The performance of a risk score in predicting undiagnosed hyperglycemia.
Diabetes Care
; 25(6): 984-8, 2002 Jun.
Article
in En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-12032103
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE:
Type 2 diabetes is a serious disease that is commonly undetected and for which screening is sometimes advocated. A number of risk factors are associated with prevalent undiagnosed diabetes. The use of routinely available information on these factors has been proposed as a simple and effective way of identifying individuals at high risk for having the disease. The objective of this study was to assess the effectiveness of the Cambridge risk score in a large and representative population. RESEARCH DESIGN ANDMETHODS:
A risk score derived from data in a previous study was tested for its ability to detect prevalent undiagnosed hyperglycemia as measured by a GHb > or = 6.0, 6.5, or 7% in 6,567 subjects aged 39-78 years in the European Prospective Investigation of Cancer-Norfolk cohort.RESULTS:
For a specificity of 78%, the risk score predicted a GHb of > or = 7.0% in subjects aged 39-78 years, with a sensitivity of 51% (95% CI 40-62). The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve for GHb > or = 6.0, 6.5, and 7% were 65.7% (63.8-67.6), 71.2% (68.4-75.2), and 74.2% (69.5-79.0), respectively. The area under the ROC curve was not significantly reduced if data on family and smoking history were unavailable for any of the cut-offs for GHb.CONCLUSIONS:
The risk score performed as well as other previously reported models in all age groups. We concluded that a simple risk score using data routinely available in primary care can identify people with an elevated GHb with reasonable sensitivity and specificity, and it could therefore form part of a strategy for early detection of type 2 diabetes.
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Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Blood Glucose
/
Hyperglycemia
Type of study:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Etiology_studies
/
Incidence_studies
/
Observational_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
/
Screening_studies
Limits:
Adult
/
Aged
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
/
Middle aged
Language:
En
Journal:
Diabetes Care
Year:
2002
Type:
Article
Affiliation country:
United kingdom