Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
; Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop;53: e20200469, 2020. tab
Article
em En
| SES-SP, ColecionaSUS, LILACS
| ID: biblio-1136817
Biblioteca responsável:
BR1.1
ABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION:
Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists. METHODS We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities. RESULTS All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase. CONCLUSIONS Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
LILACS
/
SES-SP
/
ColecionaSUS
Assunto principal:
Pneumonia Viral
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Isolamento Social
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Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis
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Infecções por Coronavirus
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Pandemias
Limite:
Humans
País/Região como assunto:
America do sul
/
Brasil
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Jornal brasileiro de medicina tropical
/
Rev Soc Bras Med Trop
/
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
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Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop. (Online)
/
Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (Impresso)
Assunto da revista:
MEDICINA TROPICAL
Ano de publicação:
2020
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Brasil