RESUMO
Naturalistic observations show that animals pre-empt danger by moving to locations that increase their success in avoiding future threats. To test this in humans, we created a spatial margin of safety (MOS) decision task that quantifies pre-emptive avoidance by measuring the distance subjects place themselves to safety when facing different threats whose attack locations vary in predictability. Behavioral results show that human participants place themselves closer to safe locations when facing threats that attack in spatial locations with more outliers. Using both univariate and multivariate pattern analysis (MVPA) on fMRI data collected during a 2â h session on participants of both sexes, we demonstrate a dissociable role for the vmPFC in MOS-related decision-making. MVPA results revealed that the posterior vmPFC encoded for more unpredictable threats with univariate analyses showing a functional coupling with the amygdala and hippocampus. Conversely, the anterior vmPFC was more active for the more predictable attacks and showed coupling with the striatum. Our findings converge in showing that during pre-emptive danger, the anterior vmPFC may provide a safety signal, possibly via foreseeable outcomes, while the posterior vmPFC drives unpredictable danger signals.
Assuntos
Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Córtex Pré-Frontal , Humanos , Masculino , Córtex Pré-Frontal/fisiologia , Córtex Pré-Frontal/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Tomada de Decisões/fisiologia , Segurança , Percepção Espacial/fisiologia , Mapeamento Encefálico , Aprendizagem da Esquiva/fisiologiaRESUMO
The dynamics of ecological communities in nature are typically characterized by probabilistic processes involving invasion dynamics. Because of technical challenges, however, the majority of theoretical and experimental studies have focused on coexistence dynamics. Therefore, it has become central to understand the extent to which coexistence outcomes can be used to predict analogous invasion outcomes relevant to systems in nature. Here, we study the limits to this predictability under a geometric and probabilistic Lotka-Volterra framework. We show that while individual survival probability in coexistence dynamics can be fairly closely translated into invader colonization probability in invasion dynamics, the translation is less precise between community persistence and community augmentation, and worse between exclusion probability and replacement probability. These results provide a guiding and testable theoretical framework regarding the translatability of outcomes between coexistence and invasion outcomes when communities are represented by Lotka-Volterra dynamics under environmental uncertainty.
Assuntos
Biota , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica Populacional , Probabilidade , Incerteza , EcossistemaRESUMO
When multiple influential covariates need to be balanced during a clinical trial, stratified blocked randomization and covariate-adaptive randomization procedures are frequently used in trials to prevent bias and enhance the validity of data analysis results. The latter approach is increasingly used in practice for a study with multiple covariates and limited sample sizes. Among a group of these approaches, the covariate-adaptive procedures proposed by Pocock and Simon are straightforward to be utilized in practice. We aim to investigate the optimal design parameters for the patient treatment assignment probability of their developed three methods. In addition, we seek to answer the question related to the randomization performance when additional covariates are added to the existing randomization procedure. We conducted extensive simulation studies to address these practically important questions.
Assuntos
Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Simulação por Computador , Probabilidade , Distribuição Aleatória , Tamanho da Amostra , Ensaios Clínicos como AssuntoRESUMO
Animal personality can shape individual's fitness. Yet, the mechanistic relationship by which individual's personality traits lead to variations in fitness remains largely underexplored. Here, we used novel object tests to measure boldness of chick-provisioning Cory's shearwaters (Calonectris borealis) from a coastal colony off west Portugal, and deployed GPS loggers to study their at-sea behaviour and distribution. We then tested whether boldness predicts individual differences in adult's trophic ecology and variations in chick growth, to assess potential implications of personality-specific foraging behaviours. Foraging effort was higher for shyer than for bolder individuals, which, during short forays, exhibited larger foraging ranges, and foraged in regions of higher and more variable bathymetry. This suggests that nearby the colony bolder individuals expanded their foraging area to maximize resource acquisition and increase the probability of foraging success. When endeavouring to longer distances, bolder individuals exhibited comparably shorter foraging ranges and targeted low bathymetry regions, likely with enhanced prey availability, while shyer individuals exhibited much larger foraging ranges indicating greater flexibility when foraging in oceanic realms. Despite such differences between bolder and shyer individuals their isotopic niches were similar. Yet, chicks raised by bolder parents grew at a faster rate than those raised by shyer parents. Together, our results suggest that differences in resource acquisition strategies could play a key role through which individual's boldness may influence breeding performance, even when individuals have similar isotopic preferences.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Animais , Aves , Portugal , Comportamento Alimentar , Comportamento PredatórioRESUMO
Automated vehicles could increase the risk of motion sickness because occupants are not involved in driving and do not watch the road. This paper aimed to investigate the influence of motion predictability on motion sickness in automated vehicles, as better motion anticipation is believed to mitigate motion sickness. In a simulator-based study, twenty participants experienced two driving conditions differing only in turn directions. The repetitive condition featured a repeating turn direction pattern. The non-repetitive condition contained pseudo-randomly ordered turn directions. To mimic an 'eyes-off-the-road' setting and prevent visual motion anticipation, road visuals were omitted. No significant differences in sickness or head motion, a metric for motion anticipation, were found between the conditions. No participant recognised the repeating turn pattern. This suggests no increased motion anticipation in the repetitive condition, possibly due to a reduced ability to recognise a repeating motion pattern in one degree of freedom within more complex motion.
Motion anticipation is believed to mitigate motion sickness. However, in this simulator-based study on automated vehicles, no significant differences in motion anticipation or sickness were observed between repetitive and non-repetitive turn directions. Recognition of a repeating motion pattern in one degree of freedom might be diminished when it is part of more complex motion.
RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the role of predictability in the relationship between caregiving demands and caregiving consequences. DESIGN: This 2-year longitudinal survey study collected from self-report questionnaires. A convenience sample of family caregivers of older persons living with dementia were recruited from a neurology clinic. RESULTS: A total of 200 family caregivers were recruited to participate. Analysis indicated predictability was a partial mediator between caregiving demand and caregiver consequences of role strain, depressive symptoms and both physical and mental components of health-related quality of life at the 2-year follow. Predictability accounted for 25 %, 28.8 %, 15.3 % and 46.5 % of the relationship between caregiving demand and caregiving consequences of role strain, depressive symptoms, physical- and mental-health related quality of life, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The contributions of caregiving demand to outcomes of caregiver consequences were in part due family caregivers perceived predictability for caregiving.
Assuntos
Cuidadores , Demência , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Demência/enfermagem , Cuidadores/psicologia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Inquéritos e Questionários , Depressão/psicologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estresse Psicológico , Idoso de 80 Anos ou maisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Refinements are very common in clear aligner treatments. The aim of this study is to assess whether the predictability of deep overbite correction is similar over several refinements using clear aligners (Invisalign, Align Technology, San Jose, Calif) and examine the accuracy of vertical movement and inclination change of individual teeth. METHODS: This retrospective study included 20 deep bite patients (7M and 13F; 32.63 ± 11.88 years old; an initial overbite of 5.09 ± 0.98 mm), consecutively treated from September 2016 and March 2023, who completed at least two sets of aligners, including refinements. The initial, predicted, and achieved models were exported from ClinCheck or OrthoCAD (Cadent Inc, Carlstadt, NJ) and superimposed via best-fit surface-based registration using SlicerCMF (version 4.9.0; cmf.slicer.org). We also examined 15 out of 20 patients who completed treatments. The overbite correction and changes in vertical movement and inclination for individual teeth were measured. Descriptive statistics and a paired t-test or Wilcoxon signed-rank test were performed. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The mean accuracy of overbite correction was 37.63% after 1st set, followed by 11.19%, 6.32%, and 13.80% (2nd-4th sets), respectively. There were statistically significant differences between the predicted and achieved vertical movements and inclination changes for all teeth for the 1st and 2nd sets. For the completed cases, the mean overbite correction was 38.54% compared to the initially planned overbite correction, which is similar to one of the 1st set. Still, the vertical movements and inclination changes of all teeth present statistically significant differences between the initially planned and finally achieved movements except for maxillary lateral incisor torque. CONCLUSIONS: The most overbite correction occurs during the 1st set of aligners, and refinement treatment does not significantly improve the deep bite correction.
Assuntos
Má Oclusão Classe II de Angle , Aparelhos Ortodônticos Removíveis , Sobremordida , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Sobremordida/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Técnicas de Movimentação DentáriaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Despite the popularity of clear aligners, their predictability has not been assessed adequately. Moreover, no study has investigated their effects on numerous dentomaxillary variables. Therefore, this study was conducted for the first time, assessing several new or controversial items. The aim of the study was to evaluate the effects of clear aligners on the vertical position of the molar teeth and the vertical and sagittal relationships of the face. METHODS: This preliminary retrospective before-after non-randomized clinical trial was performed on 168 observations of 84 patients (33.60±9.28 years, 54 females) treated with 0.75mm Invisalign appliances. Pretreatment and posttreatment values were measured for: mandibular plane angle, occlusal plane angle, Y-Axis, ANB, facial angle, lower anterior facial height, overbite, and the distances of the molars from the palate and mandibular plane were measured. The alterations in parameters caused by treatment (delta values) were calculated for each measurement. Effects of treatment and some parameters on delta values were analyzed statistically (α=0.05). RESULTS: Mean±SD of ΔMP-FH, ΔOP-FH, ΔY-Axis, ΔLAFH, ΔNPog-FH, ΔANB, ΔOverbite, ΔSNB, Δ6-PP, Δ7-PP, Δ6-MP, and Δ7-MP were respectively 0.11±1.61, 0.80±1.56, 0.15±1.18, 0.07±0.91, -0.22±1.25, 0.03±0.62, 0.04±1.15, -0.06±1.14, -0.36±0.94, -0.32±1.14, 0.19±0.96, 0.18±1.10. Only the alterations in OP-FH, 6-PP, and 7-PP were significant (P≤0.011). Age, sex, treatment duration, or pretreatment mandibular plane angle were not correlated with any delta values. However, the pretreatment occlusal plane angle was negatively correlated with ΔOP-FH and ΔY-Axis. Crowding was correlated negatively with ΔOP-FH and ΔY-Axis and positively with ΔNPog-FH. Overjet was negatively correlated with ΔANB and ΔOverbite (P≤0.035). CONCLUSIONS: Invisalign intruded first/second maxillary molars and increased the occlusal plane angle. Age, sex, and treatment duration were not correlated with post-treatment anatomic alterations.
Assuntos
Má Oclusão Classe II de Angle , Má Oclusão , Aparelhos Ortodônticos Removíveis , Dente , Feminino , Humanos , Cefalometria , Má Oclusão/terapia , Mandíbula , Dente Molar , Estudos Retrospectivos , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária , Estudos Controlados Antes e DepoisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: to evaluate the predictability of expansion achieved in patients in early mixed dentition treated with Clear Aligners (CA), analyzing the efficiency of the expansion at the end of the first set of aligners and at the end of the therapy in the upper and lower arch. METHODS: 36 patients (20 F, 16 M; mean age 8.3 ± 1.5 years) were selected retrospectively from the Department of Orthodontics of the Hospital of Rome "Tor Vergata". All subjects were treated with CA with no other auxiliaries than attachments. For each patient a standardized sequential expansion protocol was planned for both arches. Digital dental casts were created at three observation periods from an intraoral scanner: prior to treatment (T0), at the end of the first set of aligners (T1), at the end of treatment (T2). The 3D models in planned position determined by the first Clincheck (CC) were obtained for comparison with T1 and T2. Six linear transversal measurements were used to evaluate the dimensional changes and the predictability of expansion movements, comparing T1-CC and T2-CC. RESULTS: a statistically significant increase within the pre-treatment and the final outcomes for all the variables examined was found. In the upper arch, the greatest level of predictability was detected at the level of the first (46.44%) and second deciduous molar width (44.95%) at T1. The analysis of T2-CC changes showed a significant increase in the percentage of predictability of expansion at the level of the first permanent molars, at mesial (54.86%) and distal (58.92%) width. In the lower arch, a higher percentage of predictability than the upper arch was reported at T1-CC and T2-CC, with the greatest values at the level of second (T1-CC: 48.70%; T2-CC: 75.32%) and first deciduous molar width (T1-CC: 45.71%; T2-CC: 72.75%). CONCLUSIONS: CA can induce significant transversal increments. The predictability of expansion is variable, but it did not exceed the 50% during the first set of aligners. It was necessary to apply refinement set to achieve a good predictability for expansion of about 70%. The expansion in the lower arch was observed to be more predictable than in the upper arch.
Assuntos
Arco Dental , Dentição Mista , Modelos Dentários , Técnica de Expansão Palatina , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Feminino , Criança , Masculino , Arco Dental/anatomia & histologia , Técnica de Expansão Palatina/instrumentação , Desenho de Aparelho Ortodôntico , Imageamento Tridimensional/métodos , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/instrumentação , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/métodos , Maxila/anatomia & histologia , Mandíbula/anatomia & histologia , Aparelhos Ortodônticos Removíveis , Previsões , Cefalometria/métodos , Má Oclusão/terapia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
This study aimed to quantify the predictability of arch expansion in children with early mixed dentition treated with the Invisalign First® system and evaluate the clinical factors for the predictability of arch expansion. Pretreatment, predicted and posttreatment digital models from Invisalign's ClinCheck® software were obtained for 90 children with mean (standard deviation) age of 8.42 (0.93) who planned arch expansion. Arch width measurements were collected using Invisalign's arch width table. The predictability of expansion was calculated by comparing the amount of expansion achieved with the predicted expansion. Linear regression analysis was used to evaluate clinical factors associated with predictability of expansion. The predictability of the expansion of the maxillary teeth was as follows: 71.1% primary canines (n = 55), 67.5% first primary molars (n = 46), 65.2% second primary molars (n = 79), and 53.4% first permanent molars (n = 90); the predictability of the expansion of the mandibular teeth was 81.1% primary canines (n = 31), 81.2% first primary molars (n = 51), 77.8% second primary molars (n = 80), and 69.4% first permanent molars (n = 90). The predictability of arch expansion was significantly higher in the mandibular arch compared to the maxillary arch and significantly lower in the permanent first molar than in the other primary teeth. Predictability decreased significantly as the amount of predicted expansion per aligner increased in the upper and lower permanent first molars, primary second molars, and upper primary canines. Predictability significantly increased when buccal or palatal attachments were placed on the bilateral side compared to cases without attachment at the upper permanent first and primary second molars. The predictability of arch expansion using the Invisalign First® system varies according to arch and tooth type. The amount of predicted expansion per aligner and the number of attachments to the maxillary teeth are potential clinical factors that can affect the predictability of expansion.
Assuntos
Má Oclusão , Aparelhos Ortodônticos Removíveis , Criança , Humanos , Dentição Mista , Estudos Retrospectivos , Má Oclusão/terapia , Dente MolarRESUMO
PURPOSE: To evaluate the initial visual outcomes of Small Incision Lenticule Extraction (SMILE) Pro® using a 2 MHz femtosecond laser (VisuMax 800, Carl Zeiss Meditec) and to assess the efficacy, safety, predictability, accuracy, and complication rate. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included eyes which underwent the SMILE Pro® procedure using VisuMax 800 femtosecond laser to correct myopia. All surgeries were performed by one surgeon (DB). Follow-up was conducted 3 months postoperatively to evaluate visual outcomes after neuroadaptation, corrected visual acuity (CDVA) and intra- and postoperative complications. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-two eyes of 82 patients (mean age 31 ± 6 years) results at 3 months are presented. The mean spherical equivalent (SE) was - 4.44 ± 1.86 D preoperatively while -0.24 ± 0.32 D postoperatively. 99% of eyes achieved SE within ± 1.0 D of attempted correction and 91% were within ± 0.5 D. Efficacy index was 0.93 while the safety index was 1. No complications occurred intra- or postoperatively. No eyes lost more than 1 line of their preoperative CDVA. All highly myopic eyes (- 6.25 to - 10.00 D; n = 18) achieved 20/20 at 3 months postoperatively and were within 0.5 D from the attempted SE and no eyes lost more than 1 line of CDVA. CONCLUSION: The SMILE Pro® is a safe, efficient, and predictable procedure for the treatment of myopia and myopic astigmatism, with comparable results of conventional SMILE surgery. High myopic eyes achieve better results than low and moderate myopia. No complications were recorded in our patients.
Assuntos
Astigmatismo , Cirurgia da Córnea a Laser , Miopia , Humanos , Adulto , Acuidade Visual , Estudos Retrospectivos , Refração Ocular , Córnea/cirurgia , Substância Própria/cirurgia , Miopia/cirurgia , Astigmatismo/cirurgia , Lasers , Resultado do Tratamento , Lasers de Excimer/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
This research investigates the impact of climate challenges on financial markets by introducing an innovative approach to measure climate risk, specifically the aggregate climate change concern (ACCC) index. The study aims to assess and quantify the potential influence of climate change and risk-related factors on the performance and dynamics of financial markets. In this paper, concern is defined as the attention paid to the risk of climate change and the associated negative consequences. The findings demonstrate that the aggregate index exhibits robust predictability of market risk premiums, both within the sample and out-of-sample. By comparison, the index contains additional information beyond 14 economic predictors and 12 risk/uncertainty indexes in forecasting stock market return. In addition, the index proves valuable for mean-variance investors in asset allocation, leading to significant economic gains. The study identifies the index's ability to capture the reversal of temporary price crashes caused by overreactions to climate change risk. Furthermore, it exhibits stronger return forecasting capability for green stocks, non-state-owned enterprise (non-SOE) stocks, and stocks in regions with low air pollution. Particularly during periods of low air pollution and relaxed regulation, the index displays an enhanced ability to forecast returns. The study's findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and financial institutions as they address 21st-century environmental challenges. Moreover, these findings can inform the design of adaptive measures and interventions aimed at mitigating ecological risks and promoting sustainable economic growth.
RESUMO
Clear aligners are employed daily for the treatment of several malocclusions. Previous clinical studies indicated low accuracy for the correction of tooth rotations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictability of tooth rotations with clear aligners. The sample comprised 390 teeth (190 mandibular; 200 maxillary), measured from the virtual models of 45 participants (21 men, 24 women; mean age: 29.2 ± 6.6 years old). For each patient, pre-treatment (T0) digital dental models (STL files), virtual plan (T1) and post-treatment digital dental models (T2) of both the mandibular and maxillary arches were imported onto Geomagic Control X, a 3D metrology software which allows angular measurements. Rotations were calculated by defining reproducible vectors for all teeth in each STL file and superimposing both T0 with T1 to determine the prescribed rotation, and T0 with T2 to determine the achieved rotation. Prescribed and achieved rotations were compared to assess movement's accuracy. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test and paired t-test were used to assess differences between the prescribed and achieved movements (P < 0.05). The overall predictability of rotational movement was 78.6% for the mandibular arch and 75.0% for the maxillary arch. Second molar accuracy was the lowest in both arches. Clear aligners were not able to achieve 100% of the planned movements.
Assuntos
Má Oclusão , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto , Má Oclusão/terapia , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/instrumentação , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/métodos , Maxila , Rotação , Mandíbula , Adulto Jovem , Modelos DentáriosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictability of the hemangiosarcoma likelihood prediction (HeLP) score and the Tufts Splenic Tumor Assessment Tool (T-STAT) for hemangiosarcoma and malignancy, respectively. ANIMALS: 261 dogs undergoing splenectomy for a splenic mass. METHODS: Medical records were retrospectively reviewed; variables for the HeLP score and T-STAT were collected, and scores were assigned. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for each score. RESULTS: The HeLP score included 141 dogs; hemangiosarcoma was diagnosed in 87 (61.7%) dogs. The median cumulative HeLP score was 51 (range, 17 to 82; IQR, 39 to 58) for dogs with hemangiosarcoma and 28 (range, 0 to 70; IQR, 17 to 41) for dogs without hemangiosarcoma. The categorical HeLP score was low (28; 32.2%), medium (31; 35.6%), and high (28; 32.2%) for dogs with hemangiosarcoma and was low (41; 75.9%), medium (9; 16.7%), and high (4; 7.4%) for dogs without hemangiosarcoma. The AUC of the cumulative and categorical HeLP scores for diagnosis of hemangiosarcoma were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.71 to 0.86) and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65 to 0.82), respectively. The T-STAT included 181 dogs. Lesions were benign in 95 (52.5%) and malignant in 86 (47.5%) dogs. The median T-STAT score was 62% (range, 5% to 98%; IQR, 36% to 77%) for dogs with malignant lesions and 38% (range, 5% to 91%; IQR, 24% to 59%) for dogs with benign lesions. The T-STAT had an AUC of 0.68 (0.60 to 0.76) for diagnosis of malignancy. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The HeLP score had acceptable performance, and the T-STAT had poor performance for diagnosis prediction. A tool with excellent or outstanding discrimination is needed to more reliably predict the presence of hemangiosarcoma or a malignant lesion preoperatively.
Assuntos
Doenças do Cão , Hemangiossarcoma , Neoplasias Esplênicas , Animais , Cães , Doenças do Cão/diagnóstico , Doenças do Cão/cirurgia , Neoplasias Esplênicas/veterinária , Neoplasias Esplênicas/diagnóstico , Hemangiossarcoma/veterinária , Hemangiossarcoma/cirurgia , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Masculino , Esplenectomia/veterináriaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate unplanned tooth movements in deepbite correction with Invisalign. METHODS: The sample consisted of 34 adult patients with deepbite malocclusion treated with Invisalign. Pretreatment and predicted digital models were exported from ClinCheck software, while the post-treatment model was obtained from an intraoral scan taken at the end of the first set of aligners. Digital models' superimposition was done using the eModel "Compare" software. Frequency and percentage of occurrence of unplanned linear and angular movements, their magnitude, and direction were then determined. In addition, comparison of unplanned movements was performed between anterior and posterior teeth as well as between linear and angular measurements. RESULTS: The percentage of unplanned movements ranged from 1.68% to 25.63% in the maxilla and 3.36% to 23.95% in the mandible, being most evident in the first and second molars. Unplanned movements were statistically significantly more frequent in posterior teeth compared with the anterior teeth (P > 0.05). In addition, the frequency of angular movements was statistically significantly higher for each tooth than linear movement (P < 0.05) with a higher mean value. Unplanned mesiodistal movements were the least frequent. CONCLUSIONS: Unplanned linear as well as angular movements were evident in almost all teeth. Unplanned faciolingual inclination and mesiodistal angulation movements were the most frequently observed. Unplanned vertical movements can affect the predictability of deepbite correction and thus merit particular attention in those cases.
Assuntos
Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/métodos , Técnicas de Movimentação Dentária/instrumentação , Adulto , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto Jovem , Sobremordida/terapia , Dente Molar , Incisivo , Maxila , Mandíbula , Cefalometria , Modelos Dentários , Dente Pré-Molar , Desenho de Aparelho Ortodôntico , Adolescente , Aparelhos Ortodônticos Removíveis , Imageamento TridimensionalRESUMO
PURPOSE: The current multi-study analysis combined data from three studies to quantify the relationship between the initial reaction to soft multifocal contact lens (MFCL) design types at dispensing and evaluate the predictability of overall vision satisfaction (OVS) and intention to purchase (ITP) after 1 week of wear. METHOD: Three prospective studies tested MFCLs over 1-week of wear following the same protocol, using a range of potentially predictive ratings at dispensing, and both OVS and ITP at 1-week as an indicator acceptance level. In each study, two of MyDay® multifocal, clariti® 1 day multifocal, Biofinity® multifocal (worn as a daily disposable lens) or 1 DAY ACUVUE® MOIST MULTIFOCAL were dispensed for 1-week of daily wear. OVS was recorded on a 100-point VAS and ITP on a 5-point LIKERT scale. Fourteen possible predictors were entered in the statistical model, and predictability was assessed using Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID) statistical test. RESULTS: A total of 210 participants (152 female & 58 male; 53.9 ± 6.5 years, range 41-71 years), representing 420 MFCL fits, equally distributed between emergent n = 65, established n = 70 and advanced n = 75 presbyopes, completed the studies. OVS on dispensing was the predictor of both OVS (p < 0.001) and ITP (p < 0.001) at 1-week. For OVS predictability, 70.8 % with OVS at dispensing > 91 points reported good OVS at 1-week and 73.4 % with OVS on dispensing ≤ 80 points reported poor OVS at 1-week. For ITP predictability, 74.6 % with OVS at dispensing > 94 points reported a positive ITP at 1-week and 65.9 % with OVS on dispensing ≤ 63 points reported negative ITP at 1-week. CONCLUSION: Overall vision satisfaction at the time of dispensing MFCLs is a powerful indicator of both OVS and ITP after 1-week of wear. Initial patient subjective assessments provide a clinically useful indicator of the likeliness of success.
Assuntos
Lentes de Contato Hidrofílicas , Presbiopia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Acuidade Visual , Estudos Prospectivos , Visão OcularRESUMO
This study aims to investigate the predictability of surrogate safety measures (SSMs) for real-time crash risk prediction. We conducted a year-long drone video collection on a busy freeway in Nanjing, China, and collected 20 rear-end crashes. The predictability of SSMs was defined as the probability of crash occurrence when using SSMs as precursors to crashes. Ridge regression models were established to explore contributing factors to the predictability of SSMs. Four commonly used SSMs were tested in this study. It was found that modified time-to-collision (MTTC) outperformed other SSMs when the early warning capability was set at a minimum of 1 s. We further investigated the cost and benefit of SSMs in safety interventions by evaluating the number of necessary predictions for successful crash prediction and the proportion of crashes that can be predicted accurately. The result demonstrated these SSMs were most efficient in proactive safety management systems with an early warning capability of 1 s. In this case, 308, 131, 281, and 327,661 predictions needed to be made before a crash could be successfully predicted by TTC, MTTC, DRAC, and PICUD, respectively, achieving 75 %, 85 %, 35 %, and 100 % successful crash identifications. The ridge regression results indicated that the predefined threshold had the greatest impact on the predictability of all tested SSMs.
Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , China , Segurança/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Gravação em Vídeo , Análise de Regressão , Condução de Veículo/estatística & dados numéricos , PrevisõesRESUMO
Introduction: Mitochondrial diseases caused by mtDNA have no effective cures. Recently developed DddA-derived cytosine base editors (DdCBEs) have potential therapeutic implications in rescuing the mtDNA mutations. However, the performance of DdCBEs relies on designing different targets or improving combinations of split-DddA halves and orientations, lacking knowledge of predicting the results before its application. Methods: A series of DdCBE pairs for wide ranges of aC or tC targets was constructed, and transfected into Neuro-2a cells. The mutation rate of targets was compared to figure out the potential editing rules. Results: It is found that DdCBEs mediated mtDNA editing is predictable: 1) aC targets have a concentrated editing window for mtDNA editing in comparison with tC targets, which at 5'C8-11 (G1333) and 5'C10-13 (G1397) for aC target, while 5'C4-13 (G1333) and 5'C5-14 (G1397) for tC target with 16bp spacer. 2) G1333 mediated C>T conversion at aC targets in DddA-half-specific manner, while G1333 and G1397 mediated C>T conversion are DddA-half-prefer separately for tC and aC targets. 3) The nucleotide adjacent to the 3' end of aC motif affects mtDNA editing. Finally, by the guidance of these rules, a cell model harboring a pathogenic mtDNA mutation was constructed with high efficiency and no bystander effects. Discussion: In summary, this discovery helps us conceive the optimal strategy for accurate mtDNA editing, avoiding time- and effort-consuming optimized screening jobs.
RESUMO
Subjective time perception can change based on a stimulus's valence and expectancy. Yet, it is unclear how these two factors might interact to shape our sense of how long something lasts. Here, we conducted two experiments examining the effects of temporal and probabilistic expectancy on the perceived duration of images with varying emotional valence. In Experiment 1, we varied the temporal predictive cue with varying stimulus-onset asynchronies (SOAs), while in Experiment 2, we manipulated the cue-emotion probabilistic associations. Our results revealed that stimuli appearing earlier than anticipated were perceived as shorter, whereas less infrequent stimuli seemed to last longer. In addition, negative images were perceived longer than neural ones. However, no significant interaction between expectancy and stimulus valence was observed. We interpret these using the internal clock model, suggesting that while emotional stimuli primarily affect the pacemaker's rhythm through arousal, expectation steers attention, influencing how we register time's passage.
RESUMO
Risk rates for and predisposing factors to fractures occurring in Thoroughbred racing that have been published in peer reviewed journals are documented. The potential for currently available techniques to identify horses at increased risk for fracture is discussed on the bases of principles, practicalities, advantages, disadvantages and current data. All are reviewed in light of justifiable decision making and importance of fractures to horseracing's social license.