Peak wall rupture index is associated with risk of rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms, independent of size and sex.

BACKGROUND: Information on the predictive determinants of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture from CT angiography are scarce. The aim of this study was to investigate biomechanical parameters in abdominal aortic aneurysms and their association with risk of subsequent rupture. METHODS: In this retrospective study, the digital radiological archive was searched for 363 patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms. All patients who underwent at least one CT angiography examination before aneurysm rupture were included. CT angiography results were analysed to determine maximum aneurysm diameter, aneurysm volume, and biomechanical parameters (peak wall stress and peak wall rupture index). In the primary survival analysis, patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms less than 70 mm were considered. Sensitivity analyses including control patients and abdominal aortic aneurysms of all sizes were performed. RESULTS: A total of 67 patients who underwent 109 CT angiography examinations before aneurysm rupture were identified. The majority were men (47, 70%) and the median age at the time of CTA examination was 77 (71-83) years. The median maximum aneurysm diameter was 56 (interquartile range 46-65) mm and the median time to rupture was 2.13 (interquartile range 0.64-4.72) years. In univariable analysis, maximum aneurysm diameter, aneurysm volume, peak wall stress, and peak wall rupture index were all associated with risk of rupture. Women had an increased HR for rupture when adjusted for maximum aneurysm diameter or aneurysm volume (HR 2.16, 95% c.i. 1.23 to 3.78 (P = 0.007) and HR 1.92, 95% c.i. 1.06 to 3.50 (P = 0.033) respectively). In multivariable analysis, the peak wall rupture index was associated with risk of rupture. The HR for peak wall rupture index was 1.05 (95% c.i. 1.03 to 1.08) per % (P < 0.001) when adjusted for maximum aneurysm diameter and 1.05 (95% c.i. 1.02 to 1.08) per % (P < 0.001) when adjusted for aneurysm volume. CONCLUSION: Biomechanical factors appear to be important in the prediction of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture. Women are at increased risk of rupture when adjustments are made for maximum aneurysm diameter alone.

Natural history, growth rates, and treatment of popliteal artery aneurysms.

BACKGROUND: The natural history of a cohort of patients monitored for popliteal artery aneurysms (PAAs) has not been well described. A prevailing uncertainty exists regarding the optimal surveillance strategies and timing of treatment. The primary aim of the present study was to describe the care trajectory of all patients with PAAs identified at two tertiary vascular centers, both in surveillance and eventually treated. The secondary aim was to define the PAA growth rates. METHODS: A retrospective, multicenter cohort study was performed of all patients with PAAs at two vascular centers in two countries (Sweden, 2009-2016; New Zealand, 2009-2017). Data were collected from electronic medical records regarding the comorbidities, treatment, and outcomes and analyzed on a patient- and extremity-specific level. Treatment was indicated at the occurrence of emergent symptoms or considered at a PAA threshold of >2 cm. The PAAs were divided into small (≤15 mm) and large (>15 mm) aneurysms. The mean surveillance follow-up was 5.1 years. RESULTS: Most of the 241 identified patients (397 limbs) with a diagnosis of PAAs had bilateral aneurysms (n = 156). Most patients were treated within the study period (163 of 241; 68%), and one half of the diagnosed extremities with PAA had been treated (54%; 215 of 397). Among those who had undergone elective repair, treatment had usually occurred within 1 year after the diagnosis (66%; 105 of 158). More small PAAs were detected in the group that had required emergent repair compared with elective repair (6 of 57 [11%] vs 12 of 158 [8%]; P < .001). No differences were found in the mean diameters between the elective and emergent groups (30.1 mm vs 32.2 mm; P = .39). Growth was recorded in 110 PAAs and on multivariate analysis was associated with a larger index diameter (odds ratio, 1.138; 95% confidence interval, 1.040-1.246; P = .005) and a concurrent abdominal aortic aneurysm (odds ratio, 2.553; 95% confidence interval, 1.018-6.402; P = .046). CONCLUSIONS: The present cohort of patients represented a true contemporary clinical setting of monitored PAAs and showed that most of these patients will require elective repair, usually within 1 year. The risk of emergent repair is not negligible for patients with smaller diameter PAAs. However, the optimal selection strategy for preventive early repair is still unknown. Future morphologic studies are needed to support the development of individualized surveillance protocols.

Limb Graft Occlusion Following Endovascular Aneurysm Repair for Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm with the Zenith Alpha, Excluder, and Endurant Devices: a Multicentre Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Limb graft occlusion (LGO) is a serious complication after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and while device development enables treatment of increasingly complex aortic anatomy, little is known about how endograft type affects the risk of occlusion. This observational study aimed to explore the incidence of LGO after EVAR for three major endograft systems. METHODS: All patients with standard EVAR as the primary intervention for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), between January 2012 and December 2018, at five Swedish vascular surgery centres, were included in this multicentre retrospective cohort study. LGO was defined as a total limb occlusion regardless of symptoms, or a treated significant stenosis. A nested case control (NCC) design with incidence density sampling of 1:3 was used for analysis of potential per-operative and morphological risk factors. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate multivariable odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) RESULTS: A total of 924 patients were included. The majority were male (84%), the mean age was 76 years (± 7.5 SD), and median AAA diameter was 59 mm (IQR 55, 67). Patients were treated with Zenith Alpha (n = 315, ZISL limbs), Excluder (n = 152, PLC/PXC limbs), and Endurant (n = 457, ETLW/ ETEW limbs). During median follow up of 37 months (IQR 21, 62), 55 occlusions occurred (5.9%); 39 with Zenith Alpha (12.4%), one with Excluder (0.7%), and 15 with Endurant (3.3%). In the NCC analysis, the Zenith Alpha device (OR 5.31, 95% CI 1.97 - 14.3), external iliac artery (EIA) landing (OR 5.91, 95% CI 1.30 - 26.7), and EIA diameter < 10 mm (OR 4.99, 95% CI 1.46 - 16.9) were associated with an increased risk of LGO. CONCLUSION: Endograft device type is an independent risk factor for LGO after EVAR. Specifically, the Zenith Alpha demonstrated an increased risk of LGO compared with the Endurant and Excluder devices. In addition, a narrow EIA and landing zone in EIA are also risk factors for LGO.

Aortic Lumen Area Is Increased in Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Correlates to Biomechanical Rupture Risk.

PURPOSE: To investigate how 2-dimensional geometric parameters differ between ruptured and asymptomatic abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) and provide a biomechanical explanation for the findings. METHODS: The computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans of 30 patients (mean age 77±10 years; 23 men) with ruptured AAAs and 60 patients (mean age 76±8 years; 46 men) with asymptomatic AAAs were used to measure maximum sac diameter along the center lumen line, the cross-sectional lumen area, the total vessel area, the intraluminal thrombus (ILT) area, and corresponding volumes. The CTA data were segmented to create 3-dimensional patient-specific models for finite element analysis to compute peak wall stress (PWS) and the peak wall rupture index (PWRI). To reduce confounding from the maximum diameter, 2 diameter-matched groups were selected from the initial patient cohorts: 28 ruptured AAAs and another with 15 intact AAAs (diameters 74±12 vs 73±11, p=0.67). A multivariate model including the maximum diameter, the lumen area, and the ILT area of the 60 intact aneurysms was employed to predict biomechanical rupture risk parameters. RESULTS: In the diameter-matched subgroup comparison, ruptured AAAs had a significantly larger cross-sectional lumen area (1954±1254 vs 1120±623 mm2, p=0.023) and lower ILT area ratio (55±24 vs 68±24, p=0.037). The ILT area (2836±1462 vs 2385±1364 mm2, p=0.282) and the total vessel area (3956±1170 vs 4338±1388 mm2, p=0.384) did not differ statistically between ruptured and intact aneurysms. The PWRI was increased in ruptured AAAs (0.80 vs 0.48, p<0.001), but the PWS was similar (249 vs 284 kPa, p=0.194). In multivariate regression analysis, lumen area was significantly positively associated with both PWS (p<0.001) and PWRI (p<0.01). The ILT area was also significantly positively associated with PWS (p<0.001) but only weakly with PWRI (p<0.01). The lumen area conferred a higher risk increase in both PWS and PWRI when compared with the ILT area. CONCLUSION: The lumen area is increased in ruptured AAAs compared to diameter-matched asymptomatic AAAs. Furthermore, this finding may in part be explained by a relationship with biomechanical rupture risk parameters, in which lumen area, irrespective of maximum diameter, increases PWS and PWRI. These observations thus suggest a possible method to improve prediction of rupture risk in AAAs by measuring the lumen area without the use of computational modeling.

Gender, smoking, body size, and aneurysm geometry influence the biomechanical rupture risk of abdominal aortic aneurysms as estimated by finite element analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Finite element analysis (FEA) has been suggested to be superior to maximal diameter measurements in predicting rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). Our objective was to investigate to what extent previously described rupture risk factors were associated with FEA-estimated rupture risk. METHODS: One hundred forty-six patients with an asymptomatic AAA of a 40- to 60-mm diameter were retrospectively identified and consecutively included. The patients' computed tomography angiograms were analyzed by FEA without (neutral) and with (specific) input of patient-specific mean arterial pressure (MAP), gender, family history, and age. The maximal wall stress/wall strength ratio was described as a rupture risk equivalent diameter (RRED), which translated this ratio into an average aneurysm diameter of corresponding rupture risk. RESULTS: In multivariate linear regression, RREDneutral increased with female gender (3.7 mm; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.13-7.3) and correlated with patient height (0.27 mm/cm; 95% CI, 0.11-0.43) and body surface area (BSA, 16 mm/m2; 95% CI, 8.3-24) and inversely with body mass index (BMI, -0.40 mm/kg m-2; 95% CI, -0.75 to -0.054) in a wall stress-dependent manner. Wall stress-adjusted RREDneutral was raised if the patient was currently smoking (1.1 mm; 95% CI, 0.21-1.9). Age, MAP, family history, and patient weight were unrelated to RREDneutral. In specific FEA, RREDspecific increased with female gender, MAP, family history positive for AAA, height, and BSA, whereas it was inversely related to BMI. All results were independent of aneurysm diameter. Peak wall stress and RRED correlated with aneurysm diameter and lumen volume. CONCLUSIONS: Female gender, current smoking, increased patient height and BSA, and low BMI were found to increase the mechanical rupture risk of AAAs. Previously described rupture risk factors may in part be explained by patient characteristic-dependent variations in aneurysm biomechanics.

Biomechanics and early sac regression after endovascular aneurysm repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Background: Sac regression after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is regarded as a marker of successful response to treatment. Several factors influence sac behavior after EVAR, yet little is known about the value of preoperative biomechanics. The aim of this study was to investigate the difference in aortic biomechanics between patients with and without sac regression. Methods: Patients treated with standard EVAR for infrarenal AAA at the Karolinska University Hospital between 2009 and 2012 with one preoperative and a minimum of two postoperative computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans were considered for inclusion in this single-center retrospective cohort study. Biomechanical indices such as AAA wall stress and wall stress-strength ratio as well as intraluminal thrombus (ILT) thickness and stress were measured preoperatively in A4ClinicRE (VASCOPS GmbH). AAA diameter and volume were analyzed on preoperative, 30-day, and 1-year CTAs. Patients were dichotomized based on sac regression, defined as a ≥ 5 mm decrease in maximal AAA diameter between the first two postoperative CTA scans. Multivariable logistic regression was used for analysis of factors associated with early sac regression. Results: Of the 101 patients treated during the inclusion period, 64 were included. Thirty-nine (61%) demonstrated sac regression and 25 (39%) had a stable sac or sac increase. The mean patients age (73 years vs 76 years), male sex (85% vs 96%), and median AAA diameter (58 mm vs 58.5 mm) did not differ between patients with and without sac regression. Although no difference in preoperative biomechanics was seen between the groups, multivariable logistic regression revealed that a larger AAA diameter (odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.51; P = .009) and smoking (OR, 22.1; 95% CI, 2.78-174; P = .003) were positively associated with sac regression. In contrast, the lumen diameter (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.77-0.98; P = .023), ILT thickness (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97; P = .013), aspirin or direct-acting oral anticoagulant use (OR, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.02-0.61; P = .012), and mean ILT stress (OR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14-0.87; P = .024) showed a negative association. Patients with sac regression had fewer reinterventions (log-rank P = .010) and lower mortality (log-rank P = .012) at the 5-year follow-up. Conclusions: This study, characterizing preoperative biomechanics in patients with and without sac regression, demonstrated a negative association between mean ILT stress and ILT thickness with a change in sac diameter after EVAR. Given that the ILT is a highly dynamic entity, further studies focusing on the role of the thrombus are needed. Furthermore, patients presenting with early sac regression had improved outcomes after EVAR.

Three-dimensional growth and biomechanical risk progression of abdominal aortic aneurysms under serial computed tomography assessment.

Growth of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is often described as erratic and discontinuous. This study aimed at describing growth patterns of AAAs with respect to maximal aneurysm diameter (Dmax) and aneurysm volume, and to characterize changes in the intraluminal thrombus (ILT) and biomechanical indices as AAAs grow. 384 computed tomography angiographies (CTAs) from 100 patients (mean age 70.0, standard deviation, SD = 8.5 years, 22 women), who had undergone at least three CTAs, were included. The mean follow-up was 5.2 (SD = 2.5) years. Growth of Dmax was 2.64 mm/year (SD = 1.18), volume 13.73 cm3/year (SD = 10.24) and PWS 7.3 kPa/year (SD = 4.95). For Dmax and volume, individual patients exhibited linear growth in 87% and 77% of cases. In the tertile of patients with the slowest Dmax-growth (< 2.1 mm/year), only 67% belonged to the slowest tertile for volume-growth, and 52% and 55% to the lowest tertile of PWS- and PWRI-increase, respectively. The ILT-ratio (ILT-volume/aneurysm volume) increased with time (2.6%/year, p < 0.001), but when adjusted for volume, the ILT-ratio was inversely associated with biomechanical stress. In contrast to the notion that AAAs grow in an erratic fashion most AAAs displayed continuous and linear growth. Considering only change in Dmax, however, fails to capture the biomechanical risk progression, and parameters such as volume and the ILT-ratio need to be considered.

Geometric and biomechanical modeling aided by machine learning improves the prediction of growth and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms.

It remains difficult to predict when which patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) will require surgery. The aim was to study the accuracy of geometric and biomechanical analysis of small AAAs to predict reaching the threshold for surgery, diameter growth rate and rupture or symptomatic aneurysm. 189 patients with AAAs of diameters 40-50 mm were included, 161 had undergone two CTAs. Geometric and biomechanical variables were used in prediction modelling. Classifications were evaluated with area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and regressions with correlation between observed and predicted growth rates. Compared with the baseline clinical diameter, geometric-biomechanical analysis improved prediction of reaching surgical threshold within four years (AUC 0.80 vs 0.85, p = 0.031) and prediction of diameter growth rate (r = 0.17 vs r = 0.38, p = 0.0031), mainly due to the addition of semiautomatic diameter measurements. There was a trend towards increased precision of volume growth rate prediction (r = 0.37 vs r = 0.45, p = 0.081). Lumen diameter and biomechanical indices were the only variables that could predict future rupture or symptomatic AAA (AUCs 0.65-0.67). Enhanced precision of diameter measurements improves the prediction of reaching the surgical threshold and diameter growth rate, while lumen diameter and biomechanical analysis predicts rupture or symptomatic AAA.

Proteoglycan 4 Modulates Osteogenic Smooth Muscle Cell Differentiation during Vascular Remodeling and Intimal Calcification.

Calcification is a prominent feature of late-stage atherosclerosis, but the mechanisms driving this process are unclear. Using a biobank of carotid endarterectomies, we recently showed that Proteoglycan 4 (PRG4) is a key molecular signature of calcified plaques, expressed in smooth muscle cell (SMC) rich regions. Here, we aimed to unravel the PRG4 role in vascular remodeling and intimal calcification. PRG4 expression in human carotid endarterectomies correlated with calcification assessed by preoperative computed tomographies. PRG4 localized to SMCs in early intimal thickening, while in advanced lesions it was found in the extracellular matrix, surrounding macro-calcifications. In experimental models, Prg4 was upregulated in SMCs from partially ligated ApoE-/- mice and rat carotid intimal hyperplasia, correlating with osteogenic markers and TGFb1. Furthermore, PRG4 was enriched in cells positive for chondrogenic marker SOX9 and around plaque calcifications in ApoE-/- mice on warfarin. In vitro, PRG4 was induced in SMCs by IFNg, TGFb1 and calcifying medium, while SMC markers were repressed under calcifying conditions. Silencing experiments showed that PRG4 expression was driven by transcription factors SMAD3 and SOX9. Functionally, the addition of recombinant human PRG4 increased ectopic SMC calcification, while arresting cell migration and proliferation. Mechanistically, it suppressed endogenous PRG4, SMAD3 and SOX9, and restored SMC markers' expression. PRG4 modulates SMC function and osteogenic phenotype during intimal remodeling and macro-calcification in response to TGFb1 signaling, SMAD3 and SOX9 activation. The effects of PRG4 on SMC phenotype and calcification suggest its role in atherosclerotic plaque stability, warranting further investigations.

A large proportion of patients with small ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms are women and have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

OBJECTIVE: In a population-based cohort of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs), our aim was to investigate clinical, morphological and biomechanical features in patients with small rAAAs. METHODS: All patients admitted to an emergency department in Stockholm and Gotland, a region with a population of 2.1 million, between 2009-2013 with a CT-verified rupture (n = 192) were included, and morphological measurements were performed. Patients with small rAAAs, maximal diameter (Dmax) ≤ 60 mm were selected (n = 27), and matched 2:1 by Dmax, sex and age to intact AAA (iAAAs). For these patients, morphology including volume and finite element analysis-derived biomechanics were assessed. RESULTS: The mean Dmax for all rAAAs was 80.8 mm (SD = 18.9 mm), women had smaller Dmax at rupture (73.4 ± 18.4 mm vs 83.1 ± 18.5 mm, p = 0.003), and smaller neck and iliac diameters compared to men. Aortic size index (ASI) was similar between men and women (4.1 ± 3.1 cm/m2 vs 3.8 ± 1.0 cm/m2). Fourteen percent of all patients ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm, and a higher proportion of women compared to men ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm: 27% (12/45) vs. 10% (15/147), p = 0.005. Also, a higher proportion of patients with a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease ruptured at Dmax ≤ 60 mm (34.6% vs 14.6%, p = 0.026). Supra-renal aortic size index (14.0, IQR 13.3-15.3 vs 12.8, IQR = 11.4-14.0) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI, 0.35 ± 0.08 vs 0.43 ± 0.11, p = 0.016) were higher for small rAAAs compared to matched iAAAs. Aortic size index, peak wall stress and aneurysm volume did not differ. CONCLUSION: More than one tenth of ruptures occur at smaller diameters, women continuously suffer an even higher risk of presenting with smaller diameters, and this must be considered in surveillance programs. The increased supra-renal aortic size index and PWRI are potential markers for rupture risk, and patients under surveillance with these markers may benefit from increased attention, and potentially from timely repair.