Divergent trajectories of lean vs obese non-alcoholic steatohepatitis patients from listing to post-transplant: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis is the second most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). The role of body mass index (BMI) on outcomes of NASH cirrhosis has been conflicting. AIM: To compare the longitudinal trajectories of patients with lean vs obese NASH cirrhosis, from listing up to post-transplant, having adjusted their BMI for ascites. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all adult NASH patients listed for LT in our program from 2012 to 2019. Fine-Gray Competing Risk analyses and Cox Proportional-Hazard Models were performed to examine the cumulative incidence of transplant and survival outcomes respectively. RESULTS: Out of 265 NASH cirrhosis listed patients, 176 were included. Median age was 61.0 years; 46% were females. 111 patients underwent LT. Obese robust patients had better waitlist survival [hazard ratio (HR): 0.12; 95%CI: 0.05-0.29, P < 0.0001] with higher instantaneous rate of transplant (HR: 5.71; 95%CI: 1.26-25.9, P = 0.02). Lean NASH patients had a substantially higher risk of graft loss within 90 d post-LT (1.2% vs 13.8%, P = 0.032) and death post-LT (2.4% vs 17.2%, P = 0.029). 1- 3- and 5-year graft survival was poor for lean NASH (78.6%, 77.3% and 41.7% vs 98.6%, 96% and 85% respectively). Overall patient survival post-LT was significantly worse in lean NASH (HR: 0.17; 95%CI: 0.03-0.86, P = 0.0142) with 83% lower instantaneous rate of death in obese group. CONCLUSION: Although lean NASH is considered to be more benign than obese NASH, our study suggests a paradoxical correlation of lean NASH with waitlist outcomes, and graft and patient survival post-LT.

Cross-Linked Multimeric Pro-Peptides of Type III Collagen (PC3X) in Hepatocellular Carcinoma - A Biomarker That Provides Additional Prognostic Value in AFP Positive Patients.

PURPOSE: Non-invasive biomarkers for diagnosing and prognosing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are urgently needed. Cirrhosis is present in 80-90% of HCC patients. Cirrhosis is characterized by deposition and cross-linking of collagens that have crucial roles in HCC initiation and progression. We evaluated circulating cross-linked pro-peptides of type III collagen (PC3X) as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for HCC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: PC3X was measured by ELISA in plasma from patients with HCC (n=79), cirrhosis (n=86), non-cirrhotic hepatitis-B infection (n=74) and from healthy controls (n=44). PC3X was compared to the liver fibrosis marker PRO-C3 and the HCC tumor-cell derived marker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). Diagnostic and prognostic potential was evaluated by AUROC and by calculating hazard ratios (HR) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: PC3X, PRO-C3 and AFP were significantly elevated in patients with HCC compared to other liver diseases and healthy controls (p=0.0002, p<0.0001). In patients with normal AFP (<20 IU/mL), PC3X and PRO-C3 separated HCC from cirrhosis with an AUROC of 0.72 and 0.68, respectively. High PC3X and AFP predicted for poor PFS (HRPC3X=1.80, p=0.032; HRAFP=1.70, p=0.031) and OS (HRPC3X=2.12, p=0.024; HRAFP=2.55; p=0.003), whereas PRO-C3 did not (PFS: HR=1.19, p=0.059 and OS: HR=1.12, p=0.324). PC3X was independent of AFP (PFS: HR=1.74, p=0.045 and OS: HR=2.21, p=0.018) and combining the two improved prognostic value (PFS: HR=2.66, p=0.004 and OS: HR=5.86, p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: PC3X is associated with HCC independent of AFP and provides diagnostic and prognostic value for HCC patients. If validated, this suggests that PC3X has biomarker potential for HCC.