Subnational tuberculosis burden estimation for Pakistan.

Global tuberculosis (TB) burden estimates are aggregated at the national level, despite the likelihood of uneven distribution across and within regions in the same country. Subnational estimates are crucial to producing informed policies and informing budget allocation at more granular levels. In collaboration with the National TB Programme (NTP), we applied a simple and transparent tool to estimate the subnational TB burden in Pakistan. We tailored the SUBnational Burden Estimation for TB (SUBsET) tool to account for the district-level hierarchy of Pakistan. Districts were assigned weighted scores based on population size, level of urbanisation, households with one room, and food insecurity levels. Using the 2022 national TB incidence estimate, we first allocated the burden across administrative units based on data from the 2010-11 TB prevalence survey and subsequently refined this distribution to reflect weighted scores specific to each district. The estimated TB incidence was compared with pulmonary TB notifications to calculate the case detection rate (CDR) for each district. Utilising the updated SUBsET model, we assigned weight scores to 150 districts spanning seven provinces/regions in Pakistan. The estimated TB incidence varied significantly, ranging from 110 (95%CI: 80-145) to 462 (95%CI: 337-607) per 100,000 inhabitants per year. The provinces bearing the highest burden was Sindh (292; 95%CI: 213-384), followed by Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (269; 95%CI: 196-354) and Punjab (243; 95%CI: 177-320). The CDR was below 70% in three-quarters of the districts and over-reporting (>100%) was observed in 10 districts, primarily within Punjab, which suggests that individuals with TB may be crossing district lines to access care. The application of the SUBsET tool through active collaboration with the NTP revealed high heterogeneity in subnational TB incidence in Pakistan, urging a more granular and tailored approach to TB prevention and care. This approach ensured transparency and acceptance of the findings for wider in-country dissemination.

Estimating antibiotics consumption in a tertiary care hospital in Islamabad using a WHO's defined daily dose methodology.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotics have helped to reduce the incidence of common infectious diseases in all modern healthcare systems, but improper use of antibiotics including their overuse and misuse can change the bacteria so much that antibiotics don't work against them. In case of developing imposable selective pressure with regard to the proportion of hospitalized patients who receive antibiotics, the quantity of antibiotics that are prescribed to them, and the proportion of patients who receive antibiotic treatment is one of the major contributors to the rising global health issue of antimicrobial resistance. Concerning the levels of antibiotic consumption in Pakistani hospitals, there is negligible research data available. AIM: This study aimed to evaluate five-year inpatient antibiotic use in a tertiary care hospital in Islamabad using the World Health Organization (WHO) Recommended Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) Classification / Defined Daily Dose (DDD) methodology. METHOD: It was a descriptive study involving a retrospective record review of pharmacy records of antibiotics dispensed (amount in grams) to patients across different specialties of the hospital from January 2017 to December 2021 (i.e., 60 consecutive months). The antibiotic consumption was calculated by using the DDD/100-Bed Days (BDs) formula, and then relative percent change was estimated using Microsoft Excel 2021 edition. RESULT: A total of 148,483 (77%) patients who received antibiotics were included in the study out of 193,436 patients admitted in the hospital. Antibiotic consumption trends showed considerable fluctuations over a five-year period. It kept on declining irregularly from 2017 to 2019, inclined vigorously in 2020, and then suddenly dropped to the lowest DDD/100 BDs value (96.02) in the last year of the study. The overall percentage of encounters in which antibiotics were prescribed at tertiary care hospital was 77% which is very high compared to the WHO standard reference value (< 30%). WATCH group antibiotics were prescribed (76%) and consumed more within inpatient settings than Access (12%) and Reserve (12%) antibiotics. CONCLUSION: The hospital antibiotic consumption data is well maintained across different inpatient specialties but it is largely non-aligned with WHO AWaRe (Access-Watch-Reserve) antibiotics use and optimization during 2017-2021. Compared to the WHO standard reference figure, the overall percentage of antibiotics encountered was higher by about 47%. Antibiotic consumption trends vary with a slight increase in hospital occupancy rate, with positive relative changes being lower in number but higher in proportion than negative changes. Although the hospital antibiotics policy is in place but seems not to be followed with a high degree of adherence.

Geographic accessibility to childhood tuberculosis care in Pakistan.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) in children is difficult to detect and often needs specialists to diagnose; the health system is supposed to refer to higher level of health care when diagnosis is not settled in a sick child. In Pakistan, the primary health care level can usually not diagnose childhood TB and will refer to a paediatricians working at a secondary or tertiary care hospital. We aimed to determine the health services access to child TB services in Pakistan. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the geographical access to child TB services in Pakistan. METHOD: We used geospatial analysis to calculate the distance from the nearest public health facility to settlements, using qGIS, as well as population living within the World Health Organization's (WHO) recommended 5-km distance. RESULT: At primary health care level, 14.1% of facilities report child TB cases to national tuberculosis program and 74% of the population had geographical access to general primary health care within 5-km radius. To secondary- and tertiary-level health care, 33.5% of the population had geographical access within 5-km radius. The average distance from a facility for diagnosis of childhood TB was 26.3 km from all settlement to the nearest child TB sites. The population of one province (Balochistan) had longer distances to health care services. CONCLUSION: With fairly good coverage of primary health care but lower coverage of specialist care for childhood TB, the health system depends heavily on a good referral system from the communities.