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1.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(6): 1100-1107, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714122

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 epidemiology changed with the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC). Pakistan administered mostly inactivated vaccines. We investigated the association between VOC and breakthrough infections in a mixed-vaccination-status population of Karachi. METHODS: We investigated SARS-CoV-2 VOC tested in 392 respiratory specimens collected between May and December 2021. Data for age, sex, hospital admission, vaccinations, together with CT values of the diagnostic PCR test were analyzed. RESULTS: The median age of COVID-19 cases tested was 40 (27-57) years and 43.4% were female. Delta variants were most common (56.4%) followed by Alpha (15.9%), Omicron (12.2%), Beta/Gamma (11.3%), and others (4.3%). Eighteen percent of cases were hospitalized whereby, predominant VOC were Beta/Gamma (40.8%), Alpha (35.2%) and Delta (22.5%). Overall, 55.4% of individuals were fully vaccinated, 7.4% were partially vaccinated and 37.2% were unvaccinated. Most (74.6%) inpatients were unvaccinated. Vaccines comprised inactivated (85.34%), single-shot vector (8.62%), two-shot vector (3.02%) and mRNA (3.02%) types. Omicron variants showed lower viral loads as compared to Alpha, Beta/Gamma, and Delta (p = 0.017). The risk of infection with Delta and Omicron variants was higher, 8 weeks after vaccination. The majority of those with breakthrough infections after receiving inactivated vaccines acquired COVID-19 within 4 months of vaccination. CONCLUSION: Our data highlights the shifting of VOC from Delta to Omicron during 2021 and that COVID-19 vaccinations reduced both hospitalizations and viral transmission. It informs on the increased risk of breakthrough infection within 8 weeks of vaccination, indicating the need for booster vaccinations.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Hospitalización , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/virología , Femenino , Masculino , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/inmunología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Pakistán/epidemiología , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Infección Irruptiva
2.
Health Sci Rep ; 6(12): e1703, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38045627

RESUMEN

Background and Aims: COVID-19 morbidity and mortality varied globally through the pandemic. We studied the relationship of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) with COVID-19 severity and mortality among hospitalized patients in Pakistan. Methods: A retrospective review of clinical, laboratory, and vaccination data of 197 COVID-19 adult patients at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi between April 2021, and February 2022 was performed. SARS-CoV-2 VOC identified in respiratory samples were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with COVID-19 outcomes. Results: The median age of cases was 55 years and 51.8% were males. Twenty-four percent of females were pregnant. Of COVID-19 cases, 48.2% had nonsevere disease, while 52.8% had severe/critical disease. Hypertension (48%) and diabetes mellitus (41%) were common comorbids. SARS-CoV-2 VOC identified comprised; Omicron (55.3%), Beta (14.7%), Alpha (13.7%), Delta (12.7%), and Gamma (3.6%) variants. Most (59.7%) study subjects were unvaccinated. Of vaccines, 88% had received inactivated virus COVID-19 vaccines. Increased risk of severe disease was associated with age ≥50 years (odds ratio [OR]: 5.73; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [2.45-13.7]), as well as with diabetes mellitus (OR: 4.24; 95% CI: [1.82-9.85]). Full vaccination (OR: 0.25; 95% CI: [0.11-0.58]) or infection with Omicron (OR: 0.42; 95% CI: [0.23-0.74]) was associated with reduced disease severity. The risk of mortality increased with age ≥50 years (OR: 5.07; 95% CI: [1.92-13.42]) and a history of myocardial infarction (OR: 5.11; 95% CI: [1.45-17.93]) whilst, infection with Omicron was found to reduce the risk (OR: 0.22; 95% CI: [0.10-0.53]). Conclusion: Our study describes the relationship between the severity of COVID-19, in-hospital mortality in relation to SARS-CoV-2 variants, and the impact of COVID-19 vaccination in Pakistan. Outcomes were more favorable in younger individuals, after vaccinations and with Omicron variant infections. Most cases received inactivated virus vaccines therefore these data highlight the protection provided against severe COVID-19.

3.
BMC Genomics ; 24(1): 432, 2023 Aug 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37532989

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 waves caused by specific SARS-CoV-2 variants have occurred globally at different times. We focused on Omicron variants to understand the genomic diversity and phylogenetic relatedness of SARS-CoV-2 strains in various regions of Pakistan. METHODS: We studied 276,525 COVID-19 cases and 1,031 genomes sequenced from December 2021 to August 2022. Sequences were analyzed and visualized using phylogenetic trees. RESULTS: The highest case numbers and deaths were recorded in Sindh and Punjab, the most populous provinces in Pakistan. Omicron variants comprised 93% of all genomes, with BA.2 (32.6%) and BA.5 (38.4%) predominating. The first Omicron wave was associated with the sequential identification of BA.1 in Sindh, then Islamabad Capital Territory, Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Azad Jammu Kashmir (AJK), Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) and Balochistan. Phylogenetic analysis revealed Sindh to be the source of BA.1 and BA.2 introductions into Punjab and Balochistan during early 2022. BA.4 was first introduced in AJK and BA.5 in Punjab. Most recent common ancestor (MRCA) analysis revealed relatedness between the earliest BA.1 genome from Sindh with Balochistan, AJK, Punjab and ICT, and that of first BA.1 from Punjab with strains from KPK and GB. CONCLUSIONS: Phylogenetic analysis provides insights into the introduction and transmission dynamics of the Omicron variant in Pakistan, identifying Sindh as a hotspot for viral dissemination. Such data linked with public health efforts can help limit surges of new infections.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pakistán/epidemiología , Filogenia , SARS-CoV-2/genética
4.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(6): e0001896, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37262051

RESUMEN

COVID-19 resulted in extensive morbidity and mortality worldwide. SARS-CoV-2 evolved rapidly, with increasing transmission due to Variants of Concern (VOC). Identifying VOC became important but genome submissions from low-middle income countries (LMIC) remained low leading to gaps in genomic epidemiology. We demonstrate the use of a specific mutation RT-PCR based approach to identify VOC in SARS-CoV-2 positive samples through the pandemic in Pakistan. We selected 2150 SARS-CoV-2 PCR positive respiratory specimens tested between April 2021 and February 2022, at the Aga Khan University Hospital Clinical Laboratories, Karachi, Pakistan. Commercially available RT-PCR assays were used as required for mutations in Spike protein (N501Y, A570D, E484K, K417N, L452R, P681R and deletion69_70) to identify Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron variants respectively. Three pandemic waves associated with Alpha, Delta and Omicron occurred during the study period. Of the samples screened, VOC were identified in 81.7% of cases comprising mainly; Delta (37.2%), Alpha (29.8%) and Omicron (17.1%) variants. During 2021, Alpha variants were predominant in April and May; Beta and Gamma variants emerged in May and peaked in June; the Delta variant peaked in July and remained predominant until November. Omicron (BA.1) emerged in December 2021 and remained predominant until February 2022. The CT values of Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta were all significantly higher than that of Omicron variants (p<0.0001). We observed VOC through the pandemic waves using spike mutation specific RT-PCR assays. We show the spike mutation specific RT-PCR assay is a rapid, low-cost and adaptable for the identification of VOC as an adjunct approach to NGS to effectively inform the public health response. Further, by associating the VOC with CT values of its diagnostic PCR we gain information regarding the viral load of samples and therefore the level of transmission and disease severity in the population.

5.
Virus Evol ; 8(1): veac020, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35462736

RESUMEN

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants continue to emerge, and their identification is important for the public health response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Genomic sequencing provides robust information but may not always be accessible, and therefore, mutation-based polymerase chain reaction (PCR) approaches can be used for rapid identification of known variants. International travelers arriving in Karachi between December 2020 and February 2021 were tested for SARS-CoV-2 by PCR. A subset of positive samples was tested for S-gene target failure (SGTF) on TaqPathTM COVID-19 (Thermo Fisher Scientific) and for mutations using the GSD NovaType SARS-CoV-2 (Eurofins Technologies) assays. Sequencing was conducted on the MinION platform (Oxford Nanopore Technologies). Bayesian phylogeographic inference was performed integrating the patients' travel history information. Of the thirty-five COVID-19 cases screened, thirteen had isolates with SGTF. The travelers transmitted infection to sixty-eight contact cases. The B.1.1.7 lineage was confirmed through sequencing and PCR. The phylogenetic analysis of sequence data available for six cases included four B.1.1.7 strains and one B.1.36 and B.1.1.212 lineage isolate. Phylogeographic modeling estimated at least three independent B.1.1.7 introductions into Karachi, Pakistan, originating from the UK. B.1.1.212 and B.1.36 were inferred to be introduced either from the UK or the travelers' layover location. We report the introduction of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 and other lineages in Pakistan by international travelers arriving via different flight routes. This highlights SARS-CoV-2 transmission through travel, importance of testing, and quarantine post-travel to prevent transmission of new strains, as well as recording detailed patients' metadata. Such results help inform policies on restricting travel from destinations where new highly transmissible variants have emerged.

6.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 2790, 2022 02 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35181674

RESUMEN

Lower respiratory illness is one of the leading causes of death among children in low- and high-income countries. Human metapneumovirus (hMPV) is a key contributor to respiratory illnesses commonly reported among children and causes serious clinical complications ranging from mild respiratory infections to severe lower respiratory tract anomalies mainly in the form of bronchiolitis and pneumonia. However, due to the lack of a national surveillance system, the clinical significance of hMPV remains obscure in the Pakistani population. This study was conducted to screen throat swabs samples collected from 127 children reported with respiratory symptoms at a tertiary care hospital in Islamabad. Out of 127, 21 (16.5%) samples were positive for hMPV with its genotype distribution as A2a (10%), A2b (20%), B1 (10%), and B2 (60%). Phylogenetic analysis showed that the hMPV viruses were closely related to those reported from neighboring countries including India and China. This work will contribute to a better understanding of this virus, its diagnosis, and the handling of patients in clinical setups. Further studies at a large-scale are warranted for a better understanding of the disease burden and epidemiology of hMPV in Pakistan.


Asunto(s)
Metapneumovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/diagnóstico , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Preescolar , Femenino , Genotipo , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Metapneumovirus/genética , Metapneumovirus/patogenicidad , Epidemiología Molecular , Pakistán/epidemiología , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/epidemiología , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/genética , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/virología , Filogenia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/genética , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología
7.
Appl Biosaf ; 27(4): 219-224, 2022 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36761992

RESUMEN

Introduction: Institutions implementing a biorisk management system need to establish comprehensive guidance to support the implementation of biosafety and biosecurity practices. A biorisk manual describes how a biorisk management system will be implemented in an organization and includes topics such as facility-specific policies and procedures to safely and securely handle, store, and dispose of biological agents and toxins in adherence with international guidance. Methods: To promote the adoption of biosafety and biosecurity in Pakistan, the Pakistan Biological Safety Association and Health Security Partners developed a biorisk manual writing project in 2019 in partnership with experts from the BioRisk Association of the Philippines 2015, Inc. This project helped 13 researchers and laboratory professionals in Pakistan develop biorisk manuals for their institutions. The project comprised two phases: an in-person group training on how to develop a laboratory biorisk manual, and 10 months of additional remote mentoring assistance for the development and finalization of the biorisk manual tailored to each institution's specific needs. By the end of the project, 12 of the 13 participants had customized biorisk manuals for their institutions in place. In January 2022, a survey was conducted among the workshop participants to learn how successful they were in implementing the developed manual in their institutions. Results: Participants reported varying degrees of successful implementation. They also suggested that the biosafety and biosecurity associations should engage top management at institutions to strengthen administrative support and provide a sufficient workforce to promote implementation.

8.
Int J Infect Dis ; 106: 176-182, 2021 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33737137

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine population-based estimates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in a densely populated urban community of Karachi, Pakistan. METHODS: Three cross-sectional surveys were conducted in April, June and August 2020 in low- and high-transmission neighbourhoods. Participants were selected at random to provide blood for Elecsys immunoassay for detection of anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 antibodies. A Bayesian regression model was used to estimate seroprevalence after adjusting for the demographic characteristics of each district. RESULTS: In total, 3005 participants from 623 households were enrolled in this study. In Phase 2, adjusted seroprevalence was estimated as 8.7% [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.1-13.1] and 15.1% (95% CI 9.4-21.7) in low- and high-transmission areas, respectively, compared with 0.2% (95% CI 0-0.7) and 0.4% (95% CI 0-1.3) in Phase 1. In Phase 3, it was 12.8% (95% CI 8.3-17.7) and 21.5% (95% CI 15.6-28) in low- and high-transmission areas, respectively. The conditional risk of infection was 0.31 (95% CI 0.16-0.47) and 0.41 (95% CI 0.28-0.52) in low- and high-transmission neighbourhoods, respectively, in Phase 2. Similar trends were observed in Phase 3. Only 5.4% of participants who tested positive for COVID-19 were symptomatic. The infection fatality rate was 1.66%, 0.37% and 0.26% in Phases 1, 2 and 3, respectively. CONCLUSION: Continuing rounds of seroprevalence studies will help to improve understanding of secular trends and the extent of infection during the course of the pandemic.


Asunto(s)
Prueba Serológica para COVID-19 , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Teorema de Bayes , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoensayo , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pakistán/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Población Urbana
9.
J Med Virol ; 92(12): 3028-3037, 2020 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32314812

RESUMEN

In Pakistan, the burden of influenza was largely unknown, as no formal surveillance system was in place. In 2008, an influenza surveillance system was set up in eight sentinel sites. This study describes the epidemiology of influenza virus using a 10-year surveillance data from 2008 to 2017. Nasopharyngeal/throat swabs were collected from patients with influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) along with relevant epidemiological information. The samples were tested using real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction for the detection and characterization of influenza viruses. A total of 17 209 samples were tested for influenza, out of which 3552 (20.6%) were positive; 2151/11 239 (19.1%) were patients with ILI, whereas 1401/5970 (23.5%) were patients with SARI. Influenza A/H1N1pdm09 was the predominant strain with 40.6% (n = 1442) followed by influenza B (936, 26.4%). Influenza A/H1N1pdm09 was predominant among the children (5-14 years) and adults (15-64 years). Influenza B strain was predominantly found in the elderly age group (≥ 65 years) accounting for 48% of cases followed by children (2-4 years) accounting for 37% of cases. This 10-year surveillance data provides evidence of influenza activity in the country throughout the year with seasonal winter peaks. The results could be used to strengthen the epidemic preparedness and response plan.

10.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(2): 307-310, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31967539

RESUMEN

During December 2016-May 2017, an outbreak of chikungunya virus infection occurred across Pakistan. The East/Central/South African genotype was predominant. This study provides baseline data on the virus strain and emphasizes the need for active surveillance and implementation of preventive interventions to contain future outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre Chikungunya/epidemiología , Virus Chikungunya/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , Fiebre Chikungunya/sangre , Fiebre Chikungunya/virología , Virus Chikungunya/genética , Niño , Preescolar , Demografía , Brotes de Enfermedades , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Mosquitos Vectores , Pakistán/epidemiología , Filogenia , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Estaciones del Año , Adulto Joven
11.
J Infect Public Health ; 13(3): 407-413, 2020 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31000492

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The first case of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was detected in Pakistan in June 2009. Since then, it has continued to circulate causing considerable morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the evolutionary changes in influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses from 2009 to 2016 and their relevance to the current vaccine viruses. METHODS: Respiratory specimens (throat or nasopharyngeal swabs) were collected from patients with influenza-like illness and severe acute respiratory illness. Samples were processed following the protocol of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of Haemagglutinin and neuraminidase genes were carried out on representative isolates of Pakistan viruses. RESULTS: Between January 2009 and February 2016, out of 16,024 samples analysed, 1950 (12%) were positive for influenza A. During the pandemic period (2009-2010), influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was the dominant strain with 366 out of 808 (45%) total influenza positive cases. In the post-pandemic period (2011-2016), a total of 1078 out of 1911 (56%) cases were positive for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 with co-circulation of different influenza A subtypes. The Pakistan A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses belonged to two genetic clades: clade 7 in the pandemic period, and clade 7 (2011) and clade 6B (2015) in the post-pandemic period. Sequence analysis of genes coding for surface glycoprotein's of Haemagglutinin and neuraminidase had a high degree of sequence similarity with corresponding genes of regional viruses circulating in South-East Asia. CONCLUSION: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses from Pakistan clustered into two genetic clades, with co-circulation of some variants. Key substitutions in the receptor binding site and a few changes indicative of virulence were also detected in the post-pandemic strains. Continued monitoring of the viruses is essential for early identification of potential variants of high virulence and their relevance to current vaccine strains.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Pandemias , ARN Viral/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Evolución Molecular , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Gripe Humana/genética , Gripe Humana/virología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pakistán/epidemiología , Filogenia , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Análisis de Secuencia , Adulto Joven
12.
J Med Virol ; 92(12): 3179-3186, 2020 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31696948

RESUMEN

Multiple Rotavirus A (RVA) strains are linked with gastrointestinal infections in children that fall in age bracket of 0 to 60 months. However, the problem is augmented with emergence of unique strains that reassort with RVA strains of animal origin. The study describes the sequence analysis of a rare G6P[1] rotavirus strain isolated from a less than 1 year old child, during rotavirus surveillance in Rawalpindi district, Pakistan in 2010. Extracted RNA from fecal specimen was subjected to high throughput RT-PCR for structural and nonstructural gene segments. The complete rotavirus genome of one isolate RVA/Human-wt/PAK/PAK99/2010/G6P[1] was sequenced for phylogenetic analysis to elucidate the evolutionary linkages and origin. Full genome examination of novel strain RVA/Human-wt/PAK/PAK99/2010/G6P[1] revealed the unique genotype assemblage: G6-P[1]-I2-R2-C2-M2-A3-N2-T6-E2-H1. The evolutionary analyses of VP7, VP4, NSP1 and NSP3 gene segments revealed that PAK99 clustered with bovine, or cattle-like rotavirus strains from other closely related species, in the genotypes G6, P[1], A3 and T6 respectively. Gene segments VP6, VP1, VP2, VP3, NSP2 and NSP4 all possessed the DS-1-like bovine genotype 2 and bovine (-like) RVA strains instead of RVA strains having human origin. However, the NSP5 gene was found to cluster closely with contemporary human Wa-like rotavirus strains of H1 genotype. This is the first report on bovine-human (Wa-like reassortant) genotype constellation of G6P[1] strain from a human case in Pakistan (and the second description worldwide). Our results emphasize the significance of incessant monitoring of circulating RVA strains in humans and animals for better understanding of RV evolution.

13.
J Infect Public Health ; 13(3): 438-445, 2020 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31229412

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Data on the viral etiology of acute lower respiratory infections are scarce in Pakistan. Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of morbidity in children but no effective vaccine or antiviral therapy is currently available. As vaccines are expected to become available in the future, it is important to understand the epidemiology of locally prevalent RSV subtypes. This study aimed to define the molecular epidemiology of RSV (A and B) genotypes in Pakistani children under 5 years. METHODS: World Health Organization case definitions for influenza-like illness (ILI) and severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) were used for case selection. Children under 5 years who presented with ILI or SARI at tertiary care hospitals from all provinces/regions, including the eight influenza sentinel sites, during October-April each year between 2010 and 2013 were enrolled. Demographic and clinical data of the children were recorded and nasopharyngeal/throat swabs taken for analysis. All samples were tested for RSV A and B using real-time polymerase chain reaction for non-influenza respiratory viruses. Specific oligonucleotide primers for RSV A and B were used for subtyping and sequencing of the G protein, followed by phylogenetic analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1941 samples were included. RSV was detected in 472 (24%) children, with RSV A detected in 367 (78%) and RSV B in 105 (22%). The G protein of all RSV A strains clustered in the NA1/GA2 genotype while RSV B strains carried the signature 60 nucleotide duplication and were assigned to three BA genotypes: BA-9, BA-10 and the new BA-13 genotype. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the importance of RSV as a viral etiologic agent of acute respiratory infections in children in Pakistan, and the diversity of RSV viruses. Continued molecular surveillance for early detection of prevalent and newly emerging genotypes is needed to understand the epidemiology of RSV infections in Pakistan.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/genética , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Preescolar , Femenino , Genotipo , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Masculino , Epidemiología Molecular , Pakistán/epidemiología , Filogenia , ARN Viral/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/genética , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/aislamiento & purificación , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Análisis de Secuencia
14.
PLoS One ; 14(7): e0219376, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31323025

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza is known to have a specific pattern of seasonality the reasons for which are yet to be fully ascertained. Temperate zones show influenza epidemic during the winter months. The tropical and subtropical regions show more diverse influenza outbreak patterns. This study explores the seasonality of influenza activity and predicts influenza peak based on historical surveillance time series data in Islamabad and Multan, Pakistan. METHODS: This is a descriptive study of routinely collected monthly influenza sentinel surveillance data and meteorological data from 2012-16 in two sentinel sites of Pakistan: Islamabad (North) and Multan (Central). RESULTS: Mean number of cases of influenza and levels of precipitation were higher in Islamabad compared to Multan. Mean temperature and humidity levels were similar in both the cities. The number of influenza cases rose with decrease in precipitation and temperature in Islamabad during 2012-16, although the same cannot be said about humidity. The relationship between meteorological parameters and influenza incidence was not pronounced in case of Multan. The forecasted values in both the cities showed a significant peak during the month of January. CONCLUSION: The influenza surveillance system gave a better understanding of the disease trend and could accurately forecast influenza activity in Pakistan.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Conceptos Meteorológicos , Estaciones del Año , Clima Tropical , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades , Epidemias , Femenino , Geografía , Humanos , Humedad , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pakistán/epidemiología , Vigilancia de Guardia , Temperatura , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Adulto Joven
15.
J Med Virol ; 90(8): 1297-1303, 2018 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29704426

RESUMEN

Despite the availability of an effective vaccine, the measles virus continues to cause significant morbidity and mortality in children worldwide. Molecular characterization of wild-type measles strains is an invaluable component of epidemiological studies or surveillance systems that provides important information pertinent to outbreak linkages and transmission pathways. Serum samples and throat swabs were collected from suspected measles cases from the Punjab province of Pakistan (2013-2015) and further tested for measles immunoglobulin M (IgM) through enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for molecular characterization. Among the total of 5415 blood samples, 59% tested positive for measles IgM. Males had a higher infection rate (55%) than females (45%), and the highest frequency of positive cases (63%) was found in the age group of 0 to 5 years. Partial sequencing of the nucleoprotein gene showed that 27 strains belonged to the B3 genotype, whereas 2 viruses were identified as D4. On phylogenetic analysis, Pakistani B3 strains were found to be closely related to previously reported indigenous strains and those from neighboring countries of Iran and Qatar. This is the first report on the detection of the measles B3 genotype from Punjab, Pakistan. The current study shows a high burden of measles infections in Punjab province owing to poor routine immunization coverage in major cities. It is imperative that national health authorities adopt strategic steps on an urgent basis for improvement of routine immunization coverage. Molecular epidemiology of the measles viruses circulating in different parts of the country can provide useful data to manage future outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Genotipo , Virus del Sarampión/clasificación , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Sarampión/epidemiología , Adolescente , Factores de Edad , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Niño , Preescolar , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Virus del Sarampión/aislamiento & purificación , Epidemiología Molecular , Proteínas de la Nucleocápside , Nucleoproteínas/genética , Pakistán/epidemiología , Faringe/virología , Filogenia , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Suero/virología , Factores Sexuales , Proteínas Virales/genética , Adulto Joven
16.
J Med Virol ; 90(7): 1272-1276, 2018 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29573357

RESUMEN

The G12 rotavirus genotype has emerged globally since their first detection in 1987 from the Philippines; however it remains a rare cause of gastroenteritis in Pakistan. Rotavirus surveillance conducted during 2015-2016, assessed 3446 children <5 years hospitalized for gastroenteritis and found 802 (23.2%) positive on ELISA. Genotyping of a subset of positive samples (n = 319) revealed G12P[6] (11.28%) as the third most common G/P combination following G3P[8] (28.5%) and G1P[8] (12.5%); G2P[4] (10.65%) and G3P[6] (8.15%) were other frequently detected strains. Phylogenetic analysis of G12 strains from Pakistan revealed high genetic similarity to G12 strains from Italy, Thailand, Korea, and Great Britain as well as local strains within G12 lineage III. In conclusion, G12P[6] was a major contributor of RVA gastroenteritis in Pakistani children. Robust surveillance after the introduction of rotavirus vaccines will help determine the evolution of G12 and other circulating genotypes in the country.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Genotipo , Infecciones por Rotavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/virología , Rotavirus/clasificación , Rotavirus/genética , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Pakistán/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Rotavirus/aislamiento & purificación
17.
J Infect Public Health ; 11(4): 540-545, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29129527

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Measles virus infection remains a significant cause of childhood mortality and morbidity despite continued global efforts and the availability of a safe and effective vaccine. Molecular analysis of indigenous measles viruses could provide critical information on outbreak linkages and transmission pathways that can aid the implementation of appropriate control programs in Pakistan. METHODS: Blood samples and throat swabs were collected from subjects suspected with measles in Islamabad, Pakistan from 2013 to 2015. Serum samples were tested for the presence of measles immunoglobulin M (IgM) antibodies using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) while throat swabs were used for the isolation (Vero/SLAM cell line) and subsequent characterization and phylogenetic analysis of measles strains. RESULTS: Of 373 blood samples, 66% tested positive for measles IgM. Male subjects were more often infected (58%) than female (42%) with the highest frequency of positive cases (63%) in the 0-5-years age group. Among the positive cases, only 13% had received one or two doses of the measles vaccine, while 87% were unvaccinated. Of 80 throat swabs, 29 (36%) showed a measles virus-specific cytopathic effect (CPE) and were characterized as genotype B3 through partial sequencing of the nucleoprotein (N) gene. Phylogenetic analysis revealed the Pakistani B3 strains to be closely related to strains from neighboring countries (Iran and Afghanistan) as well as with B3 viruses from the USA, Germany, and the UK. CONCLUSIONS: The study results showed that despite the availability of an effective vaccine, the burden of measles infections is very high in Pakistan due to poor routine immunization coverage even in major cities, including the capital city of Islamabad. It is imperative that national health authorities take urgent strategic steps to improve routine immunization and implement adequate molecular identification methods to tackle future measles outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Genotipo , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/virología , Afganistán/epidemiología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Irán/epidemiología , Masculino , Sarampión/sangre , Sarampión/prevención & control , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Virus del Sarampión/aislamiento & purificación , Proteínas de la Nucleocápside , Nucleoproteínas/genética , Pakistán/epidemiología , Faringe/virología , Filogenia , ARN Viral/genética , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Proteínas Virales/genética
18.
Lancet Glob Health ; 5(10): e984-e991, 2017 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28911764

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is an important cause of pneumonia mortality in young children. However, clinical data for fatal RSV infection are scarce. We aimed to identify clinical and socioeconomic characteristics of children aged younger than 5 years with RSV-related mortality using individual patient data. METHODS: In this retrospective case series, we developed an online questionnaire to obtain individual patient data for clinical and socioeconomic characteristics of children aged younger than 5 years who died with community-acquired RSV infection between Jan 1, 1995, and Oct 31, 2015, through leading research groups for child pneumonia identified through a comprehensive literature search and existing research networks. For the literature search, we searched PubMed for articles published up to Feb 3, 2015, using the key terms "RSV", "respiratory syncytial virus", or "respiratory syncytial viral" combined with "mortality", "fatality", "death", "died", "deaths", or "CFR" for articles published in English. We invited researchers and clinicians identified to participate between Nov 1, 2014, and Oct 31, 2015. We calculated descriptive statistics for all variables. FINDINGS: We studied 358 children with RSV-related in-hospital death from 23 countries across the world, with data contributed from 31 research groups. 117 (33%) children were from low-income or lower middle-income countries, 77 (22%) were from upper middle-income countries, and 164 (46%) were from high-income countries. 190 (53%) were male. Data for comorbidities were missing for some children in low-income and middle-income countries. Available data showed that comorbidities were present in at least 33 (28%) children from low-income or lower middle-income countries, 36 (47%) from upper middle-income countries, and 114 (70%) from high-income countries. Median age for RSV-related deaths was 5·0 months (IQR 2·3-11·0) in low-income or lower middle-income countries, 4·0 years (2·0-10·0) in upper middle-income countries, and 7·0 years (3·6-16·8) in high-income countries. INTERPRETATION: This study is the first large case series of children who died with community-acquired RSV infection. A substantial proportion of children with RSV-related death had comorbidities. Our results show that perinatal immunisation strategies for children aged younger than 6 months could have a substantial impact on RSV-related child mortality in low-income and middle-income countries. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Asunto(s)
Salud Global/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/mortalidad , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos
19.
Arch Virol ; 162(12): 3603-3610, 2017 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28803415

RESUMEN

Measles continues to be a major public health issue causing substantial outbreaks worldwide, mostly affecting young children. Molecular analysis of measles viruses provides important information on outbreak linkages and transmission pathways that can be helpful towards implementation of appropriate control programs. In Pakistan, the control of measles is still tenuous, and progress towards elimination has been irregular and challenging. In the 2013 measles outbreak we received 4,682 sera collected from suspected patients in 23 districts across Sindh. A total of 3,283 samples were confirmed measles positive using IgM ELISA with the highest infection rate in children aged 1-12 months. Males were more affected than females and a visible peak was observed from January to April. Among the 3,283 cases, 59.1% were unvaccinated, 29.6% had received 1 dose and 10.3% had received 2 doses of measles vaccine while 0.85% had an unknown vaccination status. For genotype detection and phylogenetic analysis, 60 throat swab samples were collected from suspected patients below 15 years of age in eight districts of Sindh province. Forty four (73%; 44/60) throat swab samples were successfully genotyped using RT-PCR. Phylogenetic analyses based on partial sequences of the nucleocapsid protein gene revealed that all Pakistani measles virus strains belonged to genotype B3 and were closely related to those isolated from neighboring countries such as Iran, Afghanistan (99.1-100%) and India with 98.6 - 99.6% nucleotide homology. This is the first report on the phylogenetic analysis of measles B3 genotype strains from Pakistan and highlights the need for strengthening the surveillance systems and improving immunization coverage across the country.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Genotipo , Virus del Sarampión/clasificación , Virus del Sarampión/aislamiento & purificación , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/virología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Niño , Preescolar , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Técnicas de Genotipaje , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , Lactante , Masculino , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pakistán/epidemiología , Filogenia , ARN Viral/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Factores Sexuales , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven
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