D-Dimer and Procalcitonin Improve the Sensitivity of BAP-65 Score in Predicting AECOPD Patients Admission to ICU.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The study aimed at investigating the effectiveness of the BAP-65 score combined with D-dimer and procalcitonin (PCT) in predicting admission of acute exacerbation chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) patients to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study. We analyzed data from 369 patients over the age of 40 years ad-mitted to our hospital with AECOPD. All patients received blood routine measurements and BAP-65 score calculation on admission. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of D-dimer, PCT, and BAP-65 scores and combined metrics in predicting the risk of admissions to the ICU of AECOPD patients. RESULTS: We found that the percentage of patients with AECOPD admitted to the ICU was 32.25% (119/369). The area under the curve (AUC) of D-dimer, PCT, and BAP-65 score in individually predicting the probability of entering the ICU of AECOPD patients were 0.74 (95% CI 0.68 - 0.80), 0.83 (95% CI 0.78 - 0.88), and 0.72 (95% CI 0.66 - 0.79), respectively. The sensitivities of D-dimer, PCT, and BAP-65 score were 0.51, 0.65, and 0.52, respectively. The specificities of D-dimer, PCT, and BAP-65 score were 0.90, 0.91, and 0.92, respectively. The AUC of D-dimer and PCT combined with BAP-65 score was 0.90 (95% CI 0.86 - 0.94), the sensitivity and specificity were 0.90 and 0.80, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: D-dimer and procalcitonin improve the sensitivity of the BAP-65 score in predicting the probability of AECOPD patients entering the ICU while having a good specificity.