Quantitative analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients to predict neurological prognosis in cardiac arrest survivors: an observational derivation and internal-external validation study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to validate apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and thresholds to predict poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors by quantitatively analysing the ADC values via brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). METHODS: This observational study used prospectively collected data from two tertiary academic hospitals. The derivation cohort comprised 70% of the patients randomly selected from one hospital, whereas the internal validation cohort comprised the remaining 30%. The external validation cohort used the data from another hospital, and the MRI data were restricted to scans conducted at 3 T within 72-96 h after an OHCA experience. We analysed the percentage of brain volume below a specific ADC value at 50-step intervals ranging from 200 to 1200 × 10-6 mm2/s, identifying thresholds that differentiate between good and poor outcomes. Poor neurological outcomes were defined as cerebral performance categories 3-5, 6 months after experiencing an OHCA. RESULTS: A total of 448 brain MRI scans were evaluated, including a derivation cohort (n = 224) and internal/external validation cohorts (n = 96/128, respectively). The proportion of brain volume with ADC values below 450, 500, 550, 600, and 650 × 10-6 mm2/s demonstrated good to excellent performance in predicting poor neurological outcomes in the derivation group (area under the curve [AUC] 0.89-0.91), and there were no statistically significant differences in performances among the derivation, internal validation, and external validation groups (all P > 0.5). Among these, the proportion of brain volume with an ADC below 600 × 10-6 mm2/s predicted a poor outcome with a 0% false-positive rate (FPR) and 76% (95% confidence interval [CI] 68-83) sensitivity at a threshold of > 13.2% in the derivation cohort. In both the internal and external validation cohorts, when using the same threshold, a specificity of 100% corresponded to sensitivities of 71% (95% CI 58-81) and 78% (95% CI 66-87), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this validation study, by consistently restricting the MRI types and timing during quantitative analysis of ADC values in brain MRI, we observed high reproducibility and sensitivity at a 0% FPR. Prospective multicentre studies are necessary to validate these findings.

Delayed head CT in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors: Does this improve predictive performance of neurological outcome?

BACKGROUND: We compared the ability of head computed tomography (HCT) and MRI, respectively, obtained before or after target temperature management to predict neurologic outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. METHODS: This retrospective study included adult comatose OHCA survivors who underwent neuroimaging scans within 6 h (first HCT) or 72-96 h (second HCT and MRI) after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). We calculated the gray-white matter ratio (GWR), hypoxic-ischemic brain injury presence (loss of boundary at the basal ganglia level [LOB at BG], sulcal effacement at the centrum semiovale [SE at CS], and pseudo-SAH sign), and the overall score based on MRI findings (a total score of 21 brain regions individually scored according to the degree of signal abnormality). RESULTS: Overall, 78 patients were included in this analysis, of whom 45 (58%) showed poor outcomes. The second HCT scan showed greater prognostic performance than the first HCT scan for GWR (area under curve 0.92 vs. 0.70), LOB at BG (0.93 vs. 0.65), SE at CS (0.89 vs. 0.64), and pseudo-SAH sign (0.75 vs. 0.51). The overall score on MRI (0.99) showed the highest prognostic performance. However, on the second HCT scan, the combination of GWR and LOB at BG showed prognostic performance (0.96) comparable to the overall score on MRI (P = 0.12); the corresponding sensitivity and specificity values were 85.7% and 100%. CONCLUSIONS: Overall score on MRI and the combination of GWR and LOB at BG findings on second HCT scans may help predict poor outcomes in OHCA survivors.