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1.
Nature ; 607(7919): 507-511, 2022 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35831505

RESUMO

The fossil record of marine invertebrates has long fuelled the debate as to whether or not there are limits to global diversity in the sea1-5. Ecological theory states that, as diversity grows and ecological niches are filled, the strengthening of biological interactions imposes limits on diversity6,7. However, the extent to which biological interactions have constrained the growth of diversity over evolutionary time remains an open question1-5,8-11. Here we present a regional diversification model that reproduces the main Phanerozoic eon trends in the global diversity of marine invertebrates after imposing mass extinctions. We find that the dynamics of global diversity are best described by a diversification model that operates widely within the exponential growth regime of a logistic function. A spatially resolved analysis of the ratio of diversity to carrying capacity reveals that less than 2% of the global flooded continental area throughout the Phanerozoic exhibits diversity levels approaching ecological saturation. We attribute the overall increase in global diversity during the Late Mesozoic and Cenozoic eras to the development of diversity hotspots under prolonged conditions of Earth system stability and maximum continental fragmentation. We call this the 'diversity hotspots hypothesis', which we propose as a non-mutually exclusive alternative to the hypothesis that the Mesozoic marine revolution led this macroevolutionary trend12,13.


Assuntos
Organismos Aquáticos , Biodiversidade , Extinção Biológica , Fósseis , Modelos Biológicos , Oceanos e Mares , Animais , Evolução Biológica , Ecologia , História Antiga , Invertebrados , Modelos Logísticos
2.
N Engl J Med ; 391(2): 144-154, 2024 Jul 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38986058

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of bronchiolitis, resulting in 3 million hospitalizations each year worldwide. Nirsevimab is a monoclonal antibody against RSV that has an extended half-life. Its postlicensure real-world effectiveness against RSV-associated bronchiolitis is unclear. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multicenter, matched case-control study to analyze the effectiveness of nirsevimab therapy against hospitalization for RSV-associated bronchiolitis in infants younger than 12 months of age. Case patients were infants younger than 12 months of age who were hospitalized for RSV-associated bronchiolitis between October 15 and December 10, 2023. Control patients were infants with clinical visits to the same hospitals for conditions unrelated to RSV infection. Case patients were matched to control patients in a 2:1 ratio on the basis of age, date of hospital visit, and study center. We calculated the effectiveness of nirsevimab therapy against hospitalization for RSV-associated bronchiolitis (primary outcome) by means of a multivariate conditional logistic-regression model with adjustment for confounders. Several sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The study included 1035 infants, of whom 690 were case patients (median age, 3.1 months; interquartile range, 1.8 to 5.3) and 345 were matched control patients (median age, 3.4 months; interquartile range, 1.6 to 5.6). Overall, 60 case patients (8.7%) and 97 control patients (28.1%) had received nirsevimab previously. The estimated adjusted effectiveness of nirsevimab therapy against hospitalization for RSV-associated bronchiolitis was 83.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 73.4 to 89.2). Sensitivity analyses gave results similar to those of the primary analysis. The effectiveness of nirsevimab therapy against RSV-associated bronchiolitis resulting in critical care was 69.6% (95% CI, 42.9 to 83.8) (27 of 193 case patients [14.0%] vs. 47 of 146 matched control patients [32.2%]) and against RSV-associated bronchiolitis resulting in ventilatory support was 67.2% (95% CI, 38.6 to 82.5) (27 of 189 case patients [14.3%] vs. 46 of 151 matched control patients [30.5%]). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world setting, nirsevimab therapy was effective in reducing the risk of hospitalized RSV-associated bronchiolitis. (Funded by the National Agency for AIDS Research-Emerging Infectious Disease and others; ENVIE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT06030505.).


Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Antivirais , Bronquiolite Viral , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Bronquiolite Viral/tratamento farmacológico , Bronquiolite Viral/etiologia , Bronquiolite Viral/terapia , Bronquiolite Viral/virologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Logísticos , Estudos Prospectivos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/complicações , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/terapia , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Respiração Artificial
3.
Brief Bioinform ; 25(4)2024 May 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38888457

RESUMO

Large sample datasets have been regarded as the primary basis for innovative discoveries and the solution to missing heritability in genome-wide association studies. However, their computational complexity cannot consider all comprehensive effects and all polygenic backgrounds, which reduces the effectiveness of large datasets. To address these challenges, we included all effects and polygenic backgrounds in a mixed logistic model for binary traits and compressed four variance components into two. The compressed model combined three computational algorithms to develop an innovative method, called FastBiCmrMLM, for large data analysis. These algorithms were tailored to sample size, computational speed, and reduced memory requirements. To mine additional genes, linkage disequilibrium markers were replaced by bin-based haplotypes, which are analyzed by FastBiCmrMLM, named FastBiCmrMLM-Hap. Simulation studies highlighted the superiority of FastBiCmrMLM over GMMAT, SAIGE and fastGWA-GLMM in identifying dominant, small α (allele substitution effect), and rare variants. In the UK Biobank-scale dataset, we demonstrated that FastBiCmrMLM could detect variants as small as 0.03% and with α ≈ 0. In re-analyses of seven diseases in the WTCCC datasets, 29 candidate genes, with both functional and TWAS evidence, around 36 variants identified only by the new methods, strongly validated the new methods. These methods offer a new way to decipher the genetic architecture of binary traits and address the challenges outlined above.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla/métodos , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Desequilíbrio de Ligação , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Genômica/métodos , Simulação por Computador , Haplótipos , Modelos Genéticos
4.
Nature ; 588(7838): 436-441, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33328667

RESUMO

Rivers support some of Earth's richest biodiversity1 and provide essential ecosystem services to society2, but they are often fragmented by barriers to free flow3. In Europe, attempts to quantify river connectivity have been hampered by the absence of a harmonized barrier database. Here we show that there are at least 1.2 million instream barriers in 36 European countries (with a mean density of 0.74 barriers per kilometre), 68 per cent of which are structures less than two metres in height that are often overlooked. Standardized walkover surveys along 2,715 kilometres of stream length for 147 rivers indicate that existing records underestimate barrier numbers by about 61 per cent. The highest barrier densities occur in the heavily modified rivers of central Europe and the lowest barrier densities occur in the most remote, sparsely populated alpine areas. Across Europe, the main predictors of barrier density are agricultural pressure, density of river-road crossings, extent of surface water and elevation. Relatively unfragmented rivers are still found in the Balkans, the Baltic states and parts of Scandinavia and southern Europe, but these require urgent protection from proposed dam developments. Our findings could inform the implementation of the EU Biodiversity Strategy, which aims to reconnect 25,000 kilometres of Europe's rivers by 2030, but achieving this will require a paradigm shift in river restoration that recognizes the widespread impacts caused by small barriers.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Rios , Agricultura/estatística & dados numéricos , Altitude , Biodiversidade , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Recuperação e Remediação Ambiental/métodos , Recuperação e Remediação Ambiental/tendências , Europa (Continente) , Atividades Humanas , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Densidade Demográfica , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição
5.
Nature ; 582(7810): 84-88, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32483374

RESUMO

Data analysis workflows in many scientific domains have become increasingly complex and flexible. Here we assess the effect of this flexibility on the results of functional magnetic resonance imaging by asking 70 independent teams to analyse the same dataset, testing the same 9 ex-ante hypotheses1. The flexibility of analytical approaches is exemplified by the fact that no two teams chose identical workflows to analyse the data. This flexibility resulted in sizeable variation in the results of hypothesis tests, even for teams whose statistical maps were highly correlated at intermediate stages of the analysis pipeline. Variation in reported results was related to several aspects of analysis methodology. Notably, a meta-analytical approach that aggregated information across teams yielded a significant consensus in activated regions. Furthermore, prediction markets of researchers in the field revealed an overestimation of the likelihood of significant findings, even by researchers with direct knowledge of the dataset2-5. Our findings show that analytical flexibility can have substantial effects on scientific conclusions, and identify factors that may be related to variability in the analysis of functional magnetic resonance imaging. The results emphasize the importance of validating and sharing complex analysis workflows, and demonstrate the need for performing and reporting multiple analyses of the same data. Potential approaches that could be used to mitigate issues related to analytical variability are discussed.


Assuntos
Análise de Dados , Ciência de Dados/métodos , Ciência de Dados/normas , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Neuroimagem Funcional , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Pesquisadores/organização & administração , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Encéfalo/fisiologia , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Metanálise como Assunto , Modelos Neurológicos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Pesquisadores/normas , Software
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(33): e2304415120, 2023 08 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37549296

RESUMO

Real-world healthcare data sharing is instrumental in constructing broader-based and larger clinical datasets that may improve clinical decision-making research and outcomes. Stakeholders are frequently reluctant to share their data without guaranteed patient privacy, proper protection of their datasets, and control over the usage of their data. Fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) is a cryptographic capability that can address these issues by enabling computation on encrypted data without intermediate decryptions, so the analytics results are obtained without revealing the raw data. This work presents a toolset for collaborative privacy-preserving analysis of oncological data using multiparty FHE. Our toolset supports survival analysis, logistic regression training, and several common descriptive statistics. We demonstrate using oncological datasets that the toolset achieves high accuracy and practical performance, which scales well to larger datasets. As part of this work, we propose a cryptographic protocol for interactive bootstrapping in multiparty FHE, which is of independent interest. The toolset we develop is general-purpose and can be applied to other collaborative medical and healthcare application domains.


Assuntos
Segurança Computacional , Privacidade , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Tomada de Decisão Clínica
7.
Genet Epidemiol ; 48(4): 164-189, 2024 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420714

RESUMO

Gene-environment (GxE) interactions play a crucial role in understanding the complex etiology of various traits, but assessing them using observational data can be challenging due to unmeasured confounders for lifestyle and environmental risk factors. Mendelian randomization (MR) has emerged as a valuable method for assessing causal relationships based on observational data. This approach utilizes genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) with the aim of providing a valid statistical test and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounders. MR has gained substantial popularity in recent years largely due to the success of genome-wide association studies. Many methods have been developed for MR; however, limited work has been done on evaluating GxE interaction. In this paper, we focus on two primary IV approaches: the two-stage predictor substitution and the two-stage residual inclusion, and extend them to accommodate GxE interaction under both the linear and logistic regression models for continuous and binary outcomes, respectively. Comprehensive simulation study and analytical derivations reveal that resolving the linear regression model is relatively straightforward. In contrast, the logistic regression model presents a considerably more intricate challenge, which demands additional effort.


Assuntos
Interação Gene-Ambiente , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Modelos Lineares , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Modelos Genéticos , Variação Genética , Simulação por Computador
8.
Gastroenterology ; 167(2): 315-332, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38490347

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) frequently develop extraintestinal manifestations (EIMs) that contribute substantially to morbidity. We assembled the largest multicohort data set to date to investigate the clinical, serologic, and genetic factors associated with EIM complications in IBD. METHODS: Data were available in 12,083 unrelated European ancestry IBD cases with presence or absence of EIMs (eg, ankylosing spondylitis [ankylosing spondylitis and sacroiliitis], primary sclerosing cholangitis [PSC], peripheral arthritis, and skin and ocular manifestations) across 4 cohorts (Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, National Institute for Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases IBD Genetics Consortium, Sinai Helmsley Alliance for Research Excellence Consortium, and Risk Stratification and Identification of Immunogenetic and Microbial Markers of Rapid Disease Progression in Children with Crohn's Disease cohort). Clinical and serologic parameters were analyzed by means of univariable and multivariable regression analyses using a mixed-effects model. Within-case logistic regression was performed to assess genetic associations. RESULTS: Most EIMs occurred more commonly in female subjects (overall EIM: P = 9.0E-05, odds ratio [OR], 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.4), with CD (especially colonic disease location; P = 9.8E-09, OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-2.0), and in subjects who required surgery (both CD and UC; P = 3.6E-19, OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.5-1.9). Smoking increased risk of EIMs except for PSC, where there was a "protective" effect. Multiple serologic associations were observed, including with PSC (anti-nuclear cytoplasmic antibody; IgG and IgA, anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies; and anti-flagellin) and any EIM (anti-nuclear cytoplasmic antibody; IgG and IgA, anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies; and anti-Pseudomonas fluorescens-associated sequence). We identified genome-wide significant associations within major histocompatibility complex (ankylosing spondylitis and sacroiliitis, P = 1.4E-15; OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 2.0-3.1; PSC, P = 2.7E-10; OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.0-3.8; ocular, P = 2E-08, OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 2.3-5.6; and overall EIM, P = 8.4E-09; OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.7-2.9) and CPEB4 (skin, P = 2.7E-08; OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.3-1.8). Genetic associations implicated tumor necrosis factor, JAK-STAT, and IL6 as potential targets for EIMs. Contrary to previous reports, only 2% of our subjects had multiple EIMs and most co-occurrences were negatively correlated. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified demographic, clinical, and genetic associations with EIMs that revealed underlying mechanisms and implicated novel and existing drug targets-important steps toward a more personalized approach to IBD management.


Assuntos
Colangite Esclerosante , Colite Ulcerativa , Doença de Crohn , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto , Colangite Esclerosante/imunologia , Colangite Esclerosante/genética , Colangite Esclerosante/diagnóstico , Colangite Esclerosante/complicações , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Colite Ulcerativa/imunologia , Colite Ulcerativa/genética , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Doença de Crohn/imunologia , Doença de Crohn/genética , Doença de Crohn/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Fatores de Risco , Criança , Espondilite Anquilosante/genética , Espondilite Anquilosante/imunologia , Espondilite Anquilosante/diagnóstico , Espondilite Anquilosante/complicações , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Adulto Jovem , Fatores Sexuais , Dermatopatias/etiologia , Dermatopatias/imunologia , Dermatopatias/genética , Oftalmopatias/etiologia , Oftalmopatias/imunologia , Oftalmopatias/diagnóstico , Oftalmopatias/genética , Oftalmopatias/epidemiologia , Fenótipo , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/genética , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/imunologia , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/diagnóstico , Modelos Logísticos , Idoso
9.
Brief Bioinform ; 24(2)2023 03 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36702753

RESUMO

Microbes can affect the metabolism and immunity of human body incessantly, and the dysbiosis of human microbiome drives not only the occurrence but also the progression of disease (i.e. multiple statuses of disease). Recently, microbiome-based association tests have been widely developed to detect the association between the microbiome and host phenotype. However, the existing methods have not achieved satisfactory performance in testing the association between the microbiome and ordinal/nominal multicategory phenotypes (e.g. disease severity and tumor subtype). In this paper, we propose an optimal microbiome-based association test for multicategory phenotypes, namely, multiMiAT. Specifically, under the multinomial logit model framework, we first introduce a microbiome regression-based kernel association test for multicategory phenotypes (multiMiRKAT). As a data-driven optimal test, multiMiAT then integrates multiMiRKAT, score test and MiRKAT-MC to maintain excellent performance in diverse association patterns. Massive simulation experiments prove the success of our method. Furthermore, multiMiAT is also applied to real microbiome data experiments to detect the association between the gut microbiome and clinical statuses of colorectal cancer as well as for diverse statuses of Clostridium difficile infections.


Assuntos
Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Microbiota , Humanos , Microbiota/genética , Simulação por Computador , Fenótipo , Modelos Logísticos
10.
PLoS Biol ; 20(2): e3001531, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35143473

RESUMO

Identifying the potential for SARS-CoV-2 reinfection is crucial for understanding possible long-term epidemic dynamics. We analysed longitudinal PCR and serological testing data from a prospective cohort of 4,411 United States employees in 4 states between April 2020 and February 2021. We conducted a multivariable logistic regression investigating the association between baseline serological status and subsequent PCR test result in order to calculate an odds ratio for reinfection. We estimated an odds ratio for reinfection ranging from 0.14 (95% CI: 0.019 to 0.63) to 0.28 (95% CI: 0.05 to 1.1), implying that the presence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at baseline is associated with around 72% to 86% reduced odds of a subsequent PCR positive test based on our point estimates. This suggests that primary infection with SARS-CoV-2 provides protection against reinfection in the majority of individuals, at least over a 6-month time period. We also highlight 2 major sources of bias and uncertainty to be considered when estimating the relative risk of reinfection, confounders and the choice of baseline time point, and show how to account for both in reinfection analysis.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , COVID-19/imunologia , Reinfecção/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Teste de Ácido Nucleico para COVID-19 , Teste Sorológico para COVID-19 , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Estudos Prospectivos , Reinfecção/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Local de Trabalho/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
11.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 20(4): e1012006, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38578796

RESUMO

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNASeq) data plays a major role in advancing our understanding of developmental biology. An important current question is how to classify transcriptomic profiles obtained from scRNASeq experiments into the various cell types and identify the lineage relationship for individual cells. Because of the fast accumulation of datasets and the high dimensionality of the data, it has become challenging to explore and annotate single-cell transcriptomic profiles by hand. To overcome this challenge, automated classification methods are needed. Classical approaches rely on supervised training datasets. However, due to the difficulty of obtaining data annotated at single-cell resolution, we propose instead to take advantage of partial annotations. The partial label learning framework assumes that we can obtain a set of candidate labels containing the correct one for each data point, a simpler setting than requiring a fully supervised training dataset. We study and extend when needed state-of-the-art multi-class classification methods, such as SVM, kNN, prototype-based, logistic regression and ensemble methods, to the partial label learning framework. Moreover, we study the effect of incorporating the structure of the label set into the methods. We focus particularly on the hierarchical structure of the labels, as commonly observed in developmental processes. We show, on simulated and real datasets, that these extensions enable to learn from partially labeled data, and perform predictions with high accuracy, particularly with a nonlinear prototype-based method. We demonstrate that the performances of our methods trained with partially annotated data reach the same performance as fully supervised data. Finally, we study the level of uncertainty present in the partially annotated data, and derive some prescriptive results on the effect of this uncertainty on the accuracy of the partial label learning methods. Overall our findings show how hierarchical and non-hierarchical partial label learning strategies can help solve the problem of automated classification of single-cell transcriptomic profiles, interestingly these methods rely on a much less stringent type of annotated datasets compared to fully supervised learning methods.


Assuntos
Perfilação da Expressão Gênica , Aprendizado de Máquina Supervisionado , Incerteza , Modelos Logísticos
12.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 20(7): e1012287, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38976761

RESUMO

Identifying the association and corresponding types of miRNAs and diseases is crucial for studying the molecular mechanisms of disease-related miRNAs. Compared to traditional biological experiments, computational models can not only save time and reduce costs, but also discover potential associations on a large scale. Although some computational models based on tensor decomposition have been proposed, these models usually require manual specification of numerous hyperparameters, leading to a decrease in computational efficiency and generalization ability. Additionally, these linear models struggle to analyze complex, higher-order nonlinear relationships. Based on this, we propose a novel framework, KBLTDARD, to identify potential multiple types of miRNA-disease associations. Firstly, KBLTDARD extracts information from biological networks and high-order association network, and then fuses them to obtain more precise similarities of miRNAs (diseases). Secondly, we combine logistic tensor decomposition and Bayesian methods to achieve automatic hyperparameter search by introducing sparse-induced priors of multiple latent variables, and incorporate auxiliary information to improve prediction capabilities. Finally, an efficient deterministic Bayesian inference algorithm is developed to ensure computational efficiency. Experimental results on two benchmark datasets show that KBLTDARD has better Top-1 precision, Top-1 recall, and Top-1 F1 for new type predictions, and higher AUPR, AUC, and F1 values for new triplet predictions, compared to other state-of-the-art methods. Furthermore, case studies demonstrate the efficiency of KBLTDARD in predicting multiple types of miRNA-disease associations.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Teorema de Bayes , Biologia Computacional , MicroRNAs , MicroRNAs/genética , MicroRNAs/metabolismo , Humanos , Biologia Computacional/métodos , Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Modelos Logísticos
13.
Nature ; 567(7746): 96-99, 2019 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30814729

RESUMO

Cooperatively nesting birds are vulnerable to social parasites that lay their eggs in host nests but provide no parental care1-4. Most previous research has focused on the co-evolutionary arms race between host defences and the parasites that attempt to circumvent them5-9, but it remains unclear why females sometimes cooperate and sometimes parasitize, and how parasitic tactics arise in cooperative systems10-12. Here we show that cooperative and parasitic reproductive strategies result in approximately equal fitness pay-offs in the greater ani (Crotophaga major), a long-lived tropical cuckoo, using an 11-year dataset and comprehensive genetic data that enable comparisons of the life-histories of individual females. We found that most females in the population nested cooperatively at the beginning of the breeding season; however, of those birds that had their first nests destroyed, a minority subsequently acted as reproductive parasites. The tendency to parasitize was highly repeatable, which indicates individual specialization. Across years, the fitness pay-offs of the two strategies were approximately equal: females who never parasitized (a 'pure cooperative' strategy) laid larger clutches and fledged more young from their own nests than did birds that both nested and parasitized (a 'mixed' strategy). Our results suggest that the success of parasites is constrained by reproductive trade-offs as well as by host defences, and illustrate how cooperative and parasitic tactics can coexist stably in the same population.


Assuntos
Aves/fisiologia , Comportamento Cooperativo , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita/fisiologia , Comportamento de Nidação , Parasitos/fisiologia , Reprodução/fisiologia , Animais , Tamanho da Ninhada/fisiologia , Feminino , Modelos Logísticos
14.
Cereb Cortex ; 34(4)2024 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38679476

RESUMO

Spinocerebellar ataxia type 12 is a hereditary and neurodegenerative illness commonly found in India. However, there is no established noninvasive automatic diagnostic system for its diagnosis and identification of imaging biomarkers. This work proposes a novel four-phase machine learning-based diagnostic framework to find spinocerebellar ataxia type 12 disease-specific atrophic-brain regions and distinguish spinocerebellar ataxia type 12 from healthy using a real structural magnetic resonance imaging dataset. Firstly, each brain region is represented in terms of statistics of coefficients obtained using 3D-discrete wavelet transform. Secondly, a set of relevant regions are selected using a graph network-based method. Thirdly, a kernel support vector machine is used to capture nonlinear relationships among the voxels of a brain region. Finally, the linear relationship among the brain regions is captured to build a decision model to distinguish spinocerebellar ataxia type 12 from healthy by using the regularized logistic regression method. A classification accuracy of 95% and a harmonic mean of precision and recall, i.e. F1-score of 94.92%, is achieved. The proposed framework provides relevant regions responsible for the atrophy. The importance of each region is captured using Shapley Additive exPlanations values. We also performed a statistical analysis to find volumetric changes in spinocerebellar ataxia type 12 group compared to healthy. The promising result of the proposed framework shows that clinicians can use it for early and timely diagnosis of spinocerebellar ataxia type 12.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores , Encéfalo , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Ataxias Espinocerebelares , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Ataxias Espinocerebelares/diagnóstico por imagem , Ataxias Espinocerebelares/genética , Ataxias Espinocerebelares/diagnóstico , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Encéfalo/patologia , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Biomarcadores/análise , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Modelos Logísticos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Atrofia
15.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(30): e2122788119, 2022 07 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35867822

RESUMO

Compositional analysis is based on the premise that a relatively small proportion of taxa are differentially abundant, while the ratios of the relative abundances of the remaining taxa remain unchanged. Most existing methods use log-transformed data, but log-transformation of data with pervasive zero counts is problematic, and these methods cannot always control the false discovery rate (FDR). Further, high-throughput microbiome data such as 16S amplicon or metagenomic sequencing are subject to experimental biases that are introduced in every step of the experimental workflow. McLaren et al. [eLife 8, e46923 (2019)] have recently proposed a model for how these biases affect relative abundance data. Motivated by this model, we show that the odds ratios in a logistic regression comparing counts in two taxa are invariant to experimental biases. With this motivation, we propose logistic compositional analysis (LOCOM), a robust logistic regression approach to compositional analysis, that does not require pseudocounts. Inference is based on permutation to account for overdispersion and small sample sizes. Traits can be either binary or continuous, and adjustment for confounders is supported. Our simulations indicate that LOCOM always preserved FDR and had much improved sensitivity over existing methods. In contrast, analysis of composition of microbiomes (ANCOM) and ANCOM with bias correction (ANCOM-BC)/ANOVA-Like Differential Expression tool (ALDEx2) had inflated FDR when the effect sizes were small and large, respectively. Only LOCOM was robust to experimental biases in every situation. The flexibility of our method for a variety of microbiome studies is illustrated by the analysis of data from two microbiome studies. Our R package LOCOM is publicly available.


Assuntos
Microbiota , Modelos Logísticos , Metagenômica/métodos , Microbiota/genética , Análise de Sequência
16.
PLoS Genet ; 18(1): e1009604, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35007277

RESUMO

Short tandem repeats (STRs) are highly informative genetic markers that have been used extensively in population genetics analysis. They are an important source of genetic diversity and can also have functional impact. Despite the availability of bioinformatic methods that permit large-scale genome-wide genotyping of STRs from whole genome sequencing data, they have not previously been applied to sequencing data from large collections of malaria parasite field samples. Here, we have genotyped STRs using HipSTR in more than 3,000 Plasmodium falciparum and 174 Plasmodium vivax published whole-genome sequence data from samples collected across the globe. High levels of noise and variability in the resultant callset necessitated the development of a novel method for quality control of STR genotype calls. A set of high-quality STR loci (6,768 from P. falciparum and 3,496 from P. vivax) were used to study Plasmodium genetic diversity, population structures and genomic signatures of selection and these were compared to genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genotyping data. In addition, the genome-wide information about genetic variation and other characteristics of STRs in P. falciparum and P. vivax have been available in an interactive web-based R Shiny application PlasmoSTR (https://github.com/bahlolab/PlasmoSTR).


Assuntos
Técnicas de Genotipagem/métodos , Malária/parasitologia , Repetições de Microssatélites , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Plasmodium vivax/genética , Bases de Dados Genéticas , Genética Populacional , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Especificidade da Espécie , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma
17.
J Infect Dis ; 230(1): 61-66, 2024 Jul 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052731

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Abnormal cervical cytology is commonly observed in women with human immunodeficiency virus (WWH). METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted with 130 WWH and 147 age-matched healthy controls, who underwent gynecological examinations at Beijing Ditan Hospital. The presence of abnormal cervical cytology in WWH was predicted after performing a logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression revealed 3 independent factors, among which CD4 cell count ≥350 cells/µL was the protective factor, while human papillomavirus infection and abnormal vaginal pH were the risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Vaginal microecological disorders can increase the risk of abnormal cervical cytology in WWH.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Doenças Vaginais , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Colo do Útero/patologia , Colo do Útero/virologia , China/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Modelos Logísticos , Infecções por Papillomavirus/virologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Fatores de Risco , Vagina/virologia , Vagina/patologia , Doenças Vaginais/virologia , Doenças Vaginais/epidemiologia
18.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 25(1): 253, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39090608

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Conditional logistic regression trees have been proposed as a flexible alternative to the standard method of conditional logistic regression for the analysis of matched case-control studies. While they allow to avoid the strict assumption of linearity and automatically incorporate interactions, conditional logistic regression trees may suffer from a relatively high variability. Further machine learning methods for the analysis of matched case-control studies are missing because conventional machine learning methods cannot handle the matched structure of the data. RESULTS: A random forest method for the analysis of matched case-control studies based on conditional logistic regression trees is proposed, which overcomes the issue of high variability. It provides an accurate estimation of exposure effects while being more flexible in the functional form of covariate effects. The efficacy of the method is illustrated in a simulation study and within an application to real-world data from a matched case-control study on the effect of regular participation in cervical cancer screening on the development of cervical cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed random forest method is a promising add-on to the toolbox for the analysis of matched case-control studies and addresses the need for machine-learning methods in this field. It provides a more flexible approach compared to the standard method of conditional logistic regression, but also compared to conditional logistic regression trees. It allows for non-linearity and the automatic inclusion of interaction effects and is suitable both for exploratory and explanatory analyses.


Assuntos
Aprendizado de Máquina , Algoritmo Florestas Aleatórias , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Modelos Logísticos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero
19.
BMC Bioinformatics ; 25(1): 226, 2024 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38937668

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The matched case-control design, up until recently mostly pertinent to epidemiological studies, is becoming customary in biomedical applications as well. For instance, in omics studies, it is quite common to compare cancer and healthy tissue from the same patient. Furthermore, researchers today routinely collect data from various and variable sources that they wish to relate to the case-control status. This highlights the need to develop and implement statistical methods that can take these tendencies into account. RESULTS: We present an R package penalizedclr, that provides an implementation of the penalized conditional logistic regression model for analyzing matched case-control studies. It allows for different penalties for different blocks of covariates, and it is therefore particularly useful in the presence of multi-source omics data. Both L1 and L2 penalties are implemented. Additionally, the package implements stability selection for variable selection in the considered regression model. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method fills a gap in the available software for fitting high-dimensional conditional logistic regression models accounting for the matched design and block structure of predictors/features. The output consists of a set of selected variables that are significantly associated with case-control status. These variables can then be investigated in terms of functional interpretation or validation in further, more targeted studies.


Assuntos
Software , Modelos Logísticos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Humanos , Genômica/métodos , Biologia Computacional/métodos
20.
Int J Cancer ; 154(3): 434-447, 2024 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37694915

RESUMO

Although recent studies have demonstrated associations between nonchromosomal birth defects and several pediatric cancers, less is known about their role on childhood leukemia susceptibility. Using data from the Childhood Cancer and Leukemia International Consortium, we evaluated associations between nonchromosomal birth defects and childhood leukemia. Pooling consortium data from 18 questionnaire-based and three registry-based case-control studies across 13 countries, we used multivariable logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between a spectrum of birth defects and leukemia. Our analyses included acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL, n = 13 115) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML, n = 2120) cases, along with 46 172 controls. We used the false discovery rate to account for multiple comparisons. In the questionnaire-based studies, the prevalence of birth defects was 5% among cases vs 4% in controls, whereas, in the registry-based studies, the prevalence was 11% among cases vs 7% in controls. In pooled adjusted analyses, there were several notable associations, including (1) digestive system defects and ALL (OR = 2.70, 95% CI: 1.46-4.98); (2) congenital anomalies of the heart and circulatory system and AML (OR = 2.86, 95% CI: 1.81-4.52) and (3) nervous system defects and AML (OR = 4.23, 95% CI: 1.50-11.89). Effect sizes were generally larger in registry-based studies. Overall, our results could point to novel genetic and environmental factors associated with birth defects that could also increase leukemia susceptibility. Additionally, differences between questionnaire- and registry-based studies point to the importance of complementary sources of birth defect phenotype data when exploring these associations.


Assuntos
Leucemia Mieloide Aguda , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Fatores de Risco , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/etiologia , Leucemia Mieloide Aguda/genética , Peso ao Nascer , Modelos Logísticos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Inquéritos e Questionários
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