Mother's Own Milk Biomarkers Predict Coming to Volume in Pump-Dependent Mothers of Preterm Infants.

OBJECTIVE: To assess serial secretory activation biomarker concentrations (sodium [Na], potassium [K], Na:K, protein, lactose, and citrate) in mother's own milk (MOM) from breast pump-dependent mothers of preterm infants to determine associations with coming to volume (CTV), defined as producing at least 500 mL/day MOM by day 14 postpartum. STUDY DESIGN: We collected serial MOM samples and pumped MOM volume data for 14 days postpartum in mothers who delivered at <33 weeks of gestation. Regression models and the Mann-Whitney U test were used to evaluate associations. RESULTS: Among 40 mothers, 39 (mean gestational age, 28.8 weeks; 67% overweight/obese; 59% nonwhite) had paired MOM volume and biomarker data; 33% achieved CTV between postpartum days 6 and 14. In univariate models, MOM Na on postpartum day 5 and Na:K on days 3 and 5 were associated with CTV. Mothers achieving CTV were more likely to have postpartum Na:K ≤1 on day 3 (75% vs 25%; P = .06) and ≤0.8 on day 5 (69% vs 10%; P < .01). In a multivariable regression model, day 5 Na:K (1 unit decrease in Na:K: OR, 18.7; 95% CI, 1.13-311.41; P = .049) and maternal prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) (1 unit increase in BMI: OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78-0.99; P = .04) were associated with CTV between postpartum days 6 and 14. CONCLUSIONS: Secretory activation and CTV were compromised in breast pump-dependent mothers with preterm delivery. CTV was predicted by MOM Na level and Na:K. These biomarkers have potential as objective point-of-care measures to detect potentially modifiable lactation problems in a high-risk population.

Enhancing the Prediction of Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy Using Intravascular Ultrasound and Machine Learning: A Proof of Concept.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is the leading cause of late graft dysfunction in heart transplantation. Building on previous unsupervised learning models, we sought to identify CAV clusters using serial maximal intimal thickness and baseline clinical risk factors to predict the development of early CAV. METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective study including adult heart transplantation recipients. A latent class mixed-effects model was used to identify patient clusters with similar trajectories of maximal intimal thickness posttransplant and pretransplant covariates associated with each cluster. RESULTS: Among 186 heart transplantation recipients, we identified 4 patient phenotypes: very low, low, moderate, and high risk. The 5-year risk (95% CI) of the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation-defined CAV in the high, moderate, low, and very low risk groups was 49.1% (35.2%-68.5%), 23.4% (13.3%-41.2%), 5.0% (1.3%-19.6%), and 0%, respectively. Only patients in the moderate to high risk cluster developed the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation CAV 2-3 at 5 years (P=0.02). Of the 4 groups, the low risk group had significantly younger female recipients, shorter ischemic time, and younger female donors compared with the high risk group. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 clusters characterized by distinct maximal intimal thickness trajectories. These clusters were shown to discriminate against the development of angiographic CAV. This approach allows for the personalization of surveillance and CAV-directed treatment before the development of angiographically apparent disease.

Inflammatory Markers in Mother's Own Milk and Infant Stool of Very Low Birthweight Infants.

BACKGROUND: Mother's breastmilk is the gold standard for feeding preterm infants. Preterm delivery may be precipitated by inflammatory maternal states, but little is known about milk cytokine profiles and how they correlate with markers of infant gut inflammation (i.e., stool calprotectin) in this vulnerable population. RESEARCH AIM: To assess cytokines and inflammatory markers in milk from parents of very preterm infants over time as well as correlations between milk and infant's stool calprotectin. METHOD: This is a secondary analysis of milk samples collected during OptiMoM, a triple-blind randomized clinical trial of infants born < 1250 g (NCT02137473). Longitudinally collected samples were analyzed for cytokines, choline, and inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein [CRP], IFN-γ, IL-10, IL-1ß, IL-1ra, IL-6, IL-8, TNF-α). Infant stools were collected for longitudinal calprotectin analysis. Generalized estimating equations quantified longitudinal profiles of milk markers and stool calprotectin, their associations, and the correlation between free choline and C-reactive protein over follow-up. RESULT: Participants included 92 parents and infants (median weeks of gestation 27.3, median birth weight 845 g, and prevalence of male infants 45%). In all, 212 milk samples and 94 corresponding stool calprotectin levels were collected 1-11 weeks postpartum. C-reactive protein was present in much higher concentrations than other markers, and was highest in Week 1 postpartum. It decreased over time. IL-8 and free choline also changed over time while other markers did not. There was no correlation between any milk markers and stool calprotectin. CONCLUSION: Milk from mothers of very preterm infants has detectable inflammatory markers, some of which change over time. Research is needed to determine if infant outcomes are associated with these markers.

Associations of maternal inflammatory states with human milk composition in mothers of preterm infants.

Introduction: Overweight/obesity (ow/ob) is increasing in prevalence in pregnant women, and it is associated with other pro-inflammatory states, such as pre-eclampsia, gestational diabetes, and preterm labor. Data are lacking if mothers experiencing inflammatory states who deliver preterm have mother's own milk (MOM) with differing inflammatory markers or pro-inflammatory fatty acid (FA) profiles. Methods: The aim was to explore associations of maternal pre- and perinatal inflammatory states with levels of inflammatory markers and/or FAs in longitudinal samples of MOM from mothers of preterm infants born <1,250 g. Inflammatory states included pre-pregnancy ow/ob, diabetes, chorioamnionitis (chorio), preterm labor (PTL), premature rupture of membranes (PROM), pre-eclampsia, and cesarian delivery. In MOM, inflammatory markers studied included c-reactive protein (CRP), free choline, IFN-Ɣ, IL-10, IL-1ß, IL-1ra, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α, and FAs included omega-6:omega-3 ratio, arachidonic acid, docosahexaenoic acid, linoleic acid, monounsaturated FAs, and saturated FAs. The above inflammatory states were assessed individually, and the healthiest mothers (normal BMI, no chorio, and ± no pre-eclampsia) were grouped. Regression analysis tested associations at baseline (day 5) and over time using generalized estimating equations. Results: A total of 92 infants were included who were delivered to mothers (42% ow/ob) at a median gestational age of 27.7 weeks and birth weight of 850 g. MOM CRP was 116% higher (relative change 2.16) in mothers with ow/ob at baseline than others (p = 0.01), and lower (relative change 0.46, 0.33, respectively) in mothers in the two "healthy groups" at baseline (both p < 0.05) than others. MOM IL-8 levels were lower with chorio and PTL at baseline. No significant associations were found for other individual or grouped inflammatory states nor for other MOM inflammatory markers nor FA profiles at baseline. Discussion: In conclusion, MOM CRP levels are positively associated with inflammatory states, such as ow/ob. Reassuringly, there was no association between FA profiles or most other inflammatory markers and maternal inflammatory states. Further studies are needed to determine potential associations or ramifications of MOM CRP in vulnerable preterm infants.

Impact of a quality improvement initiative with a dedicated anesthesia team on outcomes after surgery for adult congenital heart disease.

Objectives: A quality improvement initiative was introduced to the adult congenital cardiac surgery program at Toronto General Hospital in January 2016. A dedicated Adult Congenital Anesthesia and intensive care unit team was introduced within the cardiac group. The use of factor concentrates was introduced. The study compares perioperative mortality, adverse events, and transfusion burden before and after this process change. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of all adult congenital cardiac surgeries from January 2004 to July 2019. Two groups were analyzed: patients undergoing operation before and after 2016. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. One-year mortality and prevalence of key morbidities were analyzed as secondary outcomes. A separate analysis looked at patients who had and had not attended an anesthesia-led preassessment clinic. Results: In-hospital mortality was significantly reduced in patients undergoing operation after 2016 (1.1% vs 4.3%, P = .003) despite a higher risk profile. One-year mortality (1.3% vs 5.8%, P = .003) and ventilation times (5.5 hours [3.4-13.0] vs 6.3 hours [4.2-16.2], P = .001) were also reduced. The incidence of stroke and renal failure was similar between groups. Blood product exposure was comparable, but the incidence of chest reopening decreased (1.8% vs 4.8%, P = .022), despite more patients with multiple previous chest wall incisions, on anticoagulation, and with more complex cardiac anatomy. There were no significant outcome differences between those who did or did not attend the preassessment clinic. Conclusions: Both in-hospital and 1-year mortality were significantly reduced after the introduction of a quality improvement program, despite a higher risk profile. Blood product exposure remained unchanged, but there were less chest reopenings.

Comprehensive Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Tissue Characterization and Cardiotoxicity in Women With Breast Cancer.

Importance: There is a growing interest in understanding whether cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) myocardial tissue characterization helps identify risk of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD). Objective: To describe changes in CMR tissue biomarkers during breast cancer therapy and their association with CTRCD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a prospective, multicenter, cohort study of women with ERBB2 (formerly HER2)-positive breast cancer (stages I-III) who were scheduled to receive anthracycline and trastuzumab therapy with/without adjuvant radiotherapy and surgery. From November 7, 2013, to January 16, 2019, participants were recruited from 3 University of Toronto-affiliated hospitals. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to June 2022. Exposures: Sequential therapy with anthracyclines, trastuzumab, and radiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: CMR, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) measurements were performed before anthracycline treatment, after anthracycline and before trastuzumab treatment, and at 3-month intervals during trastuzumab therapy. CMR included left ventricular (LV) volumes, LV ejection fraction (EF), myocardial strain, early gadolinium enhancement imaging to assess hyperemia (inflammation marker), native/postcontrast T1 mapping (with extracellular volume fraction [ECV]) to assess edema and/or fibrosis, T2 mapping to assess edema, and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) to assess replacement fibrosis. CTRCD was defined using the Cardiac Review and Evaluation Committee criteria. Fixed-effects models or generalized estimating equations were used in analyses. Results: Of 136 women (mean [SD] age, 51.1 [9.2] years) recruited from 2013 to 2019, 37 (27%) developed CTRCD. Compared with baseline, tissue biomarkers of myocardial hyperemia and edema peaked after anthracycline therapy or 3 months after trastuzumab initiation as demonstrated by an increase in mean (SD) relative myocardial enhancement (baseline, 46.3% [16.8%] to peak, 56.2% [18.6%]), native T1 (1012 [26] milliseconds to 1035 [28] milliseconds), T2 (51.4 [2.2] milliseconds to 52.6 [2.2] milliseconds), and ECV (25.2% [2.4%] to 26.8% [2.7%]), with P <.001 for the entire follow-up. The observed values were mostly within the normal range, and the changes were small and recovered during follow-up. No new replacement fibrosis developed. Increase in T1, T2, and/or ECV was associated with increased ventricular volumes and BNP but not hs-cTnI level. None of the CMR tissue biomarkers were associated with changes in LVEF or myocardial strain. Change in ECV was associated with concurrent and subsequent CTRCD, but there was significant overlap between patients with and without CTRCD. Conclusions and Relevance: In women with ERBB2-positive breast cancer receiving sequential anthracycline and trastuzumab therapy, CMR tissue biomarkers suggest inflammation and edema peaking early during therapy and were associated with ventricular remodeling and BNP elevation. However, the increases in CMR biomarkers were transient, were not associated with LVEF or myocardial strain, and were not useful in identifying traditional CTRCD risk.

Machine learning approaches to the human metabolome in sepsis identify metabolic links with survival.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic predictors and potential mediators of survival in sepsis have been incompletely characterized. We examined whether machine learning (ML) tools applied to the human plasma metabolome could consistently identify and prioritize metabolites implicated in sepsis survivorship, and whether these methods improved upon conventional statistical approaches. METHODS: Plasma gas chromatography-liquid chromatography mass spectrometry quantified 411 metabolites measured ≤ 72 h of ICU admission in 60 patients with sepsis at a single center (Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, USA). Seven ML approaches were trained to differentiate survivors from non-survivors. Model performance predicting 28 day mortality was assessed through internal cross-validation, and innate top-feature (metabolite) selection and rankings were compared across the 7 ML approaches and with conventional statistical methods (logistic regression). Metabolites were consensus ranked by a summary, ensemble ML ranking procedure weighing their contribution to mortality risk prediction across multiple ML models. RESULTS: Median (IQR) patient age was 58 (47, 62) years, 45% were women, and median (IQR) SOFA score was 9 (6, 12). Mortality at 28 days was 42%. The models' specificity ranged from 0.619 to 0.821. Partial least squares regression-discriminant analysis and nearest shrunken centroids prioritized the greatest number of metabolites identified by at least one other method. Penalized logistic regression demonstrated top-feature results that were consistent with many ML methods. Across the plasma metabolome, the 13 metabolites with the strongest linkage to mortality defined through an ensemble ML importance score included lactate, bilirubin, kynurenine, glycochenodeoxycholate, phenylalanine, and others. Four of these top 13 metabolites (3-hydroxyisobutyrate, indoleacetate, fucose, and glycolithocholate sulfate) have not been previously associated with sepsis survival. Many of the prioritized metabolites are constituents of the tryptophan, pyruvate, phenylalanine, pentose phosphate, and bile acid pathways. CONCLUSIONS: We identified metabolites linked with sepsis survival, some confirming prior observations, and others representing new associations. The application of ensemble ML feature-ranking tools to metabolomic data may represent a promising statistical platform to support biologic target discovery.

Self-Reported Physical Activity, QoL, Cardiac Function, and Cardiorespiratory Fitness in Women With HER2+ Breast Cancer.

Background: Women treated for breast cancer are at risk for worsening health-related quality of life (QoL), cardiac function, and cardiorespiratory fitness. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the associations of self-reported moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) during cancer treatment with concurrent measures of QoL and cardiac function and with post-treatment cardiorespiratory fitness in women with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer receiving sequential anthracyclines and trastuzumab. Methods: EMBRACE-MRI 1 (Evaluation of Myocardial Changes During Breast Adenocarcinoma Therapy to Detect Cardiotoxicity Earlier With MRI) study participants who completed questionnaires for MVPA (modified Godin Leisure Time Physical Activity Questionnaire) and QoL (EQ-5D-3L, Minnesota Living With Heart Failure Questionnaire) and cardiac imaging every 3 months during treatment and post-treatment cardiopulmonary exercise testing were included. Participants engaging in ≥90 minutes of MVPA each week were labeled "active." Generalized estimation equations and linear regression analyses were used to assess concurrent and post-treatment associations with MVPA and activity status, respectively. Results: Eighty-eight participants were included (mean age 51.4 ± 8.9 years). Mean MVPA minutes, QoL, and cardiac function (left ventricular ejection fraction, global longitudinal strain, E/A ratio, and E/e' ratio) worsened by 6 months into trastuzumab therapy. Higher MVPA (per 30 minutes) during treatment was associated with better concurrent overall (ß = -0.42) and physical (ß = -0.24) Minnesota Living With Heart Failure Questionnaire scores, EQ-5D-3L index (ß = 0.003), visual analogue scale score (ß = 0.43), diastolic function (E/A ratio; ß = 0.01), and global longitudinal strain (ß = 0.04) at each time point (P ≤ 0.01 for all). Greater cumulative MVPA over the treatment period was associated with higher post-treatment cardiorespiratory fitness (peak oxygen consumption; ß = 0.06 per 30 minutes; P < 0.001). Conclusions: Higher self-reported MVPA during treatment for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer was associated with better QoL and diastolic and systolic left ventricular function measures during treatment and better post-treatment cardiorespiratory fitness.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Myocardial Work Indices for Identification of Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiotoxicity.

BACKGROUND: Echocardiographic global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a useful measure for detection of cancer treatment-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) but is influenced by blood pressure changes. This limitation may be overcome by assessment of myocardial work (MW), which incorporates blood pressure into the calculation. OBJECTIVES: This work aims to determine whether myocardial work indices (MWIs) can help diagnose or prognosticate CTRCD. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 136 women undergoing anthracycline and trastuzumab treatment for HER2+ breast cancer, underwent serial echocardiograms and cardiac magnetic resonance pre- and post-anthracycline and every 3 months during trastuzumab. GLS, global work index (GWI), global constructive work (GCW), global wasted work, and global work efficiency were measured. CTRCD was defined with cardiac magnetic resonance. Generalized estimating equations quantified the association between changes in GLS and MWIs and CTRCD at the current (diagnosis) and subsequent visit (prognosis). Regression tree analysis was used to explore the combined use of GLS and MW for the diagnostic/prognostic assessment of CTRCD. RESULTS: Baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 63.2 ± 4.0%. Thirty-seven (27.2%) patients developed CTRCD. An absolute change in GLS (standardized odds ratio [sOR]: 1.97 [95% CI: 1.07-3.66]; P = 0.031) and GWI (sOR: 1.73 [95% CI: 1.04-2.85]; P = 0.033) were associated with concurrent CTRCD. An absolute change in GLS (sOR: 1.79 [95% CI: 1.22-2.62]; P = 0.003), GWI (sOR: 1.67 [95% CI: 1.20-2.32]; P = 0.003), and GCW (sOR: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.17-2.34]; P = 0.005) were associated with subsequent CTRCD. Change in GWI and GCW demonstrated incremental value over GLS and clinical factors for the diagnosis of concurrent CTRCD. In a small group with a GLS change <3.3% (absolute), and a >21 mm Hg reduction in systolic blood pressure, worsening of GWI identified patients with higher probability of concurrent CTRCD (24.0% vs 5.2%). MWIs did not improve identification of subsequent CTRCD beyond knowledge of GLS change. CONCLUSIONS: GLS can be used to diagnose and prognosticate cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) defined CTRCD, with additional value from MWIs in selected cases. (Evaluation of Myocardial Changes During Breast Adenocarcinoma Therapy to Detect Cardiotoxicity Earlier With MRI [EMBRACE-MRI]; NCT02306538).

A Combined Echocardiography Approach for the Diagnosis of Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiac Dysfunction in Women With Early-Stage Breast Cancer.

IMPORTANCE: Diagnosis of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) remains a challenge. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) provides accurate measurement of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), but access to repeated scans is limited. OBJECTIVE: To develop a diagnostic model for CTRCD using echocardiographic LVEF and strain and biomarkers, with CMR as the reference standard. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this prospective cohort study, patients were recruited from University of Toronto-affiliated hospitals from November 2013 to January 2019 with all cardiac imaging performed at a single tertiary care center. Women with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive early-stage breast cancer were included. The main exclusion criterion was contraindication to CMR. A total of 160 patients were recruited, 136 of whom completed the study. EXPOSURES: Sequential therapy with anthracyclines and trastuzumab. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Patients underwent echocardiography, high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and CMR studies preanthracycline and postanthracycline every 3 months during and after trastuzumab therapy. Echocardiographic measures included 2-dimensional (2-D) LVEF, 3-D LVEF, peak systolic global longitudinal strain (GLS), and global circumferential strain (GCS). LVEF CTRCD was defined using the Cardiac Review and Evaluation Committee Criteria, GLS or GCS CTRCD as a greater than 15% relative change, and abnormal hsTnI and BNP as greater than 26 pg/mL and ≥ 35 pg/mL, respectively, at any follow-up point. Combinations of echocardiographic measures and biomarkers were examined to diagnose CMR CTRCD using conditional inference tree models. RESULTS: Among 136 women (mean [SD] age, 51.1 [9.2] years), CMR-identified CTRCD occurred in 37 (27%), and among those with analyzable images, in 30 of 131 (23%) by 2-D LVEF, 27 of 124 (22%) by 3-D LVEF, 53 of 126 (42%) by GLS, 61 of 123 (50%) by GCS, 32 of 136 (24%) by BNP, and 14 of 136 (10%) by hsTnI. In isolation, 3-D LVEF had greater sensitivity and specificity than 2-D LVEF for CMR CTRCD while GLS had greater sensitivity than 2-D or 3-D LVEF. Regression tree analysis identified a sequential algorithm using 3-D LVEF, GLS, and GCS for the optimal diagnosis of CTRCD (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 89.3%). The probability of CTRCD when results for all 3 tests were negative was 1.0%. When 3-D LVEF was replaced by 2-D LVEF in the model, the algorithm still performed well; however, its primary value was to rule out CTRCD. Biomarkers did not improve the ability to diagnose CTRCD. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Using CMR CTRCD as the reference standard, these data suggest that a sequential approach combining echocardiographic 3-D LVEF with 2-D GLS and 2-D GCS may provide a timely diagnosis of CTRCD during routine CTRCD surveillance with greater accuracy than using these measures individually. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02306538.

Towards a biopsychosocial understanding of neurodevelopmental outcomes in children with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy: A mixed-methods study.

OBJECTIVE: Children with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) are at high risk of neurodevelopmental delay despite the widespread adoption of therapeutic hypothermia. Thus, consideration of both biological and psychosocial factors is warranted to better predict outcomes. We examined the associations between various child neurodevelopmental outcomes and potentially influential factors such as brain imaging, parent mental health, previous intervention, and social risk. Qualitative themes in the parent experience were also identified from free-text questionnaire responses. Methods: Parents of 54 children with HIE (ages 6 months-6.5 years) completed questionnaires capturing sociodemographic factors, qualitative perceptions of clinical outcome, parent mental health, and ratings of child adaptive and psychosocial functioning. Neurodevelopmental assessment scores at 18 and 36 months were extracted retrospectively from the medical chart for a subset of children. Results: Linear regression analyses showed significant associations between poorer parent mental health and child psychosocial and language outcomes. In multivariable analyses, social risk served as a significant predictor of 18 and 36 month cognitive and language functioning. Qualitative analyses of parents' written reflections revealed themes of hopefulness and ongoing concern. Conclusion: In children with HIE, social context and parent mental health are strong contributing factors in the pathway of neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Strain-Guided Management of Potentially Cardiotoxic Cancer Therapy.

BACKGROUND: In patients at risk of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD), initiation of cardioprotective therapy (CPT) is constrained by the low sensitivity of ejection fraction (EF) for minor changes in left ventricular (LV) function. Global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a robust and sensitive marker of LV dysfunction, but existing observational data have been insufficient to support a routine GLS-guided strategy for CPT. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify whether GLS-guided CPT prevents reduction in LVEF and development of CTRCD in high-risk patients undergoing potentially cardiotoxic chemotherapy, compared with usual care. METHODS: In this international, multicenter, prospective, randomized controlled trial, 331 anthracycline-treated patients with another heart failure risk factor were randomly allocated to CPT initiation guided by either ≥12% relative reduction in GLS (n = 166) or >10% absolute reduction of LVEF (n = 165). Patients were followed for EF and development of CTRCD (symptomatic EF reduction of >5% or >10% asymptomatic to <55%) over 1 year. RESULTS: Of 331 randomized patients, 2 died, and 22 withdrew consent or were lost to follow-up. Among 307 patients (age: 54 ± 12 years; 94% women; baseline LVEF: 59 ± 6%; GLS: -20.6 ± 2.4%) with a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 1.02 years (0.98 to 1.07 years), most (n = 278) had breast cancer. Heart failure risk factors were prevalent: 29% had hypertension, and 13% had diabetes mellitus. At the 1-year follow-up, although the primary outcome of change in LVEF was not significantly different between the 2 arms, there was significantly greater use of CPT, and fewer patients met CTRCD criteria in the GLS-guided than the EF-guided arm (5.8% vs. 13.7%; p = 0.02), and the 1-year EF was 57 ± 6% versus 55 ± 7% (p = 0.05). Patients who received CPT in the EF-guided arm had a larger reduction in LVEF at follow-up than in the GLS-guided arm (9.1 ± 10.9% vs. 2.9 ± 7.4%; p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Although the change in LVEF was not different between the 2 arms as a whole, when patients who received CPT were compared, those in the GLS-guided arm had a significantly lower reduction in LVEF at 1 year follow-up. Furthermore, GLS-guided CPT significantly reduced a meaningful fall of LVEF to the abnormal range. The results support the use of GLS in surveillance for CTRCD. (Strain Surveillance of Chemotherapy for Improving Cardiovascular Outcomes [SUCCOUR]; ACTRN12614000341628).

Associations between the spatiotemporal distribution of Kawasaki disease and environmental factors: evidence supporting a multifactorial etiologic model.

The etiology of Kawasaki Disease (KD), the most common cause of acquired heart disease in children in developed countries, remains elusive, but could be multifactorial in nature as suggested by the numerous environmental and infectious exposures that have previously been linked to its epidemiology. There is still a lack of a comprehensive model describing these complex associations. We present a Bayesian disease model that provides insight in the spatiotemporal distribution of KD in Canada from 2004 to 2017. The disease model including environmental factors had improved Watanabe-Akaike information criterion (WAIC) compared to the base model which included only spatiotemporal and demographic effects and had excellent performance in recapitulating the spatiotemporal distribution of KD in Canada (98% and 86% spatial and temporal correlations, respectively). The model suggests an association between the distribution of KD and population composition, weather-related factors, aeroallergen exposure, pollution, atmospheric concentration of spores and algae, and the incidence of healthcare encounters for bacterial pneumonia or viral intestinal infections. This model could be the basis of a hypothetical data-driven framework for the spatiotemporal distribution of KD. It also generates novel hypotheses about the etiology of KD, and provides a basis for the future development of a predictive and surveillance model.

Clinical, Echocardiographic, and Biomarker Associations With Impaired Cardiorespiratory Fitness Early After HER2-Targeted Breast Cancer Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is reduced in cancer survivors and predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related and all-cause mortality. However, routine measurement of CRF is not always feasible. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to identify clinical, cardiac biomarker, and imaging measures associated with reduced peak oxygen consumption (VO2peak) (measure of CRF) early post-breast cancer therapy to help inform CVD risk. METHODS: Consecutive women with early-stage HER2+ breast cancer receiving anthracyclines and trastuzumab were recruited prospectively. Within 6 ± 2 weeks of trastuzumab completion, we collected clinical information, systolic/diastolic echocardiographic measures, high-sensitivity troponin I, B-type natriuretic peptide, and VO2peak using a cycle ergometer. Regression models were used to examine the association between VO2peak and clinical, imaging, and cardiac biomarkers individually and in combination. RESULTS: Among 147 patients (age 52.2 ± 9.3 years), the mean VO2peak was 19.1 ± 5.0 mL O2·kg-1·min-1 (84.2% ± 18.7% of predicted); 44% had a VO2peak below threshold for functional independence (<18 mL O2·kg-1·min-1). In multivariable analysis, absolute global longitudinal strain (GLS) (ß = 0.58; P = 0.007), age per 10 years (ß: -1.61; P = 0.001), and E/e' (measure of diastolic filling pressures) (ß = -0.45; P = 0.038) were associated with VO2peak. GLS added incremental value in explaining the variability in VO2peak. The combination of age ≥50 years, E/e' ≥7.8, and GLS <18% identified a high probability (85.7%) of compromised functional independence, whereas age <50 years, E/e' <7.8, and GLS ≥18% identified a low probability (0%). High-sensitivity troponin I and B-type natriuretic peptide were not associated with VO2peak. CONCLUSIONS: Readily available clinical measures were associated with VO2peak early post-breast cancer therapy. A combination of these parameters had good discrimination to identify patients with compromised functional independence and potentially increased future CVD risk.

Serial Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Strain Measurements to Identify Cardiotoxicity in Breast Cancer: Comparison With Echocardiography.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to compare the prognostic value of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) and 2-dimensional echocardiography (2DE) derived left ventricular (LV) strain, volumes, and ejection fraction for cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) in women with early stage breast cancer. BACKGROUND: There are limited comparative data on the association of CMR and 2DE derived strain, volumes, and LVEF with CTRCD. METHODS: A total of 125 prospectively recruited women with HER2+ early stage breast cancer receiving sequential anthracycline/trastuzumab underwent 5 serial CMR and 6 of 2DE studies before and during treatment. CMR LV volumes, left ventricular ejection fraction tagged-CMR, and feature-tracking (FT) derived global systolic longitudinal (GLS) and global circumferential strain (GCS) and 2DE-based LV volumes, function, GLS, and GCS were measured. CTRCD was defined by the cardiac review and evaluation committee criteria. RESULTS: Twenty-eight percent of patients developed CTRCD by CMR and 22% by 2DE. A 15% relative reduction in 2DE-GLS increased the CTRCD odds by 133% at subsequent follow-up, compared with 47%/50% by tagged-CMR GLS/GCS and 87% by FT-GCS. CMR and 2DE-LVEF and indexed left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESVi) were also associated with subsequent CTRCD. The prognostic threshold change in CMR-left ventricular ejection fraction and FT strain for subsequent CTRCD was similar to the known minimum-detectable difference for these measures, whereas for tagged-CMR strain it was lower than the minimum-detectable difference; for 2DE, only the prognostic threshold for GLS was greater than the minimum-detectable difference. Of all strain methods, 2DE-GLS provided the highest increase in discriminatory value over baseline clinical risk factors for subsequent CTRCD. The combination of 2DE-left ventricular ejection fraction or LVESVi and strain provided greater increase in the area under the curve for subsequent CTRCD over clinical risk factors than CMR left ventricular ejection fraction or LVESVi and strain (18% to 22% vs. 9% to 14%). CONCLUSIONS: In women with HER2+ early stage breast cancer, changes in CMR and 2DE strain, left ventricular ejection fraction, and LVESVi were prognostic for subsequent CTRCD. When LVEF can be measured precisely by CMR, FT strain may function as an additional confirmatory prognostic measure, but with 2DE, GLS is the optimal prognostic measure. (Evaluation of Myocardial Changes During BReast Adenocarcinoma Therapy to Detect Cardiotoxicity Earlier With MRI [EMBRACE-MRI]; NCT02306538).

Variability in echocardiography and MRI for detection of cancer therapy cardiotoxicity.

OBJECTIVES: To compare variability of echocardiographic and cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) measured left ventricular (LV) function parameters and their relationship to cancer therapeutics-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD). METHODS: We prospectively recruited 60 participants (age: 49.8±11.6 years), 30 women with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer (15 with CTRCD and 15 without CTRCD) and 30 healthy volunteers. Patients were treated with anthracyclines and trastuzumab. Participants underwent three serial CMR (1.5T) and echocardiography studies at ~3-month intervals. Cine-CMR for LV ejection fraction (LVEF), myocardial tagging for global longitudinal strain (GLS) and global circumferential strain (GCS), two-dimensional (2D) echocardiography for strain and LVEF and three-dimensional (3D) echocardiography for LVEF measurements were obtained. Temporal, interobserver and intraobserver variability were calculated as the coefficient of variation and as the SE of the measurement (SEM). Minimal detected difference (MDD) was defined as 2xSEM. RESULTS: Patients with CTRCD demonstrated larger mean temporal changes in all parameters compared with those without: 2D-LVEF: 4.6% versus 2.8%; 3D-LVEF: 5.2% vs 2.3%; CMR-LVEF: 6.6% versus 2.7%; 2D-GLS: 1.9% versus 0.7%, 2D-GCS: 2.5% versus 2.2%; CMR-GCS: 2.7% versus 1.6%; and CMR-GLS: 2.1% versus 1.4%, with overlap in 95% CI for 2D-LVEF, 2D-GCS, CMR-GLS and CMR-GCS. The respective mean temporal variability/MDD in healthy volunteers were 3.3%/6.5%, 1.8%/3.7%, 2.2%/4.4%, 0.8%/1.5%, 1.9%/3.7%, 1.8%/3.6% and 1.4%/2.8%. Although the mean temporal variability in healthy volunteers was lower than the mean temporal changes in CTRCD, at the individual level, 2D-GLS, 3D-LVEF and CMR-LVEF had the least overlap. 2D-GLS and CMR-LVEF had the lowest interobserver/intraobserver variabilities. CONCLUSION: Temporal changes in 3D-LVEF, 2D-GLS and CMR LVEF in patients with CTRCD had the least overlap with the variability in healthy volunteers; however, 2D-GLS appears to be the most suitable for clinical application in individual patients.

Can Quantitative CMR Tissue Characterization Adequately Identify Cardiotoxicity During Chemotherapy?: Impact of Temporal and Observer Variability.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of the temporal and observer variability of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)-measured native T1, T2, and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) and serum biomarkers for the detection of cancer-therapeutics-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD). BACKGROUND: Biomarkers and serial quantitative CMR tissue characterization may help identify early myocardial changes of CTRCD, but these parameters require both accuracy and reliability. METHODS: A total of 50 participants (age 48.9 ± 12.1 years) underwent 3 CMR studies (1.5-T) and biomarker measurements (high-sensitivity troponin-I and B-type natriuretic peptide) at 3-month intervals: 20 with HER2-positive breast cancer (10 with and 10 without CTRCD), and 30 prospectively recruited healthy participants. T1 and T2 maps were obtained at 3 left ventricular short-axis locations. Temporal and observer variability were calculated as the coefficient of variation and as the standard error of the measurement (SEM) using repeated measures and 2-way analysis of variance. Minimal detected difference was defined as 2 × SEM. RESULTS: Compared with the patients without CTRCD, those with CTRCD had larger temporal change in native T1 (27.2 ms [95% confidence interval (CI): 20.8 to 39.3 ms] vs. 12.4 ms [95% CI: 9.5 to 17.9 ms]), T2 (2.0 ms [95% CI: 1.5 to 2.9 ms] vs. 1.0 ms [95% CI: 0.74 to 1.4 ms]), and ECV (2.1% [95% CI: 1.5% to 3.1%] vs. 1.0% [95% CI: 0.8% to 1.5%]). However, the temporal changes in biomarkers overlapped. The minimal detected difference for T1 (29 ms), T2 (3.0 ms), and ECV (2.2%) in healthy participants approached the mean temporal changes in patients with CTRCD. For individual patients with CTRCD, there was overlap in the temporal changes of all 3 parameters, and the variability in healthy participants with the least overlap for native T1. The interobserver/intraobserver variabilities for the CMR parameters were low (coefficient of variation 0.5% to 4.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The temporal changes in both biomarkers and tissue characterization measures in individual patients overlap with the temporal variability in healthy participants and approach the minimal detectable temporal differences. While the accuracy of the parameters awaits further study, the temporal variability of these methods may pose challenges to routine clinical application in individual patients receiving cancer therapy.