Development of an algorithm combining blood-based biomarkers, fecal immunochemical test, and age for population-based colorectal cancer screening.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Implementation of screening modalities have reduced the burden of colorectal cancer (CRC), but high false positive rates pose a major problem for colonoscopy capacity. We aimed to create a tailored screening algorithm that expands the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) with a blood specimen and current age to improve selection of individuals for diagnostic colonoscopy. METHODS: In this prospective multi-center study, eight blood-based biomarkers (CEA, Ferritin, hsCRP, HE4, Cyfra21-1, Hepsin, IL-8 and OPG) were investigated in 1,977 FIT positive individuals from the Danish national CRC screening program undergoing follow-up colonoscopy. Specimens were analyzed on ARCHITECT i2000®, ARCHITECT c8000® or Luminex xMAP® machines. FIT analyses and blood-based biomarker data were combined with clinical data (i.e., age and colonoscopy findings) in a cross-validated logistic regression model (algorithm) benchmarked against a model solely using the FIT result (FIT model) applying different cutoffs for FIT positivity. RESULTS: The cohort included individuals with CRC (n = 240), adenomas (n = 938) or no neoplastic lesions (n = 799). The cross-validated algorithm combining the eight biomarkers, quantitative FIT result and age performed superior to the FIT model in discriminating CRC versus non-CRC individuals (AUC 0.77 versus 0.67, p < 0.001). When discriminating individuals with either CRC or high- or medium-risk adenomas versus low-risk adenomas or clean colorectum, the AUCs were 0.68 versus 0.64 for the algorithm and FIT model, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The algorithm presented here can improve patient allocation to colonoscopy, reducing colonoscopy burden without compromising cancer and adenomas detection rates or vice versa.