SIRS score on admission and initial concentration of IL-6 as severe acute pancreatitis outcome predictors.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Early recognition of severe form of acute pancreatitis is important because these patients need more agressive diagnostic and therapeutical approach an can develope systemic complications such as: sepsis, coagulopathy, Acute Lung Injury (ALI), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS), Multiple Organ Failure (MOF). To determine role of the combination of Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) score and serum Interleukin-6 (IL-6) level on admission as predictor of illness severity and outcome of Severe Acute Pancreatitis (SAP). METHODOLOGY: We evaluated 234 patients with first onset of SAP appears in last twenty four hours. A total of 77 (33%) patients died. SIRS score and serum IL-6 concentration were measured in first hour after admission. RESULTS: In 105 patients with SIRS score 3 and higher, initial measured IL-6 levels were significantly higher than in the group of remaining 129 patients (72 +/- 67 pg/mL, vs 18 +/- 15 pg/mL). All nonsurvivals were in the first group, with SIRS score 3 and 4 and initial IL-6 concentration 113 +/- 27 pg/mL. The values of C-reactive Protein (CRP) measured after 48h, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score on admission and Ranson score showed the similar correlation, but serum amylase level did not correlate significantly with Ranson score, IL-6 concentration and APACHE II score. CONCLUSION: The combination of SIRS score on admission and IL-6 serum concentration can be early, predictor of illness severity and outcome in SAP.

The long-term risk of stroke in patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated with new-onset atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk of stroke after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated with new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the long-term risk of AF and stroke in patients with AMI complicated with new-onset AF. METHODS: Patients with AMI complicated with new-onset AF (n = 260) and those without new-onset AF (n = 292) were followed for a mean of 7 years. All patients had sinus rhythm at hospital discharge. RESULTS: During the follow-up, AMI patients with new-onset AF had more frequent AF than those without new-onset AF (10.4% vs 2.7%, respectively; P < 0.0001). New-onset AF during AMI was a significant predictor of subsequent AF occurrence (the time elapsing between 2 consecutive R waves [RR] = 3.15, P = 0.004); but AF recurrence in follow-up (RR = 5.08, P = 0.001) and non-anticoagulation at discharge (RR = 0.29, P = 0.008) were independent predictors of stroke (Cox regression analysis). A period of 3.5 hours of AF within the first 48 hours of AMI was the high sensitivity cut-off level for the prediction of low long-term risk of stroke obtained by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Among patients who did not receive anticoagulants at discharge, the patients with short AF did not experience stroke and AF recurrence during follow-up, while those in the other group developed it (10.8%, P = 0.038 and 13.5%, P = 0.019, respectively). CONCLUSION: New-onset AF during AMI identifies the patients at long-term risk for stroke who may potentially benefit from anticoagulant therapy. Atrial fibrillation recurrence in follow-up was independently related to the development of stroke. However, for low-risk patients with AF (those with short AF occurring early in AMI) long-term anticoagulants might not be required.