterol reinforces the importance of dietary management.

Using thresholds based on risk of cardiovascular disease to target treatment for hypertension: modelling events averted and number treated.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the impact of using thresholds based on absolute risk of cardiovascular disease to target drug treatment to lower blood pressure in the community. DESIGN: Modelling of three thresholds of treatment for hypertension based on the absolute risk of cardiovascular disease. 5 year risk of disease was estimated for each participant using an equation to predict risk. Net predicted impact of the thresholds on the number of people treated and the number of disease events averted over 5 years was calculated assuming a relative treatment benefit of one quarter. SETTING: Auckland, New Zealand. PARTICIPANTS: 2158 men and women aged 35-79 years randomly sampled from the general electoral rolls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Predicted 5 year risk of cardiovascular disease event, estimated number of people for whom treatment would be recommended, and disease events averted over 5 years at different treatment thresholds. RESULTS: 46 374 (12%) Auckland residents aged 35-79 receive drug treatment to lower their blood pressure, averting an estimated 1689 disease events over 5 years. Restricting treatment to individuals with blood pressure >/=170/100 mm Hg and those with blood pressure between 150/90-169/99 mm Hg who have a predicted 5 year risk of disease >/=10% would increase the net number for whom treatment would be recommended by 19 401. This 42% relative increase is predicted to avert 1139/1689 (68%) additional disease events overall over 5 years compared with current treatment. If the threshold for 5 year risk of disease is set at 15% the number recommended for treatment increases by <10% but about 620/1689 (37%) additional events can be averted. A 20% threshold decreases the net number of patients recommended for treatment by about 10% but averts 204/1689 (12%) more disease events than current treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing treatment guidelines that use treatment thresholds based on absolute risk could significantly improve the efficiency of drug treatment to lower blood pressure in primary care.

Antibacterial prescribing and antibacterial resistance in English general practice: cross sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the relation between community based antibacterial prescribing and antibacterial resistance in community acquired disease. DESIGN: Cross sectional study of antibacterial prescribing and antibacterial resistance of routine isolates within individual practices and primary care groups. SETTING: 405 general practices (38 groups) in south west and north west England. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Correlation between antibacterial prescribing and resistance for urinary coliforms and Streptococcus pneumoniae. RESULTS: Antibacterial resistance in urinary coliform isolates is common but the correlation with prescribing rates was relatively low for individual practices (ampicillin and amoxicillin r(s)=0.20, P=0.001; trimethoprim r(s)=0.24, P=0.0001) and primary care groups (ampicillin and amoxicillin r(s)=0.44, P=0.05; trimethoprim r(s)=0.31, P=0.09). Regression coefficients were also low; a practice prescribing 20% less ampicillin and amoxicillin than average would have about 1% fewer resistant isolates (0.94/100; 95% confidence interval 0.02 to 1.85). Resistance of S pneumoniae to both penicillin and erythromycin remains uncommon, and no clear relation with prescribing was found. CONCLUSIONS: Routine microbiological isolates should not be used for surveillance of antibacterial resistance in the community or for monitoring the outcome of any change in antibacterial prescribing by general practitioners. Trying to reduce the overall level of antibiotic prescribing in UK general practice may not be the most effective strategy for reducing resistance in the community.

Effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriage: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in healthy adults.

Observational studies have reported an inverse association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentrations and Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriage; however, clinical trials of vitamin D supplementation are lacking. To assess the effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on persistent S. aureus nasal carriage we conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial among 322 healthy adults. Participants were given an oral dose of either 200 000 IU vitamin D3 for each of 2 months, followed by 100 000 IU monthly or placebo in an identical dosing regimen, for a total of 18 months. Nasal swabs for S. aureus culture and serum for 25OHD measurement were obtained at baseline, 6, 12 and 18 months of study. The mean baseline concentration of 25OHD was 72 nM (SD 22 nM). Vitamin D3 supplementation increased 25OHD levels which were maintained at >120 nM throughout the study. Nasal colonization by S. aureus was found in 31% of participants at baseline. Persistent carriage, defined as those that had positive S. aureus nasal cultures for all post-baseline swabs, occurred in 20% of the participants but vitamin D3 supplementation was not associated with a reduction in persistent carriage (OR = 1.39, 95% CI 0.63-3.06). Risk factor analysis showed that only gender was significantly associated with carriage, where women were less likely to be carriers than men (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.54-0.99). Serum 25OHD concentrations were not associated with the risk of carriage. In conclusion, monthly administration of 100 000 IU of vitamin D3 did not reduce persistent S. aureus nasal carriage.