Evolution of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on heart transplant recipients: Decreasing risk, improving perspective.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: Heart transplant recipients (HTr) have a higher probability of suffer from severe coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) in comparison to general population, but their risk has changed over the course of the pandemic in relation to various factors. We conducted a prospective study including all HTr at risk of COVID-19 in a tertiary center between February 2020 and October 2022. The aim was to analyze how the prognosis (incidence of pneumonia and mortality) of COVID-19 in HTr has evolved over time, contextualizing variants, vaccination, and other treatments. RESULTS: Of 308 HTr included, 124 got the infection (39.2%). COVID and non-COVID HTr had similar baseline characteristics. COVID-19 patients with pneumonia had a poorer prognosis than those with less severe presentations, with a higher rate of hospitalization (93.3 vs. 14.1%, p < .001) and death (41.0 vs. 1.2%, p < .001). Multivariate analysis identified age ≥60 years (odds ratio [OR] 3.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-11.49, p = .027), and chronic kidney disease ≥3a (OR 4.95, 95% CI 1.39-17.54, p = .014) as predictors of pneumonia. Two-dose vaccination (OR 0.20, CI 95% 0.05-0.72, p = .02) and early remdesivir administration (OR 0.17, CI 0.03-0.90, p = .037) were protective factors. Over the course of the pandemic considering three periods in the follow-up (prevaccination February-December 2020, postvaccination January-December 2021, and post early remdesivir indication January-October 2022), we observed a reduction in pneumonia incidence from 62% to 19% (p < .001); and mortality (from 23% to 4%, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The prognosis of COVID-19 in HTr has improved over time, likely due to vaccination and early administration of remdesivir.