Assessing the impact of rurality on oesophagogastric cancer survival in the North-East of Scotland- a prospective population cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Despite advances in oncology therapies and surgical techniques, survival from oesophagogastric cancer remains low. Poorer cancer outcomes and survival for rural dwellers is documented worldwide and has been an area of focus in Scotland since 2007 when changes to suspected cancer national referral guidelines and governmental mandates on delivering remote and rural healthcare occurred. Whether these changes in clinical practice has impacted upon upper gastrointestinal cancer remains unclear. METHODS: A prospective, single-centre observation study was performed. Data from the regional oesophagogastric cancer MDT between 2013 and 2019 were included. The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2020 tool provided a rurality code (1 or 2) based on patient postcode at time of referral. Survival outcomes for urban and rural patients were compared across demographic factors, disease factors and stage at presentation. RESULTS: A total of 1038 patients were included in this study. There was no significant difference between rural and urban groups in terms of sex of patient, age at diagnosis, cancer location, or tumour stage. Furthermore, no difference was identified between those commenced on a radical therapy with other treatment plans. Despite this, rurality predicted for an improved outcome on survival analysis (p = 0.012) and this was independent of other factors on multivariable analysis (HR = 0.78, 95%CI 0.66-0.98; p = 0.032). DISCUSSION: The difference in survival demonstrated here between urban and rural groups is not easily explained but may represent improvements to rural access to healthcare delivered as a result of Scottish Government reports.

The incidence of malignancy in the residual rectum of IBD patients after colectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) who have had a total colectomy remain with their rectum in situ, and are therefore at risk of rectal carcinoma. It is not clear how high the incidence of rectal cancer is in this cohort. The primary objective of this meta-analysis was to estimate the incidence of rectal cancer in patients with ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease who have undergone colectomy but have a residual rectum, and to identify the risk factors for its development. In doing so, we explore the current recommendations for screening processes for these patients. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed. Five databases (Medline, Embase, Pubmed, Cochrane Library and Scopus) were searched from inception to 29 October 2021, to identify studies adhering to the population, intervention, control and outcomes (PICO) criteria. The included studies were critically appraised, and the relevant data was extracted. Cancer incidence was estimated from the reported information. Risk stratification was analysed using RevMan. A narrative approach was undertaken for the exploration of the existing screening guidelines. RESULTS: Data from 23 of the 24 identified studies was suitable for analysis. The pooled incidence of rectal carcinoma was calculated to be 1.3%. Subgroup analysis showed an incidence of 0.7% and 3.2% for patients with a de-functioned rectal stump and ileorectal anastomosis, respectively. Patients with a history of a colorectal carcinoma were more likely to have a subsequent diagnosis of rectal carcinoma (RR 7.2, 95% CI 2.4-21.1). Patients with previous colorectal dysplasia were also at higher risk (RR 5.1, 95% CI 3.1-8.2). No universal standardised guidance regarding screening for this cohort could be identified in the available literature. CONCLUSIONS: The overall risk of malignancy was estimated to be 1.3%, which is lower than previously reported. There is a need for clear and standardised screening guidance for this group of patients.

International validation of a risk prediction algorithm for patients with malignant colorectal polyps.

AIM: The optimal management strategy for patients with endoscopically resected malignant colorectal polyps (MCP) has yet to be defined. The aim of this study was to validate a published decision-making tool, termed the Scottish Polyp Cancer Study (SPOCS) algorithm, on a large international population. METHODS: The SPOCS algorithm allocates patients to risk groups based on just two variables: the polyp resection margin and the presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI). The risk groups are termed low (clear margin, LVI absent), medium (clear margin, LVI present) or high (involved/non-assessable margin). The International Polyp Cancer Collaborative was formed to validate the algorithm on data from Australia, Denmark, UK and New Zealand. RESULTS: In total, 1423 patients were included in the final dataset. 680/1423 (47.8%) underwent surgical resection and 108/680 (15.9%) had residual disease (luminal disease 8.8%, lymph node metastases 8.8%). The SPOCS algorithm classified 602 patients as low risk (in which 1.5% had residual disease), 198 patients as medium risk (in which 7.1% had residual disease) and 484 as high risk (in which 14.5% had residual disease) (P < 0.001, χ2 test). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated good accuracy of the algorithm in predicting residual disease (area under the curve 0.732, 95% CI 0.687-0.778, P < 0.001). When patients were designated as low risk, the negative predictive value was 98.5%. CONCLUSION: The SPOCS algorithm can be used to predict the risk of residual disease in patients with endoscopically resected MCPs. Surgery can be safely avoided in patients who have a clear margin of excision and no evidence of LVI.

Video consultation for new colorectal patients.

AIM: For patients, an outpatient review can lead to a stressful journey to hospital with the resultant risks associated with breaching social distancing. Despite this, video consultations (VCs) have not been frequently used in colorectal practice. We assessed outcomes, including the economic and environmental impact, of a VC clinic for new colorectal referrals. METHOD: This was a prospective observational study. Fifty consecutive patients attending a VC colorectal appointment were reviewed between March 2019 and February 2020. Face-to-face appointments during the same time period were also assessed. The distance, time, cost and carbon emissions of journeys were estimated using web-based resources. Estimated loss of earnings used data from the Office for National Statistics. The subsequent management plans were also recorded. RESULTS: Of 50 patients using VC, 40 used home devices and 10 used equipment in their local medical facility. Three patients had difficulties with the technology and converted to telephone review. Failure to attend VC appointments was less than for face-to-face appointments (4% vs 6.1%). VC appointments saved 6685 miles of travel (range 2-364 miles), 148 h travelling time and £1767 costs. Additional savings for loss of earnings were approximately £33.56 per patient. The carbon emissions saved was 4659 lb CO2 equivalent, corresponding to over 250 000 charges of a smartphone. CONCLUSION: The use of VC resulted in significant savings related to travel and reduced time and costs for patients who chose to use the service, in addition to the environmental benefits. In this current climate VC clinics have a central role in outpatient care for both new patients and follow-ups.

Analysing the impact of living in a rural setting on the presentation and outcome of colorectal cancer. A prospective single centre observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Approximately 17% of the Scottish population lives in a remote or rural location. Current research is contradictory as to whether living a rural location leads to poorer outcomes or affects survival from colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to assess if living in a rural location influences outcome of CRC patients in 21st century UK medicine. METHODS: A prospective single-centre observational study was conducted. All patients who underwent resection for colorectal cancer 2005-2016 in NHS Grampian were included. Patients were split into two groups for comparison (urban post-code vs rural) using the Scottish government two-tier classification system. Tumour location, one-year survival, lymph node involvement and extra-mural vascular invasion was recorded and compared between the groups. RESULTS: Of 2463 patients, 843 (34.2%) lived in a rural area. Rural patients were more likely to be detected through screening (17.4% versus 14.6%, p = 0.04). There were no differences in pathology between rural and urban groups if detected through screening. However, rural patients detected through symptomatic pathways were more likely to be node positive p = 0.015. On multivariable analysis, rurality did not independently predict for node positive presentation. Furthermore, there were no differences in cumulative survival between the two groups. CONCLUSION: Although there were some differences in pathological characteristics between rural and urban patients, place of residence did not independently predict for outcome in this cohort. Rurality had previously been shown to impact on outcome up to 20 years ago. Improvements in infrastructure and rural healthcare may have influenced this change.

Colon capsule endoscopy.

There are multiple indications for luminal imaging of the colon. From assessment of known disease, to diagnosing new pathology; intra-luminal visualisation is the mainstay of gastrointestinal diagnosis. Colonoscopy and radiological imaging are currently the most frequently deployed diagnostic methods. However, both have an associated risk profile, have significant resource pressures and are not universally tolerated. Colon capsule endoscopy (CCE) offers an adjunct to these diagnostic options. In this narrative review the utility of CCE is described. Its current uses, potential benefits and future developments are also discussed.

Reducing surgical mortality in Scotland by use of the WHO Surgical Safety Checklist.

BACKGROUND: The WHO Surgical Safety Checklist has been implemented widely since its launch in 2008. It was introduced in Scotland as part of the Scottish Patient Safety Programme (SPSP) between 2008 and 2010, and is now integral to surgical practice. Its influence on outcomes, when analysed at a population level, remains unclear. METHODS: This was a population cohort study. All admissions to any acute hospital in Scotland between 2000 and 2014 were included. Standardized differences were used to estimate the balance of demographics over time, after which interrupted time-series (segmented regression) analyses were performed. Data were obtained from the Information Services Division, Scotland. RESULTS: There were 12 667 926 hospital admissions, of which 6 839 736 had a surgical procedure. Amongst the surgical cohort, the inpatient mortality rate in 2000 was 0·76 (95 per cent c.i. 0·68 to 0·84) per cent, and in 2014 it was 0·46 (0·42 to 0·50) per cent. The checklist was associated with a 36·6 (95 per cent c.i. -55·2 to -17·9) per cent relative reduction in mortality (P < 0·001). Mortality rates before implementation were decreasing by 0·003 (95 per cent c.i. -0·017 to +0·012) per cent per year; annual decreases of 0·069 (-0·092 to -0·046) per cent were seen during, and 0·019 (-0·038 to +0·001) per cent after, implementation. No such improvement trends were seen in the non-surgical cohort over this time frame. CONCLUSION: Since the implementation of the checklist, as part of an overall national safety strategy, there has been a reduction in perioperative mortality.

An evidence-based treatment algorithm for colorectal polyp cancers: results from the Scottish Screen-detected Polyp Cancer Study (SSPoCS).

OBJECTIVES: Colorectal polyp cancers present clinicians with a treatment dilemma. Decisions regarding whether to offer segmental resection or endoscopic surveillance are often taken without reference to good quality evidence. The aim of this study was to develop a treatment algorithm for patients with screen-detected polyp cancers. DESIGN: This national cohort study included all patients with a polyp cancer identified through the Scottish Bowel Screening Programme between 2000 and 2012. Multivariate regression analysis was used to assess the impact of clinical, endoscopic and pathological variables on the rate of adverse events (residual tumour in patients undergoing segmental resection or cancer-related death or disease recurrence in any patient). These data were used to develop a clinically relevant treatment algorithm. RESULTS: 485 patients with polyp cancers were included. 186/485 (38%) underwent segmental resection and residual tumour was identified in 41/186 (22%). The only factor associated with an increased risk of residual tumour in the bowel wall was incomplete excision of the original polyp (OR 5.61, p=0.001), while only lymphovascular invasion was associated with an increased risk of lymph node metastases (OR 5.95, p=0.002). When patients undergoing segmental resection or endoscopic surveillance were considered together, the risk of adverse events was significantly higher in patients with incomplete excision (OR 10.23, p<0.001) or lymphovascular invasion (OR 2.65, p=0.023). CONCLUSION: A policy of surveillance is adequate for the majority of patients with screen-detected colorectal polyp cancers. Consideration of segmental resection should be reserved for those with incomplete excision or evidence of lymphovascular invasion.

Prognostic value of tumour regression grade in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: The current standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer involves neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision. There is a spectrum of response to neoadjuvant therapy; however, the prognostic value of tumour regression grade (TRG) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) is inconsistent in the literature. METHOD: This study was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was undertaken using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria were Stage II and III locally advanced rectal cancer treated with long-course CRT followed by radical surgery. The aim of the meta-analysis was to assess the prognostic implication of each TRG for rectal cancer following neoadjuvant CRT. Long-term prognosis was assessed. The main outcome measures were DFS and OS. A random effects model was performed to pool the hazard ratio (HR) from all included studies. RESULTS: There were 4875 patients from 17 studies, with 775 (15.9%) attaining a pathological complete response (pCR) and 719 (29.9%) with no response. A significant association with OS was identified from a pooled-estimated HR for pCR (HR = 0.47, P = 0.002) and nonresponding tumours (HR = 2.97; P < 0.001). Previously known tumour characteristics, such as ypN, lymphovascular invasion and perineural invasion, were also significantly associated with DFS and OS, with estimated pooled HRs of 2.2, 1.4 and 2.3, respectively. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, the degree of TRG was of prognostic value in predicting long-term outcomes. The current challenge is the development of a high-validity tests to predict pCR.

Decisions to manage endemic ectoparasites: the case of ticks and tick-borne diseases in northern Australia.

Control of ticks and tick-borne diseases in northern Australia is considered economically important, but is complicated due to the physical and production environment. Various approaches to analysis have been applied to evaluate decisions to control tick-borne diseases but have been used in research rather than as direct support for producer decisions. To be effective, the results from economic analysis need to be applied by decision-makers. The application of the results from economic analysis requires decision-makers and analysts to incorporate effective communication within their relationship. Taking a learning approach to enhance communication in economic advisory services has potential to overcome misalignment between the advice provided and producers' approaches to decision-making. In this approach, we need to understand the processes a livestock producer would use to evaluate their experiences and develop new understanding and knowledge over time as a result of these experiences. This paper explores the nature of private decisions in relation to tick-borne disease control then considers the use of a learning approach to enable effective learning to take place between producers and their advisors.

Le contrôle des tiques et des maladies transmises par les tiques dans le nord de l'Australie est considéré comme une priorité économique, mais sa réussite est rendue difficile par les contraintes physiques et de production. Les décisions en matière de lutte contre les maladies transmises par les tiques ont été évaluées en recourant à diverses méthodes d'analyse, mais davantage dans le cadre de la recherche que pour soutenir directement les décisions des producteurs. Or, pour être efficaces, les conclusions d'une analyse économique doivent être appliquées par les décideurs. Pour ce faire, il faut que les décideurs et les analystes intègrent les principes d'une communication efficace dans leurs relations de travail. La mise en oeuvre d'une démarche apprenante pour améliorer la communication dans le cadre des prestations de conseils économiques permet de résoudre les problèmes d'inadéquation entre le conseil fourni et les méthodes de prise de décision suivies par les éleveurs. Dans cette démarche, il s'agit de comprendre les processus suivis par un éleveur pour évaluer son expérience et pour élaborer une nouvelle vision et acquérir de nouvelles connaissances à la faveur de cette expérience. L'auteur examine la nature des décisions privées concernant la lutte contre les maladies transmises par les tiques ainsi que l'importance d'une approche apprenante pour qu'un véritable apprentissage ait lieu entre les éleveurs et leurs conseillers.

Aunque se considera económicamente importante, la lucha contra las garrapatas y las enfermedades transmitidas por ellas en el septentrión australiano se ve complicada por las condiciones de producción y el entorno físico. Para evaluar las decisiones encaminadas a combatir esas enfermedades se han utilizado distintos métodos de análisis, pero más bien con fines de investigación que como elemento de apoyo directo a la adopción de decisiones sobre producción. Para que los resultados del análisis económico sean eficaces, es preciso que quienes toman decisiones los apliquen, lo que a su vez exige que tanto quienes deciden como los analistas integren una comunicación eficaz como parte de su relación. El hecho de abordar la cuestión pensando en aprender cómo mejorar la comunicación que se establece en los servicios de asesoramiento económico abre la posibilidad de superar el desfase entre el asesoramiento ofrecido y la forma en que los productores adoptan decisiones. Para ello es menester los procesos que seguirá un productor ganadero para evaluar su experiencia y a partir de ahí, con el tiempo, ir ganando en comprensión y conocimiento. Tras estudiar la naturaleza de las decisiones privadas en todo lo tocante a la lucha contra las enfermedades transmitidas por garrapatas, el autor examina el uso de métodos de aprendizaje para lograr que entre los productores y sus asesores se genere una dinámica eficaz de aprendizaje.

Prognostic value of lymph node ratio and extramural vascular invasion on survival for patients undergoing curative colon cancer resection.

BACKGROUND: Increasing lymph node ratio (LNR) (ratio of metastatic lymph nodes to the total number of harvested lymph nodes) and extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) have been proposed as adverse prognostic indicators in colorectal cancer, although their use remains variable and controversial. The aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of LNR and EMVI in predicting survival for patients undergoing curative colon cancer resection. METHODS: Between 2006 and 2012, 922 patients underwent curative colon cancer resection. Surgical technique and pathological assessment did not change during the study period. Clinical and pathological data were collected from a prospectively maintained database. The primary outcome measure was overall survival and disease-free survival. LNR was separated into five categories based on three previously calculated cutoff values: LNR 0 (no lymph nodes involved), LNR 1 (ratio 0.01<0.17), LNR 2 (ratio 0.18-0.41), LNR 3 (ratio 0.42-0.69), and LNR 4 (ratio >0.70). RESULTS: Nine hundred and twenty-two patients underwent colon cancer resection. The median follow-up for survivors was 52.8 months (IQR 34.6-77.6). The median total number of lymph nodes harvested was 16 (IQR13-22). On multivariate analysis, both pN and LNR were strongly associated with overall and disease-free survival. Using the Akaike information criterion (AIC), LNR had greater prognostic value compared with pN. For overall survival, compared with patients in LNR category 0, hazard ratios (95% CI) for those in categories 1, 2, 3 and 4 were 1.37 (1.03,1.82), 2.37 (1.70,3.30), 2.40 (1.57,3.65) and 5.51 (3.16,9.58), respectively. For disease-free survival, patients had hazard ratios (95% CI) of 1.78 (1.25,2.52), 3.79 (2.56,5.61), 2.60 (1.50,4.48) and 4.76 (2.21,10.27), respectively. The presence of EMVI was a significant predictor of decreased overall and disease-free survival (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated, in the presence of high surgical, oncology and pathological standards, EMVI and increasing LNR were independent predictors of decreased overall and disease-free survival for patients undergoing curative colon cancer resection. LNR was superior to pN stage in predicting overall and disease-free survival.

The impact and recovery of asteroid 2008 TC(3).

In the absence of a firm link between individual meteorites and their asteroidal parent bodies, asteroids are typically characterized only by their light reflection properties, and grouped accordingly into classes. On 6 October 2008, a small asteroid was discovered with a flat reflectance spectrum in the 554-995 nm wavelength range, and designated 2008 TC(3) (refs 4-6). It subsequently hit the Earth. Because it exploded at 37 km altitude, no macroscopic fragments were expected to survive. Here we report that a dedicated search along the approach trajectory recovered 47 meteorites, fragments of a single body named Almahata Sitta, with a total mass of 3.95 kg. Analysis of one of these meteorites shows it to be an achondrite, a polymict ureilite, anomalous in its class: ultra-fine-grained and porous, with large carbonaceous grains. The combined asteroid and meteorite reflectance spectra identify the asteroid as F class, now firmly linked to dark carbon-rich anomalous ureilites, a material so fragile it was not previously represented in meteorite collections.

A national survey of attitudes to research in Scottish General Surgery Trainees.

INTRODUCTION: Given the importance placed on awareness and participation in research by Speciality and Training organisations, we sought to survey Scottish trainee attitudes to exposure to research practice during training and research in or out of programme. METHODS: An online survey was distributed to core and specialist trainees in general surgery in Scotland. RESULTS: Over a 4-month period, 108 trainees (75 ST/SPRs and 33 CTs) completed the survey. In their current post, most were aware of ongoing research projects (77%) and 55% were aware of trial recruitment. Only 47% attend regular journal clubs. Most believe that they are expected to present (89%) and publish (82%) during training. Most (59%) thought that participation in research is well supported. 57% were advised to undertake time out of programme research, mostly by consultants (48%) and training committee (36%). Of the 57 with time out of programme research experience, most did so in early training (37%) or between ST3-5 (47%). 28 out of the 36 (78%) without a national training number secured one after starting research. Most undertook research in a local academic unit (80%) funded by small grants (47%) or internally (33%). Most research (69%) was clinically orientated (13/55 clinical, 25/55 translational). 56% of those completing time out of programme research obtained an MD or PhD. About 91% thought that research was relevant to a surgical career. CONCLUSIONS: Most trainees believe that research is an important part of training. Generally, most trainees are exposed to research practices including trial recruitment. However, <50% attend regular journal clubs, a pertinent point, given the current 'exit exam' includes the assessment of critical appraisal skills.

Complications after laparoscopic and open subtotal colectomy for inflammatory colitis: a case-matched comparison.

AIM: The aim of this study was to compare the early postoperative outcome of patients undergoing laparoscopic subtotal colectomy with those undergoing open subtotal colectomy for colitis refractory to medical treatment. METHOD: A retrospective observational study was carried out of patients who underwent subtotal colectomy for refractory colitis, at a single centre, between 2006 and 2012. Patients were matched for age, gender, American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) grade, urgency of operation and immunosuppressant/modulator treatment. The primary outcome measure was the number of postoperative complications, classified using the Clavien-Dindo scale. Secondary end-points included procedure duration, laparoscopic conversion rates, blood loss, 30-day readmission rates and length of hospital stay. RESULTS: Ninety-six patients were included, 39 of whom had laparoscopic surgery. Thirty-two of these were matched to similar patients who underwent an open procedure. The overall duration of the procedure was longer for laparoscopic surgery than for open surgery (median: 240 vs 150 min, P < 0.005) but estimated blood loss was less (median: 75 vs 400 ml, P < 0.005). In the laparoscopic group, 23 patients experienced 27 complications, and in the open surgery group, 23 patients experienced 30 complications. Most complications were minor (Grade I/II), and the distribution of complications, by grade, was similar between the two groups. There was no statistically significant difference in 30-day readmission rates between the laparoscopic and open groups (five readmissions vs eight readmissions, P = 0.536). Length of hospital stay was 4 days shorter for laparoscopic surgery, but this difference was not statistically significant (median: 7 vs 11 days, P = 0.159). CONCLUSION: In patients requiring colectomy for acute severe colitis, laparoscopic surgery reduced blood loss but increased operating time and was not associated with a reduction in early postoperative complications, length of hospital stay or readmission rates.

Does the location of colorectal carcinoma differ between screened and unscreened populations?

AIM: Screening for colorectal malignancy using faecal occult blood testing is established across the UK. In NHS Grampian the programme was introduced in 2007. Previous studies have reported no difference in anatomical locations of cancers detected by screening programmes compared with those in unscreened populations. This study aims to review the location of tumours detected in an established screening programme compared with those diagnosed through symptomatic presentation within the same population. METHOD: All patients discussed at the regional multidisciplinary meeting between June 2007 and August 2011 were included. Data were collated prospectively from multidisciplinary team records while site of tumour was documented from radiology, endoscopy, operative and pathology reports. Comparative statistics (χ(2) ) were performed using spss 19. RESULTS: Of 1487 patients included 255 were detected via the screening programme and 1232 from symptomatic presentation. More left sided tumours (splenic flexure to rectosigmoid) were detected via screening (P=0.005). Of non-screened patients (n=1232), 456 (37%) tumours were right sided (caecum to distal transverse colon), 419 (34%) were left sided and 357 (29%) were in the rectum. This compares with the screened group (n=255): right sided 74 (29%), left sided 113 (44%) and rectal 68 (27%). CONCLUSION: More left sided tumours appear to be detected in screened patients compared with symptomatic presentation, contrary to previously published work. These results may be worthy of further consideration given the ongoing debate on the optimal means of screening.

Urgency of referral and its impact on outcome in patients with colorectal cancer.

AIM: Primary care referral for patients with bowel symptoms is triaged by general practitioners to urgent or routine based on the clinical suspicion of malignancy. Triage directly influences time to assessment and investigation. This study aimed to establish whether urgency of referral of patients with large bowel malignancy has any effect on management. METHOD: An analysis was undertaken of all patients with colorectal cancer referred by primary care and discussed at the regional colorectal multi-disciplinary team (MDT) meetings from January 2009 to December 2010. Demographics and tumour data were collated prospectively from MDT records, and operation and investigation reports. RESULTS: Of 369 primary case referrals with colorectal cancer, 303 (82.1%) were urgent and 66 (17.9%) routine. Patient characteristics (age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade) and resection rates were similar in both groups and no significant difference in tumour location was observed. The time from referral to diagnosis was significantly longer in the routine group (mean 73.7 days vs 30.2 days; P = 0.001). Dukes stage was less advanced for the routine referral group, (P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Urgency of referral decreased the time to diagnosis. This did not influence resection rates. Dukes stage was higher for urgent referrals. Long-term follow-up is required to determine any impact on survival.

Improved outcomes for patients undergoing colectomy for acute severe inflammatory colitis by adopting a multi-disciplinary care bundle.

PURPOSE: Severe inflammatory colitis as a consequence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may not be amenable to medical management, and surgery is often required. The optimal timing of surgery and perioperative therapeutic care requires a formal link between surgical department and gastroenterology which is often lacking. In this study, we assess the impact of adopting a multidisciplinary care bundle on complication rates of subtotal colectomy in IBD patients. METHODS: This is a single-centre retrospective observational study. Patients were identified through clinical discharge ICD10 codes. Clinical notes of patients who underwent subtotal colectomies from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2019 were analysed. Socio-demographics, diagnosis, and medical and surgical management data were collected. A multimodule bundle, including weekly MDT discussions, was started in our unit on 1 April 2014. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed on these data. RESULTS: A total of 296 patients were identified with 113 patients of these (38.2%) experiencing a complication post operation. The overall complication rate improved over time (p = 0.023). Those patients treated after the initiation of the MDT bundle had reduced complication rates (44.6% versus 33.7%, p = 0.045). On multivariate analysis, increasing age (1.023 OR; 95% CI 1.004, 1.041) and procedure performed before MDT bundle (3.1 OR; 95% CI 1.689, 5.723) were independent predictors for post-operative complications. CONCLUSIONS: Closer links between gastroenterology and colorectal specialties have improved patient outcomes in our unit. Whilst IBD MDTs have previously been shown to improve outcomes for patients managed medically, we demonstrate that this interaction, implemented as a multidisciplinary care bundle, also improves surgical outcomes.

Using value chain and trade networks in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa, as a basis for targeted rural chicken surveillance.

Despite the benefits of rural chickens in the Eastern Cape Province (ECP) of South Africa, this sector is still underdeveloped and poorly surveyed for poultry diseases. The lack of a sustainable poultry disease surveillance system coupled with communities and practices where the interactions between birds are high, emphasize the need for targeted surveillance of chicken diseases in the province. However, to set up such a system requires knowledge of the value chain and trade networks. Consequently, a survey, which involved a rural chicken value chain analysis that also included an assessment of trading practices to identify biosecurity hotspots and an identification of barriers to market entry for rural farmers was conducted. Secondly, a social network analysis of chicken movements in the province was carried out to identify trade hubs that could be targeted for disease surveillance based on their centrality within the network and their size and influence within their ego networks. Traders and their transport vehicles were identified as biosecurity hotspots that could be targeted for disease surveillance within the chain. Social network analysis identified three municipalities viz. Umzimvubu, King Sabata Dalindyebo (KSD) and Enoch Mgijima as trade hubs where interaction between rural chickens occurs and resources can be focused. The movement of spent hens from commercial operations that are transported over long distances and distributed in the rural areas and townships were a major risk for spread of poultry diseases. This is the first study to formally describe chicken trade networks within the province and the surrounding region. Its findings provide a model for cost effective targeted surveillance in the ECP and similar resource poor regions of the world. The study also provides insight into the profitability of rural chickens and a possible contribution to job creation and poverty alleviation once the barriers to market entry are lifted.