Prediction of the mechanism of suicide among Minnesota residents using data from the Minnesota violent death reporting system (MNVDRS).

BACKGROUND: Suicide remains a major public health problem, and firearms are used in approximately half of all such incidents. This study sought to predict the occurrence of suicide specifically by firearm, as opposed to any other means of suicide, in order to help inform possible life-saving interventions. METHODS: This study involved data from the Minnesota Violent Death Reporting System. Models evaluated whether data beyond basic demographics generated increased prediction accuracy. Models were built using random forests, logistic regression and data imputation. Models were evaluated for prediction accuracy using the area under the curve analysis and for proper calibration. RESULTS: Results showed that models constructed with social determinants and personal history data led to increased prediction accuracy in comparison to models constructed with basic demographic information only. The study identified an optimised 'top 20' variables model with a 73% chance of correctly discerning relative incident risk for a pair of individuals. Age, height/weight, employment industry/occupation, sex and education level were found to be most highly predictive of firearm suicide in the study's 'top 20' model. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrated that the use of a firearm in a death by suicide, as opposed to any other means of suicide, can be reasonably well predicted when an individual's social determinants and personal history are considered. These predictive models could help inform many prevention strategies, such as safe storage practices, background checks for firearm purchases or red flag laws.

Opioid-related Mortality in United States Death Certificate Data: A Quantitative Bias Analysis With Expert Elicitation of Bias Parameters.

BACKGROUND: Opioid-related mortality is an important public health problem in the United States. Incidence estimates rely on death certificate data generated by health care providers and medical examiners. Opioid overdoses may be underreported when other causes of death appear plausible. We applied physician-elicited death certificate bias parameters to quantitative bias analyses assessing potential age-related differential misclassification in US opioid-related mortality estimates. METHODS: We obtained cause-of-death data (US, 2017) from the National Center for Health Statistics and calculated crude opioid-related outpatient death counts by age category (25-54, 55-64, 65+). We elicited beliefs from 10 primary care physicians on sensitivity of opioid-related death classification from death certificates. We summarized elicited sensitivity estimates, calculated plausible specificity values, and applied resulting parameters in a probabilistic bias analysis. RESULTS: Physicians estimated wide sensitivity ranges for classification of opioid-related mortality by death certificates, with lower estimated sensitivities among older age groups. Probabilistic bias analyses adjusting for physician-estimated misclassification indicated 3.1 times more (95% uncertainty interval: 1.2-23.5) opioid-related deaths than the observed death count in the 65+ age group. All age groups had substantial increases in bias-adjusted death counts. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and implemented a feasible method of eliciting physician expert opinion on bias parameters for sensitivity of a medical record-based death indicator and applied findings in quantitative bias analyses adjusting for differential misclassification. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that opioid-related mortality rates may be substantially underestimated, particularly among older adults, due to misclassification in cause-of-death data from death certificates.

Examining Excess Mortality Among Critical Workers in Minnesota During 2020-2021: An Occupational Analysis.

Objectives. To understand the occupational risk associated with COVID-19 among civilian critical workers (aged 16-65 years) in Minnesota. Methods. We estimated excess mortality in 2020 to 2021 for critical occupations in different racial groups and vaccine rollout phases using death certificates and occupational employment rates for 2017 to 2021. Results. Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic was higher for workers in critical occupations than for noncritical workers. Some critical occupations, such as transportation and logistics, construction, and food service, experienced higher excess mortality than did other critical occupations, such as health care, K-12 school staff, and agriculture. In almost all occupations investigated, workers of color experienced higher excess mortality than did White workers. Excess mortality in 2021 was greater than in 2020 across groups: occupations, vaccine eligibility tiers, and race/ethnicity. Conclusions. Although workers in critical occupations experienced greater excess mortality than did others, excess mortality among critical workers varied substantially by occupation and race. Public Health Implications. Analysis of mortality across occupations can be used to identify vulnerable populations, prioritize protective interventions for them, and develop targeted worker safety protocols to promote equitable health outcomes. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(11):1219-1222. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307395).

Barriers and Facilitators to the Online Delivery of a School-Based Intervention to Reduce Racial Trauma.

Students of color face disproportionate rates of adverse childhood experiences, including racial discrimination in school settings. Effective interventions strategies are needed to address school-based racial trauma. Link for Equity was designed to be a culturally-responsive trauma-informed intervention that includes universal cultural humility training for teachers. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the in-person trauma-informed cultural humility training was adapted for online delivery. The purpose of this study was to assess barriers and facilitators that impacted online delivery of the training. We conducted semi-structured interviews with 25 high school teachers from three public school districts in the Midwestern United States who participated in the online training. Interview transcripts were coded by two team members, and thematic analysis was utilized. Barriers and facilitators to online delivery were identified across five domains: receptivity, logistics, engagement, comfort, and application. The implications of these barriers and facilitators are discussed and tailored recommendations for the virtual delivery of culturally-responsive trauma-informed interventions to reduce racial discrimination in schools are provided.

Violence in the Great Recession.

Substantial evidence suggests that economic hardship causes violence. However, a large majority of this research relies on observational studies that use traditional violence surveillance systems that suffer from selection bias and over-represent vulnerable populations, such as people of color. To overcome limitations of prior work, we employed a quasi-experimental design to assess the impact of the Great Recession on explicit violence diagnoses (injuries identified to be caused by a violent event) and proxy violence diagnoses (injuries highly correlated with violence) for child maltreatment, intimate partner violence, elder abuse, and their combination. We used Minnesota hospital data (2004-2014), conducting a difference-in-differences analysis at the county level (n = 86) using linear regression to compare changes in violence rates from before the recession (2004-2007) to after the recession (2008-2014) in counties most affected by the recession, versus changes over the same time period in counties less affected by the recession. The findings suggested that the Great Recession had little or no impact on explicitly identified violence; however, it affected proxy-identified violence. Counties that were more highly affected by the Great Recession saw a greater increase in the average rate of proxy-identified child abuse, elder abuse, intimate partner violence, and combined violence when compared with less-affected counties.

A serial cross-sectional study of trends and predictors of prescription controlled substance-related traumatic injury.

Pre-injury drug use is a key contributor to traumatic injury. However, limited research has examined trends and predictors of controlled substance-related trauma. The present study aims to provide better clarity on the specific role of prescription-controlled substances (PCS) in traumatic injury events. The data source was the American College of Surgeons National Trauma Data Bank. Trends by injury mechanism and intent for patients with PCS and no-confirmed substances were compared from 2007 to 2014. Logistic regression models were also performed to examine the association between substance use and injury mechanism and intent for data across the study period. Of 405,334 trauma patients, 328,623 (81.1%) had no-confirmed substances and 76,711 (18.9%) had PCS detected. The majority of events in the PCS and no-confirmed substance groups were classified as unintentional. Motor vehicle traffic (MVT), falls, other transport, and cut/pierce injuries accounted for approximately 80% of all injuries. From 2007 to 2014, the proportion of injuries with PCS increased for all injury mechanisms and injury intents. The injury mechanisms of fire/burn, firearm, machinery, poisoning, and other transport were significantly more likely to have PCS relative to MVT injuries. For injury intent, self-harm was more likely to have a toxicology test positive for PCS, while assault was less likely to have a toxicology test positive for PCS compared to unintentional injuries. PCS-related traumatic injuries increased significantly over time and across injury mechanisms and intents. These findings can be used to inform prescribing and understand risk factors to reduce the likelihood of PCS-related traumatic injury.

Differential effectiveness of the Minnesota Safe Patient Handling Act by health care setting: An exploratory study.

BACKGROUND: The Minnesota Safe Patient Handling (MN SPH) Act requires health care facilities to implement comprehensive programs to protect their workers from musculoskeletal injuries caused by lifting and transferring patients. Nursing homes, hospitals, and outpatient facilities each face unique challenges implementing and maintaining SPH programs. The objective of the study was to compare patient handling injuries in these three health care settings and determine whether change in injury rate over time differed by setting following enactment of the law. METHODS: Workers' compensation data from a Minnesota-based insurer were used to describe worker and claim characteristics in nursing homes, hospitals, and outpatient facilities. Negative binomial models were used to compare claims and estimate mean annual patient handling claim rates by health care setting and time period following enactment of the law. RESULTS: Consistent with national data, the patient handling claim rate was highest in Minnesota nursing homes (168 claims/$100 million payroll [95% confidence interval: 163-174]) followed by hospitals (35/$100 million payroll [34-37]) and outpatient facilities (2/$100 million payroll [1.8-2.2]). Patient handling claims declined by 38% over 10 years following enactment of the law (vs. 27% for all other claims). The change in claims over time did not differ by health care setting. CONCLUSIONS: In this single-insurer sample, declines in workers' compensation claims for patient handling injuries were consistent across health care settings following enactment of a state SPH law. Though nursing homes experienced elevated claim rates overall, results suggest they are not lagging hospitals and outpatient facilities in reducing patient handling injuries.

The Importance of Anti-Racism in Trauma-Informed Family Engagement.

Students of color are disproportionately affected by exposure to adverse childhood experiences (ACEs), racial trauma, and traumatic stress. Trauma-informed interventions in schools can promote healing among ACE-impacted students of color. These interventions require collaboration with family members to decide upon services and referrals; however, educators commonly face challenges with engaging families. The study purpose is to understand barriers and facilitators to engaging families in trauma-informed mental health interventions for ACE-impacted students of color. As part of a larger school-based trauma-informed trial (Link for Equity), 6 focus groups were conducted with parents/guardians of color and school staff (n = 39) across 3 Midwestern school districts. Participants were asked open-ended questions about trauma, discrimination, school supports, and family engagement. Transcripts were coded by two team members, and thematic analysis was used to identify barriers/facilitators to family involvement. Results indicated that families of ACE-impacted students of color commonly experienced racism including microaggressions and stereotypes from the school community, which deterred engagement and prevented trusting relationships between families and school staff. Parents highlighted feeling excluded from decisions related to their child's education and that their voices were not heard or understood. Participants discussed the need for schools to consider how family obstacles (such as mental health and trauma) may prevent families from engaging with staff, and they recommended structural changes, such as anti-racism trainings for educators. Findings highlight the need for anti-racist work that addresses interpersonal and structural racism in schools, in order to promote family engagement in trauma-informed mental health interventions.

Evaluation of the Minnesota Safe Patient Handling Act: trends in workers' compensation indemnity claims in nursing home workers before and after enactment of the law.

OBJECTIVES: The 2007 Minnesota Safe Patient Handling Act aims to protect healthcare workers from injuries caused by lifting and transferring patients. The effectiveness of the law in nursing homes is unknown. This policy evaluation measured changes in patient handling injuries before and after the law was enacted. Additionally, it assessed whether effects of the law were modified by facility levels of staffing and retention. METHODS: Workers' compensation indemnity claims for years 2005-2016 were matched to annual direct care productive hours and facility characteristics (eg, profit status, hospital affiliation and region) for all Medicaid-certified nursing homes in Minnesota. Trends in patient handling claims were analysed using negative binomial regression with generalised estimating equations. The primary predictors were time period, staff hours per resident day and staff retention. RESULTS: The patient handling indemnity claim rate declined by 25% in years 4-6 and 38% in years 7-9 following enactment of the law. Claims for all other injuries and illnesses declined by 20% in years 7-9 only. Associations between time period and patient handling claims did not vary by levels of staffing or retention. However, independent of time, facilities with annual retention ≥75% (vs <65%) had a 17% lower patient handling claim rate. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest the law reduced patient handling claims in nursing homes. However, claim rates were elevated in facilities with low worker retention and those that were non-profit, not hospital-affiliated or in a non-metro area. Facilities with these characteristics may benefit from targeted state grants and consultation efforts.

Approach to analysing correlated contextual factors: an application for studies on violence.

BACKGROUND: Numerous public health studies, especially in the area of violence, examine the effects of contextual or group-level factors on health outcomes. Often, these contextual factors exhibit strong pairwise correlations, which pose a challenge when these factors are included as covariates in a statistical model. Such models may be characterised by inflated standard errors and unstable parameter estimates that may fluctuate drastically from sample to sample, where the excessive estimation variability is reflected by inflated standard errors. METHODS: We propose a three-stage approach for analysing correlated contextual factors that proceeds as follows: (1) a principal components analysis (PCA) is performed on the original set of correlated variables, (2) the primary generated principal components are included in a multilevel multivariable model and (3) the estimated parameters for these components are transformed into estimates for each of the original contextual factors. Using school violence data, we examined the associations between school crime and correlated contextual school factors (ie, English proficiency, academic performance, pupil to teacher ratio, average class size and children on free and reduced meals). RESULTS: From models ignoring correlations, school crime was not reliably associated with any of the contextual school factors. When models were fit with principal components, school crime was found to be positively associated with a school's student to teacher ratio, average classroom size and academic performance but negatively associated with the proportion of children who were on free and reduced meals. CONCLUSION: Our multistep approach is one way to address multicollinearity encountered in social epidemiological studies of violence.

Occupational differences in workers' compensation indemnity claims among direct care workers in Minnesota nursing homes, 2005-2016.

BACKGROUND: Nursing assistants have one of the highest injury rates in the U.S., but few population-based studies assess differential injury risk by occupation in nursing homes. This statewide study assessed differences in musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) and patient handling injuries among direct care workers in Minnesota nursing homes. METHODS: Indemnity claims from the Minnesota workers' compensation database were matched to time at risk from the Minnesota Nursing Home Report Card to estimate 2005 to 2016 injury and illness claim rates for certified nursing assistants (CNAs), licensed practical nurses (LPNs), and registered nurses (RNs). Associations between occupation and claim characteristics were assessed using multivariable regression modeling. RESULTS: Indemnity claim rates were 3.68, 1.38, and 0.69 per 100 full-time equivalent workers for CNAs, LPNs, and RNs, respectively. Patient handling injuries comprised 62% of claims. Compared to RNs, CNAs had higher odds of an indemnity claim resulting from an MSD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31-2.14) or patient handling injury (OR = 1.89; 95% CI, 1.47-2.45) as opposed to another type of injury or illness. CNAs had lower odds of receiving temporary and permanent partial disability benefits and higher odds of receiving a stipulation settlement. CONCLUSIONS: CNAs in Minnesota nursing homes are at heightened risk for lost time MSDs and patient handling injuries. Claims filed by CNAs are more frequently settled outside the regular workers' compensation benefit structure, an indication that the workers' compensation system is not providing adequate and timely benefits to these workers.

Characteristics of agricultural and occupational injuries by workers' compensation and other payer sources.

BACKGROUND: Workers' compensation claims data are routinely used to identify and describe work-related injury for public health surveillance and research, yet the proportion of work-related injuries covered by workers' compensation, especially in the agricultural industry, is unknown. METHODS: Using data from the Iowa Trauma Registry, we determined the sensitivity and specificity of the use of workers' compensation as a payer source to ascertain work-related injuries requiring acute care comparing agriculture with other rural industries. RESULTS: The sensitivity of workers' compensation as a payer source to identify work-related agricultural injuries was 18.5%, suggesting that the large majority of occupational agricultural injuries would not be accurately identified through workers' compensation records. For rural nonagricultural, rural occupational injuries, the sensitivity was higher (64.2%). Work-related agricultural injuries were most frequently covered by private insurance (39.6%) and public insurance (21.4%), while rural nonagricultural injuries were most frequently covered by workers' compensation (65.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Workers' compensation claims data will not include the majority of work-related agricultural injuries.

Workplace violence victimization in young workers: An analysis of the US National Crime Victimization Survey, 2008 to 2012.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to measure the frequency of workplace violence (WPV) victimization in 16 to 24-year olds in the United States and compare rates by occupation and demographics. METHODS: As an open cohort, participants 12 years or older in the National Crime Victimization Survey were interviewed at 6-month intervals over a 3-year period from 2008 to 2012. WPV victimization rates were calculated. Weighted, multilevel Poisson regression was used to compare WPV victimization rates by occupation and demographics. RESULTS: The rate of WPV victimization was 1.11 incidents per 1000 employed person-months (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.27). The highest rates of WPV were in protective service occupations (5.24/1000 person-months), transportation (3.04/1000 person-months), and retail sales (2.29/1000 person-months). Compared with their respective counterparts, lower rates of WPV victimization were found among younger, black, and rural/suburban workers. CONCLUSIONS: Findings identify occupations and target populations in need of future research and evidence-based interventions to improve the working conditions for young workers.

Psychosocial employment characteristics and postpartum maternal mental health symptoms.

INTRODUCTION: For new mothers returning to work, the role of the workplace psychosocial environment on maternal mental health has not been fully described. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to identify the relationship between psychosocial employment characteristics and mothers' postpartum depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms. METHODS: Ninety-seven women answered survey questions regarding employment, job demand, control, and support, and postpartum depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms soon after live birth and 6 months later. RESULTS: Working and nonworking mothers reported similar mental health symptoms. Psychological characteristics of employment were not associated with increased odds of mental health symptoms. Increased social support provided by coworkers, supervisors, and the organization was associated with reduced odds of anxiety symptoms. CONCLUSION: Our findings identified lack of workplace social support as a modifiable risk factor for postpartum anxiety. Future evaluations of workplace social support interventions may be explored to improve postpartum mental health symptoms. Am. J. Ind. Med. 60:109-120, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Link for Injured Kids: A Patient-Centered Program of Psychological First Aid After Trauma.

OBJECTIVE: Injury, the most common type of pediatric trauma, can lead to a number of adverse psychosocial outcomes, including posttraumatic stress disorder. Currently, few evidence-based parent programs exist to support children hospitalized after a traumatic injury. Using methods in evaluation and intervention research, we completed a formative research study to develop a new program of psychological first aid, Link for Injured Kids, aimed to educate parents in supporting their children after a severe traumatic injury. METHODS: Using qualitative methods, we held focus groups with parents and pediatric trauma providers of children hospitalized at a Level I Children's Hospital because of an injury in 2012. We asked focus group participants to describe reactions to trauma and review drafts of our intervention materials. RESULTS: Health professionals and caregivers reported a broad spectrum of emotional responses by their children or patients; however, difficulties were experienced during recovery at home and upon returning to school. All parents and health professionals recommended that interventions be offered to parents either in the emergency department or close to discharge among admissions. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this study strongly indicate a need for posttrauma interventions, particularly in rural settings, to support families of children to address the psychosocial outcomes in the aftermath of an injury. Findings presented here describe the process of intervention development that responds to the needs of an affected population.

A GIS-based Matched Case-control Study of Road Characteristics in Farm Vehicle Crashes.

BACKGROUND: Farm vehicle-related crashes (crashes) are hazardous for farm and non-farm vehicle users; however, most studies examine risk factors of injury given a crash, and shed little light on risk factors of crashes. We evaluated the association of road sinuosity and gradient with crashes in nine Midwestern States from 2005 to 2010. METHODS: We collected crash data from the state departments of transportation, and road segment data from the Environmental Sciences Research Institute. We measured gradient and sinuosity of road segments using ArcGIS. A road segment with a crash was defined as a case (n = 6,848), and that without a crash was defined as a control. Controls were matched to cases by ZIP code, road type, and length in 1:1 (controls = 6,808) matching scheme. In addition, a 1:many control matched scheme was employed such that all road segments adjacent to the case would serve as controls (n = 24,390). We computed odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using multivariable conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: The adjusted OR of a crash on a road segment with 6%-10% gradient was 0.60 (95% CI: 0.49, 0.75) as compared with a leveled (<1% gradient) road segment. Compared with a straight (<1% sinuosity) road segment, the adjusted OR of a crash on a road segment with 6%-10% sinuosity was 0.38 (95% CI: 0.29, 0.52). CONCLUSIONS: Roads with increased gradient and sinuosity had fewer farm crashes. These associations may be due to cautious driving behaviors on curvy or steep roads and road side signage alerting drivers of impending curve or grade.

Adverse childhood experiences and trauma informed care: the future of health care.

Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are related to short- and long-term negative physical and mental health consequences among children and adults. Studies of the last three decades on ACEs and traumatic stress have emphasized their impact and the importance of preventing and addressing trauma across all service systems utilizing universal systemic approaches. Current developments on the implementation of trauma informed care (TIC) in a variety of service systems call for the surveillance of trauma, resiliency, functional capacity, and health impact of ACEs. Despite such efforts in adult medical care, early identification of childhood trauma in children still remains a significant public health need. This article reviews childhood adversity and traumatic toxic stress, presents epidemiologic data on the prevalence of ACEs and their physical and mental health impacts, and discusses intervention modalities for prevention.

Lighting and marking policies are associated with reduced farm equipment-related crash rates: a policy analysis of nine Midwestern US states.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of roadway policies for lighting and marking of farm equipment in reducing crashes in Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wisconsin. METHODS: In this ecological study, state policies on lighting and marking of farm equipment were scored for compliance with standards of the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers (ASABE). Using generalized estimating equations negative binomial models, we estimated the relationships between lighting and marking scores, and farm equipment crash rates, per 100 000 farm operations. RESULTS: A total of 7083 crashes involving farm equipment was reported from 2005 to 2010 in the Upper Midwest and Great Plains. As the state lighting and marking score increased by 5 units, crash rates reduced by 17% (rate ratio=0.83; 95% CI 0.78 to 0.88). Lighting-only (rate ratio=0.48; 95% CI 0.45 to 0.51) and marking-only policies (rate ratio=0.89; 95% CI 0.83 to 0.96) were each associated with reduced crash rates. CONCLUSIONS: Aligning lighting and marking policies with ASABE standards may effectively reduce crash rates involving farm equipment.

Sexual violence experienced by male and female Chinese college students in Guangzhou.

OBJECTIVES: Sexual violence research in China is in its early stages. This study described the sexual violence experience of college students in Guangzhou, China, and examined the individual and family factors associated with increased sexual perpetration and victimisation. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey of 2200 college students from three universities in Guangzhou, China, was conducted in 2010. Data on sexual perpetration and/or victimisation experienced during the past 12 months were collected. Multinomial logistic regression was used to assess the individual and family factors associated with odds of sexual assault perpetration, victimisation, or both. RESULTS: Over a quarter (25.4%) of students experienced at least one form of sexual violence during the past 12 months, either as a perpetrator or as a victim, and nearly 10% of students experienced both perpetration and victimisation. The number of students who identified themselves as being solely a victim was almost three times lower than being a perpetrator only (n=87 vs n=246). Engaging in risky behaviours was associated with increased odds of being a perpetrator and being both a perpetrator and a victim. Prior mistreatment by teachers or bullying by others was linked to increased risk of both perpetration and victimisation. Male students who had indulgent parents (responsive but not demanding) were at increased risk of perpetration compared with those students with authoritative parents (responsive and demanding). CONCLUSIONS: The findings add to empirical data on sexual violence in college students and reinforce the urgent need for implementation of successful sexual violence prevention programmes in China.