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1.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 80(3): 294-300, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38799997

RESUMO

Background: Lyme borreliosis is a public health concern in India. The prevalence of the disease is still undetermined with major entomological and epidemiological gaps. The present study was conducted to determine the seropositivity of Borrelia burgdorferi in Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh, India. Methods: A cross-sectional serosurvey was conducted in Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh. Data collection tools were developed and standardized for the collection of clinico-socio-demographic data. Sample size for each site was calculated using the formula for the estimation of a single proportion. Qualitative detection of IgG antibodies in serum samples was done using NovaLisa™ Lyme Borrelia IgG ELISA kit. Results: A total of 793 participants were enrolled, 484 (61%) from Arunachal Pradesh and 309 (39%) from Sikkim. Out of 793 participants, 21 (2.7%), 22 (2.8%), 6 (0.8%), 29 (3.7%), 44 (5.5%), and 16 (2.1%) gave history of tick bite, rash, erythema migrans, migratory muscle pain, migratory joint pain, and numbness, respectively, in the past one year. The adjusted seroprevalence (for sensitivity and specificity of kit) for the study is 3.7 (2.4-5.2). No signs or symptoms were found to be associated with IgG ELISA positivity. The state-wise distribution of seropositivity for Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim was 4.1 (95% CI: 2.5-6.3) and 2.3 (95% CI: 0.9-4.6), respectively. Conclusion: This study establishes the state of Sikkim as a new endemic area in India of Lyme disease besides its already reported endemicity in Arunachal Pradesh. No association was conclusively established between symptoms of Lyme and IgG seropositivity emphasizing the need for detailed history taking and clinical suspicion in endemic areas.

2.
Indian J Clin Biochem ; 38(4): 528-535, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37746533

RESUMO

Head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) is one of the most prevalent type of cancer known in Indian population. Studies are needed to identify the early biomarkers for HNSCC. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are non-coding RNA molecules, expression of which can be used as biomarker for early diagnosis of HNSCC. For miRNA profiling total RNA, which also contained small RNAs were isolated from ten HNSCC tissue samples and adjacent control. Purity and concentration of eluted RNA was assessed using the NanoDrop1000® spectrophotometer, Reverse Transcription reaction was carried out with megaplex RT primers of pool A and pool B and the expression of selected miRNAs (miR-143/145 and miR-18a/b) was measured using TaqMan primers specific for mature miRNAs. Our study showed dramatic downregulation in expression of two miRNAs, miR-18b and miR-145 in blood samples of HNSCC patients, which are inhibitor of tumorigenesis and can be targeted as biomarker of HNSCC pathogenesis therefore developing avenues for miRNA role in prognosis and therapeutics. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12291-023-01119-2.

3.
Indian J Public Health ; 67(3): 442-447, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37929388

RESUMO

Background: Globally, hypertension is the leading risk factor for men and women and the largest contributor to premature deaths and diseases in India. Health literacy (HL) and health-care access are important determinants for self-care management of hypertension. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to estimate the prevalence of HL, health-care access, and their importance in the self-care management of hypertension. Methods: A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 104 known hypertensive patients for 2 months from May to June 2022. Data were collected by face-to-face interviews using a pretested, preformed, and validated questionnaire, and tabulated and analyzed using Microsoft Excel and SPSS version 20 software. Results: Most of the participants (80, 76.9%) have low levels of HL. However, more than half of the (62, 59.6%) participants were satisfied with their access to primary health care. The age of the participants ranged from 38 to 80 years, and half of them (54, 51.9%) were middle-aged adults. The majority (66, 63.5%) of the patients belonged to lower-middle socioeconomic status, and 15.4% (16) were living alone. We found poor HL, and primary health-care access is statistically significantly associated with poor self-care management. Conclusion: Our findings confirm that HL and access to primary health care are crucial factors in the self-care management of hypertension in hypertensive patients.


Assuntos
Letramento em Saúde , Hipertensão , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Transversais , Autocuidado , Índia/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/terapia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde
4.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 79(3): 316-320, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37193532

RESUMO

Background: There is limited literature from India on effect of fathers' deployment on the mental health of children. This cross-sectional analytical study investigates the difference in anxiety levels of children whose fathers are deployed in a field location and compares it with children currently located with their fathers. Method: Data were collected in an army school from 200 children aged 10-17 years with fathers deployed in field locations (n = 99) and fathers currently residing with the children (n = 105) via interviewer administered and self-completed Screen for Child Anxiety-Related Disorders (SCARED) questionnaire. Results: Anxiety scores were on an average, minimally raised above the cut-off level for children who had fathers deployed. In addition, panic disorder scores were also above the cut-off levels for these children. While scores were normal in all other domain, they were higher than that for children residing with their fathers, although the difference was not significant. Girls with fathers deployed had scores higher than cut-off scores for domains such as panic, separation anxiety and school avoidance, while boys had scores higher than cut-off scores only for panic disorders. However, the girls had significantly higher scores than boys in all domains. Girls in both groups (with and without father deployed) had higher scores than cut-off scores for panic disorders. Conclusion: Anxiety levels in children were not found to be unduly affected by the deployment of fathers. But girls were found to have clinically relevant panic disorder, school avoidance and separation anxiety scores as compared with boys in the similar situation of parental separation.

5.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 79(5): 494-497, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37719906

RESUMO

The challenge today is to make sure that the evidence available gets implemented for betterment of human wellbeing. The research which is closely associated with implementation, challenges and outcome of evidence in real life scenario is Implementation research (IR). The current prespective explains why there is a focus on IR by all icluding researchers, practitioners and policy makers. The approaches and study designs commonly used in the IR have been described. The IR is multi-disciplinary, multilevel and contextual in nature. The outcomes in IR are proximal. The article further describes the ethical issue and the way forward for IR. We need to do capacity building of practitioners, researchers and policymakers in IR.

6.
Indian J Public Health ; 66(2): 196-199, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35859506

RESUMO

Kasurdi Health and Demographic Surveillance System (Kasurdi HDSS) was established at Rural Health Training Center Kasurdi on February 16, 2018. Kasurdi HDSS has been established to increase the research potential of medical colleges and develop real-time data for research purposes to study the changes in population demography, health, and health-care utilization. Kasurdi HDSS currently follows 2755 individuals living in 549 households. The system collects the data from the population through annual rounds conducted by postgraduate residents of the department of community medicine. The data are collected in the digital format with the help of android-based tablets. HDSS has collected demographic data, reproductive data, data on diseases such as tuberculosis and noncommunicable diseases, and socioeconomic data. The HDSS is in the process to upgrade its data management system to a more integrated platform, coordinated and guided by national/international standards, and data sharing policy.


Assuntos
Vigilância da População , Demografia , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos
7.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 78(Suppl 1): S201-S205, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36147382

RESUMO

Background: Hand hygiene is the simplest and most effective method to prevent hospital acquired infections (HAI). Compliance with hand hygiene among health providers is, however, widely variable due to significant knowledge gaps and behavioral issues. The knowledge and practices of hand hygiene among medical undergraduate students, the future health workforce in the current COVID-19 pandemic will enable a reality check and ensure course correction at an early stage of their learning. Methods: An online questionnaire-based survey based on a standard, validated WHO 25-point (multiple-choice question and Yes/No answers) hand hygiene survey was undertaken among medical undergraduate students in an urban city from April to June 2020. Each correct response was awarded 1 point, and an incorrect response was awarded 0 points. The maximum achievable score was 25, and the minimum score was 0. Results: A total of 457 students with a mean age 20.24 ± 1.27 years completed the survey. A total of 415 (90.8%) students received hand hygiene training in the past three years. Overall 27.6% (n = 126) students had good knowledge, 65.4% (n = 299) had moderate and 7% (n = 32) had poor knowledge of hand hygiene practices. Conclusions: There were significant knowledge gaps regarding hand hygiene among medical undergraduate students in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. There is a need to strengthen existing teaching methods to positively impact behavioral change and potentially translate into better hand hygiene compliance among the future health workforce of the country.

8.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 78(1): 32-35, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35035041

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In today's modern era, the two most important aspects of medical education are evaluation- and outcome-based learning. Directly Observed Procedural Skills (DOPSs ) is a well-known method of evaluation which constitutes a direct observation of the practical skills being performed by the student and simultaneous written feedback by the teacher. METHOD: A total of 40 undergraduate students were taught by a module based on DOPS. A pre-test and post-test was conducted on DOPS examination pattern and was compared by the Cochran's Q test. RESULTS: In this study, a total of 40 medical undergraduate students and 10 teachers participated. Each student was given one pre-test and five post-test with ultrasound proven mild to moderate splenomegaly. Each student was individually assessed on a module based on DOPS and was given direct feedback by the teachers. A total of 34 (85%) students strongly agreed that they felt comfortable and confident with this methodology. CONCLUSION: The results of this study revealed that DOPS tests can be used as an effective evaluation method to assess medical students because of its appropriate validity and reliability, positive impact on learning, and high satisfaction level amongst students. However, special attention needs to be given to the quality of these tests.

9.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 78(2): 175-179, 2022 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35463541

RESUMO

Background: Even after 35 years of the National Leprosy Eradication Program (NLEP) and 15 years post-elimination, leprosy continues to be a public health challenge in India. This paper discusses the current awareness of leprosy among people living in urban slums of western Maharashtra. Methods: The study was conducted in an urban slum of western Maharashtra with 400 participants. A closed-ended questionnaire regarding the knowledge, attitude, practices, and stigma existing among the people was administered, followed by a small awareness talk and screening for leprosy. Results: Of the total 400 participants, 205 (51.25) were females and 195 (48.75) were males. Only 154/400 (38.5%) people were aware of leprosy. 130/400 (32.5%) people thought that it is treatable; however, 71/130 (54.6) of them thought that it would recur even after completing the treatment. Only 103/400 (25.75) said that they would marry a person with leprosy, denoting prevalent stigma in the society, and 79/400 (19.75) were aware of government services for leprosy and NLEP. Screening of all the participants surveyed did not reveal any new or doubtful cases of leprosy. Conclusion: The present study shows a lack of awareness and knowledge of leprosy among the target population. With only 20% of them being aware of government services and the NLEP, combined with an extremely low knowledge about the disease; it shows the need to further augment the government programs. There is also an increasing need to educate people to accomplish a positive attitude of the community towards leprosy patients.

10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35464626

RESUMO

Background: Despite having an effective COVID-19 vaccine, the COVID-19 pandemic is far from over and the delta variant continues to cause havoc across several continents. The present study was conducted to analyze and describe the occurrence of COVID-19 cases among completely vaccinated individuals. Methods: In an educational institute in Western Maharashtra, we analyzed a cluster of RTPCR positive COVID-19 cases among fully vaccinated students which occurred in 12 days. The cases were linked to a series of curricular and co-curricular events in the institute. A detailed epidemiological investigation and genome sequencing of cases were conducted. IgG antibodies against S1 protein of novel SARS-CoV-2 were estimated for cases and age, sex, and vaccination status matched controls. Results: All 37 identified cases were mild COVID. 188 high risk (HR) contacts of the cases were identified. The overall secondary attack was 9.5%. Out of 31 cases and 50 controls, 09 (29%) cases and 08 (16%) controls were found to have IgG antibodies against S1 protein of novel SARS-CoV-2 titer of more than 60 U/ml. Whole-genome sequencing of 15 samples of the cluster showed the presence of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2. No correlation was observed between Ct value and IgG S1 antibody titers. Conclusion: The study provides significant evidence that only vaccination alone does not completely protect against SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant infection. An all-encompassing multicomponent strategy involving implementation of NPIs, robust contact tracing, early identification and isolation of cases, and high vaccination coverage is the way forward for the prevention of COVID-19.

11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35910399

RESUMO

Background: The change in serological status of community may be used as input for guiding the public health policy. Hence, the present study was conducted to determine change in seroprevalence of COVID-19 among healthcare workers (HCWs). Methods: From the baseline multicentric study sample, a subsample was followed up, and a seroepidemiological study was conducted among them between 6 and 22 weeks after the second dose of the vaccination. Multistage population proportion to size sampling was performed for the selection of subsample of HCWs. The serosurvey was conducted using the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay-based IgG antibody test (COVID KAVACH). Results: Follow-up serological testing was done in subsample of 1122 participants of original 3253 participants. The mean age of the participants was 34.6 (8.13) years. A total of 300 (26.7%) participants were females. The seroprevalence was 78.52, (95%CI:76-80.1). Among those who were seronegative at initial test, 708 (77.04%) were seroconverted. Those who were not seroconverted (241 (21.5%)) have longer duration from the second dose of the vaccination (93 (31.4) vs. 56 (38.4); p value < 0.001). The COVID-19 infection was significantly associated with seropositive status and being a medical staff was associated with remaining seronegative on follow-up. The higher age (≥50 years) was found to be significantly associated with seroreversion. Conclusion: Four in five HCWs had detectable antibodies. Seroepidemiological studies carry vital information to control the public health response in the course of the pandemic. The study can also further help as a platform to study the seroconversion and effect of vaccination among HCWs for newer variants of SARS-CoV-2.

12.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 30(3): 105537, 2021 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33338706

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with high mortality, morbidity, and recurrence. Studies have reported the accuracy of several blood biomarkers in predicting clinical outcomes; however, their independent contribution in prediction remains to be established. AIM: To investigate the incremental accuracy in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with ICH in a north Indian population using blood-based biomarkers. METHODS: In this study, a total of 250 ICH cases were recruited within 72 hours of onset. Baseline clinical and CT scan measurement were recorded. Homocysteine (HCY), C-reactive protein (CRP), matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP9), E-selectin (SELE), and P-selectin (SELP) levels were measured through ELISA. Telephonic follow-up was done by using mRS scale at three months. RESULTS: The mean age of cohort was 54.9 (SD±12.8) years with 64.8% patients being male. A total of 109 (43.6%) deaths were observed over three months follow-up. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve-(AUROC) for 90-day mortality were 0.55 (HCY), 0.62 (CRP), 0.57 (MMP9), 0.60 (SELE) and 0.53 (SELP) and for poor outcome at 90-day (mRS: 3-6) were 0.60 (HCY), 0.62 (CRP), 0.54 (MMP9), 0.67 (SELE) and 0.54 (SELP). In multivariable model including age, ICH volume, IVH and GCS at admission, serum SELE (p=0.004) significant for poor outcome with improved AUROC (0.86) and HCY (p=0.04), CRP (p=0.003) & MMP9 (p=0.02) for mortality with least Akaike's Information Criterion-(AIC) (1060.5). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the serum SELE is a significant predictor of poor outcome and HCY, CRP & MMP9 for Mortality in patients with ICH in the north Indian population.


Assuntos
Proteína C-Reativa/análise , Hemorragia Cerebral/sangue , Selectina E/sangue , Homocisteína/sangue , Metaloproteinase 9 da Matriz/sangue , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Hemorragia Cerebral/diagnóstico , Hemorragia Cerebral/mortalidade , Hemorragia Cerebral/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Índia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
13.
Indian J Public Health ; 65(4): 414-417, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34975090

RESUMO

Precision medicine (PM) in public health offers a new paradigm. Over a past few decades, there has been very rapid development in science and technology, especially in medical-clinical research to enhance the likelihood of preventive treatment which is personalized to an individual. This combined with digital health and accessibility of environmental and behavioral data offers a unique opportunity for specific prevention advice to individuals and thus to population at large. Indian with its 1.3 billion population and its ethnic diversity with high burden of disease offers a unique opportunity for the role of PM in public health. The article further explores the status and way forward for PM in India.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica , Medicina de Precisão , Etnicidade , Humanos , Índia , Saúde Pública
14.
Indian J Public Health ; 65(1): 64-66, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33753693

RESUMO

Maharashtra has reported the maximum number of COVID-19 cases in India. This study was conducted to describe the predictors of death among the confirmed cases of COVID-19 by carrying out a secondary analysis of surveillance data of 11,278 lab-confirmed COVID-19 cases and admitted in dedicated COVID hospitals and dedicated COVID health-care centers between April 4, 2020, and July 17, 2020, in Pune district of Maharashtra. A total of 1270 (11.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.7-11.9) deaths out of 11,278 patients were reported. Out of the 1270 deaths, 825 (65%) were male and 788 (62%) had one or more comorbidities. Logistic regression was done for predictors of death, and males (adjusted odds ratio: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.4-1.8), those with symptoms at the time of admission (adjusted odds ratio: 2.9, 95% CI: 2.5-3.4), and those with the presence of two or more comorbidities (adjusted odds ratio: 2.7, 95% CI: 2.2-3.4) were having a higher risk of death.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/fisiopatologia , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , COVID-19/mortalidade , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2 , Distribuição por Sexo
15.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77: S413-S423, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334911

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The systematic review was conducted to summarize and synthesize evidence from all available case series and case reports published on re-positive COVID-19 cases. METHODS: The systematic review was registered with Prospero (CRD42020210446). PRISMA guidelines were followed for conducting the systematic review. Inclusion criteria for studies included case reports and case series which have documented cases of positive reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) after a period of clinical improvement or a negative RT-PCR report. Reviews, opinions, and animal studies were excluded. Methodological quality was assessed using the modified Murad scale. RESULTS: A total of 30 case reports/case series were included in the study, wherein a total of 219 cases were included. In re-positive cases, the age range varied from 10 months to 91 years. The pooled proportion of positive cases after follow-up using random-effects was 12% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 09%-15%). Among the re-positives, a total of 57 cases (26%) had comorbidities. A total of 51 (23.3%) and 17 (7.8%) re-positive cases had been treated with antivirals and corticosteroids, respectively. Only a few studies have confirmed the presence of antibodies after the first episode. Studies that included contact tracing of re-positives did not find any positive cases among close contacts of re-positive cases. CONCLUSION: The systemic review found that reinfection is a possibility within 123 days of a negative RT-PCR test in a small number of cases of COVID-19. This has wider ramifications in framing clinical, preventive, and public health policy guidelines.

16.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77: S278-S282, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334894

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Efficacy of vaccines studied in clinical trial settings are likely to be different from their effectiveness in a real-world scenario. Indian Armed Forces launched its vaccine drive against COVID-19 on 16 Jan 2021. This study evaluated the effect of vaccination on mortality amongst hospitalized COVID patients. METHODS: A cross sectional study was done on all admitted moderate to severe COVID-19 patients at a designated COVID hospital in New Delhi. The primary outcome assessed the association of being fully vaccinated with mortality. Unadjusted odds ratios (OR) (with 95% CI) was performed for each predictor. Logistic regression was used for multivariable analysis and adjusted odds ratios obtained. RESULTS: The 1168 patients included in the study had a male preponderance with a mean age of 54.6 (± 17.51) years. A total of 266 (23%) patients were partially vaccinated with COVISHIELD® and 184 (16%) were fully vaccinated. Overall, 518 (44.3%) patients had comorbidities and 332 (28.4%) died. Among those fully vaccinated, there was 12.5% (23/184) mortality while it was 31.45 % (309/984) among the unvaccinated (OR 0.3, 95% CI 0.2 to 0.5, p<0.0001). In a logistic regression model, complete vaccination status and younger age were found to be associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination with two doses of COVISHIELD® was associated with lower odds of mortality among hospitalized patients with moderate to severe COVID.

17.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77(Suppl 1): S49-S56, 2021 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33612932

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The explicit declaration of Entrustable Professional Activities (EPA) and milestones are an essential component of a competency based medical education curricula. The present study attempts to develop a portfolio framework to document them for adaptation in any healthcare professional education curriculum development. METHODS: A modified e-Delphi method was used after incorporation of a study group of medical education experts (MEDEX-G). Consensus was defined as 75% agreement. Both qualitative and quantitative data was collected and analysed to conduct three rounds of the Delphi. RESULTS: The draft template was prepared by the core faculty of medical education centre. The final template was approved by the experts after 03 iterations of anonymous online voting and presentation of summary results by the moderator. The final template lists out the milestones of each EPA separately with provision for expected expertise and level, suggestive teaching learning activities and assessments, reflections by the students and feedback by facilitator for each EPA. CONCLUSION: The MEDEX-G consensus template is an important development to encourage the adoption of portfolios in a competency based medical education curriculum. It can be freely adopted by various healthcare professional education bodies in various disciplines.

18.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77: S385-S392, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334908

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Various mathematical models were published to predict the epidemiological consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. This systematic review has studied the initial epidemiological models. METHODS: Articles published from January to June 2020 were extracted from databases using search strings and those peer-reviewed with full text in English were included in the study. They were analysed as to whether they made definite predictions in terms of time and numbers, or contained only mathematical assumptions and open-ended predictions. Factors such as early vs. late prediction models, long-term vs. curve-fitting models and comparisons based on modelling techniques were analysed in detail. RESULTS: Among 56,922 hits in 05 databases, screening yielded 434 abstracts, of which 72 articles were included. Predictive models comprised over 70% (51/72) of the articles, with susceptible, exposed, infectious and recovered (SEIR) being the commonest type (mean duration of prediction being 3 months). Common predictions were regarding cumulative cases (44/72, 61.1%), time to reach total numbers (41/72, 56.9%), peak numbers (22/72, 30.5%), time to peak (24/72, 33.3%), hospital utilisation (7/72, 9.7%) and effect of lockdown and NPIs (50/72, 69.4%). The commonest countries for which models were predicted were China followed by USA, South Korea, Japan and India. Models were published by various professionals including Engineers (12.5%), Mathematicians (9.7%), Epidemiologists (11.1%) and Physicians (9.7%) with a third (32.9%) being the result of collaborative efforts between two or more professions. CONCLUSION: There was a wide diversity in the type of models, duration of prediction and the variable that they predicted, with SEIR model being the commonest type.

19.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77: S264-S270, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334892

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: On 16 Jan 2021, India launched its immunization program against COVID-19. Among the first recipients were 1.59 million Health Care Workers (HCWs) and Frontline Workers (FLWs) of the Indian Armed Forces, who were administered COVISHIELD (Astra Zeneca). We present an interim analysis of vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates till 30 May 2021. METHODS: The VIN-WIN cohort study was carried out on anonymized data of HCWs and FLWs of Indian Armed Forces. The existing surveillance system, enhanced for COVID-19 monitoring, was sourced for data. The cohort transitioned from Unvaccinated (UV) to Partially Vaccinated (PV) to Fully Vaccinated (FV), serving as its own internal comparison. Outcomes studied in the three groups were breakthrough infections and COVID related deaths. Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) was used to compare outcomes among the three groups to estimate VE. RESULTS: Data of 1,595,630 individuals (mean age 27.6 years; 99% male) over 135 days was analysed. Till 30 May 21, 95.4% and 82.2% were partially and fully vaccinated. The UV, PV and FV compartments comprised 106.6, 46.7 and 58.7 million person-days respectively. The number of breakthrough cases in the UV, PV and FV groups were 10061, 1159 and 2512; while the deaths were 37, 16 and 7 respectively. Corrected VE was 91.8-94.9% against infections. CONCLUSION: Interim results of the VIN-WIN cohort study of 1.59 million HCWs and FLWs of Indian Armed Forces showed a ∼93% reduction in COVID-19 breakthrough infections with COVISHIELD vaccination.

20.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77: S379-S384, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34334907

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The immune response after SARS-CoV-2 is complex and may be affected by severity of the disease, race, etc. The present study was conducted to assess the serial antibody response among the COVID-19 patients admitted in the hospital. METHODS: The study was conducted between July and October 2020 in a dedicated COVID-19 hospital. All consented patients underwent serial testing of antibodies using a rapid chromatographic immunoassay-based qualitative IgG/IgM kit every third day until their discharge or death. The data about age, sex, severity of disease, length of stay, onset of symptoms, date of molecular testing were also collected. Appropriate statistical tests were used. RESULTS: The mean age of 1000 COVID-19 patients was 47.5 ± 17.9 years. Out of the total, 687 (68.7%) were males. With respect to severity, 682 (68.2%) were asymptomatic/mild, 200 (20%) were moderate and 118 (11.8%) were severe cases. The seroconversion percentage increased from 12.8% to 97.9% and 16.3% to 80.9% for IgG and IgM respectively in 21 days. The median time for seroconversion was 10 days (IQR:6-12 days) for IgG and eight days (IQR: 6-11 days) for IgM. At the time of discharge (median nine days), detectable IgG and IgM antibodies were present in 502 (52.46%) and 414 (43.26%) participants respectively. Seroconversion was associated with days after the symptoms, increasing severity of the disease and the presence of co-morbidity. CONCLUSION: Seroconversion increased during the period of observation. The severe/moderate cases of COVID-19 tend to have an early seroconversion as compared to the asymptomatic/mild cases. Only half of the patients were seroconverted at discharge.

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