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1.
Adv Mater ; 36(19): e2311029, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38299366

RESUMEN

Practical application of triboelectric nanogenerators (TENGs) has been challenging, particularly, under harsh environmental conditions. This work proposes a novel 3D-fused aromatic ladder (FAL) structure as a tribo-positive material for TENGs, to address these challenges. The 3D-FAL offers a unique materials engineering platform for tailored properties, such as high specific surface area and porosity, good thermal and mechanical stability, and tunable electronic properties. The fabricated 3D-FAL-based TENG reaches a maximum peak power density of 451.2 µW cm-2 at 5 Hz frequency. More importantly, the 3D-FAL-based TENG maintains stable output performance under harsh operating environments, over wide temperature (-45-100 °C) and humidity ranges (8.3-96.7% RH), representing the development of novel FAL for sustainable energy generation under challenging environmental conditions. Furthermore, the 3D-FAL-based TENG proves to be a promising device for a speed monitoring system engaging reconstruction in virtual reality in a snowy environment.

2.
Acta Biotheor ; 72(1): 3, 2024 Feb 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38402514

RESUMEN

The globalization in business and tourism becomes crucial more and more for the economical sustainability of local communities. In the presence of an epidemic outbreak, there must be such a decision on the policy by the host community as whether to accept visitors or not, the number of acceptable visitors, or the condition for acceptable visitors. Making use of an SIRI type of mathematical model, we consider the influence of visitors on the spread of a reinfectious disease in a community, especially assuming that a certain proportion of accepted visitors are immune. The reinfectivity of disease here means that the immunity gained by either vaccination or recovery is imperfect. With the mathematical results obtained by our analysis on the model for such an epidemic dynamics of resident and visitor populations, we find that the acceptance of visitors could have a significant influence on the disease's endemicity in the community, either suppressive or supportive.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias , Brotes de Enfermedades , Comercio , Políticas , Modelos Teóricos
3.
Heliyon ; 10(3): e25422, 2024 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38356506

RESUMEN

This study delves into analyzing drought patterns in Baluchistan by applying copula-based bivariate probabilistic models complemented by Severity Duration Frequency (SDF) curves. The calculation of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) hinges on monthly aggregate precipitation data from ten distinct sites compiled over six-month periods. After evaluating various parametric distributions, the Log-Normal distribution emerges as suitable for modeling drought severity and duration. A range of bivariate copulas is employed to simulate the characteristics of drought severity and duration, which are then compared against observed data. Remarkably, the Gumbel copula classified as an extreme value copula-outperforms its counterparts according to diverse statistical benchmarks. By utilizing the dependence function, we derive the conditional distribution of drought variables: severity and duration. These conditional distributions subsequently inform the calculation of return periods, forming the basis for constructing SDF diagrams at fixed recurrence levels across the study region. The study's finding indicates that a severe drought could occur over the region with higher return periods for a specific duration. The implications of this research are significant, showcasing the potential of copula-based joint modeling techniques to generate frequency curves for drought severity and duration. This development holds promise for effective water resource management and the formulation of strategies to mitigate the impact of drought in vulnerable regions.

4.
Heliyon ; 10(1): e23388, 2024 Jan 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38268582

RESUMEN

Extreme winds are becoming more common among environmental events with the most catastrophic societal consequences. A regional frequency analysis of Daily Annual Maximum Wind Speed (DAMWS) is necessary not only for a comprehensive understanding of wind hazards but also for infrastructure design and safety, wind energy potential, disaster risk reduction, insurance and risk assessment in a particular region of study. This study investigated regional frequency analysis of DAMWS of Baluchistan and Sindh provinces of Pakistan. L-moments regionalization techniques along with flood index procedure were applied to DAMWS records of 21 stations from 1990 to 2019 across the study area. We intended to find the regional frequency distribution for maximum winds and predict the returns for extreme winds events in the future. Only one station namely Lasbella was found to be discordant. With the help of cluster analysis, the remaining 20 stations were further divided into two homogeneous. Heterogeneity measures validate that both regions are homogenous with allotted stations. Regional quantiles for both regions are estimated through best-fit probability distribution among Generalized Normal (GNO), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Pearson Type 3 (P3), Generalized Pareto (GPA), and Generalized Extreme Value (GEV). Robustness of GLO distribution compared to GEV distribution is assessed through Monte Carlo simulations of relative bias and relative root mean square error. Findings clearly show that GLO distribution is the best for regional modeling. Furthermore, with the help of index flood procedure we determined at-site quantiles of all stations for various return periods. These estimated quantiles are of valuable information for various sectors, including infrastructure, energy, disaster management, and climate resilience, leading to improved planning, development, and risk reduction in the face of wind-related hazards in Sindh and Balochistan provinces of Pakistan.

5.
Inflamm Bowel Dis ; 2023 Sep 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37658804

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Currently thioguanine is solely used as treatment for inflammatory bowel disease after azathioprine and/or mercaptopurine failure. This study aimed to determine the safety, effectiveness, and 12-month drug survival of thioguanine in thiopurine-naïve patients with inflammatory bowel disease. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in thiopurine-naïve patients with inflammatory bowel disease treated with thioguanine as first thiopurine derivate. Clinical effectiveness was defined as the continuation of thioguanine without the (re)initiation of concurrent biological therapy, systemic corticosteroids, or a surgical intervention. All adverse events were categorized by the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. RESULTS: A total of 114 patients (male 39%, Crohn's disease 53%) were included with a median treatment duration of 25 months and a median thioguanine dosage of 20 mg/d. Clinical effectiveness at 12 months was observed in 53% of patients, and 78% of these responding patients remained responsive until the end of follow-up. During the entire follow-up period, 26 patients were primary nonresponders, 8 had a secondary loss of response, and 11 patients were unable to cease therapy with systemic corticosteroids within 6 months and were therefore classified as nonresponders. After 12 months, thioguanine was still used by 86% of patients. Fifty (44%) patients developed adverse events (grade 1 or 2) and 9 (8%) patients ceased therapy due to the occurrence of adverse events. An infection was documented in 3 patients, none of them requiring hospitalization and pancytopenia occurred in 2 other patients. No signs of nodular regenerative hyperplasia or portal hypertension were observed. CONCLUSIONS: At 12 months, first-line thioguanine therapy was clinically effective in 53% of thiopurine-naïve inflammatory bowel disease patients with an acceptable safety profile.


After 12 months, first-line thioguanine therapy was still used by 86% of thiopurine-naïve patients with inflammatory bowel disease and clinically effective in 53%. The safety profile was acceptable and only 8% of patients ceased therapy due to adverse events.

6.
Theory Biosci ; 142(3): 259-273, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37462903

RESUMEN

We consider a modified SIR model with a four-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations to consider the influence of a limited isolation capacity on the final epidemic size defined as the total number of individuals who experienced the disease at the end of an epidemic season. We derive the necessary and sufficient condition that the isolation reaches the capacity in a finite time on the way of the epidemic process, and show that the final epidemic size is monotonically decreasing in terms of the isolation capacity. We find further that the final epidemic size could have a discontinuous change at the critical value of isolation capacity below which the isolation reaches the capacity in a finite time. Our results imply that the breakdown of isolation with a limited capacity would cause a drastic increase of the epidemic size. Insufficient capacity of the isolation could lead to an unexpectedly severe epidemic situation, while such a severity would be avoidable with the sufficient isolation capacity.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias , Humanos , Estaciones del Año , Modelos Biológicos
7.
JCO Glob Oncol ; 9: e2200288, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37290024

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) represents around 70% of pediatric leukemia. In high-income countries, the 5-year survival is above 90%, but survival in low- and middle-income countries is inferior. This study documents the treatment outcome and prognostic factors of pediatric ALL in Pakistan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, all newly diagnosed patients with ALL/lymphoblastic lymphoma from age 1 to 16 years enrolled between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2021, were included. The treatment was based on the standard arm of the UKALL2011 protocol. RESULTS: Data from 945 patients with ALL, including 597 males (63.2%), were analyzed. The mean age at diagnosis was 5.73 ± 3.51 years. Pallor was the commonest presentation in 95.2% followed by fever in 84.2% of patients. The mean WBC count was 56.6 ± 103.4 × 109/L. Neutropenic fever followed by myopathy was the most common complication during induction. In univariate analysis, the high WBC count (P ≤ 0.001), intensive chemotherapy (P ≤ 0.001), malnutrition (P = .007), poor response to induction chemotherapy (P = .001), delayed presentation (P = .004), and use of steroids before chemotherapy (P = .023) significantly adversely affected overall survival (OS). The delayed presentation was the most significant prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis (P ≤ .002). After a median follow-up of 54.64 ± 33.80 months, the 5-year OS and disease-free survival (DFS) were 69.9% and 67.8%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this largest cohort of childhood ALL from Pakistan, a high WBC count, malnutrition, delayed presentation, previous steroids use, intensive chemotherapy, and poor response to the induction chemotherapy were associated with decreased OS and DFS rates.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras , Masculino , Humanos , Niño , Preescolar , Lactante , Adolescente , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/diagnóstico , Leucemia-Linfoma Linfoblástico de Células Precursoras/tratamiento farmacológico , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad
8.
ACS Nano ; 17(3): 2923-2931, 2023 Feb 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36722955

RESUMEN

Single atom catalysts (SACs) with isolated active sites exhibit the highest reported mass activity for hydrogen evolution catalysis, which is crucial for practical applications. Here, we demonstrate that ultrahigh mass activity can also be achieved by rationally merging the isolated platinum (Pt) active sites in SAC. The catalyst was obtained by the thermodynamically driven diffusing and merging phosphorus-doped carbon (PC) supported Pt single atoms (Pt1@PC) into Pt nanoclusters (PtM@PC). X-ray absorption spectroscopy analysis revealed that the merged nanoclusters exhibit much stronger interactions with the support than the traditional method, enabling more efficient electron transfer. The optimized PtM@PC exhibited an order of magnitude higher mass activity (12.7 A mgPt-1) than Pt1@PC (0.9 A mgPt-1) at an overpotential of 10 mV in acidic media, which is the highest record to date, far exceeding reports for other outstanding SACs. Theoretical study revealed that the collective active sites in PtM@PC exhibit both favorable hydrogen binding energy and fast reaction kinetics, leading to the significantly enhanced mass activity. Despite its low Pt content (2.2 wt %), a low hydrogen production cost of ∼3 USD kg-1 was finally achieved in the full-water splitting at a laboratory scale.

9.
J Crohns Colitis ; 17(5): 738-745, 2023 May 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36521000

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Safety of thioguanine in pregnant patients with inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] is sparsely recorded. This study was aimed to document the safety of thioguanine during pregnancy and birth. METHODS: In this multicentre case series, IBD patients treated with thioguanine during pregnancy were included. Data regarding disease and medication history, pregnancy course, obstetric complications, and neonatal outcomes were collected. RESULTS: Data on 117 thioguanine-exposed pregnancies in 99 women were collected. Most [78%] had Crohn's disease and the mean age at delivery was 31 years. In 18 pregnancies [15%], IBD flared. Obstetric and infectious complications were seen in 15% [n = 17] and 7% [n = 8] of pregnancies, respectively. Ten pregnancies [8.5%] resulted in a first trimester miscarriage, one in a stillbirth at 22 weeks of gestational age and one in an induced abortion due to trisomy 21. In total, 109 neonates were born from 101 singleton pregnancies and four twin pregnancies. One child was born with a congenital abnormality [cleft palate]. In the singleton pregnancies, 10 children were born prematurely and 10 were born small for gestational age. Screening for myelosuppresion was performed in 16 neonates [14.7%]; two had anaemia in umbilical cord blood. All outcomes were comparable to either the general Dutch population or to data from three Dutch cohort studies on the use of conventional thiopurines in pregnant IBD patients. CONCLUSION: In this large case series, the use of thioguanine during pregnancy is not associated in excess with adverse maternal or neonatal outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Aborto Espontáneo , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino , Complicaciones del Embarazo , Embarazo , Recién Nacido , Niño , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto , Tioguanina/efectos adversos , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino/tratamiento farmacológico , Mortinato/epidemiología , Aborto Espontáneo/inducido químicamente , Aborto Espontáneo/epidemiología , Complicaciones del Embarazo/tratamiento farmacológico , Complicaciones del Embarazo/epidemiología
10.
PLoS One ; 17(10): e0276514, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36279286

RESUMEN

Ranked set sampling (RSS) has created a broad interest among researchers and it is still a unique research topic. It has at long last begun to find its way into practical applications beyond its initial horticultural based birth in the fundamental paper by McIntyre in the nineteenth century. One of the extensions of RSS is median ranked set sampling (MRSS). MRSS is a sampling procedure normally utilized when measuring the variable of interest is troublesome or expensive, whereas it might be easy to rank the units using an inexpensive sorting criterion. Several researchers introduced ratio, regression, exponential, and difference type estimators for mean estimation under the MRSS design. In this paper, we propose three new mean estimators under the MRSS scheme. Our idea is based on three-fold utilization of supplementary information. Specifically, we utilize the ranks and second raw moments of the supplementary information and the original values of the supplementary variable. The appropriateness of the proposed group of estimators is demonstrated in light of both real and artificial data sets based on the Monte-Carlo simulation. Additionally, the performance comparison is also conducted regarding the reviewed families of estimators. The results are empowered and the predominant execution of the proposed group of estimators is seen throughout the paper.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Simulación por Computador , Método de Montecarlo
12.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 29(18): 26936-26949, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34862582

RESUMEN

Irrigation water scheduling is crucial to make the most efficient use of ever-decreasing water. As excessive irrigation decreases yield, while imprecise application also causes various environmental issues. Therefore, efficient management of irrigation frequency and irrigation level is necessary to sustain productivity under limited water conditions. The objective of the current study is to assess the water productivity at various irrigation regimes during peanut crop growing seasons (2014 and 2015) in Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey. The field experiments were conducted with treatments consisting of three irrigation frequencies (IF) (IF1: 25 mm; IF2: 50 mm; and IF3: 75 mm of cumulative pan evaporation (CPE)), and four irrigation water levels (WL1 = 0.50, WL2 = 0.75, WL3 = 1.0, and WL4 = 1.25). WL1, WL2, WL3, and WL4 treatments received 50, 75, 100, and 125 of cumulative pan evaporation. The CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut model was calibrated with experimental data in 2014 and evaluated with second-year experimental data (2015). The model simulated seed yield and final biomass (dry matter) reasonably well with low normalized root mean square error (RMSEn) in various irrigation intervals. The model simulated reasonably well for days to anthesis (RMSE = 2.53, d-stat = 0.96, and r2 = 0.90), days to physiological maturity (RMSE = 2.55), seed yield (RMSE = 1504), and tops biomass dry weight at maturity (RMSE = 3716). Simulation results indicated good agreement between measured and simulated soil water content (SWC) with low RMSEn values (4.0 to 16.8% in 2014 and 4.3 to 18.2% in 2015). Further results showed that IF2I125 irrigation regime produced the highest seed yield. Generally, model evaluation performed reasonably well for all studied parameters with both years' experimental data. Results also showed that the crop model would be a precision agriculture tool for the extrapolation of the allocation of irrigation water resources and decision management under current and future climate.


Asunto(s)
Riego Agrícola , Arachis , Riego Agrícola/métodos , Biomasa , Suelo , Turquía , Agua , Abastecimiento de Agua
14.
J Org Chem ; 86(21): 14398-14403, 2021 Nov 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34468134

RESUMEN

Apart from being experimentally and theoretically interesting, tetraphenylene has potential applications in different fields, including supramolecular chemistry, material science, and asymmetric catalysis. Although a wide range of substituted tetraphenylenes have been reported, octaamine-based tetraphenylene derivatives have not been reported because of their instability. Here, stable octaaminotetraphenylene octahydrochloride is synthesized from the bromination of tetraphenylene to octabromotetraphenylene, which is subsequently aminated into octaiminotetraphenylene. Finally, the imino derivative is deprotected to yield octaaminotetraphenylene octahydrochloride.

17.
GM Crops Food ; 12(1): 564-585, 2021 Jan 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33938377

RESUMEN

In vitro recalcitrance of wheat to regeneration is the major bottleneck for its improvement through callus-based genetic transformation. Nanotechnology is one of the most dynamic areas of research, which can transform agriculture and biotechnology to ensure food security on sustainable basis. Present study was designed to investigate effects of CuSO4, AgNO3 and their nanoparticles on tissue culture responses of mature embryo culture of wheat genotypes (AS-2002 and Wafaq-2001). Initially, MS-based callus induction and regeneration medium were optimized for both genotypes using various concentrations of auxin (2,4-D, IAA) and cytokinins (BAP, kinetin). The genotypes differed for embryogenic callus induction and regeneration potential. Genotype AS-2002 yielded maximum embryogenic calli in response to 3.0 mg/l 2,4-D, whereas Wafaq-2001 offered the highest embryogenic calli against 3.5 mg/l 2,4-D supplemented in the induction medium. Genotype AS-2002 showed maximum regeneration (59.33%) in response to regeneration protocol comprising 0.5 mg/l IAA, 0.3 mg/l BAP and 1.0 mg/l Kin, while Wafaq-2001 performed best in response to 0.5 mg/l IAA, 0.3 mg/l BAP and 1.5 mg/l Kin with 55.33% regeneration efficiency. The same optimized basal induction and regeneration medium for both genotypes were further used to study effects of CuSO4, AgNO3 and their nano-particles employing independent experiments. The optimized induction medium fortified with various concentrations of CuSO4 or CuNPs confirmed significant effects on frequency of embryogenic callus. Addition of either 0.020 mg/l or 0.025 mg/l CuSO4, or 0.015 mg/l CNPs showed comparable results for embryogenic callus induction and were statistically at par with embryogenic callus induction of 74.00%, 75.67% and 76.83%, respectively. Significantly higher regeneration was achieved from MS-based regeneration medium supplemented with 0.015 mg/l or 0.020 mg/l CuNPs than standard 0.025 mg/l CuSO4. In another study, the basal induction and regeneration medium were fortified with AgNO3 or AgNPs ranging from 1 to 7 mg/l along with basal regeneration media devoid of AgNO3 or AgNPs (control). The maximum embryogenic calli were witnessed from medium fortified with 3.0 mg/l or 4.0 mg/l AgNPs compared with control and rest of the treatments. The standardized regeneration medium fortified with 5.0 mg/l AgNO3 or 3.0 mg/l AgNPs showed pronounced effect on regeneration of wheat genotypes and offered maximum regeneration compared with control. The individual and combined effect of Cu and Ag nanoparticles along with control (basal regeneration media of each genotype) was also tested. Surprisingly, co-application of metallic NPs showed a significant increase in embryogenic callus formation of genotypes. Induction medium supplemented with 0.015 mg/l CuNPs + 4.0 mg/l AgNPs or 0.020 mg/l CuNPs + 2.0 mg/l AgNPs showed splendid results compared to control and other combination of Cu and Ag nanoparticles. The maximum regeneration was achieved by co-application of 0.015 mg/l CuNP and 4.0 mg/l AgNPs with 21% increment of regeneration over control. It is revealed that CuNPs and AgNPs are potential candidate to augment somatic embryogenesis and regeneration of mature embryo explants of wheat.Abbreviations: 2,4-D (2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid), BAP (6-benzylaminopurine), IAA (Indole-3-acetic acid), AgNPs (silver nanoparticles), CuNPs (copper nanoparticles).


Asunto(s)
Nanopartículas del Metal , Triticum , Cobre , Cinetina , Plata , Triticum/genética
18.
Adv Mater ; 33(9): e2004707, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33470474

RESUMEN

Recently, studies of 2D organic layered materials with unique electronic properties have generated considerable interest in the research community. However, the development of organic materials with functional electrical transport properties is still needed. Here, a 2D fused aromatic network (FAN) structure with a C5 N basal plane stoichiometry is designed and synthesized, and thin films are cast from C5 N solution onto silicon dioxide substrates. Then field-effect transistors are fabricated using C5 N thin flakes as the active layer in a bottom-gate top-contact configuration to characterize their electrical properties. The C5 N thin flakes, isolated by polydimethylsiloxane stamping, exhibit ambipolar charge transport and extraordinarily high electron (996 cm2 V-1 s-1 ) and hole (501 cm2 V-1 s-1 ) mobilities, surpassing the performance of most pristine organic materials without doping. These results demonstrate their vast potential for applications in thin-film optoelectronic devices.

19.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 28(11): 13697-13711, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33200383

RESUMEN

Solar radiation (SR) is essential for yield improvement in lentil, which is a crop of marginal environments. Herein, experiments were conducted over 2 years under a semi-arid environment to study the radiation interception (RI), efficiency, growth, and development of three lentil genotypes (Punjab Masoor-2009 (PM-2009), NIAB Masoor-2006 (NM-2006), and NIAB Masoor-2002 (NM-2002)) in relation to three nitrogen rates (13, 19, and 25 kg ha-1). Seasonal dynamics of intercepted photoactive radiation (IPAR) and cumulated photosynthetic photon flux density were highly associated with seasonal dynamics of leaf area index (LAI), with a high value of R2 (0.93 and 0.89) across all nitrogen rates and genotypes in both years. Nitrogen application promoted growth, and maximum LAI (3.97 and 3.57) and RI (324 and 301 MJ m-2) were attained for the first and second years of study, respectively. Biomass and yield were positively associated with IPAR. Variation in radiation absorption (RA) among genotypes was due to different patterns of LAI development. In both years, yield (23% and 25%) and radiation use efficiency (RUE) for grain yield (0.44 and 0.37 g MJ-1) were respectively higher for PM-2009 than for the other genotypes. Genotype PM-2009 had 15 days shorter crop cycle than others while 14% higher GDDs accumulated in the first year compared with the second due to the higher temperature. High nitrogen (25 kg ha-1) application resulted in higher dry matter (DM), and grain yield (GY), while RUE and PAR were not statistically different under 19 kg N ha-1 application across years. Genotypes PM-2009 and NM-2006 may perform reasonably well under arid to semi-arid regions at farmer field. These findings may assist researchers and crop modelers to optimize the lentil ideotype for efficient light utilization.


Asunto(s)
Lens (Planta) , Biomasa , Lens (Planta)/genética , Nitrógeno , Fotosíntesis , Hojas de la Planta
20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32272663

RESUMEN

There are numerous anticipated effects of climate change (CC) on agriculture in the developing and the developed world. Pakistan is among the top ten most prone nations to CC in the world. The objective of this analysis was to quantify the economic impacts of CC on the agricultural production system and to quantify the impacts of suggested adaptation strategies at the farm level. The study was conducted in the Punjab province's rice-wheat cropping system. For this purpose, climate modeling was carried out by using two representative concentration pathways (RCPs), i.e., RCPs 4.5 and 8.5, and five global circulation models (GCMs). The crop modeling was carried out by using the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) and the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) crop simulation models (CSMs), which were tested on the cross-sectional data of 217 farm households collected from the seven strata in the study area. The socio-economic impacts were calculated using the Multidimensional Impact Assessment Tradeoff Analysis Model (TOA-MD). The results revealed that CC's net economic impact using both RCPs and CSMs was negative. In both CSMs, the poverty status was higher in RCP 8.5 than in RCP 4.5. The adaptation package showed positive results in poverty reduction and improvement in the livelihood conditions of the agricultural households. The adoption rate for DSSAT was about 78%, and for APSIM, it was about 68%. The adaptation benefits observed in DSSAT were higher than in APSIM. The results showed that the suggested adaptations could have a significant impact on the resilience of the atmospheric changes. Therefore, without these adaptation measures, i.e., increase in sowing density, improved cultivars, increase in nitrogen use, and fertigation, there would be negative impacts of CC that would capitalize on livelihood and food security in the study area.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura/tendencias , Cambio Climático , Oryza , Triticum , Pakistán
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