Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease prevalence and prediction in a high-risk lung cancer screening population.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an underdiagnosed condition sharing risk factors with lung cancer. Lung cancer screening may provide an opportunity to improve COPD diagnosis. Using Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer (PanCan) study data, the present study sought to determine the following: 1) What is the prevalence of COPD in a lung cancer screening population? 2) Can a model based on clinical and screening low-dose CT scan data predict the likelihood of COPD? METHODS: The single arm PanCan study recruited current or former smokers age 50-75 who had a calculated risk of lung cancer of at least 2% over 6 years. A baseline health questionnaire, spirometry, and low-dose CT scan were performed. CT scans were assessed by a radiologist for extent and distribution of emphysema. With spirometry as the gold standard, logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with COPD. RESULTS: Among 2514 recruited subjects, 1136 (45.2%) met spirometry criteria for COPD, including 833 of 1987 (41.9%) of those with no prior diagnosis, 53.8% of whom had moderate or worse disease. In a multivariate model, age, current smoking status, number of pack-years, presence of dyspnea, wheeze, participation in a high-risk occupation, and emphysema extent on LDCT were all statistically associated with COPD, while the overall model had poor discrimination (c-statistic = 0.627 (95% CI of 0.607 to 0.650). The lowest and the highest risk decile in the model predicted COPD risk of 27.4 and 65.3%. CONCLUSIONS: COPD had a high prevalence in a lung cancer screening population. While a risk model had poor discrimination, all deciles of risk had a high prevalence of COPD, and spirometry could be considered as an additional test in lung cancer screening programs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: (Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00751660 , registered September 12, 2008).

Participant selection for lung cancer screening by risk modelling (the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer [PanCan] study): a single-arm, prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Results from retrospective studies indicate that selecting individuals for low-dose CT lung cancer screening on the basis of a highly predictive risk model is superior to using criteria similar to those used in the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST; age, pack-year, and smoking quit-time). We designed the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer (PanCan) study to assess the efficacy of a risk prediction model to select candidates for lung cancer screening, with the aim of determining whether this approach could better detect patients with early, potentially curable, lung cancer. METHODS: We did this single-arm, prospective study in eight centres across Canada. We recruited participants aged 50-75 years, who had smoked at some point in their life (ever-smokers), and who did not have a self-reported history of lung cancer. Participants had at least a 2% 6-year risk of lung cancer as estimated by the PanCan model, a precursor to the validated PLCOm2012 model. Risk variables in the model were age, smoking duration, pack-years, family history of lung cancer, education level, body-mass index, chest x-ray in the past 3 years, and history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Individuals were screened with low-dose CT at baseline (T0), and at 1 (T1) and 4 (T4) years post-baseline. The primary outcome of the study was incidence of lung cancer. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00751660. FINDINGS: 7059 queries came into the study coordinating centre and were screened for PanCan risk. 15 were duplicates, so 7044 participants were considered for enrolment. Between Sept 24, 2008, and Dec 17, 2010, we recruited and enrolled 2537 eligible ever-smokers. After a median follow-up of 5·5 years (IQR 3·2-6·1), 172 lung cancers were diagnosed in 164 individuals (cumulative incidence 0·065 [95% CI 0·055-0·075], incidence rate 138·1 per 10 000 person-years [117·8-160·9]). There were ten interval lung cancers (6% of lung cancers and 6% of individuals with cancer): one diagnosed between T0 and T1, and nine between T1 and T4. Cumulative incidence was significantly higher than that observed in NLST (4·0%; p<0·0001). Compared with 593 (57%) of 1040 lung cancers observed in NLST, 133 (77%) of 172 lung cancers in the PanCan Study were early stage (I or II; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: The PanCan model was effective in identifying individuals who were subsequently diagnosed with early, potentially curable, lung cancer. The incidence of cancers detected and the proportion of early stage cancers in the screened population was higher than observed in previous studies. This approach should be considered for adoption in lung cancer screening programmes. FUNDING: Terry Fox Research Institute and Canadian Partnership Against Cancer.

Probability of cancer in pulmonary nodules detected on first screening CT.

BACKGROUND: Major issues in the implementation of screening for lung cancer by means of low-dose computed tomography (CT) are the definition of a positive result and the management of lung nodules detected on the scans. We conducted a population-based prospective study to determine factors predicting the probability that lung nodules detected on the first screening low-dose CT scans are malignant or will be found to be malignant on follow-up. METHODS: We analyzed data from two cohorts of participants undergoing low-dose CT screening. The development data set included participants in the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer Study (PanCan). The validation data set included participants involved in chemoprevention trials at the British Columbia Cancer Agency (BCCA), sponsored by the U.S. National Cancer Institute. The final outcomes of all nodules of any size that were detected on baseline low-dose CT scans were tracked. Parsimonious and fuller multivariable logistic-regression models were prepared to estimate the probability of lung cancer. RESULTS: In the PanCan data set, 1871 persons had 7008 nodules, of which 102 were malignant, and in the BCCA data set, 1090 persons had 5021 nodules, of which 42 were malignant. Among persons with nodules, the rates of cancer in the two data sets were 5.5% and 3.7%, respectively. Predictors of cancer in the model included older age, female sex, family history of lung cancer, emphysema, larger nodule size, location of the nodule in the upper lobe, part-solid nodule type, lower nodule count, and spiculation. Our final parsimonious and full models showed excellent discrimination and calibration, with areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of more than 0.90, even for nodules that were 10 mm or smaller in the validation set. CONCLUSIONS: Predictive tools based on patient and nodule characteristics can be used to accurately estimate the probability that lung nodules detected on baseline screening low-dose CT scans are malignant. (Funded by the Terry Fox Research Institute and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00751660.).

BRACHY: A Randomized Trial to Evaluate Symptom Improvement in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Treated With External Beam Radiation With or Without High-Dose-Rate Intraluminal Brachytherapy.

PURPOSE: Uncontrolled studies suggest that the addition of high-dose-rate intraluminal brachytherapy (HDRIB) to external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) may improve palliation for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential clinical benefit of adding HDRIB to EBRT in a multicenter randomized trial. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Patients with symptomatic stage III or IV NSCLC with endobronchial disease were randomized to EBRT (20 Gy in 5 daily fractions over 1 week or 30 Gy in 10 daily fractions over 2 weeks) or the same EBRT plus HDRIB (14 Gy in 2 fractions separated by 1 week). The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who achieved symptomatic improvement in patient-reported overall lung cancer symptoms on the Lung Cancer Symptom Scale (LCSS) at 6 weeks after randomization. Secondary outcomes included improvement in individual symptoms, symptom-progression-free survival, overall survival, and toxicity. The planned sample size was 250 patients based on detection of symptomatic improvement from 40% to 60% with a 2-sided α of .05 and 80% power. RESULTS: A total of 134 patients were randomized over 4.5 years: 67 to each arm. The study closed early owing to slow accrual. The mean age was 69.8 years, and 67% of patients had metastatic disease. At 6 weeks, 19 patients (28.4%) in the EBRT arm and 20 patients (29.9%) in the EBRT plus HDRIB arm experienced an improvement in lung cancer symptoms (P = .84). When limited to patients who completed the LCSS, percentages were 40.4% versus 47.6%, respectively (P = .49). Between group differences in mean change scores (0.3-0.5 standard deviations) in favor of EBRT plus HDRIB were observed for overall symptoms, but only hemoptysis was significantly improved (P = .03). No significant differences were observed in progression-free or overall survival. Grade 3/4 toxicities were similar between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Small to moderate improvements were seen in symptom relief with the combined therapy, but they did not reach statistical significance. Further research is necessary before recommending HDRIB in addition to EBRT for palliation of lung cancer symptoms.

Risk Perception Among a Lung Cancer Screening Population.

BACKGROUND: A successful lung cancer screening program requires a patient cohort at sufficient risk of developing cancer who are willing to participate. Among other factors, a patient's lung cancer risk perception may inform their attitudes toward screening and smoking cessation programs. RESEARCH QUESTION: This study analyzed data from the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer (PanCan) Study to address the following questions: Which factors are associated with the perception of lung cancer risk? Is there an association between risk perception for lung cancer and actual calculated risk? Is there an association between risk perception for lung cancer and the intent to quit smoking? Are there potential targets for lung cancer screening awareness? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The PanCan study recruited current or former smokers aged 50 to 75 years who had at least a 2% risk of developing lung cancer over 6 years to undergo low-dose screening CT. Risk perception and worry about lung cancer were captured on a baseline questionnaire. Cumulative logistic regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between baseline risk variables and both lung cancer risk perception and worry. RESULTS: Among the 2,514 individuals analyzed, a higher perceived risk of lung cancer was positively associated with calculated risk (P = .032). Younger age, being a former smoker, respiratory symptoms, lower FEV1, COPD, and a family history of lung cancer were associated with higher perceived risk. Conversely, a consistent relationship between calculated risk and worry was not identified. There was a positive association between risk perception and lung cancer worry and reported intent to quit smoking. INTERPRETATION: Individuals' lung cancer risk perception correlated positively with calculated risk in a screening population. Promotion of screening programs may benefit from focusing on factors associated with higher risk perception; conversely, harnessing worry seemingly holds less value.

The Cost-Effectiveness of High-Risk Lung Cancer Screening and Drivers of Program Efficiency.

INTRODUCTION: Lung cancer risk prediction models have the potential to make programs more affordable; however, the economic evidence is limited. METHODS: Participants in the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial (NLST) were retrospectively identified with the risk prediction tool developed from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. The high-risk subgroup was assessed for lung cancer incidence and demographic characteristics compared with those in the low-risk subgroup and the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer Study (PanCan), which is an observational study that was high-risk-selected in Canada. A comparison of high-risk screening versus standard care was made with a decision-analytic model using data from the NLST with Canadian cost data from screening and treatment in the PanCan study. Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were undertaken to assess uncertainty and identify drivers of program efficiency. RESULTS: Use of the risk prediction tool developed from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial with a threshold set at 2% over 6 years would have reduced the number of individuals who needed to be screened in the NLST by 81%. High-risk screening participants in the NLST had more adverse demographic characteristics than their counterparts in the PanCan study. High-risk screening would cost $20,724 (in 2015 Canadian dollars) per quality-adjusted life-year gained and would be considered cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 in Canadian dollars per quality-adjusted life-year gained with a probability of 0.62. Cost-effectiveness was driven primarily by non-lung cancer outcomes. Higher noncurative drug costs or current costs for immunotherapy and targeted therapies in the United States would render lung cancer screening a cost-saving intervention. CONCLUSIONS: Non-lung cancer outcomes drive screening efficiency in diverse, tobacco-exposed populations. Use of risk selection can reduce the budget impact, and screening may even offer cost savings if noncurative treatment costs continue to rise.

Low Prevalence of High-Grade Lesions Detected With Autofluorescence Bronchoscopy in the Setting of Lung Cancer Screening in the Pan-Canadian Lung Cancer Screening Study.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer screening with low-dose CT (LDCT) scan has been demonstrated to reduce lung cancer mortality. Preliminary reports suggested that up to 20% of lung cancers may be CT scan occult but detectable by autofluorescence bronchoscopy (AFB). We evaluated the prevalence of CT scan occult, invasive, and high-grade preinvasive lesions in high-risk participants undergoing screening for lung cancer. METHODS: The first 1,300 participants from seven centers in the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer Study who had ≥ 2% lung cancer risk over 5 years were invited to have an AFB in addition to a LDCT scan. We determined the prevalence of CT scan and AFB abnormalities and analyzed the association between selected predictor variables and preinvasive lesions plus invasive cancer. RESULTS: A total of 776 endobronchial biopsies were performed in 333 of 1,300 (25.6%) participants. Dysplastic or higher-grade lesions were detected in 5.3% of the participants (n = 68; mild dysplasia: n = 36, moderate dysplasia: n = 25, severe dysplasia: n = 3, carcinoma in situ [CIS]: n = 1, and carcinoma: n = 4). Only one typical carcinoid tumor and one CIS lesion were detected by AFB alone, for a rate of CT scan occult cancer of 0.15% (95% CI, 0.0%-0.6%). Fifty-six prevalence lung cancers were detected by LDCT scan (4.3%). The only independent risk factors for finding of dysplasia or CIS on AFB were smoking duration (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07) and FEV1 percent predicted (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of AFB to LDCT scan in a high lung cancer risk cohort detected too few CT occult cancers (0.15%) to justify its incorporation into a lung cancer screening program. TRIAL REGISTRY: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT00751660; URL: www.clinicaltrials.gov.

A prospective analysis of high-dose-rate endobronchial brachytherapy in the palliation of obstructive symptoms in lung cancer patients: A single-institution experience.

PURPOSE: Obstructive symptoms that affect quality of life (QOL) are commonly caused by endobronchial disease in many patients with locally advanced, inoperable lung cancer. High-dose-rate endobronchial brachytherapy (HDREBBT) has been used to palliate these symptoms, yet its role is not well defined in the literature. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Ninety-eight patients with locally advanced, inoperable lung cancer received HDREBBT. They were prospectively followed for survival, QOL, and toxicity endpoints. QOL measures were captured using the Quality of Life Questionnaire-Lung Cancer 30 and -Lung Cancer 13. RESULTS: At 1-year follow-up, no significant toxicities were seen. Overall survival was 13.4% at 12 months (mean 192 days). Performance status, additional treatment after HDREBBT and treatment intent affected overall survival on univariate analysis (p < 0.05). Mean hemoptysis-free survival for all patients was 232.3 days, cough-free survival was 140.3 days, and dyspnea-free survival was 173.5 days. There was no impact of any treatment- or patient-related factors of these outcomes on multivariate analysis, including additional treatment modalities and HDREBBT dose. CONCLUSIONS: HDREBBT is a safe and effective way to palliate endobronchial symptoms. Additional external-beam radiation therapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiation after HDREBBT improves survival, but does not affect QOL measures.

Endotracheal brachytherapy alone: An effective palliative treatment for tracheal tumors.

BACKGROUND: Tracheal tumors are rare. They are usually unresectable and treated primarily with external beam radiation. The use of palliative endotracheal brachytherapy (ETBT) alone in treating patients with tracheal tumors has not been reported. METHODS: Using a prospective database, demographic, treatment, and outcome data of patients with tracheal tumors treated palliatively with ETBT from 2006 to 2014 were analyzed. Tumor and symptom responses were evaluated based on response evaluation criteria in solid tumors criteria. Survival, in-field disease control, symptom response, and duration of symptom responses were evaluated using descriptive analyses. RESULTS: Sixteen ETBT (median, 2) treatments were delivered to 8 patients. Median age was 63.4 years old. Common symptoms were hemoptysis, cough, and dyspnea. Tracheal lengths of 3.5-11 cm were treated with 5-7 Gy/fraction, using 1-3 fractions. The mean overall survival was 5 months and symptom-free survival was 6.8 months, respectively. After ETBT, 88% of patients experienced symptomatic improvement (hemoptysis [n = 3/3], cough [n = 6/7], and dyspnea [n = 4/4]). One patient developed Grade 1 stenosis that did not require intervention. CONCLUSIONS: This is among the largest series of tracheal tumors treated palliatively with ETBT alone. ETBT provided effective palliation with symptom improvement and minimal toxicity.

Influence of perceived functional and employment status on cardiopulmonary resuscitation directives.

BACKGROUND: Perceptions about functional and employment status before admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) may influence how patients and clinicians make decisions about cardiopulmonary resuscitation. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between cardiopulmonary resuscitation directives established within 24 hours of admission to the ICU and clinical perceptions of premorbid functional and employment status. DESIGN: Prospective observational study in 15 university-affiliated centers in Canada, the United States, Australia, and Sweden. PATIENTS: A total of 1,008 ICU patients aged 18 years or older expected to stay in the ICU at least 72 hours. MEASUREMENTS: By using multinomial logistic regression, we examined the relationship between functional status and employment status perceived by the ICU team 1 month before ICU admission (the independent variables) and resuscitation status (the dependent variable). Each patient had either an explicit resuscitation directive (to resuscitate or not to resuscitate), or an implicit resuscitation directive to resuscitate. RESULTS: On average, patients were 61.7 years (+/-17.4 y) old with an Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score of 21.5 (+/-8.7); 846 (83.9%) were ventilated mechanically within 48 hours and 345 (34.2%) died in the ICU. Most patients (793, 78.7%) had no explicit resuscitation directive; 98 (9.7%) had an explicit plan to resuscitate, whereas 117 (11.6%) had an explicit plan of do-not-resuscitate. Of 1,008 patients, 98 (9.7%) were severely functionally limited, 217 (21.5%) were somewhat limited, 628 (62.3%) were totally independent, and 65 (6.4%) had unknown functional status 1 month before ICU admission. Severe functional status impairment was associated moderately with an explicit plan to resuscitate (odds ratio, 2.2 relative to no explicit directive) and associated strongly with an explicit do-not-resuscitate plan (odds ratio, 6.2 relative to no explicit directive, P value on the difference =.011). This relationship was not influenced by age, sex, APACHE II score, medical or surgical status, admission diagnosis, employment status, or city. However, severe functional status was associated strongly and significantly with an explicit do-not-resuscitate directive among those who could not participate in decision making (odds ratio, 8.2; 95% confidence interval, 4.5-15.0), and more weakly associated in those who could participate (odds ratio, 1.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.3-8.6). Being unemployed was associated with an increased odds of an explicit resuscitation directive versus no explicit directive (odds ratio, 5.5; 95% confidence interval, 2.2-13.4). CONCLUSIONS: Functional status impairment perceived by the ICU team is associated clearly with do-not-resuscitate directives in patients unable to participate in decision making. However, the association appears much weaker in patients able to participate in decision making. PATIENTS' perceived employment status also may influence resuscitation decisions. Our results emphasize the challenges of ensuring that crucial resuscitation decisions are not affected adversely by patients' inability to participate in decisions, and by their functional and employment status.

Resource utilization and costs during the initial years of lung cancer screening with computed tomography in Canada.

BACKGROUND: It is estimated that millions of North Americans would qualify for lung cancer screening and that billions of dollars of national health expenditures would be required to support population-based computed tomography lung cancer screening programs. The decision to implement such programs should be informed by data on resource utilization and costs. METHODS: Resource utilization data were collected prospectively from 2059 participants in the Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer Study using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT). Participants who had 2% or greater lung cancer risk over 3 years using a risk prediction tool were recruited from seven major cities across Canada. A cost analysis was conducted from the Canadian public payer's perspective for resources that were used for the screening and treatment of lung cancer in the initial years of the study. RESULTS: The average per-person cost for screening individuals with LDCT was $453 (95% confidence interval [CI], $400-$505) for the initial 18-months of screening following a baseline scan. The screening costs were highly dependent on the detected lung nodule size, presence of cancer, screening intervention, and the screening center. The mean per-person cost of treating lung cancer with curative surgery was $33,344 (95% CI, $31,553-$34,935) over 2 years. This was lower than the cost of treating advanced-stage lung cancer with chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or supportive care alone, ($47,792; 95% CI, $43,254-$52,200; p = 0.061). CONCLUSION: In the Pan-Canadian study, the average cost to screen individuals with a high risk for developing lung cancer using LDCT and the average initial cost of curative intent treatment were lower than the average per-person cost of treating advanced stage lung cancer which infrequently results in a cure.