Practical Applicability of the ISARIC-4C Score on Severity and Mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

ABSTRACT

Background and objectives. There is a bidirectional relationship between SARS-CoV-2 infection and diabetes mellitus (DM), as people with DM are more vulnerable, and SARS-CoV-2 infections worsen the prognosis in these patients. The main purpose of the study was to evaluate the application validity of the ISARIC-4C score in patients confirmed with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Materials and Methods. The study included 159 patients previously known to have type 2 DM and confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We analyzed the concordance between the clinical evaluation of the patients and the ISARIC-4C score. Results. The mortality rate in hospitalized patients was 25.15%. The mortality risk was higher for ISARIC-4C values >14 than in the opposite group (63.93% vs. 31.24%; p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the mortality score was 0.875 (95% CI 0.820−0.930; p < 0.001), correctly classifying 77.36% of the cohort. A cut-off value of >14 had a sensitivity of 87.80% (95% CI 87.66−87.93), specificity 73.72% (95% CI 73.48−73.96), positive predictive value 53.73% (95% CI 53.41−54.04), and negative predictive value 94.56% (95% CI 94.5−94.62). The Cox regression model showed that the length of hospitalization (LH) was significantly influenced by body mass index, lung impairment, and aspartate aminotransferase, increasing the hazards, while lower HbA1c and lower SatO2 significantly decreased the hazards. Conclusions. ISARIC-4C score estimates the likelihood of clinical deterioration and the mortality risk in patients hospitalized with type 2 DM and positive for SARS-CoV-2, being useful in assessing the prognosis from the onset, as well as in developing therapeutic strategies.