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1.
Biometrics ; 72(4): 1255-1265, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27123964

RESUMO

Understanding how aquatic species grow is fundamental in fisheries because stock assessment often relies on growth dependent statistical models. Length-frequency-based methods become important when more applicable data for growth model estimation are either not available or very expensive. In this article, we develop a new framework for growth estimation from length-frequency data using a generalized von Bertalanffy growth model (VBGM) framework that allows for time-dependent covariates to be incorporated. A finite mixture of normal distributions is used to model the length-frequency cohorts of each month with the means constrained to follow a VBGM. The variances of the finite mixture components are constrained to be a function of mean length, reducing the number of parameters and allowing for an estimate of the variance at any length. To optimize the likelihood, we use a minorization-maximization (MM) algorithm with a Nelder-Mead sub-step. This work was motivated by the decline in catches of the blue swimmer crab (BSC) (Portunus armatus) off the east coast of Queensland, Australia. We test the method with a simulation study and then apply it to the BSC fishery data.


Assuntos
Braquiúros/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Pesqueiros/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Estatísticos , Algoritmos , Animais , Distribuição Normal , Fatores de Tempo
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